Rideshare Trips and Alcohol-Involved Motor Vehicle Crashes in Chicago

OBJECTIVE

Rideshare companies such as Uber and Lyft have substantially changed transportation markets in the United States and globally. The aim of this study was to examine whether ridesharing is associated with reductions in alcohol-involved crashes.

METHOD

This case-series study used highly spatially and temporally resolved trip-level rideshare data and motor vehicle crash data from the Chicago Data Portal from November 2018 to December 2019. The units of analysis were motor vehicle crashes in Chicago. Events of interest were 962 crashes that police indicated were alcohol involved. The comparison group was 962 non-alcohol-involved crashes that occurred in the same census tract, matched 1:1. The exposure of interest was the density per square mile of rideshare trips that were in progress at the time of the crash, calculated using a kernel density function around the estimated route paths of active trips. A conditional logistic regression compared alcohol involvement to rideshare trip density while adjusting for matching and relevant time-varying covariates (taxi trips, precipitation, temperature, holidays).

RESULTS

Mean rideshare trip density was 69.0 per square mile (SD = 129.7) at the time and location of alcohol-involved crashes and 105.7 per square mile (SD = 192.6) at the time and location of non-alcohol-involved crashes. After controlling for covariates, the conditional logistic regression model identified that a standard deviation increase in rideshare trips per square mile at the crash location was associated with 23% decreased odds that the crash location was alcohol involved (odds ratio = 0.771; 95% confidence interval [0.594, 0.878]).

CONCLUSIONS

Ridesharing may replace motor vehicle trips by alcohol-impaired drivers.

Neighborhood Walkability and Mortality in a Prospective Cohort of Women

BACKGROUND

There is a paucity of prospective cohort studies evaluating neighborhood walkability in relation to the risk of death.

METHODS

We geocoded baseline residential addresses of 13,832 women in the New York University Women's Health Study (NYUWHS) and estimated the Built Environment and Health Neighborhood Walkability Index (BEH-NWI) for each participant circa 1990. The participants were recruited from 1985 to 1991 in New York City and followed for an average of 27 years. We conducted survival analyses using Cox proportional hazards models to assess the association between neighborhood walkability and risk of death from any cause, obesity-related diseases, cardiometabolic diseases, and obesity-related cancers.

RESULTS

Residing in a neighborhood with a higher neighborhood walkability score was associated with a lower mortality rate. Comparing women in the top versus the lowest walkability tertile, the hazards ratios (and 95% CIs) were 0.96 (0.93, 0.99) for all-cause, 0.91 (0.86, 0.97) for obesity-related disease, and 0.72 (0.62, 0.85) for obesity-related cancer mortality, respectively, adjusting for potential confounders at both the individual and neighborhood level. We found no association between neighborhood walkability and risk of death from cardiometabolic diseases. Results were similar in analyses censoring participants who moved during follow-up, using multiple imputation for missing covariates, and using propensity scores matching women with high and low neighborhood walkability on potential confounders. Exploratory analyses indicate that outdoor walking and average BMI mediated the association between neighborhood walkability and mortality.

CONCLUSION

Our findings are consistent with a protective role of neighborhood walkability in obesity-related mortality in women, particularly obesity-related cancer mortality.

Higher Neighborhood Population Density Is Associated with Lower Potassium Intake in the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL)

Current U.S. dietary guidelines recommend a daily potassium intake of 3400 mg/day for men and 2600 mg/day for women. Sub-optimal access to nutrient-rich foods may limit potassium intake and increase cardiometabolic risk. We examined the association of neighborhood characteristics related to food availability with potassium intake in the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL). 13,835 participants completed a 24-h dietary recall assessment and had complete covariates. Self-reported potassium intake was calibrated with an objective 24-h urinary potassium biomarker, using equations developed in the SOL Nutrition & Physical Activity Assessment Study (SOLNAS, N = 440). Neighborhood population density, median household income, Hispanic/Latino diversity, and a retail food environment index by census tract were obtained. Linear regression assessed associations with 24-h potassium intake, adjusting for individual-level and neighborhood confounders. Mean 24-h potassium was 2629 mg/day based on the SOLNAS biomarker and 2702 mg/day using multiple imputation and HCHS/SOL biomarker calibration. Compared with the lowest quartile of neighborhood population density, living in the highest quartile was associated with a 26% lower potassium intake in SOLNAS (adjusted fold-change 0.74, 95% CI 0.59–0.94) and a 39% lower intake in HCHS/SOL (adjusted fold-change 0.61 95% CI 0.45–0.84). Results were only partially explained by the retail food environment. The mechanisms by which population density affects potassium intake should be further studied.

Associations between neighborhood disinvestment and breast cancer outcomes within a populous state registry

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer (BrCa) outcomes vary by social environmental factors, but the role of built-environment factors is understudied. The authors investigated associations between environmental physical disorder-indicators of residential disrepair and disinvestment-and BrCa tumor prognostic factors (stage at diagnosis, tumor grade, triple-negative [negative for estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, and HER2 receptor] BrCa) and survival within a large state cancer registry linkage.

