Relation of Resting Heart Rate to Incident Atrial Fibrillation (from the Henry Ford Hospital Exercise Testing Project)

Autonomic nervous system (ANS) dysfunction plays a role in atrial fibrillation (AF) initiation. Cardiorespiratory fitness modulates ANS function and is inversely associated with resting heart rate (RHR) and risk of AF. Thus, we sought to study the association between RHR, as a surrogate for ANS function, and incident AF independent of exercise capacity (EC). We analyzed 51,436 subjects without previous AF who underwent a clinically indicated exercise stress test. Incident AF was ascertained through claims files. RHR was measured before stress testing, and EC was estimated by peak metabolic equivalents of task. We studied the association between RHR categories (<70, 70 to 85 [reference], and >85 beats/min) and incident AF using Cox models adjusted for risk factors and for EC. We tested for interaction between RHR and age, gender, smoking, and EC. Mean (SD) age was 53 (13) years, 53% were men, and 28% were black. Participants with RHR <70 beats/min were older, more likely to be men, have higher EC, and more likely to smoke but less likely to have diabetes and hypertension. Over a median of 5.5 years, RHR <70 beats/min was associated with 14% increased risk of AF (95 CI 6% to 25%) in fully adjusted models, whereas RHR >85 beats/min was not associated with AF risk after adjusting for EC. Results for RHR analyzed continuously and by quartile were similar. No interaction was seen. In conclusion, subjects with low RHR at all levels of EC are at increased risk of AF and may benefit from heart rhythm surveillance, particularly in the presence of other AF risk factors.

Are there negative responders to exercise training among heart failure patients?

PURPOSE

Aerobic exercise training has been used in patients with stable heart failure (HF) to reduce the risk of clinical events. However, due to patient heterogeneity, some patients may experience a decrease in functional capacity due to such training. The purpose of this study was to estimate the proportion of HF patients participating in a training program who had negative responses to such therapy and to compare them with a concurrent control group.

METHODS

Baseline and 3-month peak V˙O2 measurements were obtained on 1870 HF subjects who were randomized to receive either an exercise training program or a control program of usual care without exercise training. The exercise program consisted of supervised walking or stationary cycling 3 d·wk(-1) for 12 wk as well as a 2-d·wk(-1) home exercise program after completing 18 supervised sessions. A negative response was defined as a baseline-to-3-month decrease in peak V˙O2 of at least 5 mL·kg(-1) min(-1), which was two times the SD of the control group's change in peak V˙O2.

RESULTS

The mean ± SD change in peak V˙O2 in the exercise group and control group was 0.8 ± 2.5 mL·kg(-1)min(-1) and 0.2 ± 2.5 mL·kg(-1)min(-1), respectively (P < 0.001). The percentage of negative responders in the exercise and control groups was 0.9% and 2.3% (P = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

The low negative response rate in the exercise group combined with the slightly higher rate in the control group and equal variability in the exercise and control groups suggests that few if any subjects had training-related negative peak V˙O2 responses. These findings support current exercise recommendations for HF patients.

Chronotropic Incompetence and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: The Henry Ford ExercIse Testing (FIT) Project

OBJECTIVES

To examine the association between chronotropic incompetence and incident atrial fibrillation (AF).

BACKGROUND

Patients with inadequate heart rate response during exercise may have abnormalities in sinus node function or autonomic tone that predispose to the development of AF.

METHODS

We examined the association between heart rate response and incident AF in 57,402 (mean age=54±13 years, 47% female, 64% white) patients free of baseline AF who underwent exercise-treadmill stress testing from the Henry Ford ExercIse Testing (FIT) Project. Age-predicted maximum heart rate (pMHR) values <85% and chronotropic index values <80% were used to define chronotropic incompetence. Cox regression, adjusting for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, medications, coronary heart disease, heart failure, and metabolic equivalent of task achieved, was used to compute hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between chronotropic incompetence and incident AF.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 5.0 years (25^th-75^th percentiles=2.6, 7.8), a total of 3,395 (5.9%) participants developed AF. pMHR values <85% were associated with an increased risk for AF development (HR=1.33, 95%CI=1.22, 1.44). Chronotropic index values <80% also were associated with an increased risk of AF (HR=1.28, 95%CI=1.19, 1.38). The associations of pMHR and chronotropic index with AF remained significant with varying cut-off points to define chronotropic incompetence.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis suggests that patients with inadequate heart rate response during exercise have an increased risk for developing AF.

Variables Measured During Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing as Predictors of Mortality in Chronic Systolic Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Data from a cardiopulmonary exercise (CPX) test are used to determine prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure (HF). However, few published studies have simultaneously compared the relative prognostic strength of multiple CPX variables.

OBJECTIVES

The study sought to describe the strength of the association among variables measured during a CPX test and all-cause mortality in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), including the influence of sex and patient effort, as measured by respiratory exchange ratio (RER).

METHODS

Among patients (n = 2,100, 29% women) enrolled in the HF-ACTION (HF-A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of exercise traiNing) trial, 10 CPX test variables measured at baseline (e.g., peak oxygen uptake [Vo2], exercise duration, percent predicted peak Vo2 [%ppVo2], ventilatory efficiency) were examined.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 32 months, there were 357 deaths. All CPX variables, except RER, were related to all-cause mortality (all p < 0.0001). Both %ppVo2 and exercise duration were equally able to predict (Wald chi-square: ∼141) and discriminate (c-index: 0.69) mortality. Peak Vo2 (ml·kg(-1)·min(-1)) was the strongest predictor of mortality among men (Wald chi-square: 129) and exercise duration among women (Wald chi-square: 41). Multivariable analyses showed that %ppVo2, exercise duration, and peak Vo2 (ml·kg(-1)·min(-1)) were similarly able to predict and discriminate mortality. In men, a 10% 1-year mortality rate corresponded to a peak Vo2 of 10.9 ml·kg(-1)·min(-1) versus 5.3 ml·kg(-1)·min(-1) in women.

