Computational limits to the legibility of the imaged human brain

Our knowledge of the organisation of the human brain at the population-level is yet to translate into power to predict functional differences at the individual-level, limiting clinical applications and casting doubt on the generalisability of inferred mechanisms. It remains unknown whether the difficulty arises from the absence of individuating biological patterns within the brain, or from limited power to access them with the models and compute at our disposal. Here we comprehensively investigate the resolvability of such patterns with data and compute at unprecedented scale. Across 23 810 unique participants from UK Biobank, we systematically evaluate the predictability of 25 individual biological characteristics, from all available combinations of structural and functional neuroimaging data. Over 4526 GPU*hours of computation, we train, optimize, and evaluate out-of-sample 700 individual predictive models, including fully-connected feed-forward neural networks of demographic, psychological, serological, chronic disease, and functional connectivity characteristics, and both uni- and multi-modal 3D convolutional neural network models of macro- and micro-structural brain imaging. We find a marked discrepancy between the high predictability of sex (balanced accuracy 99.7%), age (mean absolute error 2.048 years, R2 0.859), and weight (mean absolute error 2.609Kg, R2 0.625), for which we set new state-of-the-art performance, and the surprisingly low predictability of other characteristics. Neither structural nor functional imaging predicted an individual's psychology better than the coincidence of common chronic disease (p < 0.05). Serology predicted chronic disease (p < 0.05) and was best predicted by it (p < 0.001), followed by structural neuroimaging (p < 0.05). Our findings suggest either more informative imaging or more powerful models will be needed to decipher individual level characteristics from the human brain. We make our models and code openly available.

Phase II Study of Osimertinib in Patients With Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor Mutations: Results From the NCI-MATCH ECOG-ACRIN (EAY131) Trial Subprotocol E

PURPOSE

The National Cancer Institute Molecular Analysis for Therapy Choice trial is a signal-finding genomically driven platform trial that assigns patients with any advanced refractory solid tumor, lymphoma, or myeloma to targeted therapies on the basis of next-generation sequencing results. Subprotocol E evaluated osimertinib, an epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) tyrosine kinase inhibitor, in patients with EGFR mutations.

METHODS

Eligible patients had EGFR mutations (T790M or rare activating) and received osimertinib 80 mg once daily. Patients with lung cancer with EGFR T790M were excluded. The primary end point was objective response rate (ORR), and the secondary end points were 6-month progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival, and toxicity.

RESULTS

A total of 19 patients were enrolled: 17 were evaluable for toxicity and 13 for efficacy. The median age of the 13 included in the efficacy analysis was 63 years, 62% had Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 1, and 31% received >three previous systemic therapies. The most common tumor type was brain cancers (54%). The ORR was 15.4% (n = 2 of 13; 90% CI, 2.8 to 41.0) and 6-month PFS was 16.7% (90% CI, 0 to 34.4). The two confirmed RECIST responses were observed in a patient with neuroendocrine carcinoma not otherwise specified (EGFR exon 20 S768T and exon 18 G719C mutation) and a patient with low-grade epithelial carcinoma of the paranasal sinus (EGFR D770_N771insSVD). The most common (>20%) treatment-related adverse events were diarrhea, thrombocytopenia, and maculopapular rash.

CONCLUSION

In this pretreated cohort, osimertinib did not meet the prespecified end point threshold for efficacy, but responses were seen in a neuroendocrine carcinoma with an EGFR exon 20 S768T and exon 18 G719C mutation and an epithelial carcinoma with an EGFR D770_N771insSVD mutation. Osimertinib was well tolerated and had a safety profile consistent with previous studies.

Trastuzumab and Pertuzumab in Patients with Non-Breast/Gastroesophageal HER2-Amplified Tumors: Results from the NCI-MATCH ECOG-ACRIN Trial (EAY131) Subprotocol J

PURPOSE

NCI-MATCH assigned patients with advanced cancer and progression on prior treatment, based on genomic alterations in pretreatment tumor tissue. Arm J (EAY131-J) evaluated the combination of trastuzumab/pertuzumab (HP) across HER2-amplified tumors.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Eligible patients had high levels of HER2 amplification [copy number (CN) ≥7] detected by central next-generation sequencing (NGS) or through NCI-designated laboratories. Patients with breast/gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma and those who received prior HER2-directed therapy were excluded. Enrollment of patients with colorectal cancer was capped at 4 based on emerging data. Patients received HP IV Q3 weeks until progression or unacceptable toxicity. Primary endpoint was objective response rate (ORR); secondary endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Thirty-five patients were enrolled, with 25 included in the primary efficacy analysis (CN ≥7 confirmed by a central lab, median CN = 28). Median age was 66 (range, 31-80), and half of all patients had ≥3 prior therapies (range, 1-11). The confirmed ORR was 12% [3/25 partial responses (colorectal, cholangiocarcinoma, urothelial cancers), 90% confidence interval (CI) 3.4%-28.2%]. There was one additional partial response (urothelial cancer) in a patient with an unconfirmed ERBB2 copy number. Median PFS was 3.3 months (90% CI 2.0-4.1), and median OS 9.4 months (90% CI 5.0-18.9). Treatment-emergent adverse events were consistent with prior studies. There was no association between HER2 CN and response.

CONCLUSIONS

HP was active in a selection of HER2-amplified tumors (non-breast/gastroesophageal) but did not meet the predefined efficacy benchmark. Additional strategies targeting HER2 and potential resistance pathways are warranted, especially in rare tumors.

The New NCI Precision Medicine Trials

Basket, umbrella, and platform trial designs (master protocols) have emerged over the last decade to study precision medicine approaches in oncology. First-generation trials like NCI-MATCH (Molecular Analysis for Therapy Choice) have proven the principle that studying targeted therapies on a large scale is feasible both from the laboratory and clinical perspectives. However, single-agent targeted therapies have shown limited ability to control metastatic disease, despite careful matching of drug to target. As such, newer approaches employing combinations of targeted therapy, or targeted therapy with standard therapies, need to be considered. The NCI has recently embarked on three second-generation precision medicine trials to address this need: ComboMATCH, iMATCH, and myeloMATCH. The design of these trials and necessary infrastructure are discussed in the following perspective.