METHODS

Data on sociodemographic, tumor, and vital status were derived from adult women who had invasive BrCa diagnosed from 2008 to 2017 ascertained from the New Jersey State Cancer Registry. Physical disorder was assessed through virtual neighborhood audits of 23,276 locations across New Jersey, and a personalized measure for the residential address of each woman with BrCa was estimated using universal kriging. Continuous covariates were z scored (mean ± standard deviation [SD], 0 ± 1) to reduce collinearity. Logistic regression models of tumor factors and accelerated failure time models of survival time to BrCa-specific death were built to investigate associations with physical disorder adjusted for covariates (with follow-up through 2019).

RESULTS

There were 3637 BrCa-specific deaths among 40,963 women with a median follow-up of 5.3 years. In adjusted models, a 1-SD increase in physical disorder was associated with higher odds of late-stage BrCa (odds ratio, 1.09; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.15). Physical disorder was not associated with tumor grade or triple-negative tumors. A 1-SD increase in physical disorder was associated with a 10.5% shorter survival time (95% confidence interval, 6.1%-14.6%) only among women who had early stage BrCa.

CONCLUSIONS

Physical disorder is associated with worse tumor prognostic factors and survival among women who have BrCa diagnosed at an early stage.

Neighborhood walkability and body mass index in African American cancer survivors: The Detroit Research on Cancer Survivors study

BACKGROUND

Extant evidence links neighborhood walkability with obesity-related health in the general population. This association likely exists in cancer survivors, but research is limited. Furthermore, a disproportionate obesity burden in African American cancer survivors warrants subgroup-specific analyses.

METHODS

This study analyzed data from 2089 African American cancer survivors participating in the Detroit Research on Cancer Survivors (ROCS) cohort. On the basis of built environment data summarized within 1-km radial buffers around census block centroids, a multidimensional neighborhood walkability index (NWI) was constructed. Survivors' residential addresses at Detroit ROCS enrollment were geocoded, and addresses were linked to NWI scores via the census block of residence. At study enrollment, survivors reported height and weight; these data were used to calculate their body mass index (BMI). Associations between NWI quartiles and BMI overall and by cancer type, biological sex, and physical activity engagement were evaluated.

RESULTS

BMI was found to be inversely associated with increasing NWI quartile (P for trend < .01). This inverse relationship was observed in men (P for trend < .01) and in survivors reporting any regular physical activity (P for trend < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

This study's findings suggest that among African American cancer survivors, higher neighborhood walkability is associated with lower BMI. As health care systems in the United States increasingly consider the role of the neighborhood environment in their patients' health, these findings provide additional evidence supporting health systems' incorporation of neighborhood walkability as an obesity-related health indicator for this cancer survivor subgroup and potentially for cancer survivors from other vulnerable populations.

Racial differences in the systemic inflammatory response to prostate cancer

Systemic inflammation may increase risk for prostate cancer progression, but the role it plays in prostate cancer susceptibility is unknown. From a cohort of over 10,000 men who had either a prostate biopsy or transurethral resection that yielded a benign finding, we analyzed 517 incident prostate cancer cases identified during follow-up and 373 controls with one or more white blood cell tests during a follow-up period between one and 18 years. Multilevel, multivariable longitudinal models were fit to two measures of systemic inflammation, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), to determine NLR and MLR trajectories associated with increased risk for prostate cancer. For both measures, we found no significant differences in the trajectories by case/control status, however in modeling NLR trajectories there was a significant interaction between race (white or Black and case-control status. In race specific models, NLR and MLR values were consistently higher over time among white controls than white cases while case-control differences in NLR and MLR trajectories were not apparent among Black men. When cases were classified as aggressive as compared to non-aggressive, the case-control differences in NLR and MLR values over time among white men were most apparent for non-aggressive cases. For NLR among white men, significant case-control differences were observed for the entire duration of observation for men who had inflammation in their initial prostate specimen. It is possible that, among white men, monitoring of NLR and MLR trajectories after an initial negative biopsy may be useful in monitoring prostate cancer risk.

Healthy food retail availability and cardiovascular mortality in the United States: a cohort study

OBJECTIVES

We investigated the association of healthy food retail presence and cardiovascular mortality, controlling for sociodemographic characteristics. This association could inform efforts to preserve or increase local supermarkets or produce market availability.

DESIGN

Cohort study, combining Mortality Disparities in American Communities (individual-level data from 2008 American Community Survey linked to National Death Index records from 2008 to 2015) and retail establishment data.

SETTING

Across the continental US area-based sociodemographic and retail characteristics were linked to residential location by ZIP code tabulation area (ZCTA). Sensitivity analyses used census tracts instead, restricted to urbanicity or county-based strata, or accounted for non-independence using frailty models.

