Lifetime and 10-year risks of cardiovascular mortality in relation to risk factors in middle and old age: 50-year follow-up of the Whitehall study of London Civil Servants

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related mortality has declined substantially in the United Kingdom (UK) in recent decades, but the continued relevance of conventional risk factors for prediction of CVD mortality throughout the life-course is uncertain. We compared the 10-year risks and lifetime risks of CVD mortality associated with conventional risk factors recorded in middle and old age.

METHODS

The Whitehall study was a prospective study of 19,019 male London civil servants (mean age 52 years) when enrolled in 1967-1970 and followed-up for 50 years for cause-specific mortality. In 1997, 7044 (83%) survivors (mean age 77 years) were re-surveyed. The 10-year and lifetime risks of CVD mortality were estimated by levels of CVD risk factors recorded in middle-age and old-age, respectively.

RESULTS

By July 2020, 97% had died (22%, 51% and 80% before age 70, 80 and 90 years, respectively) and 7944 of 17,673 deaths (45%) were from CVD. The 10-year and lifetime risks of CVD death increased linearly with higher levels of CVD risk factors recorded in middle-age and in old-age. Individuals in the top versus bottom 5% of CVD risk scores in middle age had a 10.3% (95% CI:7.2-13.4) vs 0.6% (0.1-1.2) 10-year risk of CVD mortality, a 61.4% (59.4-65.3) vs 31.3% (24.1-34.5) lifetime risk of CVD mortality and a 12-year difference in life expectancy from age 50 years. The corresponding differences using a CVD risk score in old-age were 11.0% (4.4-17.5) vs 0.8% (0.0-2.2) for 10-year risk and 42.1% (28.2-50.0) vs 30.3% (6.0-38.0) for lifetime risk of CVD mortality and a 6-year difference in life expectancy from age 70 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Conventional risk factors remained highly predictive of CVD mortality and life expectancy through the life-course. The findings highlight the relevance of estimation of both lifetime risks of CVD and 10-year risks of CVD for primary prevention of CVD.

Cardiovascular mortality risk in patients with ovarian cancer: a population-based study

OBJECTIVES

Ovarian cancer (OC) can occur at different ages and is affected by a variety of factors. In order to evaluate the risk of cardiovascular mortality in patients with ovarian cancer, we included influencing factors including age, histological type, surgical method, chemotherapy, whether distant metastasis, race and developed a nomogram to evaluate the ability to predict occurrence. At present, we have not found any correlation studies on cardiovascular death events in patients with ovarian cancer. This study was designed to provide targeted measures for effective prevention of cardiovascular death in patients with ovarian cancer.

METHODS

Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable Cox proportional model were performed to evaluate the effectiveness of cardiovascular diseases on overall survival (OS) and ovarian cancer-specific survival (OCSS). We compared multiple groups including clinical, demographic, therapeutic characteristics and histological types. Cox risk regression analysis, Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and propensity score matching were employed for analyzing the data.

RESULTS

A total of 88,653 ovarian cancer patients were collected, of which 2,282 (2.57%) patients died due to cardiovascular-related diseases. Age, chemotherapy and whether satisfactory cytoreduction surgery is still the most important factors affecting the prognosis of ovarian cancer patients, while different histological types, diagnosis time, and race also have a certain impact on the prognosis. The newly developed nomogram model showed excellent predictive performance, with a C-index of 0.759 (95%CI: 0.757-0.761) for the group. Elderly patients with ovarian cancer are still a high-risk group for cardiovascular death [HR: 21.07 (95%CI: 5.21-85.30), p < 0.001]. The calibration curve showed good agreement from predicted survival probabilities to actual observations.

CONCLUSION

This study found that age, histology, surgery, race, chemotherapy, and tumor metastasis are independent prognostic factors for cardiovascular death in patients with ovarian cancer. The nomogram-based model can accurately predict the OS of ovarian cancer patients. It is expected to inform clinical decision-making and help develop targeted treatment strategies for this population.

Effects of the stress hyperglycemia ratio on long-term mortality in patients with triple-vessel disease and acute coronary syndrome

AIMS

Risk assessment for triple-vessel disease (TVD) remain challenging. Stress hyperglycemia represents the regulation of glucose metabolism in response to stress, and stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is recently found to reflect true acute hyperglycemic status. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of SHR and its role in risk stratification in TVD patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

METHODS

A total of 3812 TVD patients with ACS with available baseline SHR measurement were enrolled from two independent centers. The endpoint was cardiovascular mortality. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association between SHR and cardiovascular mortality. The SYNTAX (Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) II (SSII) was used as the reference model in the model improvement analysis.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 5.1 years, 219 (5.8%) TVD patients with ACS suffered cardiovascular mortality. TVD patients with ACS with high SHR had an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality after robust adjustment for confounding (high vs. median SHR: adjusted hazard ratio 1.809, 95% confidence interval 1.160-2.822, P = 0.009), which was fitted as a J-shaped pattern. The prognostic value of the SHR was found exclusively among patients with diabetes instead of those without diabetes. Moreover, addition of SHR improved the reclassification abilities of the SSII model for predicting cardiovascular mortality in TVD patients with ACS.

CONCLUSIONS

The high level of SHR is associated with the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality in TVD patients with ACS, and is confirmed to have incremental prediction value beyond standard SSII. Assessment of SHR may help to improve the risk stratification strategy in TVD patients who are under acute stress.

Association between triglyceride-glucose related indices with the all-cause and cause-specific mortality among the population with metabolic syndrome

BACKGROUND

Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index has been determined to play a role in the onset of metabolic syndrome (MetS). Whether the TyG index and TyG with the combination of obesity indicators are associated with the clinical outcomes of the MetS population remains unknown.

METHOD

Participants were extracted from multiple cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) between 1999 and 2018 years. Three indicators were constructed including TyG index, TyG combining with waist circumference (TyG-WC), and TyG combining with waist-to-height ratio (TyG-WHtR). The MetS was defined according to the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCPE) Adult Treatment Panel III. Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves, restricted cubic splines (RCS), and the Cox proportional hazard model were used to evaluate the associations between TyG-related indices and mortality of the MetS population. The sensitive analyses were performed to check the robustness of the main findings.

RESULTS

There were 10,734 participants with MetS included in this study, with 5,570 females and 5,164 males. The median age of the study population was 59 years old. The multivariate Cox regression analyses showed high levels of TyG-related indices were significantly associated with the all-cause mortality of MetS population [TyG index: adjustedhazard ratio (aHR): 1.36, 95%confidence interval (CI): 1.18-1.56, p < 0.001; TyG-WHtR index: aHR = 1.29, 95%CI: 1.13-1.47, p < 0.001]. Meanwhile, the TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR index were associated with cardiovascular mortality of the MetS population (TyG-WC: aHR = 1.45, 95%CI: 1.13-1.85, p = 0.004; TyG-WHtR: aHR = 1.50 95%CI: 1.17-1.92, p = 0.002). Three TyG-related indices showed consistent significant correlations with diabetes mortality (TyG: aHR = 4.06, 95%CI: 2.81-5.87, p < 0.001; TyG-WC: aHR = 2.55, 95%CI: 1.82-3.58, p < 0.001; TyG-WHtR: aHR = 2.53 95%CI: 1.81-3.54, p < 0.001). The RCS curves showed a non-linear trend between TyG and TyG-WC indices with all-cause mortality (p for nonlinearity = 0.004 and 0.001, respectively). The sensitive analyses supported the positive correlations between TyG-related indices with mortality of the MetS population.

CONCLUSION

Our study highlights the clinical value of TyG-related indices in predicting the survival of the MetS population. TyG-related indices would be the surrogate biomarkers for the follow-up of the MetS population.

Inter-leg systolic blood pressure difference has been associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality: analysis of NHANES 1999-2004

BACKGROUND

Inter-leg systolic blood pressure difference (ILSBPD) has emerged as a novel cardiovascular risk factor. This study aims to investigate the predictive value of ILSBPD on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in general population.

METHODS

We combined three cycles (1999-2004) of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data. Levels of ILSBPD were calculated and divided into four groups based on three cut-off values of 5, 10 and 15mmHg. Time-to-event curves were estimated with the use of the Kaplan-Meier method, and two multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were conducted to assess the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality associated with ILSBPD.

RESULTS

A total of 6 842 subjects were included, with the mean (SD) age of 59.5 (12.8) years. By December 31, 2019, 2 544 and 648 participants were identified all-cause and cardiovascular mortality respectively during a median follow-up of 16.6 years. Time-to-event analyses suggested that higher ILSBPD was associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (logrank, p < 0.001). Every 5mmHg increment of ILSBPD brings about 5% and 7% increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, and individuals with an ILSBPD ≥ 15mmHg were significantly associated with higher incidence of all-cause mortality (HR 1.43, 95%CI 1.18-1.52, p < 0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.73, 95%CI 1.36-2.20, p < 0.001) when multiple confounding factors were adjusted. Subgroup and sensitivity analysis confirmed the relationship.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that the increment of ILSBPD was significantly associated with higher risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in general population.

