A case-crossover analysis of particulate matter air pollution and out-of-hospital primary cardiac arrest

Numerous epidemiologic studies have reported increases in the daily incidence of cardiovascular mortality and morbidity associated with increases in daily levels of particulate matter air pollution. We studied the association between the incidence of primary cardiac arrest and two daily measures of particulate matter using a case-crossover study of 362 cases of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. All cases were attended by paramedics and had no history of clinically recognized heart disease or life-threatening comorbidities. We compared particulate matter levels at index times with particulate matter levels from referent days matched on day of week within strata defined by month and year. The estimated relative risk at a lag of 1 day for an interquartile range (IQR) change in nephelometry (0.51 x 10(-1) km(-1)) was 0.893 (95% CI = 0.779-1.024). The estimated relative risk at a lag of 1 day for an IQR change in PM10 (19.3 microg m(-3)) was 0.868 (95% CI = 0.744-1.012). Other lag periods gave similar results. We did not find evidence of confounding by carbon monoxide or sulfur dioxide. Analysis of effect modification by individual-level variables did not reveal any susceptible subgroups. These findings do no support an association between particulate matter and increased risk of primary cardiac arrest among persons without clinically recognized heart disease. The null results of this study may result from several factors, including the highly selected nature of this case series and the relatively low particulate matter levels in the Seattle metropolitan area.

Effects of ambient air pollution on symptoms of asthma in Seattle-area children enrolled in the CAMP study

We observed a panel of 133 children (5-13 years of age) with asthma residing in the greater Seattle, Washington, area for an average of 58 days (range 28-112 days) during screening for enrollment in the Childhood Asthma Management Program (CAMP) study. Daily self-reports of asthma symptoms were obtained from study diaries and compared with ambient air pollution levels in marginal repeated measures logistic regression models. We defined days with asthma symptoms as any day a child reported at least one mild asthma episode. All analyses were controlled for subject-specific variables [age, race, sex, baseline height, and FEV(1) PC(20) concentration (methacholine provocative concentration required to produce a 20% decrease in forced expiratory volume in 1 sec)] and potential time-dependent confounders (day of week, season, and temperature). Because of variable observation periods for participants, we estimated both between- and within-subject air pollutant effects. Our primary interest was in the within-subject effects: the effect of air pollutant excursions from typical levels in each child's observation period on the odds of asthma symptoms. In single-pollutant models, the population average estimates indicated a 30% [95% confidence interval (CI), 11-52%] increase for a 1-ppm increment in carbon monoxide lagged 1 day, an 18% (95% CI, 5-33%) increase for a 10-microg/m(3) increment in same-day particulate matter < 1.0 microm (PM(1.0)), and an 11% (95% CI, 3-20%) increase for a 10-microg/m(3) increment in particulate matter < 10 microm (PM(10)) lagged 1 day. Conditional on the previous day's asthma symptoms, we estimated 25% (95% CI, 10-42%), 14% (95% CI, 4-26%), and 10% (95% CI, 3-16%) increases in the odds of asthma symptoms associated with increases in CO, PM(1.0), and PM(10), respectively. We did not find any association between sulfur dioxide (SO(2)) and the odds of asthma symptoms. In multipollutant models, the separate pollutant effects were smaller. The overall effect of an increase in both CO and PM(1. 0) was a 31% (95% CI, 11-55%) increase in the odds of symptoms of asthma. We conclude that there is an association between change in short-term air pollution levels, as indexed by PM and CO, and the occurrence of asthma symptoms among children in Seattle. Although PM effects on asthma have been found in other studies, it is likely that CO is a marker for vehicle exhaust and other combustion by-products that aggravate asthma.

