Jack CR, Wiste HJ, Algeciras‐Schimnich A, Weigand SD, Figdore DJ, Lowe VJ, Vemuri P, Graff‐Radford J, Ramanan VK, Knopman DS, Mielke MM, Machulda MM, Fields J, Schwarz CG, Cogswell PM, Senjem ML, Therneau TM, Petersen RC. Comparison of plasma biomarkers and amyloid PET for predicting memory decline in cognitively unimpaired individuals.
Alzheimers Dement 2024;
20:2143-2154. [PMID:
38265198 PMCID:
PMC10984437 DOI:
10.1002/alz.13651]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/01/2023] [Revised: 11/22/2023] [Accepted: 11/27/2023] [Indexed: 01/25/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND
We compared the ability of several plasma biomarkers versus amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) to predict rates of memory decline among cognitively unimpaired individuals.
METHODS
We studied 645 Mayo Clinic Study of Aging participants. Predictor variables were age, sex, education, apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 genotype, amyloid PET, and plasma amyloid beta (Aβ)42/40, phosphorylated tau (p-tau)181, neurofilament light (NfL), glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), and p-tau217. The outcome was a change in a memory composite measure.
RESULTS
All plasma biomarkers, except NfL, were associated with mean memory decline in models with individual biomarkers. However, amyloid PET and plasma p-tau217, along with age, were key variables independently associated with mean memory decline in models combining all predictors. Confidence intervals were narrow for estimates of population mean prediction, but person-level prediction intervals were wide.
DISCUSSION
Plasma p-tau217 and amyloid PET provide useful information about predicting rates of future cognitive decline in cognitively unimpaired individuals at the population mean level, but not at the individual person level.
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