Urinary Plasminogen as a Marker of Disease Progression in Human Glomerular Disease

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Glomerular disorders have a highly variable clinical course, and biomarkers that reflect the molecular mechanisms underlying their progression are needed. Based on our previous work identifying plasminogen as a direct cause of podocyte injury, we designed this study to test the association between urine plasmin(ogen) (ie, plasmin and its precursor plasminogen) and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD).

STUDY DESIGN

Multicenter cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

1,010 patients enrolled in the CureGN Cohort with biopsy-proven glomerular disease (focal segmental glomerulosclerosis, membranous nephropathy, and immunoglobulin A nephropathy).

PREDICTORS

The main predictor was urine plasmin(ogen) at baseline. Levels were measured by an electrochemiluminescent immunoassay developed de novo. Traditional clinical and analytical characteristics were used for adjustment. The ratio of urine plasmin(ogen)/expected plasmin(ogen) was evaluated as a predictor in a separate model.

OUTCOME

Progression to ESKD.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Cox regression was used to examine the association between urinary plasmin(ogen) and time to ESKD. Urinary markers were log2 transformed to approximate normal distribution and normalized to urinary creatinine (Log2uPlasminogen/cr, Log2 urinary protein/cr [UPCR]). Expected plasmin(ogen) was calculated by multiple linear regression.

RESULTS

Adjusted Log2uPlasminogen/cr was significantly associated with ESKD (HR per doubling Log2 uPlasminogen/cr 1.31 [95% CI, 1.22-1.40], P<0.001). Comparison of the predictive performance of the models including Log2 uPlasminogen/cr, Log2 UPCR, or both markers showed the plasmin(ogen) model superiority. The ratio of measured/expected urine plasmin(ogen) was independently associated with ESKD: HR, 0.41 (95% CI, 0.22-0.77) if ratio<0.8 and HR 2.42 (95% CI, 1.54-3.78) if ratio>1.1 (compared with ratio between 0.8 and 1.1).

LIMITATIONS

Single plasmin(ogen) determination does not allow for the study of changes over time. The use of a cohort of mostly white patients and the restriction to patients with 3 glomerular disorders limits the external validity of our analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Urinary plasmin(ogen) and the ratio of measured/expected plasmin(ogen) are independently associated with ESKD in a cohort of patients with glomerular disease. Taken together with our previous experimental findings, urinary plasmin(ogen) could be a useful biomarker in prognostic decision making and a target for the development of novel therapies in patients with proteinuria and glomerular disease.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Glomerular diseases are an important cause of morbidity and mortality in patients of all ages. Knowing the individual risk of progression to dialysis or transplantation would help to plan the follow-up and treatment of these patients. Our work studies the usefulness of urinary plasminogen as a marker of progression in this context, since previous studies indicate that plasminogen may be involved in the mechanisms responsible for the progression of these disorders. Our work in a sample of 1,010 patients with glomerular disease demonstrates that urinary plasminogen (as well as the ratio of measured to expected plasminogen) is associated with the risk of progression to end-stage kidney disease. Urine plasminogen exhibited good performance and, if further validated, could enable risk stratification for timely interventions in patients with proteinuria and glomerular disease.

Enhanced Donor Antigen Presentation by B Cells Predicts Acute Cellular Rejection and Late Outcomes After Transplantation

Background

Enhanced B-cell presentation of donor alloantigen relative to presentation of HLA-mismatched reference alloantigen is associated with acute cellular rejection (ACR), when expressed as a ratio called the antigen presenting index (API) in an exploratory cohort of liver and intestine transplant (LT and IT) recipients.

Methods

To test clinical performance, we measured the API using the previously described 6-h assay in 84 LT and 54 IT recipients with median age 3.3 y (0.05-23.96). Recipients experiencing ACR within 60 d after testing were termed rejectors.

