Circulating cytokines and risk of developing hypertension: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Immune responses play a significant role in hypertension, though the importance of key inflammatory mediators remains to be defined. We used a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to study the associations between key cytokines and incident hypertension.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search of Pubmed/Medline, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), for peer-reviewed studies published up to August 2022. Incident hypertension was defined as systolic blood pressure ≥ 140 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure ≥ 90 mmHg and/or the use of antihypertensive medications. Random effects meta-analyses were used to calculate pooled hazard ratios (HRs)/risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals by cytokine levels (highest vs. lowest quartile).

RESULTS

Only IL-6 and IL-1β levels have evidence allowing for quantitative evaluation concerning the onset of hypertension. Six studies (10406 participants, 2932 incident cases) examined the association of IL-6 with incident hypertension. The highest versus lowest quartile of circulating IL-6 was associated with a significant HR/RR of hypertension (1.61, 95% CI: 1.00 to 2.60; I2 =87%). After adjusting for potential confounders, including body mass index (BMI), HR/RR was no longer significant (HR/RR: 1.24; 95% CI, 0.96 to 1.61; I2 = 56%). About IL-1β, neither the crude (HR/RR: 1.03; 95% CI, 0.60 to 1.76; n = 2) nor multivariate analysis (HR/RR: 0.97, 95% CI, 0.60 to 1.56; n = 2) suggested a significant association with the risk of developing hypertension.

CONCLUSIONS

A limited number of studies suggest that higher IL-6, but not IL-1β, might be associated with the development of hypertension.

Joint effects of depressive status and body mass index on the risk of incident hypertension in aging population: evidence from a nationwide population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

The impact of depressive status (DS) on hypertension incidence is still controversial and has not been studied in Chinese middle-aged and elderly population. This study aimed to explore the relationship between DS and incident hypertension and analyze the joint effects of DS and body mass index (BMI) on hypertension incidence.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), a nationwide population-based study. In 2013, DS was identified using scores from the 10-item Centre for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (CES-D-10) among eligible respondents from CHARLS, and hypertension occurrence was observed until 2018. The multiple Cox models were employed to calculate the associations between DS and hypertension incidence. In addition, we also computed the multiplicative interaction (MI) between DS and BMI of incident hypertension and assessed their additive interaction (AI) through relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI), attributable proportion (AP) or synthetic index (S). Positive AI was indicated by RERI > 0, AP > 0 or S > 1.

RESULTS

Over the 5-year follow-up, depressive symptoms increased the risk of hypertension incidence by 19% (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.19, 95% confidence interval (CI): (1.01, 1.41)), while depression was associated with a 24% increased risk (HR = 1.24; 95% CI: (1.03, 1.50)). Significant MIs between DS and overweight or obesity were observed and almost all of AI indexes showed positive joint effects on incident hypertension, of which the depression-obesity combination had the largest joint effect (RERI = 4.47, 95%CI: (0.28, 8.66); AP = 0.67, 95%CI: (0.50, 0.85); S = 4.86,95%CI: (2.66, 8.86)).

CONCLUSION

DS could lead to hypertension and this impact was amplified when coexisting with higher BMI. It highlighted a need for precise interventions targeting weight management and depression treatment in the aging population to prevent hypertension.

The effect of nonrestorative sleep on incident hypertension 1-2 years later among middle-aged Hispanics/Latinos

BACKGROUND

Insomnia is known to be a major risk factor for incident hypertension. Nonrestorative sleep (NRS), which refers to insufficiently rested sleep, has reported to associate with various diseases. This study aimed to investigate the longitudinal association between insomnia-related symptoms including NRS and incident hypertension 1-2 years later by age group (young, 18-39 years and middle-age, 40-64 years) using existing cohort data involving Hispanics/Latinos.

METHODS

This study included 1100 subjects who had participated in both the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos and its follow-up study, the Sueño Ancillary Study, and met additional eligibility criteria. Incident hypertension was assessed by self-reported history and/or the use of antihypertensives. The Women's Health Initiative Insomnia Rating Scale (WHIIRS) was used to evaluate insomnia-related symptoms (difficulty initiating sleep, difficulty maintaining sleep, early morning awakening, difficulty returning to sleep, and NRS). Logistic regression analyses were conducted to assess the degree to which insomnia-related symptoms at baseline predicted incident hypertension.