CONCLUSIONS

Peak Vo2, exercise duration, and % ppVo2 carried the strongest ability to predict and discriminate the likelihood of death in patients with HFrEF. The prognosis associated with a given peak Vo2 differed by sex. (Exercise Training Program to Improve Clinical Outcomes in Individuals With Congestive Heart Failure; NCT00047437).

Sex Differences in Cardiorespiratory Fitness and All-Cause Mortality: The Henry Ford ExercIse Testing (FIT) Project

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether sex modifies the relationship between fitness and mortality.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We included 57,284 patients without coronary artery disease or heart failure who completed a routine treadmill exercise test between 1991 and 2009. We determined metabolic equivalent tasks (METs) and linked patient records with mortality data via the Social Security Death Index. Multivariable Cox regression was used to determine the association between sex, fitness, and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

There were 29,470 men (51.4%) and 27,814 women (48.6%) with mean ages of 53 and 54 years, respectively. Overall, men achieved 1.7 METs higher than women (P<.001). During median follow-up of 10 years, there were 6402 deaths. The mortality rate for men in each MET group was similar to that for women, who achieved an average of 2.6 METs lower (P=.004). Fitness was inversely associated with mortality in both men (hazard ratio [HR], 0.84 per 1 MET; 95% CI, 0.83-0.85) and women (HR, 0.83 per 1 MET; 95% CI, 0.81-0.84). This relationship did not plateau at high or low MET values.

CONCLUSION

Although men demonstrated 1.7 METs higher than women, their survival was equivalent to that of women demonstrating 2.6 METs lower. Furthermore, higher MET values were associated with lower mortality for both men and women across the range of MET values. These findings are useful for tailoring prognostic information and lifestyle guidance to men and women undergoing stress testing.

Racial Differences in the Prognostic Value of Cardiorespiratory Fitness (Results from the Henry Ford Exercise Testing Project)

The aim of this analysis was to determine whether racial differences exist in the prognostic value of cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) in black and white patients undergoing stress testing. We included 53,876 patients (mean age 53 ± 13, 49% women) from the Henry Ford Exercise Testing project free of established coronary disease or heart failure who completed a maximal exercise test from 1991 to 2009. Patients were followed for a mean duration of 11.5 years for all-cause mortality, ascertained by linkage with the Death Master File. Follow-up over mean 6.2 years was also available for incident myocardial infarction. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were used adjusting for demographic variables, risk factors, medications, and reason for stress test referral, including formal interaction testing by race (black vs white). Black patients (n = 16,725) were younger (54 ± 13 vs 52 ± 13, p <0.001) but had higher prevalence of hypertension (73% vs 57%, p <0.001) and obesity (28% vs 21%, p <0.001). On average, black patients achieved a lower CRF compared with whites (8.4 vs 9.5 metabolic equivalents, p <0.0001). A graded increase in mortality risk was noted with decreasing CRF for both black and white patients. In multivariate Cox regression, CRF was a predictor of both myocardial infarction and mortality, with no significant interaction between race, fitness, and outcomes (all interaction terms p >0.10). CRF is a strong predictor of all-cause mortality in both white and black patients, with no significant interaction observed between race, fitness, and outcomes.

Relationship Between Exercise Workload During Cardiac Rehabilitation and Outcomes in Patients With Coronary Heart Disease

The purpose of this retrospective, observational study was to describe the relation between exercise workload during cardiac rehabilitation (CR), expressed as metabolic equivalents of task (METs), and prognosis among patients with coronary heart disease. We included patients with coronary heart disease who participated in CR between January 1998 and June 2007. METs were calculated from treadmill workload. Cox regression analysis was used to describe the relationship between METs and time to a composite outcome of all-cause mortality, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or heart failure hospitalization. Among 1,726 patients (36% women; median age 59 years [interquartile range, 52 to 66]), there were 467 events (27%) during a median follow-up of 5.8 years (interquartile range, 2.6 to 8.7). In analyses adjusted for age, sex, Charlson co-morbidity index, hypertension, diabetes, and CR referral diagnosis, METs were independently related to the composite outcome at CR start (Wald chi-square 43, hazard ratio 0.59 [95% confidence interval 0.51 to 0.70]) and CR end (Wald chi-square 47, hazard ratio 0.68 [95% confidence interval 0.61 to 0.76]). Patients exercising below 3.5 METs on exit from CR represent a high-risk group with 1- and 3-year event rates ≥7% and ≥18%, respectively. In conclusion, METs during CR is available at no additional cost and can be used to identify patients at increased risk for an event who may benefit from closer follow-up, extended length of stay in CR, and/or participation in other strategies aimed at maximizing adherence to secondary preventive behaviors and improving exercise capacity.