Results

We first confirmed that B-cell uptake and presentation of alloantigen induced and thus reflected the alloresponse of T-helper cells, which were incubated without and with cytochalasin and primaquine to inhibit antigen uptake and presentation, respectively. Transplant recipients included 76 males and 62 females. Rejectors were tested at median 3.6 d before diagnosis. The API was higher among rejectors compared with nonrejectors (2.2 ± 0.2 versus 0.6 ± 0.04, P value = 1.7E-09). In logistic regression and receiver-operating-characteristic analysis, API ≥1.1 achieved sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for predicting ACR in 99 training set samples. Corresponding metrics ranged from 80% to 88% in 32 independent posttransplant samples, and 73% to 100% in 20 independent pretransplant samples. In time-to-event analysis, API ≥1.1 predicted higher incidence of late donor-specific anti-HLA antibodies after API measurements in LT recipients (P = 0.011) and graft loss in IT recipients (P = 0.008), compared with recipients with API <1.1, respectively.

Conclusions

Enhanced donor antigen presentation by circulating B cells predicts rejection after liver or intestine transplantation as well as higher incidence of DSA and graft loss late after transplantation.

Predictors of long-term disability in multiple sclerosis patients using routine magnetic resonance imaging data: A 15-year retrospective study

INTRODUCTION

Early identification of patients at high risk of progression could help with a personalised treatment strategy. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) measures have been proposed to predict long-term disability in multiple sclerosis (MS), but a reliable predictor that can be easily implemented clinically is still needed.

AIM

Assess MRI measures during the first 5 years of the MS disease course for the ability to predict progression at 10+ years.

METHODS

Eighty-two MS patients (53 females), with ≥10 years of clinical follow-up and having two MRI scans, were included. Clinical data were obtained at baseline, follow-up and at ≥10 years. White matter lesion (WML) counts and volumes, and four linear brain sizes were measured on T2/FLAIR 'Fluid-Attenuated-Inversion-Recovery' and T1-weighted images.

RESULTS

Baseline and follow-up inter-caudate diameter (ICD) and third ventricular width (TVW) measures correlated positively with Expanded Disability Status Scale, ≥10 or more of WMLs showed a high sensitivity in predicting progression, at ≥10 years. A steeper rate of lesion volume increase was observed in subjects converting to secondary progressive MS. The sensitivity and specificity of both ICD and TVW, to predict disability at ≥10 years were 60% and 64%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Despite advances in brain imaging and computerised volumetric analysis, ICD and TVW remain relevant as they are simple, fast and have the potential in predicting long-term disability. However, in this study, despite the statistical significance of these measures, the clinical utility is still not reliable.

Treatment of canine periocular dermatitis with rhytidectomy (surgical face-lift) and fluorescence photobiomodulation: A case report

Canine periocular dermatitis may be associated with excessive facial folds and heavy brows (EFF-HB). There is no gold standard therapy for EFF-HB-associated periocular dermatitis, and conventional medical management may fail. Herein, we describe periocular fluorescence photobiomodulation and rhytidectomy as novel approaches to treat EFF-HB-associated periocular dermatitis refractory to medical management.

ATG4B and pS383/392-ATG4B serve as potential biomarkers and therapeutic targets of colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Autophagy related protease 4B (ATG4B) is a protease required for autophagy processing, which is strongly implicated in cancer progression.  Phosphorylation of ATG4B is crucial for activation of its protease activity.  However, little is known about the relationship of ATG4B and its phosphorylated form at Ser 383 and 392 sites (pS383/392-ATG4B), with clinical outcomes, particularly in colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

The ATG4B gene expression in CRC patients was obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database to analyze its clinical relevance. Tissue microarrays composed of 118 CRC patient specimens were used to determine the associations of ATG4B and pS383/392-ATG4B protein levels with prognosis. The biological functions of ATG4B in CRC cells were inspected with cell proliferation, mobility and spheroid culture assays.

