Two-step interpretable modeling of ICU-AIs

We present a novel methodology for integrating high resolution longitudinal data with the dynamic prediction capabilities of survival models. The aim is two-fold: to improve the predictive power while maintaining the interpretability of the models. To go beyond the black box paradigm of artificial neural networks, we propose a parsimonious and robust semi-parametric approach (i.e., a landmarking competing risks model) that combines routinely collected low-resolution data with predictive features extracted from a convolutional neural network, that was trained on high resolution time-dependent information. We then use saliency maps to analyze and explain the extra predictive power of this model. To illustrate our methodology, we focus on healthcare-associated infections in patients admitted to an intensive care unit.

Association between early cumulative fluid balance and successful liberation from invasive ventilation in COVID-19 ARDS patients — insights from the PRoVENT-COVID study: a national, multicenter, observational cohort analysis

Background

Increasing evidence indicates the potential benefits of restricted fluid management in critically ill patients. Evidence lacks on the optimal fluid management strategy for invasively ventilated COVID-19 patients. We hypothesized that the cumulative fluid balance would affect the successful liberation of invasive ventilation in COVID-19 patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS).

Methods

We analyzed data from the multicenter observational ‘PRactice of VENTilation in COVID-19 patients’ study. Patients with confirmed COVID-19 and ARDS who required invasive ventilation during the first 3 months of the international outbreak (March 1, 2020, to June 2020) across 22 hospitals in the Netherlands were included. The primary outcome was successful liberation of invasive ventilation, modeled as a function of day 3 cumulative fluid balance using Cox proportional hazards models, using the crude and the adjusted association. Sensitivity analyses without missing data and modeling ARDS severity were performed.

Results

Among 650 patients, three groups were identified. Patients in the higher, intermediate, and lower groups had a median cumulative fluid balance of 1.98 L (1.27–7.72 L), 0.78 L (0.26–1.27 L), and − 0.35 L (− 6.52–0.26 L), respectively. Higher day 3 cumulative fluid balance was significantly associated with a lower probability of successful ventilation liberation (adjusted hazard ratio 0.86, 95% CI 0.77–0.95, P = 0.0047). Sensitivity analyses showed similar results.

Conclusions

In a cohort of invasively ventilated patients with COVID-19 and ARDS, a higher cumulative fluid balance was associated with a longer ventilation duration, indicating that restricted fluid management in these patients may be beneficial.

Trial registration Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04346342); Date of registration: April 15, 2020.

Graphical abstract

Initiation of veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) for cardiogenic shock during out of hours versus working hours is not associated with increased mortality

BACKGROUND

Initiation of veno-arterial (VA) Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenator (ECMO) is associated with severe complications. It is unknown whether these adverse consequences occur more often after initiations during out of hours service compared to working hours.

METHODS

All patients receiving VA-ECMO for cardiogenic shock between 2009 and 2020 were categorized into a working hours group (between 8 am and 5 pm on weekdays) and an out of hours service group (between 5 pm and 8 am, or between Friday 5 pm and Monday 8 am). Primary outcome was all-cause mortality at 30 days. Secondary outcomes included vascular complications (including limb ischemia and/or bleeding), bloodstream infections and length of ICU stay. Propensity scores were used to adjust for potential confounding effects.

RESULTS

Among 250 patients (median (IQR) age 56 (42-64) years) receiving VA-ECMO (median duration 3.5 (1.0-9.0) days), 160 (64%) runs were initiated between 5 pm and 8 am whereas the remainder (36%) started during working hours. Characteristic did not differ between the working hours- and out of hours-group. By day 30, 37 (41.1%), and 68 (42.5%) patients in either group had died, respectively (p = 0.831). VA-ECMO support duration and length of stay on the ICU did not differ significantly in both crude and adjusted analyses. More complications occurred during out of hours service (p = 0.039).

CONCLUSIONS

Out of hours- versus working hours-initiation of VA-ECMO for cardiogenic shock was not associated with higher mortality, longer VA-ECMO support duration, or longer length of stay on the intensive care. Vascular complications were more common in the out of hours group.

