QTc interval prolongation in liver cirrhosis with upper gastrointestinal bleeding

QTc interval prolongation is common in patients with liver cirrhosis. Cirrhotic patients suffering from complications could also prolong QT interval. We aimed to explore the role of QTc interval prolongation in cirrhotic patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). Overall, 167 patients were analyzed. QTc interval prolongation presented in 111 patients (66.5%). One hundred and seven patients (64.1%) suffered from acute UGIB. Results showed that RBC, Hb, ALB and calcium (Ca) were significantly lower, and DBIL, GGT, APTT, Child-Pugh score, MELD score and ALBI score were significantly higher in the prolongation group than those without QTc prolongation. AUROC of QTc was .699 (95%CI: .623-.768). In the acute UGIB subgroup, AUROC of QTc was .478 (95%CI: .347-.611). In the HBV subgroup, AUROC of QTc was .722 (95%CI: .616-.812). QTc interval prolongation was prevalent in cirrhotic patients with UGIB and correlated with liver dysfunction. QTc might not be a valid predictor of in-hospital mortality.

Inflammatory markers as prognostic factors in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer

INTRODUCTION

Inflammatory markers have prognostic value in various tumors due to the role of inflammatory phenomena at different stages of tumor development. The aim of this study is to demonstrate the prognostic value of these markers, as well as other clinical and analytical variables in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Prospective cohort study carried out on 80 patients diagnosed with mCRPC. Clinical and analytical data were collected, and the following inflammatory markers were estimated: Absolute Neutrophil Count (ANC), Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), Total Platelet Count (TPC), Platelet-Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR), Lymphocyte-Monocyte Ratio (LMR) and Systemic Inflammation Index (SII). The values of albumin, hemoglobin (Hb), alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) were also determined.

RESULTS

Patients with ANC>7500, NLR>3, PLR>150, LMR>3 and/or SII>535,000, presented significantly lower median survival time than the remaining patients, and TPC was the only marker which did not show a significant association. Moreover, NLR, PLR and SII were inversely correlated with survival time. Patients with hypoalbuminemia, anemia, and elevated LDH values had significantly lower median survival time. Albumin and hemoglobin were directly correlated to overall survival time. The need for analgesia was also associated with shorter survival.

CONCLUSION

The values of certain inflammatory markers are associated with shorter survival time in patients with mCRPC, and their use in clinical practice can be considered to evaluate the prognosis and estimate survival.

Impact of previous admission to an intensive care unit on stem cell transplantation outcome

INTRODUCTION

The impact of an admission to ICU before stem cell transplantation (SCT) on post-SCT outcome is not well established.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We reviewed the medical records of patients who had received a first SCT between 2000 and 2016 in our institution. The outcome of 22 patients who required ICU admission during chemotherapy prior to SCT (ICU group) was compared with 44 matched patients (1:2) who did not need it (NO-ICU group).

RESULTS

There were no differences in transplant complications, in time to neutrophil and platelet recovery or in the length of hospital stay during SCT between the ICU and NO-ICU groups. However, microbiologically documented infections were more common in the ICU group (16/20) than in the NO-ICU group (18/39) (p=.027). The 5-yr overall survival probability (CI 95%) was 49% (28-70%) in the ICU vs. 45% (29-61%) in the NO-ICU group (p=.353), while the 5-yr incidence of non-relapse mortality was 32% (14-52%) and 24% (12-38%) (p=.333), respectively. Six patients (27%) in the ICU group and 8 (18%) in the NO-ICU group required admission to the ICU during or after the SCT procedure (p=.293). Twelve (54%) patients in the ICU and 22 (50%) in the NO-ICU group died, the causes of death were similar in both groups.

CONCLUSION

Our results show that admission to the ICU prior to SCT does not have a negative impact on patient outcomes following SCT and should not be considered as an exclusion criterion for SCT.

High serum nitrates levels in non-survivor COVID-19 patients

OBJECTIVE

Higher blood nitrate and nitrite levels have been found in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients than in healthy subjects. The present study explores the potential association between serum nitrate levels and mortality in COVID-19 patients.

DESIGN

A prospective observation study was carried out.

SETTING

Eight Intensive Care Units (ICUs) from 6 hospitals in the Canary Islands (Spain).

