Trajectories of lifestyle patterns from 2 to 8 years of age and cardiometabolic risk in children: the GUSTO study

BACKGROUND

Tracking combinations of lifestyle behaviours during childhood ("lifestyle pattern trajectories") can identify subgroups of children that might benefit from lifestyle interventions aiming to improve health outcomes later in life. However, studies on the critical transition period from early to middle childhood are limited. We aimed to describe lifestyle patterns trajectories in children from 2 to 8 years of age and evaluated their associations with cardiometabolic risk markers at age 8 years in a multi-ethnic Asian cohort.

METHODS

Twelve lifestyle behaviours related to child's diet, physical activity, screen use, and sleep were ascertained using questionnaires at ages 2, 5, and 8 years. Age-specific lifestyle patterns were derived using principal component analysis and trajectories were determined using group-based multi-trajectory modelling. Child cardiometabolic risk markers were assessed at age 8 years, and associations with trajectories examined using multiple regression, adjusted for confounders.

RESULTS

Among 546 children, two lifestyle patterns "healthy" and "unhealthy" were observed at ages 2, 5, and 8 years separately. Three trajectory groups from 2 to 8 years were identified: consistently healthy (11%), consistently unhealthy (18%), and mixed pattern (71%). Children in the consistently unhealthy group (vs. mixed pattern) had increased odds of pre-hypertension (OR = 2.96 [95% CI 1.18-7.41]) and higher levels of diastolic blood pressure (β = 1.91 [0.27-3.55] mmHg), homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (β = 0.43 [0.13-0.74]), triglycerides (β = 0.11 [0.00-0.22] mmol/L), and metabolic syndrome score (β = 0.85 [0.20-1.49]), but not with BMI z-score or any anthropometric measurements. The consistently healthy group showed no differences in cardiometabolic outcomes compared to the mixed pattern group.

CONCLUSION

Three distinct lifestyle pattern trajectories were identified from early to middle childhood. Children in the consistently unhealthy lifestyle group did not have a raised BMI but was associated with several elevated cardiometabolic risk markers. These findings suggest the potential benefits of initiating holistic lifestyle interventions to improve children's health and well-being from an early age.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Trial registration number: NCT01174875. Name of registry: ClinicalTrials.gov. URL of registry: https://classic.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov/ct2/show/NCT01174875 . Date of registration: August 4, 2010. Date of enrolment of the first participant to the trial: June 2009.

Place of care in the last three years of life for Medicare beneficiaries

BACKGROUND

Most older adults prefer aging in place; however, patients with advanced illness often need institutional care. Understanding place of care trajectory patterns may inform patient-centered care planning and health policy decisions. The purpose of this study was to characterize place of care trajectories during the last three years of life.

METHODS

Linked administrative, claims, and assessment data were analyzed for a 10% random sample cohort of US Medicare beneficiaries who died in 2018, aged fifty or older, and continuously enrolled in Medicare during their last five years of life. A group-based trajectory modeling approach was used to classify beneficiaries based on the proportion of days of institutional care (hospital inpatient or skilled nursing facility) and skilled home care (home health care and home hospice) used in each quarter of the last three years of life. Associations between group membership and sociodemographic and clinical predictors were evaluated.

RESULTS

The analytic cohort included 199,828 Medicare beneficiaries. Nine place of care trajectory groups were identified, which were categorized into three clusters: home, skilled home care, and institutional care. Over half (59%) of the beneficiaries were in the home cluster, spending their last three years mostly at home, with skilled home care and institutional care use concentrated in the final quarter of life. One-quarter (27%) of beneficiaries were in the skilled home care cluster, with heavy use of skilled home health care and home hospice; the remaining 14% were in the institutional cluster, with heavy use of nursing home and inpatient care. Factors associated with both the skilled home care and institutional care clusters were female sex, Black race, a diagnosis of dementia, and Medicaid insurance. Extended use of skilled home care was more prevalent in southern states, and extended institutional care was more prevalent in midwestern states.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified distinct patterns of place of care trajectories that varied in the timing and duration of institutional and skilled home care use during the last three years of life. Clinical, socioregional, and health policy factors influenced where patients received care. Our findings can help to inform personal and societal care planning.

Diverging Neisseria gonorrhoeae Morbidity in Non-Hispanic Black and White Females: Application of Group-Based Trajectory Modeling to Trends in County-Level Morbidity 2003-2018

National trends in gonorrhea rates may obscure informative local variations in morbidity. We used group-based trajectory models to identify groups of counties with similar gonorrhea rate trajectories among non-Hispanic White (NHW) and non-Hispanic Black (NHB) females using county-level data on gonorrhea cases in US females from 2003 to 2018. We assessed models with 1-15 groups and selected final models based on fit statistics and identification of divergent trajectory groups with distinct intercepts and/or slopes. We mapped counties by assigned trajectory group and examined the association of county characteristics with group membership. We identified 7 distinct gonorrhea trajectory groups for NHW females and 9 distinct trajectory groups for NHB females. All identified groups for NHW female morbidity experienced increasing gonorrhea rates with a limited range (11.6-183.3/100,000 NHW females in 2018); trajectories of NHB female morbidity varied widely in rates (146.6-966.0/1000 NHB females in 2018) and included 3 groups of counties that experienced a net decline in gonorrhea rates. Counties with higher NHW female morbidity had lower adult sex ratios, lower health insurance coverage, and lower marital rates among NHW adults. Counties with higher NHB female morbidity were more urban, experienced higher rates of poverty, and had lower rates of marriage among NHB adults. Morbidity patterns did not always follow geographic proximity, which could be explained by variation in social determinants of health. Our results demonstrated a highly heterogenous gonorrhea epidemic among NHW and NHB US females, which should prompt further analysis into the differential drivers of gonorrhea morbidity.

