Low skeletal muscle mass as a risk factor for postoperative delirium in elderly patients undergoing colorectal cancer surgery

Background

Both low skeletal muscle mass (LSMM) and delirium are frequently seen in elderly patients. This study aimed to investigate the association between preoperative LSMM and postoperative delirium (POD) in elderly patients undergoing colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery and to design a model to predict POD.

Patients and methods

This is a retrospective observational cohort study. Patients aged 70 years or older undergoing CRC surgery from January 2013 to October 2015 were included in this study. The cross-sectional skeletal muscle area at the level of the third lumbar vertebra using computed tomography was adjusted for patients' height, resulting in the skeletal muscle index. The lowest quartile per sex was defined as LSMM. Short Nutritional Assessment Questionnaire for Residential Care and KATZ-Activities of Daily Living were used to define malnourishment and physical dependency, respectively. POD was diagnosed using the Delirium Observational Screening Scale and geriatricians' notes.

Results

Median age of the 251 included patients was 76 years (IQR, 73-80 years), of whom 56% of patients were males, 24% malnourished, and 15% physically impaired. LSMM and POD were diagnosed in 65 and 33 (13%) patients, respectively. POD occurred significantly more in patients with LSMM (25%) compared with patients without LSMM (10%), P=0.006. In the multivariate analysis, age, history of delirium, and LSMM were significantly associated with POD. In addition, this effect increased in patients with LSMM and malnourishment (P=0.019) or physical dependency (P=0.017).

Conclusion

Age, history of delirium, LSMM, and malnourishment or physical dependency were independently associated with POD. Our nomogram could be used to identify patients at an increased risk for delirium. These patients may benefit from intensive monitoring to prevent POD.

The impact of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio among patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelets-to-lymphocyte ratio may be host factors associated with prognosis. We sought to determine whether neutrophil-to-lymphocyte and platelets-to-lymphocyte ratio were associated with overall survival among patients undergoing surgery for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

METHODS

Patients who underwent resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma between 1990 and 2015 were identified from 12 major centers. Clinicopathologic factors and overall survival were compared among patients stratified by neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelets-to-lymphocyte ratio. Risk factors identified on multivariable analysis were included in a prognostic model and the discrimination was assessed using Harrell's concordance index (C index).

RESULTS

A total of 991 patients were identified. Median neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelets-to-lymphocyte ratio were 2.7 (interquartile range [IQR]: 2.0-4.0) and 109.6 (IQR: 72.4-158.8), respectively. Preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio was elevated (≥5) in 100 patients (10.0%) and preoperative platelets-to-lymphocyte ratio (≥190) in 94 patients (15.2%). Patients with low and high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelets-to-lymphocyte ratio generally had similar baseline characteristics with regard to tumor characteristics. Overall survival was 37.7 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 32.7-42.6); 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival was 78.8%, 51.6%, and 39.3%, respectively. Patients with an neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio <5 had a median survival of 47.1 months (95% CI: 37.9-53.3) compared with a median survival of 21.9 months (95% CI: 4.8-39.1) among patients with an neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥5 (P = .001). In contrast, patients who had a platelets-to-lymphocyte ratio <190 vs platelets-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥190 had comparable long-term survival (P > .05). On multivariable analysis, an elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio was independently associated with decreased overall survival (hazard ratio: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.01-1.07; P = .002). Patients could be stratified into low- versus high-risk groups based on standard tumor-specific factors such as lymph node status, tumor size, number, and vascular invasion (C index 0.62). When neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio was added to the prognostic model, the discriminatory ability of the model improved (C index 0.71).

CONCLUSION

Elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio was independently associated with worse overall survival and improved the prognostic estimation of long-term survival among patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma undergoing resection.

A preoperative prognostic model to predict surgical success in patients with perihilar cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Patients with resectable perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHC) on imaging have a substantial risk of metastatic or locally advanced disease, incomplete (R1) resection, and 90-day mortality. Our aim was to develop a preoperative prognostic model to predict surgical success, defined as a complete (R0) resection without 90-day mortality, in patients with resectable PHC on imaging.

STUDY DESIGN

Patients with PHC who underwent exploratory laparotomy in three tertiary referral centers were identified. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify preoperatively available prognostic factors. A prognostic model was developed using data from two European centers and validated in one American center.

RESULTS

In total, 671 patients with PHC underwent exploratory laparotomy. In the derivation cohort, surgical success was achieved in 102 of 331 patients (30.8%). No resection was performed in 176 patients (53.2%) because of metastatic or locally advanced disease. Of the 155 patients (46.8%) who underwent a resection, 38 (24.5%) had an R1-resection. Of the remaining 117 (35.3%), 15 (12.8%) had 90-day mortality. Independent poor prognostic factors for surgical success were identified, and a preoperative prognostic model was developed with a concordance index of 0.71. External validation showed good concordance (0.70).

CONCLUSION

Surgical success was achieved in only 30% of patients with PHC undergoing exploratory laparotomy and could be predicted by age, cholangitis, hepatic artery involvement, lymph node metastases, and Blumgart stage.

Association of BRAF Mutations With Survival and Recurrence in Surgically Treated Patients With Metastatic Colorectal Liver Cancer

Importance

BRAF mutations are reportedly associated with aggressive tumor biology. However, in contrast with primary colorectal cancer, the association of V600E and non-V600E BRAF mutations with survival and recurrence after resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) has not been well studied.

Objective

To investigate the prognostic association of BRAF mutations with survival and recurrence independently and compared with other prognostic determinants, such as KRAS mutations.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this cohort study, all patients who underwent resection for CRLM with curative intent from January 1, 2000, through December 31, 2016, at the institutions participating in the International Genetic Consortium for Colorectal Liver Metastasis and had data on BRAF and KRAS mutational status were retrospectively identified. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess long-term outcomes.

Interventions

Hepatectomy in patients with CRLM.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The association of V600E and non-V600E BRAF mutations with disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).

Results

Of 853 patients who met inclusion criteria (510 men [59.8%] and 343 women [40.2%]; mean [SD] age, 60.2 [12.4] years), 849 were included in the study analyses. Forty-three (5.1%) had a mutated (mut) BRAF/wild-type (wt) KRAS (V600E and non-V600E) genotype; 480 (56.5%), a wtBRAF/wtKRAS genotype; and 326 (38.4%), a wtBRAF/mutKRAS genotype. Compared with the wtBRAF/wtKRAS genotype group, patients with a mutBRAF/wtKRAS genotype more frequently were female (27 [62.8%] vs 169 [35.2%]) and 65 years or older (22 [51.2%] vs 176 [36.9%]), had right-sided primary tumors (27 [62.8%] vs 83 [17.4%]), and presented with a metachronous liver metastasis (28 [64.3%] vs 229 [46.8%]). On multivariable analysis, V600E but not non-V600E BRAF mutation was associated with worse OS (hazard ratio [HR], 2.76; 95% CI, 1.74-4.37; P < .001) and DFS (HR, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.30-3.20; P = .002). The V600E BRAF mutation had a stronger association with OS and DFS than the KRAS mutations (β for OS, 10.15 vs 2.94; β for DFS, 7.14 vs 2.27).

Conclusions and Relevance

The presence of the V600E BRAF mutation was associated with worse prognosis and increased risk of recurrence. The V600E mutation was not only a stronger prognostic factor than KRAS but also was the strongest prognostic determinant in the overall cohort.

Colorectal Liver Metastases: Does the Future of Precision Medicine Lie in Genetic Testing?

Colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) present an important clinical challenge in both surgical and medical oncology. Despite improvements in management, survival among patients undergoing resection of CRLM is still very variable and there is a paucity of clinical trial data and reliable biomarkers that could guide prognostic forecasts, treatment selection, and follow-up. Fortunately, recent advances in molecular biology and tumor sequencing have identified a number of critical genetic loci and proliferation markers that may hold the key to understanding the biologic behavior of CRLM; specifically, mutations of KRAS, BRAF, TP53, PIK3CA, APC, expression of Ki-67, and the presence of microsatellite instability appear to have a decisive impact on prognosis and response to treatment in patients with CRLM. While the applicability of genetic biomarkers in everyday clinical practice remains conditional on the development of inexpensive bedside sequencing, targeted therapies, and the conduct of appropriate clinical trials, the promise of personalized treatment may be closer to realization than ever before.