PARTICIPANTS

2 753 000 individuals age 25+ living in households with full kitchen facilities, excluding group quarters.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Cardiovascular mortality (primary) and all-cause mortality (secondary).

RESULTS

82% had healthy food retail (supermarket, produce market) within their ZCTA. Density of such retail was correlated with density of unhealthy food sources (eg, fast food, convenience store). Healthy food retail presence was not associated with reduced cardiovascular (HR: 1.03; 95% CI 1.00 to 1.07) or all-cause mortality (HR: 1.05; 95% CI 1.04 to 1.06) in fully adjusted models (with adjustment for gender, age, marital status, nativity, Black race, Hispanic ethnicity, educational attainment, income, median household income, population density, walkable destination density). The null finding for cardiovascular mortality was consistent across adjustment strategies including minimally adjusted models (individual demographics only), sensitivity analyses related to setting, and across gender or household type strata. However, unhealthy food retail presence was associated with elevated all-cause mortality (HR: 1.15; 95% CI 1.11 to 1.20).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study using food establishment locations within administrative areas across the USA, the hypothesised association of healthy food retail availability with reduced cardiovascular mortality was not supported; an association of unhealthy food retail presence with higher mortality was not specific to cardiovascular causes.

Does a physical activity supportive environment ameliorate or exacerbate socioeconomic inequities in incident coronary heart disease?

BACKGROUND

Efforts to reduce socioeconomic inequities in cardiovascular disease include interventions to change the built environment. We aimed to explore whether socioeconomic inequities in coronary heart disease (CHD) incidence are ameliorated or exacerbated in environments supportive of physical activity (PA).

METHODS

We used data from the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke study, which recruited US residents aged 45 or older between 2003 and 2007. Our analyses included participants at risk for incident CHD (n=20 808), followed until 31 December 2014. We categorised household income and treated it as ordinal: (1) US$75 000+, (2) US$35 000-US$74 000, (3) US$20 000-US$34 000 and (4)

RESULTS

We found a 25% (95% CI 1.17% to 1.34%) increased hazard of CHD per 1-category decrease in household income category. Adjusting for PA-supportive environments slightly reduced this association (HR=1.24). The income-CHD association was strongest in areas without walking destinations (HR=1.57), an interaction which reached statistical significance in analyses among men. In contrast, the income-CHD association showed a trend towards being strongest in areas with the highest percentage of green land cover.

CONCLUSIONS

Indicators of a PA supportive environment show divergent trends to modify socioeconomic inequities in CHD . Built environment interventions should measure the effect on socioeconomic inequities.

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Key Words

• cardiovascular disease
• neighborhood/place
• socio-economic

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MESH Headings Collapse

Grants

• DP5 OD026429 NIH HHS
• R01 AG049970 NIA NIH HHS
• U01 NS041588 NINDS NIH HHS

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Abstract 750: Race differences in telomere length in benign prostate and subsequent risk of prostate cancer

Telomere shortening is linked to aging and thought to be associated with increased risk for cancer. Most cancer studies have used leukocyte telomere length as a surrogate measure for telomere length with few focused upon telomeres in the target tissue of cancer origin. To determine whether telomere length in pre-malignant prostate tissue is associated with subsequent prostate cancer risk, we conducted a case-control study of 530 case-control pairs matched on date, age at cohort entry, and race nested within a historical cohort of 10,478 men with a benign prostate biopsy. Overall mean telomere length assessed using modified quantitative real-time PCR was not different in benign prostate biopsies of prostate cancer cases vs. matched controls (1.65 ± 0.35 vs. 1.64 ± 0.39; p=0.41). However, race was significantly associated with telomere length with African American (AA) men having shorter telomeres in benign prostate biopsy compared with white men (1.59 ± 0.37 vs. 1.70 ± 0.37; p&lt;0.0001). In race-stratified analyses, telomere length only showed a suggestive association with prostate cancer risk in white men, wherein those with telomere length in the highest quartile had 1.5-fold greater risk of prostate cancer compared to men with prostate telomere lengths in the lowest quartile (OR=1.56; 95% CI = 0.89 - 2.73 ). In addition, white men in the highest prostate telomere length quartile had almost three-fold greater risk of aggressive prostate cancer, defined as Gleason group 3 and above, tumor stage 3 or above or PSA 20 ng/ml or higher , compared with men with telomere lengths in the lowest quartile (OR=2.73; 95% CI =1.05 - 7.15). In summary, white men have longer telomeres in benign prostate tissue compared with AA men, and those with the longest telomeres may be at increased risk for prostate cancer, particularly the more aggressive form of the disease.

Citation Format: Benjamin A. Rybicki, Sudha M. Sadasivan, Yalei Chen, Ian Loveless, Nilesh S. Gupta, Dhananjay A. Chitale, Sean R. Williamson, Andrew G. Rundle, Deliang Tang. Race differences in telomere length in benign prostate and subsequent risk of prostate cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2021; 2021 Apr 10-15 and May 17-21. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(13_Suppl):Abstract nr 750.