The NCI-MATCH trial: lessons for precision oncology

The NCI-MATCH (Molecular Analysis for Therapy Choice) trial ( NCT02465060 ) was launched in 2015 as a genomically driven, signal-seeking precision medicine platform trial-largely for patients with treatment-refractory, malignant solid tumors. Having completed in 2023, it remains one of the largest tumor-agnostic, precision oncology trials undertaken to date. Nearly 6,000 patients underwent screening and molecular testing, with a total of 1,593 patients (inclusive of continued accrual from standard next-generation sequencing) being assigned to one of 38 substudies. Each substudy was a phase 2 trial of a therapy matched to a genomic alteration, with a primary endpoint of objective tumor response by RECIST criteria. In this Perspective, we summarize the outcomes of the initial 27 substudies in NCI-MATCH, which met its signal-seeking objective with 7/27 positive substudies (25.9%). We discuss key aspects of the design and operational conduct of the trial, highlighting important lessons for future precision medicine studies.

National Cancer Institute Combination Therapy Platform Trial with Molecular Analysis for Therapy Choice (ComboMATCH)

Over the past decade, multiple trials, including the precision medicine trial National Cancer Institute-Molecular Analysis for Therapy Choice (NCI-MATCH, EAY131, NCT02465060) have sought to determine if treating cancer based on specific genomic alterations is effective, irrespective of the cancer histology. Although many therapies are now approved for the treatment of cancers harboring specific genomic alterations, most patients do not respond to therapies targeting a single alteration. Further, when antitumor responses do occur, they are often not durable due to the development of drug resistance. Therefore, there is a great need to identify rational combination therapies that may be more effective. To address this need, the NCI and National Clinical Trials Network have developed NCI-ComboMATCH, the successor to NCI-MATCH. Like the original trial, NCI-ComboMATCH is a signal-seeking study. The goal of ComboMATCH is to overcome drug resistance to single-agent therapy and/or utilize novel synergies to increase efficacy by developing genomically-directed combination therapies, supported by strong preclinical in vivo evidence. Although NCI-MATCH was mainly comprised of multiple single-arm studies, NCI-ComboMATCH tests combination therapy, evaluating both combination of targeted agents as well as combinations of targeted therapy with chemotherapy. Although NCI-MATCH was histology agnostic with selected tumor exclusions, ComboMATCH has histology-specific and histology-agnostic arms. Although NCI-MATCH consisted of single-arm studies, ComboMATCH utilizes single-arm as well as randomized designs. NCI-MATCH had a separate, parallel Pediatric MATCH trial, whereas ComboMATCH will include children within the same trial. We present rationale, scientific principles, study design, and logistics supporting the ComboMATCH study.

Phase II Study of Palbociclib (PD-0332991) in CCND1, 2, or 3 Amplification: Results from the NCI-MATCH ECOG-ACRIN Trial (EAY131) Subprotocol Z1B

PURPOSE

Cyclin D/CDK4/6 is critical in controlling the G1 to S checkpoint. CCND, the gene encoding cyclin D, is known to be amplified in a variety of solid tumors. Palbociclib is an oral CDK4/6 inhibitor, approved in advanced breast cancer in combination with endocrine therapy. We explored the efficacy of palbociclib in patients with nonbreast solid tumors containing an amplification in CCND1, 2, or 3.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with tumors containing a CCND1, 2, or 3 amplification and expression of the retinoblastoma protein were assigned to subprotocol Z1B and received palbociclib 125 mg once daily for 21 days of a 28-day cycle. Tumor response was assessed every two cycles.

RESULTS

Forty patients were assigned to subprotocol Z1B; 4 patients had outside assays identifying the CCND1, 2, or 3 amplification and were not confirmed centrally; 3 were ineligible and 2 were not treated (1 untreated patient was also ineligible), leaving 32 evaluable patients for this analysis. There were no partial responses; 12 patients (37.5%) had stable disease as best response. There were seven deaths on study, all during cycle 1 and attributable to disease progression. Median progression-free survival was 1.8 months. The most common toxicities were leukopenia (n = 21, 55%) and neutropenia (n = 19, 50%); neutropenia was the most common grade 3/4 event (n = 12, 32%).

CONCLUSIONS

Palbociclib was not effective at treating nonbreast solid tumors with a CCND1, 2, or 3 amplification in this cohort. These data do not support further investigation of single-agent palbociclib in tumors with CCND1, 2, or 3 amplification.

Population, Clinical, and Scientific Impact of National Cancer Institute's National Clinical Trials Network Treatment Studies

PURPOSE

In the United States, the National Cancer Institute National Cancer Clinical Trials Network (NCTN) groups have conducted publicly funded oncology research for 50 years. The combined impact of all adult network group trials has never been systematically examined.

METHODS

We identified randomized, phase III trials from the adult NCTN groups, reported from 1980 onward, with statistically significant findings for ≥ 1 clinical, time-dependent outcomes. In the subset of trials in which the experimental arm improved overall survival, gains in population life-years were estimated by deriving trial-specific hazard functions and hazard ratios to estimate the experimental treatment benefit and then mapping this trial-level benefit onto the US cancer population using registry and life-table data. Scientific impact was based on citation data from Google Scholar. Federal investment costs per life-year gained were estimated. The results were derived through December 31, 2020.

RESULTS

One hundred sixty-two trials comprised of 108,334 patients were analyzed, representing 29.8% (162/544) of trials conducted. The most common cancers included breast (34), gynecologic (28), and lung (14). The trials were cited 165,336 times (mean, 62.2 citations/trial/year); 87.7% of trials were cited in cancer care guidelines in favor of the recommended treatment. These studies were estimated to have generated 14.2 million (95% CI, 11.5 to 16.5 million) additional life-years to patients with cancer, with projected gains of 24.1 million (95% CI, 19.7 to 28.2 million) life-years by 2030. The federal investment cost per life-year gained through 2020 was $326 in US dollars.