Drug overdoses, geographic trajectories, and the influence of built environment and neighborhood characteristics

Much research has analyzed the spatial patterns of drug overdose events and identified features of the environment associated with heightened overdose levels. Generally absent from the literature are studies that analyze how unique trajectories of overdoses vary over time. We address this gap in the literature through an analysis of drug overdoses occurring in Passaic County, New Jersey from 2015 through 2019. A group-based trajectory analysis classifies block groups according to their overdose trends. A mixed-effects panel negative binomial regression model then examines the built environment and neighborhood characteristics associated with overall overdose levels. Results indicate that Passaic County block groups can be classified across three groups based upon their overdose levels over the study period: low and stable, low with moderate increase, and elevated and increasing. While the largest effects were observed for concentrated disadvantage in the regression analysis, most variables positively associated with overdose levels were built environment measures.

Trajectories of neuropsychological symptom burden in postmenopausal women prescribed anastrozole for early-stage breast cancer

PURPOSE

Aromatase inhibitors (AIs) prolong survival for postmenopausal women with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer (HR + BC) but also burden patients with symptoms, a major reason for suboptimal AI adherence. This study characterizes inter-relationships among symptom measures; describes neuropsychological symptom burden trajectories; and identifies trajectory group membership predictors for postmenopausal women prescribed anastrozole for HR + BC.

METHODS

This study utilized prospectively collected data from a cohort study. Relationships among various self-reported symptom measures were examined followed by a factor analysis to reduce data redundancy before trajectory analysis. Four neuropsychological scales/subscales were rescaled (range 0-100) and averaged into a neuropsychological symptom burden (NSB) score, where higher scores indicated greater symptom burden. Group-based trajectory modeling characterized NSB trajectories. Trajectory group membership predictors were identified using multinomial logistic regression.

RESULTS

Women (N = 360) averaged 61 years old, were mostly White, and diagnosed with stage I HR + BC. Several measures were correlated temporally but four neuropsychological measures had strong correlations and dimensional loadings. These four measures, combined for the composite NSB, averaged (mean ± standard deviation) 17.4 ± 12.9, 18.0 ± 12.7, 19.5 ± 12.8, and 19.8 ± 13.0 at pre-anastrozole, 6, 12, and 18 months post-initiation, respectively. However, the analysis revealed five NSB trajectories-low-stable, low-increasing, moderate-stable, high-stable, and high-increasing. Younger age and baseline medication categories (pre-anastrozole), including anti-depressants, analgesics, anti-anxiety, and no calcium/vitamin D, predicted the higher NSB trajectories.

CONCLUSION

This study found relationships among neuropsychological symptom measures and distinct trajectories of self-reported NSB with pre-anastrozole predictors. Identifying symptom trajectories and their predictors at pre-anastrozole may inform supportive care strategies via symptom management interventions to optimize adherence for women with HR + BC.

Multiple trajectories of any intensities of physical activity are better than sustained sedentary time on improving waist circumference and body mass index among Chinese adults: China Health and Nutrition Survey, 2004-2018

Higher levels of physical activity (PA) may be associated with more favorable measures of adiposity, and sedentary time (ST) is associated with adverse health outcomes independent of PA. We hypothesized that multiple routes of different PA intensities PA combined with ST would be associated with coexisting latent waist circumference (WC) and body mass index (BMI) trajectories among Chinese adults. Thus, we aimed to determine multiple routes of PA and ST and their associations with trajectories of WC and BMI. We used data from 13 137 adults in the China Health and Nutrition Survey between 2004 and 2018. Using group-based multitrajectory modeling, we determined multiple trajectories of light-, moderate-, and vigorous-intensity PA (LPA, MPA) and ST (PA trajectories) and concurrent WC and BMI trajectories. Then, we explored logit regressions between them. We identified 4 PA trajectories. The majority (high LPA, 43.5%) exhibited decreasing high LPA levels. The rest were high ST (9.0%), decreased MPA (15.8%), and high vigorous-intensity PA (31.7%). People with high ST showed higher odds of having abdominal obesity (odds ratio [OR] = 2.23) or severe abdominal obesity (OR = 1.73) than those with decreased MPA (OR = 1.85 and 1.71) and high LPA (OR = 1.43 for abdominal obesity). They also showed higher odds of being overweight (OR = 1.73) than those with decreased MPA (OR = 1.58) and high LPA (OR = 1.39). Any level of PA is better than sustained ST for improving adiposity indicators among Chinese adults.