RESULTS

ATG4B gene expression was elevated in tumor tissues of CRC patients compared to that in adjacent normal tissues and high level of ATG4B expression was associated with poor survival. Similarly, protein levels of ATG4B and pS383/392-ATG4B were highly correlated with worse overall survival and disease-free survival. Stratification analysis results showed that high level of ATG4B had significantly higher risk of mortality in males and elderly patients compared to those female patients and patients 60 years or younger. In contrast, multivariate Cox's regression analysis indicated that high level of pS383/392-ATG4B was significantly linked to unfavorable overall survival and disease-free survival of males and elderly patients, whereas, it had no correlation with female patients and patients 60 years or younger. Moreover, high level of ATG4B was positively associated with increased mortality risk in patients with advanced AJCC stages (III and IV) and lymph node invasion (N1 and N2) for both overall survival and disease-free survival. Nevertheless, high level of pS383/392-ATG4B was positively correlated with increased mortality risk in patients with early AJCC stages (I and II) and without lymph node invasion (N0). In addition, silencing ATG4B attenuated migration, invasion, and further enhanced the cytotoxic effects of chemotherapeutic drugs in two and three-dimensional cultures of CRC cells.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that ATG4B and pS383/392-ATG4B might be suitable biomarkers and therapeutic targets for CRC.

Structure-Based Discovery of a Novel Class of Small-Molecule Pure Antagonists of Integrin αVβ3

Inhibitors of integrin αVβ3 have therapeutic promise for a variety of diseases. Most αVβ3-targeting small molecules patterned after the RGD motif are partial agonists because they induce a high-affinity, ligand-binding conformation and prime the receptor to bind the ligand without an activating stimulus, in part via a charge-charge interaction between their aspartic acid carboxyl group and the metal ion in the metal-ion-dependent adhesion site (MIDAS). Building upon our previous studies on the related integrin αIIbβ3, we searched for pure αVβ3 antagonists that lack this typical aspartic acid carboxyl group and instead engage through direct binding to one of the coordinating residues of the MIDAS metal ion, specifically β3 E220. By in silico screening of two large chemical libraries for compounds interacting with β3 E220, we indeed discovered a novel molecule that does not contain an acidic carboxyl group and does not induce the high-affinity, ligand-binding state of the receptor. Functional and structural characterization of a chemically optimized version of this compound led to the discovery of a novel small-molecule pure αVβ3 antagonist that (i) does not prime the receptor to bind the ligand and does not induce hybrid domain swing-out or receptor extension as judged by antibody binding and negative-stain electron microscopy, (ii) binds at the RGD-binding site as predicted by metadynamics rescoring of induced-fit docking poses and confirmed by a cryo-electron microscopy structure of the compound-bound integrin, and (iii) coordinates the MIDAS metal ion via a quinoline moiety instead of an acidic carboxyl group.

An international patient-centred study of retroperitoneal fibrosis

BACKGROUND

The impact that rare chronic disorders, such as retroperitoneal fibrosis (RPF), can have on the physical and psychological aspects of a patient's health is poorly understood. Patient-related outcome measures and experiences provide a unique opportunity to understand the impact rare chronic disorders have on a patient's life as well as allowing healthcare providers to compare and improve performance.

AIM

To understand the physical and psychosocial impact that RPF has upon peoples' lives.

DESIGN

An international online questionnaire was therefore created to gain insights into how patients with RPF, a rare fibro-inflammatory condition, viewed their health and experiences.

METHODS

An international online questionnaire comprising 62 questions/free text options, was designed in collaboration with two patient advocates and the multi-disciplinary Renal Association Rare Disease Registry (RaDaR) RPF Group the questionnaire was anonymous and freely accessible on a GOOGLE Form online platform for 6 months.

RESULTS

A total of 229 patients from 30 countries across 5 continents responded. Four key issues were identified; (i) pain; (ii) therapy-related side effects; (iii) lack of informed doctors/information about their condition and its management; and (iv) psychological burden. Variations in diagnosis and management are highlighted with 55% undergoing a biopsy to reach a diagnosis of RPF; 75% of patients underwent a further interventional procedure with 60% concurrently treated medically.

CONCLUSION

This study will guide further development of clinical and academic multi-disciplinary activity and shows the importance of trying to understand the impact of rare chronic disorders on the physical and psychological aspects of a patient's health.