Double KRAS and BRAF Mutations in Surgically Treated Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases: An International, Multi-institutional Case Series

BACKGROUND

While previously believed to be mutually exclusive, concomitant mutation of Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (KRAS)- and V-raf murine sarcoma b-viral oncogene homolog B1 (BRAF)-mutated colorectal carcinoma (CRC), has been described in rare instances and been associated with advanced-stage disease. The present case series is the first to report on the implications of concurrent KRAS/BRAF mutations among surgically treated patients, and the largest set of patients with surgically treated colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) and data on KRAS/BRAF mutational status thus far described.

CASE SERIES

We present cases from an international, multi-institutional cohort of patients that underwent hepatic resection for CRLM between 2000-2015 at seven tertiary centers. The incidence of KRAS/BRAF mutation in patients with CRLM was 0.5% (4/820). Of these cases, patient 1 (T2N1 primary, G13D/V600E), patient 2 (T3N1 primary, G12V/V600E) and patient 3 (T4N2 primary, G13D/D594N) succumbed to their disease within 485, 236 and 79 days respectively, post-hepatic resection. Patient 4 (T4 primary, G12S/G469S) was alive 416 days after hepatic resection.

CONCLUSION

The present case series suggests that the incidence of concomitant KRAS/BRAF mutations in surgical cohorts may be higher than previously hypothesized, and associated with more variable survival outcomes than expected.

Genetic And Morphological Evaluation (GAME) score for patients with colorectal liver metastases

BACKGROUND

This study sought to develop a clinical risk score for resectable colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) by combining clinicopathological and clinically available biological indicators, including KRAS.

METHODS

A cohort of patients who underwent resection for CRLM at the Johns Hopkins Hospital (JHH) was analysed to identify independent predictors of overall survival (OS) that can be assessed before operation; these factors were combined into the Genetic And Morphological Evaluation (GAME) score. The score was compared with the current standard (Fong score) and validated in an external cohort of patients from the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC).

RESULTS

Six preoperative predictors of worse OS were identified on multivariable Cox regression analysis in the JHH cohort (502 patients). The GAME score was calculated by allocating points to each patient according to the presence of these predictive factors: KRAS-mutated tumours (1 point); carcinoembryonic antigen level 20 ng/ml or more (1 point), primary tumour lymph node metastasis (1 point); Tumour Burden Score between 3 and 8 (1 point) or 9 and over (2 points); and extrahepatic disease (2 points). The high-risk group in the JHH cohort (GAME score at least 4 points) had a 5-year OS rate of 11 per cent, compared with 73·4 per cent for those in the low-risk group (score 0-1 point). Importantly, in cohorts from both the JHH and MSKCC (747 patients), the discriminatory capacity of the GAME score was superior to that of the Fong score, as demonstrated by the C-index and the Akaike information criterion.

CONCLUSION

The GAME score is a preoperative prognostic tool that can be used to inform treatment selection.

A model including sarcopenia surpasses the MELD score in predicting waiting list mortality in cirrhotic liver transplant candidates: A competing risk analysis in a national cohort

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Frail patients with low model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores may be under-prioritised. Low skeletal muscle mass, namely sarcopenia, has been identified as a risk factor for waiting list mortality. A recent study proposed incorporating sarcopenia in the MELD score (MELD-Sarcopenia score). We aimed to investigate the association between sarcopenia and waiting list mortality, and to validate the MELD-Sarcopenia score (i.e. MELD + 10.35 * Sarcopenia).

METHODS

We identified consecutive patients with cirrhosis listed for liver transplantation in the Eurotransplant registry between 2007-2014 and measured skeletal muscle mass on computed tomography. A competing risk analysis was used to compare survival of patients with and without sarcopenia, and concordance (c) indices were calculated to assess performance of the MELD and MELD-Sarcopenia score. We created a nomogram of the best predictive model.

RESULTS

We included 585 patients with a median MELD score of 14 (interquartile range 9-19), of which 254 (43.4%) were identified as having sarcopenia. Median waiting list survival was shorter in patients with sarcopenia than those without (p <0.001). This effect was even more pronounced in patients with MELD ≤15. The discriminative performance of the MELD-Sarcopenia score (c-index 0.820) for three-month mortality was lower than MELD score alone (c-index 0.839). Apart from sarcopenia and MELD score, other predictive variables were occurrence of hepatic encephalopathy before listing and recipient age. A model including all these variables yielded a c-index of 0.851.

CONCLUSIONS

Sarcopenia was associated with waiting list mortality in liver transplant candidates with cirrhosis, particularly in patients with lower MELD scores. The MELD-Sarcopenia score was successfully validated in this cohort. However, incorporating sarcopenia in the MELD score had limited added value in predicting waiting list mortality.

LAY SUMMARY

In this study among patients with liver cirrhosis listed for liver transplantation, low skeletal muscle mass was associated with mortality on the waiting list, particularly in patients who were listed with low priority based on a low MELD score. However, adding these measurements to the currently used system for donor and organ allocation showed no added value.

Microsatellite instability in resectable colorectal liver metastasis: An international multi-institutional analysis

220

Background: Microsatellite instability (MSI) is associated with favorable prognosis and distinct response to chemotherapy and immunotherapy for non-metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC). However, studies suggest that MSI may have minimal prognostic impact for widely metastatic CRC. Whether MSI is prognostic for the subset of patients with resectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) remains unknown. In this study, we analyze the impact of MSI status on patients with CRLM in the largest cohort reported to date. Methods: Patients who underwent curative-intent resection for CRLM between 2003 and 2017 in five participating tertiary centers and had available data on MSI status were included. Standard clinicopathologic and outcome data were collected. Survival was calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: A total of 332 patients who met inclusion criteria were identified, of which 198 (59.6%) were male and 133 (40.7%) had rectal primary tumors. Sixteen patients (4.8%) were MSI positive. The majority of patients had T3 tumors (n = 193; 61.3%) and lymph node metastasis were present in 202 patients (64.5%). The median number of hepatic lesions was 1 [inter-quartile range (IQR):1-3] and median tumor diameter was 2.0 cm (1.2-3.5). Extrahepatic disease was present in 51 (15.7%) patients. Preoperative chemotherapy was administered to 220 (68.8%) patients. Of note, data on KRAS mutation status were available for the majority of the patients (95.5%). Baseline characteristics were similar between MSI positive and negative patients. At a median follow-up of 22.1 months, 154 (47.5%) patients experienced disease recurrence and 70 (21.1%) died. Importantly, neither disease-free survival (DFS, p = 0.168) nor overall survival (OS) were associated with MSI status (p = 0.759). Conclusions: MSI status did not appear to impact survival for patients with resectable CRLM. Additional research in larger cohorts from additional participating institutions is currently underway to assess these preliminary findings.

Combination of endovascular revascularization and supervised exercise therapy for intermittent claudication: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Peripheral arterial disease is a major health concern in the Western world, often treated with endovascular revascularization (EVR) or supervised exercise therapy (SET). In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we assessed the outcomes after combination treatment of EVR and SET, compared with EVR or SET alone.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

We performed a systematic search of Embase, Medline, Web of Science, Cochrane Central and Google Scholar. Only randomized controlled trials comparing combination treatment with EVR or SET only, for patients with intermittent claudication due to femoropopliteal or aortoiliac peripheral artery disease, were included. Primary outcome was maximum walking distance (MWD) at 6 and 12 months' follow-up. Secondary outcomes included pain-free walking distance (PFWD), quality of life and adverse events. Pooled estimates of difference in walking distance between EVR plus SET, EVR only and SET only were calculated using random effects models.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

Our search yielded 812 articles, of which 7 were finally included in the systematic review. Three studies reported the outcomes of combination treatment versus SET and three more reported the outcomes of combination versus EVR. Follow-up ranged between 6 and 24 months. Combination treatment was associated with a greater MWD at 6 months compared to EVR only or SET only, with a standardized mean difference (SMD) of 0.86 (95% CI: 0.15, 1.57) and 0.41 (95% CI: 0.17, 0.66), respectively. At twelve months no significant difference in maximum walking distance was observed between combination treatment compared to EVR (SMD 0.96 [95% CI: -0.44, 2.37]) or SET (SMD 0.52 [95% CI: -0.17, 1.20]). Compared to EVR only, the combination treatment was associated with a greater PFWD walking distance at 12 months (SMD 0.73 [95% CI 0.01, 1.45]). Most studies reported only minor differences in quality of life in favor of the combination treatment, or no difference at all.