The interplay of growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) expression and M2 macrophages during prostate carcinogenesis

M2 (tumor-supportive) macrophages may upregulate growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15), which is highly expressed in prostate tumors, but the combined utility of these markers as prognostic biomarkers are unclear. We retrospectively studied 90 prostate cancer cases that underwent radical prostatectomy as their primary treatment and were followed for biochemical recurrence (BCR). These cases also had a benign prostate biopsy at least 1 year or more before their prostate cancer surgery. Using computer algorithms to analyze digitalized immunohistochemically stained slides, GDF15 expression and the presence of M2 macrophages based on the relative density of CD204- and CD68-positive macrophages were measured in prostate: (i) benign biopsy, (ii) cancer and (iii) tumor-adjacent benign (TAB) tissue. Both M2 macrophages (P = 0.0004) and GDF15 (P < 0.0001) showed significant inter-region expression differences. Based on a Cox proportional hazards model, GDF15 expression was not associated with BCR but, in men where GDF15 expression differences between cancer and TAB were highest, the risk of BCR was significantly reduced (hazard ratio = 0.26; 95% confidence interval = 0.09-0.94). In addition, cases with high levels of M2 macrophages in prostate cancer had almost a 5-fold increased risk of BCR (P = 0.01). Expression of GDF15 in prostate TAB was associated with M2 macrophage levels in both prostate cancer and TAB and appeared to moderate M2-macrophage-associated BCR risk. In summary, the relationship of GDF15 expression and CD204-positive M2 macrophage levels is different in a prostate tumor environment compared with an earlier benign biopsy and, collectively, these markers may predict aggressive disease.

Associations of prenatal exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons with pubertal timing and body composition in adolescent girls: Implications for breast cancer risk

BACKGROUND

While animal data support an association between prenatal exposure to endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) and altered mammary gland development and tumorigenesis, epidemiologic studies have only considered a few classes of EDCs in association with pubertal growth and development in girls. Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) are a class of EDCs that have not been rigorously evaluated in terms of prenatal exposure and pubertal growth and development in girls.

OBJECTIVE

In a New York City birth cohort of Black and Hispanic girls (n = 196; recruited 1998-2006), we examined associations of prenatal PAH exposure with self-reported age at growth spurt onset, breast development onset and menarche, and clinical measures of adolescent body composition including body mass index, waist-to-hip ratio, and body fat measured at ages 11-20 years.

METHODS

We measured prenatal exposure to PAH using personal air monitoring data collected from backpacks worn by mothers during the third trimester of pregnancy (data available for all 196 girls) and biomarkers of benzo[α]pyrene-DNA adducts in umbilical cord blood (data available for 106 girls). We examined associations of prenatal PAH with the timing of pubertal milestones and adolescent body composition (11-20 years) using multivariable linear regression models adjusted for race/ethnicity, household public assistance status at birth, and age at outcome assessment. We also fit models further adjusted for potential mediators, including birthweight and childhood body size (BMI-for-age z-score measured at 6-8 years).

RESULTS

Girls in the highest versus lowest tertile of ambient exposure to PAH, based on a summary measure of eight carcinogenic higher-molecular weight non-volatile PAH compounds (Σ8 PAH), had a 0.90 year delay in growth spurt onset (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.25, 1.55; n = 196), a 0.35 year delay in breast development onset (95% CI = -0.26, 0.95; n = 193), and a 0.59 year delay in menarche (95% CI = 0.06, 1.11; n = 191) in models adjusted for race/ethnicity and household public assistance at birth. The statistically significant associations for age at growth spurt onset and menarche were not impacted by adjustment for birthweight or childhood body size. No differences in BMI-for-age z-score, waist-to-hip ratio, or percent body fat were found between girls in the highest versus lowest tertile of ambient Σ8 PAH. Results were similar when we evaluated benzo[α]pyrene-DNA adduct levels.

DISCUSSION

Our results suggest that prenatal exposure to PAH might delay pubertal milestones in girls, but findings need to be replicated in other cohorts using prospectively collected data on pubertal outcomes.

Historical Housing Discrimination, Indicators of Disinvestment, and Breast Cancer Outcomes Nearly a Century Later