PATIENTS

COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICU.

INTERVENTIONS

Determination of serum nitrate levels at ICU admission.

MAIN VARIABLE OF INTEREST

Mortality at 30 days.

RESULTS

Non-surviving (n=11) compared to surviving patients (n=42) showed higher APACHE-II (p<0.001) and SOFA scores (p=0.004), and higher serum nitrate levels (p=0.001). Logistic regression analyses showed serum nitrate levels to be associated to 30-day mortality after controlling for SOFA (OR=1.021; 95%CI=1.006-1.036; p=0.01) or APACHE-II (OR=1.023; 95%CI=1.006-1.041; p=0.01). There were no differences in the area under the curve (AUC) for mortality prediction by serum nitrate levels (AUC=83%; 95%CI=73-92%; p<0.001), APACHE II (AUC=85%; 95%CI=75-96%; p<0.001) and SOFA (AUC=78%; 95%CI=63-92%; p=0.005) based on the DeLong method. The Kaplan-Meier analysis found patients with serum nitrates levels>68.4μmol/l to have a higher mortality rate (hazard ratio=138.8; 95%CI=22.3-863.9; p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The main novel finding was the association between serum nitrate levels and mortality in COVID-19 patients controlling for the SOFA or APACHE-II scores, though larger studies are needed to confirm this observation.

Prognostic value of cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers in mild cognitive impairment due to Alzheimer disease

We performed a retrospective analysis of the patients assessed at our memory unit for whom Alzheimer disease (AD) cerebrospinal fluid biomarker results were available. We selected patients diagnosed with mild cognitive impairment due to AD (National Institute on Aging-Alzheimer's Association clinical criteria), confirmed neuropsychological deficit, a Global Deterioration Scale score of 3, and an abnormal profile of cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers. Of the 588 cases reviewed, 110 met the inclusion criteria. During follow-up, 50 cases (45.45%) progressed to dementia due to AD. Baseline levels of total and phosphorylated tau were higher in the group of patients that progressed to dementia than in those remaining with mild cognitive impairment. After adjusting for age, sex, history of hypertension, diabetes, and educational level, a 10% increase in total tau protein values was associated with a 7.60% increase in the risk of progression to dementia (hazard ratio: 2.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.28-3.84]; P = .004). Among patients with mild cognitive impairment due to AD and abnormal cerebrospinal fluid biomarker profiles, progressively higher concentrations of total or phosphorylated tau were associated with increased risk of progression to dementia.

Clinical characteristics of confirmed and clinically diagnosed patients with 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia: a single-center, retrospective, case-control study

BACKGROUND

Novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an emerging infectious disease caused by SARS-CoV-2. At the peak of the outbreak in Wuhan (January and February), there are two types of COVID-19 patients: laboratory confirmation and clinical diagnosis. This study aims to compare and analyze the clinical outcomes and characteristics of confirmed and clinically diagnosed COVID-19 patients to determine whether they are of the same type and require equal treatment. More importantly, the prognostic factors of COVID-19 patients are explored.

METHODS

A total of 194 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia were retrospectively studied. Demographic data, clinical characteristcs, laboratory results and prognostic information were collected by electronic medical record system and analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 194 subjects included, 173 were confirmed and 21 were clinically diagnosed. There were no significant differences in clinical outcomes (mortality rate 39[22.54%] vs 7[33.33%], P=0.272) and hospital stay (19.00 vs 16.90 days, P=0.411) between the confirmed and clinically diagnosed group, and prognostic factors were similar between them. Older age, lower albumin levels, higher serum Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels, higher D-D levels, longer prothrombin time (PT), higher IL-6 levels, lower T cells indicated poor prognosis in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. NK cell has the highest AUC among all measured indicators (NK AUC=0.926, P<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Laboratory-confirmed and clinically diagnosed COVID-19 patients are similar in clinical outcomes and most clinical characteristics. They are of the same type and require equal treatment. Age, AST, LDH, BUN, PT, D-D, IL6, white blood cell and neutrophil counts, T cell and T cell subset counts can efficiently predict clinical outcomes.