Risk of heavy metal(loid) compositions in fine particulate matter on acute cardiovascular mortality: a poisson analysis in Anyang, China

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a risk factor of cardiovascular disease. Associations between PM2.5 compositions and cardiovascular disease are a point of special interest but inconsistent. This study aimed to explore the cardiovascular effects of heavy metal(loid) compositions in PM2.5. Data for mortality, air pollutants and meteorological factors in Anyang, China from 2017 to 2021 were collected. Heavy metal(loid) in PM2.5 were monitored and examined monthly. A Case-crossover design was applied to the estimated data set. The interquartile range increase in cadmium (Cd), antimony (Sb) and arsenic (As) at lag 1 was associated with increment of 8.1% (95% CI: 3.3, 13.2), 4.8% (95% CI: 0.2, 9.5) and 3.5% (95% CI: 1.1, 6.0) cardiovascular mortality. Selenium in lag 2 was inversely associated with cerebrovascular mortality (RR = 0.920 95% CI: 0.862, 0.983). Current-day exposure of aluminum was positively associated with mortality from ischemic heart disease (RR = 1.083 95% CI: 1.001, 1.172). Stratified analysis indicated sex, age and season modified the cardiovascular effects of As (P < 0.05). Our study reveals that heavy metal(loid) play key roles in adverse effects of PM2.5. Cd, Sb and As were significant risk factors of cardiovascular mortality. These findings have potential implications for accurate air pollutants control and management to improve public health benefits.

Projecting heat-related cardiovascular mortality burden attributable to human-induced climate change in China

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been found to be particularly vulnerable to climate change and temperature variability. This study aimed to assess the extent to which human-induced climate change contributes to future heat-related CVD burdens.

METHODS

Daily data on CVD mortality and temperature were collected in 161 Chinese communities from 2007 to 2013. The association between heat and CVD mortality was established using a two-stage time-series design. Under the natural forcing, human-induced, and combined scenarios, we then separately projected excess cause-/age-/region-/education-specific mortality from future high temperature in 2010-2100, assuming no adaptation and population changes.

FINDINGS

Under shared socioeconomic pathway with natural forcing scenario (SSP2-4.5-nat), heat-related attributable fraction of CVD deaths decreased slightly from 3.3% [95% empirical confidence interval (eCI): 0.3, 5.8] in the 2010s to 2.8% (95% eCI: 0.1, 5.2) in the 2090s, with relative change of -0.4% (95% eCI: -0.8, 0.0). However, for combined natural and human-induced forcings, this estimate would surge to 8.9% (95% eCI: 1.5, 15.7), 14.4% (95% eCI: 1.5, 25.3), 21.3% (95% eCI: -0.6, 39.4), and 28.7% (95% eCI: -3.3, 48.0) in the 2090s under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively. When excluding the natural forcing, the number of human-induced heat-related CVD deaths would increase from approximately eight thousand (accounting for 31% of total heat-related CVD deaths) in the 2010s to 33,052 (68%), 63,283 (80%), 101,091 (87%), and 141,948 (90%) in the 2090s under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively. Individuals with stroke, females, the elderly, people living in rural areas, and those with lower education level would exhibit heightened susceptibility to future high temperature. In addition, Southern and Eastern regions of China were expected to experience a faster increase in heat-related attributable fraction of CVD deaths.

INTERPRETATION

Human activities would significantly amplify the future burden of heat-related CVD. Our study findings suggested that active adaptation and mitigation measures towards future warming could yield substantial health benefits for the patients with CVD.

FUNDING

National Natural Science Foundation of China.

Comparison of Racial and Ethnic Mortality Disparities among Post-9/11 Veterans with and without Traumatic Brain Injury to the Total U.S. Adult Population

INTRODUCTION

The extent of racial/ethnic disparities and whether they are attenuated in the Veteran population compared to the total US population is not well understood. We aimed to assess racial/ethnic mortality disparities from all-cause, cardiovascular (CVD) and cancer among post-9/11 military Veterans with and without exposure to TBI, compared to the total US population.

METHODS

This cohort study included 2,502,101 US military Veterans (18,932,083 person-years) who served after 09/11/2001 with 3 or more years of care in the Military Health System (MHS); or had 3 or more years of care in the MHS and 2 or more years of care in the Veterans Health Administration. Mortality follow-up occurred from 01/01/2002 to 12/31/2020. Mortality rate ratios (MRR) from negative binomial regression models were reported for racial/ethnic groups compared to White non-Hispanic Veterans for all-cause, CVD and cancer mortality. Veteran MRR were compared to the total US population.

RESULTS

Mortality rates for Black Non-Hispanic Veterans were higher for all-cause (MRR = 1.21;95%CI: 1.13-1.29; p < 0.001), CVD (MRR = 1.78;95%CI: 1.62-1.96; p < 0.001) and cancer (MRR = 1.17;95%CI: 1.10-1.25; p < 0.001) than in White Non-Hispanic Veterans. Among Veterans with TBI, only Black Non-Hispanics had higher mortality than White Non-Hispanics and only for CVD (MRR = 1.32;95%CI: 1.12-1.54; p < 0.001), while CVD mortality was higher among Veterans without TBI (MRR = 1.77;95%CI: 1.63-1.93;p < 0.001). MRR for Black Non-Hispanics in the total US population, were consistently higher than those in the Veteran population for all-cause (MRR = 1.52;95%CI: 1.46-1.58; p < 0.001), CVD (MRR = 2.03;95%CI: 1.95-2.13; p < 0.001) and cancer (MRR = 1.26;95%CI: 1.22-1.30; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

This Veteran cohort experienced less racial/ethnic disparity in mortality than the total US population, especially among Veterans with TBI.

Risk factors for and risk of all-cause and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease mortality in people with type 2 diabetes and peripheral artery disease: an observational, register-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) and peripheral artery disease (PAD) are recognized as independent risk factors contributing to excess mortality. Contemporary observational studies exploring the associations of risk factors, and risk of all-cause and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease mortality in persons with T2D following the onset of incident peripheral artery disease are limited. The objectives of this study were to investigate the associations of risk factors, and assess mortality risks in people with T2D compared with controls without T2D after the onset of PAD.

METHODS

All persons with T2D (n = 150,215) registered in the Swedish National Diabetes Register between 2005 and 2009 were included, along with 346,423 controls without T2D matched for sex and age. Data were retrieved from several national registries, capturing information on risk factors, onset of incident peripheral artery disease, other comorbidities, socioeconomic factors, and outcomes. To compare persons with T2D and controls following the onset of peripheral artery disease regarding the risk of all-cause, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease mortality, Cox proportional hazard models and Kaplan-Meier curves were employed. A gradient-boosting model was utilized to estimate the relative statistical contribution of risk factors to the modeling of incident mortality risk in people with both T2D and peripheral artery disease.

RESULTS

Crude rates of incident all-cause mortality were higher in individuals with T2D compared with controls, following the onset of PAD (600.4 (95% CI, 581.4-619.8) per 10,000 person-years versus 549.1 (95% CI, 532.1-566.5) per 10,000 person-years). Persons with T2D had an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality of 1.12 (95% CI, 1.05-1.19, P < 0.01) compared with controls after onset of incident PAD. The comparable adjusted HR for cardiovascular mortality was 1.13 (95% CI, 1.07-1.19, P < 0.01). High age and hyperglycemia at baseline played a significant role in contributing to the predictive models for incident all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among individuals with both T2D and PAD.

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of T2D with concomitant PAD is related to an increased risk of both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality compared with individuals with only PAD. This argues for implementing optimized and intensive treatment strategies for individuals with both conditions.

Short-term associations between fine particulate air pollution and cardiovascular and respiratory mortality in 337 cities in Latin America

Ambient air pollution is a health concern in Latin America given its large urban population exposed to levels above recommended guidelines. Yet no studies have examined the mortality impact of air pollutants in the region across a wide range of cities. We assessed whether short-term levels of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) from modeled estimates, are associated with cardiovascular and respiratory mortality among adults in 337 cities from 9 Latin American countries. We compiled mortality, PM2.5 and temperature data for the period 2009-2015. For each city, we evaluated the association between monthly changes in PM2.5 and cardiovascular and respiratory mortality for sex and age subgroups using Poisson models, adjusted for seasonality, long-term trend, and temperature. To accommodate possibly different associations of mortality with PM2.5 by age, we included interaction terms between changes in PM2.5 and age in the models. We combined the city-specific estimates using a random effects meta-regression to obtain mortality relative risks for each sex and age group. We analyzed 3,026,861 and 1,222,623 cardiovascular and respiratory deaths, respectively, from a study population that represents 41 % of the total population of Latin America. We observed that a 10 μg/m3 increase in monthly PM2.5 is associated with an increase of 1.3 % (95 % confidence interval [CI], 0.4 to 2.2) in cardiovascular mortality and a 0.9 % increase (95 % CI -0.6 to 2.4) in respiratory mortality. Increases in mortality risk ranged between -0.5 % to 3.0 % across 6 sex-age groups, were larger in men, and demonstrated stronger associations with cardiovascular mortality as age increased. Socioeconomic, environmental and health contexts in Latin America are different than those present in higher income cities from which most evidence on air pollution impacts is drawn. Locally generated evidence constitutes a powerful instrument to engage civil society and help drive actions to mitigate and control ambient air pollution.

Impact of weighting on the association between sociodemographic characteristics, health behaviours and cancer, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in the Australian 45 and Up Study

BACKGROUND

Weighting can improve study estimate representativeness. We examined the impact of weighting on associations between participants' characteristics and cancer, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in the Australian 45 and Up Study cohort.

METHODS

Raking weighted cohort data to the 2006 Australian population for seven sociodemographic characteristics. Deaths were ascertained via linkage to routinely collected data. Cox's proportional hazards regression quantified associations between 11 sociodemographic and health characteristics and cancer, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. The ratios of hazard ratios (RHRs) compared unweighted and weighted estimates.

