Towards a New, Endophenotype-Based Strategy for Pathogenicity Prediction in BRCA1 and BRCA2: In Silico Modeling of the Outcome of HDR/SGE Assays for Missense Variants

The present limitations in the pathogenicity prediction of BRCA1 and BRCA2 (BRCA1/2) missense variants constitute an important problem with negative consequences for the diagnosis of hereditary breast and ovarian cancer. However, it has been proposed that the use of endophenotype predictions, i.e., computational estimates of the outcomes of functional assays, can be a good option to address this bottleneck. The application of this idea to the BRCA1/2 variants in the CAGI 5-ENIGMA international challenge has shown promising results. Here, we developed this approach, exploring the predictive performances of the regression models applied to the BRCA1/2 variants for which the values of the homology-directed DNA repair and saturation genome editing assays are available. Our results first showed that we can generate endophenotype estimates using a few molecular-level properties. Second, we show that the accuracy of these estimates is enough to obtain pathogenicity predictions comparable to those of many standard tools. Third, endophenotype-based predictions are complementary to, but do not outperform, those of a Random Forest model trained using variant pathogenicity annotations instead of endophenotype values. In summary, our results confirmed the usefulness of the endophenotype approach for the pathogenicity prediction of the BRCA1/2 missense variants, suggesting different options for future improvements.

BRCA1- and BRCA2-specific in silico tools for variant interpretation in the CAGI 5 ENIGMA challenge

BRCA1 and BRCA2 (BRCA1/2) germline variants disrupting the DNA protective role of these genes increase the risk of hereditary breast and ovarian cancers. Correct identification of these variants then becomes clinically relevant, because it may increase the survival rates of the carriers. Unfortunately, we are still unable to systematically predict the impact of BRCA1/2 variants. In this article, we present a family of in silico predictors that address this problem, using a gene-specific approach. For each protein, we have developed two tools, aimed at predicting the impact of a variant at two different levels: Functional and clinical. Testing their performance in different datasets shows that specific information compensates the small number of predictive features and the reduced training sets employed to develop our models. When applied to the variants of the BRCA1/2 (ENIGMA) challenge in the fifth Critical Assessment of Genome Interpretation (CAGI 5) we find that these methods, particularly those predicting the functional impact of variants, have a good performance, identifying the large compositional bias towards neutral variants in the CAGI sample. This performance is further improved when incorporating to our prediction protocol estimates of the impact on splicing of the target variant.