Attitudes of Dutch intensive care unit clinicians towards oxygen therapy

BACKGROUND

Over the last decade, there has been an increasing awareness for the potential harm of the administration of too much oxygen. We aimed to describe self-reported attitudes towards oxygen therapy by clinicians from a large representative sample of intensive care units (ICUs) in the Netherlands.

METHODS

In April 2019, 36 ICUs in the Netherlands were approached and asked to send out a questionnaire (59 questions) to their nursing and medical staff (ICU clinicians) eliciting self-reported behaviour and attitudes towards oxygen therapy in general and in specific ICU case scenarios.

RESULTS

In total, 1361 ICU clinicians (71% nurses, 24% physicians) from 28 ICUs returned the questionnaire. Of responding ICU clinicians, 64% considered oxygen-induced lung injury to be a major concern. The majority of respondents considered a partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2) of 6-10 kPa (45-75 mmHg) and an arterial saturation (SaO2) of 85-90% as acceptable for 15 minutes, and a PaO2 7-10 kPa (53-75 mmHg) and SaO2 90-95% as acceptable for 24-48 hours in an acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) patient. In most case scenarios, respondents reported not to change the fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) if SaO2 was 90-95% or PaO2 was 12 kPa (90 mmHg).

CONCLUSION

A representative sample of ICU clinicians from the Netherlands were concerned about oxygen-induced lung injury, and reported that they preferred PaO2 and SaO2 targets in the lower physiological range and would adjust ventilation settings accordingly.

Profile of the SeptiCyte™ LAB gene expression assay to diagnose infection in critically ill patients

Sepsis is a severe and frequently occurring clinical syndrome, caused by the inflammatory response to infections. Recent studies on the human transcriptome during sepsis have yielded several gene-expression assays that might assist physicians during clinical assessment of patients suspected of sepsis. SeptiCyte™ LAB (Immunexpress, Seattle, WA) is the first gene expression assay that was cleared by the FDA in the United States to distinguish infectious from non-infectious causes of systemic inflammation in critically ill patients. The test consists of the simultaneous amplification of four RNA transcripts (CEACAM4, LAMP1, PLAC8, and PLA2G7) in whole blood using a quantitative real-time PCR reaction. This review provides an overview of the challenges in the diagnosis of sepsis, the development of gene expression signatures, and a detailed description of available clinical performance studies evaluating SeptiCyte™ LAB.

Erratum to: 36th International Symposium on Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine: Brussels, Belgium. 15-18 March 2016

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1186/s13054-016-1208-6.].

Respiratory syncytial virus in critically ill adult patients with community-acquired respiratory failure: a prospective observational study

The incidence of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and influenza virus infection was determined during three RSV seasons in 158 adult patients consecutively admitted to the intensive care unit with community-acquired respiratory failure. Nasopharyngeal swabs were tested for the presence of RSV and influenza virus by real-time polymerase chain reaction. Six patients (4%) were positive for RSV and all recovered. This finding was in sharp contrast to influenza (23 (15%) patients, 4 (17%) deaths). In conclusion, even in the midst of the RSV season, RSV is an infrequent cause of respiratory failure in adults admitted to the intensive care unit.

Long-term propofol infusion and cardiac failure in adult head-injured patients

Five adult patients with head injuries inexplicably had fatal cardiac arrests In our neurosurgical intensive-care unit after the introduction of a sedation formulation containing an increased concentration of propofol. To examine the possible relation further, we did a retrospective cohort analysis of head-injured adults admitted to our unit between 1996 and 1999 who were sedated and mechanically ventilated. 67 patients met the inclusion criteria, of whom seven were judged to have died from propofol-infusion syndrome. The odds ratio for the occurrence of the syndrome was 1.93 (95% CI 1.12-3.32, p=0.018) for every mg/kg per h increase in mean propofol dose above 5 mg/kg per h. We suggest that propofol infusion at rates higher than 5 mg/kg per h should be discouraged for long-term sedation in the intensive-care unit.