RESULTS

Among 195,052 included participants (median follow-up 11.4 years), there were 7200 cancer, 5912 cardiovascular and 21,840 all-cause deaths. Overall, 102/111 (91.9%) weighted HRs did not differ significantly from unweighted HRs (100%, 86.5% and 89.2% of 37 HRs for cancer, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality, respectively). Significant differences included a somewhat stronger association between single/widowed/divorced (versus married/de-facto) and cardiovascular mortality (unweighted HR=1.25 (95%CI:1.18-1.32), weighted HR=1.33 (95%CI:1.24-1.42), RHR=1.06 (95%CI:1.02-1.11)); and between no school certificate/qualification (versus university degree) and all-cause mortality (unweighted HR=1.21 (95%CI:1.15-1.27), weighted HR=1.28 (95%CI:1.19-1.38), RHR=1.06 (95%CI:1.03-1.10)).

CONCLUSION

Our results support the generalisability of most estimates of associations in the 45 and Up Study, particularly in relation to cancer mortality. Slight distortion of a few associations with cardiovascular or all-cause mortality were observed.

Cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in lean vs. non-lean MASLD: A comprehensive meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Lean metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), characterized by a BMI < 25 kg/m² (or < 23 kg/m² in Asians), presents a challenging prognosis compared to non-lean MASLD. This study examines cardiovascular outcomes in both lean and non-lean MASLD cohorts.

METHODS

In this meta-analysis, pooled odds ratios (ORs) within 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for primary outcomes (cardiovascular mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events [MACE]) and secondary outcomes (cardiovascular disease [CVD], all-cause mortality, hypertension, and dyslipidemia). Studies comparing lean and non-lean MASLD within the same cohorts were analyzed, prioritizing those with larger sample sizes or recent publication dates.

RESULTS

Twenty-one studies were identified, encompassing lean MASLD patients (n = 7153; mean age 52.9 ± 7.4; 56 % male) and non-lean MASLD patients (n = 23,514; mean age 53.2 ± 6.8; 63 % male). Lean MASLD exhibited a 50 % increase in cardiovascular mortality odds compared to non-lean MASLD (OR: 1.5, 95 % CI 1.2-1.8; p < 0.0001). MACE odds were 10 % lower in lean MASLD (OR: 0.9, 95 % CI 0.7-1.2; p = 0.7), while CVD odds were 40 % lower (p = 0.01). All-cause mortality showed a 40 % higher odds in lean MASLD versus non-lean MASLD (p = 0.06). Lean MASLD had 30 % lower odds for both hypertension (p = 0.01) and dyslipidemia (p = 0.02) compared to non-lean MASLD.

CONCLUSION

Despite a favorable cardiometabolic profile and comparable MACE rates, lean individuals with MASLD face elevated cardiovascular mortality risk.

Evaluating the predictive value of late gadolinium enhancement assessed by cardiac magnetic resonance on sudden cardiac death in patients selected for implantable cardioverter defibrillator and cardiac resynchronization therapy implantation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS

Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) assessed by cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) can evaluate myocardial scar associated with a higher risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD), which can guide the selection between cardiac resynchronization therapy with or without a defibrillator (CRT-P/CRT-D). Our aim was to investigate the association between LGE and SCD risk in patients with CRT using the LGE-CMR technique.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a systematic literature search using four databases. The target population was CRT candidates. The primary endpoint was SCD. The risk of bias was assessed using the QUIPS tool. Fifteen eligible articles were included with a total of 2494 patients, of whom 27%, 56%, and 19% had an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD), CRT-D, and CRT-P, respectively. Altogether, 54.71% of the cohort was LGE positive, who had a 72% higher risk for SCD (HR 1.72; 95% CI 1.18-2.50) compared to LGE negatives. In non-ischemic patients, the proportion of LGE positivity was 46.6%, with a significantly higher risk for SCD as compared to LGE negatives (HR 2.42; 95% CI 1.99-2.94). The subgroup of CRT-only patients showed no difference between the LGE-positive vs. negative candidates (HR 1.17; 95% CI 0.82-1.68). Comparable SCD risk was observed between articles with short- (OR 7.47; 95% CI 0.54-103.12) vs. long-term (OR 6.15; 95% CI 0.96-39.45) follow-up time.

CONCLUSION

LGE-CMR positivity was associated with an increased SCD risk; however, in CRT candidates, the difference in risk reduction between LGE positive vs. negative patients was statistically not significant, suggesting a role of reverse remodeling. LGE-CMR before device implantation could be crucial in identifying high-risk patients even in non-ischemic etiology.

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among individuals with hypertension

BACKGROUND

Identifying reliable prognostic markers is crucial for the effective management of hypertension. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has emerged as a potential inflammatory marker linked to cardiovascular outcomes. This study aims to investigate the association of NLR with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among patients with hypertension.

METHODS

This study analyzed data from 3067 hypertensive adults in the National Health and Nutritional Examination Surveys (NHANES) from 2009 to 2014. Mortality details were obtained from the National Death Index (NDI). Restricted cubic spline (RCS) was deployed to visualize the association of the NLR with mortality risk. Weighted Cox proportional hazards models were employed to assess the independent association of NLR with mortality risk. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was conducted to access the predictive ability of NLR for survival. Mediation analysis was used to explore the indirect impact of NLR on mortality mediated through eGFR.

RESULTS

Over a median 92.0-months follow-up, 538 deaths occurred, including 114 cardiovascular deaths. RCS analysis revealed a positive association between NLR and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Participants were stratified into higher (> 3.5) and lower (≤ 3.5) NLR groups. Weighted Cox proportional hazards models demonstrated that individuals with higher NLR had a significantly increased risk of all-cause (HR 1.96, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.52-2.52, p < 0.0001) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 2.33, 95% CI 1.54-3.51, p < 0.0001). Stratified and interaction analysis confirmed the stability of the core results. Notably, eGFR partially mediated the association between NLR and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality by a 5.4% and 4.7% proportion, respectively. Additionally, the areas under the curve (AUC) of the 3-, 5- and 10- year survival was 0.68, 0.65 and 0.64 for all-cause mortality and 0.68, 0.70 and 0.69 for cardiovascular mortality, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Elevated NLR independently confers an increased risk for both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in individuals with hypertension.

Race, Social Determinants of Health, and Risk of All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality in the United States

OBJECTIVE

To examine the independent and interdependent effects of race and social determinants of health (SDoH) and risk of all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in the US.

DATA SOURCE/STUDY DESIGN

Secondary analysis of pooled data for 252,218 participants of the 2006-2018 National Health Interview Survey, linked to the National Death Index.

METHODS

Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) were reported for non-Hispanic White (NHW) and non-Hispanic Black (NHB) individuals overall, and by quintiles of SDoH burden, with higher quintiles representing higher cumulative social disadvantage (SDoH-Qx). Survival analysis was used to examine the association between race, SDoH-Qx, and all-cause and CVD mortality.

FINDINGS

AAMRs for all-cause and CVD mortality were higher for NHB and considerably higher at higher levels of SDoH-Qx, however, with similar mortality rates at any given level of SDoH-Qx. In multivariable models, NHB experienced 20-25% higher mortality risk relative to NHW (aHR = 1.20-1.26); however, no association was observed after adjusting for SDoH. In contrast, higher SDoH burden was associated with up to nearly threefold increased risk of all-cause (aHR, Q5 vs Q1 = 2.81) and CVD mortality (aHR, Q5 vs Q1 = 2.90); the SDoH effect was observed similarly for NHB (aHR, Q5:all-cause mortality = 2.38; CVD mortality = 2.58) and NHW (aHR, Q5:all-cause mortality = 2.87; CVD mortality = 2.93) subgroups. SDoH burden mediated 40-60% of the association between NHB race and mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings highlight the critical role of SDoH as upstream drivers of racial inequities in all-cause and CVD mortality. Population level interventions focused on addressing adverse SDoH experienced by NHB individuals may help mitigate persistent disparities in mortality in the US.

Amiodarone-induced thyrotoxicosis: Should surgery be considered?

Amiodarone is the most widely prescribed antiarrhythmic drug worldwide, but induces thyrotoxicosis or hypothyroidism in 15 to 20% of patients. Hyperthyroidism is less frequent than hypothyroidism, and two types of thyrotoxicosis are distinguished according to presence of underlying thyroid disease. Diagnosis is made in case of low TSH and high levels of T3 and T4. Initial treatment is based on anti-thyroid drugs and/or glucocorticoids. Some patients do not respond to medication, which increases the time spent with hyperthyroidism. A long interval between diagnosis and euthyroidism and low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) are predictive of major adverse cardiovascular events. Here, after describing the current state of knowledge of amiodarone-induced thyrotoxicosis, we analyze the literature on the impact of surgery. We suggest that early surgery should be the first option in case of ineffective medical treatment or LVEF<40%. In expert centers, surgical morbidity is no longer different than in other indications for thyroidectomy.

Association of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in hypertension patients

Background and objective

Hypertension affects over a billion people worldwide and is often associated with poor prognoses. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has become a significant marker, showing a connection to adverse outcomes in cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). The objective of this study is to examine the relationship between the NLR and outcomes in patients with hypertension.

Methods

The study included hypertensive individuals who were surveyed in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2009 to 2018. Mortality status was determined using the data from National Death Index (NDI). To investigate the dose-response relationship, restricted cubic spline (RCS) models were used. This study employed adjusted cox proportional hazards regression models to compute hazard ratios (HRs) and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. The predictive accuracy of the NLR for survival outcomes was assessed utilizing time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

Results

A total of 13,724 participants were included in the final analysis, including 7073 males and 6651 females. The cohort was stratified into higher (>2.0) and lower (≤2.0) NLR groups according to the median value. Over a median follow-up of 64 months, there were 1619 all-cause deaths and 522 cardiovascular deaths among participants. The RCS analysis indicated a non-linear relationship between NLR and the risk of mortality. The adjusted model showed that the group with a higher NLR had a significantly higher risk of all-cause (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.22-1.77) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 2.08, 95% CI 1.52-2.86). ROC analysis showed that the area under the curves (AUCs) of 0.692, 0.662, 0.644, and 0.625 for predicting all-cause mortality, and 0.712, 0.692, 0.687, and 0.660 for cardiovascular mortality at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

Conclusion

Elevated NLR is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality, and NLR may independently predict outcomes in individuals with hypertension.