Prognostic value of cardiopulmonary exercise testing in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. The Henry Ford HospITal CardioPulmonary EXercise Testing (FIT-CPX) project

BACKGROUND

Although cardiopulmonary exercise (CPX) testing in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction is well established, there are limited data on the value of CPX variables in patients with HF and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). We sought to determine the prognostic value of select CPX measures in patients with HFpEF.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of patients with HFpEF (ejection fraction ≥ 50%) who performed a CPX test between 1997 and 2010. Selected CPX variables included peak oxygen uptake (VO2), percent predicted maximum oxygen uptake (ppMVO2), minute ventilation to carbon dioxide production slope (VE/VCO2 slope) and exercise oscillatory ventilation (EOV). Separate Cox regression analyses were performed to assess the relationship between each CPX variable and a composite outcome of all-cause mortality or cardiac transplant.

RESULTS

We identified 173 HFpEF patients (45% women, 58% non-white, age 54 ± 14 years) with complete CPX data. During a median follow-up of 5.2 years, there were 42 deaths and 5 cardiac transplants. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year cumulative event-free survival was 96%, 90%, and 82%, respectively. Based on the Wald statistic from the Cox regression analyses adjusted for age, sex, and β-blockade therapy, ppMVO2 was the strongest predictor of the end point (Wald χ(2) = 15.0, hazard ratio per 10%, P < .001), followed by peak VO2 (Wald χ(2) = 11.8, P = .001). VE/VCO2 slope (Wald χ(2)= 0.4, P = .54) and EOV (Wald χ(2) = 0.15, P = .70) had no significant association to the composite outcome.

CONCLUSION

These data support the prognostic utility of peak VO2 and ppMVO2 in patients with HFpEF. Additional studies are needed to define optimal cut points to identify low- and high-risk patients.

Exercise Parameters and Risk of Coronary Artery Disease and Mortality Among Patients Who Use Pulmonary Medications: The FIT Project

BACKGROUND

In the general population, the exercise treadmill testing variables of lower resting heart rate, higher peak heart rate, and greater fitness have favorable prognosis for mortality. Patients with obstructive lung disease have increased mortality risk. Furthermore, some pulmonary medications (ie, beta2-agonists) can influence heart rate. We determined whether exercise treadmill test parameters carry the same prognostic value in patients who are using versus not using pulmonary medications.

METHODS

We analyzed data on 69,855 patients (mean age, 55 years) who completed a clinically indicated exercise treadmill test. Patients were defined as having "lung disease" if they were taking medications routinely used to treat obstructive lung disease (n = 6145, 9%). International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision codes regarding the type of lung disease were not available. Multivariate-adjusted Cox models were used to determine the risk of mortality, major adverse cardiac events, and myocardial infarction over a mean of 11 years follow-up.

RESULTS

Higher resting heart rate was associated with increased mortality risk, and higher peak heart rate and fitness were associated with decreased risk. No significant interaction for lung disease status was seen for the heart rate variables, but a slightly stronger protective effect was observed for higher fitness among patients with lung disease (P interaction = .032). The results were similar for major adverse cardiac events and myocardial infarction.

CONCLUSIONS

Heart rate parameters achieved on exercise treadmill tests are equally prognostic among patients using versus not using pulmonary medications. Higher fitness was associated with improved clinical outcomes for both; however, the relative benefit of fitness on survival was even greater in patients using pulmonary medications compared with those not using them.

High Exercise Capacity Attenuates the Risk of Early Mortality After a First Myocardial Infarction: The Henry Ford Exercise Testing (FIT) Project

OBJECTIVE

To examine the effect of objectively measured exercise capacity (EC) on early mortality (EM) after a first myocardial infarction (MI).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 2061 patients without a history of MI (mean age, 62±12 years; 38% [n=790] women; 56% [n=1153] white) who underwent clinical treadmill stress testing in the Henry Ford Health System from January 1, 1991, through May 31, 2009, and suffered MI during follow-up (MI event proportion, 3.4%; mean time from the exercise test to MI, 6.1±4.3 years). Exercise capacity was categorized on the basis of peak metabolic equivalents (METs) achieved: less than 6, 6 to 9, 10 to 11, and 12 or more METs. Early mortality was defined as all-cause mortality within 28, 90, or 365 days of MI. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess the effect of EC on the risk of mortality at each time point post-MI adjusting for baseline demographic characteristics, cardiovascular risk factors, medication use, indication for stress testing, and year of MI.

RESULTS

The 28-day EM rate was 10.6% overall, and 13.9%, 10.7%, 6.9%, and 6.0% in the less than 6, 6 to 9, 10 to 11, and 12 or more METs categories, respectively (P<.001). Patients who died were more likely to be older, be less fit, be nonobese, have treated hypertension, and have a longer duration from baseline to incident MI (P<.05). Adjusted regression analyses revealed a decreased risk of EM with increasing EC categories. A 1-MET higher EC was associated with an 8% to 10% lower risk of mortality across all time points (28 days: odds ratio [OR], 0.92; 95% CI, 0.87-0.98; P=.006; 90 days: OR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.86-0.95; P<.001; 365 days: OR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.87-0.94; P<.001).

CONCLUSION

Higher baseline EC was independently associated with a lower risk of early death after a first MI.

The Association of Resting Heart Rate and Incident Hypertension: The Henry Ford Hospital Exercise Testing (FIT) Project

BACKGROUND

Given that sympathetic tone is associated with hypertension, we sought to determine whether resting heart rate (RHR), as a surrogate for cardiac autonomic function, was associated with incident hypertension.

