Proportion of Time Covered by Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance in Patients With Cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is associated with improved early tumor detection, but effectiveness is limited by underuse. We characterized adherence to HCC surveillance using proportion of time covered (PTC) and estimated its association with clinical outcomes among patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with HCC between January 2008 and December 2022 at 2 large US health systems. We characterized PTC by imaging in the 12 and 24 months before HCC diagnosis. We used multivariable logistic and Cox regression analyses to assess the association between PTC and early HCC detection, receipt of curative treatment, and overall survival.

RESULTS

Among 2,027 patients with HCC, 331 (51.4% Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer 0/A) had been followed up for at least 12 months before diagnosis. The median PTC was 24.9% (interquartile range 1.1%-50.7%), with only 16.0% having semiannual imaging and 42.0% having annual surveillance. Semiannual and annual surveillance decreased to 6.3% and 29.6% when assessed over 24 months, although the median PTC remained unchanged at 24.9%. Receipt of gastroenterology/hepatology care had the strongest association with PTC, with median PTC of 36.7% and 3.8% for those with and without gastroenterology/hepatology care, respectively. PTC was independently associated with improved early HCC detection, curative treatment receipt, and overall survival. The median survival was 15.7, 26.8, and 32.7 months among those with PTC of <25% (n = 168 patients), PTC 25%-50% (n = 69 patients), and PTC >50% (n = 94 patients), respectively.

DISCUSSION

The proportion of time covered by HCC surveillance in patients with cirrhosis remains low, highlighting a need for multilevel interventions.

Financial Burden of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Screening in Patients With Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

The overall value of hepatocellular carcinoma screening is defined by the balance of benefits and harms. Studies have only reported physical harms with none describing financial harms.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter pragmatic randomized clinical trial of hepatocellular carcinoma screening outreach among 2872 patients with cirrhosis from March 2018 to April 2021. Patients with positive or indeterminate results and matched patients with negative results completed surveys at baseline and at follow-up measuring financial harms via Cancer Self-Administered Questionnaire and financial burden via Comprehensive Score for Financial Toxicity Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy. Univariable and multivariable longitudinal regression analyses were performed to compare changes in financial harms across groups: true positive, true negative, false positive, and indeterminate. Semistructured interviews were conducted in a subset of patients, sampled by center and test result.

RESULTS

Of 311 patients who completed at least 1 follow-up survey (75% response rate), 37 had true positive, 133 true negative, 64 false positive, and 77 indeterminate results. Financial harms increased in true positive and false positive patients with no significant changes noted among those with true negative or indeterminate results. At follow-up, 21.8% of patients reported moderate-severe financial burden, which was not significantly associated with test results. Semistructured interviews revealed variation in the frequency and severity of financial harms based on test results, with increased harm in those with false positive results.

CONCLUSIONS

Financial harms of hepatocellular carcinoma screening vary by test result and can pose a barrier that must be considered when determining the optimal screening program.

Hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance may be associated with potential psychological harms in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The value of HCC surveillance is determined by the balance between benefits and harms; however, no studies have enumerated psychological harms.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We fielded surveys measuring psychological harms to patients with cirrhosis in a multicenter randomized trial of HCC surveillance outreach. All patients with positive or indeterminate surveillance results and matched patients with negative results were invited to complete surveys measuring (1) depression through the Patient Health Questionnaire-ninth version, (2) anxiety through State-Trait Anxiety Inventory, (3) HCC-specific worry through Psychological Consequences Questionnaire, and (4) decisional regret. Patients were classified into 4 groups: true positive (TP), false positive (FP), indeterminate, and true negative (TN). Multivariable longitudinal regression analysis using the generalized estimating equation method was performed to compare the means of measures across groups. We conducted 89 semistructured interviews in a subset of patients stratified by health system and test results. Of 2872 patients in the trial, 311 completed 1+ follow-up survey (63 FP, 77 indeterminate, 38 TP, and 133 TN). Moderate depression decreased in TN patients, increased in TP, and had intermittent but mild increases in those with FP and indeterminate results. High anxiety temporarily increased in patients with TP results but resolved over time and was stable in those with FP and indeterminate results. Decisional regret was low and did not differ across groups. In semistructured interviews, patients reported apprehension, anxiety, emotional distress, and coping related to HCC surveillance.