Predictors of cardiovascular outcomes after surgery in severe tricuspid regurgitation: clinical, imaging and hemodynamic prospective study

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Severe tricuspid regurgitation (TR) is a prevalent valve disease with a high mortality rate. Current guidelines do not define specific thresholds at which patients should be considered for surgery or percutaneous procedures. Thus, patients are usually referred for intervention at a late stage of the disease. This study aimed to assess predictors of cardiovascular outcomes in a prospective cohort of patients with severe TR referred for surgery.

METHODS

This was an observational, prospective, nonrandomized study. All patients underwent surgery for severe TR based on current clinical guidelines. Complete anamnesis, blood test, echocardiogram, cardiovascular magnetic resonance and right and left catheterization were performed. Patients were followed up in the outpatient department and a combined endpoint (hospitalization for heart failure and cardiovascular mortality) was registered.

RESULTS

Forty-three consecutive patients were included (age: 66.9 ± 9.6 years, 67.4% female). Tricuspid annuloplasty was performed in all patients. After a median follow-up of 38 months, 12 patients (27.9%) showed the combined endpoint and 7 (16.3%) died. Above all clinical, blood and imaging data, the indexed right ventricular end-diastolic volume constituted the best predictor of the combined endpoint (HR, 1.1; P = .02) and cardiovascular mortality (HR, 1.1; P = .05). Furthermore, indexed right ventricular end-diastolic volume was associated with TR recurrence after surgery, with no impact on clinical outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with severe TR referred for surgery, right ventricular remodeling assessed by cardiovascular magnetic resonance constituted the best independent predictor of cardiovascular outcomes at follow-up.

Results of treatment of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma adapted to risk of recurrence

Background

The incidence of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) is increasing.

Objective

To analyze the long-term prognosis of PTMC.

Method

Study population: patients with a histopathological diagnosis of PTMC (size ≤ 1 cm) treated according to the risk of recurrence of the Latin American Thyroid Society. Inclusion criteria: minimum follow-up of 2 years, availability of histopathological samples, and treatment compliance. Exclusion criteria: previous thyroid surgery, other synchronous malignancies or ectopic location of the PTMC. Study variables: persistences, recurrences and mortality.

Results

Based on the risk of recurrence, PTMC has very low risk in 65.2% (n = 105), low risk in 17.4% (n = 28) and high risk in 17.4% (n = 28). In high risk patients, total thyroidectomy was performed in all cases, cervical lymphadenectomy in 57,1% (n = 16) and metabolic therapy with I¹³¹ in all cases. During a mean follow-up of 119,8 ± 65 months, 0.6% (n = 1) of recurrences took place. Risk factors associated to recurrence were not identified. No patient died due to MCPT.

Conclusions

PTMC treated based on its risk of recurrence has a good long-term prognosis, without persistences, with a low number of recurrences and absence of disease-associated mortality.

[Update of the recommendations for the determination of biomarkers in colorectal carcinoma. National Consensus of the Spanish Society of Medical Oncology and the Spanish Society of Pathology]

This update of the consensus of the Spanish Society of Medical Oncology (Sociedad Española de Oncología Médica - SEOM) and the Spanish Society of Pathology (Sociedad Española de Anatomía Patológica - SEAP), reviews the advances in the analysis of biomarkers in advanced colorectal cancer (CRC) as well as susceptibility markers of hereditary CRC and molecular biomarkers of localized CRC. Recently published information on the essential determination of KRAS, NRAS and BRAF mutations and the possible benefits of determining the amplification of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2), the expression of proteins in the DNA repair pathway and the study of NTRK fusions are also evaluated. From a pathological point of view, the importance of analysing the tumour budding and poorly differentiated clusters and its prognostic value in CRC is reviewed, as well as the impact of molecular lymph node analysis on lymph node staging in CRC. The incorporation of pan-genomic technologies, such as next-generation sequencing (NGS) and liquid biopsy in the clinical management of patients with CRC is also outlined. All these aspects are developed in this guide which, like the previous one, will be revised when necessary in the future.

Beyond hyperglycemia: glycaemic variability as a prognostic factor after acute ischemic stroke

INTRODUCTION

Glycaemic variability (GV) refers to variations in blood glucose levels, and may affect stroke outcomes. This study aims to assess the effect of GV on acute ischaemic stroke progression.

