A modelling tool for capacity planning in acute and community stroke services

Background

Mathematical capacity planning methods that can take account of variations in patient complexity, admission rates and delayed discharges have long been available, but their implementation in complex pathways such as stroke care remains limited. Instead simple average based estimates are commonplace. These methods often substantially underestimate capacity requirements.

We analyse the capacity requirements for acute and community stroke services in a pathway with over 630 admissions per year. We sought to identify current capacity bottlenecks affecting patient flow, future capacity requirements in the presence of increased admissions, the impact of co-location and pooling of the acute and rehabilitation units and the impact of patient subgroups on capacity requirements. We contrast these results to the often used method of planning by average occupancy, often with arbitrary uplifts to cater for variability.

Methods

We developed a discrete-event simulation model using aggregate parameter values derived from routine administrative data on over 2000 anonymised admission and discharge timestamps. The model mimicked the flow of stroke, high risk TIA and complex neurological patients from admission to an acute ward through to community rehab and early supported discharge, and predicted the probability of admission delays.

Results

An increase from 10 to 14 acute beds reduces the number of patients experiencing a delay to the acute stroke unit from 1 in every 7 to 1 in 50. Co-location of the acute and rehabilitation units and pooling eight beds out of a total bed stock of 26 reduce the number of delayed acute admissions to 1 in every 29 and the number of delayed rehabilitation admissions to 1 in every 20. Planning by average occupancy would resulted in delays for one in every five patients in the acute stroke unit.

Conclusions

Planning by average occupancy fails to provide appropriate reserve capacity to manage the variations seen in stroke pathways to desired service levels. An appropriate uplift from the average cannot be based simply on occupancy figures. Our method draws on long available, intuitive, but underused mathematical techniques for capacity planning. Implementation via simulation at our study hospital provided valuable decision support for planners to assess future bed numbers and organisation of the acute and rehabilitation services.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12913-016-1789-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

A comparison of two methods for expert elicitation in health technology assessments

BACKGROUND

When data needed to inform parameters in decision models are lacking, formal elicitation of expert judgement can be used to characterise parameter uncertainty. Although numerous methods for eliciting expert opinion as probability distributions exist, there is little research to suggest whether one method is more useful than any other method. This study had three objectives: (i) to obtain subjective probability distributions characterising parameter uncertainty in the context of a health technology assessment; (ii) to compare two elicitation methods by eliciting the same parameters in different ways; (iii) to collect subjective preferences of the experts for the different elicitation methods used.

METHODS

Twenty-seven clinical experts were invited to participate in an elicitation exercise to inform a published model-based cost-effectiveness analysis of alternative treatments for prostate cancer. Participants were individually asked to express their judgements as probability distributions using two different methods - the histogram and hybrid elicitation methods - presented in a random order. Individual distributions were mathematically aggregated across experts with and without weighting. The resulting combined distributions were used in the probabilistic analysis of the decision model and mean incremental cost-effectiveness ratios and the expected values of perfect information (EVPI) were calculated for each method, and compared with the original cost-effectiveness analysis. Scores on the ease of use of the two methods and the extent to which the probability distributions obtained from each method accurately reflected the expert's opinion were also recorded.

RESULTS

Six experts completed the task. Mean ICERs from the probabilistic analysis ranged between £162,600-£175,500 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) depending on the elicitation and weighting methods used. Compared to having no information, use of expert opinion decreased decision uncertainty: the EVPI value at the £30,000 per QALY threshold decreased by 74-86 % from the original cost-effectiveness analysis. Experts indicated that the histogram method was easier to use, but attributed a perception of more accuracy to the hybrid method.

CONCLUSIONS

Inclusion of expert elicitation can decrease decision uncertainty. Here, choice of method did not affect the overall cost-effectiveness conclusions, but researchers intending to use expert elicitation need to be aware of the impact different methods could have.

Non-pharmacological interventions for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) delivered in school settings: systematic reviews of quantitative and qualitative research

BACKGROUND

Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is a neurodevelopmental disorder characterised by age-inappropriate levels of inattention, impulsivity and hyperactivity. School can be particularly challenging for children with ADHD. Few reviews have considered non-pharmacological interventions in school settings.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effectiveness of non-pharmacological interventions delivered in school settings for pupils with, or at risk of, ADHD and to explore the factors that may enhance, or limit, their delivery.