CONCLUSION

NCTN randomized trials have been widely cited and are routinely included in clinical guidelines. Moreover, their conduct has predicted substantial improvements in overall survival in the United States for patients with oncologic disease, suggesting they have contributed meaningfully to this nation's health. These findings demonstrate the critical role of government-sponsored research in extending the lives of patients with cancer.

Trametinib in Patients With NF1-, GNAQ-, or GNA11-Mutant Tumors: Results From the NCI-MATCH ECOG-ACRIN Trial (EAY131) Subprotocols S1 and S2

PURPOSE

NCI-MATCH is a precision medicine trial using genomic testing to allocate patients with advanced malignancies to targeted treatment subprotocols. This report combines two subprotocols evaluating trametinib, a MEK1/2 inhibitor, in patients with Neurofibromatosis 1 (NF1[S1] or GNA11/Q [S2]) altered tumors.

METHODS

Eligible patients had tumors with deleterious inactivating NF1 or GNA11/Q mutations by the customized Oncomine AmpliSeq panel. Prior MEK inhibitor treatment was excluded. Glioblastomas (GBMs) were permitted, including malignancies associated with germline NF1 mutations (S1 only). Trametinib was administered at 2 mg once daily over 28-day cycles until toxicity or disease progression. Primary end point was objective response rate (ORR). Secondary end points included progression-free survival (PFS) at 6 months, PFS, and overall survival. Exploratory analyses included co-occurring genomic alterations and PTEN loss.

RESULTS

Fifty patients were eligible and started therapy: 46 with NF1 mutations (S1) and four with GNA11 mutations (S2). In the NF1 cohort, nonsense single-nucleotide variants were identified in 29 and frameshift deletions in 17 tumors. All in S2 had nonuveal melanoma and GNA11 Q209L variant. Two partial responses (PR) were noted in S1, one patient each with advanced lung cancer and GBM for an ORR of 4.3% (90% CI, 0.8 to 13.1). One patient with melanoma in S2 had a PR (ORR, 25%; 90% CI, 1.3 to 75.1). Prolonged stable disease (SD) was also noted in five patients (four in S1 and one in S2) with additional rare histologies. Adverse events were as previously described with trametinib. Comutations in TP53 and PIK3CA were common.

CONCLUSION

Although these subprotocols did not meet the primary end point for ORR, significant responses or prolonged SD noted in some disease subtypes warrants further investigation.

Abstract GS1-05: Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx): An Update Including 12-Year Event Rates

Background: Late recurrence of breast cancer after 5 years accounts for about 50% of recurrences in hormone receptor (HR)-positive early breast cancer (EBC). TAILORx established non-inferiority of adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET) given for at least 5 years to chemotherapy plus ET (CET) in EBC and a 21-gene recurrence score (RS) of 11-25, although there was some chemotherapy benefit in women

Methods: Eligibility criteria included women 18-75 years with HR-positive, HER2-negative, T1b-T2N0 EBC who agreed to have CT assigned or randomized based on the RS assay. The primary endpoint was invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) in the RS 11-25 group. The “primary analysis” refers to the original prespecified analysis for the primary IDFS endpoint (836 IDFS events at full information in the RS 11-25 group) after a median of 7.5 years. The “updated analysis” was performed after a median followup of 11.0 and 10.4 years in the randomized and overall populations, respectively.

Results:10,253 eligible women enrolled between 4/7/06-10/6/10.The updated analysis includes substantially more events that the primary analysis, including IDFS events (1819 vs. 1210), distant recurrences (561 vs. 384), locoregional +/- distant recurrences (764 vs. 543), and deaths (910 vs. 499). The table provides 5 and 12-year event rates (and standard errors) for all arms, and comparisons of the randomized arms. The primary trial conclusions remain unchanged: ET was non-inferior to CET in the randomized group with a RS 11-25. Although recurrence occurred in &lt; 10% by 12 years for a RS 0-25, late recurrence events beyond 5 years exceeded earlier recurrence. Non-recurrence events occurred in about 13% at 12 years (~1%/year), contributing substantially to the IDFS rates. For women

Conclusions: The current updated analysis confirms findings from the original primary analysis that ET is non-inferior to CET in HR-positive, HER2-negative, node-negative EBC and a RS 11-25. As in the original primary analysis, the subgroup of women

Phase II Study of Afatinib in Patients With Tumors With Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Activating Mutations: Results From the National Cancer Institute-Molecular Analysis for Therapy Choice ECOG-ACRIN Trial (EAY131) Subprotocol EAY131-B

PURPOSE

National Cancer Institute-Molecular Analysis for Therapy Choice is a multicohort trial that assigns patients with advanced cancers to targeted therapies on the basis of central tumor genomic testing. Arm B evaluated afatinib, an ErbB family tyrosine kinase inhibitor, in patients with ERBB2-activating mutations.

METHODS

Eligible patients had selected ERBB2 single-nucleotide variants or insertions/deletions detected by the National Cancer Institute-Molecular Analysis for Therapy Choice next-generation sequencing assay. Patients had performance status ≤ 1, left ventricular ejection fraction > 50%, grade ≤ 1 diarrhea, and no prior human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) therapy. Patients received afatinib 40 mg once daily in 28-day cycles. The primary end point was objective response rate (ORR). Secondary end points were 6-month progression-free survival, overall survival, toxicity, and molecular correlates.