METHODS

We performed an exploratory analysis of the multicentre, prospective, observational GLIAS-II study. Capillary glucose levels were measured every 4 hours during the first 48 hours after stroke, and GV was defined as the standard deviation of the mean glucose values. The primary outcomes were mortality and death or dependency at 3 months. Secondary outcomes were in-hospital complications, stroke recurrence, and the impact of the route of insulin administration on GV.

RESULTS

A total of 213 patients were included. Higher GV values were observed in patients who died (n = 16; 7.8%; 30.9 mg/dL vs 23.3 mg/dL; p = 0.05). In a logistic regression analysis adjusted for age and comorbidity, both GV (OR = 1.03; 95% CI, 1.003-1.06; p = 0.03) and stroke severity (OR = 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04-1.2; p = 0.004) were independently associated with mortality at 3 months. No association was found between GV and the other outcomes. Patients receiving subcutaneous insulin showed higher GV than those treated with intravenous insulin (38.95 mg/dL vs 21.34 mg/dL; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

High GV values during the first 48 hours after ischaemic stroke were independently associated with mortality. Subcutaneous insulin may be associated with higher VG levels than intravenous administration.

Alpha-1-microglobulin: Prognostic value in chronic kidney disease

OBJECTIVES

α1-microglobulin (α1M) is a tubular protein used for detecting acute lesions of proximal tubules. This study evaluated the use of urine α1M excretion as a marker of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression and life survival.

DESIGN AND METHODS

In all 163 patients were recruited (90 men), mean age 61.6±16.4 years. Urinary α1M was evaluated using an immunonephelometric assay. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to urinary α1M excretion (cut-off value: 32.85mg/24h).

RESULTS

End stage renal disease-free survival was 94.2% at 5 years for patients with lower α1M. For patients in the highest percentile, renal function survival was 72.7% (P=.011). Life survival was 94.4% for patients with α1M in the lower percentiles. For patients in the upper percentile, live survival was 54.2% (P=.001). The Cox regression analysis showed an independent association of CKD progression with high α1M excretion (P=.043).

CONCLUSIONS

α1M urinary excretion was associated with faster CKD progression and higher mortality. Further studies are needed to determine whether the association between α1M urinary excretion and excess mortality risk represents a causal link.

Neurosarcoidosis: Analysis of a series of 20 patients

INTRODUCTION

Neurosarcoidosis is a rare complication of sarcoidosis. There are small series on the condition and very few from Spain. We conducted a retrospective study of neurosarcoidosis in Virgen de la Victoria Hospital over the last 10 years.

PATIENTS AND METHOD

the medical records of patients diagnosed with sarcoidosis in our setting in the last 10 years were reviewed.

RESULTS

One hundred twenty patients with sarcoidosis, 20 patients with probable neurosarcoidosis: 30% at the beginning of the illness, 55% later, 15% had isolated neurosarcoidosis. Forty percent had polyneuropathy, 15% cranial neuropathy, 15% myopathy, 10% hemispheric symptoms. OTHERS: headache, myelitis, seizures, confusional syndrome. They were treated with steroids, some of them with immunosuppressive treatment. Seventy-two percent improved or were stabilized. Therefore, neurosarcoidosis prevalence in our hospital was 11%, similar to other published series, with similar features, but polyneuropathy was more frequent. Early diagnosis is very important as prognosis is favourable with treatment.

Association of serum soluble Fas concentrations and mortality of septic patients

INTRODUCTION

Scarce data on Fas, one of the main receptors that activates the apoptosis extrinsic pathway, in septic patients exists. Higher blood soluble Fas (sFas) concentrations in non-survivor septic patients compared with survivors have been found in small studies; however, the association of blood sFas concentrations with mortality controlling for sepsis severity has not been stablished due to this small sample size in those studies. Thus, our main objective study was to determine whether an association between blood sFas concentrations and sepsis mortality controlling for sepsis severity exists.

METHODS

We included septic patients in this observational and prospective study carried out in three Spanish Intensive Care Units. We obtained serum samples at sepsis diagnosis sepsis for sFas levels determination.