A case-crossover analysis of fine particulate matter air pollution and out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrest

Numerous recent epidemiologic studies report increases in the daily incidence of cardiovascular disease mortality and morbidity related to increases in daily levels of fine particulate matter (PM)* air pollution. This study sought to evaluate the possible association between the occurrence of out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) and daily PM levels in the Seattle metropolitan area. The underlying hypothesis was that PM exposure may act as a cardiovascular trigger for SCA. A case-crossover study was conducted among 362 SCA cases identified by paramedics from October 1988 through June 1994. Cases were King County WA residents who were married, aged 25 to 74 years at the time of their SCA, with no prior history of clinically recognized heart disease or other life-threatening comorbid conditions. Daily averages of regional PM monitoring data for nephelometry measures of PM (reported in units of bsp, referred to as coefficient of light scattering) and PM10 (particulate matter 10 microm or smaller in aerodynamic diameter) from three monitoring sites were used as indicators of exposure. In the case-crossover analysis, PM levels during index times of cases within the five days preceding an SCA were compared with PM levels at referent days, defined as the same days of the week during the month of SCA occurrence. Lag periods for index days of 0 to 5 days were investigated. The estimated relative risk (RR) at a lag of 1 day for an interquartile range (IQR) change in nephelometry (0.51 bsp) was 0.893 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.779-1.024). Varying the lag period had only minimal change on the observed association. The estimated relative risk at a lag of 1 day for an IQR change of PM10 (19.3 microg/m3) was 0.868 (95% CI 0.744-1.012). There was no evidence of confounding by ambient daily exposures to carbon monoxide or sulfur dioxide. Analysis of effect modification by individual-level variables, including age, cigarette smoke exposure, physical activity, and other risk or protective factors for cardiovascular disease did not reveal any susceptible subgroups. The null results of this study may be due to several factors; these include: the highly selected nature of this SCA case series; the fact that cases were free of prior clinically recognized heart disease or major life-threatening comorbidity; and the possibility that PM exposures at the relatively low levels seen in the Seattle metropolitan area do not trigger cardiovascular toxic mechanisms that culminate in SCA.

People with dementia use schemata to support episodic memory

This paper describes two experiments which examine whether people with dementia use schemata, established knowledge stores associated with specific scenarios, to aid episodic memory. On all tests of memory, volunteers with dementia remembered less than their age-matched controls. There was evidence for an age-related decline in cognitive resources available for effortful memorizing. For people with dementia, errors of commission in free recall, false recognition scores and reconstruction data were consistent with the use of schema to guide retrieval of items from memory. We conclude that retrieval support improves memory performance for both the healthy and dementing elderly. More importantly, pre-established schemata remain intact well into the course of dementia and can support recall of newly acquired episodic information.

Molecular breeding of viruses

Genetic recombination is a major force driving the evolution of many viruses. Recombination between two copackaged retroviral genomes may occur at rates as high as 40% per replication cycle. This enables genetic information to be shuffled rapidly, leading to recombinants with new patterns of mutations and phenotypes. The in vitro process of DNA shuffling (molecular breeding) mimics this mechanism on a vastly parallel and accelerated scale. Multiple homologous parental sequences are recombined in parallel, leading to a diverse library of complex recombinants from which desired improvements can be selected. Different proteins and enzymes have been improved using DNA shuffling. We report here the first application of molecular breeding to viruses. A single round of shuffling envelope sequences from six murine leukaemia viruses (MLV) followed by selection yielded a chimaeric clone with a completely new tropism for Chinese Hamster Ovary (CHOK1) cells. The composition and properties of the selected clone indicated that this particular permutation of parental sequences cannot be readily attained by natural retroviral recombination. This example demonstrates that molecular breeding can enhance the inherently high evolutionary potential of retroviruses to obtain desired phenotypes. It can be an effective tool, when information is limited, to optimize viruses for gene therapy and vaccine applications when multiple complex functions must be simultaneously balanced.

Asthma aggravation, combustion, and stagnant air

BACKGROUND

The relationship between current concentrations of ambient air pollution and adverse health effects is controversial. We report a meteorological index of air stagnation that is associated with daily visits to the emergency department for asthma in two urban areas.

METHODS

Data on daily values of a stagnation persistence index and visits to the emergency department for asthma were collected for approximately two years in Spokane, Washington, USA and for 15 months in Seattle, Washington, USA. The stagnation persistence index represents the number of hours during the 24 hour day when surface wind speeds are less than the annual hourly median value, an index readily available for most urban areas. Associations between the daily stagnation persistence index and daily emergency department visits for asthma were tested using a generalised additive Poisson regression model. A factor analysis of particulate matter (PM(2.5)) composition was performed to identify the pollutants associated with increased asthma visits.