CONCLUSIONS

Combination treatment of endovascular revascularization followed by SET shows a greater improvement in maximum walking distance at 6 months' follow-up compared to EVR only or SET only, while this difference was no longer present after 12 months.

Systemic treatment and primary tumor location in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

Tumor location (right-sided vs. left-sided) is known to exert a significant influence on the prognosis of primary colorectal cancer (CRC). Given the genetic continuity between primary and metastatic lesions, we aimed to summarize the existing literature on the prognostic implications of primary tumor site as well as to examine the response to chemotherapy by primary tumor location in patients with metastatic CRC (mCRC).

METHODS

A structured review of the literature was performed between 6/1/2016-7/1/2016 using the Pubmed database. Original research articles published between 1/1/2000- 07/01/2016 were considered eligible. The primary endpoints were overall survival (OS)/ progression free survival (PFS) and response to systemic treatment in patients with mCRC.

RESULTS

Eleven studies were included. Tumor site was a strong independent predictor of worse OS/PFS in 9 studies, with right-sided tumors having worse prognosis in all cases. Furthermore, 6 studies demonstrated an inferior response to systemic treatment or worse prognosis following the administration of specific regimens among patients with right-sided cancers. As such, there is significant evidence that right-sided lesions are associated with poor outcomes and resistance to systemic treatment.

CONCLUSION

Consequently, primary tumor location should be a consideration, when the administration of systemic therapy is contemplated in mCRC.

Conditional survival in patients with unresectable perihilar cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Conditional survival is the life expectancy from a point in time for a patient who has survived a specific period after presentation. The aim of the study was to estimate conditional survival for patients with unresectable perihilar cholangiocarcinoma.

METHODS

Patients with unresectable perihilar cholangiocarcinoma from two academic hospitals in the Netherlands between 2002 and 2012 were assessed. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to identify risk factors associated with overall survival. Survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method to evaluate factors associated with overall survival.

RESULTS

In total, 572 patients were included. Overall survival was 42% at one year and 6% at three years. The conditional chance of surviving three years was 15% at 1 year and increased to 38% at 2 years. Independent poor prognostic factors for overall survival were age ≥65 years, tumor size >3 cm on imaging, bilirubin levels (>250 μmol/L), CA19-9 level at presentation (>1000 U/ml), and suspected distant metastases on imaging. The conditional survival of patients with and without these prognostic factors was comparable after patients survived the first two or more years.

CONCLUSION

The conditional chance of surviving for patients with unresectable perihilar cholangiocarcinoma increases with time. Poor prognostic factors become less relevant once patients have survived two years.

Surgical Site Infection Is Associated with Tumor Recurrence in Patients with Extrahepatic Biliary Malignancies

BACKGROUND

Surgical site infections (SSI) are one of the most common complications after hepato-pancreato-biliary surgery. Infectious complications may lead to an associated immune-modulatory effect that inhibits the body's response to cancer surveillance. We sought to define the impact of SSI on long-term prognosis of patients undergoing surgical resection of extrahepatic biliary malignancies (EHBM).

METHODS

Patients undergoing surgery for EHBM between 2000 and 2014 were identified using a large, multi-center, national cohort dataset. Recurrence free survival (RFS) was calculated and a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was utilized to identify potential risk factors for RFS including SSI.

RESULTS

Seven hundred twenty-eight patients included in the analytic cohort; 236 (32.4%) patients had perihilar cholangiocarcinoma, 241 (33.1%) gallbladder cancer, and 251 (34.5%) distal cholangiocarcinoma. A major resection, liver resection, was performed in 205 (28.3%) patients, while 110 (15.2%) patients had a pancreaticoduodenectomy. The overall incidence of morbidity was 55.8%; among the 397 patients who experienced a complication, 161 patients specifically had an SSI. The SSI occurred as an infection of the surgical site (n = 70, 9.6%) or formation of an abscess in the operative bed (n = 91, 12.5%). SSI was associated with long-term survival as patients who experienced an SSI had a median RFS of 19.5 months compared with 30.5 months for those patients who did not have an SSI (HR 1.40, 95% CI 1.08-1.80; p = 0.01). Among 279 patients who had EHBM that had no associated lymph node metastases, well-to-moderate tumor differentiation, as well as an R0 resection margin, SSI remained associated with worse RFS (HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.03-3.29; p = 0.038), as well as overall survival (HR 1.87, 95% CI 1.18-2.97; p = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

SSI was a relatively common occurrence following surgery for EHBM as 1 in 10 patients experienced an SSI. In addition to standard tumor-specific factors, the occurrence of postoperative SSI was adversely associated with long-term survival.

Low skeletal muscle mass is associated with increased hospital expenditure in patients undergoing cancer surgery of the alimentary tract

BACKGROUND

Low skeletal muscle mass is associated with poor postoperative outcomes in cancer patients. Furthermore, it is associated with increased healthcare costs in the United States. We investigated its effect on hospital expenditure in a Western-European healthcare system, with universal access.

METHODS

Skeletal muscle mass (assessed on CT) and costs were obtained for patients who underwent curative-intent abdominal cancer surgery. Low skeletal muscle mass was defined based on pre-established cut-offs. The relationship between low skeletal muscle mass and hospital costs was assessed using linear regression analysis and Mann-Whitney U-tests.

RESULTS

452 patients were included (median age 65, 61.5% males). Patients underwent surgery for colorectal cancer (38.9%), colorectal liver metastases (27.4%), primary liver tumours (23.2%), and pancreatic/periampullary cancer (10.4%). In total, 45.6% had sarcopenia. Median costs were €2,183 higher in patients with low compared with patients with high skeletal muscle mass (€17,144 versus €14,961; P<0.001). Hospital costs incrementally increased with lower sex-specific skeletal muscle mass quartiles (P = 0.029). After adjustment for confounders, low skeletal muscle mass was associated with a cost increase of €4,061 (P = 0.015).

CONCLUSION

Low skeletal muscle mass was independently associated with increased hospital costs of about €4,000 per patient. Strategies to reduce skeletal muscle wasting could reduce hospital costs in an era of incremental healthcare costs and an increasingly ageing population.

Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence Beyond Milan Criteria After Resection: Validation of a Clinical Risk Score in an International Cohort

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to validate a previously reported recurrence clinical risk score (CRS).

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Salvage transplantation after hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) resection is limited to patients who recur within Milan criteria (MC). Predicting recurrence patterns may guide treatment recommendations.

METHODS

An international, multicenter cohort of R0 resected HCC patients were categorized by MC status at presentation. CRS was calculated by assigning 1 point each for initial disease beyond MC, multinodularity, and microvascular invasion. Recurrence incidences were estimated using competing risks methodology, and conditional recurrence probabilities were estimated using the Bayes theorem.

RESULTS

From 1992 to 2015, 1023 patients were identified, of whom 613 (60%) recurred at a median follow-up of 50 months. CRS was well validated in that all 3 factors remained independent predictors of recurrence beyond MC (hazard ratio 1.5-2.1, all P < 0.001) and accurately stratified recurrence risk beyond MC, ranging from 19% (CRS 0) to 67% (CRS 3) at 5 years. Among patients with CRS 0, no other factors were significantly associated with recurrence beyond MC. The majority recurred within 2 years. After 2 years of recurrence-free survival, the cumulative risk of recurrence beyond MC within the next 5 years for all patients was 14%. This risk was 12% for patients with initial disease within MC and 17% for patients with initial disease beyond MC.

CONCLUSIONS

CRS accurately predicted HCC recurrence beyond MC in this international validation. Although the risk of recurrence beyond MC decreased over time, it never reached zero.