DATA SOURCES

Twenty electronic databases (including PsycINFO, MEDLINE, EMBASE, Education Resources Information Centre, The Cochrane Library and Education Research Complete) were searched from 1980 to February-August 2013. Three separate searches were conducted for four systematic reviews; they were supplemented with forward and backwards citation chasing, website searching, author recommendations and hand-searches of key journals.

REVIEW METHODS

The systematic reviews focused on (1) the effectiveness of school-based interventions for children with or at risk of ADHD; (2) quantitative research that explores attitudes towards school-based non-pharmacological interventions for pupils with ADHD; (3) qualitative research investigating the attitudes and experiences of children, teachers, parents and others using ADHD interventions in school settings; and (4) qualitative research exploring the experience of ADHD in school among pupils, their parents and teachers more generally. Methods of synthesis included a random-effects meta-analysis, meta-regression and narrative synthesis for review 1, narrative synthesis for review 2 and meta-ethnography and thematic analysis for reviews 3 and 4.

RESULTS

For review 1, 54 controlled trials met the inclusion criteria. For the 36 meta-analysed randomised controlled trials, beneficial effects (p < 0.05) were observed for several symptom and scholastic outcomes. Mean weighted effect sizes ranged from very small (d + < 0.20) to large (d + ≥ 0.80), but substantial heterogeneity in effect size estimates across studies was reported. Moderator analyses were not able to clarify which intervention features were linked with effectiveness. For review 2, 28 included studies revealed that educators' attitudes towards interventions ranged in positivity. Most interventions were rated positively or neutrally across different studies. The only intervention that consistently recorded positive attitudes from educators was daily report cards. For review 3, 33 studies met the inclusion criteria. Key findings included tensions regarding the preferred format of interventions, particularly how structured interventions were and the extent to which they are tailored to the child with ADHD. There were mixed views about the impact of interventions, although it was clear that interventions both influence and are influenced by the relationships held by children with ADHD and participants' attitudes towards school and ADHD. For review 4, 34 studies met the inclusion criteria. Key findings included the importance of causal attributions that teachers, parents and pupils made about ADHD symptoms, the decisions teachers made about treatment, the self-perceptions pupils developed about themselves, the role of the classroom environment and stigma in aggravating ADHD symptoms, and the significant barrier to treatment posed by the common presence of conflict in relationships between pupils-teachers, parents-teachers and pupils-peers in relation to ADHD. An overarching synthesis of the four reviews highlighted the importance of the context affecting interventions. It suggested that ADHD psychoeducation and relationship-building skills are potential implications for interventions.

LIMITATIONS

The breadth of both interventions and outcomes in the reviewed studies presented a challenge for categorisation, analysis and interpretation in reviews 1-3. Across reviews, relatively few studies were conducted in the UK, limiting the applicability of findings to UK education. In reviews 1 and 2, the poor methodological quality of some included studies was identified as a barrier to establishing effectiveness or comparing attitudes. In review 3 the descriptive analysis used by the majority of studies constrained theorising during synthesis. Studies in review 4 lacked detail regarding important issues like gender, pupil maturity and school level.

CONCLUSION

Findings suggest some beneficial effects of non-pharmacological interventions for ADHD used in school settings, but substantial heterogeneity in effect sizes was seen across studies. The qualitative reviews demonstrate the importance of the context in which interventions are used. Future work should consider more rigorous evaluation of interventions, as well as focus on what works, for whom and in which contexts. Gaps in current research present opportunities for the development and testing of standardised tools to describe interventions, agreement on gold-standard outcome measures assessing ADHD behaviour and testing a range of potential moderators alongside intervention trials.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42011001716.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Creating psychological connections between intervention recipients: development and focus group evaluation of a group singing session for people with aphasia

OBJECTIVES

The study sought to identify key design features that could be used to create a new framework for group-based health interventions. We designed and tested the first session of a group intervention for stroke survivors with aphasia which was aimed at nurturing new psychological connections between group members.

SETTING

The intervention session, a participant focus group and interviews with intervention facilitators were held in a local community music centre in the South West of England.

PARTICIPANTS

A convenience sample of 10 community-dwelling people with poststroke aphasia participated in the session. Severity of aphasia was not considered for inclusion.