Purpose: We investigated associations between 1930's era records of mortgage lending discrimination (i.e., “redlining”), a present-day indicator of disinvestment (i.e., residential physical disorder), and tumor clinicopathologic features (stage, grade, subtype) and survival among women diagnosed with breast cancer in New Jersey. Methods: Historical, Home Owners' Loan Corporation (HOLC) data were recently geocoded from the University of Richmond's Digital Scholarship Lab. Risk grades of ‘A'/‘Best', ‘B'/‘Still Desirable', ‘C'/‘Definitely Declining', and ‘D'/‘Hazardous' – available for six metropolitan areas of New Jersey – were collapsed into C/D (‘redlined') and A/B (‘not redlined') for analyses. Sociodemographics (age, race, ethnicity, geocoded residential address, date of diagnosis), tumor features (stage at diagnosis, grade, subtype), and vital status (cause and date of death) were ascertained from the New Jersey State Cancer Registry for all primary, histologically-confirmed, invasive breast cancer cases diagnosed between 2008 and 2017, among female residents of a HOLC-graded area, who were ≥ 20 years at diagnosis (N = 11,980). Residential physical disorder was estimated based on residential address at diagnosis using spatial prediction models of virtually audited Google Street View scenes of 6,132 locations. Logistic regression models of tumor features and accelerated failure time models of survival time to BrCa-specific death (follow-up through 2019) were built to investigate associations with redlining and physical disorder, while controlling for covariates. Results: There were 1,215 BrCa-specific deaths, a median follow-up time of 5.1 years, and a 5-year survival of 89.6%. Living in a historically redlined neighborhood was associated with higher odds of late-stage and high-grade tumors. Living in a non-redlined neighborhood was associated with a 47.5% (95% CI: 20.1, 79.8) longer survival time in low physical disorder areas. This survival benefit decreased as physical disorder increased. Conclusions: Historical racial housing discrimination might interact with present-day measures of disinvestment to influence BrCa survival. Future studies should collect more comprehensive data including potential confounders and residential history.

Multilevel Risk Factors for Weight Change after Breast Cancer Diagnosis Among Black Women

Background: Weight gain after breast cancer diagnosis increases the risk of mortality. African American/Black breast cancer survivors are more likely to have excess body weight than their White counterparts, which may contribute to their higher mortality rate. Emerging evidence suggests that post-diagnosis weight gain may result from multilevel determinants. However, no study has investigated the multilevel characteristics among Black breast cancer survivors. Objective: To evaluate associations between individual-level factors and neighborhood social and built environment factors with weight change after breast cancer diagnosis among Black women. Methods: We evaluated associations of interest among 785 women enrolled in the Women's Circle of Health Follow-Up Study (WCHFS), a longitudinal study of Black breast cancer survivors in New Jersey. Weight change was primarily based on measurements at baseline and follow-up visits (Median: 10.3 and 23.2 mo. since diagnosis, respectively). Participants were grouped into categories of stable weight (52.4%), ≥3% weight loss (20.0%), and ≥3% weight gain (27.6%). Using multivariate- adjusted multinomial logistic regression and multilevel multinomial logistic regression, we evaluated relative risk ratios (RRRs) for associations between multilevel factors and post-diagnosis weight change category. Results: Black breast cancer survivors who were older at diagnosis, had higher household income, post-menopausal status, and higher baseline BMI were less likely to gain weight compared to women with stable weight. Former smoking, higher tumor stage, and chemotherapy were associated with increased relative risk of weight gain (e.g. RRR-chemo: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.01, 2.08). Black women residing in neighborhoods in the highest tertile for density of walkable destinations had a decreased relative risk of post- diagnosis weight gain (e.g. RRR-T3 highest density vs. T1 lowest: 0.39, 95% CI: 0.20, 0.75), while those residing in neighborhoods with higher density of fast food restaurants had increased relative risk of weight gain (RRR-T3 highest density vs. T1 lowest: 1.94, 95% CI: 1.23, 3.05). Conclusion: Both individual and neighborhood factors may influence the risk of weight gain among Black women after breast cancer diagnosis.

Growth and differentiation factor 15 and NF-κB expression in benign prostatic biopsies and risk of subsequent prostate cancer detection

Growth and differentiation factor 15 (GDF‐15), also known as macrophage inhibitory cytokine 1 (MIC‐1), may act as both a tumor suppressor and promotor and, by regulating NF‐κB and macrophage signaling, promote early prostate carcinogenesis. To determine whether expression of these two inflammation‐related proteins affect prostate cancer susceptibility, dual immunostaining of benign prostate biopsies for GDF‐15 and NF‐κB was done in a study of 503 case‐control pairs matched on date, age, and race, nested within a historical cohort of 10,478 men. GDF‐15 and NF‐κB expression levels were positively correlated (r = 0.39; p < 0.0001), and both were significantly lower in African American (AA) compared with White men. In adjusted models that included both markers, the odds ratio (OR) for NF‐κB expression was statistically significant, OR =0.87; p = 0.03; 95% confidence interval (CI) =0.77–0.99, while GDF‐15 expression was associated with a nominally increased risk, OR =1.06; p = 0.27; 95% CI =0.96–1.17. When modeling expression levels by quartiles, the highest quartile of NF‐κB expression was associated with almost a fifty percent reduction in prostate cancer risk (OR =0.51; p = 0.03; 95% CI =0.29–0.92). In stratified models, NF‐κB had the strongest negative association with prostate cancer in non‐aggressive cases (p = 0.03), older men (p = 0.03), and in case‐control pairs with longer follow‐up (p = 0.02). Risk associated with GDF‐15 expression was best fit using nonlinear regression modeling where both first (p = 0.02) and second (p = 0.03) order GDF‐15 risk terms were associated with significantly increased risk. This modeling approach also revealed significantly increased risk associated with GDF‐15 expression for subsamples defined by AA race, aggressive disease, younger age, and in case‐control pairs with longer follow‐up. Therefore, although positively correlated in benign prostatic biopsies, NF‐κB and GDF‐15 expression appear to exert opposite effects on risk of prostate tumor development.

