Prognostic implication of activated partial thromboplastin time after reteplase or half-dose reteplase plus abciximab: results from the GUSTO-V trial

AIMS

To evaluate the relationship between activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) and clinical outcomes in the Global Use of Strategies to Open Occluded Coronary Arteries (GUSTO-V) trial comparing standard-dose reteplase to half-dose reteplase and abciximab.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analysed data on 11,420 patients receiving unfractionated heparin. Peak aPTT levels recorded during the hospitalization were correlated with clinical outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression models examined the relationship between peak aPTT levels and (i) moderate-to-severe bleeding, (ii) intracerebral haemorrhage, (iii) reinfarction, and (iv) 30-day mortality. Non-linear relationships were explored in the models using cubic spline functions. Higher rates of significant complications were seen in both groups when aPTT levels were <50 s or when levels were >70 s. In the combination therapy group, the relationship between aPTT levels and bleeding appeared accentuated. Reinfarction rates increased gradually as aPTT levels were >70 s in both groups, but the relationships were not statistically significant. Peak aPTT levels <50 s were associated with increased 30-day mortality even after multivariable adjustment.

CONCLUSION

Peak aPTT levels <50 s and >70 s are associated with worse clinical outcomes in the modern era of fibrinolytic therapy; these relationships are different in patients receiving standard reteplase vs. combination therapy.

Times to Treatment in Transfer Patients Undergoing Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in the United States

BACKGROUND

Treatment delays in patients with ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) transferred for primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) may decrease the advantage of this strategy over on-site fibrinolytic therapy that has been demonstrated in recent clinical trials. Accordingly, we sought to describe patterns of times to treatment in patients undergoing interhospital transfer for primary PCI in the United States.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analyzed patients with STEMI undergoing interhospital transfer for primary PCI between January 1999 and December 2002 in the National Registry of Myocardial Infarction. The primary outcome was "total" door-to-balloon time measured from time of arrival at the initial hospital to time of balloon inflation at the PCI hospital. Multivariable hierarchical models were used to assess the relationship of total door-to-balloon time with patient and hospital characteristics. Among 4278 patients transferred for primary PCI at 419 hospitals, the median total door-to-balloon time was 180 minutes, with only 4.2% of patients treated within 90 minutes, the benchmark recommended by national quality guidelines. Comorbid conditions, absence of chest pain, delayed presentation after symptom onset, less specific ECG findings, and hospital presentation during off-hours were associated with longer total door-to-balloon times. Patients at teaching hospitals in rural areas also had significantly longer times to treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Total door-to-balloon times for transfer patients undergoing primary PCI in the United States rarely achieve guideline-recommended benchmarks, and current decision making should take these times into account. For the full benefits of primary PCI to be realized in transfer patients, improved systems are urgently needed to minimize total door-to-balloon times.

Impact of patient risk on the hospital volume-outcome relationship in coronary artery bypass grafting

BACKGROUND

The impact of surgical risk on the relationship between hospital volume and outcomes in coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is uncertain. We assessed (1) whether in-hospital mortality rates differ across lower- and higher-volume hospitals by expected surgical risk and (2) whether high-risk patients are more likely to undergo CABG at low-volume centers.

METHODS

We used clinical data on 27,355 adults who underwent CABG at 68 hospitals in California between 1997 and 1998. Hospitals were divided into low-volume (n=44), medium-volume (n=19), and high-volume (n=5) categories on the basis of tertiles of annual CABG volume. Using hierarchical logistic regression and log-binomial regression models, we assessed for differences in in-hospital mortality rates across hospital volume categories and the likelihood of CABG being performed in each hospital volume category after adjusting for expected surgical risk.

RESULTS

Differences in adjusted in-hospital mortality rates between low- and high-volume centers rose as the expected risk of in-hospital death increased: 0.8% vs 0.4% at the 20th risk percentile and 3.8% vs 2.5% at the 80th risk percentile (P<.001 for all comparisons). While a similar trend was seen between medium- and high-volume centers, absolute differences were substantially smaller. The likelihood of patients having surgery at a low-volume center also rose significantly with expected surgical risk (relative risk of undergoing CABG at a low-volume center for patients at 80th vs 20th risk percentile, 1.29 [95% confidence interval, 1.14-1.51; P<.001]).