Longer serum phosphorus time in range associated with lower mortality risk among peritoneal dialysis patients: a multicenter retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Relationship between serum phosphorus time in range and mortality risk in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients remains uncertain. We aimed to evaluate the association between serum phosphorus time in range and all-cause mortality in Chinese PD population.

METHODS

This was a multicenter, retrospective, cohort study of 1,915 patients collected from January 2008 to October 2020 in 4 Chinese centers. Serum phosphorus time in range was estimated as the months during the first year that a patient's serum phosphorus level was within the target range (defined as 1.13-1.78 mmol/L). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. The secondary outcomes were cardiovascular (CV) mortality and PD withdrawal. Cox proportional hazards regression model with comprehensive adjustments was used to assess the association.

RESULTS

The primary outcome occurred in 249 (13.0%) PD patients over a median follow-up of 28 months. Overall, the serum phosphorus time in range was negatively associated with all-cause mortality (per 3-month increments, adjusted HR [aHR], 0.83; 95%CI: 0.75-0.92), CV mortality (per 3-month increments, aHR, 0.87; 95%CI: 0.77-0.99), and PD withdrawal (per 3-month increments, aHR, 0.89; 95%CI: 0.83-0.95). Competing-risk model showed that the relationship of serum phosphorus time in range with all-cause mortality remained stable. None of the variables including demographics, history of diabetes and CV disease, as well as several PD-related and clinical indicators modified this association.

CONCLUSIONS

PD patients with longer serum phosphorus time in range in the first year was negatively associated with all-cause mortality and CV mortality. Our findings highlight the importance of maintaining serum phosphorus levels within 1.13-1.78 mmol/L for PD patients.

Associations of iron metabolism and inflammation with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a large NHANES community sample: Moderating and mediating effects

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

This study aimed to assess the associations between serum iron concentration, C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration and the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in the general population and to explore potential mediating and moderating effects.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study analyzed data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey spanning the years 1999-2010, encompassing 23,634 participants. Cox proportional hazards regression models were employed to investigate the independent associations of serum iron and CRP with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Moderation and mediation analyses explored the moderating effect of CRP on the association between the serum iron concentration and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, and the mediating role of the serum iron concentration in the association between the CRP concentration and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. After multivariate adjustments in the Cox model, serum iron and CRP levels were independently correlated with both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality risk. Moderation analyses revealed a more pronounced correlation between the serum iron concentration and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in participants with higher CRP levels. Mediation analysis indicated that the serum iron concentration partly mediated the impact of CRP on the risk of all-cause mortality (13.79%) and cardiovascular mortality (24.12%).

CONCLUSION

Serum iron and CRP are independently associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Moreover, the associations between serum iron concentrations and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality are more pronounced in individuals with elevated CRP. Serum iron partially mediates the effect of CRP on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Comparing the effects of various β-blockers on cardiovascular mortality in breast cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular (CV) disease is a leading cause of death in breast cancer (BC) patients due to the increased age and treatments. While individual β-blockers have been investigated to manage CV complications, various β-blockers have not been compared for their effects on CV death in this population. We aimed to compare CV mortality in older BC patients taking one of the commonly used β-blockers.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) - Medicare data (2010-2015). Patients of age 66 years or older at BC diagnosis receiving metoprolol, atenolol, or carvedilol monotherapy were included. The competing risk regression model was used to determine the risk of CV mortality in the three β-blocker groups. The multivariable model was adjusted for demographic and clinical covariates. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were reported for the risk of CV mortality.

RESULTS

The study cohort included 6,540 patients of which 55% were metoprolol users, 30% were atenolol users, and 15% were carvedilol users. Metoprolol was associated with a 37% reduced risk of CV mortality (P = 0.03) compared to carvedilol after adjusting for the covariates (HR = 0.63; 95% CI 0.41-0.96). No significant difference in the risk of CV mortality between atenolol and carvedilol users was observed (HR = 0.74; 95% CI 0.44-1.22).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that metoprolol is associated with a reduced risk of CV mortality in BC patients. Future studies are needed to confirm these findings and understand the mechanism of action.

Long-term noise exposures and cardiovascular diseases mortality: A study in 5 U.S. states

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have linked noise exposure with adverse cardiovascular events. However, evidence remains inconsistent, and most previous studies only focused on traffic noise, excluding other anthropogenic sources like constructions, industrial process and commercial activities. Additionally, few studies have been conducted in the U.S. or evaluated the non-linear exposure-response relationships.

METHODS

We conducted a relative incidence analysis study using all cardiovascular diseases mortality as cases (n = 936,019) and external causes mortality (n = 232,491) as contrast outcomes. Mortality records geocoded at residential addresses were obtained from five U.S. states (Indiana, 2007; Kansas, 2007-2009, Missouri, 2010-2019, Ohio, 2007-2013, Texas, 2007-2016). Time-invariant long-term noise exposure was obtained from a validated model developed based on acoustical measurements across 2000-2014. Noises from both natural sources (natural activities, including animals, insects, winds, water flows, thunder, etc.) and anthropogenic sources (human activities, including transportation, industrial activities, community facilities & infrastructures, commercial activities, entertainments, etc.) were included. We used daytime and nighttime total anthropogenic noise & day-night average sound pressure level combining natural and anthropogenic sources as exposures. Logistic regression models were fit controlling for Census tract-level & individual-level characteristics. We examined potential modification by sex by interaction terms and potential non-linear associations by thin plate spline terms.

RESULTS

We observed positive associations for daytime anthropogenic L50 (sound level exceeded 50% of time) noise (10-dBA OR = 1.047, 95%CI 1.025-1.069), nighttime anthropogenic L50 noise (10-dBA OR = 1.061, 95%CI 1.033-1.091) in a two-exposure-term model, and overall Ldn (day-night average) sound pressure level (10-dBA OR = 1.064, 95%CI 1.040-1.089) in single-exposure-term model. Females were more susceptible to all three exposures. All exposures showed monotonic positive associations with cardiovascular mortality up to certain thresholds around 45-55 dBA, with a generally flattened or decreasing trend beyond those thresholds.

CONCLUSIONS

Both daytime anthropogenic and nighttime anthropogenic noises were associated with cardiovascular disease mortality, and associations were stronger in females.

Association of secondhand smoke exposure with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular death in patients with hypertension: Insights from NHANES

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The impact of environmental chemical exposure on blood pressure (BP) is well-established. However, the relationship between secondhand smoke exposure (SHSE) and mortality in hypertensive patients in the general population remains unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This cohort study included US adults in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 2007 to 2018. All-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality outcomes were determined by associating them with the National Death Index records. Cox proportional risk models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for SHSE. The cohort included 10,760 adult participants. The mean serum cotinine level was 0.024 ng/mL. During a mean follow-up period of 76.9 months, there were 1729 deaths, including 469 cardiovascular disease deaths recorded. After adjusting for lifestyle factors, BMI, hypertension duration, medication use, and chronic disease presence, the highest SHSE was significantly associated with higher all-cause and CVD mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates that higher SHSE is significantly associated with higher all-cause mortality and CVD mortality. Further research is necessary to elucidate the underlying mechanisms.

Insulin resistance potentiates the effect of remnant cholesterol on cardiovascular mortality in individuals without diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Remnant cholesterol (RC) and insulin resistance (IR) have been independently associated with cardiovascular risk. Here, we evaluated the role of IR and RC on cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality.

METHODS

We conducted an analysis of 16,113 individuals ≥20 years without diabetes from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES-III/IV). RC levels were calculated using total cholesterol, non-HDL-c, and LDL-c; IR was defined as HOMA2-IR≥2.5 and CVD mortality as a composite of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular mortality. Multiple linear regression was used to assess the relationship between HOMA2-IR and RC and Cox regression models to assess their joint role in CVD mortality. Causally ordered mediation models were used to explore the mediating role of IR in RC-associated CVD mortality.

RESULTS

We identified an association between higher HOMA2-IR and higher RC levels. The effect of IR on CVD mortality was predominant (HR 1.32, 95%CI 1.18-1.48) and decreased at older ages (HR 0.934, 95%CI 0.918-0.959) compared to RC (HR 0.983, 95%CI 0.952-1.014). Higher risk of CVD mortality was observed in individuals with IR but normal RC (HR 1.37, 95%CI 1.25-1.50) and subjects with IR and high RC (HR 1.24, 95%CI 1.13-1.37), but not in subjects without IR but high RC. In mediation models, HOMA2-IR accounted for 78.2% (95%CI 28.11-98.89) of the effect of RC levels on CVD mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that RC potentiates the risk of CVD mortality through its effect on whole-body insulin sensitivity, particularly among younger individuals.

Closing the sex gap in cardiovascular mortality by achieving both horizontal and vertical equity

Addressing sex differences and disparities in coronary heart disease (CHD) involves achieving both horizontal and vertical equity in healthcare. Horizontal equity in the context of CHD means that both men and women with comparable health statuses should have equal access to diagnosis, treatment, and management of CHD. To achieve this, it is crucial to promote awareness among the general public about the signs and symptoms of CHD in both sexes, so that both women and men may seek timely medical attention. Women often face inequity in the treatment of cardiovascular disease. Current guidelines do not differ based on sex, but their applications based on gender do differ. Vertical equity means tailoring healthcare to allow equitable care for all. Steps towards achieving this include developing treatment protocols and guidelines that consider the unique aspects of CHD in women. It also requires implementing guidelines equally, when there is not sex difference rather than inequities in application of guideline directed care.

