GCC expression in lymph nodes (LNs) as a significant determinant of recurrence in stage II colon cancer (CC) patients (pts)

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Background: A multi-center prospectively specified retrospective study Validating Indicators to Associate Recurrence (VITAR) is assessing the relationship between guanylyl cyclase C (GCC) gene expression in formalin fixed LNs and recurrence risk in stage II CC pts not treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. Here we report the preplanned initial analysis performed with 241 pts.

Methods: GCC mRNA was quantified by RT-qPCR using FFPE LNs tissues from untreated stage II CC pts diagnosed from 1999-2006 with at least 10 LN examined blinded to clinical outcomes. Cox regression models examined the relationship between GCC nodal status and the prespecified primary endpoint of recurrence risk.

Results: Twenty-ninepts (12%) had a disease recurrence or cancer death, median follow-up was 60 months and median LNs examined was 15. The ratio of the number of GCC+ LNs over the total number of informative LNs (LNR) significantly predicted higher recurrence risk for 84 pts classified as high risk (HR, 2.38; p=0.02). The estimated 5-yr recurrence rates were 10% and 27% for the low and high risk group, respectively. After adjusting for age, T stage, number of LNs assessed, and MMR status, the significant association remained (HR, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.17-5.83; p=0.02). In a subset of 181 pts with negative margin, T3 tumor only and ≥12 LN examined, the GCC LNR had a HR for recurrence of 5.06 (95% CI 1.61-15.91, p=0.003), translating into 5-yr recurrence rates of 4% among low risk pts and 27% for the high-risk group.

Conclusions: Our results suggest that GCC expression in LNs is a significant determinant of recurrence in appropriately staged CC pts not treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. The validation component of the study is ongoing.

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