RESULTS

Thirty-day non-surviving patients (n=85) compared to surviving patients (n=151) had higher serum sFas levels (p<0.001). We found in multiple logistic regression analysis an association of serum sFas levels with mortality controlling for age and SOFA (OR=1.004; 95% CI=1.002-1.006; p<0.001), and for age and APACHE-II (OR=1.004; 95% CI=1.002-1.006; p<0.001). Serum sFas levels showed and area under the curve for mortality prediction of 71% (95% CI=65-71%; p<0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed higher mortality rate in patients with serum sFas levels>83.5ng/mL (Hazard ratio=3.2; 95% CI=2.1-5.0; p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

That an association between blood sFas concentrations and sepsis mortality controlling for sepsis severity exists was our main new finding study.

Clinical and Histologic Features of Multiple Primary Melanoma in a Series of 31 Patients

BACKGROUND

We reviewed all cases of multiple primary melanoma diagnosed at our department over a 32-year period (1987-2019) to better characterize this subgroup of patients and develop a tailored protocol to offer them closer follow-up.

METHODS

Retrospective, observational, descriptive study of patients diagnosed with multiple primary melanoma at a tertiary care hospital between January 1987 and March 2019. We collected clinical, epidemiologic, and histologic characteristics of primary and subsequent melanomas and performed a descriptive analysis.

RESULTS

Thirty-one patients (15 men and 16 women) with a median age of 67years (range, 36-85years) were included. Second primary melanomas were diagnosed after a median of 2years (range, 0-4years). The median number of melanomas per patient was 2 (range, 2-6). Twenty-three of the 31 patients, 25 had 2 primary melanomas (80%), 4 had 3 melanomas (13%), and 2 patients each had 5 and 6 primary melanomas. Subsequent melanomas were less invasive than the initial primary melanomas. Median Breslow thickness was 1mm (range, 0.67-4mm) for the first primary melanoma and 0.5mm (range, 0.32-2.42mm) for subsequent melanomas.

CONCLUSIONS

Subsequent melanomas are thinner than primary melanomas. We observed an increase in the number of cases of multiple primary melanoma diagnosed in the last 2years of our study. Our findings highlight the importance of close, long-term follow-up of patients.

The role of preoperative albumin to globulin ratio in predicting prognosis in testicular cancer patients

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

In recent years, the incidence of testicular cancer has increased, but mortality rates have decreased thanks to the improvements in treatment. Although primary tumor characteristics and serum tumor markers are associated with metastasis and relapse, their predictive value is not reliable. Therefore, there is a need for new biomarkers that predict prognosis. In this study, we aimed to investigate the role of preoperative albumin to globulin ratio (AGR) in predicting retroperitoneal lymph node (RPLN) involvement, distant metastasis and prognosis in testicular cancer.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of all patients that underwent radical inguinal orchiectomy at our hospital between 2007 and 2018. AGR was calculated using the equation: AGR=serum albumin/(serum total protein-serum albumin). The predictive value of AGR for RPLN involvement and distant metastasis was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic analysis and its prognostic value was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 115 patients with a mean age of 33.4±7.7years were included in the study. In multivariate analysis, AGR less than 1.47 and the presence of lymphovascular invasion were detected as the factors predicting RPLN involvement and distant metastasis. The AGR of patients who had died was significantly lower than AGR of those who were alive, 1±0.2 versus 1.6±0.3 (P=.001). In Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, the mean survival of patients with higher AGR (>1.47) was found longer than patients with lower AGR (<1.47).

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative AGR is a biomarker that may be used in predicting RPLN involvement, distant metastasis and prognosis in testicular cancer.

Prognostic value of lung ultrasound in chronic stable ambulatory heart failure patients

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

The role of lung ultrasound (LUS) in acute heart failure (HF) has been widely studied, but little is known about its usefulness in chronic HF. This study assessed the prognostic value of LUS in a cohort of chronic HF stable ambulatory patients.

METHODS

We included consecutive outpatients who attended a scheduled follow-up visit in a HF clinic. LUS was performed in situ. The operators were blinded to clinical data and examined 8 thoracic areas. The sum of B-lines across all lung zones and the quartiles of this addition were used for the analyses. Linear regression and Cox regression analyses were performed. The main clinical outcomes were a composite of all-cause death or hospitalization for HF and mortality from any cause.