RESULTS

The relative rate of the association between a visit to the emergency department for asthma and the stagnation persistence index was 1. 12 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.19) in Spokane and 1.21 (95% CI 1.09 to 1.35) in Seattle for an increase of 11 and 10 hours, respectively, of low wind speed in a given day. The stagnation persistence index was only correlated with one set of factor loadings; that cluster included the stagnation persistence index, carbon monoxide, and organic/elemental carbon.

CONCLUSION

Increased air stagnation was shown to be a surrogate for accumulation of the products of incomplete combustion, including carbon monoxide and fine particulate levels of organic and elemental carbon, and was more strongly associated with asthma aggravation than any one of the measured pollutants.

Reproductive and offspring developmental effects following maternal inhalation exposure to methanol in nonhuman primates

INTRODUCTION

In an effort to improve air quality and decrease dependence on petroleum, the federal government, industry, and other groups have encouraged development of alternative fuels such as methanol to substitute for gasoline or diesel fuel. Methanol is also a candidate to provide the hydrogen for fuel cells, which are being developed for a variety of power sources (including motor vehicle engines). Before people are exposed to increased concentrations of methanol, the potential health effects of such exposures require study. Methanol, a simple alcohol containing one carbon atom, occurs naturally in plants and animals and participates in human metabolism. People regularly consume low doses of methanol in fruits, vegetables, and fermented beverages as well as soft drinks and foods sweetened with aspartame (which breaks down to methanol in the gastrointestinal tract). Despite its ubiquitous presence, methanol can be highly toxic if sufficient quantities are consumed. Ingestion of methanol (usually in the form of wood alcohol or tainted alcoholic beverages) can result in metabolic acidosis, blindness, and even death. Although the body has the capacity to metabolize the low doses of methanol to which people are regularly exposed, it cannot handle high doses because too much methanol overwhelms the body's ability to remove a toxic metabolite (formate). When formate accumulates, methanol poisoning occurs. One factor that regulates the rate at which formate is removed is the liver level of a derivative of the vitamin folic acid. People who are deficient in folic acid (including 15% to 30% of pregnant women) may be particularly susceptible to the toxic effects of methanol. If methanol were to be widely adopted as a fuel, environmental exposures would increase through ingestion of contaminated drinking water, inhalation of vapors from evaporative and other emissions, and dermal contact. Current concentrations of methanol in ambient air are very low, 1 to 30 parts per billion (ppb). If all motor vehicles in the United States were converted to 100% methanol fuel, methanol levels in ambient air are estimated to increase approximately 1,000-fold (to 1 to 10 ppm in cities) and in a worst-case situation could occasionally reach concentrations as high as 200 ppm in enclosed spaces (HEI 1987). Inhaling these concentrations of methanol for short periods of time is not predicted to affect formate production and thus should not present a health risk. However, little is known about the consequences of long-term inhalation of methanol vapors, especially in susceptible populations of pregnant women and developing fetuses. HEI, therefore, developed a research program to address this information gap.

APPROACH

Dr. Thomas Burbacher and colleagues of the University of Washington studied the effects of long-term exposure to methanol vapors on metabolism and reproduction in adult female monkeys (Macaca fascicularis) and developmental effects in their offspring, who were exposed prenatally to methanol. The investigators exposed adult female monkeys (11 to 12 animals/group) to one of four concentrations of methanol vapors (0, 200, 600, and 1,800 ppm) for 2.5 hours a day, seven days a week during the following periods: (1) before breeding, (2) during breeding, and (3) during pregnancy. They collected blood from the adults at regular intervals to monitor methanol levels (which served as a marker of internal dose) and formate concentrations. They also conducted pharmacokinetic studies to determine whether methanol disposition (which includes absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion) was altered as a result of repeated methanol exposures and to assess pregnancy-related changes. Because high doses of methanol damage the central nervous system, the infants (8 to 9 animals/group) were examined at regular intervals during the first nine months of life to assess their growth and neurobehavioral development.

RESULTS

Exposure to methanol vapors did n

Variability in annual Mini-Mental State Examination score in patients with probable Alzheimer disease: a clinical perspective of data from the Consortium to Establish a Registry for Alzheimer's Disease

OBJECTIVE

To determine the variability in annual Mini-Mental State Examination scores of patients with Alzheimer disease enrolled in the Consortium to Establish a Registry for Alzheimer's Disease (CERAD).