CONCLUSION

High-risk patients are more likely to undergo CABG at low-volume facilities where their risk of dying is higher.

Is acetylcysteine effective in preventing contrast-related nephropathy? A meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Clinical trials evaluating acetylcysteine for the prevention of contrast-related nephropathy have reported mixed results. Although previous meta-analyses have concluded that acetylcysteine is beneficial, the recent availability of additional trials calls for reassessment of current evidence.

METHODS

We performed a computerized search to identify relevant published and unpublished randomized clinical trials that evaluated acetylcysteine for the prevention of contrast-related nephropathy. Abstracted data from each trial included assessments of clinical outcomes, trial quality, and additional characteristics. The primary outcome of interest was the incidence of nephropathy after contrast administration. Data were combined using random-effects models with the performance of standard tests to assess for heterogeneity and publication bias. Subgroup analyses were also performed.

RESULTS

Twenty trials involving 2195 patients met our inclusion criteria. Trials varied in patient demographic characteristics, inclusion criteria, dosing regimens, and trial quality. The summary risk ratio for contrast-related nephropathy was 0.73 (95% confidence interval: 0.52 to 1.0; P = 0.08), a nonsignificant trend towards benefit in patients treated with acetylcysteine. This effect varied, however, across the 20 trials (test of heterogeneity, P = 0.04). Although higher-quality trials demonstrated a stronger benefit for acetylcysteine in general, few reported important elements of study design, such as concealment of allocation, placebo-controls, or double-blinding. Heterogeneity was unexplained by subgroup analyses.

CONCLUSION

Acetylcysteine may reduce the incidence of contrast-related nephropathy, but this finding is reported inconsistently across currently available trials. High-quality, large clinical trials are needed before acetylcysteine use in this indication can be recommended universally.

Primary percutaneous coronary intervention versus fibrinolytic therapy in acute myocardial infarction: does the choice of fibrinolytic agent impact on the importance of time-to-treatment?

The mortality benefit associated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction may be lost if door-to-balloon time is delayed by >1 hour compared with tissue plasminogen activator therapy door-to-needle time. When a substantial delay in initiating primary PCI is likely, reperfusion therapy with second- or third-generation fibrinolytic agents should be strongly considered.

Do physicians examine patients in contact isolation less frequently? A brief report

BACKGROUND

Patients who are hospitalized and infected with multidrug-resistant bacteria are usually placed in contact isolation, which requires hospital personnel to gown and glove before patient examination. Contact isolation with active culture surveillance appears beneficial in preventing the spread of drug-resistant infections; however, contact isolation may impede the ability to examine patients as a result of the additional effort required to gown and glove. We assessed whether patients who are hospitalized and placed under contact precautions are examined less often by second- and third-year medical residents (ie, senior medical residents), and attending physicians during morning rounds.

METHOD

We conducted a prospective cohort study on the inpatient medical services at 2 university-affiliated medical centers. We directly observed senior medical residents and attending physicians during morning rounds, and recorded the contact precaution status of the patient and whether they were examined by either physician.

RESULTS

Of a total of 139 patients, 31 (22%) were in contact isolation. Senior medical residents examined 26 of 31 patients (84%) in contact isolation versus 94 of 108 patients (87%) not in contact isolation (relative risk, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-1.14; P =.58). In comparison, attending physicians examined 11 of 31 patients (35%) in contact isolation versus 79 of 108 patients (73%) not in contact isolation (relative risk, 0.49; 95% confidence interval, 0.30-0.79; P <.001).

DISCUSSION

Attending physicians are about half as likely to examine patients in contact isolation compared with patients not in contact isolation.

Rates of infection for single-lumen versus multilumen central venous catheters: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Since the introduction of multilumen central venous catheters two decades ago, there has been controversy whether the additional lumens place patients with these catheters at higher risk for infection. Our objective was to determine the risk of catheter-related bloodstream infection (CRBSI) and catheter colonization in multilumen catheters compared with single-lumen catheters.