RESULTS

Among the participants (64% middle-aged, 36% young adults), 140 (12.7%) developed hypertension during the follow-up period. Among the sleep-related symptoms, only NRS predicted incident hypertension after adjusting for sociodemographic factors and physical condition (odds ratio: 1.88, 95% confidence interval: 1.10-3.21, p = 0.022) in middle-aged adults. None of the insomnia-related symptoms were associated with incident hypertension in the young adults. No association was found between WHIIRS-defined insomnia (total score ≥ 9) and incident hypertension in middle-aged adults or young adults.

CONCLUSION

The present findings suggest the importance of focusing on NRS to help prevent the development of hypertension in middle-aged adults.

Renin, aldosterone, the aldosterone-to-renin ratio, and incident hypertension among normotensive subjects from the general population

AIMS

To investigate the predictive ability of direct plasma renin and aldosterone concentrations as well as their ratio [aldosterone-to-renin (ARR)] for incident hypertension in the general population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Concentration of renin and aldosterone were measured by a chemiluminescence immunoassay using the fully automated LIAISON® platform (DiaSorin) among 5362 participants of the population-based Gutenberg Health Study, who were normotensive and had no clinically overt cardiovascular disease at baseline. During a follow-up period of 5 years, 18.6% (n = 996) developed a new-onset hypertension. Comparing extreme quartiles of biomarker distribution, the relative risk (RR) for incident arterial hypertension was found to be 1.58 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25-2.00; P = 0.00015; Q1 vs. Q4ref] for renin; 1.29 (95% CI 1.05-1.59, P = 0.018; Q4 vs. Q1ref) for aldosterone and 1.70 (95% CI 1.33-2.12; P < 0.0001; Q4 vs. Q1ref) for ARR after multivariable adjustment in men. In females, only high ARR was independently predictive for incident hypertension over 5 years [RR 1.29 (95% CI 1.04-1.62); P = 0.024]. Even in the subgroup of individuals having biomarker concentrations within the reference range, high ARR was predictive for new-onset hypertension in men [RR 1.44 (95% CI 1.13-1.83); P = 0.003]. Finally, synergistic effects of co-prevalent obesity and ARR on incident hypertension were also demonstrated, resulting in markedly higher risk estimates as seen for biomarker alone [RR of 2.70 (95% CI 2.05-3.6) for Q4 of ARR and having body mass index ≥ 30 kg/m2 vs. low ARR (Q1ref) and normal weight; P < 0.0001].

CONCLUSION

Among normotensives from the general population ARR possesses a stronger predictive value for incident hypertension than renin or aldosterone alone. The prediction of arterial hypertension by ARR was even stronger in obese subjects.

Components of the Complete Blood Count as a Risk Predictor for Incident Hypertension in a Large Taiwanese Population Follow-up Study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies investigating the relationship between hypertension (HT) and hematological parameters report inconsistent results, and most them included a small number of participants or only conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 1 or 2 hematological factors. Moreover, no large cohort follow-up studies have investigated this topic. The aim of this longitudinal study was to explore associations between components of the complete blood count (CBC) and incident HT using data from a large Taiwanese biobankMethods and Results: Hematological parameters including white blood cell (WBC) count, red blood cell (RBC) count, hemoglobin, hematocrit (HCT), and platelet count were evaluated. We included 21,293 participants who did not have HT at baseline and followed them for a mean period of 3.9 years. During follow-up, 3,002 participants with new-onset HT (defined as incident HT) were identified. Univariable analysis revealed that high WBC count, high RBC count, high hemoglobin, high HCT, and low platelet count were associated with incident HT. Multivariable analysis after adjusting potential confounding factors found high WBC count (odds ratio [OR], 1.057; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.028 to 1.087; P<0.001) and high HCT (OR, 1.023; 95% CI, 1.010 to 1.036; P<0.001) were still significantly associated with incident HT.

CONCLUSIONS

High WBC count and high HCT were associated with incident HT.

The 10-year incidence of hypertension across blood pressure categories in a population-based cohort in southwestern Sweden

BACKGROUND

To explore the determinants of incident hypertension, and especially the impact of baseline blood pressure categories, in a representative Swedish population.

