Natural disease course modeling of achondroplasia to evaluate the efficacy of recifercept in the absence of a placebo control arm in phase II study

While randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blinded clinical studies are the gold standard for evaluating the efficacy of investigational drugs, the use of placebo in children with achondroplasia should be limited because it provides no clinical benefit while exhausting study participants' treatment window. Recifercept is an investigational drug for treating children with achondroplasia aged 2-10 years. An alternative efficacy evaluation method, instead of a placebo control arm, was employed in the phase II study. Prior to participating in the phase II study, participants completed a natural history (NH) study. Based on the NH data, a multi-variate linear mixed effects natural disease course model of three anthropometric end points (standing height, sitting height, and arm span) was developed. The model was validated using published growth charts of children with achondroplasia. Subsequently, the model was used to simulate the natural growth trajectories (without any treatment) of the three anthropometric end points for the individuals enrolled in the phase II study. To quantify the efficacy of recifercept, the simulations were compared with the observations post-recifercept treatment in the phase II study. For all the tested doses of recifercept, at the individual level, the observations were comparable to the simulations at 6 and 12 months post-recifercept treatment, suggesting no treatment effect. The results contributed to the decision of terminating recifercept clinical development. This work delivers a framework that could eliminate the need for placebo in clinical trials yet provide sufficient evidence for evaluating the efficacy of an investigational drug.

End-to-end application of model-informed drug development for ertugliflozin, a novel sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor

Model-informed drug development (MIDD) is critical in all stages of the drug-development process and almost all regulatory submissions for new agents incorporate some form of modeling and simulation. This review describes the MIDD approaches used in the end-to-end development of ertugliflozin, a sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor approved for the treatment of adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Approaches included (1) quantitative systems pharmacology modeling to predict dose-response relationships, (2) dose-response modeling and model-based meta-analysis for dose selection and efficacy comparisons, (3) population pharmacokinetics (PKs) modeling to characterize PKs and quantify population variability in PK parameters, (4) regression modeling to evaluate ertugliflozin dose-proportionality and the impact of uridine 5'-diphospho-glucuronosyltransferase (UGT) 1A9 genotype on ertugliflozin PKs, and (5) physiologically-based PK modeling to assess the risk of UGT-mediated drug-drug interactions. These end-to-end MIDD approaches for ertugliflozin facilitated decision making, resulted in time/cost savings, and supported registration and labeling.

Effect of Food on the Pharmacokinetics of Ertugliflozin and Its Fixed-Dose Combinations Ertugliflozin/Sitagliptin and Ertugliflozin/Metformin

Ertugliflozin, an inhibitor of sodium‐glucose cotransporter 2, is approved in the United States and European Union for the treatment of type 2 diabetes in adults, both as monotherapy and as part of fixed‐dose combination (FDC) therapies with either sitagliptin or immediate‐release metformin. The effect of a standard, high‐fat breakfast on the pharmacokinetics of the highest strengths of ertugliflozin monotherapy (15 mg), ertugliflozin/sitagliptin FDC (15‐/100‐mg), and ertugliflozin/metformin FDC (7.5‐/1000‐mg) tablets was evaluated. In 3 separate open‐label, 2‐period, 2‐sequence, single‐dose, crossover studies, 14 healthy subjects per study were randomized to receive either ertugliflozin monotherapy or FDC tablets comprising ertugliflozin and sitagliptin or ertugliflozin and metformin under fasted and fed (or vice versa) conditions. Food did not meaningfully affect the pharmacokinetics of ertugliflozin, sitagliptin, or metformin. For FDCs, the effect of food was consistent with that described for individual components. All treatments were well tolerated. Ertugliflozin and ertugliflozin/sitagliptin FDC tablets can be administered without regard to meals. As metformin is administered with meals because of its gastrointestinal side effects, the ertugliflozin/metformin FDC should also be administered with meals.