DATA SOURCE

Studies were identified by a computerized search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, Current Contents, and PREMEDLINE databases and by review of bibliographies and expert consultation. Studies comparing the prevalence of CRBSI or catheter colonization among single-, double-, and triple-lumen central venous catheters were included. We excluded studies if they included central venous catheters that were long-term, cuffed, tunneled, or coated with antibiotic or antiseptic agents.

DATA ABSTRACTION

Two independent reviewers abstracted data on: 1) risk factors for CRBSI and colonization, 2) outcome definitions used, 3) the absolute prevalence of CRBSI and catheter colonization, and 4) study design and quality.

DATA SYNTHESIS

A total of 15 studies met inclusion criteria. Summary odds ratios were calculated using a random-effects model. Although CRBSI was more common in multilumen catheters (summary odds ratios, 2.15; 95% confidence interval, 1.00-4.66), catheter colonization was not (summary odds ratios, 1.78; 95% confidence interval, 0.92-3.47). Tests for heterogeneity, however, suggested substantial variation by study. When only studies of higher quality were included, multilumen catheters were found not to be associated with a significant increase in CRBSI prevalence (summary odds ratios, 1.30; 95% confidence interval, 0.50-3.41).

CONCLUSIONS

Multilumen central venous catheters may be associated with a slightly higher risk of infection when compared with single-lumen catheters; however, this relationship diminishes when only high-quality studies that control for patient differences are considered. The slight increase in infectious risk when using multilumen catheters is likely offset by their improved convenience, thereby justifying the continued use of multilumen vascular catheters.

Percutaneous coronary intervention versus fibrinolytic therapy in acute myocardial infarction: is timing (almost) everything?

The mortality benefit associated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction may be lost if door-to-balloon time is delayed by >1 hour as compared with fibrinolytic therapy door-to-needle time. Interventional cardiology laboratories endeavoring to achieve the benefits of primary percutaneous coronary intervention seen in randomized clinical trials should aim to match their short door-to-balloon times.

Long-term prognostic implication of extracardiac vascular disease in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention

Patients with extracardiac vascular disease were identified from 2,372 consecutive percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) cases performed between 1997 and 2001. After multivariate adjustment, we found the presence of extracardiac vascular disease to be associated with a significantly higher risk for late mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.0 to 2.0, p = 0.029). When extracardiac vascular disease was separated into cerebrovascular disease and peripheral vascular disease, cerebrovascular disease was less common but was associated with a trend towards worse survival.

Syncope in acute aortic dissection: diagnostic, prognostic, and clinical implications

BACKGROUND

Syncope is a well-recognized symptom of acute aortic dissection, often indicating the development of dangerous complications such as cardiac tamponade.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

We identified consecutive patients with acute aortic dissection at 18 referral centers in six countries. Data on key clinical findings and outcomes were collected via extensive questionnaires. Multiple logistic regression models were used to determine the association between syncope and in-hospital mortality, adjusting for demographic characteristics, dissection type, comorbid conditions, and complications (e.g., cardiac tamponade).

RESULTS

Syncope was reported in 96 (13%) of 728 patients. Patients with syncope were more likely to die in the hospital (34% [n = 33 deaths]) than were those without syncope (23% [144/632], P = 0.01). They were also more likely to have cardiac tamponade (28% [n = 27] vs. 8% [n = 49], P <0.001), stroke (18% [n = 17] vs. 4% [n = 27], P <0.001), and other neurologic deficits (25% [n = 24] vs. 14% [n = 88], P = 0.005). After multivariate adjustment, clinical factors independently associated with the occurrence of syncope included a proximal dissection (odds ratio [OR] = 5.5; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.5 to 12; P <0.001), cardiac tamponade (OR = 3.1; 95% CI: 1.7 to 5.4; P <0.001), and stroke (OR = 3.5; 95% CI: 1.7 to 7.2; P = 0.001). There was a significant association between in-hospital death and syncope after adjustment for demographic characteristics alone (OR = 2.0; 95% CI: 1.2 to 3.5; P = 0.01), but not after adjustment for dissection type, comorbid conditions, and complications.

CONCLUSION

Patients with dissections complicated by cardiac tamponade or stroke are significantly more likely to present with syncope. If these complications are excluded, syncope alone does not appear to increase the risk of death independently.