INTERVENTION

Participants took part in a 90-min group singing session which involved singing songs from a specially prepared song book. Musical accompaniment was provided by the facilitators.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Participants and group facilitators reported their experiences of participating in the session, with a focus on activities within the session related to the intervention aims. Researcher observations of the session were also made.

RESULTS

Two themes emerged from the analysis, concerning experiences of the session ('developing a sense of group belonging') and perceptions of its design and delivery ('creating the conditions for engagement'). Participants described an emerging sense of shared social identity as a member of the intervention group and identified fixed (eg, group size, session breaks) and flexible (eg, facilitator responsiveness) features of the session which contributed to this emergence. Facilitator interviews and researcher observations corroborated and expanded participant reports.

CONCLUSIONS

Engagement with health intervention content may be enhanced in group settings when intervention participants begin to establish positive and meaningful psychological connections with other group members. Understanding and actively nurturing these connections should be a core feature of a general framework for the design and delivery of group interventions.

Prevalence and predictors of complications following facial reconstruction procedures

Facial reconstruction procedures are immensely challenging and are done for a multitude of reasons. The purpose of this report is to provide nationally representative estimates of different types of facial reconstructive procedures and to examine prevalence and predictors of a wide range of complications associated with these procedures in the USA. The Nationwide Inpatient Sample, the largest inpatient dataset for the USA, was used. Data for the years 2004-2010 related to facial reconstruction procedures were identified through ICD-9-CM procedure codes. Associated complications were identified using secondary diagnosis field codes. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to examine the association between patient/hospital-level factors and the occurrence of complications. A total 26,374 facial reconstruction procedures were performed. About 20% of all patients who had facial reconstruction procedures developed a complication. Frequently occurring complications included postoperative pneumonia (4.9% of hospitalizations), hemorrhage (3.9%), other infections (3.6%), non-healing wounds (3.5%), and iatrogenically induced complications (3.2%). Significant factors found to be consistently associated with different types of complications included age, co-morbid burden, sex, and type of admission. The reported results are generalizable within limitations and can be used by health care providers to tailor quality improvement initiatives to minimize or better treat complications in the high-risk cohorts.

9 ENDOSCOPY-MEDIATED INTRATUBAL INSEMINATION IN THE COW – A PRELIMINARY REPORT ABOUT THE APPLICATION OF A NOVEL MINIMALLY INVASIVE INSEMINATION TECHNIQUE

On their long path through the female reproductive tract to the fertilization site, spermatozoa are exposed to diverse influences and hazards of the cervical, uterine, and oviducal environment that naturally select viable sperms for the following fertilization. Consequently, this results in a reduction from several billions of sperms in the ejaculate to a functional sperm reservoir within the range of 102 in the isthmus of the Fallopian tube. A technique to deposit spermatozoa directly into the ampulla, thus bypassing most of the reproductive tract, enables a rigorous reduction in number of sperms deposited. Furthermore, it provides a direct assessment of sperm fertility. The aim of our study was to establish an endoscopy-assisted intratubal insemination technique using different sperm dosages, fresh or cryopreserved, to determine adequate conditions for optimal fertilization. Eighteen Simmental heifers were inseminated with fresh semen, and 9 heifers were inseminated with frozen semen using this novel technique. The heifers were synchronized using a modified Ovsynch protocol, and insemination was conducted 18 to 20 h after the second gonadotropin-releasing hormone application. Insemination of heifers was performed under epidural anaesthesia. A tubing system bearing the endoscope and an insemination device was introduced through the vaginal wall into the peritoneal cavity. The insemination device consisted of a tube connected to a curved glass capillary tube loaded with semen. After a visual examination of the ovaries for the presence of an ovulatory Graafian follicle, the capillary tube was inserted directly via the infundibulum into the ipsilateral ampulla and the semen dose was deposited. The entire procedure took ~10 min. Two days later the oviduct was flushed by the same technique. A tubing system connected to a metal catheter served for flushing the embryos and unfertilized oocytes from the oviduct into the uterine horn. Afterward, embryos and oocytes were collected by flushing the uterine horn using an embryo flushing catheter and an embryo filter (EmCon). Embryos were stained using a Hoechst dye to visualise the numbers of attached spermatozoa to the zonae pellucidae. From 18 inseminations with fresh semen doses of 7 to 28 million sperms, 7 embryos at the 2- to 8-cell stage were found. Two of these embryos had more than 10 accessory sperms (AS), 3 had 3 to 6 AS, and 2 were without AS. From 9 inseminations with frozen semen doses containing 1.5 million sperms, we obtained 2 embryos, one at the 4-cell stage without AS and one at the 8-cell stage with 5 AS. Additionally, 3 unfertilized oocytes were collected. In conclusion, these preliminary results demonstrate a promising technique for intratubal AI, which has to be further optimized by studying numbers and treatment of spermatozoa and time of insemination.

