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Demichev V, Tober-Lau P, Nazarenko T, Lemke O, Kaur Aulakh S, Whitwell HJ, Röhl A, Freiwald A, Mittermaier M, Szyrwiel L, Ludwig D, Correia-Melo C, Lippert LJ, Helbig ET, Stubbemann P, Olk N, Thibeault C, Grüning NM, Blyuss O, Vernardis S, White M, Messner CB, Joannidis M, Sonnweber T, Klein SJ, Pizzini A, Wohlfarter Y, Sahanic S, Hilbe R, Schaefer B, Wagner S, Machleidt F, Garcia C, Ruwwe-Glösenkamp C, Lingscheid T, Bosquillon de Jarcy L, Stegemann MS, Pfeiffer M, Jürgens L, Denker S, Zickler D, Spies C, Edel A, Müller NB, Enghard P, Zelezniak A, Bellmann-Weiler R, Weiss G, Campbell A, Hayward C, Porteous DJ, Marioni RE, Uhrig A, Zoller H, Löffler-Ragg J, Keller MA, Tancevski I, Timms JF, Zaikin A, Hippenstiel S, Ramharter M, Müller-Redetzky H, Witzenrath M, Suttorp N, Lilley K, Mülleder M, Sander LE, Kurth F, Ralser M. A proteomic survival predictor for COVID-19 patients in intensive care. PLOS Digit Health 2022; 1:e0000007. [PMID: 36812516 PMCID: PMC9931303 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2021] [Accepted: 11/18/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
Global healthcare systems are challenged by the COVID-19 pandemic. There is a need to optimize allocation of treatment and resources in intensive care, as clinically established risk assessments such as SOFA and APACHE II scores show only limited performance for predicting the survival of severely ill COVID-19 patients. Additional tools are also needed to monitor treatment, including experimental therapies in clinical trials. Comprehensively capturing human physiology, we speculated that proteomics in combination with new data-driven analysis strategies could produce a new generation of prognostic discriminators. We studied two independent cohorts of patients with severe COVID-19 who required intensive care and invasive mechanical ventilation. SOFA score, Charlson comorbidity index, and APACHE II score showed limited performance in predicting the COVID-19 outcome. Instead, the quantification of 321 plasma protein groups at 349 timepoints in 50 critically ill patients receiving invasive mechanical ventilation revealed 14 proteins that showed trajectories different between survivors and non-survivors. A predictor trained on proteomic measurements obtained at the first time point at maximum treatment level (i.e. WHO grade 7), which was weeks before the outcome, achieved accurate classification of survivors (AUROC 0.81). We tested the established predictor on an independent validation cohort (AUROC 1.0). The majority of proteins with high relevance in the prediction model belong to the coagulation system and complement cascade. Our study demonstrates that plasma proteomics can give rise to prognostic predictors substantially outperforming current prognostic markers in intensive care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vadim Demichev
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Biochemistry, Berlin, Germany
- The Francis Crick Institute, Molecular Biology of Metabolism Laboratory, London, United Kingdom
- The University of Cambridge, Department of Biochemistry and Cambridge Centre for Proteomics, Cambridge, United Kingdom
| | - Pinkus Tober-Lau
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Tatiana Nazarenko
- University College London, Department of Mathematics, London, United Kingdom
- University College London, Department of Women’s Cancer, EGA Institute for Women’s Health, London, United Kingdom
| | - Oliver Lemke
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Biochemistry, Berlin, Germany
| | - Simran Kaur Aulakh
- The Francis Crick Institute, Molecular Biology of Metabolism Laboratory, London, United Kingdom
| | - Harry J. Whitwell
- National Phenome Centre and Imperial Clinical Phenotyping Centre, Department of Metabolism, Digestion and Reproduction, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
- Lobachevsky University, Laboratory of Systems Medicine of Healthy Ageing, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia
- Imperial College London, Section of Bioanalytical Chemistry, Division of Systems Medicine, Department of Metabolism, Digestion and Reproduction, London, United Kingdom
| | - Annika Röhl
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Biochemistry, Berlin, Germany
| | - Anja Freiwald
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Biochemistry, Berlin, Germany
| | - Mirja Mittermaier
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Institute of Health, Berlin, Germany
| | - Lukasz Szyrwiel
- The Francis Crick Institute, Molecular Biology of Metabolism Laboratory, London, United Kingdom
| | - Daniela Ludwig
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Biochemistry, Berlin, Germany
| | - Clara Correia-Melo
- The Francis Crick Institute, Molecular Biology of Metabolism Laboratory, London, United Kingdom
| | - Lena J. Lippert
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Elisa T. Helbig
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Paula Stubbemann
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Nadine Olk
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Charlotte Thibeault
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Nana-Maria Grüning
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Biochemistry, Berlin, Germany
| | - Oleg Blyuss
- Lobachevsky University, Department of Applied Mathematics, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia
- University of Hertfordshire, School of Physics, Astronomy and Mathematics, Hatfield, United Kingdom
- Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University, Department of Paediatrics and Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Moscow, Russia
| | - Spyros Vernardis
- The Francis Crick Institute, Molecular Biology of Metabolism Laboratory, London, United Kingdom
| | - Matthew White
- The Francis Crick Institute, Molecular Biology of Metabolism Laboratory, London, United Kingdom
| | - Christoph B. Messner
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Biochemistry, Berlin, Germany
- The Francis Crick Institute, Molecular Biology of Metabolism Laboratory, London, United Kingdom
| | - Michael Joannidis
- Medical University Innsbruck, Division of Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Thomas Sonnweber
- Medical University of Innsbruck, Department of Internal Medicine II, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Sebastian J. Klein
- Medical University Innsbruck, Division of Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Alex Pizzini