CONCLUSIONS

Psychological harms of HCC surveillance appear mild but differ by test result. Future research should determine the impact of psychological harms on the value of HCC surveillance programs.

Post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 and longitudinal antibody levels in a community-based cohort

BACKGROUND

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection invokes variable immune responses and poses a risk of post-acute sequelae SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC) symptoms; however, most data on natural history are derived from patients with severe infection. Further data are needed among patients with mild infection, who comprise most cases.

METHODS

The Dallas Fort-Worth (DFW) COVID-19 Prevalence Study included 21,597 community-dwelling adults (ages 18-89) who underwent COVID-19 PCR and anti-nucleocapsid antibody testing between July 2020 and March 2021. We invited participants with positive COVID-19 results (cases) and a subset with negative results (controls), matched on age, sex, race/ethnicity, and ZIP code, to complete a follow-up questionnaire for PASC symptoms and repeat anti-nucleocapsid testing, and anti-spike antibody testing between July and December 2021.

RESULTS

Of 3,917 adults invited to participate, 2260 (57.7%) completed the questionnaire- 1150 cases and 1110 controls. Persistent symptoms were reported in 21.1% of cases, with the most common being shortness of breath, fatigue, and loss of taste or smell. Among 292 cases with asymptomatic infection, >15% reported new fatigue and 8-10% reported new loss of taste/smell, myalgias, or headache. Median anti-nucleocapsid levels in cases decreased from 3.5U to 0.7U over a median follow-up of 8.6 months. Anti-spike antibody levels at 6-7 months post-vaccination in cases were similar to that of controls.

CONCLUSIONS

More than 1 in 5 patients with COVID-19 infection, including those with mild infection, reported persistent symptoms during follow-up. Both nucleocapsid and spike protein antibody levels decreased within six months following a COVID-19 infection and vaccination.

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Barriers to Care in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of death in patients with cirrhosis and has a rising mortality rate in the United States.1 Racial and ethnic minorities experience a disproportionate burden of HCC, including higher incidence rates, more late-stage diagnoses, and worse survival.2,3 These disparities are complex in nature and can be attributed to many proximal, intermediate, and distal determinants, such as health literacy and behaviors, social support, social needs, social determinants of health, and access to health care.4 Prior studies have identified racial and ethnic differences in clinical factors, including receipt of HCC surveillance and tumor stage5; however, few studies have examined differences in patient-reported barriers that may partly explain observed disparities. Understanding these data is essential to inform interventions to address and mitigate disparities. Therefore, we described patient-reported barriers to medical care and examined differences in barriers by race and ethnicity in a large, diverse population of patients newly diagnosed with HCC.

Recall patterns and risk of primary liver cancer for subcentimeter ultrasound liver observations: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Patients with cirrhosis and subcentimeter lesions on liver ultrasound are recommended to undergo short-interval follow-up ultrasound because of the presumed low risk of primary liver cancer (PLC).

AIMS

The aim of this study is to characterize recall patterns and risk of PLC in patients with subcentimeter liver lesions on ultrasound.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study among patients with cirrhosis or chronic hepatitis B infection who had subcentimeter ultrasound lesions between January 2017 and December 2019. We excluded patients with a history of PLC or concomitant lesions ≥1 cm in diameter. We used Kaplan Meier and multivariable Cox regression analyses to characterize time-to-PLC and factors associated with PLC, respectively.

RESULTS

Of 746 eligible patients, most (66.0%) had a single observation, and the median diameter was 0.7 cm (interquartile range: 0.5-0.8 cm). Recall strategies varied, with only 27.8% of patients undergoing guideline-concordant ultrasound within 3-6 months. Over a median follow-up of 26 months, 42 patients developed PLC (39 HCC and 3 cholangiocarcinoma), yielding an incidence of 25.7 cases (95% CI, 6.2-47.0) per 1000 person-years, with 3.9% and 6.7% developing PLC at 2 and 3 years, respectively. Factors associated with time-to-PLC were baseline alpha-fetoprotein >10 ng/mL (HR: 4.01, 95% CI, 1.85-8.71), platelet count ≤150 (HR: 4.90, 95% CI, 1.95-12.28), and Child-Pugh B cirrhosis (vs. Child-Pugh A: HR: 2.54, 95% CI, 1.27-5.08).