Coronary artery bypass grafting in octogenarians: clinical and economic outcomes at community-based healthcare facilities

BACKGROUND

Results of recent studies from high-volume academic centers suggest that coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is becoming safer to perform in octogenarians. Similar data from community-based facilities do not exist.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the clinical and economic outcomes of nonemergency CABG in 338 octogenarians at 27 community-based facilities across the United States.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort analysis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Multivariate analyses were used to compare (1) in-hospital mortality rates, (2) rates of discharge to extended-care facilities, (3) lengths of stay, and (4) in-hospital costs between octogenarians and younger patients.

RESULTS

Of 338 patients 80 years or older, the in-hospital mortality rate was higher (4.7% vs 2.1%; P = .002), the rate of discharge to extended-care facilities was greater (24.9% vs 4.8%; P < .001), the length of stay was longer (9.6 vs 7.9 days; P < .001), and in-hospital costs were higher ($20,188 vs $18,196; P < .001) compared with patients younger than 80 years. After adjusting for several covariates, we found that octogenarians were at significantly greater risk of experiencing in-hospital deaths (odds ratio, 4.6; P = .001), of being discharged to extended-care facilities (odds ratio, 28.4; P < .001), and of having longer lengths of stay (difference, 0.7 days; P = .002) than were patients aged 50 to 59 years.

CONCLUSION

At these 27 community-based facilities, the in-hospital mortality for nonemergency CABG in octogenarians was 4.7%; however, nearly 25% of surviving octogenarians were discharged to extended-care facilities.

When zebras run with horses: the diagnostic dilemma of acute aortic dissection complicated by myocardial infarction

In this issue of the Journal, Pinney and Wasserman describe the case of a patient who survives acute aortic dissection complicated by occlusion of the left main coronary ostium and anterior myocardial infarction (MI), due in part to the fortuitous presence of an anomalous left circumflex artery. The case illustrates the challenges of diagnosing aortic dissection, even in the current era of accurate and rapid aortic imaging, in individuals with concurrent acute MI. These comments are focused in this comment on two key aspects of the case: (1) How commonly do acute aortic dissections lead to myocardial ischemia and MI? and (2) When should clinicians consider ruling out acute aortic dissection in the setting of acute MI?

Does this woman have an acute uncomplicated urinary tract infection?

CONTEXT

Symptoms suggestive of acute urinary tract infection (UTI) constitute one of the most common reasons for women to visit clinicians. Although the clinical encounter typically involves taking a history and performing a physical examination, the diagnostic accuracy of the clinical assessment for UTI remains uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

To review the accuracy and precision of history taking and physical examination for the diagnosis of UTI in women.

DATA SOURCES

We conducted a MEDLINE search for articles published from 1966 through September 2001 and manually reviewed bibliographies, 3 commonly used clinical skills textbooks, and contacted experts in the field.

STUDY SELECTION

Studies were included if they contained original data on the accuracy or precision of history or physical examination for diagnosing acute uncomplicated UTI in women. One author initially screened titles and abstracts found by our search. Nine of 464 identified studies met inclusion criteria.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two authors independently abstracted data from the included studies. Disagreements were resolved by discussion and consensus with a third author.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Four symptoms and 1 sign significantly increased the probability of UTI: dysuria (summary positive likelihood ratio [LR], 1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2-2.0), frequency (LR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1-3.0), hematuria (LR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.3-2.9), back pain (LR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2-2.1), and costovertebral angle tenderness (LR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.1-2.5). Four symptoms and 1 sign significantly decreased the probability of UTI: absence of dysuria (summary negative LR, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.3-0.7), absence of back pain (LR, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.7-0.9), history of vaginal discharge (LR, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.1-0.9), history of vaginal irritation (LR, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.1-0.9), and vaginal discharge on examination (LR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.5-0.9). Of all individual diagnostic signs and symptoms, the 2 most powerful were history of vaginal discharge and history of vaginal irritation, which significantly decreased the likelihood of UTI when present (LRs, 0.3 and 0.2, respectively). One study examined combinations of symptoms, and the resulting LRs were more powerful (24.6 for the combination of dysuria and frequency but no vaginal discharge or irritation). One study of patients with recurrent UTI found that self-diagnosis significantly increased the probability of UTI (LR, 4.0).