RESULTS

A total of 59 patients were assigned and 40 were enrolled. The median age was 62 years, 78% were female, 68% had performance status = 1, and 58% had received > 3 prior therapies. The confirmed ORR was 2.7% (n = 1 of 37; 90% CI, 0.14 to 12.2), and 6-month progression-free survival was 12.0% (90% CI, 5.6 to 25.8). A confirmed partial response occurred in a patient with adenocarcinoma of extra-mammary Paget disease of skin who progressed after cycle 6. Two unconfirmed partial responses were observed (low-grade serous gynecological tract and estrogen receptor-positive/HER2-negative immunohistochemistry breast ductal carcinoma). Of 12 patients with breast cancer, 1 additional patient with lobular carcinoma (estrogen receptor-positive/HER2 fluorescent in situ hybridization) had a 51% reduction in target lesions but progressed because of a new lesion at cycle 6. The most common (> 20%) treatment-related adverse events were diarrhea (68%), mucositis (43%), fatigue (40%), acneiform rash (30%), dehydration (27%), vomiting (27%), nausea (27%), anemia (27%), and anorexia (22%). Four patients (11%) discontinued because of adverse events.

CONCLUSION

Although afatinib did not meet the prespecified threshold for antitumor activity in this heavily pretreated cohort, the response in a rare tumor type is notable. The safety profile of afatinib was consistent with prior studies.

Abstract CT160: BVD-523FB (Ulixertinib) in Patients with Tumors with BRAF Fusions, or with Non-V600E, Non-V600K BRAF Mutations: Results from the NCI-MATCH ECOG-ACRIN Trial (EAY131) Sub-protocol EAY131-Z1L

Purpose: Mutations in BRAF at codons other than V600 (non-V600) and BRAF fusions confer dependence on RAF-MEK-ERK pathway. BVD-523FB (ulixertinib) is a small molecule that potently inhibits both ERK1 and ERK2 protein kinases in the sub-nanomolar range. Based on the reports of early clinical activity in the phase 1 trial, including in non-V600 BRAF mutations, subprotocol Z1L (EAY131-Z1L) sought to investigate the clinical activity of ulixertinib in patients with tumors harboring these alterations. Methods: In this single-arm study, patients with BRAF non-V600 mutation or BRAF fusion were given ulixertinib orally at a dose of 600 mg twice daily, continuously for each 28-day cycle until progression or intolerability. The primary endpoint was objective response rate (ORR). Secondary endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS), 6-month PFS, and overall survival (OS). BRAF mutation status was determined by an analytically validated assay in a CLIA-certified laboratory for all patients. Results: From August 2019 to July 2020, 35 patients were enrolled and received protocol treatment on the trial. Among the 34 patients who were eligible, median age was 66.5; 50% were female, 88% were white, 9% black, 1% Asian. Performance status was ECOG PS 1 in 74% of patients, with remaining PS 0. Median number of prior therapies was &gt;3.Tumor types included multiple gastrointestinal malignancies (N=16), lung cancer (N=3), and melanoma (N=3), among others. Mutations were centrally confirmed in 26 patients who were deemed analyzable per protocol. Twenty-two patients had a single nucleotide variant (SNV) in BRAF; one patient had an insertion/deletion (indel) in BRAF, and three patients harbored BRAF fusions. No patients achieved CR or PR, resulting in ORR = 0%. Stable disease was the best response in 7/26 centrally confirmed cases. Median PFS was 1.8 months (90% CI: 1.6, 2.2), 6-month PFS rate was 11% (90% CI: 4%, 22%), and median OS was 4.0 months (90% CI: 2.8, 7.4). Twenty patients (57%) had grade 3 toxicities, and one patient (3%) had grade 4 toxicity; there were no grade 5 toxicities. Most common toxicities include anemia (n=11), diarrhea (n=16), nausea (n=16), vomiting (n=11), fatigue (n=16), increased creatinine (n=12), and acneiform rash (n=14). Conclusion: BVD-523FB (ulixertinib) had no demonstrable evidence of clinical activity in this small, heavily pre-treated population of patients with tumors harboring BRAF fusions, or with non-V600E, non-V600K BRAF mutations

Citation Format: Vivek Subbiah, Fengmin Fengmin, Ragini Kudchadkar, Ryan J. Sullivan, Edith P. Mitchell, John J. Wright, Helen X. Chen, Robert J. Gray, Xin Victoria Wang, Lisa M. McShane, Larry V. Rubinstein, David Patton, P. Mickey Williams, Tilak K. Sundaresan, Barbara A. Conley, Carlos L. Arteaga, Lyndsay N. Harris, Peter J. O'Dwyer, Alice P. Chen, Keith T. Flaherty. BVD-523FB (Ulixertinib) in Patients with Tumors with BRAF Fusions, or with Non-V600E, Non-V600K BRAF Mutations: Results from the NCI-MATCH ECOG-ACRIN Trial (EAY131) Sub-protocol EAY131-Z1L [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr CT160.

Phase II Study of Copanlisib in Patients With Tumors With PIK3CA Mutations: Results From the NCI-MATCH ECOG-ACRIN Trial (EAY131) Subprotocol Z1F

PURPOSE

Activating mutations in PIK3CA are observed across multiple tumor types. The NCI-MATCH (EAY131) is a tumor-agnostic platform trial that enrolls patients to targeted therapies on the basis of matching genomic alterations. Arm Z1F evaluated copanlisib, an α and δ isoform-specific phosphoinositide 3-kinase (PI3K) inhibitor, in patients with PIK3CA mutations (with or without PTEN loss).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients received copanlisib (60 mg intravenous) once weekly on days 1, 8, and 15 in 28-day cycles until progression or toxicity. Patients with KRAS mutations, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive breast cancers, and lymphomas were excluded. The primary end point was centrally assessed objective response rate (ORR); secondary end points included progression-free survival, 6-month progression-free survival, and overall survival.

