Genomic prediction and association mapping of maize grain yield in multi-environment trials based on reaction norm models

Genotype-by-environment interaction (GEI) is among the greatest challenges for maize breeding programs. Strong GEI limits both the prediction of genotype performance across variable environmental conditions and the identification of genomic regions associated with grain yield. Incorporating GEI into yield prediction models has been shown to improve prediction accuracy of yield; nevertheless, more work is needed to further understand this complex interaction across populations and environments. The main objectives of this study were to: 1) assess GEI in maize grain yield based on reaction norm models and predict hybrid performance across a gradient of environmental (EG) conditions and 2) perform a genome-wide association study (GWAS) and post-GWAS analyses for maize grain yield using data from 2014 to 2017 of the Genomes to Fields initiative hybrid trial. After quality control, 2,126 hybrids with genotypic and phenotypic data were assessed across 86 environments representing combinations of locations and years, although not all hybrids were evaluated in all environments. Heritability was greater in higher-yielding environments due to an increase in genetic variability in these environments in comparison to the low-yielding environments. GWAS was carried out for yield and five single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with the highest magnitude of effect were selected in each environment for follow-up analyses. Many candidate genes in proximity of selected SNPs have been previously reported with roles in stress response. Genomic prediction was performed to assess prediction accuracy of previously tested or untested hybrids in environments from a new growing season. Prediction accuracy was 0.34 for cross validation across years (CV0-Predicted EG) and 0.21 for cross validation across years with only untested hybrids (CV00-Predicted EG) when compared to Best Linear Unbiased Prediction (BLUPs) that did not utilize genotypic or environmental relationships. Prediction accuracy improved to 0.80 (CV0-Predicted EG) and 0.60 (CV00-Predicted EG) when compared to the whole-dataset model that used the genomic relationships and the environmental gradient of all environments in the study. These results identify regions of the genome for future selection to improve yield and a methodology to increase the number of hybrids evaluated across locations of a multi-environment trial through genomic prediction.

Row selection in remote sensing from four-row plots of maize and sorghum based on repeatability and predictive modeling

Remote sensing enables the rapid assessment of many traits that provide valuable information to plant breeders throughout the growing season to improve genetic gain. These traits are often extracted from remote sensing data on a row segment (rows within a plot) basis enabling the quantitative assessment of any row-wise subset of plants in a plot, rather than a few individual representative plants, as is commonly done in field-based phenotyping. Nevertheless, which rows to include in analysis is still a matter of debate. The objective of this experiment was to evaluate row selection and plot trimming in field trials conducted using four-row plots with remote sensing traits extracted from RGB (red-green-blue), LiDAR (light detection and ranging), and VNIR (visible near infrared) hyperspectral data. Uncrewed aerial vehicle flights were conducted throughout the growing seasons of 2018 to 2021 with data collected on three years of a sorghum experiment and two years of a maize experiment. Traits were extracted from each plot based on all four row segments (RS) (RS1234), inner rows (RS23), outer rows (RS14), and individual rows (RS1, RS2, RS3, and RS4). Plot end trimming of 40 cm was an additional factor tested. Repeatability and predictive modeling of end-season yield were used to evaluate performance of these methodologies. Plot trimming was never shown to result in significantly different outcomes from non-trimmed plots. Significant differences were often observed based on differences in row selection. Plots with more row segments were often favorable for increasing repeatability, and excluding outer rows improved predictive modeling. These results support long-standing principles of experimental design in agronomy and should be considered in breeding programs that incorporate remote sensing.

Heterotic Patterns of Temperate and Tropical Maize by Ear Photometry

As the plant variety protection (PVP) of commercial inbred lines expire, public breeding programs gain a wealth of genetic materials that have undergone many years of intense selection; however, the value of these inbred lines is only fully realized when they have been well characterized and are used in hybrid combinations. Additionally, while yield is the primary trait by which hybrids are evaluated, new phenotyping technologies, such as ear photometry (EP), may provide an assessment of yield components that can be scaled to breeding programs. The objective of this experiment was to use EP to describe the testcross performance of inbred lines from temperate and tropical origins. We evaluated the performance of 298 public and ex-PVP inbred lines and 274 Drought Tolerant Maize for Africa (DTMA) inbred lines when crossed to Iodent (PHP02) and/or Stiff Stalk (2FACC) testers for 25 yield-related traits. Kernel weight, kernels per ear, and grain yield predicted by EP were correlated with their reference traits with r = 0.49, r = 0.88, and r = 0.75, respectively. The testcross performance of each maize inbred line was tester dependent. When lines were crossed to a tester within the heterotic group, many yield components related to ear size and kernels per ear were significantly reduced, but kernel size was rarely impacted. Thus, the effect of heterosis was more noticeable on traits that increased kernels per ear rather than kernel size. Hybrids of DTMA inbred lines crossed to PHP02 exhibited phenotypes similar to testcrosses of Stiff Stalk and Non-Stiff Stalk heterotic groups for yield due to significant increases in kernel size to compensate for a reduction in kernels per ear. Kernels per ear and ear length were correlated (r = 0.89 and r = 0.84, respectively) with and more heritable than yield, suggesting these traits could be useful for inbred selection.