PATIENTS

A total of 372 patients with probable Alzheimer disease with 1 or more years of follow-up.

SETTING

Twenty-one CERAD clinical sites throughout the United States.

RESULTS

An average annual decline of 3.4 points in CERAD patients returning for longitudinal reassessments was close to the SD of the measurement error of 2.8 points for the Mini-Mental State Examination. There was wide variability in individual rates of decline. Even with 4 years of follow-up, 15.8% of the patients had no clinically meaningful decline in Mini-Mental State Examination score (defined as a change in initial score >3, ie, 1 SD of measurement error). Validity of measurements of the rate of change in Mini-Mental State Examination scores improved with longer observation intervals and was reliable for most patients when observations were separated by 3 or more years.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the Mini-Mental State Examination is a useful screening instrument to assess level of cognitive function, it has limited value in measuring the progression of Alzheimer disease in individual patients for periods less than 3 years because of a large measurement error and substantial variation in change in annual score.

An association between fine particles and asthma emergency department visits for children in Seattle

Asthma is the most common chronic illness of childhood and its prevalence is increasing, causing much concern for identification of risk factors such as air pollution. We previously conducted a study showing a relationship between asthma visits in all persons < 65 years of age to emergency departments (EDs) and air pollution in Seattle, Washington. In that study the most frequent zip codes of the visits were in the inner city. The Seattle-King County Department of Public Health (Seattle, WA) subsequently published a report which showed that the hospitalization rate for children in the inner city was over 600/100,000, whereas it was < 100/100,000 for children living in the suburbs. Therefore, we conducted the present study to evaluate whether asthma visits to hospital emergency departments in the inner city of Seattle were associated with outdoor air pollution levels. ED visits to six hospitals for asthma and daily air pollution data were obtained for 15 months during 1995 and 1996. The association between air pollution and childhood ED visits for asthma from the inner city area with high asthma hospitalization rates were compared with those from lower hospital utilization areas. Daily ED counts were regressed against fine particulate matter (PM), carbon monoxide (CO), sulfur dioxide, and nitrogen dioxide using a semiparametric Poisson regression model. Significant associations were found between ED visits for asthma in children and fine PM and CO. A change of 11 microg/m3 in fine PM was associated with a relative rate of 1.15 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.08-1.23]. There was no stronger association between ED visits for asthma and air pollution in the higher hospital utilization area than in the lower utilization area. These findings were seen when estimated PM2.5 concentrations were below the newly adopted annual National Ambient Air Quality Standard of 15 microg/m3.

An association between fine particles and asthma emergency department visits for children in Seattle

Asthma is the most common chronic illness of childhood and its prevalence is increasing, causing much concern for identification of risk factors such as air pollution. We previously conducted a study showing a relationship between asthma visits in all persons < 65 years of age to emergency departments (EDs) and air pollution in Seattle, Washington. In that study the most frequent zip codes of the visits were in the inner city. The Seattle-King County Department of Public Health (Seattle, WA) subsequently published a report which showed that the hospitalization rate for children in the inner city was over 600/100,000, whereas it was < 100/100,000 for children living in the suburbs. Therefore, we conducted the present study to evaluate whether asthma visits to hospital emergency departments in the inner city of Seattle were associated with outdoor air pollution levels. ED visits to six hospitals for asthma and daily air pollution data were obtained for 15 months during 1995 and 1996. The association between air pollution and childhood ED visits for asthma from the inner city area with high asthma hospitalization rates were compared with those from lower hospital utilization areas. Daily ED counts were regressed against fine particulate matter (PM), carbon monoxide (CO), sulfur dioxide, and nitrogen dioxide using a semiparametric Poisson regression model. Significant associations were found between ED visits for asthma in children and fine PM and CO. A change of 11 microg/m3 in fine PM was associated with a relative rate of 1.15 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.08-1.23]. There was no stronger association between ED visits for asthma and air pollution in the higher hospital utilization area than in the lower utilization area. These findings were seen when estimated PM2.5 concentrations were below the newly adopted annual National Ambient Air Quality Standard of 15 microg/m3.