METHODS

We analyzed 21,873 individuals without a history of hypertension who underwent a clinically indicated exercise stress test. Baseline RHR was assessed prior to testing and was categorized as <70, 70-85, and >85 beats-per-minute (bpm). Incident hypertension was defined by subsequent diagnosis codes for new-onset hypertension from three or more encounters. We tested for effect modification by age (<60 vs. ≥60 years), sex, race, and history of coronary heart disease (CHD).

RESULTS

Mean (±SD) age was 49 (±12) years, 55% were men and 21% were Black. Compared to the lowest RHR (<70 bpm) category, patients in the highest category (>85 bpm) were younger, more likely to be female, heavier, diabetic, and achieve lower metabolic equivalents (METS). Over a median of 4 years follow-up, there were 8,179 cases of incident hypertension. Compared to RHR <70 bpm, persons with RHR >85 bpm had increased risk of hypertension after adjustment for CHD risk factors, baseline blood pressure (BP), and METS (hazard ratio = 1.15 (95% confidence interval 1.08-1.23)). Age was an effect modifier (interaction P = 0.02), whereas sex, race, and CHD were not. In age-stratified analyses the relationship remained significant only in those younger than 60 years.

CONCLUSION

Elevated RHR is an independent risk factor for incident hypertension, particularly in younger persons. Whether lifestyle modification or other strategies to reduce RHR can prevent incident hypertension in high-risk individuals warrants further study.

Relation of Risk of Atrial Fibrillation With Systolic Blood Pressure Response During Exercise Stress Testing (from the Henry Ford ExercIse Testing Project)

Decreases in systolic blood pressure during exercise may predispose to arrhythmias such as atrial fibrillation (AF) because of underlying abnormal autonomic tone. We examined the association between systolic blood pressure response and incident AF in 57,442 (mean age 54 ± 13 years, 47% women, and 29% black) patients free of baseline AF who underwent exercise treadmill stress testing from the Henry Ford ExercIse Testing project. Exercise systolic blood pressure response was examined as a categorical variable across clinically relevant categories (>20 mm Hg: referent; 1 to 20 mm Hg, and ≤0 mm Hg) and per 1-SD decrease. Cox regression, adjusting for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, medications, history of coronary heart disease, history of heart failure, and metabolic equivalent of task achieved, was used to compute hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between systolic blood pressure response and incident AF. Over a median follow-up of 5.0 years, a total of 3,381 cases (5.9%) of AF were identified. An increased risk of AF was observed with decreasing systolic blood pressure response (>20 mm Hg: HR 1.0, referent; 1 to 20 mm Hg: HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.99, 1.20; ≤0 mm Hg: HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.40). Similar results were obtained per 1-SD decrease in systolic blood pressure response (HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.12). The results were consistent when stratified by age, sex, race, hypertension, and coronary heart disease. In conclusion, our results suggest that a decreased systolic blood pressure response during exercise may identify subjects who are at risk for developing AF.

Physical fitness and hypertension in a population at risk for cardiovascular disease: the Henry Ford ExercIse Testing (FIT) Project

BACKGROUND

Increased physical fitness is protective against cardiovascular disease. We hypothesized that increased fitness would be inversely associated with hypertension.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We examined the association of fitness with prevalent and incident hypertension in 57 284 participants from The Henry Ford ExercIse Testing (FIT) Project (1991–2009). Fitness was measured during a clinician‐referred treadmill stress test. Incident hypertension was defined as a new diagnosis of hypertension on 3 separate consecutive encounters derived from electronic medical records or administrative claims files. Analyses were performed with logistic regression or Cox proportional hazards models and were adjusted for hypertension risk factors. The mean age overall was 53 years, with 49% women and 29% black. Mean peak metabolic equivalents (METs) achieved was 9.2 (SD, 3.0). Fitness was inversely associated with prevalent hypertension even after adjustment (≥12 METs versus <6 METs; OR: 0.73; 95% CI: 0.67, 0.80). During a median follow‐up period of 4.4 years (interquartile range: 2.2 to 7.7 years), there were 8053 new cases of hypertension (36.4% of 22 109 participants without baseline hypertension). The unadjusted 5‐year cumulative incidences across categories of METs (<6, 6 to 9, 10 to 11, and ≥12) were 49%, 41%, 30%, and 21%. After adjustment, participants achieving ≥12 METs had a 20% lower risk of incident hypertension compared to participants achieving <6 METs (HR: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.72, 0.89). This relationship was preserved across strata of age, sex, race, obesity, resting blood pressure, and diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher fitness is associated with a lower probability of prevalent and incident hypertension independent of baseline risk factors.

Cardiorespiratory fitness attenuates risk for major adverse cardiac events in hyperlipidemic men and women independent of statin therapy: The Henry Ford ExercIse Testing Project

AIMS

We sought to evaluate the effect of cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) in predicting mortality, myocardial infarction (MI), and revascularization in patients with hyperlipidemia after stratification by gender and statin therapy.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This retrospective cohort study included 33,204 patients with hyperlipidemia (57 ± 12 years old, 56% men, 25% black) who underwent physician-referred treadmill stress testing at the Henry Ford Health System from 1991 to 2009. Patients were stratified by gender, baseline statin therapy, and estimated metabolic equivalents from stress testing. We computed hazard ratios using Cox regression models after adjusting for demographics, cardiac risk factors, comorbidities, pertinent medications, interaction terms, and indication for stress testing.