Investigating the place of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors and dual sodium-glucose cotransporter-1 and dual sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors in heart failure therapy: a systematic review of the literature

Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors have been shown to have significant metabolic, renal, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease benefits. Recent randomized controlled trials have extended these benefits to patients with heart failure. In fact, the robust findings from these studies in patients with any type of heart failure have led to the incorporation of this drug class in currently updated evidence-based guidelines for this condition. However, given the novelty in utilizing these agents in heart failure, there is uncertainty regarding place in therapy and sequencing in treatment. As such, this review aims to summarize existing literature to guide practitioners regarding the use of these agents in the management of heart failure.

Sex differences in the associations between relative fat mass and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality: A population-based prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The novel sex-specific anthropometric equation relative fat mass (RFM) is a new estimator of whole-body fat %. The study aimed to investigate the predictive role of RFM in cardiometabolic abnormalities, cardiovascular disease (CVD), all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, and explored potential sex differences.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The study analyzed data from 26,754 adults in NHANES 1999-2010, with a median follow-up of 13.8 years. The correlation between RFM and body composition as well as fat distribution assessed by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry was investigated. Weighted multivariable generalized linear models, Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline were applied to investigate the predictive role of RFM in metabolic markers, cardiovascular risk factors, CVD, all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. RFM exhibited a robust correlation with both whole-body fat % and trunk fat %. Higher RFM exhibited a stronger association with impaired glucose homeostasis, serum lipids, the incidence of hypertension, and coronary heart disease in males, while a stronger association with C-reactive protein in females. A U-shaped association between RFM and all-cause mortality was observed only in males. The hazard ratio (HR) of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in males increased rapidly when RFM exceeded 30. However, in females, the HR of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality fluctuated until RFM exceeded 45, after which it increased rapidly.

CONCLUSION

RFM was a sex-specific estimator for both general and central obesity, sex-specific differences in predicting cardiometabolic abnormalities and adverse events using RFM might be partially attributed to differences in body composition and fat distribution between sexes.

The prognostic value of the stress hyperglycemia ratio for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with diabetes or prediabetes: insights from NHANES 2005-2018

BACKGROUND

The Stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is a novel marker reflecting the true acute hyperglycemia status and is associated with clinical adverse events. The relationship between SHR and mortality in patients with diabetes or prediabetes is still unclear. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of the SHR for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with diabetes or prediabetes.

METHODS

This study included 11,160 patients diagnosed with diabetes or prediabetes from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2005-2018). The study endpoints were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, and morality data were extracted from the National Death Index (NDI) up to December 31, 2019. Patients were divided into SHR quartiles. Cox proportion hazards regression was applied to determine the prognostic value of SHR. Model 1 was not adjusted for any covariates. Model 2 was adjusted for age, sex, and race. Model 3 was adjusted for age, sex, race, BMI, smoking status, alcohol use, hypertension, CHD, CKD, anemia, and TG.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 84.9 months, a total of 1538 all-cause deaths and 410 cardiovascular deaths were recorded. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed the lowest all-cause mortality incidence was in quartile 3 (P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated that, compared to the 1st quartile, the 4th quartile was associated with higher all-cause mortality (model 1: HR = 0.89, 95% CI 0.74-10.7, P = 0.226; model 2: HR = 1.24, 95% CI 1.03-1.49, P = 0.026; model 3: HR = 1.30, 95% CI 1.08-1.57, P = 0.006). The 3rd quartile was associated with lower cardiovascular mortality than quartile 1 (model 1: HR = 0.47, 95% CI 0.32-0.69, P < 0.001; model 2: HR = 0.66, 95% CI 0.45-0.96, P = 0.032; model 3: HR = 0.68, 95% CI 0.46-0.99, P = 0.049). There was a U-shaped association between SHR and all-cause mortality and an L-shaped association between SHR and cardiovascular mortality, with inflection points of SHR for poor prognosis of 0.87 and 0.93, respectively.

CONCLUSION

SHR is related to all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with diabetes or prediabetes. SHR may have predictive value in those patients.

Social associations and cardiovascular mortality in the United States counties, 2016 to 2020

BACKGROUND

The positive aspects of social interaction on health have been described often, with considerably less attention to their negative aspect. This study aimed to assess the impact of social associations on cardiovascular mortality in the United States.

METHODS

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) data sets from 2016 to 2020 were used to identify death records due to cardiovascular disease in the United States population aged 15 years and older. The social association rate defined as membership associations per 10,000 population, accessed from the 2020 County Health Rankings data was used as a surrogate for social participation. All United States counties were grouped into quartiles based on their social association rate; Q1 being the lowest quartile of social association, and Q4 the highest quartile. Age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) was calculated for each quartile. County health factor rankings for the state of Texas were used to adjust the AAMR for baseline comorbidities of county population, using Gaussian distribution linear regression.

RESULTS

Overall, the AAMR was highest in the 4th social association rate quartile (306.73 [95% CI, 305.72-307.74]) and lowest in the 1st social association rate quartile (266.80 [95% CI, 266.41-267.20]). The mortality rates increased in a linear pattern from lowest to highest social association rate quartiles. After adjustment for the county health factor ranks of Texas, higher social association rate remained associated with a significantly higher AAMR (coefficient 15.84 [95% CI, 12.78-18.89]).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study reported higher cardiovascular AAMR with higher social associations in the United States, with similar results after adjustment for County Health Rankings in the state of Texas.

New-onset syncope in diabetic patients treated with sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors: a Chinese population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Syncope is a symptom that poses an important diagnostic and therapeutic challenge, and generates significant cost for the healthcare system. Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) have demonstrated beneficial cardiovascular effects, but their possible effects on incident syncope have not been fully investigated. This study compared the effects of SGLT2i and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i) on new-onset syncope.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This was a retrospective, territory-wide cohort study enrolling type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients treated with SGLT2i or DPP4i between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2020, in Hong Kong, China. The outcomes were hospitalization of new-onset syncope, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality. Multivariable Cox regression and different approaches using the propensity score were applied to evaluate the association between SGLT2i and DPP4i with incident syncope and mortality. After matching, a total of 37 502 patients with T2DM were included (18 751 SGLT2i users vs. 18 751 DPP4i users). During a median follow-up of 5.56 years, 907 patients were hospitalized for new-onset syncope (2.41%), and 2346 patients died from any cause (6.26%), among which 471 deaths (1.26%) were associated with cardiovascular causes. Compared with DPP4i users, SGLT2i therapy was associated with a 51% lower risk of new-onset syncope [HR 0.49; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.41-0.57; P < 0.001], 65% lower risk of cardiovascular mortality (HR 0.35; 95% CI 0.26-0.46; P < 0.001), and a 70% lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR 0.30; 95% CI 0.26-0.34; P < 0.001) in the fully adjusted model. Similar associations with syncope were observed for dapagliflozin (HR 0.70; 95% CI 0.58-0.85; P < 0.001), canagliflozin (HR 0.48; 95% CI 0.36-0.63; P < 0.001), and ertugliflozin (HR 0.45; 95% CI 0.30-0.68; P < 0.001), but were attenuated for empagliflozin (HR 0.79; 95% CI 0.59-1.05; P = 0.100) after adjusting for potential confounders. The subgroup analyses suggested that, compared with DPP4i, SGLT2i was associated with a significantly decreased risk of incident syncope among T2DM patients, regardless of gender, age, glucose control status, Charlson comorbidity index, and the association remained constant amongst those with common cardiovascular drugs and most antidiabetic drugs at baseline.

CONCLUSION

Compared with DPP4i, SGLT2i was associated with a significantly lower risk of new-onset syncope in patients with T2DM, regardless of gender, age, degree of glycaemic control, and comorbidity burden.

The effect of heterogeneous severe drought on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the Northern Rockies and Plains of the United States

Drought is a distinct and complicated climate hazard that regularly leads to severe economic impacts. Changes in the frequency and occurrence of drought due to anthropogenic climate change can lead to new and unanticipated outcomes. To better prepare for health outcomes, more research is needed to develop methodologies to understand potential consequences. This study suggests a new methodology for assessing the impact of monthly severe drought exposure on mortality in the Northern Rockies and Plains of the United States from 2000 to 2018. A two-stage model with the power prior approach was applied to integrate heterogeneous severe drought pattern and estimate overall risk ratios of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality related to multiple drought indices (the US Drought Monitor, 6- and 12-month Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index, 6- and 12 month Evaporative Demand Drought Index). Under severe drought, the risk ratios of all-cause mortality are 1.050 (95 % Cr: 1.031 to 1.071, USDM), 1.041 (95 % Cr: 1.022 to 1.060, 6-SPEI), 1.009 (95 % Cr: 0.989 to 1.031, 12SPEI), 1.045 (95 % Cr: 1.022 to 1.067, 6-EDDI), and 1.035 (95 % Cr: 1.009 to 1.062, 12-EDDI); cardiovascular mortality are 1.057 (95 % Cr: 1.023 to 1.091, USDM), 1.028 (95 % Cr: 0.998 to 1.059, 6-SPEI), 1.005 (95 % Cr: 0.973 to 1.040, 12-SPEI), 1.042 (95 % Cr: 1.005 to 1.080, 6-EDDI), and 1.004 (95 % Cr: 0.959 to 1.049, 12-EDDI). Our results showed that (i) a model with properly accounted for heterogeneous exposure pattern had greater risk ratios if statistically significant; (ii) a mid-term (6-month) severe drought had higher risk ratios compared to longer-term (12-month) drought; and (iii) different severe droughts affect populations in a different way. These results expand the existing knowledge of drought relationship to increasing mortality in the United States. The findings from this study highlight the need for communities and policymakers to establish effective drought-prevention initiatives in this region.