Increased kinetic growth rate during late phase liver regeneration impacts the risk of tumor recurrence after colorectal liver metastases resection

BACKGROUND

Although experimental data strongly support the pro-tumorigenic role of postoperative liver regeneration, this hypothesis has not been clinically investigated. We aimed to examine the impact of liver regeneration determined by volumetric imaging on recurrence following resection of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM).

METHODS

Resected liver volume was subtracted from total liver volume (TLV) to define postoperative remnant liver volume (RLV_p). Early and late kinetic growth rates (KGR) were defined as the postoperative increases in liver volume within 2-3 and 8-10 months from surgery, respectively, divided by the corresponding time interval.

RESULTS

Median early and late KGR was 2.6%/month (IQR: -0.9 to 12.3) and 1.0%/month (IQR: -0.64 to 2.91), respectively. Late KGR predicted intrahepatic recurrence after 1 year from surgery (AUC 0.677, P = 0.011). Specifically, patients with a late KGR ≥1% had a higher cumulative risk of recurrence compared with patients with a KGR <1% (P = 0.038). In multivariate analysis, KGR ≥1% independently predicted recurrence (P = 0.027).

DISCUSSION

A KGR ≥1% during the late regeneration phase was associated with increased risk of intrahepatic recurrence. These data may inform the timing of adjuvant therapy administration and focus surveillance strategies for high-risk patients.

Prostate cancer detection among readers with different degree of experience using ultra-high b-value diffusion-weighted Imaging: Is a non-contrast protocol sufficient to detect significant cancer?

AIM

To evaluate the accuracy of a T2-weighted (T2w) - and a parallel transmit zoomed b = 2000 s/mm2 (b2000) - diffusion-weighted imaging sequence among three readers with different degrees of experience for prostate cancer (Pca) detection.

METHODS

Ninety-three patients with suspected Pca were enrolled. For b2000 a two-dimensional spatially-selective RF pulse using an echo-planar transmit trajectory was applied, and the field of view (FOV) was reduced to one-third. All three readers (Reader A: 7, B 4 and C <1 years of experience in prostate MRI) independently evaluated b2000 with regard to the presence of suspicious lesions that displayed increased signal. The results were compared to histopathology obtained by real-time MR/ultrasound fusion and systematic biopsy.

RESULTS

In 62 patients Pca was confirmed. One significant Pca (Gleason score (GS) 7b) was missed by Reader C. Overall, sensitivity/specificity/positive predictive value/negative predictive value were 90/71/86/79% for Reader A, 87/84/92/76% for Reader B and 85/74/87/72% for Reader C, respectively. Detection rates for significant Pca (GS >7a) were 100/100/94% for Readers A/B/C, respectively. Inter-reader agreement was generally good (Kappa A/B: 0.8; A/C: 0.82; B/C: 0.74).

CONCLUSION

B2000 in combination with a T2w could be useful to detect clinically significant Pca.

KEY POINTS

• Significant prostate cancer using zoomed ultra-high b-value DWI was detected. • Diagnostic performance among readers with different degrees of experience was good. • mp- MRI of the prostate using a comprehensive non-contrast protocol is clinically feasible.

Association of Optimal Time Interval to Re-resection for Incidental Gallbladder Cancer With Overall Survival: A Multi-Institution Analysis From the US Extrahepatic Biliary Malignancy Consortium

Importance

The current recommendation is to perform re-resection for select patients with incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer. The optimal time interval for re-resection for both patient selection and long-term survival is not known.

Objective

To assess the association of time interval from the initial cholecystectomy to reoperation with overall survival.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study was conducted from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2014 at 10 US academic institutions. A total of 207 patients with incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer who underwent reoperation and had available data on the date of their initial cholecystectomy were included.

Exposures

Time interval from the initial cholecystectomy to reoperation: group A: less than 4 weeks; group B: 4 to 8 weeks; and group C: greater than 8 weeks.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Primary outcome was overall survival.

Results

Of 449 patients with gallbladder cancer, 207 cases (46%) were discovered incidentally and underwent reoperation at 3 different time intervals from the date of the original cholecystectomy: group A: less than 4 weeks (25 patients, 12%); B: 4 to 8 weeks (91 patients, 44%); C: more than 8 weeks (91 patients, 44%). The mean (SD) ages of patients in groups A, B, and C were 65 (9), 64 (11), and 66 (12) years, respectively. All groups were similar for baseline demographics, extent of resection, presence of residual disease, T stage, resection margin status, lymph node involvement, and postoperative complications. Patients who underwent reoperation between 4 and 8 weeks had the longest median overall survival (group B: 40.4 months) compared with those who underwent early (group A: 17.4 months) or late (group C: 22.4 months) reoperation (log-rank P = .03). Group A and C time intervals (vs group B), presence of residual disease, an R2 resection, advanced T stage, and lymph node involvement were associated with decreased overall survival on univariable Cox regression. Only group A (hazard ratio, 2.63; 95% CI, 1.25-5.54) and group C (hazard ratio, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.17-3.66) time intervals (vs group B), R2 resection (hazard ratio, 2.69; 95% CI, 1.27-5.69), and advanced Tstage (hazard ratio, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.11-3.08) persisted on multivariable Cox regression analysis.

Conclusions and Relevance

The optimal time interval for re-resection for incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer appears to be between 4 and 8 weeks after the initial cholecystectomy.

A Novel Pathology-Based Preoperative Risk Score to Predict Locoregional Residual and Distant Disease and Survival for Incidental Gallbladder Cancer: A 10-Institution Study from the U.S. Extrahepatic Biliary Malignancy Consortium

BACKGROUND

This study was designed to develop a more robust predictive model, beyond T-stage alone, for incidental gallbladder cancer (IGBC) for discovering locoregional residual (LRD) and distant disease (DD) at reoperation, and estimating overall survival (OS). T-stage alone is currently used to guide treatment for incidental gallbladder cancer. Residual disease at re-resection is the most important factor in predicting outcomes.

METHODS

All patients with IGBC who underwent reoperation at 10 institutions from 2000 to 2015 were included. Routine pathology data from initial cholecystectomy was utilized to create the gallbladder cancer predictive risk score (GBRS).

RESULTS

Of 449 patients with gallbladder cancer, 262 (58 %) were incidentally discovered and underwent reoperation. Advanced T-stage, grade, and presence of lymphovascular (LVI) and perineural (PNI) invasion were all associated with increased rates of DD and LRD and decreased OS. Each pathologic characteristic was assigned a value (T1a: 0, T1b: 1, T2: 2, T3/4: 3; well-diff: 1, mod-diff: 2, poor-diff: 3; LVI-neg: 1, LVI-pos: 2; PNI-neg: 1, PNI-pos: 2), which added to a total GBRS score from 3 to 10. The scores were separated into three risk-groups (low: 3-4, intermediate: 5-7, high: 8-10). Each progressive GBRS group was associated with an increased incidence LRD and DD at the time of re-resection and reduced OS.

CONCLUSIONS

By accounting for subtle pathologic variations within each T-stage, this novel predictive risk-score better stratifies patients with incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer. Compared with T-stage alone, it more accurately identifies patients at risk for locoregional-residual and distant disease and predicts long-term survival as it redistributes T1b, T2, and T3 disease across separate risk-groups based on additional biologic features. This score may help to optimize treatment strategy for patients with incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer.

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: current perspectives

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is the second most common malignancy arising from the liver. ICC makes up about 10% of all cholangiocarcinomas. It arises from the peripheral bile ducts within the liver parenchyma, proximal to the secondary biliary radicals. Histologically, the majority of ICCs are adenocarcinomas. Only a minority of patients (15%) present with resectable disease, with a median survival of less than 3 years. Multidisciplinary management of ICC is complicated by large differences in disease course for individual patients both across and within tumor stages. Risk models and nomograms have been developed to more accurately predict survival of individual patients based on clinical parameters. Predictive risk factors are necessary to improve patient selection for systemic treatments. Molecular differences between tumors, such as in the epidermal growth factor receptor status, are promising, but their clinical applicability should be validated. For patients with locally advanced disease, several treatment strategies are being evaluated. Both hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy with floxuridine and yttrium-90 embolization aim to downstage locally advanced ICC. Selected patients have resectable disease after downstaging, and other patients might benefit because of postponing widespread dissemination and biliary obstruction.