Episodes of high coarse particle concentrations are not associated with increased mortality

Fine particle concentration (i.e., particles <2.5 microm in aerodynamic diameter; PM2.5), but not coarse particle concentration, was associated with increased mortality in six U.S. cities. Others criticized this result, arguing that it could result from differences in measurement error between the two size ranges. Fine particles are primarily from combustion of fossil fuel, whereras coarse particles (i.e., particles between 2.5 and 10 microm in aerodynamic diameter) are all crustal material, i.e., dust. One way to determine if coarse particles are a risk for mortality is to identify episodes of high concentrations of coarse, but not fine, particles. Spokane, Washington, is located in an arid area and is subject to occasional dust storms after crops have been harvested. Between 1989 and 1995, we identified 17 dust storms in Spokane. The 24-hr mean PM10 concentration during those storms was 263 microg/m3. Using control dates that were the same day of the year in other years (but with no dust storm on that day) and that had a mean PM10 concentration of 42 microg/m3, we compared the rate of nonaccidental deaths on the episode versus nonepisode days. There was little evidence of any risk [relative risk (RR) = 1.00; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.81-1.22] on the episode days. Defining episode deaths as those occurring on the same or following day as the dust storm produced similar results (RR = 1.01; CI, 0.87-1.17). Sensitivity analyses, which tested more extensive seasonal control, produced smaller estimates. We conclude that coarse particles from windblown dust are not associated with mortality risk.

Differences in stakeholder expectations in the outcome of physiotherapy management of acute low back pain

OBJECTIVE

To compare stakeholder expectations of outcome of physiotherapy management of acute low back pain.

DESIGN

Observational design using interviews and questionnaires.

SETTING

Practice/workplace.

STUDY PARTICIPANTS

The study sample was from South Australia. It comprised 74 physiotherapists randomly selected from professional association listings (49.3% response rate), 121 physiotherapy patients (recruited by participating physiotherapists when attending their first physiotherapy treatment for acute low back pain), 21 general practitioners randomly selected from medical practitioner listings in the metropolitan telephone book (36.2% response rate) and 13 third party payers of a total of 16 available insurers in the metropolitan area (82% response rate).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS

Stakeholders reported expectations of outcome at the end of the first treatment session and at the completion of the episode of care.

RESULTS

There were differences in expectations between stakeholders, as well as between naive and experienced patients. Overall, patients expected symptom relief at the end of the first treatment. Naive patients decided to return for further treatment based on the relationship established with the therapist, whereas experienced patients also expected some advice on their condition during the first contact. Physiotherapists and referrers expected symptom relief and then long-term management strategies to be provided, and third party payers expected cost-efficient management of the condition and patient satisfaction.

CONCLUSION

Physiotherapists need to address potential imbalance of consumer knowledge and foster a quality partnership with their patients on the first visit to physiotherapy. Patients who are in pain may not derive full value from information provided in an untimely manner.

Effects of ambient air pollution on nonelderly asthma hospital admissions in Seattle, Washington, 1987-1994

As part of the Clean Air Act, Congress has directed EPA to set air quality standards to protect sensitive population groups from air pollutants in the ambient environment. People with asthma represent one such group. We undertook a study of the relation between measured ambient air pollutants in Seattle and nonelderly hospital admissions with a principal diagnosis of asthma. We regressed daily hospital admissions to local hospitals for area residents from 1987 through 1994 on particulate matter less than 10 and 2.5 microm in aerodynamic diameter (PM10 and PM2.5, respectively); coarse particulate mass; sulfur dioxide (SO2); ozone (O3); and carbon monoxide (CO) in a Poisson regression model with control for time trends, seasonal variations, and temperature-related weather effects. With the exception of seasonally monitored O3, we supplemented incomplete pollutant measures in a multiple imputation model to create a complete time series of exposure measures. We found an estimated 4-5% increase in the rate of asthma hospital admissions associated with an interquartile range change in PM (19 microg/m3 PM(10),11.8 microg/m3 PM2.5, and 9.3 microg/m3 coarse particulate mass) lagged 1 day; relative rates were as follows: for PM10, 1.05 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.02-1.08]; for PM2.5, 1.04 (95% CI = 1.02-1.07); and for coarse particulate mass, 1.04 (95% CI = 1.01-1.07). In single-pollutant models we also found that a 6% increase in the rate of admission was associated with an interquartile range change in CO (interquartile range, 924 parts per billion; 95% CI = 1.03-1.09) at a lag of 3 days and an interquartile range change in O3 (interquartile range, 20 parts per billion; 95% CI = 1.02-1.11) at a lag of 2 days. We did not observe an association for SO2. We found PM and CO to be jointly associated with asthma admissions. We estimated the highest increase in risk in the spring and fall seasons.