RESULTS

Thirty-five patients were enrolled, and 25 patients were included in the primary efficacy analysis as prespecified in the Protocol. Multiple histologies were enrolled, with gynecologic (n = 6) and gastrointestinal (n = 6) being the most common. Sixty-eight percent of patients had ≥ 3 lines of prior therapy. The ORR was 16% (4 of 25, 90% CI, 6 to 33) with P = .0341 against a null rate of 5%. The most common reason for protocol discontinuation was disease progression (n = 17, 68%). Grade 3/4 toxicities observed were consistent with reported toxicities for PI3K pathway inhibition. Sixteen patients (53%) had grade 3 toxicities, and one patient (3%) had grade 4 toxicity (CTCAE v5.0). Most common toxicities include hyperglycemia (n = 19), fatigue (n = 12), diarrhea (n = 11), hypertension (n = 10), and nausea (n = 10).

CONCLUSION

The study met its primary end point with an ORR of 16% (P = .0341) with copanlisib showing clinical activity in select tumors with PIK3CA mutation in the refractory setting.

Assessment of Racial Disparity in Survival Outcomes for Early Hormone Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer After Adjusting for Insurance Status and Neighborhood Deprivation: A Post Hoc Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

Racial disparities in survival outcomes among Black women with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer have been reported. However, the association between individual-level and neighborhood-level social determinants of health on such disparities has not been well studied.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between race and clinical outcomes (ie, relapse-free interval and overall survival) adjusting for individual insurance coverage and neighborhood deprivation index (NDI), measured using zip code of residence, in women with breast cancer.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This was a post hoc analysis of 9719 women with breast cancer in the Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment, a randomized clinical trial conducted from April 7, 2006, to October 6, 2010. All participants received a diagnosis of hormone receptor-positive, ERBB2-negative, axillary node-negative breast cancer. The present data analysis was conducted from April 1 to October 22, 2021.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

A multivariate model was developed to evaluate the association between race and relapse-free interval and overall survival adjusting for insurance and NDI level at study entry, early discontinuation of endocrine therapy 4 years after initiation, and clinicopathologic characteristics of cancer. Median follow-up for clinical outcomes was 96 months.

RESULTS

A total of 9719 women (4.2% [n = 405] Asian; 7.1% [n = 693] Black; 84.3% [n = 8189] White; 4.4% [n = 403] others/not specified) were included; 9.1% of included women [n = 889] were Hispanic or Latino. Median (SD) age was 56 (9.2) years. In multivariate models, Black race compared with White race was associated with statistically significant shorter relapse-free interval (hazard ratio [HR], 1.39; 95% CI, 1.05-1.84; P = .02) and overall survival (HR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.10-2.99; P = .009), adjusting for insurance and NDI level at study entry and other factors. Although uninsured status was not associated with clinical outcomes, patients with Medicare (HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.01-1.68; P = .04) and Medicaid (HR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.01-2.05; P = .05) had shorter overall survival compared with those with private insurance. Participants living in neighborhoods in the highest NDI quartile experienced shorter overall survival compared with those in the lowest quartile (HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.01-1.77; P = .04), regardless of self-identified race.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The findings of this post hoc analysis of a randomized clinical trial suggest that Black women with breast cancer have significantly shorter relapse-free interval and overall survival compared with White women. Early discontinuation of endocrine therapy, clinicopathologic characteristics, insurance coverage, and NDI do not fully explain the observed disparity.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00310180.

Abstract P1-08-35: Stromal tumor infiltrating lymphocytes analysis by race and ethnicity in triple negative breast cancers from 2 phase III randomized adjuvant breast cancer trials: ECOG-ACRIN E2197 and E1199

Background: Black patients with triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) have worse survival outcomes, even after adjusting for stage at diagnosis, income, insurance status and other socioeconomic factors. Little is known regarding anti-tumor immune responses in Black patients and how these differences affect responses to treatment in TNBC. Limited data exists regarding the stromal tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs, which are strongly prognostic in TNBC) distribution based on race and ethnicity. Here we evaluate the prevalence, distribution, and prognostic impact of sTILs in TNBC by race/ethnicity from 2 prospective clinical trials of adjuvant anthracycline/taxane-based chemotherapy (E2197 and E1199). Methods: Full-face hematoxylin and eosin-stained sections of 481 tumors from ECOG-ACRIN trials E2197 and E1199 were previously evaluated for density of sTILs and shown to be associated with disease-free survival (DFS), distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI), and overall survival (OS) (Adams, et al JCO 2014). Further analyses were undertaken to evaluate the impact of race/ethnicity. Results: The majority of the 481 TNBC were from White patients (82.3%, n=403); with 12.3% (n=59) Black patients, 1.6% (n=14) other (9 Hispanic, 3 Asian, 2 Other), and 0.5% (n=5) unknown race. Age distribution (mean 49.2 for White and 49.2 for Black) and node negative disease (White 68/403 (42%), Black 24/59 (41%)) were similar. However, tumor size ≤2cm was seen more commonly in White patients (34%, 137/403) compared with Black patients (20%, 12/59). Black patients had a higher proportion of high sTILs (≥30%) with 23.7% (14/59) compared to White patients (11.4%, 46/403). The association of continuous stromal TILs with DFS (hazard ratio for a 10-point difference) was 0.84 (95% CI 0.72, 0.98) for White patients and 0.94 (95% CI 0.73, 1.20) for Black patients [159 DFS events for Whites, 26 DFS events for Blacks]. Conclusions: This is the first dataset from prospective clinical trials evaluating sTILs in TNBC in Black patients. Prevalence of high sTILs was greater in Black patients compared to White patients. The association between increasing sTILs and improved invasive disease-free survival across racial/ethnic groups must be investigated in larger datasets.