CONCLUSIONS

Recall patterns for patients with subcentimeter liver lesions on ultrasound varied widely. The low risk of PLC in these patients supports short-interval ultrasound in 3-6 months, although diagnostic CT/MRI may be warranted for high-risk subgroups such as those with elevated alpha-fetoprotein levels.

Population-based correlates of COVID-19 infection: An analysis from the DFW COVID-19 prevalence study

BACKGROUND

COVID-19 has resulted in over 1 million deaths in the U.S. as of June 2022, with continued surges after vaccine availability. Information on related attitudes and behaviors are needed to inform public health strategies. We aimed to estimate the prevalence of COVID-19, risk factors of infection, and related attitudes and behaviors in a racially, ethnically, and socioeconomically diverse urban population.

METHODS

The DFW COVID-19 Prevalence Study Protocol 1 was conducted from July 2020 to March 2021 on a randomly selected sample of adults aged 18-89 years, living in Dallas or Tarrant Counties, Texas. Participants were asked to complete a 15-minute questionnaire and COVID-19 PCR and antibody testing. COVID-19 prevalence estimates were calculated with survey-weighted data.

RESULTS

Of 2969 adults who completed the questionnaire (7.4% weighted response), 1772 (53.9% weighted) completed COVID-19 testing. Overall, 11.5% of adults had evidence of COVID-19 infection, with a higher prevalence among Hispanic and non-Hispanic Black persons, essential workers, those in low-income neighborhoods, and those with lower education attainment compared to their counterparts. We observed differences in attitudes and behaviors by race and ethnicity, with non-Hispanic White persons being less likely to believe in the importance of mask wearing, and racial and ethnic minorities more likely to attend social gatherings.

CONCLUSION

Over 10% of an urban population was infected with COVID-19 early during the pandemic. Differences in attitudes and behaviors likely contribute to sociodemographic disparities in COVID-19 prevalence.

Clinical Outcomes of Patients with Suspicious (LI-RADS 4) Liver Observations

Hepatocellular cancer (HCC) surveillance is associated with increased curative treatment and improved survival, underscoring its importance in patients with cirrhosis.¹ Surveillance is 1 step in a larger HCC screening continuum, and those with abnormal screening results must undergo diagnostic evaluation with multiphase computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).² The Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) classifies liver observations in at-risk patients based on risk of malignancy and HCC, with LR-5 observations having a positive predictive value exceeding 95% for HCC. However, indeterminate liver nodules (ie, LR-3 or LR-4) are commonly observed in clinical practice, associated with heterogenous HCC risk, and have large variations in practice management.^3,4 We previously reported the natural history of LR-3 observations in a multicenter cohort of patients with cirrhosis, demonstrating a high annual incidence for HCC development of 8.4 cases per 100 person-years;⁵ however, the natural history of LR-4 observations remains uncertain. Herein, we aimed to characterize clinical outcomes in patients with LR-4 observations in a multicenter cohort.

Association between ultrasound quality and test performance for HCC surveillance in patients with cirrhosis: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Ultrasound visualisation is limited in approximately 20% of patients with cirrhosis undergoing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance; however, it is unknown if impaired visualisation directly impacts test performance. We aimed to evaluate the association between ultrasound visualisation and surveillance test performance.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study among patients with cirrhosis, with or without HCC, who underwent ultrasound-based surveillance at two large health systems between July 2016 and July 2019. Ultrasound visualisation assessment was recorded by interpreting radiologists using the ultrasound LI-RADS Visualisation score. We performed logistic regression analyses to evaluate the association between ultrasound visualisation and diagnostic test performance. We assessed sensitivity for HCC detection among ultrasounds performed in the year prior to HCC diagnoses and specificity using ultrasounds in those without HCC.

RESULTS

Among 186 patients with HCC, severely limited visualisation (Vis Score C) on ultrasound prior to HCC diagnosis was associated with increased odds of false-negative results, that is lower sensitivity (OR 7.94, 95% CI 1.23-51.16) in multivariable analysis. Ultrasound sensitivity with visualisation scores A or B exceeded 75%, compared to only 27.3% with visualisation score C. Among 2052 cirrhosis patients without HCC, moderate visualisation limitations (Vis score B) were associated with increased odds of false-positive results (OR 1.60, 1.13-2.27), although specificity exceeded 95% across all visualisation scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Impaired ultrasound visualisation is associated with worse surveillance test performance. Alternative blood-based biomarkers and imaging strategies are needed for patients at risk for ultrasound-based surveillance failure.