Technology in education: what is appropriate for rural and remote allied health professionals?

Recent technological advances provide exciting opportunities for the delivery of education to rural and remote allied health professionals. Distance education modes can overcome barriers of distance and cost. However, the use of technologies may allow distance education to be more interactive for rural and remote professionals. Technologies that can be used are audioconferencing, videoconferencing, electronic mail (email), CD-ROM and the Internet. Combinations of any of these technologies and traditional forms of educational delivery are possible. The important objective is to create a learning environment that maximises interactivity and develops information literacy.

The validity of radiographic estimation of total lung capacity in patients with respiratory disease

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the validity of a state-of-the-art computerized planimetry technique for estimation of total lung capacity (TLC) from chest radiographs, when applied to patients with clinical lung disease receiving routine chest radiographs.

DESIGN

Retrospective clinical survey.

SETTING

An occupational medicine diagnostic clinic.

PATIENTS

A convenience sample of 40 subjects with asbestos-related lung disease, 5 patients with nonasbestos-related restrictive defects, 15 subjects with occupational asthma, and 10 subjects with irritant tracheobronchitis.

RESULTS

Estimation of TLC using state-of-the-art computerized algorithms demonstrated limited agreement with conventional measures of TLC when applied to patients with occupational lung disease receiving routine chest radiographs. The most pronounced differences occurred in patients with asbestos-related lung disease and restrictive defects, where the radiographic method of measurement significantly overestimated helium dilution TLC by 986 mL (r=0.73, p<0.001) and 1,135 mL (r=0.82, p<0.05), respectively. Good inspiratory effort was associated with significantly increased radiographic TLC relative to helium dilution TLC; however, radiographic features did not fully account for the observed differences between radiographic and helium dilution techniques.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that this planimetric technique should not be used as a substitute for conventional measures of TLC in clinic populations receiving routine radiographs. The large diagnostic group specific mean differences observed between radiographic and conventional measures of TLC also suggest that this method is of limited utility in clinical evaluation of occupational lung disease.

Head injury and risk of Alzheimer's disease by apolipoprotein E genotype

Head injury and apolipoprotein E (APOE)-epsilon 4 (e4) genotype have each been associated with increased risk of Alzheimer's disease. If APOE-e4 affects neuronal viability and branching, and if response to head injury differs in e4 patients, then the association between head injury and Alzheimer's disease may vary with the presence of the e4 allele. The authors examined this association in a case-control study conducted between 1987 and 1995 among enrollees of the Group Health Cooperative of Puget Sound, a health maintenance organization in Seattle, Washington. Proxy informants reported prior head injury with loss of consciousness for 32 of 349 patients with probable Alzheimer's disease and for 16 of 342 control subjects of similar age and sex who had been randomly selected from the same population (odds ratio (OR) = 2.1, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-3.8). Elevated risk was observed among men (OR = 4.2, 95% CI 1.5-11.5) but not among women (OR = 1.1, 95% CI 0.5-2.6). No significant variation in the head injury-Alzheimer's disease risk relation by APOE-e4 genotype was found among 230 cases and 309 controls (OR = 3.1 (95% CI 0.7-14.6) for persons with at least one e4 allele and OR = 2.0 (95% CI 0.8-5.2) for those without e4). Neither age, education, race, type of proxy informant, nor duration of relationship with the proxy confounded the association. Head injury with loss of consciousness, although uncommon in this sample, was associated with increased risk of Alzheimer's disease. APOE-e4 was an independent risk factor which neither modified nor confounded the association. Susceptibility to Alzheimer's disease as conferred by APOE-e4 does not appear to increase the risk associated with head injury.