Outcome after primary percutaneous coronary intervention for ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock

BACKGROUND

Primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) complicated by cardiogenic shock (CS) may reduce the risk of subsequent cardiovascular events but remains challenging. The study aim was to evaluate the clinical characteristics and long-term outcomes of patients undergoing primary PCI for STEMI with CS.

METHODS

We conducted an observational cohort study of patients with STEMI who underwent primary PCI between April 2004 and December 2017 at Juntendo University Shizuoka Hospital. The primary outcome was cardiovascular death (CVD) during the median 3-year follow-up. We performed a landmark analysis for the incidence of CVD from 0 day to 1 year and from 1 to 10 years.

RESULTS

Among the 1758 STEMI patients in the cohort, 212 (12.1 %) patients with CS showed significantly higher 30-day CVD rate on admission than those without (26.4 % vs 2.9 %). Landmark Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that CVD from day 0 to year 1 was significantly higher in the patients with CS (log-rank p < 0.0001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that CS was significantly associated with higher cardiovascular mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 11.8; 95%confidence intervals, 7.78-18.1; p < 0.0001), but the mortality rates from 1 to 10 years were comparable (log-rank p = 0.68).

CONCLUSION

The cardiovascular 1-year mortality rate for patients with STEMI was higher for those with CS on admission than without, but the mortality rates of >1 year were comparable. Surviving the early phase is essential for patients with STEMI and CS to improve long-term outcomes.

Prevalence of prediabetes and risk of CVD mortality in individuals with prediabetes alone or plus hypertension in Northeast China: insight from a population based cohort study

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the current prevalence of prediabetes in northeast China, and further determine the association between prediabetes alone or coexistent with hypertension and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality.

METHODS

In the prospective study, 15,557 participants without diabetes among aged ≥40 years in northeast China, were followed for a median of 5.5 years. Following the American Diabetes Association, prediabetes was defined as fasting plasma glucose (FPG) range of 5.6-6.9 mmol/L or glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) range of 5.7-6.4% in people without diabetes.

RESULTS

The prevalence of prediabetes was 44.3% among population aged ≥40 years in northeast China. Prediabetes alone did not promote risk of CVD mortality. However, when the subgroups were stratified by hypertension, the CVD mortality risk in prediabetes plus hypertension subjects increased significantly compared with population without prediabetes and hypertension. Multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios for CVD mortality in prediabetes subgroups plus hypertension were 2.28 (95% CI: 1.50, 3.47) for those diagnosed by FPG < 5.6 mmol/L & HbA1c 5.7-6.4%, 2.18 (95% CI: 1.53, 3.10) for those diagnosed by FPG 5.6-6.0 mmol/L & HbA1c < 6.5% and 2.35 (95% CI: 1.65, 3.35) for those diagnosed by FPG 6.1-6.9 & HbA1c < 6.5% compared with the reference group. Moreover, the percentage of hypertension in prediabetes subjects was high (60.4%), but the awareness, treatment and control rates were far from satisfactory (45.3, 35.1 and 4.8%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of prediabetes remains high in northeast China, and the CVD mortality was elevated significantly in prediabetes coexistent with hypertension. Considering the high percentage and low control rate of hypertension in prediabetes, strategies focused on HbA1c screening, FPG lowering and blood pressure management should be emphasized in northeast China.

Impact of hypertriglyceridaemia on cardiovascular mortality according to low-density lipoprotein cholesterol in a 15.6-million population

AIMS

The aim of this study was to assess the association between triglyceride (TG) levels and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality concerning low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and age in the general population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

From the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, 15 672 028 participants aged 18-99 who underwent routine health examinations were followed up for CVD mortality. Hazard ratios for CVD mortality were calculated using Cox models after adjusting for various confounders. During a mean of 8.8 years of follow-up, 105 174 individuals died of CVD. There was a clear log-linear association between TG and overall CVD mortality down to 50 mg/dL. Each two-fold increase in TG was associated with 1.10-fold (overall CVD), 1.22-fold [ischaemic heart disease (IHD)], 1.24-fold [acute myocardial infarction (AMI)], and 1.10-fold (ischaemic stroke) higher CVD mortality. Haemorrhagic stroke and heart failure were not associated with TG levels. The impact of hypertriglyceridaemia (HTG) on CVD weakened but remained present in persons with LDL-C < 100 mg/dL, in whom each two-fold higher TG was associated with 1.05-fold (overall CVD), 1.12-fold (IHD), 1.15-fold (AMI), and 1.05-fold (ischaemic stroke) higher CVD mortality. The younger population (18-44 years) had stronger associations between TG levels and mortality from overall CVD, IHD, and AMI than the older population.

CONCLUSION

Hypertriglyceridaemia independently raises CVD mortality with lingering risks in young and older individuals with low LDL-C levels, suggesting the importance of management of HTG even with controlled LDL-C.

Post-treatment level of LDL cholesterol and all-cause mortality in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: evidence from real-world setting

AIMS

This study aimed to evaluate the safety of the currently recommended target of LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) control on mortality in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using deidentified electronic health record data, we conducted a multicentre retrospective cohort study involving individuals with documented ASCVD who had received statin treatment for at least 3 months across China. The primary outcomes assessed encompassed all-cause mortality, CV mortality, and non-CV mortality. Relationships between post-treatment LDL-C concentrations and outcomes were evaluated using restricted cubic spline curves based on Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. Additionally, competitive risk models were employed to explore associations between LDL-C levels and cause-specific mortality. Among 33 968 participants, we identified nearly linear associations of post-treatment LDL-C level with all-cause mortality and CV mortality during a median follow-up of 47 months. Notably, patients who achieved the recommended target of LDL-C (<1.4 mmol/L) were at significantly lower risks of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR), 0.77; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.69-0.86] and CV mortality (subdistribution HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.58-0.79), compared with those with LDL-C ≥ 3.4 mmol/L. This survival benefit was consistent in patients with different intensities of LDL-C reduction and other subgroup analyses. And no correlation was found between post-treatment LDL-C concentration and non-CV mortality.

CONCLUSION

Our findings supported the safety of currently recommended target of LDL-C control and the 'lower is better' principle in patients with ASCVD.

Association of the triglyceride glucose index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a general population of Iranian adults

BACKGROUND

The triglyceride glucose (TyG) index is a new and low-cost marker to determine insulin resistant which may be a predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Although available evidence showed that its association with CVD mortality (CVM) and all-cause mortality (ACM) may differ in different populations, scarce data are available in this regard specially in low and middle-income countries.

PURPOSE

To examine the association between TyG index and risk of CVM and ACM in Iranians.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 5432 adults (age ≥ 35 years) with no history of CVD events. Fasting glucose and triglyceride were measured at baseline in all participants and TyG index was calculated. Cox frailty model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for CVM and ACM across the tertiles of TyG index.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 11.25 years, a total number of 191 cardiovascular deaths, and 487 all-cause mortality was recorded. The risk of both CVM and ACM increased across the tertiles of TyG index. In the adjusted model for lifestyle and metabolic variables, the risks of ACM and CVM increased by 41% (95% CI 1.11, 1.81; P for trend = 0.005) and 64% (95% CI 1.07, 2.50; P for trend = 0.024), respectively. However, adjustment for diabetes mellitus disappeared the significance for both ACM and CVM. These associations may vary by sex. TyG was not related to the risk of non-CVD mortality.

CONCLUSION

The predicting value of TyG index for ACM and CVM might be mediated by diabetes status. Further studies are required to confirm these findings.

Association of cardiovascular risk profile with premature all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in US adults: findings from a national study

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association between cardiovascular risk factor (CRF) profile and premature all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality among US adults (age < 65).

METHODS

This study used data from the National Health Interview Survey from 2006 to 2014, linked to the National Death Index for non-elderly adults aged < 65 years. A composite CRF score (range = 0-6) was calculated, based on the presence or absence of six established cardiovascular risk factors: hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, smoking, obesity, and insufficient physical activity. CRF profile was defined as "Poor" (≥ 3 risk factors), "Average" (1-2), or "Optimal" (0 risk factors). Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) were reported across CRF profile categories, separately for all-cause and CVD mortality. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the association between CRF profile and all-cause and CVD mortality.

RESULTS

Among 195,901 non-elderly individuals (mean age: 40.4 ± 13.0, 50% females and 70% Non-Hispanic (NH) White adults), 24.8% had optimal, 58.9% average, and 16.2% poor CRF profiles, respectively. Participants with poor CRF profile were more likely to be NH Black, have lower educational attainment and lower income compared to those with optimal CRF profile. All-cause and CVD mortality rates were three to four fold higher in individuals with poor CRF profile, compared to their optimal profile counterparts. Adults with poor CRF profile experienced 3.5-fold (aHR: 3.48 [95% CI: 2.96, 4.10]) and 5-fold (aHR: 4.76 [3.44, 6.60]) higher risk of all-cause and CVD mortality, respectively, compared to those with optimal profile. These results were consistent across age, sex, and race/ethnicity subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based study, non-elderly adults with poor CRF profile had a three to five-fold higher risk of all-cause and CVD mortality, compared to those with optimal CRF profile. Targeted prevention efforts to achieve optimal cardiovascular risk profile are imperative to reduce the persistent burden of premature all-cause and CVD mortality in the US.

Association of β-blocker use at discharge and prognosis of oldest old with acute myocardial infarction: a prospective cohort study

PURPOSE

It is uncertain whether β-blockers are beneficial for long-term prognosis in older patients following acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Thus, this study sought to examine the effect of β-blockers on long-term cardiovascular mortality (CVM) in the oldest old (≥ 80 years) with AMI.