RESULTS

A total of 577 individuals were included (72% men; 69± 12 years). The mean number of B-lines was 5±6. During a mean follow-up of 31±7 months, 157 patients experienced the main clinical outcome and 111 died. Having ≥ 8 B-lines (Q4) doubled the risk of experiencing the composite primary event (P <.001) and increased the risk of death from any cause by 2.6-fold (P <.001). On multivariate analysis, the total sum of B-lines remained independent predictive factor of the composite endpoint (HR, 1.04; 95%CI, 1.02-1.06; P=.002) and of all-cause death (HR, 1.04; 95%CI, 1.02-1.07; P=.001), independently of whether or not N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) was included in the model (P=.01 and P=.008, respectively), with a 3% to 4% increased risk for each 1-line addition.

CONCLUSIONS

LUS identified patients with stable chronic HF at high risk of death or HF hospitalization.

Clinical characteristics and prognosis of spinal cord injury in individuals over 75 years old

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the incidence and characteristics of traumatic spinal cord injury (SCI) in geriatric population of Galicia (Spain), hospital management and functional prognosis.

METHODS

Comparative retrospective study. Patients admitted with acute traumatic SCI during the time period between January 2010 and December 2016 were included. Two groups established: The elderly over and under 75 years of age, with the latter acting as a control group.

RESULTS

Three hundred seventy-nine patients were studied (27.2% ≥75 years). The main etiology in the >75 years group were falls: 80.6%. There were 65.7% who presented incomplete spinal cord injuries with mean motor index (MI) of 44.9/100. Upon discharge, 90.8% were dependent. Hospital mortality was 34.9%. Those >75 years suffered from more cervical injuries (74.8 vs. 51.2%; p<0.001), longer delay in diagnosis (31.1 vs. 9.2%; p<0.001) and higher hospital mortality (34.9 vs. 3.2%; p<0.001). Fewer surgical interventions were performed, with a longer delay. Percentages for admission into ICU, mechanical ventilation and performing a tracheostomy proved to be similar. There were no significant differences found in the evolution according to the ASIA scale or the MI.

CONCLUSIONS

1) The frequency of traumatic SCI in the elderly in Galicia is high; 2) Neurological evolution is similar to younger patients but the level of dependence is higher; 3) The level of care provided is similar in both groups, except for the surgical indication, and 4) Hospital mortality is high.

Spanish Influenza Score (SIS): Usefulness of machine learning in the development of an early mortality prediction score in severe influenza

OBJECTIVE

To develop a mortality prediction score (Spanish Influenza Score [SIS]) for patients with severe influenza considering only variables at ICU admission, and compare its performance respect of Random Forest (RF).

DESIGN

Sub-analysis from the GETGAG/SEMICYUC database.

SCOPE

Intensive Care Medicine.

PATIENTS

Patients admitted to 184 Spanish ICUs (2009-2018) with influenza infection Intervention: None.

VARIABLES

Demographic data, severity of illness, times from symptoms onset until hospital admission (Gap-H), hospital to ICU (Gap-ICU) or hospital to diagnosis (Gap-Dg), antiviral vaccination, number of quadrants infiltrated, acute renal failure, invasive or noninvasive ventilation, shock and comorbidities. The study variable cut-off points and importance were obtained automatically. Logistic regression analysis with cross-validation was performed to develop the SIS score using the output coefficients. Accuracy and discrimination (AUC-ROC) were applied to evaluate SIS and RF. All analyses were performed using R (CRAN-R Project).

RESULTS

A total of 3959 patients were included. The mean age was 55 years (range 43-67), 60% were men, APACHE II 16 (12-21) and SOFA 5 (4-8), with ICU mortality 21.3%. Mechanical ventilation, shock, APACHE II, SOFA, acute renal failure and Gap-ICU were included in the SIS. The latter was generated according to the ORs obtained by logistic regression, and showed an accuracy of 83% with an AUC-ROC of 82%, similar to RF (AUC-ROC 82%).

CONCLUSIONS

The SIS score is easy to apply and shows adequate capacity to stratify the risk of ICU mortality. However, further studies are needed to validate the tool prospectively.

Should we pay more attention to low creatinine levels?

A review is made of the basic aspects of creatine/creatinine metabolism and the close relationship between creatinine and muscle mass, which makes the former a biochemical marker of the latter. Emphasis is placed on the current prognostic value of both the low urinary excretion of creatinine and low serum creatinine levels in different clinical settings in which sarcopenia probably plays a significant role in morbidity and mortality.