A Closer Look at Dexamethasone and the SARS-CoV-2-Induced Cytokine Storm: In Silico Insights of the First Life-Saving COVID-19 Drug

The term cytokine storm refers to an uncontrolled overproduction of soluble inflammatory markers known as cytokines and chemokines. Autoimmune destruction of the lungs triggered by the release of these inflammatory markers often induces acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). ARDS is an emergency condition with a high mortality rate in COVID-19 patients. Dexamethasone is the first repurposed corticosteroid with life-saving efficacy in patients with severe SARS-CoV-2 infection. Dexamethasone has traditionally been known to suppress the production of inflammatory markers at the transcriptional level, but its role as a direct therapeutic to neutralize cytokines, chemokines, their receptors, and functionally critical SARS-CoV-2 proteins has not yet been explored. Herein, we demonstrated that dexamethasone binds with high affinity to interlukin-1 (IL-1), IL-6, IL-8, IL-12, IL-21, INF2, TGFβ-1, INF-γ, CXCL8, some of the receptors, IL-1R, IL-21R, IFNGR, INFAR, IL-6αR-gp130, ST2 and the SARS-CoV-2 protein NSP macro X, and 3CLpro, forming stable drug–protein complexes. Our work implied that dexamethasone has the potential to directly neutralize inflammatory markers, further supporting its life-saving potential in patients with severe manifestations of COVID-19.

202 THE SILVER TRAUMA CLINIC—A MULTIDISCIPLINARY CLINIC FOR FRAIL OLDER PATIENTS FOLLOWING TRAUMATIC INJURY

Background

Increasing numbers of older individuals are presenting to Irish emergency departments following trauma. Advances in the care of chronic diseases have increased the number of older people with active lifestyles, predisposing them to injury. ‘Silver trauma’ has been a relatively neglected despite deficits of traditional trauma care for this vulnerable cohort.

The Silver trauma clinic was developed in conjunction with the Frailty Intervention Team, Geriatric services and HSCP service in May 2021. The goal of the clinic is to provide a comprehensive multidisciplinary management for frail older patients following non operative injuries.

Methods

Frail older patients discharged from the ED can be referred for short interval multidisciplinary trauma review.

A trauma tertiary survey is carried out by an emergency physician with specialist interest in geriatric trauma. Rapid access to imaging ensures timely definitive diagnosis. The service integrates virtually with specialist services, such as spinal orthopaedic services and musculoskeletal interventional radiology.

Physiotherapists initiate a tailored early rehabilitation plan. Consultant geriatrician and frailty ANP screen for complications of injury as well as bone health, falls risk and cognitive screening. The clinic integrates with existing outpatient and community services for older persons.

Results

The clinic has seen 30 patients since commencement in May 2021. Median patient age: 85. Injuries: 25% vertebral fractures, 30% limb fracture, 20% thoracic trauma, 30% pelvic trauma. Mean number assessments: 2. Disposition outcomes: Primary care 50%, Geriatric clinic 30%, Integrated Care Team 10%, specialist clinic 10%.

Conclusion

The Silver trauma clinic is a new approach of patient focused multidisciplinary trauma care for frail older patients following non operative trauma in the Irish health system.

European Society for Paediatric Oncology (SIOPE) MRI guidelines for imaging patients with central nervous system tumours

INTRODUCTION

Standardisation of imaging acquisition is essential in facilitating multicentre studies related to childhood CNS tumours. It is important to ensure that the imaging protocol can be adopted by centres with varying imaging capabilities without compromising image quality.

MATERIALS AND METHOD

An imaging protocol has been developed by the Brain Tumour Imaging Working Group of the European Society for Paediatric Oncology (SIOPE) based on consensus among its members, which consists of neuroradiologists, imaging scientists and paediatric neuro-oncologists. This protocol has been developed to facilitate SIOPE led studies and regularly reviewed by the imaging working group.

RESULTS

The protocol consists of essential MRI sequences with imaging parameters for 1.5 and 3 Tesla MRI scanners and a set of optional sequences that can be used in appropriate clinical settings. The protocol also provides guidelines for early post-operative imaging and surveillance imaging. The complementary use of multimodal advanced MRI including diffusion tensor imaging (DTI), MR spectroscopy and perfusion imaging is encouraged, and optional guidance is provided in this publication.