RESULTS

There were 4,851 deaths, 1,962 MIs, and 2,686 revascularizations over a median follow-up of 10.3 years. In men and women not on statin therapy and men and women on statin therapy, each 1-metabolic equivalent increment in CRF was associated with hazard ratios of 0.86 (95% CI 0.85-0.88), 0.83 (95% CI 0.81-0.85), 0.85 (95% CI 0.83-0.87), and 0.84 (95% CI 0.81-0.87) for mortality; 0.93 (95% CI 0.90-0.96), 0.87 (95% CI 0.83-0.91), 0.89 (95% CI 0.86-0.92), and 0.90 (95% CI 0.86-0.95) for MI; and 0.91 (95% CI 0.88-0.93), 0.87 (95% CI 0.83-0.91), 0.89 (95% CI 0.87-0.92), and 0.90 (95% CI 0.86-0.94) for revascularization, respectively. No significant interactions were observed between CRF and statin therapy (P > .23).

CONCLUSION

Higher CRF attenuated risk for mortality, MI, and revascularization independent of gender and statin therapy in patients with hyperlipidemia. These results reinforce the prognostic value of CRF and support greater promotion of CRF in this patient population.

Rationale and design of the Henry Ford Exercise Testing Project (the FIT project)

Although physical fitness is a powerful prognostic marker in clinical medicine, most cardiovascular population-based studies do not have a direct measurement of cardiorespiratory fitness. In line with the call from the National Heart Lung and Blood Institute for innovative, low-cost, epidemiologic studies leveraging electronic medical record (EMR) data, we describe the rationale and design of the Henry Ford ExercIse Testing Project (The FIT Project). The FIT Project is unique in its combined use of directly measured clinical exercise data retrospective collection of medical history and medication treatment data at the time of the stress test, retrospective supplementation of supporting clinical data using the EMR and administrative databases and epidemiologic follow-up for cardiovascular events and total mortality via linkage with claims files and the death registry. The FIT Project population consists of 69 885 consecutive physician-referred patients (mean age, 54 ± 10 years; 54% males) who underwent Bruce protocol treadmill stress testing at Henry Ford Affiliated Hospitals between 1991 and 2009. Patients were followed for the primary outcomes of death, myocardial infarction, and need for coronary revascularization. The median estimated peak metabolic equivalent (MET) level was 10, with 17% of the patients having a severely reduced fitness level (METs < 6). At the end of the follow-up duration, 15.9%, 5.6%, and 6.7% of the patients suffered all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or revascularization procedures, respectively. The FIT Project is the largest study of physical fitness to date. With its use of modern electronic clinical epidemiologic techniques, it is poised to answer many clinically relevant questions related to exercise capacity and prognosis.

Systolic Blood Pressure Response During Exercise Stress Testing: The Henry Ford ExercIse Testing (FIT) Project

Background

The prognostic significance of modest elevations in exercise systolic blood pressure response has not been extensively examined.

Methods and Results

We examined the association between systolic blood pressure response and all-cause death and incident myocardial infarction (MI) in 44 089 (mean age 53±13 years, 45% female, 26% black) patients who underwent exercise treadmill stress testing from the Henry Ford ExercIse Testing (FIT) Project (1991–2010). Exercise systolic blood pressure response was examined as a categorical variable (>20 mm Hg: referent; 1 to 20 mm Hg, and ≤0 mm Hg) and per 1 SD decrease. Cox regression was used to compute hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CI for the association between systolic blood pressure response and all-cause death and incident MI. Over a median follow-up of 10 years, a total of 4782 (11%) deaths occurred and over 5.2 years, a total of 1188 (2.7%) MIs occurred. In a Cox regression analysis adjusted for demographics, physical fitness, and cardiovascular risk factors, an increased risk of death was observed with decreasing systolic blood pressure response (>20 mm Hg: HR=1.0, referent; 1 to 20 mm Hg: HR=1.13, 95% CI=1.05, 1.22; ≤0 mm Hg: HR=1.21, 95% CI=1.09, 1.34). A trend for increased MI risk was observed (>20 mm Hg: HR=1.0, referent; 1 to 20 mm Hg: HR=1.09, 95% CI=0.93, 1.27; ≤0 mm Hg: HR=1.19, 95% CI=0.95, 1.50). Decreases in systolic blood pressure response per 1 SD were associated with an increased risk for all-cause death (HR=1.08, 95% CI=1.05, 1.11) and incident MI (HR=1.09, 95% CI=1.03, 1.16).

Conclusions

Our results suggest that modest increases in exercise systolic blood pressure response are associated with adverse outcomes.

Maximal exercise testing variables and 10-year survival: fitness risk score derivation from the FIT Project

OBJECTIVE

To determine which routinely collected exercise test variables most strongly correlate with survival and to derive a fitness risk score that can be used to predict 10-year survival.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of 58,020 adults aged 18 to 96 years who were free of established heart disease and were referred for an exercise stress test from January 1, 1991, through May 31, 2009. Demographic, clinical, exercise, and mortality data were collected on all patients as part of the Henry Ford ExercIse Testing (FIT) Project. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify exercise test variables most predictive of survival. A "FIT Treadmill Score" was then derived from the β coefficients of the model with the highest survival discrimination.

RESULTS

The median age of the 58,020 participants was 53 years (interquartile range, 45-62 years), and 28,201 (49%) were female. Over a median of 10 years (interquartile range, 8-14 years), 6456 patients (11%) died. After age and sex, peak metabolic equivalents of task and percentage of maximum predicted heart rate achieved were most highly predictive of survival (P<.001). Subsequent addition of baseline blood pressure and heart rate, change in vital signs, double product, and risk factor data did not further improve survival discrimination. The FIT Treadmill Score, calculated as [percentage of maximum predicted heart rate + 12(metabolic equivalents of task) - 4(age) + 43 if female], ranged from -200 to 200 across the cohort, was near normally distributed, and was found to be highly predictive of 10-year survival (Harrell C statistic, 0.811).