- Medical University of Innsbruck, Department of Internal Medicine II, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Yvonne Wohlfarter
- Medical University of Innsbruck, Institute of Human Genetics, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Sabina Sahanic
- Medical University of Innsbruck, Department of Internal Medicine II, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Richard Hilbe
- Medical University of Innsbruck, Department of Internal Medicine II, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Benedikt Schaefer
- Medical University of Innsbruck, Christian Doppler Laboratory for Iron and Phosphate Biology, Department of Internal Medicine I, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Sonja Wagner
- Medical University of Innsbruck, Christian Doppler Laboratory for Iron and Phosphate Biology, Department of Internal Medicine I, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Felix Machleidt
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Carmen Garcia
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Christoph Ruwwe-Glösenkamp
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Tilman Lingscheid
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Laure Bosquillon de Jarcy
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Miriam S. Stegemann
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Moritz Pfeiffer
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Linda Jürgens
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Sophy Denker
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Medical Department of Hematology, Oncology & Tumor Immunology, Virchow Campus & Molekulares Krebsforschungszentrum, Berlin, Germany
| | - Daniel Zickler
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Nephrology and Internal Intensive Care Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Claudia Spies
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, Berlin, Germany
| | - Andreas Edel
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, Berlin, Germany
| | - Nils B. Müller
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Nephrology and Internal Intensive Care Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Philipp Enghard
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Nephrology and Internal Intensive Care Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Aleksej Zelezniak
- The Francis Crick Institute, Molecular Biology of Metabolism Laboratory, London, United Kingdom
- Chalmers University of Technology, Department of Biology and Biological Engineering, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Rosa Bellmann-Weiler
- Medical University of Innsbruck, Department of Internal Medicine II, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Günter Weiss
- Medical University of Innsbruck, Department of Internal Medicine II, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Archie Campbell
- University of Edinburgh, Centre for Genomic and Experimental Medicine, Institute of Genetics and Cancer, United Kingdom
- University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Caroline Hayward
- University of Edinburgh, MRC Human Genetics Unit, Institute of Genetics and Cancer, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - David J. Porteous
- University of Edinburgh, Centre for Genomic and Experimental Medicine, Institute of Genetics and Cancer, United Kingdom
- University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Riccardo E. Marioni
- University of Edinburgh, Centre for Genomic and Experimental Medicine, Institute of Genetics and Cancer, United Kingdom
| | - Alexander Uhrig
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Heinz Zoller
- Medical University of Innsbruck, Christian Doppler Laboratory for Iron and Phosphate Biology, Department of Internal Medicine I, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Judith Löffler-Ragg
- Medical University of Innsbruck, Department of Internal Medicine II, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Markus A. Keller
- Medical University of Innsbruck, Institute of Human Genetics, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Ivan Tancevski
- Medical University of Innsbruck, Department of Internal Medicine II, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - John F. Timms
- University College London, Department of Women’s Cancer, EGA Institute for Women’s Health, London, United Kingdom
| | - Alexey Zaikin
- University College London, Department of Mathematics, London, United Kingdom
- University College London, Department of Women’s Cancer, EGA Institute for Women’s Health, London, United Kingdom
- Lobachevsky University, Laboratory of Systems Medicine of Healthy Ageing, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia
- Centre for Analysis of Complex Systems, Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University, Moscow, Russia
| | - Stefan Hippenstiel
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
- German Centre for Lung Research, Germany
| | - Michael Ramharter
- Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Department of Tropical Medicine, and University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Department of Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Holger Müller-Redetzky
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Martin Witzenrath
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
- German Centre for Lung Research, Germany
| | - Norbert Suttorp
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
- German Centre for Lung Research, Germany
| | - Kathryn Lilley
- The University of Cambridge, Department of Biochemistry and Cambridge Centre for Proteomics, Cambridge, United Kingdom
| | - Michael Mülleder
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Core Facility—High-Throughput Mass Spectrometry, Berlin, Germany
| | - Leif Erik Sander
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
- German Centre for Lung Research, Germany
| | | | - Florian Kurth
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Infectious Diseases and Respiratory Medicine, Berlin, Germany
- Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Department of Tropical Medicine, and University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Department of Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
- * E-mail:
| | - Markus Ralser
- Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Department of Biochemistry, Berlin, Germany
- The Francis Crick Institute, Molecular Biology of Metabolism Laboratory, London, United Kingdom
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