METHODS

In this prospective, consecutive, non-randomized study, a total of 1156 patients with AMI admitted within 24 h after onset of symptoms were enrolled from January 2012 to February 2020. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to examine the impact of β-blocker use on prognosis. Furthermore, one-to-one propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW) analyses were used to control for systemic differences between groups. The primary outcome was long-term CVM.

RESULTS

Among the enrolled subjects, 972 (85.9%) were prescribed with β-blockers at discharge. Over a mean follow-up of 26.3 months, 224 cardiovascular deaths were recorded. Both univariate [hazard ratio (HR), 1.41, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.93-2.13] and multivariate (HR, 1.29, 95% CI 0.79-2.10) Cox regression analyses showed that β-blocker use had no significant association with the long-term CVM, which was further demonstrated by PSM (HR, 1.31, 95% CI 0.75-2.28) and IPTW (HR, 1.41, 95% CI 0.73-2.69) analyses. Subgroup analyses according to sex, heart rate, hypertension, diabetes, revascularization, left ventricular ejection fraction, and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers use showed consistent results as well.

CONCLUSION

Our findings first suggested that the use of β-blockers at discharge in oldest old with AMI was not useful for reducing post-discharge CVM, which need to be further verified by randomized controlled trials.

Association of sedentary time with risk of cardiovascular diseases and cardiovascular mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies

Given the high prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD), we meta-analysed CVD relative risk (RR) in relation to high vs. low categories of self-reported and objectively assessed sedentary behaviours from cohort studies; in a sub-sample (n = 4 studies), the theoretical substitution of one hour spent sedentary with the same amount of time spent in light-intense physical activity was evaluated. Based on 19 studies (60,526 fatal and non-fatal CVD, 1,473,354 individuals and 13,559,139 persons-year) we estimated a 30% increased CVD risk for high vs. low categories of sedentary behaviour (RR = 1.29, confidence interval (CI) = 1.22;1.37). Every hour spent sedentary corresponds to a 5% increased fatal and non-fatal CVD risk (RR = 1.05, CI = 1.02;1.07). Dose-response meta-analysis revealed that sedentary behaviour is statistically significantly associated to fatal and non-fatal CVD risk following a J-shaped relation. Substituting one hour spent sedentary with physical activity of light intensity reduced the risk of fatal and non-fatal CVD events by one-fifth (RR =0.84, CI = 0.73;0.97). In meta-regression analysis, potential influential factors such as age, sex, and medical condition did not essentially alter the results.

Time of eating and mortality in U.S. adults with heart failure: Analyses of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2003-2018

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Promising associations have been demonstrated between delayed last eating occasion and cardiorespiratory fitness in adults with heart failure (HF), however, it is unknown if time of eating is associated with clinical endpoints such as mortality. This study aimed to examine associations between time of eating variables and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Participants self-disclosed HF diagnosis. Two dietary recalls were obtained and categorical variables were created based on mean time of first eating occasion (8:31 AM), last eating occasion (7:33 PM) and eating window (11.02 h). Mortality was obtained through linkage to the National Death Index. Covariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression models were created examining the association between time of eating and mortality. Participants (n = 991) were 68 (95 % CI 67-69) years of age, 52.6 (95 % CI 49.0-56.3)% men and had a body mass index of 32.5 (95 % CI 31.8-33.2) kg/m2 with follow up time of 68.9 (95 % CI 64.8-72.9) person-months. When models were adjusted for time of eating variables and all other covariates, extending the eating window beyond 11.02 h was associated with decreased risk of cardiovascular (HR 0.36 [95 % CI 0.16-0.81]), but not all-cause mortality. Time of first and last eating occasions were not associated with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In adults with HF, an extended eating window is associated with reduced risk for cardiovascular mortality. Randomized controlled trials should examine if extending the eating window can improve prognostic indicators such as cardiorespiratory fitness in this population.

Cardiovascular Mortality and Duration of Androgen Deprivation in Locally Advanced Prostate Cancer: Long-term Update of NRG/RTOG 9202

BACKGROUND

Androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) has been associated with coronary heart disease and myocardial infarction (MI) in prostate cancer patients, but controversy persists regarding its effects on cardiovascular mortality (CVM).

OBJECTIVE

We assessed the long-term relationship between ADT and CVM in a prostate cancer randomized trial (NRG Oncology/Radiation Therapy Oncology Group 9202).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

From 1992 to 1995, 1554 men with locally advanced prostate cancer (T2c-T4, prostate-specific antigen <150 ng/ml) received radiotherapy with 4 mo (short-term [STADT]) versus 28 mo (longer-term [LTADT]) of ADT.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Using the Fine-Gray and Cox regression models, the relationship between ADT and mortality was evaluated.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

With a median follow-up of 19.6 yr, LTADT was associated with improved overall survival (OS) versus STADT (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.88; p = 0.03) and prostate cancer survival (subdistribution HR [sHR] 0.70, p = 0.003). Comparing LTADT with STADT, prostate cancer mortality improved by 6.0% (15.6% [95% confidence interval 13.0-18.3%] vs 21.6% [18.6-24.7%]) at 15 yr, while CVM increased by 2.2% (14.9% [12.4-17.6%] vs 12.7% [10.4-15.3%]). In multivariable analyses, LTADT was not associated with increased CVM versus STADT (sHR 1.22 [0.93-1.59]; p = 0.15). An association between LTADT and MI death was detected (sHR 1.58 [1.00-2.50]; p = 0.05), particularly in patients with prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD; sHR 2.54 [1.16-5.58]; p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

With 19.6 yr of follow-up, LTADT was not significantly associated with increased CVM in men with locally advanced prostate cancer. Patients may have increased MI mortality with LTADT, particularly those with baseline CVD. Overall, there remained a prostate cancer mortality benefit and no OS detriment with LTADT.

PATIENT SUMMARY

In a long-term analysis of a large randomized prostate cancer trial, radiation with 28 mo of hormone therapy did not increase the risk of cardiovascular death significantly versus 4 mo of hormone therapy. Future studies are needed for patients with pre-existing heart disease, who may have an increased risk of myocardial infarction death with longer hormone use.

Sex-specific lifetime risk of cardiovascular events: the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer-Norfolk prospective population cohort study

AIMS

Better understanding of sex differences in cardiovascular disease (CVD) is essential in tailoring appropriate preventative strategies. Using a large population-based study with follow-up >25 years, we aimed to determine sex-specific lifetime risks of incident CVD and cardiovascular (CV) mortality amongst populations with and without prevalent CVD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Participants were drawn from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer-Norfolk and followed up for a median of 26.2 years. Sex-specific lifetime risks were ascertained accounting for the competing risk of death. Models were adjusted for ethnicity and time-updated covariates: material deprivation, CV risk factors, lifestyle factors, comorbidities, and medication. A total of 23 859 participants [54.5% women; mean age (standard deviation) 59.2 (9.3) years at baseline] were included. Adjusted lifetime risks of incident CVD were higher in men than in women (69.1 vs. 57.7% at age 75): cause-specific hazard ratio (cHR) (99% confidence interval)-1.49 (1.41-1.57), while the risks of CV mortality at age 75 were 4.4% (men) and 3.1% (women): cHR-1.42 (1.31-1.54). Myocardial infarction was the predominant first presentation in men until the eighth decade. In women, the first CVD manifestations after their sixth decade were predominantly atrial fibrillation and stroke. The male-associated excess relative risks of incident CVD and CV mortality were halved in people with prevalent CVD.

CONCLUSION

We characterized the sex-specific lifetime CV risks in a large cohort. Men had substantially higher risk of incident CVD and CV mortality than women, which was attenuated amongst people with prevalent CVD. Our findings provide an evidence base for sex-specific CV prevention.

Edema Index Predicts Mortality in Patients with Chronic Heart Failure: A Prospective, Observational Study

Introduction

Chronic fluid accumulation or congestion is considered an important pathophysiologic mechanism in heart failure, leading to cardinal symptoms such as dyspnea, pulmonary congestion, and pitting edema. Edema index (EI) recently emerged as a surrogate for extracellular volume status and has been proven to be able to reflect one's congestion status. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of EI in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF).

Methods

A total of 401 consecutive patients with CHF between August 2019 and October 2021 were prospectively enrolled. EI was obtained by InBody S10. The primary endpoint was long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Results

Patients with high EI (>0.397) tended to be older, presented with atrial fibrillation, have higher N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide, and have higher creatinine (all p < 0.05). During a median follow-up of 1200 days, the all-cause and cardiovascular mortality rate was significantly higher in the high EI group compared to the low EI group (all-cause mortality rate 43.8% vs. 30.3%, p < 0.001, and cardiovascular mortality rate 17.5% vs. 13.0%, p < 0.001, respectively). In the multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, EI > 0.397 was an independent predictor for both all-cause mortality (HR 1.959; 95% CI 1.304, 2.944; p = 0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 2.051; 95% CI 1.276, 3.296; p = 0.003).

Conclusions

Admission EI could be used as a marker for predicting long-term mortality in patients with CHF, and higher EI was associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Furthermore, EI-guided management could be a promising therapy in patients with CHF.

Effects of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists on liver-related and cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND

Patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) tend to have nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with poorer prognosis. We performed this research to compare the risks of cardiovascular diseases, cirrhosis, liver-related mortality, and cardiovascular mortality between glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1 RA) use and no-use in patients with T2D without viral hepatitis.

METHODS

From January 1, 2008, to December 31, 2018, we used propensity-score matching to identify 31,183 pairs of GLP-1 RA users and nonusers from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the outcomes between the study and control groups.