Comparison of predicted and observed mortality in patients with heart failure treated at a specialized unit

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

To analyze survival in heart failure (HF) patients treated at a specialized unit.

METHODS

Prospective cohort-based study of HF patients treated at a specialized unit from 2011 to 2017. Observed 1- and 3-year mortality rates were compared with those predicted by the Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) risk score.

RESULTS

We studied 1280 patients, whose median MAGGIC risk score was 19 [interquartile range, 13-24]. Prescription rates of beta-blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin II receptor blockers, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, and sacubitril-valsartan were 93%, 67%, 22%, 73%, and 16%, respectively. The MAGGIC risk score showed good discrimination for mortality at 1 year (c-statistic=0.71) and 3 years (c-statistic=0.76). Observed mortality was significantly lower than predicted mortality, both at 1 year (6.2% vs 10.9%; observed/predicted ratio=0.57; P<.001) and at 3 years (16.7% vs 27.7%; observed/predicted ratio=0.60; P<.001). This discrepancy was found in several subgroups, except in patients aged> 70 years (29.9% vs 34.7%; observed/predicted ratio=0.86; P=.126) and in patients with ejection fraction> 40% (19.6% vs 20.7%; observed/predicted ratio=0.95; P=.640).

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality in HF patients treated at a specialized clinic was significantly lower than that predicted by the MAGGIC risk score.

Ki-67 labelling index is related to the risk classification and prognosis of gastrointestinal stromal tumours: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Gastrointestinal stromal tumours (GISTs) are the most common mesenchymal tumours of the digestive tract with malignant potential. The current risk classification standard is unable to accurately evaluate the invasiveness and clinical outcomes of GISTs. Ki-67 labelling index (LI) may be an effective indicator in assessing tumour invasiveness and prognosis, however, its exact value in GISTs is still uncertain. The aims of our study were to evaluate the correlation of the Ki-67 LI and clinicopathological features of GISTs and to assess the potential value of the Ki-67 LI in GISTs classification and prognosis.

METHODS

The clinical, pathological and prognostic data were collected and analysed to identify the independent influential factors of GISTs risk stratification and the predictors of GISTs prognosis.

RESULTS

The Ki-67 LI was significantly associated with the clinicopathological features of tumour progression (P<0.05). It was an independent influential factor of GISTs risk classification (odds ratio: 1.322; 95% confidence interval: 1.031-1.696) (P=0.028), and the area under the curve (AUC) value of the Ki-67 LI on the discrimination ability of GISTs risk stratification was 0.906 (P<0.001). The optimal cutoff value of the Ki-67 LI was 6% (sensitivity of 87.5% and specificity of 76.2%), and patients with Ki-67 LI≥6% exhibited significantly poorer progression-free survival (PFS) than those with Ki-67 LI<6% (P<0.001). The AUC value of the Ki-67 LI for predicting PFS in postoperative patients was 0.813 (P=0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

The Ki-67 LI has appreciated value to predict the risk grade and prognosis of GISTs. Patients with Ki-67 LI≥6% are prone to recurrence and metastasis after operation and may need a close follow-up.

The relationship between history of thyroid diseases and risk of in-hospital cardiovascular outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: Findings From the CCC-AF (Improving Care for Cardiovascular Disease in China-Atrial Fibrillation) Project

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has the close relation to thyroid dysfunction and these two diseases lead to poor cardiovascular outcomes. But the prognostic value of thyroid diseases in AF remains unclear. We aimed to determine whether history of thyroid diseases is associated with risk of in-hospital cardiovascular outcomes in AF.

METHODS

Based on the data from the CCC-AF (Improving Care for Cardiovascular Diseases in China-Atrial Fibrillation) project, 31,486 inpatients with a definitive diagnosis of AF and record of history of thyroid diseases were included. Logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate the relationship between history of thyroid diseases and risk of in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in AF.