Exposure to unhealthy product advertising: Spatial proximity analysis to schools and socio-economic inequalities in daily exposure measured using Scottish Children's individual-level GPS data

This study aimed to understand socio-spatial inequalities in the placement of unhealthy commodity advertisements at transportation stops within the Central Belt of Scotland and to measure advertisement exposure using children's individual-level mobility data. We found that children who resided within more deprived areas had greater contact with the transport network and also greater exposure to unhealthy food and drink product advertising, compared to those living in less deprived areas. Individual-level mobility data provide evidence that city- or country-wide restrictions to advertising on the transport network might be required to reduce inequalities in children's exposure to unhealthy commodity advertising.

The unknown denominator problem in population studies of disease frequency

Problems related to unknown or imprecisely measured populations at risk are common in epidemiologic studies of disease frequency. The size of the population at risk is typically conceptualized as a denominator to be used in combination with a count of disease cases (a numerator) to calculate incidence or prevalence. However, the size of the population at risk can take other epidemiologic properties in relation to an exposure of interest and the count outcome, including confounding, modification, and mediation. Using spatial ecological studies of injury incidence as an example, we identify and evaluate five approaches that researchers have used to address "unknown denominator problems": ignoring, controlling for a proxy, approximating, controlling by study design, and measuring the population at risk. We present a case example and recommendations for selecting a solution given the data and the hypothesized relationship between an exposure of interest, a count outcome, and the population at risk.

Using universal kriging to improve neighborhood physical disorder measurement

Ordinary kriging, a spatial interpolation technique, is commonly used in social sciences to estimate neighborhood attributes such as physical disorder. Universal kriging, developed and used in physical sciences, extends ordinary kriging by supplementing the spatial model with additional covariates. We measured physical disorder on 1,826 sampled block faces across 4 US cities (New York, Philadelphia, Detroit, and San Jose) using Google Street View imagery. We then compared leave-one-out cross-validation accuracy between universal and ordinary kriging and used random subsamples of our observed data to explore whether universal kriging could provide equal measurement accuracy with less spatially dense samples. Universal kriging did not always improve accuracy. However, a measure of housing vacancy did improve estimation accuracy in Philadelphia and Detroit (7.9 and 6.8% lower root mean square error, respectively) and allowed for equivalent estimation accuracy with half the sampled points in Philadelphia. Universal kriging may improve neighborhood measurement.

Association between cesarean delivery types and obesity in preadolescence

Background/Objectives:

The association between mode of delivery and childhood obesity remains inconclusive. Because few studies have separated C-section types (planned or unplanned C-section), our objective was to assess how these subtypes relate to pre-adolescent obesity.

Subjects/Methods:

The study consisted of 570 maternal-child pairs drawn from the WHEALS birth cohort based in Detroit, Michigan. Children were followed-up at 10 years of age where a variety of anthropometric measurements were collected. Obesity was defined based on BMI percentile (≥95th percentile), as well as through gaussian finite mixture modeling on the anthropometric measurements. Risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for obesity comparing planned and unplanned C-sections to vaginal deliveries were computed, which utilized inverse probability weights to account for loss to follow-up and multiple imputation for covariate missingness. Mediation models were fit to examine the mediation role of breastfeeding.

Results:

After adjusting for marital status, maternal race, prenatal tobacco smoke exposure, maternal age, maternal BMI, any hypertensive disorders during pregnancy, gestational diabetes, prenatal antibiotic use, child sex, parity, and birthweight z-score, children born via planned C-section had 1.77 times higher risk of obesity (≥95th percentile), relative to those delivered vaginally ((95% CI)=(1.16,2.72); p=0.009). No association was found comparing unplanned C-section to vaginal delivery (RR (95% CI)=0.75 (0.45, 1.23); p=0.25). Results were similar but slightly stronger when obesity was defined by anthropometric class (RR (95% CI)=2.78 (1.47, 5.26); p=0.002). Breastfeeding did not mediate the association between mode of delivery and obesity.

Conclusions:

These findings indicate that children delivered via planned C-section—but not unplanned C-section—have a higher risk of pre-adolescent obesity, suggesting that partial labor or membrane rupture (typically experienced during unplanned C-section delivery) may offer protection. Additional research is needed to understand the biological mechanisms behind this effect, including whether microbiological differences fully or partially account for the association.