Histologic classification and grading enhances gallbladder cancer staging: A population-based prognostic score validated by the U.S. Extrahepatic Biliary Malignancy Consortium

356

Background: Beyond the most common adenocarcinoma type, several gallbladder cancer (GBC) histologies have been described as being associated with more favorable (papillary) or less favorable outcome (adenosquamous, mucinous, signet ring). We sought to examine the added value of histologic type and grade on the existing AJCC staging system for resected GBC. Methods: Patients who underwent resection of GBC from 1988-2013 were identified using the Surveillance Epidemiology End Results (SEER) registry. A prognostic score was created by assigning points for T stage, N stage, grade and histology based on the regression coefficient in multivariate analysis. The score was externally validated using the US Extrahepatic Biliary Malignancy Consortium (USEBMC) database (2000-2015) and compared with the AJCC staging system. Results: Of 7,915 patients identified in SEER, 83% had adenocarcinoma, 7% papillary, 4% adenosquamous, 4% mucinous, and 2% signet ring. In the USEBMC database, the frequencies of the respective histologies were 86, 9, 2, 1 and 2%. Median survival per histologic type, for SEER and USEBMC respectively, were 45 and 110 mos for papillary, 16 and 24 mos for adenocarcinoma, 14 and 12mos for mucinous, 8 and 4mos for adenosquamous, and 9 and 15mos for signet ring (P between histologies < 0.001 for both cohorts). On multivariate analysis, T stage, N stage, grade and histology were independent predictors of survival. The developed prognostic score, based on points for each of these 4 variables, showed excellent discriminatory ability both in the SEER and USEBMC cohorts. The AUC for the prognostic score was significantly improved compared with the AJCC system (0.69 vs. 0.64,both P < 0.001 using SEER, and 0.76 vs. 0.66,both P < 0.001 using USEBMC). Conclusions: The incorporation of histology and grade into the TNM system allows for a simple and accurate tool to determine prognosis following resection of GBC. [Table: see text]

Actual 5-year survivors following resection of hilar cholangiocarcinoma

352

Background: Although several studies have reported on actuarial survival outcomes following resection of hilar cholangiocarcinoma, the characteristics of patients who actually reached the 5-year milestone have not been adequately described. Methods: Patients who underwent resection for hilar cholangiocarcinoma from 2000-2015 in 10 US academic institutions participating in the Extrahepatic Biliary Malignancy Consortium were analyzed. Patients alive at last encounter with less than 5 years of follow-up were excluded. The clinicopathologic characteristics, perioperative, and long-term outcomes of actual 5-yr survivors and of patients who died within 5 years were compared. Results: Of 328 patients explored, 257 (78%) underwent curative resection and had an actuarial 5-year survival of 17%. After excluding 63 survivors with < 5 years follow-up, 194 patients were further classified as 5-year survivors (n = 23, 12%) and non-5-yr survivors. None of the 5-yr survivors had preoperative systemic biliary sepsis, portal vein embolization, T3 tumors with unilateral portal vein or hepatic artery invasion, or T4 tumors necessitating main portal vein or hepatic artery resection. However, actual 5-year survival was still achieved in the setting of bile duct resection only, R1 margins, poor differentiation, lymphovascular or perineural invasion, nodal metastasis, intraoperative blood transfusion, and serious postoperative complications. Five-year survival did not equal cure, as five 5-year survivors experienced disease recurrence, 2 before and 3 after the 5-year mark. There were ten actual 7-year survivors and four actual 10-year survivors. Conclusions: Although nodal metastasis, poor differentiation, and R1 margins are established predictors of poor outcome for hilar cholangiocarcinoma, the mere presence of these factors does not preclude patients from achieving a 5-year survival. In contrast, preoperative biliary sepsis, T3 or T4 stage, and the necessity for vascular resection and reconstruction appear to be prohibitive in reaching the 5-year milestone. This information can be utilized in the perioperative counseling of patients with this challenging malignancy.

The effect of preoperative chemotherapy treatment in surgically treated intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients-A multi-institutional analysis

INTRODUCTION

While preoperative chemotherapy (pCT) is utilized in many intra-abdominal cancers, the use of pCT among patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains ill defined. As such, the objective of the current study was to examine the impact of pCT among patients undergoing curative-intent resection for ICC.

METHODS

Patients who underwent hepatectomy for ICC were identified from a multi-institutional international cohort. The association between pCT with peri-operative and long-term clinical outcomes was assessed.

RESULTS

Of the 1 057 patients who were identified and met the inclusion criteria, 62 patients (5.9%) received pCT. These patients were noticed to have more advanced disease. Median OS (pCT:46.9 months vs no pCT:37.4 months; P = 0.900) and DFS (pCT: 34.1 months vs no pCT: 29.1 months; P = 0.909) were similar between the two groups. In a subgroup analysis of propensity-score matched patients, there was longer OS (pCT:46.9 months vs no pCT:29.4 months) and DFS (pCT:34.1 months vs no pCT:14.0 months); however this did not reach statistical significance (both P > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, pCT utilization among patients with ICC was higher among patients with more advanced disease. Short-term post-operative outcomes were not affected by pCT use and receipt of pCT resulted in equivalent OS and DFS following curative-intent resection.

Tumor Biology Rather Than Surgical Technique Dictates Prognosis in Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases

INTRODUCTION

The interplay of tumor biology and surgical margin status after resection for colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) remains controversial. Consequently, we sought to determine the impact of surgical margin status on overall survival (OS) stratified by KRAS mutational status.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Four hundred eighty-five patients with known KRAS mutational status were identified. Clinicopathologic and long-term survival data were collected and assessed.

RESULTS

On pathology, most patients (n = 380; 78.3 %) had an R0 margin, while 105 (21.7 %) had an R1. Roughly two thirds of tumors were KRAS wild type (wtKRAS) (n = 307, 63.3 %), while 36.7 % (n = 178) had KRAS mutations (mutKRAS). Median and 5-year OS of the entire cohort was 65.8 months and 53.8 %, respectively. An R1 resection was associated with worse 5-year OS compared with R0 (42.4 % vs. 57.1 %; hazard ratio (HR) 1.82, 95 % CI 1.28-2.57; P = 0.001). After controlling for KRAS status, the survival benefit associated with an R0 resection persisted only among patients with wtKRAS tumors (HR 2.16, 95 % CI 1.42-3.30; P < 0.001). In contrast, surgical margin had no impact on OS among patients with mutKRAS tumors (5-year OS R0, 40.7 % vs. R1, 46.7 %; HR 1.34, 95 % CI 0.73-2.48; P = 0.348).

CONCLUSION

The impact of margin status differed by KRAS mutation status. An R0 margin only provided a survival benefit to patients with wtKRAS tumors. Tumor biology and not surgical technique determined prognosis.

Rates and patterns of recurrence after curative intent resection for gallbladder cancer: a multi-institution analysis from the US Extra-hepatic Biliary Malignancy Consortium

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder cancer is a relatively rare malignancy. The current study aimed to define the incidence and patterns of recurrence following gallbladder cancer resection.

METHODS

Using a multi-institutional cohort we identified 217 patient undergoing curative intent surgery for gallbladder cancer. Patterns of recurrence were classified as locoregional and distant recurrence.

RESULTS

At last follow-up, 76 patients (35.0%) had experienced a recurrence (locoregional only, n = 12, 15.8%; distant only, n = 50, 65.8%; locoregional and distant, n = 14, 18.4%). Median time to recurrence was 9.5 months (IQR 4.7-17.6) and was not associated with recurrence site (all p > 0.05). On multivariable analysis, T3 disease (HR = 8.44, p = 0.014), lymphovascular invasion (HR = 4.24, p < 0.001) and residual disease (HR = 2.04, p = 0.042) were associated with an increased risk of recurrence. Patients who recurred demonstrated a worse 1-, 3- and 5-year OS (1-year OS: 91.3% vs. 68.6%, p = 0.001, 3-year OS: 79.3% vs. 28.7%, p < 0.001, and 5-year OS: 75.9% vs. 16.0%, p < 0.001). After adjusting for other risk factors, recurrence was independently associated with a decreased OS (HR = 3.71, p = 0.006). Of note, receipt of adjuvant therapy was associated with improved OS (HR = 0.56, p = 0.027) among those patients who developed a tumor recurrence.