232 EFFECT OF SUPEROVULATION PRETREATMENT ON DEVELOPMENTAL CHARACTERISTICS OF IN VITRO-FERTILIZED BOVINE EMBRYOS TRANSFERRED TO THE OVIDUCT-UTERUS ENVIRONMENT

Superovulation is a routine procedure to stimulate growth and ovulation of multiple follicles. However, the hormonal changes in the reproductive tract after superovulation treatment affect the environment and subsequently the early embryo development. The aim of the study was to examine the effect of superovulation pretreatment on embryo development and gene expression of IVM/IVF derived embryos subsequently cultured in vivo. The cumulus‐oocyte complexes derived from slaughterhouse ovaries were in vitro matured and fertilized. The denuded presumptive zygotes were cultured in CR1 medium with 5% oestrous cow serum. A total of 788 cleaved embryos at Day 2 were transferred by transvaginal endoscopy into the oviduct of synchronized and superovulated heifers (superstimulated group, SS) and 784 cleaved embryos were transferred into the ipsilateral oviduct of single ovulated synchronized heifers (single ovulation group, SO). In total, 10 Simmental heifers were used for in vivo culture in a crossover design. The in vivo culture was repeated once at an interval of at least 6 weeks in the same animal. At Day 7, embryos were recovered by combined flushing of the oviducts by endoscopy and the adjacent part of the uterine horns by conventional procedure. The numbers of recovered blastocysts were recorded and the embryos were cultured for the following 48 h to determine the blastocyst rate at Days 8 and 9. Simultaneously, 410 cleaved embryos were cultured in vitro for 9 days (control group, C). Triplicate pools of 10 blastocysts recovered at Day 7 from each treatment group were used for RNA isolation. Real-time PCR using sequence specific primers was performed in StepOnePlus™ real time PCR system (Applied Biosystem, Foster City, CA, USA). A comparative threshold cycle method was used to quantify expression levels of the candidate genes compared to the internal control GAPDH gene. The number of recovered embryos after in vivo culture was significantly lower in the SS group compared with the SO group (66.9 v. 79.5%, respectively; P < 0.05). The blastocyst rates at Days 7, 8, and 9 in the SS, SO, and C groups were not significantly different (31.9, 43.3, and 47.1% v. 35.2, 48.5, and 53.5% v. 37.8, 50, and 56.1%, respectively). Molecular analysis of selected genes playing important roles during pre-implantation development revealed significantly lower expression levels of IL6, IL18, and ABCC2 between both experimental in vivo culture groups and the C-group. The IL18 was also significantly down-regulated in the SS-group compared to the SO-group. The transcription factor NFκB was found to be down-regulated in the SS-group compared to the SO and C groups (P < 0.05). In conclusion, we showed that the superovulation pretreatment did not affect blastocyst yield during the culture period but seemed to influence the expression of developmentally important genes in the resulting embryos.

Cost effectiveness of collagen crosslinking for progressive keratoconus in the UK NHS

BACKGROUND

Keratoconus is a progressive degenerative corneal disorder of children and young adults that is traditionally managed by refractive error correction, with corneal transplantation reserved for the most severe cases. UVA collagen crosslinking is a novel procedure that aims to prevent disease progression, currently being considered for use in the UK NHS. We assess whether it might be a cost-effective alternative to standard management for patients with progressive keratoconus.

METHODS

We constructed a Markov model in which we estimated disease progression from prospective follow-up studies, derived costs derived from the NHS National Tariff, and calculated utilities from linear regression models of visual acuity in the better-seeing eye. We performed deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses to assess the impact of possible variations in the model parameters.