Tuberculosis in health care settings and the estimated benefits of engineering controls and respiratory protection

Intra-institutional spread of tuberculosis (Tb) has re-emerged as a substantial public and occupational health threat. To characterize the person-hours and lifetime risks of Tb-related morbidity and mortality, we performed a risk assessment for health care workers (HCWs) developing Tb-related morbidity and mortality at varying levels of exposure, engineering controls, and respiratory protection. Under average conditions of exposure, one Tb skin-test conversion is estimated to occur for every 2650 person-hours of work by unprotected workers. With higher exposures, a skin-test conversion for an unprotected worker may occur in as few as 3 person-hours. Use of respiratory protection is estimated to reduce risks by the following proportions: surgical mask, 2.4-fold; disposable dust, fume, mist, or disposable high-efficiency particulate air filtering (HEPA) mask, 17.5-fold; elastomeric HEPA cartridge respirator, 45.5-fold; or powered air-purifying respirator (PAPR), 238-fold. Assuming a lifetime exposure of 250 hours, the risk of a skin-test conversion is estimated to be 9%. We conclude that HCWs are at substantial risk for Tb-related morbidity and mortality, and that administrative controls, engineering controls, and respirators offer substantial benefits in risk reduction.

Intracranial aneurysms: detection and characterization with MR angiography with use of an advanced postprocessing technique in a blinded-reader study

PURPOSE

To assess magnetic resonance (MR) angiography for the detection and characterization of angiographically proved intracranial aneurysms by using an advanced method of postprocessing, in a blinded-reader study.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

One hundred fifty-eight vessels were examined with catheter angiography and three-dimensional time-of-flight MR angiography in 44 patients with 63 aneurysms and 15 patients with no aneurysm at catheter angiography. Postprocessing was performed off-line with an advanced multifeature-extraction, ray-tracing algorithm. MR angiograms were interpreted independently by three neuroradiologists blinded to the catheter angiographic results for presence, location, size, and morphology of the aneurysm. Proof of diagnosis was consensus reading of catheter angiograms.

RESULTS

Mean sensitivity for detection of aneurysms was 75% (range, 70%-79%). As a screening tool (ie, detection of at least one aneurysm necessitating catheter angiography), mean sensitivity was 91% for all aneurysms and 95% for aneurysms larger than 3 mm. This method was not adequate for detection of lobulation or size of aneurysm.

CONCLUSION

MR angiography with an advanced method of postprocessing can result in highly sensitive, specific studies for the diagnosis of intracranial aneurysms that are of sufficient size to be considered for surgical treatment, but it is inadequate for characterization of aneurysms.

Design considerations for estimation of exposure effects on disease risk, using aggregate data studies

Previously we proposed an aggregate data study design for estimation of exposure effects from population-based disease rates and covariate data from risk factor surveys in each population group. A basic relative rate model specified for individuals is aggregated to produce a random effects relative rate model for the disease rates. Relative rate parameter estimates from aggregate data studies target the same parameters as individual-level studies but use between-group information in the data. We distinguish aggregate data studies from ecologic studies. Considerations in the design of aggregate studies are motivated by the need to gain clearer understanding of the role of diet in cancer aetiology. Simulation studies show that increasing the number of populations included in an aggregate data study from about 20 to 30-40 gives greater improvement in power than corresponding increases in the size of the survey sample in each population over an initial size of 100 individuals.

Predictors of mortality in patients diagnosed with probable Alzheimer's disease

OBJECTIVE

We sought to identify factors associated with mortality in persons recently diagnosed with probable Alzheimer's disease (AD).

BACKGROUND

Predicting mortality in AD in needed both in patient care and public health planning. Previous studies have identified several factors which contribute to mortality in AD, but few longitudinal studies of population-based cohorts exist.

METHODS

In a longitudinal follow-up study 327 patients with newly diagnosed probable AD (mean Mini-Mental State Examination [MMSE] score of 20) from a large, stable health maintenance organization were identified. Demographic characteristics, dementia severity, and comorbid conditions were identified at enrollment. Patients were followed longitudinally (median 3.3 years, total 898 person-years). Baseline characteristics were used to predict survival in univariate and multivariate models.

