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Nouh T, Alkadi N, Alsuwailem L, Alshanaifi A, Alshunaiber R, Alburakan A. Comparison of different scoring systems in predicting mortality and postoperative complications in acute care surgery patients at a Saudi Academic Centre. Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg 2023. [PMID: 36631704 DOI: 10.1007/s00068-023-02218-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2022] [Accepted: 12/31/2022] [Indexed: 01/13/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE Emergency surgery carries an increased risk of death and complications. Scoring systems can help identify patients at higher risk of mortality and complications. Scoring systems can also help benchmark acute care services. This study aims to compare different scoring systems in predicting outcomes among acute care surgery patients. METHODS Our study is a retrospective cohort study that included all adult emergency surgery admissions between 2017 and 2019. Data were obtained from patients' electronic health records. Same admission mortality and postoperative complications were collected. Data were recorded to calculate the American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status classification system (ASA-PS), Shock Index Score (SI), Age Shock Index Score (AgeSI), and the Emergency Surgery Score (ESS). The probability of death and complications was correlated with each scoring system and was assessed by calculating the c-statistic. RESULTS During the study period, 1606 patients fulfilled inclusion criteria. The mortality rate was 2.2%, complication rate was 18.7%. ESS predicted mortality with a c-statistic of 0.87 better than ASA-PS, AgeSI, and SI with a calculated c-statistic of 0.81, 0.74, and 0.57, respectively. ESS also predicted the occurrence of complications with a c-statistic of 0.83 better than ASA-PS, AgeSI, and SI with a calculated c-statistic of 0.72, 0.71, and 0.63, respectively. CONCLUSION ESS demonstrated a better prognostic accuracy for hospital mortality and postoperative complications than other prognostic scoring systems. Our findings suggest that a scoring system designed for the acute care surgical population may provide enhanced prognostic performance over other surgical prognostic scoring systems.
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Christou CD, Naar L, Kongkaewpaisan N, Tsolakidis A, Smyrnis P, Tooulias A, Tsoulfas G, Papadopoulos VN, Velmahos GC, Kaafarani HMA. Validation of the Emergency Surgery Score (ESS) in a Greek patient population: a prospective bi-institutional cohort study. Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg 2021; 48:1197-1204. [PMID: 34296323 PMCID: PMC8297717 DOI: 10.1007/s00068-021-01734-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/26/2020] [Accepted: 06/19/2021] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
Purpose The Emergency Surgery Score (ESS) is a reliable point-based score that predicts mortality and morbidity in emergency surgery patients. However, it has been validated only in the U.S. patients. We aimed to prospectively validate ESS in a Greek patient population. Methods All patients who underwent an emergent laparotomy were prospectively included over a 15-month period. A systematic chart review was performed to collect relevant preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative variables based on which the ESS was calculated for each patient. The relationship between ESS and 30-day mortality, morbidity (i.e., the occurrence of at least one complication), and the need for intensive care unit (ICU) admission was evaluated and compared between the Greek and U.S. patients using the c-statistics methodology. The study was registered on "Research Registry" with the unique identifying number 5901. Results A total of 214 patients (102 Greek) were included. The mean age was 64 years, 44% were female, and the median ESS was 7. The most common indication for surgery was hollow viscus perforation (25%). The ESS reliably and incrementally predicted mortality (c-statistics = 0.79 [95% CI 0.67–0.90] and 0.83 [95% CI 0.74–0.92]), morbidity (c-statistics = 0.83 [95% CI 0.76–0.91] and 0.79 [95% CI 0.69–0.88]), and ICU admission (c-statistics = 0.88 [95% CI 0.81–0.96] and 0.84 [95% CI 0.77–0.91]) in both Greek and U.S. patients. Conclusion The correlation between the ESS and the surgical outcomes was statistically significant in both Greek and U.S. patients undergoing emergency laparotomy. ESS could prove globally useful for preoperative patient counseling and quality-of-care benchmarking.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chrysanthos Dimitris Christou
- First General Surgery Department, School of Medicine, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Papageorgiou General Hospital, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Leon Naar
- Division of Trauma, Emergency Surgery and Surgical Critical Care, Harvard Medical School, Massachusetts General Hospital, 165 Cambridge Street, Suite 810, Boston, MA, 02114, USA
| | - Napaporn Kongkaewpaisan
- Division of Trauma, Emergency Surgery and Surgical Critical Care, Harvard Medical School, Massachusetts General Hospital, 165 Cambridge Street, Suite 810, Boston, MA, 02114, USA
| | - Alexandros Tsolakidis
- First General Surgery Department, School of Medicine, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Papageorgiou General Hospital, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Panagiotis Smyrnis
- First General Surgery Department, School of Medicine, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Papageorgiou General Hospital, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Andreas Tooulias
- First General Surgery Department, School of Medicine, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Papageorgiou General Hospital, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Georgios Tsoulfas
- First General Surgery Department, School of Medicine, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Papageorgiou General Hospital, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Vasileios Nikolaos Papadopoulos
- First General Surgery Department, School of Medicine, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Papageorgiou General Hospital, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - George Constantinos Velmahos
- Division of Trauma, Emergency Surgery and Surgical Critical Care, Harvard Medical School, Massachusetts General Hospital, 165 Cambridge Street, Suite 810, Boston, MA, 02114, USA
| | - Haytham Mohamed Ali Kaafarani
- Division of Trauma, Emergency Surgery and Surgical Critical Care, Harvard Medical School, Massachusetts General Hospital, 165 Cambridge Street, Suite 810, Boston, MA, 02114, USA.
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