CONCLUSION

The FIT Treadmill Score is easily attainable from any standard exercise test and translates basic treadmill performance measures into a fitness-related mortality risk score. The FIT Treadmill Score should be validated in external populations.

Relation of resting heart rate to risk for all-cause mortality by gender after considering exercise capacity (the Henry Ford exercise testing project)

Whether resting heart rate (RHR) predicts mortality independent of fitness is not well established, particularly among women. We analyzed data from 56,634 subjects (49% women) without known coronary artery disease or atrial fibrillation who underwent a clinically indicated exercise stress test. Baseline RHR was divided into 5 groups with <60 beats/min as reference. The Social Security Death Index was used to ascertain vital status. Cox hazard models were performed to determine the association of RHR with all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events, myocardial infarction, or revascularization after sequential adjustment for demographics, cardiovascular disease risk factors, medications, and fitness (metabolic equivalents). The mean age was 53 ± 12 years and mean RHR was 73 ± 12 beats/min. More than half of the participants were referred for chest pain; 81% completed an adequate stress test and mean metabolic equivalents achieved was 9.2 ± 3. There were 6,255 deaths over 11.0-year mean follow-up. There was an increased risk of all-cause mortality with increasing RHR (p trend <0.001). Compared with the lowest RHR group, participants with an RHR ≥90 beats/min had a significantly increased risk of mortality even after adjustment for fitness (hazard ratio 1.22, 95% confidence interval 1.10 to 1.35). This relationship remained significant for men, but not significant for women after adjustment for fitness (p interaction <0.001). No significant associations were seen for men or women with major adverse cardiovascular events, myocardial infarction, or revascularization after accounting for fitness. In conclusion, after adjustment for fitness, elevated RHR was an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality in men but not women, suggesting gender differences in the utility of RHR for risk stratification.

Cardiac rehabilitation improves functional capacity and patient-reported health status in patients with continuous-flow left ventricular assist devices: the Rehab-VAD randomized controlled trial

OBJECTIVES

This study examined the effects of a cardiac rehabilitation (CR) program on functional capacity and health status (HS) in patients with newly implanted left ventricular assist devices (LVADs).

BACKGROUND

Reduced functional capacity and HS are independent predictors of mortality in patients with heart failure. CR improves both, and is related to improved outcomes in patients with heart failure; however, there is a paucity of data that describe the effects of CR in patients with LVADs.

METHODS

Enrolled subjects (n = 26; 7 women; age 55 ± 13 years; ejection fraction 21 ± 8%) completed a symptom-limited cardiopulmonary exercise test, the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ), a 6-min walk test (6MW), and single-leg isokinetic strength test before 2:1 randomization to CR versus usual care. Subjects in the CR group underwent 18 visits of aerobic exercise at 60% to 80% of heart rate reserve. Within-group changes from baseline to follow-up were analyzed with a paired t-test, whereas an independent t-test was used to determine differences in the change between groups.

RESULTS

Within-group improvements were observed in the CR group for peak oxygen uptake (10%), treadmill time (3.1 min), KCCQ score (14.4 points), 6MW distance (52.3 m), and leg strength (17%). Significant differences among groups were observed for KCCQ, leg strength, and total treadmill time.

CONCLUSIONS

Indicators of functional capacity and HS are improved in patients with continuous-flow LVADs who attend CR. Future trials should examine the mechanisms responsible for these improvements, and if such improvements translate into improved clinical outcomes. (Cardiac Rehabilitation in Patients With Continuous Flow Left Ventricular Assist Devices:Rehab VAD Trial [RehabVAD]; NCT01584895).

6-min walk test provides prognostic utility comparable to cardiopulmonary exercise testing in ambulatory outpatients with systolic heart failure

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to compare the prognostic efficacy of the 6-min walk (6MW) and cardiopulmonary exercise (CPX) tests in stable outpatients with chronic heart failure (HF).

BACKGROUND

CPX and 6MW tests are commonly applied as prognostic gauges for systolic HF patients, but few direct comparisons have been conducted.

METHODS

Stable New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class II and III systolic HF patients (ejection fraction ≤ 35%) from the HF-ACTION (Heart Failure: A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of Exercise Training) trial were studied. 6MW distance (6MWD) and CPX indices (peak oxygen consumption [VO(2)] and ventilatory equivalents for exhaled carbon dioxide [VE/VCO(2)] slope) were compared as predictors of all-cause mortality/hospitalization and all-cause mortality over 2.5 years of mean follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 2,054 HF-ACTION participants underwent both CPX and 6MW tests at baseline (median age 59 years; 71% male; 64% NYHA functional class II and 36% NYHA functional class III/IV). In unadjusted models and in models that included key clinical and demographic covariates, C-indices of 6MWD were 0.58 and 0.65 (unadjusted) and 0.62 and 0.72 (adjusted) in predicting all-cause mortality/hospitalization and all-cause mortality, respectively. C-indices for peak VO(2) were 0.61 and 0.68 (unadjusted) and 0.63 and 0.73 (adjusted). C-indices for VE/VCO(2) slope were 0.56 and 0.65 (unadjusted) and 0.61 and 0.71 (adjusted); combining peak VO(2) and VE/VCO(2) slope did not improve the C-indices. Overlapping 95% confidence intervals and modest integrated discrimination improvement values confirmed similar prognostic discrimination by 6MWD and CPX indices within adjusted models.

