A Longitudinal Multilevel Analysis of the Effects of Contraceptive Failures on Unintended Pregnancies among Women in Urban Nigeria

Unintended pregnancy is a global public health concern. However, the effect of contraceptive failure on unintended pregnancy remains unclear in Nigeria. We undertook a longitudinal analysis to examine the effect of contraceptive failure on unintended pregnancy among urban women in Nigeria. We used panel data from the Nigerian Urban Reproductive Health Initiative. The Measurement, Learning and Evaluation program conducted the surveys among a cohort of women aged 15-49 who were first interviewed at baseline in 2010/2011 and followed up at endline in 2014/2015. Analytic sample was 4140 women aged 15-49 who ever used contraceptives. We fitted three-level multilevel binary logistic regression models estimated with GLLAMM. The study established evidence that there is a significant effect of contraceptive failure on unintended pregnancy among urban women in Nigeria. The positive effect of between-person contraceptive failure indicates that respondents who experienced more contraceptive failure than the average in the sample had 5.26 times higher odds of unintended pregnancy (OR = 5.26; p-value < 0.001). Results also established a significant effect of within-person contraceptive failures among the respondents. Findings suggest there is evidence of a significant longitudinal effect of contraceptive failure on unintended pregnancy in urban Nigeria. Efforts to reduce unintended pregnancy must include interventions to address the problem of contraceptive failure among urban women in Nigeria.

Belief in vaccine myths and vaccine uptake in Utah during the COVID-19 pandemic

Introduction

Since its emergence in December 2019, COVID-19 has caused millions of deaths worldwide. While vaccines are largely available in most places, including the United States (U.S.), vaccine uptake is lower than is desirable from a public health perspective.

Objective

The objective of this paper is to examine belief in vaccine myths, including what individual and place characteristics underpin such beliefs, and uptake of vaccines - as well as the role of belief in myths in obtaining the COVID-19 vaccine.

Methods

We use weighted survey data from an online panel of 529 Utah adult residents.

Results

Sixty-nine percent of our sample was fully vaccinated at the time of taking the survey. We find that belief in vaccine myths varies among Utahns, with the highest percentage seeing the vaccines as unsafe because of their rapid development. Those who are older, are more religious (including members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints), have less formal education, and are more conservative were more likely to have medium and/or higher levels of belief in vaccine myths. We find that belief in vaccine myths is associated with lower COVID-19 vaccine uptake, even when controlling for other factors.

Conclusion

Understanding what drives vaccination uptake, including the role of belief in emerging vaccine myths, is important for public health measures in this and future outbreaks.

Comparing the reasons for contraceptive discontinuation between parenting adolescents and young women in sub-Saharan Africa: a multilevel analysis

BACKGROUND

Adolescent sexual and reproductive health remains a major public health and development issue of global importance. Given that adolescents and young people are heterogenous groups in terms of many characteristics, this study expands the literature by comparing the reasons for contraceptive discontinuation between parenting adolescents (aged 15-19) and parenting young women (aged 20-24) in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).

METHODS

Data for the study came from Demographic and Health Surveys of 22 SSA countries. The outcome variable was reasons for discontinuation. We performed multilevel binary logistic regression on analytic samples comprising 1485 parenting adolescents and 10,287 parenting young women across the selected SSA countries.

RESULTS

Findings show that the proportion of respondents who used modern contraceptives was lower among parenting adolescents (35%) relative to their 20-24-year-old counterparts (43%). Higher percentages of parenting adolescents than young women discontinued contraceptives because of reasons such as pregnancy or method failure (i.e., 9.9% and 8.17% accordingly), husband disapproval, access or availability issues, wanting more effective methods, and inconvenience in using methods. The multilevel analysis further highlighted disparities between parenting adolescents and parenting young women who discontinued contraceptives. For instance, parenting young women had 30% lower odds of discontinuing contraceptives due to pregnancy or method failure than parenting adolescents.

CONCLUSION

The study established disparities in the reasons for contraceptive discontinuation between parenting adolescents and parenting young women, with adolescents demonstrating greater vulnerabilities and higher risks. Considerable attention must be given to parenting adolescents in the efforts to achieve equity goals such as the Sustainable Development Goals and universal health coverage in SSA.

Maternal mortality ratio in selected rural communities in Kebbi State, Northwest Nigeria

Background

Maternal mortality remains a topical issue in Nigeria. Dearth of data on vital events posed a huge challenge to policy formulation and design of interventions to address the scourge. This study estimated the lifetime risk (LTR) of maternal death and maternal mortality ratio (MMR) in rural areas of Kebbi State, northwest Nigeria, using the sisterhood method.

Methods

Using the sisterhood method, data was collected from 2917 women aged 15–49 years from randomly selected rural communities in 6 randomly selected local government area of Kebbi State. Retrospective cohort of their female siblings who had reached the childbearing age of 15 years was constructed. Using the most recent total fertility rate for Kebbi State, the lifetime risk and associated MMR were estimated.

Result

A total of 2917 women reported 8233 female siblings of whom 409 had died and of whom 204 (49.8%) were maternal deaths. This corresponds to an LTR of 6% (referring to 11 years before the study) and an estimated MMR of 890 deaths/100,000 live births (95% CI, 504–1281).

Conclusion

The findings provide baseline information on the MMR in rural areas of the State. It underscores the need to urgently address the bane of high maternity mortality, if Kebbi State and Nigeria in general, will achieve the health for all by year 2030 as stated in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12884-018-2125-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.