Table 1.Race/EthnicityTotal (n=481)White (n=403)Black (n=59)Other (n=19)Mean age49.049.249.245.6T1 (tumor &lt;=2cm)157(32.6%)137 (34.0%)12 (20.3%)8 (42.1%)T2 (tumor &gt;2 and &lt;=5cm)283(58.8%)232 (57.6%)41 (69.5%)10 (52.6%)T3 and T441 (8.5%)34 (8.4%)6 (10.2%)1 (5.3%)Node negative197 (41.0%)168 (41.7%)24 (40.7%)5 (26.3%)Median sTILs (Quartiles)10 (10, 20)10 (10, 20)10 (10,20)20 (10, 30)sTILs = 095 (19.8%)83 (20.6%)10 (16.9%)2 (10.5%)sTILs 10-29%319 (66.3%)274 (68.0%)35 (59.3%)10 (52.6%)sTILs ≥30%67 (13.9%)46 (11.4%)14 (23.7%)7 (36.8%)—sTIL 30-49%,46 (9.6%)32 (7.9%)11 (18.6%)3 (15.8%)—sTIL 50-74%,17 (3.5%)11 (2.7%)3 (5.1%)3 (15.8%)—sTIL 75-100%4 (0.8%)3 (0.7%)01 (5.2%)iDFS (HR for 10% sTIL increase)0.86 (95% CI 0.76, 0.98)0.84 (95% CI 0.72, 0.98)0.94 (95% CI 0.73, 1.20)0.97 (95% CI 0.68, 1.40)DRFI (HR for 10% sTIL increase)0.82 (95% CI 0.68, 0.99)0.79 (95% CI 0.63, 1.00)1.08 (95% CI 0.82, 1.44)0.54 (95% CI 0.32, 0.90)OS (HR for 10% sTIL increase)0.81 (95% CI 0.69, 0.95)0.76 (95% CI 0.62, 0.94)1.01 (95% CI 0.76, 1.35)0.83 (95% CI 0.54, 1.29)

Citation Format: Natalie Klar, Robert J Gray, Sylvia Adams, Joseph A Sparano, Lori J Goldstein, Angela M DeMichele, Antonio C Wolff, Nancy E Davidson, George W Sledge, Sunil S Badve. Stromal tumor infiltrating lymphocytes analysis by race and ethnicity in triple negative breast cancers from 2 phase III randomized adjuvant breast cancer trials: ECOG-ACRIN E2197 and E1199 [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2021 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2021 Dec 7-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-08-35.

Influence of spatial-intensity contrast in ultraintense laser-plasma interactions

Increasing the intensity to which high power laser pulses are focused has opened up new research possibilities, including promising new approaches to particle acceleration and phenomena such as high field quantum electrodynamics. Whilst the intensity achievable with a laser pulse of a given power can be increased via tighter focusing, the focal spot profile also plays an important role in the interaction physics. Here we show that the spatial-intensity distribution, and specifically the ratio of the intensity in the peak of the laser focal spot to the halo surrounding it, is important in the interaction of ultraintense laser pulses with solid targets. By comparing proton acceleration measurements from foil targets irradiated with by a near-diffraction-limited wavelength scale focal spot and larger F-number focusing, we find that this spatial-intensity contrast parameter strongly influences laser energy coupling to fast electrons. We find that for multi-petawatt pulses, spatial-intensity contrast is potentially as important as temporal-intensity contrast.

Phase II Study of Taselisib in PIK3CA-Mutated Solid Tumors Other Than Breast and Squamous Lung Cancer: Results From the NCI-MATCH ECOG-ACRIN Trial (EAY131) Subprotocol I

PURPOSE

PIK3CA mutations frequently contribute to oncogenesis in solid tumors. Taselisib, a potent and selective inhibitor of phosphoinositide 3-kinase, has demonstrated clinical activity in PIK3CA-mutant breast cancer. Whether PIK3CA mutations predict sensitivity to taselisib in other cancer types is unknown. National Cancer Institute-Molecular Analysis for Therapy Choice Arm EAY131-I is a single-arm, phase II study of the safety and efficacy of taselisib in patients with advanced cancers.

METHODS

Eligible patients had tumors with an activating PIK3CA mutation. Patients with breast or squamous cell lung carcinoma, or whose cancer had KRAS or PTEN mutations, were excluded. Patients received taselisib 4 mg, orally once daily continuously, until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity. The primary end point was objective response rate. Secondary end points included progression-free survival (PFS), 6-month PFS, overall survival (OS), and identification of predictive biomarkers.

RESULTS

Seventy patients were enrolled, and 61 were eligible and initiated protocol therapy. Types of PIK3CA mutations included helical 41 of 61 (67%), kinase 11 of 61 (18%), and other 9 of 61 (15%). With a median follow-up of 35.7 months, there were no complete or partial responses. Six-month PFS was 19.9% (90% CI, 12.0 to 29.3) and median PFS was 3.1 months (90% CI, 1.8 to 3.7). Six-month OS was 60.7% (90% CI, 49.6 to 70.0) and median OS was 7.2 months (90% CI, 5.9 to 10.0). Individual comutations were too heterogeneous to correlate with clinical outcome. Fatigue, diarrhea, nausea, and hyperglycemia were the most common toxicities, and most were grade 1 and 2.

CONCLUSION

In this study, taselisib monotherapy had very limited activity in a heterogeneous cohort of heavily pretreated cancer patients with PIK3CA-mutated tumors; the presence of a PIK3CA mutation alone does not appear to be a sufficient predictor of taselisib activity.

Fatigue and endocrine symptoms among women with early breast cancer randomized to endocrine versus chemoendocrine therapy: Results from the TAILORx patient-reported outcomes substudy

BACKGROUND

TAILORx (Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment) prospectively assessed fatigue and endocrine symptoms among women with early-stage hormone receptor-positive breast cancer and a midrange risk of recurrence who were randomized to endocrine therapy (E) or chemotherapy followed by endocrine therapy (CT+E).

METHODS

Participants completed the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy-Fatigue, the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System-Fatigue Short Form, and the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Endocrine Symptoms at the baseline and at 3, 6, 12, 24, and 36 months. Linear regression was used to model outcomes on baseline symptoms, treatment, and other factors.