CONCLUSIONS

In systolic HF outpatients, 6MWD and CPX indices demonstrated similar utility as univariate predictors for all-cause hospitalization/mortality and all-cause mortality. However, 6MWD or CPX indices added only modest prognostic discrimination to models that included important demographic and clinical covariates.

Relation between volume of exercise and clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure

OBJECTIVES

This study determined whether greater volumes of exercise were associated with greater reductions in clinical events.

BACKGROUND

The HF-ACTION (Heart Failure: A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of Exercise Training) trial showed that among patients with heart failure (HF), regular exercise confers a modest reduction in the adjusted risk for all-cause mortality or hospitalization.

METHODS

Patients randomized to the exercise training arm of HF-ACTION who were event-free at 3 months after randomization were included (n = 959). Median follow-up was 28.2 months. Clinical endpoints were all-cause mortality or hospitalization and cardiovascular mortality or HF hospitalization.

RESULTS

A reverse J-shaped association was observed between exercise volume and adjusted clinical risk. On the basis of Cox regression, exercise volume was not a significant linear predictor but was a logarithmic predictor (p = 0.03) for all-cause mortality or hospitalization. For cardiovascular mortality or HF hospitalization, exercise volume was a significant (p = 0.001) linear and logarithmic predictor. Moderate exercise volumes of 3 to <5 metabolic equivalent (MET)-h and 5 to <7 MET-h per week were associated with reductions in subsequent risk that exceeded 30%. Exercise volume was positively associated with the change in peak oxygen uptake at 3 months (r = 0.10; p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with chronic systolic HF, volume of exercise is associated with the risk for clinical events, with only moderate levels (3 to 7 MET-h per week) of exercise needed to observe a clinical benefit. Although further study is warranted to confirm the relationship between volume of exercise completed and clinical events, our findings support the use of regular exercise in the management of these patients.

Predicting maximal HR in heart failure patients on β-blockade therapy

PURPOSE

Standards for estimating maximal HR are important when interpreting the adequacy of physiologic stress during exercise testing, assessing chronotropic response, and prescribing an exercise training regimen. The equation 220 - age is used to estimate maximum HR; however, it overestimates measured maximal HR in patients taking β-adrenergic blockade (βB) therapy. This study developed and validated a practical equation to predict maximal HR in patients with heart failure (HF) taking βB therapy.

METHODS

Data from symptom-limited exercise tests completed on patients with systolic HF participating in the Heart Failure: A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of Exercise Training trial and taking a βB agent were used to develop a simplified equation, which was validated using bootstrapping.

RESULTS

The simplified derived equation was 119 + 0.5 (resting HR) - 0.5 (age) - (0, if test was completed using a treadmill; 5, if using a stationary bike). The R2 and SEE were 0.28 and 18 beats·min(-1), respectively. Validation of this equation yielded a mean R and SEE of 0.28 and 18 beats·min(-1), respectively. For the equation 220 - age, the R2 was -2.93, and the SEE was 43 beats·min(-1).

CONCLUSIONS

We report a valid and simple population-specific equation for estimating peak HR in patients with HF taking βB therapy. This equation should be helpful when evaluating chronotropic response or assessing if a maximum effort was provided during exercise testing. We caution, however, that the magnitude of the variation (SEE = 18 beats·min(-1)) associated with this prediction equation may make it impractical when prescribing exercise intensity.

Role and benefits of exercise in the management of patients with heart failure

Initial research established the feasibility of exercise training in patients with heart failure, as well as associated physiological benefits. This review summarizes the findings from over two dozen single-site studies that address the effect of exercise training on exercise capacity and cardiovascular and peripheral function. In addition, it incorporates the results from two meta-analyses and a recently completed multi-center trial, all of which studied the effects of exercise training on clinical outcomes. The major conclusions from these studies are that exercise training is safe; improves health status and exercise capacity; helps attenuate much of the abnormal pathophysiology that develops with heart failure; and yields a modest reduction in clinical events. The magnitude of the clinical benefits appears related to the volume of exercise completed. Future research is needed to identify which patient subgroups might benefit the most from exercise training, the optimal exercise dose or load needed to lessen disease-related symptoms and maximize clinical benefit, and the effects of exercise training in patients with heart failure and preserved left ventricular systolic function.

The relationship between body mass index and cardiopulmonary exercise testing in chronic systolic heart failure

BACKGROUND

Cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPX) in patients with systolic heart failure (HF) is important for determining HF prognosis and helping guide timing of heart transplantation. Although approximately 20% to 30% of patients with HF are obese (body mass index [BMI] >30 kg/m(2)), the impact of BMI on CPX results is not well established. The objective of this study was to assess the relationship between BMI and CPX variables, including peak oxygen uptake (VO(2)) at ventilatory threshold, oxygen pulse, and ventilation-carbon dioxide production ratio.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with systolic HF (n = 2,324) enrolled in the Heart Failure and A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of Exercise Training trial who had baseline BMI recorded were included in this study. Subjects were divided into strata based on BMI: underweight (BMI <18.5 kg/m(2)), normal weight (BMI 18.5-24.9 kg/m(2)), overweight (BMI 25.0-29.9 kg/m(2)), obese I (BMI 30-34.9 kg/m(2)), obese II (BMI 35-39.9 kg/m(2)), and obese III (BMI > or = 40 kg/m(2)).