CONCLUSION

The SIOPE brain tumour imaging protocol will enable consistent imaging across multiple centres involved in paediatric CNS tumour studies.

Improving Cognitive Skills for People with Mental Illness to Increase Vocational and Psychosocial Outcomes: The Employ Your Mind Program

Cognitive impairments contribute to difficulty obtaining employment for people with severe mental illness (SMI). We describe an evaluation of a program, Employ Your Mind (EYM), which integrates cognitive remediation with vocational rehabilitation to improve cognitive skills and psychosocial outcomes relevant to employment. Participants with SMI were referred to WISE Employment and completed the six-month EYM program. Assessments of psychosocial functioning, cognition and vocational data were collected at baseline and completion, and additional vocational outcomes were collected at 12-month follow-up. Psychosocial functioning and cognition were compared pre- and post-EYM and vocational outcomes were compared for the year prior to EYM and for the 12-month follow-up for program completers. Thirty-two participants commenced the EYM program and 21 (65.6%) completed it. Completers reported significant improvements in mental wellbeing, quality of life and enhanced overall perceived working ability. Participants also demonstrated significantly enhanced speed of processing. Of the 15 participants who reported vocational outcomes, four (26.6%) were engaged in competitive paid employment in the year prior to EYM commencement and eight (53.3%) in the year following EYM commencement. The results indicate that EYM helps improve cognitive performance, psychosocial outcomes, and work readiness in people with SMI.

Role of autophagy-related protein in the prognosis of combined hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma after surgical resection

Background

Autophagy-related proteins may predict postresection overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with combined hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CC).

Methods

We prospectively investigated how these proteins affect clinical prognosis in 40 patients who underwent hepatectomy for cHCC-CC from 2011 to 2019 at a Taiwanese hospital. Levels of autophagy-related proteins, namely LC3, Beclin-1, and p62, were immunohistochemically assessed in patient tumor and non-tumor tissues.

Results

We noted that LC3 expression was significantly correlated with mild clinicopathological characteristics, including macrovascular invasion, lymph node metastasis, American Joint Committee on Cancer and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages, recurrence, and mortality. Ten patient showed tumor recurrence, and 15 patients died. Postresection 5-year OS and DFS rates were 43.7 and 57.4%, respectively. Cox regression analysis showed that high intratumoral LC3 expression was significantly associated with improved OS [hazard ratio (HR; 95% confidence interval (CI)): (1.68–26.9), p = 0.007], but multiple tumors and microvascular invasion was significantly correlated with poor OS [HR (95% CI): 0.03 (0.01–0.34), p = 0.004, and 0.07 (0.01–0.46), p = 0.006, respectively]. Furthermore, high LC3 expression and cirrhosis had improved DFS [HR (95% CI): 51.3 (2.85–922), p = 0.008, and 17.9 (1.05–306), p = 0.046, respectively]. The 5-year OS and DFS rates were respectively 61.2 and 74.6% in high LC3 expression patients and 0 and 0% in those with low LC3 expression.

Conclusion

High LC3 expression in tumors is significantly associated with mild clinicopathological characteristics and favorable clinical prognosis in patients with cHCC-CC after resection.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-08553-6.

Clinicopathological Association of Autophagy Related 5 Protein with Prognosis of Colorectal Cancer

Gene mutation and pathogenesis bacteria are highly associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) development and progression. Autophagy is a self-clearance pathway to degrade abnormal proteins and infected bacteria in cells. Autophagy plays a dual role in cancer development. Among the autophagy-related (ATG) proteins, ATG5 is the key component required for the core machinery of autophagy. However, the role of ATG5 in CRC malignancy remains unclear. Herein, we found that a high ATG5 protein level was correlated with poor overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) of 118 patients with CRC. After stratification with demographic and clinicopathologic factors, a high ATG5 protein level was significantly correlated with unfavorable overall survival in female and elder (>60 year) CRC patients and tumor tissues with poor differentiation, late T stages (III + IV), whereas the ATG5 protein level was positively associated with the overall survival in CRC patients without lymph node invasion and radiation therapy. In contrast, a high ATG5 protein level was significantly associated with worse DFS in CRC patients with early stage of AJCC and no radiation therapy. In addition, colorectal cancer cells stably harboring small interfering RNA (siRNA) against ATG5 diminished the tumorsphere formation and sensitized cancer cells to chemotherapeutic agents. Taken together, our results suggest that ATG5 might be a prognostic biomarker for CRC and a potential therapeutic target for CRC patients.