Report of prenatal maternal demoralization and material hardship and infant rhinorrhea and watery eyes

BACKGROUND

Previously, we found that reported infant rhinorrhea and watery eyes without a cold (RWWC) predicted school age exercise-induced wheezing, emergency department visits, and respiratory-related hospitalizations for asthma. These findings appeared independent of infant wheezing and allergy. Overall, we theorize that prenatal material hardship and psychosocial distress can induce infant dysregulation in the autonomic nervous system leading to infant RWWC and school age exercise-induced wheezing.

OBJECTIVE

To test the hypotheses that indicators of prenatal stress and measures of maternal demoralization, which can alter infant autonomic nervous system responses, would predict infant RWWC.

METHODS

In a prospective birth cohort of urban children (n = 578), pregnant women were queried in the third trimester about material hardship and maternal demoralization using validated instruments. Child RWWC was queried every 3 months in infancy.

RESULTS

Notably, 44% of the mothers reported not being able to afford at least one of the basic needs of daily living during pregnancy, and children of those mothers were more likely to have infant RWWC (P < .001). The children had an increased risk of RWWC with increasing maternal demoralization during pregnancy (P < .001). In models controlling for sex, race and ethnicity, maternal asthma, maternal allergy, smoker in the home (pre- or postnatal), prenatal pesticide exposure, and older siblings, RWWC was predicted by mother's report of material hardship (relative risk, 1.22; P = .021) and maternal demoralization (relative risk, 1.14; P = .030).

CONCLUSION

These results suggest an association between material hardship and psychological distress during pregnancy and RWWC in infancy, further supporting a link between infant autonomic dysregulation and RWWC.

Abstract D004: Beyond socioeconomic and racial composition: Association between neighborhood disorder and breast cancer survival

Background: U.S. women who identify as Black/African American (AA) or reside in socioeconomically disadvantaged neighborhoods have greater breast cancer (BrCa) mortality compared to White women or women in more affluent neighborhoods. While biologic factors – physiologic stress, epigenetics, etc. – possibly involved in these pathways are under study, few social mechanisms have been investigated. We hypothesized that neighborhood disorder (i.e., physical deterioration, lack of social control) might be a social mechanism potentiating poorer BrCa survival. Methods: Sociodemographic (age, race, ethnicity, health insurance, residential address), tumor (subtype, grade, stage), and vital status data were collected on primary, histologically-confirmed, invasive BrCa cases diagnosed among females from 2008-2013, age 20-74 years, from the New Jersey State Cancer Registry (NJSCR). Neighborhood auditing of Google Street View (GSV) scenes was conducted at 29,017 locations across NJ and neighborhood disorder scores were created from nine characteristics observed: Physical disorder (garbage/litter, graffiti, boarded/burned buildings, dumpsters, building conditions, yard conditions) and aesthetic engagement (team sports equipment, yard decorations, yard seating). Physical disorder and aesthetic engagement values were assigned to each BrCa case’s residential address at diagnosis by extracting values predicted by stochastic spatial interpolation (Universal Kriging). Census-based factors were census tract socioeconomic status (Yost Index), AA segregation (Gini and Isolation indices) and % AA. Cox proportional hazard models estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of BrCa-specific mortality by physical disorder and aesthetic engagement. Median BrCa diagnosis date was 01/24/2011, median GSV image date was 09/2013, and follow-up was through 12/31/2014. Results: Of 22,390 women, 70.0% were White, 12.7% were AA, 10.4% were Latina, and there were 2,040 BrCa deaths. Over two-thirds of AA and Latina women lived in high physical disorder areas compared to 43% of White women. In models adjusted for all factors listed above, hazard of BrCa mortality was 24% higher (CI: 6-45) in areas of the greatest physical disorder quartile compared to the lowest physical disorder quartile. Adjustment for physical disorder and aesthetic engagement alone reduced the non-Latino AA vs non-Latino White HR by 13% (HRCrude=2.01, HRAdj = 1.75). Conclusions: Inequities in BrCa survival might be partially attributable to characteristics of “place” – physical disorder and aesthetics – that are beyond socioeconomic and racial composition. Future studies should collect additional data to enable robust bias investigation.

Citation Format: Jesse J Plascak, Andrew G Rundle, Stephen J Mooney, Mario Schootman, Antoinette M Stroup, Adana A.M. Llanos. Beyond socioeconomic and racial composition: Association between neighborhood disorder and breast cancer survival [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Twelfth AACR Conference on the Science of Cancer Health Disparities in Racial/Ethnic Minorities and the Medically Underserved; 2019 Sep 20-23; San Francisco, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2020;29(6 Suppl_2):Abstract nr D004.