DISCUSSION

Over one-third of patients experienced a recurrence after gallbladder cancer surgery. While chemotherapy did not decrease the rate of recurrence, patients who experienced recurrence after administration of adjuvant treatment faired better than patients who did not receive adjuvant therapy.

Proposal for a new T-stage classification system for distal cholangiocarcinoma: a 10-institution study from the U.S. Extrahepatic Biliary Malignancy Consortium

BACKGROUND

Seventh AJCC distal cholangiocarcinoma T-stage classification inadequately separates patients by survival. This retrospective study aimed to define a novel T-stage system to better stratify patients after resection.

METHODS

Curative-intent pancreaticoduodenectomies for distal cholangiocarcinoma (1/2000-5/2015) at 10 US institutions were included. Relationships between tumor characteristics and overall survival (OS) were assessed and incorporated into a novel T-stage classification.

RESULTS

176 patients (median follow-up: 24mo) were included. Current AJCC T-stage was not associated with OS (T1: 23mo, T2: 20mo, T3: 25mo, T4: 12mo; p = 0.355). Tumor size ≥3 cm and presence of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) were associated with decreased OS on univariate and multivariable analyses. Patients were stratified into 3 groups [T1: size <3 cm and (-)LVI (n = 69; 39.2%); T2: size ≥3 cm and (-)LVI or size <3 cm and (+)LVI (n = 82; 46.6%); and T3: size ≥3 cm and (+)LVI (n = 25; 14.2%)]. Each progressive proposed T-stage was associated with decreased median OS (T1: 35mo; T2: 20mo; T3: 8mo; p = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

Current AJCC distal cholangiocarcinoma T-stage does not adequately stratify patients by survival. This proposed T-stage classification, based on tumor size and LVI, better differentiates patient outcomes after resection and could be considered for incorporation into the next AJCC distal cholangiocarcinoma staging system.

A Comparison of Prognostic Schemes for Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Although widely used, the 7th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHC) may be limited. Disease-specific nomograms have been proposed as a better means to predict long-term survival for individual patients. We sought to externally validate a recently proposed nomogram by Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) for PHC, as well as identify factors to improve the prediction of prognosis for patients with PHC.

METHODS

Four hundred seven patients who underwent surgery for PHC between 1988 and 2014 were identified using an international, multi-center database. Standard clinicopathologic and outcome data were collected. The predictive power of the AJCC staging system and nomogram were assessed.

RESULTS

Median survival was 24.4 months; 3- and 5-year survival was 37.2 and 20.8 %, respectively. The AJCC 7th edition staging system (C-index 0.570) and the recently proposed PHC nomogram (C-index 0.587) both performed poorly. A revised nomogram based on age, lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, and lymph node metastases performed better (C-index 0.682). The calibration plot of the revised PHC nomogram demonstrated good calibration.

CONCLUSION

The 7th edition AJCC staging system and the MSKCC nomogram had a poor ability to predict long-term survival for individual patients with PHC. A revised nomogram provided more accurate prediction of survival, but will need to be externally validated.

KRAS Mutation Status Dictates Optimal Surgical Margin Width in Patients Undergoing Resection of Colorectal Liver Metastases

BACKGROUND

The optimal tumor-free margin width remains controversial and may be inappropriate to investigate without considering differences in the underlying tumor biology.

METHODS

R1 resection was defined as margin clearance less than 1 mm. R0 resection was further divided into 3 groups: 1-4, 5-9, and ≥10 mm. The impact of margin width on overall survival (OS) relative to KRAS status [wild type (wtKRAS) vs. mutated (mutKRAS)] was assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 411 patients met inclusion criteria. Median patient age was 58 years (interquartile range, 49.7-66.7); most patients were male (n = 250; 60.8 %). With a median follow-up of 28.3 months, median and 5-year OS were 69.8 months and 55.1 %. Among patients with wtKRAS tumors, although margin clearance of 1-4 mm or more was associated with improved OS compared to R1 (all P < 0.05), no difference in OS was observed when comparing margin clearance of 1-4 mm to the 5-9 mm and the ≥10 mm groups (all P > 0.05). In contrast, among patients with mutKRAS tumors, all three groups of margin clearance (1-4, 5-9, and ≥10 mm) fared no better in terms of 5-year survival compared to R1 resection (all P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

While a 1-4 mm margin clearance in patients with wtKRAS tumors was associated with improved survival, wider resection width did not confer an additional survival benefit. In contrast, margin status-including a 1 cm margin-did not improve survival among patients with mutKRAS tumors.

Changing Odds of Survival Over Time among Patients Undergoing Surgical Resection of Gallbladder Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

While survival after malignancies is traditionally reported as actuarial survival, conditional survival (CS) may be more clinically relevant by accounting for "accrued" survival time as time progresses. We sought to compare actuarial and CS among patients with gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) .

METHODS

A total of 312 patients who underwent curative intent surgery for GBC between 2000 and 2014 were identified using a multi-institutional database. Overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. CS was calculated as the probability of surviving an additional 3 years at year "x" after surgery using the formula CS₃ = S_(x+3)/S_x.

RESULTS

Among all patients, the median actuarial OS was 24.8 months (IQR 13.3-88.9). While actuarial survival decreased over time, 3-year CS (CS₃) increased, with CS₃ at 2 years after surgery noted to be 61.8 % compared with the 5-year actuarial OS of 31.6 %. Factors associated with reduced actuarial OS were positive margin status (HR 3.61, 95 % CI 2.47-5.26), increasing tumor size (HR = 1.02, 95 % CI 1.01-1.02), higher tumor grade (HR 2.98, 95 % CI 1.47-6.04), residual disease at repeat resection (HR = 2.78, 95 % CI 1.49-3.49, p < 0.001), and lymph node metastasis (HR = 1.95, 95 % CI 1.39-2.75, all p < 0.001). The calculated CS₃ exceeded the actuarial survival within each high-risk patient subgroup. For example, patients with residual disease at repeat resection had an actuarial survival 23.1 % at 5 years versus a CS₃ of 56.3 % in patients alive at 2 years (Δ = 33.2 %).

CONCLUSIONS

CS provides a more accurate, dynamic estimate for survival, especially among high-risk patients. CS estimates can be used to accurately predict survival and guide clinical decision making.

Assessing Trends in Palliative Surgery for Extrahepatic Biliary Malignancies: A 15-Year Multicenter Study

INTRODUCTION

Extrahepatic biliary malignancies are often diagnosed at an advanced stage. We compared patients with unresectable perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHCC) and gallbladder cancer (GBC) who underwent a palliative procedure versus an aborted laparotomy.

METHODS

Seven hundred seventy-seven patients who underwent surgery for PHCC or GBC between 2000 and 2014 were identified. Uni- and multivariable analyses were performed to identify factors associated with outcome.

RESULTS

Utilization of preoperative imaging increased over time (CT use, 80.1 % pre-2009 vs. 90 % post-2009) (p < 0.001). The proportion of the patients undergoing curative-intent resection also increased (2000-2004, 67.0 % vs. 2005-2009, 74.5 % vs. 2010-2014, 78.8 %; p = 0.001). The planned surgery was aborted in 106 (13.7 %) patients and 94 (12.1 %) had a palliative procedure. A higher incidence of postoperative complications (19.2 vs. 3.8 %, p = 0.001) including deep surgical site infections (8.3 vs. 1.1 %), bleeding (4.8 vs. 0 %), bile leak (6.0 vs. 0 %) and longer length of stay (7 vs. 4.5 days) were observed among the patients who underwent a palliative surgical procedure versus an aborted non-therapeutic, non-palliative laparotomy (all p < 0.05). OS was comparable among the patients who underwent a palliative procedure (8.7 months) versus an aborted laparotomy (7.8 months) (p = 0.23).