CONCLUSIONS

In women who present with 1 or more symptoms of UTI, the probability of infection is approximately 50%. Specific combinations of symptoms (eg, dysuria and frequency without vaginal discharge or irritation) raise the probability of UTI to more than 90%, effectively ruling in the diagnosis based on history alone. In contrast, history taking, physical examination, and dipstick urinalysis are not able to reliably lower the posttest probability of disease to a level where a UTI can be ruled out when a patient presents with 1 or more symptoms.

Homocyst(e)ine and coronary heart disease: pharmacoeconomic support for interventions to lower hyperhomocyst(e)inaemia

Homocyst(e)ine, a sulphur-containing amino acid, is an intermediate formed during the metabolism of the essential amino acid methionine. Biological and epidemiological evidence suggest that elevated plasma levels of homocyst(e)ine are a risk factor for atherosclerosis and coronary heart disease (CHD). In the general US population, hyperhomocyst(e)inaemia is common and most often due to mild nutritional deficiencies in the B vitamins (folic acid, vitamin B(12) and vitamin B(6)). While high homocyst(e)ine levels can be effectively lowered using folic acid and other B vitamins, it is unknown whether such vitamin therapy will lead to clinical benefits. Given that strategies for homocyst(e)ine-lowering are safe and inexpensive, however, even small reductions in CHD risk will be highly cost effective. Thus, it may be prudent for patients to ensure an adequate daily intake of dietary folic acid and other B vitamins and for physicians to screen high-risk adults such as those with established CHD as we await definitive results from ongoing clinical trials.

The role of hospital volume in coronary artery bypass grafting: is more always better?

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to determine whether outcomes of nonemergent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) differed between low- and high-volume hospitals in patients at different levels of surgical risk.

BACKGROUND

Regionalizing all CABG surgeries from low- to high-volume hospitals could improve surgical outcomes but reduce patient access and choice. "Targeted" regionalization could be a reasonable alternative, however, if subgroups of patients that would clearly benefit from care at high-volume hospitals could be identified.

METHODS

We assessed outcomes of CABG at 56 U.S. hospitals using 1997 administrative and clinical data from Solucient EXPLORE, a national outcomes benchmarking database. Predicted in-hospital mortality rates for subjects were calculated using a logistic regression model, and subjects were classified into five groups based on surgical risk: minimal (< 0.5%), low (0.5% to 2%), moderate (2% to 5%), high (5% to 20%), and severe (> or =20%). We assessed differences in in-hospital mortality, hospital costs and length of stay between low- and high-volume facilities (defined as > or =200 annual cases) in each of the five risk groups.

RESULTS

A total of 2,029 subjects who underwent CABG at 25 low-volume hospitals and 11,615 subjects who underwent CABG at 31 high-volume hospitals were identified. Significant differences in in-hospital mortality were seen between low- and high-volume facilities in subjects at moderate (5.3% vs. 2.2%; p = 0.007) and high risk (22.6% vs. 11.9%; p = 0.0026) but not in those at minimal, low or severe risk. Hospital costs and lengths of stay were similar across each of the five risk groups. Based on these results, targeted regionalization of subjects at moderate risk or higher to high-volume hospitals would have resulted in an estimated 370 transfers and avoided 16 deaths; in contrast, full regionalization would have led to 2,029 transfers and avoided 20 deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

Targeted regionalization might be a feasible strategy for balancing the clinical benefits of regionalization with patients' desires for choice and access.

Coronary artery bypass grafting in Native Americans: a higher risk of death compared to other ethnic groups?

BACKGROUND

While the efficacy and safety of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) has been established in several clinical trials, little is known about its outcomes in Native Americans.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We assessed clinical outcomes associated with CABG in 155 Native Americans using a national database of 18,061 patients from 25 nongovernmental, not-for-profit U.S. health care facilities. Patients were classified into five groups: 1) Native American, 2) white, 3) African American, 4) Hispanic, and 5) Asian. We evaluated for ethnic differences in in-hospital mortality and length of stay, and after adjusting for age, gender, surgical priority, case-mix severity, insurance status, and facility characteristics (volume, location, and teaching status). Overall, we found the adjusted risk for in-hospital death to be higher in Native Americans when compared to whites (odds ratio [OR], 3.8; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.5 to 9.8), African Americans (OR, 3.4; 95% CI, 1.1 to 9.9), Hispanics (OR, 7.1; 95% CI, 2.5 to 20.3), and Asians (OR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.1 to 7.0). No significant differences were found in length of stay after adjustment across ethnic groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of in-hospital death following CABG may be higher in Native Americans than in other ethnic groups. Given the small number of Native Americans in the database (n = 155), however, further research will be needed to confirm these findings.