RESULTS

Collagen crosslinking is cost effective compared with standard management at an incremental cost of £ 3174 per QALY in the base case. Deterministic sensitivity analysis shows that this could rise above £ 33,263 per QALY if the duration of treatment efficacy is limited to 5 years. Other model parameters are not decision significant. Collagen crosslinking is cost effective in 85% of simulations at a willingness-to-pay threshold of £ 30,000 per QALY.

CONCLUSION

UVA collagen crosslinking is very likely to be cost effective, compared with standard management, for the treatment of progressive keratoconus. However, further research to explore its efficacy beyond 5 years is desirable.

Tumour necrosis factor-α inhibitor therapy in chronic physical illness: A systematic review and meta-analysis of the effect on depression and anxiety

OBJECTIVE

Depression is more common among individuals with chronic physical illness than in the general population. New treatments for severe and chronic inflammatory conditions which inhibit tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α), a pro-inflammatory cytokine, may be able to shed some light on the role of inflammatory mediators in depression. This systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials determined the effects of TNF-α inhibitor therapy on depression and anxiety in people with chronic physical illness.

METHODS

Seven databases were searched from inception to January 2014: AMED, Central, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, CINAHL, Embase, MEDLINE, and PsycINFO. Articles were screened for inclusion independently by two reviewers. Data extraction and appraisal were conducted by one reviewer and checked by a second. Random-effects meta-analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Six randomised controlled trials (reported in seven articles) met eligibility criteria and were included in the final review. In total 2540 participants were enrolled across the trials, with participants presenting with rheumatoid arthritis (n=3 trials), psoriasis (n=2) or ankylosing spondylitis (n=1). Meta-analyses, using standardised mean differences, showed evidence of small reductions in depression (-0.24; 95% CI -0.33 to -0.14; p<0.001), and anxiety (-0.17; 95% CI -0.31 to -0.02; p=0.02).

CONCLUSION

TNF-α inhibitor therapy reduces depression in people with chronic disease though the effects are small. Whilst this is consistent with inflammation contributing to the development of depression, further studies investigating a more detailed timeline of changes in depression, inflammatory biomarkers and disease activity status are required.

Effects of macrophage-dependent peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor γ signalling on adhesion formation after abdominal surgery in an experimental model

BACKGROUND

The pathophysiology of adhesion formation after abdominal and pelvic surgery is still largely unknown. The aim of the study was to investigate the role of macrophage polarization and the effect of peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor (PPAR) γ stimulation on adhesion formation in an animal model.

METHODS

Peritoneal adhesion formation was induced by the creation of ischaemic buttons within the peritoneal wall and the formation of a colonic anastomosis in wild-type, interleukin (IL) 10-deficient (IL-10(-/-) ), IL-4-deficient (IL-4(-/-) ) and CD11b-Cre/PPARγ(fl) (/fl) mice. Adhesions were assessed at regular intervals, and cell preparations were isolated from ischaemic buttons and normal peritoneum. These samples were analysed for macrophage differentiation and its markers, and expression of cytokines by quantitative PCR, fluorescence microscopy, arginase activity and pathological examination. Some animals underwent pioglitazone (PPAR-γ agonist) or vehicle treatment to inhibit adhesion formation. Anastomotic healing was evaluated by bursting pressure measurement and collagen gene expression.

RESULTS

Macrophage M2 marker expression and arginase activity were raised in buttons without adhesions compared with buttons with adhesions. IL-4(-/-) and IL-10(-/-) mice were not affected, whereas CD11b-Cre/PPARγ(fl) (/fl) mice showed decreased arginase activity and increased adhesion formation. Perioperative pioglitazone treatment increased arginase activity and decreased adhesion formation in wild-type but not CD11b-Cre/PPARγ(fl) (/fl) mice. Pioglitazone had no effect on anastomotic healing.

CONCLUSION

Endogenous macrophage-specific PPAR-γ signalling affected arginase activity and macrophage polarization, and counter-regulated peritoneal adhesion manifestation. Pharmacological PPAR-γ agonism induced a shift towards macrophage M2 polarization and ameliorated adhesion formation in a macrophage-dependent manner. Surgical relevance Postoperative adhesion formation is frequently seen after abdominal surgery and occurs in response to peritoneal trauma. The pathogenesis is still unknown but includes an imbalance in fibrinolysis, collagen production and inflammatory mechanisms. Little is known about the role of macrophages during adhesion formation. In an experimental model, macrophage M2 marker expression was associated with reduced peritoneal adhesion formation and involved PPAR-γ-mediated arginase activity. Macrophage-specific PPAR-γ deficiency resulted in reduced arginase activity and aggravated adhesion formation. Pioglitazone, a PPAR-γ agonist, induced M2 polarization and reduced postoperative adhesion formation without compromising anastomotic healing in mice. Pioglitazone ameliorated postoperative adhesion formation without compromising intestinal wound healing. Therefore, perioperative PPAR-γ agonism might be a promising strategy for prevention of adhesion formation after abdominal surgery.