Tumor Susceptibility Gene 101 facilitates rapamycin-induced autophagic flux in neuron cells

Tumor Susceptibility Gene 101 (TSG101) is a member of endosomal sorting complexes responsible for endocytic pathway, which is associated with autophagic process. However, the role of TSG101 in autophagy remains unclear. To investigate the effect of TSG101 on the membrane-bound MAP1LC3-II, p62 and ubiquitinated protein levels in neuron cells, immunoblotting was used to evaluate the effects in cells silenced with siRNA against TSG101 and treated with autophagy inducer rapamycin. GFP-MAP1LC3 and tandem fluorescent-tagged LC3 (mTagRFP-mWasabi-MAP1LC3) reporter vectors were used to monitor autophagy in cells using confocal microcopy. The autophagic vacuoles were further validated with transmission electron microscopy. Our results showed that TSG101 expression was slightly increased in neuron cells when exposed to rapamycin. Depletion of TSG101 with siRNA lead to accumulation of MAP1LC3-II, GFP-MAP1LC3 puncta and autophagic vacuoles in the cells. Rapamycin-elevated MAP1LC3-II turnover and RFP⁺Wasabi^- puncta were repressed in TSG101 silenced cells, indicating that TSG101 is involved in rapamycin-induced autophagic flux in cells. Moreover, silencing TSG101 reduced colocalization of Rab7, MAP1LC3 and cell viability, increased p62, ubiquitinated proteins in the neuron cells. Taken together, our results suggested that TSG101 might be required for amphisome formation to promote autophagic flux in neuron cells when exposed to rapamycin.

Potential of endophytic fungi collected from Cucurbita pepo roots grown under three different agricultural mulches as antagonistic endophytes to Verticillium dahliae in western Washington

Verticillium dahliae is a significant pathogen in cucurbit cropping systems for which there are limited control options outside of soil fumigation. Endophytes, fungi and bacteria that live within plant hosts without impacting the host negatively, have exhibited antagonism to V. dahliae. The objectives of this study were to survey potential V. dahliae-antagonistic endophytes from roots of 'Cinnamon Girl' pumpkin (Cucurbita pepo) grown under either polyethylene (PE), an experimental polylactic acid/ poly(hydroxalkanoate) (PLA/PHA) mulch, Weed Guard Plus, or no mulch, as well as from 'Sugar Baby' watermelon (Citrullus lanatus), and 'Tetsukabuto' squash (C. maxima x C. moschata). Four selected endophytes were screened for antagonism against V. dahliae in the laboratory, greenhouse, and field. A total of 777 isolates of potential fungal endophytes were recovered from pumpkin, watermelon, and squash roots between 2015 and 2016 of which 198 isolates were identified down to the genus level. Of those isolates, frequency of isolation was greatest for Dichotomopilus/Chaetomium spp. (5%), Cladosporium spp. (15.2 %), Clonostachys spp. (5.6 %), Epicoccum spp. (22.2 %), and Fusarium spp. (24.7 %). All five genera only weakly associated with roots grown under a particular mulch treatment (Cramer's V = 0.22) or cucurbit host (Cramer's V = 0.1925). In a laboratory culture plate assay, V. dahliae isolate JAW-113 was plated against one of four prospective endophytes (Dichotomopilus sp., Epicoccum sp., Microdochium sp., or Schizothecium sp.). The area under the Verticillium culture growth curve (AUVGC) was significantly highest (P < 0.0001) when V. dahliae was by Schizothecium sp. or Dichotomopilus sp. In a greenhouse study using a Mason jar assay with V. dahliae amended potting mix, pumpkin plant vigor, plant fresh weight, root fresh weight, and root dry weight were significantly higher (P < 0.05) for plants inoculated with Dichotomopilus sp., Epicoccum sp., Microdochium sp., and Schizothecium sp. compared to plants without endophyte inoculation. Subsequent field trials in 2017 and 2018 showed no significant differences in foliar disease severity or fruit yield, regardless of whether plants were inoculated with an endophyte or not. However, recovery of V. dahliae colony forming units from pumpkin stem sap was significantly lower (P < 0.0001) for plants inoculated with either Dichotomopilus sp. or Schizothecium sp. in 2017 or Dichotomopilus sp. in 2018.