RESULTS

Participants (n = 458) in both treatment arms reported greater fatigue and endocrine symptoms at early follow-up in comparison with the baseline. The magnitude of change in fatigue was significantly greater for the CT+E arm than the E arm at 3 and 6 months but not at 12, 24, or 36 months. The CT+E arm reported significantly greater changes in endocrine symptoms from the baseline to 3 months in comparison with the E arm; change scores were not significantly different at later time points. Endocrine symptom trajectories by treatment differed by menopausal status, with the effect larger and increasing for postmenopausal patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Adjuvant CT+E was associated with greater increases in fatigue and endocrine symptoms at early time points in comparison with E. These differences lessened over time, and this demonstrated early chemotherapy effects more than long-term ones. Treatment arm differences in endocrine symptoms were more evident in postmenopausal patients.

LAY SUMMARY

Participants in TAILORx (Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment) with early-stage hormone receptor-positive breast cancer and an intermediate risk of recurrence were randomly assigned to endocrine or chemoendocrine therapy. Four hundred fifty-eight women reported fatigue and endocrine symptoms at the baseline and at 3, 6, 12, 24, and 36 months. Both groups reported greater symptoms at early follow-up versus the baseline. Increases in fatigue were greater for the chemoendocrine group than the endocrine group at 3 and 6 months but not later. The chemoendocrine group reported greater changes in endocrine symptoms in comparison with the endocrine group at 3 months but not later.

Tolerability of bevacizumab and chemotherapy in a phase 3 clinical trial with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast cancer: A trajectory analysis of adverse events

BACKGROUND

E5103 was a study designed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of bevacizumab. It was a negative trial for the end points of invasive disease-free survival and overall survival. The current work examines the tolerability of bevacizumab and other medication exposures with respect to clinical outcomes and patient-reported outcomes (PROs).

METHODS

Adverse events (AEs) collected from the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events were summarized to form an AE profile at each treatment cycle. All-grade and high-grade events were separately analyzed. The change in the AE profile over the treatment cycle was delineated as distinct AE trajectory clusters. AE-related and any-reason early treatment discontinuations were treated as clinical outcome measures. PROs were measured with the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Breast + Lymphedema. The relationships between the AE trajectory and early treatment discontinuation as well as PROs were analyzed.

RESULTS

More than half of all AEs (57.5%) were low-grade. A cluster of patients with broad and mixed AE (all-grade) trajectory grades was significantly associated with any-reason early treatment discontinuation (odds ratio [OR], 2.87; P = .01) as well as AE-related discontinuation (OR, 4.14; P = .001). This cluster had the highest count of all-grade AEs per cycle in comparison with other clusters. Another cluster of patients with primary neuropathic AEs in their trajectories had poorer physical well-being in comparison with a trajectory of no or few AEs (P < .01). A high-grade AE trajectory did not predict discontinuations.

CONCLUSIONS

A sustained and cumulative burden of across-the-board toxicities, which were not necessarily all recognized as high-grade AEs, contributed to early treatment discontinuation. Patients with neuropathic all-grade AEs may require additional attention for preventing deterioration in their physical well-being.

Abstract LBA003: Erdafitinib in patients with tumors harboring FGFR gene mutations or fusions: Results from the NCI-MATCH ECOG-ACRIN Trial (EAY131) Sub-protocol K2

Background: The NCI-MATCH precision medicine trial assigns patients (pts) with solid tumors, lymphoma, or multiple myeloma whose cancers have progressed on prior treatment to a targeted therapy based on genetic alterations identified in pre-treatment biopsies. Arm K2 (EAY131-K2) evaluated the pan-FGFR inhibitor erdafitinib (E) in pts with FGFR mutations or fusions. Patients and methods: Pts with bladder or urothelial cancers were excluded. Pts received E 8 mg PO daily (28-day cycle) until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity; dose reduction for toxicities was allowed; imaging was performed every 2 cycles. The primary endpoint was objective response rate (ORR); secondary endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS), 6-month PFS, and overall survival (OS). Results: A total of 35 pts were enrolled to this arm from 07/2018-07/2019; one was ineligible and one did not receive treatment. Nine distinct tumor histologies were represented, most common being pancreatobiliary (11), CNS (7) and gynecological tumors (5). 73% of pts were female, with median age of 59y (range 26-83y), 70% were Caucasian, and 61% of pts had received at least 3 prior therapies (range 0-22). Alterations in FGFR1, FGFR2 and FGFR3 were recorded in 6, 18, and 9 evaluable pts, respectively. 18 pt tumors had fusions and 15 had mutations in an FGFR gene. The confirmed ORR was 12% (90% CI 4%, 26%), with a median duration of response (DoR) of 7.3 months (mo), range 4.2-11.7 mo. Responses were seen in cholangiocarcinoma (2 pts), Brenner ovarian tumor and adenoid cystic carcinoma (1 pt each). Two (50%) of these 4 tumors harbored FGFR fusions and 2 FGFR mutations. 13 pts had stable disease (SD). Median PFS was 3.9 mo, and 6-mo PFS was 32.8% (90% CI 21.2%, 50.6%). Median OS was 11.0 mo. Of the 6 pts with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, 2 had PR and 2 SD. The most frequent grade 3 treatment-related AEs were oral mucositis/pain (5 pts), paronychia, electrolyte disorders, and anemia/lymphopenia (2 pts each). There were no treatment-related grade 4-5 toxicities. Toxicities were reversible and manageable with E dose interruptions and/or dose reduction. Conclusions: In this pre-treated, mixed histology cohort with tumors harboring FGFR somatic alterations, E showed activity with durable responses and disease stabilizations outside of currently approved FDA indications, although the pre-specified criterion that the primary endpoint, ORR, be significantly greater than 16% was not reached. Toxicities were consistent with E safety profile. Responses were observed in tumors harboring FGFR fusions as well as in those with mutations of FGFR; further correlative analyses are planned.