Colorectal Cancer Screening and Yield in a Mailed Outreach Program in a Safety-Net Healthcare System

BACKGROUND

Screening with fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) reduces colorectal cancer mortality; however, screening remains low in underserved populations. Mailed outreach, including an invitation letter, FIT, and test instructions, is an evidence-based strategy to improve screening.

AIMS

To examine screening completion and yield in a mailed outreach program in a safety-net healthcare system.

METHODS

We identified and mailed outreach invitations to patients due for screening in a large safety-net system between September 1, 2018, and August 31, 2019. We examined: (1) screening completion, the proportion of patients completing FIT or screening colonoscopy within 6 months of the mailed invitation; and (2) timely diagnostic colonoscopy, the proportion of patients completing colonoscopy within 6 months of positive FIT.

RESULTS

We mailed 14,879 invitations to 13,190 patients. Nearly half (n = 6098, 46.2%) of patients completed screening: 4,896 (80.3%) completed FIT through mailed outreach; 1,114 (18.3%) FIT through usual care; and 88 (1.4%) screening colonoscopy through usual care. Of patients with a positive FIT (n = 289), 50.5% completed diagnostic colonoscopy within 6 months, 10.7% within 6-12 months, and 4.8% after 12 months. A total of 8 cancers and 83 advanced adenomas were detected in the 191 patients completing diagnostic colonoscopy.

CONCLUSION

After implementing and scaling up mailed outreach in a safety-net system, about half of patients completed screening, and the majority did so through mailed outreach. However, many patients failed to complete diagnostic colonoscopy after positive FIT. Results highlight the importance of adapting mailed outreach programs to local contexts and constraints of healthcare systems, in order to support efforts to improve CRC screening in underserved populations.

Emergency room presentation of lung cancer as a highly practical prognostic marker for consideration in clinical trials: A SEER database analysis

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Background: Multiple factors influencing lung cancer prognosis could be used for stratification in randomized intervention trials which are either observer-dependent (performance status) or poorly available (education/comorbidity index). In this study we explored the independence of ER presentation of lung cancer (an objective variable) as a prognostic factor. Methods: We performed a study using patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare linked database, aged 66 years or older and diagnosed with lung cancer between 2007 and 2015. ER presentation was defined as ER visit ≤30 days prior to the earliest diagnostic procedure. Factors associated with ER versus non-ER presentation and the impact of ER presentation on overall survival (OS) and Cancer specific survival (CSS) were assessed. Results: Between 2007 and 2015, a total of 75,798 lung cancer patients met study criteria. 37% of small cell lung cancer (SCLC) and 28% non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients had ER presentation. For both histologies, in univariate Chi-Square analysis ER presentation was affected (p < 0.05) by sex, race, marital status, census tract poverty and education levels, number of comorbidities, geographic region, and cancer stage, but not by age (except with NSCLC) or rural/urban commute. Multivariable Logistic Regression showed that for both histologies, stage IV, Black or Hispanic race/ethnicity, East or mid-West region, ≥2 comorbidities, unmarried, and tract poverty level ≥ median were independent risk factors associated with ER presentation (odds ratio > 1). For NSCLC, year of diagnosis ≥2009, female, age ≥75, South region, tract education level > median; for SCLC, year of diagnosis ≥2012 and age 70-74 were also significantly associated with ER-presentation. ER versus non-ER presentation was associated with lower 1-yr OS in NSCLC (43% vs 61% HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.68, 1.77; p < 0.0001) and SCLC (33% vs 43% HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.25, 1.40; p < 0.0001). After adjusting for histology, year of diagnosis, age, sex, race, marital status, region, poverty level, education level, number of comorbidities, and stage in a multivariable Cox model, ER presentation remained an independent poor prognostic marker (HR for OS 1.34, 95% CI 1.31, 1.37; p < 0.0001; HR for CSS 1.32, 95% CI 1.29, 1.36; p < 0.0001). Conclusions: ER presentation of lung cancer is an independent, objective, highly practical poor prognostic risk factor which should be considered for patient stratification and data analyses within interventional clinical trials.