[Evaluation of bedside tests and proposal of a model for predicting difficult laryngoscopy: an observational prospective study]

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The prediction of difficult laryngoscopy is based on tests that assess anatomic characteristics of face and neck. We aimed to identify the most accurate tests and propose a multivariate predictive model.

METHODS

This prospective observational study included 1134 patients. Thyromental Distance (TMD), Sternomental Distance (STMD), Ratio of Height-to-Thyromental Distance (R-H/TMD), Neck Circumference (NC), Ratio of Neck Circumference-to-Thyromental Distance (R-NC/TMD), Hyomental Distance with head in Neutral Position (HMD-NP) and at Maximal Extension (HMD-HE), Ratio of Hyomental Distance at Maximal head extension-to-hyomental distance in neutral position (R-HMD), Mallampati Class (MLC), Upper Lip Bite Test (ULBT), Mouth Opening (MO) and Head Extension (HE) were assessed preoperatively. A Cormack-Lehane Grade ≥ 3 was defined as Difficult Laryngoscopy. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were assessed for all tests. Multivariate analysis with logistic regression was used to create the predictive models.

RESULTS

A model incorporating MLC, ULBT, HE, HMD-HE and R-NC/TMD showed high prognostic accuracy; x²(5)=109.12, p <0.001, AUC=0.86, p <0.001). Its sensitivity, specificity and negative predictive value were 82.3%, 74.8% and 97.4%, respectively. A second model including two measurements not requiring patient's cooperation (R-NC/TMD and HMD-HE) exhibited good prognostic performance; x²(2)=63.5, p <0.001, AUC=0.77, p <0.001. Among single tests, HE had the highest sensitivity (78.5%) and negative predictive value (96%).

CONCLUSIONS

A five-variable model incorporating MLC, ULBT, HE, HMD-HE and R-NC/TMD showed satisfyingly high predictive value for difficult laryngoscopy. A model including R-NC/TMD and HMD-HE could be useful in incapable patients. The most accurate single predictor was HE.

Pre-operative biomarkers and imaging tests as predictors of post-operative delirium in non-cardiac surgical patients: a systematic review

Background

Post-operative delirium (POD) is a common post-operative complication in elderly individuals and imposes a significant health and financial burden. Identifying predictive biomarkers may help understand the pathophysiology of POD. Our objective is to summarize the evidence of pre-operative biomarkers and imaging tests to predict POD in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery.

Methods

A systematic search of English language articles in MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Database, PsychINFO, PubMed and ClinicalTrials. Gov up to January 2018 was performed. Studies that used biomarkers or imaging tests to predict POD and a validated POD assessment tool were included. Animal studies, paediatric, cardiac and intracranial surgery were excluded. Risk of bias was assessed using the Quality In Prognosis Study tool.

Results

Thirty-four prospective cohort studies involving 4424 patients were included. Nineteen studies described serum tests [Interleukin-6, Insulin-like Growth Factor 1, C-Reactive Protein (CRP), cholinesterases, apolipoprotein-E genotype, leptin, hypovitaminosis, hypoalbuminaemia, gamma-amino butyric acid], 10 described cerebral-spinal fluid tests (monoamine precursor, melatonin, acute phase proteins, S100B and neurofibrillary tangles), and 5 described imaging tests. Two studies had high risk of bias due to unclear outcome measurement and study participation. CRP was significantly associated with POD in 5 studies. Other biomarkers were either examined by only a single study or two or more studies with conflicting results.