CONCLUSION

Increased use of advanced imaging modalities was accompanied by increased curative-intent surgery. Compared with patients in whom surgery was aborted, patients who underwent surgical palliation demonstrated an increased incidence of postoperative morbidity with comparable survival.

Prognostic Implication of KRAS Status after Hepatectomy for Colorectal Liver Metastases Varies According to Primary Colorectal Tumor Location

BACKGROUND

Right-sided and left-sided colorectal cancer (CRC) is known to differ in their molecular carcinogenic pathways. We sought to investigate the variable prognostic implication of KRAS mutation after hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) according to the site of primary CRC.

METHODS

A total of 426 patients who underwent a curative-intent hepatic resection and whose KRAS status was available were identified. Clinicopathologic characteristics and long-term outcomes were stratified by KRAS status (wild type vs. mutant type) and primary tumor location (right-sided vs. left-sided). Cecum, right and transverse colon were defined as right-sided, whereas left colon and rectum were defined as left-sided.

RESULTS

Among patients with a right-sided CRC, 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were not correlated with KRAS status (wild type: 30.8 and 47.2 % vs. mutant type: 38.5 and 49.1 %, respectively) (both P > 0.05). Specifically, mutant-type KRAS was not associated with either RFS or OS on multivariable analysis (hazard ratio [HR] 1.51, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 0.73-3.14, P = 0.23 and HR 1.03, 95 % CI 0.51-2.08, P = 0.95, respectively). In contrast, among patients who underwent resection of CRLM from a left-sided primary CRC, 5-year RFS and OS were worse among patients with mutant-type KRAS (wild type: 23.7 and 57.2 % vs. mutant type: 19.6 and 38.2 %, respectively) (both P < 0.05). On multivariable analysis, mutant-type KRAS remained independently associated with worse RFS and OS among patients with a left-sided primary CRC (HR 1.57, 95 % CI 1.01-2.44, P = 0.04 and HR 1.81, 95 % CI 1.11-2.96, P = 0.02, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

KRAS status has a variable prognostic impact after hepatic resection for CRLM depending on the site of the primary CRC. Future studies examining the impact of KRAS status on prognosis after hepatectomy should take into account the primary CRC tumor site.

Conditional probability of long-term survival after resection of hilar cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

While traditional survival analyses focus on factors determined at the time of surgery, conditional survival (CS) estimates prognosis relative to time following treatment. We sought to compare actuarial and CS among patients undergoing curative intent surgery for hilar cholangiocarcinoma.

METHODS

242 patients undergoing surgery between 2000 and 2014 were identified using a multi-institutional database. CS was calculated as the probability of surviving an additional 3 years, given that the patient had already survived "x" years from surgery.

RESULTS

Median patient age was 67 years (IQR: 57-73) and most patients were male (n = 140, 57.9%). Lymph node metastases were noted in 79 (32.6%) patients while an R0 margin was obtained in 66.1% (n = 160). Median OS was 22.3 months. Actuarial survival decreased over time from 46.3% at 2 years following surgery to 18.2% at 5 years; in contrast, the 3-year CS (CS3) increased with time (CS3 at 2 years was 39.3% versus 54.4% at 5 years). CS3 exceeded actuarial survival for high-risk patients with patients with perineural invasion demonstrating an actuarial survival of 15.4% at 5 years versus CS3 of 37.6% at 2 years following surgery (Δ = 22.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

CS provides a more accurate, dynamic estimate for survival, especially among high-risk patients.

Assessing the impact of common bile duct resection in the surgical management of gallbladder cancer

BACKGROUND

Although radical re-resection for gallbladder cancer (GBC) has been advocated, the optimal extent of re-resection remains unknown. The current study aimed to assess the impact of common bile duct (CBD) resection on survival among patients undergoing surgery for GBC.

METHODS

Patients undergoing curative-intent surgery for GBC were identified using a multi-institutional cohort of patients. Multivariable Cox-proportional hazards regression was performed to identify risk factors for a poor overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Among the 449 patients identified, 26.9% underwent a concomitant CBD resection. The median number of lymph nodes harvested did not differ based on CBD resection (CBD, 4 [IQR: 2-9] vs. no CBD, 3 [IQR: 1-7], P = 0.108). While patients who underwent a CBD resection had a worse OS, after adjusting for potential confounders, CBD resection did not impact OS (HR = 1.40, 95%CI 0.87-2.27, P = 0.170). Rather, the presence of advanced disease (T3: HR = 3.11, 95%CI 1.22-7.96, P = 0.018; T4: HR = 7.24, 95%CI 1.70-30.85, P = 0.007) and the presence of disease at the surgical margin (HR = 2.58, 95%CI 1.26-5.31, P = 0.010) were predictive of a worse OS.

CONCLUSIONS

CBD resection did not yield a higher lymph node count and was not associated with an improved survival. Routine CBD excision in the re-resection of GBC is unwarranted and should only be performed selectively. J. Surg. Oncol. 2016;114:176-180. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Impact of early postoperative platelet count on volumetric liver gain and perioperative outcomes after major liver resection

Background

Although perioperative platelet count has been associated with postoperative morbidity and mortality, its impact on liver regeneration has not been examined directly. This study sought to determine the impact of platelet count on liver regeneration after major liver resection using cross-sectional imaging volumetric assessment.

Methods

Patients who underwent major liver resection between 2004 and 2015 and had available data on immediate postoperative platelet count, as well as preoperative and postoperative CT images, were identified retrospectively. Resected liver volume was subtracted from total liver volume (TLV) to define postoperative remnant liver volume (RLVp). The liver regeneration index was defined as the relative increase in liver volume within 2 months ((RLV2m – RLVp)/RLVp, where RLV2m is the remnant liver volume around 2 months after surgery). The association between platelet count, liver regeneration and outcomes was assessed.

Results

A total of 99 patients met the inclusion criteria. Overall, 25 patients (25 per cent) had a low platelet count (less than 150 × 109/l), whereas 74 had a normal–high platelet count (at least 150 × 109/l). Despite having comparable clinicopathological characteristics and RLVp/TLV at surgery (P = 0·903), the relative increase in liver volume within 2 months was considerably lower in the low-platelet group (3·9 versus 16·5 per cent; P = 0·043). Patients with a low platelet count had an increased risk of postoperative complications (72 versus 38 per cent; P = 0·003), longer hospital stay (8 versus 6 days; P = 0·004) and worse median overall survival (24·5 versus 67·3 months; P = 0·005) than those with a normal or high platelet count.

Conclusion

After major liver resection, a low postoperative platelet count was associated with inhibited liver regeneration, as well as worse short- and long-term outcomes. Immediate postoperative platelet count may be an early indicator to identify patients at increased risk of worse outcomes.

Dual-Energy CT in Patients with Suspected Gouty Arthritis: Effects on Treatment Regimen and Clinical Outcome

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

This investigation aimed to evaluate the impact on treatment regimen and clinical outcome of dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) in patients with suspected gouty arthritis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed electronic medical records (EMR) of 39 patients (36 male, 3 female; age range, 36-85 years) who underwent DECT of peripheral joints because of suspected gouty arthritis. We assessed the prior medical history, lab results, treatment regimen, and medications before and after DECT, and changes in subjective severity of symptoms as stated by patients in the EMR. The presence of monosodium urate (MSU) crystals in the index joint was verified with DECT.

RESULTS

Several patients had a prior diagnosis of gout (n = 9), hyperuricemia (n = 6), rheumatoid arthritis (n = 3), or psoriatic arthritis (n = 3). Elevated uric acid blood levels were detected in 32 patients (82%) before DECT. On DECT, MSU crystals were detected in 23 patients (59%). Of the 36 cases, the current treatment regimen was modified after DECT to gout-specific therapy in 22 cases and other rheumatic diseases were targeted in 14 cases. Several medications were prescribed more frequently based after DECT compared to before DECT imaging, including steroids (n = 20 vs. n = 12, respectively), colchicine (n = 13 vs. n = 4, respectively), and urate-lowering medication (n = 18 vs. n = 11, respectively). A subjective reduction of clinical symptoms during cumulative follow-up was reported by 34 patients (87.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

Both positive and negative findings of MSU crystals on DECT have a significant impact on the treatment regimen and clinical outcome of patients with suspected gouty arthritis and facilitate differentiation from other rheumatic diseases.