The novel CGRP receptor antagonist BIBN4096BS alleviates a postoperative intestinal inflammation and prevents postoperative ileus

BACKGROUND

Abdominal surgery results in neuronal mediator release and subsequent acute intestinal hypomotility. This phase is followed by a longer lasting inflammatory phase resulting in postoperative ileus (POI). Calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP) has been shown to induce motility disturbances and in addition may be a candidate mediator to elicit neurogenic inflammation. We hypothesized that CGRP contributes to intestinal inflammation and POI.

METHODS

The effect of CGRP in POI was tested in mice treated with the highly specific CGRP receptor antagonist BIBN4096BS and in CGRP receptor-deficient (RAMP-1(-/-) ) mice. POI severity was analyzed by cytokine expression, muscular inflammation and gastrointestinal (GI) transit. Peritoneal and muscularis macrophages and mast cells were analyzed for CGRP receptor expression and functional response to CGRP stimulation.

KEY RESULTS

Intestinal manipulation (IM) resulted in CGRP release from myenteric nerves, and a concurrent increased interleukin (IL)-6 and IL-1β transcription and leukocyte infiltration in the muscularis externa and increased GI transit time. CGRP potentiates IM-induced cytokine transcription within the muscularis externa and peritoneal macrophages. BIBN4096BS reduced cytokine levels and leukocyte infiltration and normalized GI transit. RAMP1(-/-) mice showed a significantly reduced leukocyte influx. CGRP receptor was expressed in muscularis and peritoneal macrophages but not mast cells. CGRP mediated macrophage activation but failed to induce mast cell degranulation and cytokine expression.

CONCLUSIONS & INFERENCES

CGRP is immediately released during abdominal surgery and induces a neurogenic inflammation via activation of abdominal macrophages. BIBN4096BS prevented IM-induced inflammation and restored GI motility. These findings suggest that CGRP receptor antagonism could be instrumental in the prevention of POI.

High PSA anxiety and low health literacy skills: drivers of early use of salvage ADT among men with biochemically recurrent prostate cancer after radiotherapy?

BACKGROUND

Although commonly used, early initiation of salvage androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) has not been proven to enhance survival. We evaluated whether prostate-specific antigen (PSA) anxiety or health literacy are associated with use of early salvage ADT among men with recurrent prostate cancer after radiotherapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The prospective Comprehensive, Observational, Multicenter, Prostate Adenocarcinoma Registry was used to study 375 men with biochemically recurrent prostate cancer after external beam radiation or brachytherapy. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine whether PSA anxiety and health literacy are associated with salvage ADT as initial management after biochemical recurrence.

RESULTS

Sixty-eight men (18.1%) received salvage ADT as initial management for PSA recurrence. Men with high PSA anxiety were twice as likely to receive salvage ADT compared with men who did not have high PSA anxiety on both univariable [28.8% versus 13.1%; odds ratio (OR) 2.15; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.16-4.00; P = 0.015] and multivariable analysis [adjusted OR (AOR) 2.36; 95% CI 1.21-4.62; P = 0.012]. Furthermore, men who had higher levels of health literacy were nearly half as likely to undergo salvage ADT compared with men who had lower levels of health literacy on univariable analysis (15.2% versus 26.3%; OR 0.50; 95% CI 0.29-0.88; P = 0.016), with a trend toward this association on multivariable analysis (AOR 0.58; 95% CI 0.32-1.05; P = 0.07).

CONCLUSIONS

Among men with PSA recurrence after radiotherapy, odds of use of salvage ADT were nearly twice as great among men with high PSA anxiety or low health literacy, suggesting that these men are receiving higher rates of unproven treatment. Given that early salvage ADT is costly, worsens quality of life, and has not been shown to improve survival, quality improvement strategies are needed for these individuals.