RESULTS

Among AF patients, 503 (1.6%) had a history of hypothyroidism, 642 (2.0%) had a history of hyperthyroidism and 30,341 (96.4%) had no thyroid dysfunction. During this hospitalization, 5146 (16.3%) AF patients suffered from MACE. The incidence was 13.1% in hypothyroidism, 16.3% in euthyroidism and 19.0% in hyperthyroidism, in which there was a significant difference among three groups (p=0.028). Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that history of hypothyroidism decreased but history of hyperthyroidism increased the risk of in-hospital MACE in AF patients (adjusted odds ratio [OR]=0.603; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.449-0.811; p=0.001 versus adjusted OR=1.327; 95% CI, 1.060-1.661; p=0.013).

CONCLUSION

History of hypothyroidism was an independent protective factor, whereas history of hyperthyroidism was an independent risk factor for in-hospital cardiovascular outcomes in AF. Our study indicated that hyperthyroidism should be treated aggressively in order to improve the prognosis of AF.

Beware: Gastrointestinal symptoms can be a manifestation of COVID-19

BACKGROUND

There is an increasing number of reports on the presentation of gastrointestinal symptoms in cases of COVID-19.

AIM

To review the studies reporting gastrointestinal symptoms in COVID-19.

RESULTS

Fifteen articles (2,800 patients) were identified. Gastrointestinal symptom frequency varied from 3.0% to 39.6% and included diarrhea (7.5%), náusea (4.5%), anorexia (4.4%), vomiting (1.3%), abdominal pain (0.5%), and belching/reflux (0.3%). Those symptoms can be the first manifestation of COVID-19, but whether they reflect a better or worse prognosis, is controversial. The potential relation of the angiotensin converting enzyme 2 receptor in the digestive tract as an entry route for the virus is discussed.

CONCLUSION

Gastrointestinal symptoms may be common in COVID-19, in some cases appearing as the first manifestation, even before fever and respiratory symptoms. Therefore, clinicians and gastroenterologists must be aware of those atypical cases during the current pandemic, as well as of the fecal-oral route and corresponding preventive measures.

[COVID-19 and its relationship with hypertension and cardiovascular disease]

La asociación entre patología cardiovascular y mala evolución de la infección por SARS-CoV-2 resulta llamativa. Estudios publicados en diferentes países muestran que la hipertensión, la diabetes, la enfermedad cerebrovascular y la cardiopatía isquémica son marcadamente más frecuentes en los pacientes que requieren cuidados críticos o fallecen por COVID-19. Un posible nexo causal sería el daño y la disfunción miocárdica producidos por el SARS-CoV-2, evidenciado en los frecuentes hallazgos de elevación de la troponina y anormalidades electrocardiográficas.

Por otra parte, existen hipótesis a favor y en contra de un posible efecto deletéreo de los inhibidores de la enzima convertidora y los bloqueantes del receptor de angiotensina 2 en esta patología, no habiendo actualmente evidencia sólida que respalde contundentemente una u otra, resultando impostergable la necesidad de estudios que diluciden este interrogante.

Los pacientes con enfermedad cardiovascular deberían evitar especialmente la exposición al SARS-CoV-2, no automedicarse y consultar rápidamente ante la aparición de síntomas.

Prognostic utility of bedside lung ultrasound before discharge in patients with acute heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The utility of lung ultrasound as a prognostic tool for patients with acute heart failure is well known, but most studies have been conducted in mixed groups of patients with preserved and reduced ejection fraction. While some subgroup analysis suggests that lung ultrasound is useful regardless of ejection fraction, no specific studies have addressed this question. Our objective is to determine the utility of bedside lung ultrasound as a prognostic tool for patients with preserved ejection fraction, acute heart failure.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Prospective cohort study with 3-month follow-up after bedside lung ultrasound before discharge in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. The number of Blines was determined. Two groups were formed: less than 15Blines (unexposed) and 15Blines or more (exposed). They were compared in terms of readmission and death attributable to worsening heart failure.

RESULTS

The exposed group was at higher risk of readmission (HR: 2.39; 95%CI: 1.12-5.12; P=.024), even after multivariable adjustment (HR: 2.46; 95%CI: 1.11-5.46, P=.03). Differences between groups in terms of mortality were not statistically significant (HR: 1.28; 95%CI: .23-6.98).

CONCLUSION

Subclinical congestion evaluated with lung ultrasound before discharge is associated with worse prognosis in patients with acute heart failure and preserved ejection fraction. Patients with 15Blines are 2.5times more likely to be readmitted for acute heart failure than less congestive patients.