RESULTS

Increased mortality was seen in patients with probable AD (9.0 deaths per 100 person-years) compared with the community population adjusted for age and gender (4.3 deaths per 100 person-years). On univariate analysis we found increased age, male gender, impairment on MMSE or Blessed dementia rating scale (DRS), rate of MMSE decline, wandering or agitation, vascular disease, and sensory impairment affecting the ability to read or hear to be moderately associated with decreased survival. After adjusting for age and gender in a multivariate model, Blessed DRS score and sensory impairment affecting the ability to read were independently associated with decreased survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Short-term mortality is increased in patients newly diagnosed with probable AD. Measures of dementia severity, measures of general debility, and vascular disease are associated with increased mortality. Of these, general debility and sensory impairment were more strongly associated with shortened survival.

Impact of sample selection on APOE epsilon 4 allele frequency: a comparison of two Alzheimer's disease samples

OBJECTIVE

In a highly selected sample of unrelated Alzheimer's disease (AD) patients, we found that the APOE epsilon 4 allele frequency was higher than previously reported. Differing selection and ascertainment criteria may lead to these differences. To address this possibility, we compared the epsilon 4 allele frequency in two samples of AD patients selected from the same geographical area.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Cases (n = 55) and controls (n = 99) from a research clinic-based sample were compared with subjects (n = 537) from a community-based AD patient sample. The samples consisted of unrelated cases who met NINCDS/ADRDA criteria for probable AD.

DESIGN AND MEASUREMENTS

Clinical characteristics and APOE genotype data were obtained from AD cases and controls from both samples.

RESULTS

Frequency of APOE epsilon 4 allele in the research cases compared with the community cases (0.45 vs 0.36) was nearly significant. We compared demographic and clinical characteristics that might account for this difference and found that the research cases were younger, had an earlier age of onset, and had more advanced disease than the community cases. After onset age was controlled, there was no overall difference between epsilon 4 allele frequency of the two samples.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that the epsilon 4 allele frequency tended to be higher in the research AD sample compared the community-based sample. The two samples differed in several demographic and clinical characteristics. We conclude that research-based samples may lead to enrollment of younger patients with more severe disease who have higher APOE epsilon 4 allele load. This potential selection bias must be considered in the interpretation of studies of APOE allele frequency.

Maximizing accuracy and precision using individual and grouped exposure assessments

OBJECTIVES

Random errors in exposure data were explored to determine their effect on exposure-response relationships using individual, grouped, or combined (grouped and individual) exposure assessment methods.

METHODS

Monte Carlo simulations were conducted by generating small "studies" of one hundred subjects divided into four exposure groups. Observed exposure data were generated for each individual using assumed inter- and intraindividual variances and a lognormal distribution. The data were used to calculate the following three estimates of exposure: an individual mean, a group mean, and a hybrid estimate using the James-Stein shrinkage estimator. The exposure estimates were regressed on generated (continuous) "health outcomes," and the regression results were stored and analyzed.

RESULTS

Random errors in exposure data resulted in attenuation of the exposure-response relationship when the individual estimates were used, especially when the within-subject variability was high. The attenuation was substantially controlled by the group mean estimate, however, at a cost of decreased precision. The hybrid estimator simultaneously controlled both bias and imprecision in the observed exposure-response function.

CONCLUSIONS

While estimates of exposure based on individual means may result in attenuation of the exposure-response relationship, grouped estimates may control bias while decreasing precision. Combining individual and group estimates can simultaneously control both types of error. However, further research is required to determine how robust these findings are to different error structures, grouping strategies, exposure-response models, and exposure assessment methods.

Structuring the acquisition and retrieval environment to facilitate learning in individuals with dementia of the Alzheimer type

Three experiments using variations of the Subject Performed Task (SPT) paradigm examined whether structuring the learning and retrieval environment would improve learning in individuals with mild to moderate dementia of the Alzheimer type (DAT). Experiment 1 examined the role of enactment at encoding and retrieval, and found that with appropriate retrieval support DAT volunteers do benefit from enactment at encoding. Experiment 2 showed that recall was further enhanced when the list of SPTs formed a cohesive, goal-directed sequence of actions. In Experiment 3, DAT subjects acquired a more complex action-based sequence and maintained it accurately over a short period of time. It is concluded that the provision of contextual support at encoding and at retrieval can enhance residual memory in individuals with DAT.