RESULTS

The median (Q1, Q3) follow-up time for GLP-1 RA users and nonusers were 2.19 (1.35, 3.52) and 2.14 (1.19, 3.68) years, respectively. The all-cause mortality incidence rate was 5.67 and 13.06 per 1000 person-years for GLP-1 RA users and nonusers, respectively. Multivariable-adjusted analysis showed that GLP-1 RA use had significantly lower risks of all-cause mortality (aHR 0.48, 95%CI 0.43-0.53), cardiovascular events (aHR 0.92, 95%CI 0.86-0.99), cardiovascular death (aHR 0.57, 95%CI 0.45-0.72), and liver-related death (aHR 0.32, 95%CI 0.13-0.75). However, there was no significant difference in the risk of liver cirrhosis development, hepatic failure, and hepatocellular carcinoma compared to GLP-1 RA no-use.

CONCLUSIONS

This nationwide cohort study showed that GLP-1 RA use was associated with a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular events, and cardiovascular death in patients with T2D among Taiwan population. More prospective studies are warranted to verify our results.

Left Atrial Strain Predicts Cardiovascular and All-Cause Mortality

Background

Left atrial strain can usefully reflect left atrial function. The follow-up periods in previous studies assessing left atrial strain as a survival predictor have been relatively short, and few studies have examined the ability of left atrial strain to predict mortality in patients with borderline diastolic function. This study sought to investigate the survival predictive value of left atrial strain with a longer follow-up duration. In addition, we also evaluated the survival predictive value of left atrial strain in patients with borderline diastolic function.

Methods

In total, 652 participants who received routine echocardiography underwent 2-D speckle tracking echocardiography to evaluate left atrial reservoir function by peak atrial longitudinal strain. The study endpoints were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Results

The mean left atrial strain was 27.6%, and the median follow-up duration was 92 months. During follow-up, 72 patients died of cardiovascular causes and 181 died of all causes. Univariable Cox regression analysis revealed that lower left atrial strain significantly predicted an increase in all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. After adjusting for common clinical and echocardiographic parameters, lower left atrial strain was still associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.942, p = 0.011] and cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.915, p = 0.018) in multivariable Cox-regression analysis. In addition, 293 patients had borderline left ventricular diastolic function. Multivariable analysis still revealed that left atrial strain could predict cardiovascular mortality in this population.

Conclusions

Our data showed that left atrial strain could predict all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, even after adjusting for general clinical and echocardiographic parameters.

Assessing the short-term effects of PM2.5 and O3 on cardiovascular mortality using high-resolution exposure: a time-stratified case cross-over study in Southwestern China

Air pollution is a major risk factor of cardiovascular disease (CVD). To date, limited studies have estimated the effects of ambient air pollution on CVD mortality using high-resolution exposure assessment, which might fail to capture the spatial variation in exposure and introduce bias in results. Besides, the three-year action plan (TYAP, 2018-2020) was released; thus, the constitution and health effect of air pollutants may have changed. In this study, we estimated the short-term effect exposed to particulate matters with parameter less than 2.5 µm (PM2.5) and ozone (O3) with 0.05° × 0.05° resolution on CVD mortality and measured the influence of TYAP in the associations. We used random forest models with spatial weight matrices to attain high-resolution pollutant concentrations and conditional Poisson regression to assess the relationship between air pollution and cardiovascular mortality. With an increase of 10 µg/m3 in PM2.5 and O3 during 2018-2021 in the Sichuan Basin (SCB), CVD mortality increased 1.0134 (95% CI 1.0102, 1.0166) and 1.0083 (95% CI 1.0060, 1.0107), respectively, using high-resolution air pollutant concentration, comparing to 1.0070 (95% CI 1.0052, 1.0087) and 1.0057 (95% CI 1.0037, 1.0078) using data from air quality monitoring stations (AQMs). After TYAP, the relative risk (RR) due to PM2.5 rose up to 1.0149 (95% CI 1.0054, 1.0243), and the RR due to O3 rose up to 1.0089 (95% CI 1.0030, 1.0148) in Sichuan Province. We found significantly positive association of cardiovascular mortality and air pollution in Sichuan Province. And using high-resolution exposure would be more accurate to estimate the effect of air pollution on CVD. After TYAP, the cardiovascular mortality risk estimation due to PM2.5 decreased in elderly in SCB, and the risk due to O3 increased in Sichuan Province.

Association of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in older adults with low lean mass: A 14.6-year longitudinal study

BACKGROUND

Current evidence on the association between high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) levels and mortality in elderly sarcopenic patients is limited. This study aimed to investigate the association of serum hs-cTnT concentrations with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in older adults with low lean mass (LLM) and without baseline cardiovascular disease.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 369 older adults (representing 3.2 million people) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999-2004. Individuals were linked to national death records until 31 December 2019. The weighted Kaplan-Meier analysis, Cox proportional hazards models, restricted cubic spline models, stratified analysis, interaction analysis, and sensitivity analysis were performed to examine the association between hs-cTnT levels and mortality in older adults with LLM.

RESULTS

During 4697 person-years of follow-up (median duration, 14.6 years), 228 (65.6%) deaths were documented, including 56 (15.8%) deaths from cardiovascular disease. Individuals with a hs-cTnT level of ≥14 ng/L had 2.1- and 4.4-fold higher risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. Compared with the lowest quartile, the fourth quartile of hs-cTnT levels was significantly associated with 3.1- and 6.4-fold higher risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. Each one standard deviation increase in natural log-transformed hs-cTnT levels significantly and linearly increased the risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality by 39% and 61%, respectively. Stratified and sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the association.

CONCLUSIONS

In this nationally representative cohort of US older adults with LLM, higher serum hs-cTnT concentrations were significantly associated with increased risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Marital status and cause-specific mortality: A population-based prospective cohort study in southern Sweden

The aim was to investigate associations between marital status and mortality with a prospective cohort study design. A public health survey including adults aged 18-80 was conducted with a postal questionnaire in southern Sweden in 2008 (54.1% participation). The survey formed a baseline that was linked to 8.3-year follow-up all-cause, cardiovascular (CVD), cancer and other cause mortality. The present investigation entails 14,750 participants aged 45-80. Associations between marital status and mortality were investigated with multiple Cox-regression analyses. A 72.8% prevalence of respondents were married/cohabitating, 9.1% never married, 12.2% divorced and 5.9% widows/widowers. Marital status was associated with age, sex, socioeconomic status (SES) by occupation, country of birth, chronic disease, Body Mass Index (BMI), health-related behaviors and generalized trust covariates. Never married/single, divorced, and widowed men had significantly higher hazard rate ratios (HRRs) of all-cause mortality than the reference category married/cohabitating men throughout the multiple analyses. For men, CVD and other cause mortality showed similar significant results, but not cancer. No significant associations were displayed for women in the multiple analyses. Associations between marital status and mortality are stronger among men than women. Associations between marital status and cancer mortality are not statistically significant with low effect measures throughout the multiple analyses among both men and women.

Association between the triglyceride glucose index and cardiovascular mortality in obese population

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The triglyceride and glucose (TyG) index, as a surrogate marker of insulin resistance, was related to increased mortality. Our study aimed to investigate the specific relationship between the TyG index and all-cause mortality among obese population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

6731 participants with obesity were enrolled from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). The TyG index was calculated as log [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) x fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. The baseline levels of TyG associated with the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were evaluated by Cox proportional hazards models. After a follow-up of 16.7 years, 693 all-cause death and 133 cardiovascular deaths occurred. Dose-response curve showed that the association of the risk of all-cause mortality was non-linear (p = 0.019) and the corresponding TyG index ranged 8.78 to 9.64 for the lowest risk. Compared with the reference quartile of 8.79-9.22, the multivariate-adjusted hazards ratios were 1.32 ((95% confidence interval 1.03-1.70; p = 0.030) in the lowest quartile for all-cause mortality, and 0.55 (0.32-0.93; p = 0.025) in the second quartile for cardiovascular mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

TyG index was associated with the risk of all-cause mortality in obese participants and the level associated with the lowest risk was 8.78-9.64.

Validating the predictive ability of the 2MACE score for major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: results from phase II/III of the GLORIA-AF registry

The 2MACE score was specifically developed as a risk-stratification tool in atrial fibrillation (AF) to predict cardiovascular outcomes. We evaluated the predictive ability of the 2MACE score in the GLORIA-AF registry. All eligible patients from phase II/III of the prospective global GLORIA-AF registry were included. Major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) were defined as the composite outcome of stroke, myocardial infarction and cardiovascular death. Cox proportional hazards were used to examine the relationship between the 2MACE score and study outcomes. Predictive capability of the 2MACE score was investigated using receiver-operating characteristic curves. A total of 25,696 patients were included (mean age 71 years, female 44.9%). Over 3 years, 1583 MACEs were recorded. Patients who had MACE were older, with more cardiovascular risk factors and were less likely to be managed using a rhythm-control strategy. The median 2MACE score in the MACE and non-MACE groups were 2 (IQR 1-3) and 1 (IQR 0-2), respectively (p < 0.001). The 2MACE score was positively associated with an increase in the risk of MACE, with a score of ≥ 2 providing the best combination of sensitivity (69.6%) and specificity (51.6%), HR 2.47 (95% CI, 2.21-2.77). The 2MACE score had modest predictive performance for MACE in patients with AF (AUC 0.655 (95% CI, 0.641-0.669)). Our analysis in this prospective global registry demonstrates that the 2MACE score can adequately predict the risk of MACE (defined as myocardial infarction, CV death and stroke) in patients with AF. Clinical trial registration: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifiers: NCT01468701, NCT01671007 and NCT01937377.