Conclusion

CRP is the most promising biomarker associated with POD. However, we are still in the early stages in identifying biomarkers and imaging tests that may further understanding of the pathophysiology of POD.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12871-019-0693-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Human individual radiation sensitivity and prospects for prediction

In the past few decades, it has become increasingly evident that sensitivity to ionising radiation is variable. This is true for tissue reactions (deterministic effects) after high doses of radiation, for stochastic effects following moderate and possibly low doses, and conceivably also for non-cancer effects such as cardiovascular disease, the causal pathway(s) of which are not yet fully understood. A high sensitivity to deterministic effects is not necessarily correlated with a high sensitivity to stochastic effects. The concept of individual sensitivity to high and low doses of radiation has long been supported by data from patients with certain rare hereditary conditions. However, these syndromes only affect a small proportion of the general population. More relevant to the majority of the population is the notion that some part of the genetic contribution defining radiation sensitivity may follow a polygenic model, which predicts elevated risk resulting from the inheritance of many low-penetrance risk-modulating alleles. Can the different forms of individual radiation sensitivities be inferred from the reaction of cells exposed ex vivo to ionising radiation? Can they be inferred from analyses of individual genotypes? This paper reviews current evidence from studies of late adverse tissue reactions after radiotherapy in potentially sensitive groups, including data from functional assays, candidate gene approaches, and genome-wide association studies. It focuses on studies published in 2013 or later because a comprehensive review of earlier studies was published previously in a report by the UK Advisory Group on Ionising Radiation.

Behaviour of chemical respiratory allergens in novel predictive methods for skin sensitisation

Asthma resulting from sensitisation of the respiratory tract to chemicals is an important occupational health issue, presenting many toxicological challenges. Most importantly there are no recognised predictive methods for respiratory allergens. Nevertheless, it has been found that all known chemical respiratory allergens elicit positive responses in assays for skin sensitising chemicals. Thus, chemicals failing to induce a positive response in skin sensitisation assays such as the local lymph node assay (LLNA) lack not only skin sensitising activity, but also the potential to cause respiratory sensitisation. However, it is unclear whether it will be possible to regard chemicals that are negative in in vitro skin sensitisation tests also as lacking respiratory sensitising activity. To address this, the behaviour of chemical respiratory allergens in the LLNA and in recently validated non-animal tests for skin sensitisation have been examined. Most chemical respiratory allergens are positive in one or more newly validated non-animal test methods, although the situation varies between individual assays. The use of an integrated testing strategy could provide a basis for recognition of most respiratory sensitising chemicals. However, a more complete picture of the performance characteristics of such tests is required before specific recommendations can be made.

Radiogenomics: A systems biology approach to understanding genetic risk factors for radiotherapy toxicity?

Adverse reactions in normal tissue after radiotherapy (RT) limit the dose that can be given to tumour cells. Since 80% of individual variation in clinical response is estimated to be caused by patient-related factors, identifying these factors might allow prediction of patients with increased risk of developing severe reactions. While inactivation of cell renewal is considered a major cause of toxicity in early-reacting normal tissues, complex interactions involving multiple cell types, cytokines, and hypoxia seem important for late reactions. Here, we review 'omics' approaches such as screening of genetic polymorphisms or gene expression analysis, and assess the potential of epigenetic factors, posttranslational modification, signal transduction, and metabolism. Furthermore, functional assays have suggested possible associations with clinical risk of adverse reaction. Pathway analysis incorporating different 'omics' approaches may be more efficient in identifying critical pathways than pathway analysis based on single 'omics' data sets. Integrating these pathways with functional assays may be powerful in identifying multiple subgroups of RT patients characterised by different mechanisms. Thus 'omics' and functional approaches may synergise if they are integrated into radiogenomics 'systems biology' to facilitate the goal of individualised radiotherapy.

IFPA meeting 2015 workshop report II: mechanistic role of the placenta in fetal programming; biomarkers of placental function and complications of pregnancy

Workshops are an integral component of the annual International Federation of Placenta Association (IFPA) meeting, allowing for networking and focused discussion related to specialized topics on the placenta. At the 2015 IFPA meeting (Brisbane, Australia) twelve themed workshops were held, three of which are summarized in this report. These workshops focused on various aspects of placental function, particularly in cases of placenta-mediated disease. Collectively, these inter-connected workshops highlighted the role of the placenta in fetal programming, the use of various biomarkers to monitor placental function across pregnancy, and the clinical impact of novel diagnostic and surveillance modalities in instances of late onset fetal growth restriction (FGR).