Conditional survival probability of long-term survival after resection of peri-hilar cholangiocarcinoma

212

Background: Traditional survival analyses focus on factors determined at the time of surgery and may not be accurate over time. Conditional survival (CS) estimates future prognosis based on survival time accrued following treatment. We sought to define differences between actuarial and CS among patients after resection of peri-hilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHCC). Methods: 242 patients who underwent resection for PHCC between 2000-2014 were identified from 10 major HPB centers. Cox regression models were used to evaluate factors associated with overall survival. CS was calculated as the probability of surviving an additional 3 years at “x” years after surgery using the formula CS3=S(x+3)/Sx. Results: Median patient age was 67 yrs (IQR:57-73) and the majority (73.6%) of patients had a major hepatic resection. Surgical margin status was R0 (n=160; 66.1%) or R1 (n=82; 33.9%). Tumor grade was well- (n=43; 19.1%), moderate- (n=131; 58.2%) or poorly- (n=51; 22.6%) differentiated. Most patients had T1 (13.8%) or T2 (66.4%) disease, while a smaller subset had T3 (17.3%) or T4 (2.6%) disease. Lymph node metastases were present in 79 (32.6%) patients. While actuarial survival decreased over time from 46.3% at 2 years to 18.2% at 5 years following surgery, 3-year CS increased over time among those patients who survived. The CS3 at 2 years (i.e. the probability of surviving to postoperative year 5 after having already survived to year 2) was 39.3% and increased to 54.4% at year 5 (Table). Factors associated with worse OS included lymph node metastases (HR 1.71; 95%CI, 1.24-2.36) and perineural invasion (HR 1.54; 95%CI, 1.02-2.33) (both P<0.05). CS3 for high-risk patients exceeded the actuarial survival, e.g. patients with perineural invasion had an actuarial survival of 15.4% at 5 years vs. a CS3 at 2 years of 37.6% (Δ=22.2%). Conclusions: CS provides a more dynamic means to estimate future survival among patients who have accrued survival time, especially in high-risk patients who were predicted to have short survival times. [Table: see text]

A novel pathology-based preoperative risk score to predict distant and locoregional residual disease and survival for incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer: A 10-institution study from the US Extrahepatic Biliary Malignancy Consortium

202

Background: T-stage alone is currently used to guide treatment for incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer. We aimed to develop a more robust predictive model for discovering distant or locoregional residual disease at the time of re-resection. Methods: All patients with incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer who underwent re-resection at 10 institutions from 2000-2015 were included. We utilized routine pathology data from initial cholecystectomy to create a gallbladder cancer predictive risk score (GBRS) for finding distant or locoregional residual disease at re-resection and predicting overall survival (OS). Results: Of 449pts with gallbladder cancer, 262 (58%) were incidentally discovered and underwent attempted re-resection. Advanced T-stage, grade, and lymphovascular (LVI) and perineural (PNI) invasion were all associated with increased rates of distant and locoregional residual disease, and decreased OS. Each pathologic characteristic was assigned a value (T1a: 0, T1b: 1, T2: 2, T3/4: 3; well diff: 1, mod diff: 2, poor diff: 3; LVI neg: 1, LVI pos: 2; PNI neg: 1, PNI pos: 2), which were added for a total GBRS score ranging from 3-10. The scores were then separated into 3 risk groups (Low: 3-4; Intermediate: 5-7; High: 8-10). Each progressive GBRS group was associated with an increased risk of finding distant and isolated locoregional residual disease at the time of re-resection, and was associated with reduced median OS (Table). Conclusions: By accounting for pathologic variations within each T-stage, this novel predictive risk-score redistributes T1b, T2, and T3 disease across separate risk-groups and more accurately identifies patients with incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer at risk for distant and locoregional residual disease, and decreased long-term survival. This score may help to better optimize treatment strategy for patients with incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer. [Table: see text]

The optimal time-interval to re-resection for incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer: A multi-institution analysis from the US Extrahepatic Biliary Malignancy Consortium

201

Background: Current recommendation is to perform re-resection for select patients with incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer. The interval time to re-resection that optimizes both patient selection and long-term survival is not known. Methods: All patients with incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer who underwent re-resection at 10 institutions from 01/2000-05/2015 were included. The interval time to re-resection was analyzed. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS). Results: Of 449pts with gallbladder cancer, 233 (52%) were discovered incidentally and underwent attempted re-resection at 3 different time-intervals from the date of original cholecystectomy: Group A: 0-4wks (49pts, 21%); B: 4-8wks (91pts, 39%); C: > 8wks (93pts, 40%). All 3 groups were similar with regards to T-stage, LN involvement, grade, and post-operative complications. Group A tended to have distant disease found less frequently at the time of re-resection (11% vs 20% vs 19%; p = 0.38) and was least likely to have residual disease on pathologic analysis (29% vs 47% vs 49%; p = 0.048). Despite these findings, patients who underwent attempted re-resection between 4-8 weeks had the longest median OS (Group B: 40.4mo) compared to those who underwent early (Group A: 18.1mo) or late (Group C: 23.6mo) re-exploration (p = 0.015). A 4-8 week time interval to re-resection, presence of residual disease, advanced T-stage, LN involvement, high grade, and positive margin were associated with decreased OS on UV Cox regression (all p < 0.05). Only a 4-8 week time interval to re-resection (HR 0.43, 95%CI 0.21-0.90; p = 0.02), advanced T-stage (HR 2.65, 95%CI 1.16-6.09; p = 0.02), and margin positivity (HR 2.46, 95%CI 1.16-5.22; p = 0.02) persisted on MV analysis. Conclusions: The optimal time-interval for attempted re-resection for incidentally discovered gallbladder cancer appears to be between 4-8 weeks after the date of the original cholecystectomy.

Gallbladder cancer presenting with jaundice: Uniformly fatal or still potentially curable?

336

Background: The prognosis of patients with gallbladder cancer (GBC) who present with jaundice has historically been considered dismal, however recent Eastern literature has demonstrated that surgical resection can be associated with long-term survival. The objective of this study was to utilize a contemporary, Western, multi-institutional dataset to examine the prognostic significance of preoperative jaundice on short- and long-term outcomes after GBC resection. Methods: Patients with GBC managed surgically from 2000 to 2015 in 10 academic institutions participating in the U.S. Extrahepatic Biliary Malignancy Consortium were stratified based on the presence of preoperative jaundice (bilirubin > 3 mg/ml or requiring preoperative biliary drainage). Postoperative morbidity, mortality, and overall survival were compared. Results: Of 449 patients with GBC evaluated for resection, 301 (67%) eventually underwent curative-intent resection. Resectability for cure was much lower in patients with preoperative jaundice (48% vs. 79%, p < 0.001). Of 273 patients who underwent curative-intent resection and had available preoperative bilirubin levels, 53 (19%) had preoperative jaundice and were noted to have tumors of T3/4 stage (63% vs 42%, P = 0.008), with lymph node metastasis (63% vs. 41%; p = 0.014), lymphovascular invasion (68% vs 39%; p = 0.003), and R1 margins (37 vs. 9%; p < 0.001). Patients with jaundice more commonly required CBD (55% vs 32%, P = 0.004), major liver (25% vs. 7%; p < 0.001) and portal vein resection (8% vs. 0.5%; p = 0.006), as well as intraoperative blood transfusion (29 % vs. 11%; p = 0.002). Overall morbidity (57% vs. 38%; p = 0.031) and in-hospital mortality (7.5% vs. 1.4%; p = 0.029) rates were higher in patients with jaundice. Overall survival after curative-intent resection was worse in patients with jaundice (median 12 vs 33 months; p < 0.001). Conclusions: Half of GBC patients presenting with jaundice are not resectable for cure and when they are, their 5-year survival is 12%. These patients should not be excluded from multidisciplinary treatment strategies that include surgery, however expectations should be clearly set and selection should be cautious.