METHODS

A 10-year longitudinal study of residents aged 30-74. Blood pressures were measured and categorized according to ESH guidelines with optimal blood pressure < 120/80 mmHg, normal 120-129/80-84 mmHg, and high normal 130-139/85-89 mmHg. Incident hypertension was defined as ongoing treatment or three consecutive blood pressure readings ≥ 140/ ≥ 90 mmHg (one or both) at follow-up, while those with ≥ 140 and/or ≥ 90 mmHg at only one or two visits were labelled as unstable. After excluding subjects with hypertension, ongoing blood pressure lowering medication or a previous CVD event at baseline, 1099 remained for further analyses.

RESULTS

Sixteen (2.6%) subjects with optimal baseline blood pressure had hypertension at follow up. Corresponding numbers for subjects with normal, high normal and unstable blood pressure were 55 (19.4%), 50 (39.1%) and 46 (74.2%), respectively. Compared with subjects in optimal group those in normal, high normal and unstable blood pressure categories had significantly higher risk to develop manifest hypertension with odds ratios OR and (95% CI) of 7.04 (3.89-12.7), 17.1 (8.88-33.0) and 84.2 (37.4-190), respectively, with adjustment for age, BMI and family history for hypertension. The progression to hypertension was also independently predicted by BMI (p < 0.001), however, not by age.

CONCLUSIONS

Subjects with high normal or unstable blood pressure should be identified in clinical practice, evaluated for global hypertension risk and offered personalized advice on lifestyle modification for early prevention of manifest hypertension and cardiovascular disease.

Identifying the predictive effectiveness of a genetic risk score for incident hypertension using machine learning methods among populations in rural China

Current studies have shown the controversial effect of genetic risk scores (GRSs) in hypertension prediction. Machine learning methods are used extensively in the medical field but rarely in the mining of genetic information. This study aims to determine whether genetic information can improve the prediction of incident hypertension using machine learning approaches in a prospective study. The study recruited 4592 subjects without hypertension at baseline from a cohort study conducted in rural China. A polygenic risk score (PGGRS) was calculated using 13 SNPs. According to a ratio of 7:3, subjects were randomly allocated to the train and test datasets. Models with and without the PGGRS were established using the train dataset with Cox regression, artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF), and gradient boosting machine (GBM) methods. The discrimination and reclassification of models were estimated using the test dataset. The PGGRS showed a significant association with the risk of incident hypertension (HR (95% CI), 1.046 (1.004, 1.090), P = 0.031) irrespective of baseline blood pressure. Models that did not include the PGGRS achieved AUCs (95% CI) of 0.785 (0.763, 0.807), 0.790 (0.768, 0.811), 0.838 (0.817, 0.857), and 0.854 (0.835, 0.873) for the Cox, ANN, RF, and GBM methods, respectively. The addition of the PGGRS led to the improvement of the AUC by 0.001, 0.008, 0.023, and 0.017; IDI by 1.39%, 2.86%, 4.73%, and 4.68%; and NRI by 25.05%, 13.01%, 44.87%, and 22.94%, respectively. Incident hypertension risk was better predicted by the traditional+PGGRS model, especially when machine learning approaches were used, suggesting that genetic information may have the potential to identify new hypertension cases using machine learning methods in resource-limited areas. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: The Henan Rural Cohort Study has been registered at the Chinese Clinical Trial Register (Registration number: ChiCTR-OOC-15006699). http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=11375 .

Is Waist-to-Height Ratio Superior to Body Mass Index and Waist Circumference in Predicting the Incidence of Hypertension?

BACKGROUND

It is still controversial which anthropometric indicator could be the best predictor of the incident hypertension.

OBJECTIVES

To examine the relative power of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), skinfold thickness, waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and waist-to-height ratio (WHTR) in predicting the incidence of hypertension in Chinese adults.

METHOD

Data were obtained from the China Health and Nutrition Survey. Overweight was defined as BMI ≥23 kg/m2 and general obesity as BMI ≥27.5 kg/m2. Abdominal obesity was defined by WC values ≥90 cm for males and ≥80 cm for females. Skinfold thickness, WHR, and WHTR were divided into low and high groups according to receiver operating characteristics. Cox regressions and nomograms were employed to compare the relative power of 5 indicators in predicting incident hypertension.

