Can scientists use simple infographics to convince? Effects of the "flatten the curve" charts on perceptions of and behavioral intentions toward social distancing measures during the COVID-19 pandemic

Infographics of modest complexity are commonly used to convey knowledge to non-experts. However, little is known regarding how the use of infographics may convince the public and lead to massive behavioral changes in response to an acute cause. In March 2020, scientists and journalists revamped a scholarly published graph into the "flatten the curve" (FTC) mantra that defined the United States' initial response to the COVID-19 pandemic. This study examined how Americans' awareness of the flatten the curve charts relates to their perceived effectiveness of social distancing measures, perceived controllability of the pandemic, and behavioral intentions toward social distancing measures. Implications on visual communication of science are discussed.

Non-pharmaceutical strategies win coronavirus disease 2019 battle in New Zealand

This literature-based article found that on 08 June 2020, New Zealand claimed victory over coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mainly because of effective non-pharmaceutical strategies and interventions that included a hard lockdown. The response was informed by the country's Influenza Pandemic Plan (although without criticism), which was updated in 2017, and the swift responses from political leadership and other key stakeholders. Strategies instituted included the proclamation of urgent precautionary measures leading to border closures, issuing of a 3-month-long COVID-19 notice under the Epidemic Preparedness Act 2006, the proclamation of the COVID-19 Elimination Strategy and the Initial COVID-19 Māori Response Action Plan, which incorporated COVID-19 Alert Levels that facilitated stepwise easing of the hard lockdown. The non-pharmaceutical strategies seem to have worked again, even as the second wave of COVID-19 infections returned in August 2020 through an Auckland cluster. Hence, the New Zealand case remains one that the world can draw lessons from, although not perfect.

COVID-19: A Surgical Perspective for when the curve flattens

At the present time it is clear that our global healthcare community was not prepared to face the COVID-19 pandemic. Hospitals in the hardest hit areas have been transformed to COVID centres. Surgical societies have recommended postponing non-emergency surgery, and have given recommendations for triaging the ever- growing backlog of patients. However, simply resuming these non-emergency surgeries may lead the healthcare system into a second disaster. If healthcare policymakers around the world do not systematically consider how to resume normal surgical services, hospitals will be quickly overwhelmed, vital resources will be depleted, and patients and providers alike will face an increased exposure risk. This perspective serves to highlight certain aspects of returning to normal that physicians and hospital administrators alike must consider to avoid potential catastrophe.

The Benefits and Costs of Using Social Distancing to Flatten the Curve for COVID-19

We examine the net benefits of social distancing to slow the spread of COVID-19 in USA. Social distancing saves lives but imposes large costs on society due to reduced economic activity. We use epidemiological and economic forecasting to perform a rapid benefit–cost analysis of controlling the COVID-19 outbreak. Assuming that social distancing measures can substantially reduce contacts among individuals, we find net benefits of about $5.2 trillion in our benchmark case. We examine the magnitude of the critical parameters that might imply negative net benefits, including the value of statistical life and the discount rate. A key unknown factor is the speed of economic recovery with and without social distancing measures in place. A series of robustness checks also highlight the key role of the value of mortality risk reductions and discounting in the analysis and point to a need for effective economic stimulus when the outbreak has passed.