Abstract PR04: Engaging in physical activity after a cancer diagnosis: A Detroit ROCS study

Background: The benefit of regular exercise in improving cancer outcomes is well established. In 2012, the American Cancer Society (ACS) released a recommendation statement that cancer survivors should engage in regular physical activity (PA) as soon as possible after a cancer diagnosis with the goal of engaging in at least 150 minutes per week of moderate to vigorous PA (1). However, few cancer survivors report meeting this recommendation (2). Using data from the Detroit Research on Cancer Survivors (ROCS) study, we examined the patterns of PA and its association with health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in a cohort of African American cancer survivors.

Methods: Detroit ROCS participants complete baseline and yearly follow-up surveys to update their health and provide information on health behaviors including PA, using the International Physical Activity Questionnaire-short form. We assessed the number of survivors who reported participating in regular PA and those who reported ≥150 minutes of moderate to vigorous PA per week by select characteristics and reported HRQOL measured using the Functional Assessment in Cancer Therapy (FACT) and Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) instruments.

Results: Among the first 1,000 ROCS participants, 58% reported participating in regular PA with just 22% reporting engaging in ≥150 minutes of PA per week. While there were no differences by sex, prostate cancer survivors were the most likely to report participating in regular PA while lung cancer survivors were the least likely (p=0.009). There was a positive relationship between self-reported education and area-level affluence based on US census data with PA (p&lt;0.001 and p=0.019, respectively). Survivors who reported participating in regular PA also reported higher HRQOL (p&lt;0.001) and lower depression (p=0.036). The same patterns were observed among those reporting ≥150 minutes of PA per week, and additionally we found lower reported anxiety among survivors who report meeting ACS guidelines (PROMIS-Cancer anxiety score, p&lt;0.001). Among survivors who completed their first follow-up survey (N=389), a higher proportion of survivors reported participating in regular PA (71%, p&lt;0.001) and getting ≥150 minutes of PA per week (32%, p&lt;0.001).

Conclusions: Fewer than 25% of African American cancer survivors reported meeting the ACS guidelines for PA at baseline recruitment; however, it was encouraging to see significant increases in PA engagement over time. Given the established benefits associated with regular exercise and cancer outcomes, and the positive correlation on HRQOL and inverse relationship with depression observed in this study, identifying, understanding, and eliminating barriers to regular moderate to vigorous PA among African American cancer survivors is critical. Future study of ROCS subjects will attempt to establish the temporality of these relationships.

This abstract is also being presented as Poster C048.

Citation Format: Julie J. Ruterbusch, Ann G. Schwartz, Terrance Albrecht, Tara Baird, Dave Finlay, Felicity Harper, Stephanie Pandolfi, Julia Mantey, Andrew G. Rundle, Jennifer L. Beebe-Dimmer. Engaging in physical activity after a cancer diagnosis: A Detroit ROCS study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Eleventh AACR Conference on the Science of Cancer Health Disparities in Racial/Ethnic Minorities and the Medically Underserved; 2018 Nov 2-5; New Orleans, LA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2020;29(6 Suppl):Abstract nr PR04.

Spatial predictive properties of built environment characteristics assessed by drop-and-spin virtual neighborhood auditing

Background

Virtual neighborhood audits have been used to visually assess characteristics of the built environment for health research. Few studies have investigated spatial predictive properties of audit item responses patterns, which are important for sampling efficiency and audit item selection. We investigated the spatial properties, with a focus on predictive accuracy, of 31 individual audit items related to built environment in a major Metropolitan region of the Northeast United States.

Methods

Approximately 8000 Google Street View (GSV) scenes were assessed using the CANVAS virtual audit tool. Eleven trained raters audited the 360^° view of each GSV scene for 10 sidewalk-, 10 intersection-, and 11 neighborhood physical disorder-related characteristics. Nested semivariograms and regression Kriging were used to investigate the presence and influence of both large- and small-spatial scale relationships as well as the role of rater variability on audit item spatial properties (measurement error, spatial autocorrelation, prediction accuracy). Receiver Operator Curve (ROC) Area Under the Curve (AUC) based on cross-validated spatial models summarized overall predictive accuracy. Correlations between predicted audit item responses and select demographic, economic, and housing characteristics were investigated.

Results

Prediction accuracy was better within spatial models of all items accounting for both small-scale and large- spatial scale variation (vs large-scale only), and further improved with additional adjustment for rater in a majority of modeled items. Spatial predictive accuracy was considered ‘Excellent’ (0.8 ≤ ROC AUC < 0.9) for full models of all but four items. Predictive accuracy was highest and improved the most with rater adjustment for neighborhood physical disorder-related items. The largest gains in predictive accuracy comparing large- + small-scale to large-scale only models were among intersection- and sidewalk-items. Predicted responses to neighborhood physical disorder-related items correlated strongly with one another and were also strongly correlated with racial-ethnic composition, socioeconomic indicators, and residential mobility.

Conclusions

Audits of sidewalk and intersection characteristics exhibit pronounced variability, requiring more spatially dense samples than neighborhood physical disorder audits do for equivalent accuracy. Incorporating rater effects into spatial models improves predictive accuracy especially among neighborhood physical disorder-related items.