RESULTS

Obese III, but not overweight; obese I; or obese II was associated with decreased peak VO(2) (mL kg(-1) min(-1)) compared to normal weight status. Increasing BMI category was inversely related to ventilation/carbon dioxide production (V(E)/V(CO2)) ratio (P < .0001). On multivariable analysis, BMI was a significant independent predictor of peak VO(2) (partial R(2) = 0.07, P < .0001) and V(E)/V(CO2) slope (partial R(2) = 0.03, P < .0001) in patients with chronic systolic HF.

CONCLUSIONS

Body mass index is significantly associated with key CPX fitness variables in patients with HF. The influence of BMI on the prognostic value of CPX in HF requires further evaluation in longitudinal studies.

Peak aerobic capacity predicts prognosis in patients with coronary heart disease

BACKGROUND

It is unknown if contemporary preventive treatments such as statins or primary percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) have rendered obsolete the use of measured exercise capacity for assessment of future risk and prognosis. Using a sample of patients from 2 clinical sites, most of whom were taking beta-blockade, antiplatelet, and statin therapy, we hypothesized that peak oxygen consumption (Vo(2)) would remain a strong and independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular-specific mortality in men and women with CHD.

METHODS

We studied 2,812 patients with CHD between 1996 and 2004. All-cause and cardiovascular disease-specific mortality served as end points.

RESULTS

In all men and women and in a subgroup of patients following evidence-based care, peak Vo(2) remained a strong predictor of all-cause death, with every 1 mL x kg(-1) x min(-1) increase in peak Vo(2) associated with an approximate 15% decrease in risk of death. Among men, a peak Vo(2) (mL x kg(-1) x min(-1)) below approximately 15 was associated with the highest risk, whereas a peak Vo(2) above approximately 19 was associated with a low rate and risk for annual all-cause mortality. Among women, a peak Vo(2) below approximately 12 was associated with the highest risk, whereas a peak Vo(2) above approximately 16.5 was associated with the lowest rate and risk for annual all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In men and women with CHD, peak Vo(2) remains an independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular-specific mortality.

Empirically Derived Psychometric Screening for Emotional Distress in Coronary Artery Disease Patients

BACKGROUND AND RESEARCH OBJECTIVES

Multiple types of evidence implicate emotional distress as a cause of adverse outcomes in individuals with coronary artery disease. The present study was intended to determine the most accurate and user-friendly means of screening patients with coronary artery disease for emotional distress using age at initial diagnosis as the criterion.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Two clinical databases consisting of patients with documented coronary artery disease, each contained multiple measures of emotional distress, were used. These databases were investigated by tests of covariation of the emotional distress measures with age at initial diagnosis. If these were statistically significant, sequential testing of cutpoints yielded the minimum score for positivity. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value calculations were made for the significant measures. Single-sex tests of covariation were also examined.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

The Patient Health Questionnaire was the only significant bedside measure of emotional distress (Pearson r = -0.149, P = .058), with a cutpoint of 10 or greater. The Beck Depression Inventory, Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, and Crown-Crisp Phobic Anxiety Scale failed to reach significance as covariates of age at initial diagnosis. Substantially greater sensitivity occurs with larger and more cumbersome measures of emotional distress. For example, the Ketterer Stress Symptom Frequency Checklist yielded consistent results with greater variance explained, particularly in men (Pearson r for self-ratings of anger = -0.339, P = .001; depression = -0.363, P = .005; anxiety = -0.273, P = .028). Brief bedside/clinic screening of emotional in populations with coronary artery disease is possible and necessary to improve quality of life, compliance (eg, smoking cessation), and possibly morbidity/mortality. Initial screening can and should occur at the bedside/clinic by cardiology or primary care personnel using the Patient Health Questionnaire.

Aerobic Capacity in Patients Entering Cardiac Rehabilitation

Background— Symptom-limited treadmill testing is commonly performed on entry to cardiac rehabilitation (CR) for its prognostic value and to design a safe and effective exercise program. Normative values for this evaluation are not available. The primary goals of this study were to establish normative values for peak aerobic capacity (peak V̇ o 2 ) for patients entering CR and to create nomograms for conversion of peak V̇ o 2 to a percentage of predicted exercise capacity, stratified by age, gender, and diagnosis.

Methods and Results— Peak V̇ o 2 was measured in 2896 patients entering CR from 1996 to 2004. Peak V̇ o 2 was higher in men than in women: 19.3±6.1 mL · kg −1 · min −1 (range, 5.2 to 49.7 mL · kg −1 · min −1 ) versus 14.5±3.9 mL · kg −1 · min −1 (range, 3.8 to 29.8 mL · kg −1 · min −1 ) ( P <0.0001). Peak V̇ o 2 decreased steadily with age with a greater rate of decline in men than women (−0.242 versus −0.116 mL · kg −1 · min −1 per year) ( P <0.01). Factors associated with lower peak V̇ o 2 include coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), angina at stress testing, hypertension, and, in women, β-blocking medications. Nomograms are presented for individual values to be compared with mean values by age, gender, and cardiac diagnosis. These include a nomogram to convert estimated maximal metabolic equivalents to actual peak V̇ o 2 for patients who do not undergo direct measurement of peak V̇ o 2 .

Conclusions— Values of peak V̇ o 2 on entry to CR are extremely low, particularly in women, approaching values seen with severe chronic heart failure. This underscores the importance of CR after a major cardiac event to improve physical function and long-term prognosis.