Improving the Accuracy of Predicted Human Pharmacokinetics: Lessons Learned from the AstraZeneca Drug Pipeline Over Two Decades

During drug discovery and prior to the first human dose of a novel candidate drug, the pharmacokinetic (PK) behavior of the drug in humans is predicted from preclinical data. This helps to inform the likelihood of achieving therapeutic exposures in early clinical development. Once clinical data are available, the observed human PK are compared with predictions, providing an opportunity to assess and refine prediction methods. Application of best practice in experimental data generation and predictive methodologies, and a focus on robust mechanistic understanding of the candidate drug disposition properties before nomination to clinical development, have led to maximizing the probability of successful PK predictions so that 83% of AstraZeneca drug development projects progress in the clinic with no PK issues; and 71% of key PK parameter predictions [64% of area under the curve (AUC) predictions; 78% of maximum concentration (C_max) predictions; and 70% of half-life predictions] are accurate to within twofold. Here, we discuss methods to predict human PK used by AstraZeneca, how these predictions are assessed and what can be learned from evaluating the predictions for 116 candidate drugs.

Reciprocal effects of reading and mathematics? Beyond the cross-lagged panel model

Prior nonexperimental studies have been used to conclude that children's reading and mathematics achievement bidirectionally influence each other over time, with strong paths from (a) early reading to later mathematics and (b) early mathematics to later reading. In the most influential study on the topic, the early math-to-later-reading path was reported to be stronger than the early reading-to-later-math path (Duncan et al., 2007). Yet prior estimates may be confounded by stable environmental and personal factors influencing both reading and mathematics achievement. We reexamined the bidirectional relations between reading and mathematics achievement using both traditional models and extensions intended to account for unmeasured confounding. Results based on a large nationally representative sample of children from kindergarten to 3rd grade (N = 9,612) indicated that the estimated effects between reading and mathematics achievement differ substantially after accounting for the confounding effects of stable unmeasured factors. In these models, autoregressive and cross-lagged paths were substantially reduced. The finding that early mathematics predicts later reading more strongly than early reading predicts later math disappears and sometimes reverses, suggesting that larger paths from math to reading than from reading to math in previous related analyses are not causally informative. Stability in early mathematics and reading achievement resulted from substantially overlapping time invariant factors that correlate above .90. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2020 APA, all rights reserved).

Predicting Drug-Induced Liver Injury with Bayesian Machine Learning

Drug induced liver injury (DILI) can require significant risk management in drug development and on occasion can cause morbidity or mortality, leading to drug attrition. Optimizing candidates preclinically can minimize hepatotoxicity risk, but it is difficult to predict due to multiple etiologies encompassing DILI, often with multifactorial and overlapping mechanisms. In addition to epidemiological risk factors, physicochemical properties, dose, disposition, lipophilicity, and hepatic metabolic function are also relevant for DILI risk. Better human-relevant, predictive models are required to improve hepatotoxicity risk assessment in drug discovery. Our hypothesis is that integrating mechanistically relevant hepatic safety assays with Bayesian machine learning will improve hepatic safety risk prediction. We present a quantitative and mechanistic risk assessment for candidate nomination using data from in vitro assays (hepatic spheroids, BSEP, mitochondrial toxicity, and bioactivation), together with physicochemical (cLogP) and exposure (Cmax_total) variables from a chemically diverse compound set (33 no/low-, 40 medium-, and 23 high-severity DILI compounds). The Bayesian model predicts the continuous underlying DILI severity and uses a data-driven prior distribution over the parameters to prevent overfitting. The model quantifies the probability that a compound falls into either no/low-, medium-, or high-severity categories, with a balanced accuracy of 63% on held-out samples, and a continuous prediction of DILI severity along with uncertainty in the prediction. For a binary yes/no DILI prediction, the model has a balanced accuracy of 86%, a sensitivity of 87%, a specificity of 85%, a positive predictive value of 92%, and a negative predictive value of 78%. Combining physiologically relevant assays, improved alignment with FDA recommendations, and optimal statistical integration of assay data leads to improved DILI risk prediction.