RESULTS

When all indicators were analyzed simultaneously, the best predictor of incident hypertension was general obesity (p < 0.001, adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.9, 95% CI 1.6-2.2). The results stratified by sex showed that BMI and WC were the more powerful predictors of hypertension in males (adjusted HR 1.8 and 1.3, 95% CI 1.4-2.3 and 1.1-1.5, respectively) as well as in females (adjusted HR 2.0 and 1.4, 95% CI 1.6-2.4 and 1.2-1.6, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

BMI and WC may predict incident hypertension better than skinfold thickness, WHR, and WHTR in the Chinese population.

Association of kidney function and albuminuria with prevalent and incident hypertension: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

BACKGROUND

Decreased kidney function and kidney damage may predate hypertension, but only a few studies have investigated both types of markers simultaneously, and these studies have obtained conflicting results.

STUDY DESIGN

Cross-sectional for prevalent and prospective observational study for incident hypertension.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

9,593 participants from the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) Study, aged 53-75 years in 1996-1998.

PREDICTORS

Several markers of kidney function (estimated glomerular filtration rate using serum creatinine and/or cystatin C and 2 novel markers [β-trace protein and β2-microglobulin]) and 1 marker of kidney damage (urinary albumin-creatinine ratio [ACR]). Every kidney marker was categorized by its quintiles (top quintile as a reference for estimated glomerular filtration rates and bottom quintile for the rest).

OUTCOMES

Prevalent and incident hypertension.

MEASUREMENTS

Prevalence ratios and HRs of hypertension based on modified Poisson regression and Cox proportional hazards models, respectively.

RESULTS

There were 4,378 participants (45.6%) with prevalent hypertension at baseline and 2,175 incident hypertension cases during a median follow-up of 9.8 years. Although all 5 kidney function markers were associated significantly with prevalent hypertension, prevalent hypertension was associated most notably with higher ACR (adjusted prevalence ratio, 1.60 [95% CI, 1.50-1.71] for the highest vs lowest ACR quintile). Similarly, ACR was associated consistently with incident hypertension in all models tested (adjusted HR, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.10-1.49] for top quintile), while kidney function markers demonstrated significant associations in some, but not all, models. Even mildly increased ACR (9.14-14.0mg/g) was associated significantly with incident hypertension.

LIMITATIONS

Self-reported use of antihypertensive medication for defining incident hypertension, single assessment of kidney markers, and relatively narrow age range.

CONCLUSIONS

Although all kidney markers were associated with prevalent hypertension, only elevated albuminuria was associated consistently with incident hypertension, suggesting that kidney damage is related more closely to hypertension than moderate reduction in overall kidney function.

Cardiac autonomic function and insulin resistance for the development of hypertension: a six-year epidemiological follow-up study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

To explore the impact of cardiac autonomic function (CAF) and insulin resistance (IR) on incident hypertension.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In 1996, 1638 subjects finished baseline examination, which included anthropometry, blood pressures, CAF, blood biochemistry, plasma insulin, urine examination and electrocardiogram. CAF included standard deviation of normal-to-normal intervals or RR intervals (SDNN), low- and high-frequency power spectrum (LF and HF), and LF/HF ratio at supine for 5 min, the RR interval changes during lying-to-standing maneuver, and the ratio between the longest RR interval during expiration and the shortest RR interval during inspiration (E/I ratio). We used homeostasis model assessment to define beta cell function (HOMA-B) and insulin resistance (HOMA-IR). In total, 992 non-hypertensive participants completed the follow-up assessment in 2003 and 959 participants were included for the final analysis. Incident hypertension was determined by blood pressure status at follow-up. In unadjusted model, both square root of HOMA-IR (OR:3.37, 95%CI: 2.10-6.64) and HOMA-B (OR:0.996, 95%CI: 0.992-0.999) were related to incident hypertension. In multivariate model, square root of HOMA-IR (OR:1.97, 95%CI: 1.05-3.70), but not HOMA-B, was associated with incident hypertension. After further adjustment for baseline CAF, the positive relationship between the square root of HOMA-IR and incident hypertension disappeared. In contrast, LF/HF ratio (OR:1.18, 95%CI: 1.01-1.37), HF power (OR:0.98, 95%CI: 0.96-0.999), and E/I ratio (OR:0.71, 95%CI: 0.54-0.95) were each independently associated with incident hypertension after further adjustment for HOMA measures.

CONCLUSION

Sympathovagal imbalance with an apparently decreased parasympathetic tone is an important predictor of incident hypertension independent of IR.