Citation Format: Alain C Mita, Zihan Wei, Ingrid A Mayer, Heather Cheng, Edith P Mitchell, John J Wright, Percy Ivy, Robert J Gray, Victoria Wang, Lisa M McShane, Larry V Rubinstein, David R Patton, Mickey Williams, Stanley R Hamilton, Barbara A Conley, Carlos L Arteaga, Lyndsay N Harris, Peter J O'Dwyer, Alice P Chen, Keith T Flaherty. Erdafitinib in patients with tumors harboring FGFR gene mutations or fusions: Results from the NCI-MATCH ECOG-ACRIN Trial (EAY131) Sub-protocol K2 [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR-NCI-EORTC Virtual International Conference on Molecular Targets and Cancer Therapeutics; 2021 Oct 7-10. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Mol Cancer Ther 2021;20(12 Suppl):Abstract nr LBA003.

Deconvolution of multi-Boltzmann x-ray distribution from linear absorption spectrometer via analytical parameter reduction

Accurate characterization of incident radiation is a fundamental challenge for diagnostic design. Herein, we present an efficient spectral analysis routine that is able to characterize multiple components within the spectral emission by analytically reducing the number of parameters. The technique is presented alongside the design of a hard x-ray linear absorption spectrometer using the example of multiple Boltzmann-like spectral distributions; however, it is generally applicable to all absorption based spectrometer designs and can be adapted to any incident spectral shape. This routine is demonstrated to be tolerable to experimental noise and suitable for real-time data processing at multi-Hz repetition rates.

A Multicenter Phase II Trial of Ipilimumab and Nivolumab in Unresectable or Metastatic Metaplastic Breast Cancer: Cohort 36 of Dual Anti-CTLA-4 and Anti-PD-1 Blockade in Rare Tumors (DART, SWOG S1609)

PURPOSE

Metaplastic breast cancer (MpBC) is a rare aggressive subtype that responds poorly to cytotoxics. Median survival is approximately eight months for metastatic disease. We report results for advanced MpBC treated with ipilimumab+nivolumab, a cohort of S1609 for rare cancers (DART: NCT02834013).

METHODS

Prospective, open-label, multicenter phase II (two-stage) trial of ipilimumab (1mg/kg IV q6weeks) plus nivolumab (240mg IV q2weeks) for advanced MpBC. Primary endpoint was objective response rate (ORR). Secondary endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS) and toxicity.

RESULTS

Overall, 17 evaluable patients enrolled. Median age was 60 years (26-85); median number of prior therapy lines, 2 (0-5). ORR was 18%; 3/17 patients achieved objective responses (1 complete, 2 partial responses) (2 spindle cell, 1 chondromyxoid histology), which are ongoing at 28+, 33+ and 34+ months, respectively. Median PFS and OS were 2 and 12 months, respectively. Altogether, 11 patients (65%) experienced adverse events (AEs), including one grade 5 AE. Eight patients (47%) developed an immune-related AE (irAE); with adrenal insufficiency observed in all three responders. Responses occurred in tumors with low tumor mutational burden, low PD-L1 and absent TILs.

CONCLUSION

The ipilimumab and nivolumab combination showed no new safety signals and met its primary endpoint with 18% ORR in advanced, chemotherapy-refractory MpBC. All responses are ongoing at >2 to almost 3 years later. The effect of ipilimumab and nivolumab was associated with exceptional responses in a subset of patients versus no activity. This combination warrants further investigation in MpBC, with special attention to understanding mechanism of action, and carefully designed to weigh against the significant risks of irAEs.

Association of Modifiable Risk Factors With Early Discontinuation of Adjuvant Endocrine Therapy: A Post Hoc Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

Early discontinuation of adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET) is problematic among breast cancer survivors, with previous studies suggesting that up to 50% of women do not adhere to the recommended full 5 years of ET treatment.

OBJECTIVE

To identify the association between early discontinuation of ET in the Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx) and modifiable risk factors, polypharmacy, and types of additional medications such as antidepressants and opioids.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This post hoc analysis includes a subgroup of 954 patients with breast cancer in TAILORx, a randomized clinical trial conducted from April 7, 2006, to October 6, 2010. All participants received a diagnosis of hormone receptor-positive, ERBB2-negative, axillary node-negative breast cancer and started ET within a year of study entry. Analyses were conducted in the intent-to-treat population. Statistical analysis took place from January 15, 2020, to April 6, 2021.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Participants completed measures on cancer-related health-related quality of life including physical well-being and social well-being prior to initiating ET. Early discontinuation of ET was defined as discontinuation less than 4 years from initiation for reasons other than death or recurrence. Kaplan-Meier estimates were used to calculate discontinuation, and Cox proportional hazards regression joint prediction models were used to analyze the association between rates of adherence to ET with patient-level factors.

RESULTS

A total of 954 women (mean [SD] age, 56.6 [8.9] years) were included in this analysis. In a joint model, receipt of chemoendocrine therapy (vs receipt of ET only; hazard ratio [HR], 0.57; 95% CI, 0.35-0.92; P = .02) and age older than 40 years (vs ≤40 years; HR for 41-50 years, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.18-0.85; P = .02; HR for 51-60 years, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.13-0.60; P = .001; HR for 61-70 years, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.18-0.86; P = .02; and HR for >70 years, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.07-0.77; P = .02) were associated with a lower probability of early discontinuation of ET. Adjusted for these factors, a history of depression compared with no history of depression (HR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.19-2.77; P = .005), worse physical well-being compared with better physical well-being (HR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.30-3.45; P = .002), and worse social well-being compared with better social well-being (HR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.20-3.13; P = .006) were individually and significantly associated with a higher probability of early discontinuation of ET. Only antidepressant use at study baseline was associated with early discontinuation (HR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.23-2.84; P = .003).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this post hoc analysis of a randomized clinical trial, baseline patient-reported health-related quality of life components, such as poor social well-being, poor physical well-being, and comorbid depression, were significant risk factors for early discontinuation of endocrine therapies. These results support systematic screening for patient-reported outcomes and depressive symptoms to identify women at risk for discontinuation of ET.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00310180.