Enhancing care of patients requiring a tracheostomy: A sustained quality improvement project

INTRODUCTION

Within the UK approximately 5000 surgical and 12,000 percutaneous tracheostomies are performed annually. Whilst an essential component of patient care, the presence of a tracheostomy is not without concern. Landmark papers have demonstrated recurrent themes related to the provision of training, staff and equipment, leading to avoidable patient harm, life-altering morbidity and mortality. The development of the Global Tracheostomy Collaborative (GTC) and the Improving Tracheostomy Care (ITC) project have provided the necessary infrastructure to make improvements, with individual organizations responsible for its implementation.

METHOD

This quality improvement project, funded by the NHS Wales Critical Care and Trauma Network, developed a dedicated tracheostomy team to improve the quality of care provided to those patients requiring a tracheostomy through staff education, equipment standardisation and multidisciplinary tracheostomy ward rounds. Global Tracheostomy membership was funded through involvement in the ITC project.

RESULTS

Formal tracheostomy teaching was delivered by the tracheostomy team to 165 clinicians involved in tracheostomy care. Improvements in self-assessed confidence with knowledge and were observed for all aspects of tracheostomy care. Standardisation and centralisation resulted in reduction in waste and unnecessary variation. Compliance with 'emergency tracheostomy blue box' availability with an increase from 5% to 100%. Comparison of data from the QI period against baseline data, demonstrated improvement in rates of decannulation, and non-significant improvements in time to decannulation, critical care and hospital length of stay. Additionally, there were associated reductions in adverse events.

CONCLUSION

This QI project, supported by involvement with the GTC and ITC, resulted in reductions in adverse events, improved patient safety, non-significant reduction in time to achieve weaning milestones and a reduction in hospital length of stay.

Red-flag sepsis and SOFA identifies different patient population at risk of sepsis-related deaths on the general ward

Controversy exists regarding the best diagnostic and screening tool for sepsis outside the intensive care unit (ICU). Sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score has been shown to be superior to systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria, however, the performance of "Red Flag sepsis criteria" has not been tested formally.The aim of the study was to investigate the ability of Red Flag sepsis criteria to identify the patients at high risk of sepsis-related death in comparison to SOFA based sepsis criteria. We also investigated the comparison of Red Flag sepsis to quick SOFA (qSOFA), SIRS, and national early warning score (NEWS) scores and factors influencing patient mortality.Patients were recruited into a 24-hour point-prevalence study on the general wards and emergency departments across all Welsh acute hospitals. Inclusion criteria were: clinical suspicion of infection and NEWS 3 or above in-line with established escalation criteria in Wales. Data on Red Flag sepsis and SOFA criteria was collected together with qSOFA and SIRS scores and 90-day mortality.459 patients were recruited over a 24-hour period. 246 were positive for Red Flag sepsis, mortality 33.7% (83/246); 241 for SOFA based sepsis criteria, mortality 39.4% (95/241); 54 for qSOFA, mortality 57.4% (31/54), and 268 for SIRS, mortality 33.6% (90/268). 55 patients were not picked up by any criteria. We found that older age was associated with death with OR (95% CI) of 1.03 (1.02-1.04); higher frailty score 1.24 (1.11-1.40); DNA-CPR order 1.74 (1.14-2.65); ceiling of care 1.55 (1.02-2.33); and SOFA score of 2 and above 1.69 (1.16-2.47).The different clinical tools captured different subsets of the at-risk population, with similar sensitivity. SOFA score 2 or above was independently associated with increased risk of death at 90 days. The sequalae of infection-related organ dysfunction cannot be reliably captured based on routine clinical and physiological parameters alone.