Electron-beam computed tomography in the diagnosis of coronary artery disease: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Electron-beam computed tomography (EBCT) is a new, noninvasive method of detecting coronary artery calcification that is being increasingly advocated as a diagnostic test for coronary artery disease (CAD). Before its clinical use is justified, however, the overall accuracy of EBCT must be better defined.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the accuracy of EBCT in diagnosing obstructive CAD.

DATA SOURCES

English-language studies from January 1, 1979, through February 29, 2000, were retrieved using MEDLINE and Current Contents databases, bibliographies, and expert consultation.

STUDY SELECTION

We included a study if it (1) used EBCT as a diagnostic test; (2) reported cases in absolute numbers of true-positive, false-positive, true-negative, and false-negative results; and (3) used coronary angiography as the reference standard for diagnosing obstructive CAD (defined as > or = 50% diameter stenosis).

DATA EXTRACTION

Data were extracted from the included articles by 2 independent reviewers.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Weighted pooled analysis and summary receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were used to determine sensitivity and specificity rates. Results from 9 studies with 1662 subjects were included. Pooled sensitivity for EBCT was 92.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 90.7%-94.0%) and pooled specificity was 51.2% (95% CI, 47.5%-54.9%). Maximum joint sensitivity and specificity for EBCT from its summary ROC curve was 75%. As the threshold for defining an abnormal test varied, sensitivity and specificity changed. For a threshold that resulted in a sensitivity of 90%, specificity was 54%; when sensitivity was 80%, specificity rose to 71%.

CONCLUSION

The performance of EBCT as a diagnostic test for obstructive CAD is reasonable based on sensitivity and specificity rates from its summary ROC curve.

Potential clinical and economic effects of homocyst(e)ine lowering

BACKGROUND

Elevated total homocyst(e)ine levels (>/=11 micromol/L) have been identified as a potential risk factor for coronary heart disease. However, the benefits expected from lowering homocyst(e)ine levels with folic acid and vitamin B(12) supplementation have yet to be demonstrated in clinical trials.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

We constructed a decision analytic model to estimate the clinical benefits and economic costs of 2 homocyst(e)ine-lowering strategies: (1) "treat all"-no screening, daily supplementation with folic acid (400 microg) and vitamin B(12) (cyanocobalamin; 500 microg) for all; (2) "screen and treat"-screening, followed by daily supplementation with folic acid and vitamin B(12) for individuals with elevated homocyst(e)ine levels. Simulated cohorts of 40-year-old men and 50-year-old women in the general population were evaluated. In the base-case analysis, we assumed that lowering elevated levels would reduce excess coronary heart disease risk by 40%; however, this assumption and others were evaluated across a broad range of potential values using sensitivity analysis. Primary outcomes were discounted costs per life-year saved.

RESULTS

Although the treat-all strategy was slightly more effective overall, the screen and treat strategy resulted in a much lower cost per life-year saved ($13,600 in men and $27,500 in women) when compared with no intervention. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for the treat-all strategy compared with the screen and treat strategy were more than $500,000 per life-year saved in both cohorts. Sensitivity analysis showed that cost-effectiveness ratios for the screen and treat strategy remained less than $50,000 per life-year saved under several unfavorable scenarios, such as when effective homocyst(e)ine lowering was assumed to reduce the relative risk of coronary heart disease-related death by only 11% in men or 23% in women.

CONCLUSIONS

Homocyst(e)ine lowering with folic acid and vitamin B(12) supplementation could result in substantial clinical benefits at reasonable costs. If homocyst-(e)ine lowering is considered, a screen and treat strategy is likely to be more cost-effective than universal supplementation. Arch Intern Med. 2000;160:3406-3412.