Non-Invasive Prediction of High-Risk Varices in Patients with Primary Biliary Cholangitis and Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis

Guideline review: British Society of Gastroenterology/UK-PBC Primary Biliary Cholangitis treatment and management guidelines

New guidelines have been produced for the management of primary biliary cholangitis, an infrequent but nonetheless important autoimmune liver disease. We provide a succient commentary and overview of the key features of disease management that arise from these recent guideline recommendations, with a focus on therapy with licensed agents (ursodeoxycholic acid and obeticholic acid) as well as personalised management of disease complications and associated symptoms.

Precision medicine in primary sclerosing cholangitis

Primary sclerosing cholangitis is a rare, complex autoimmune disease in relatively young patients. There is currently no treatment for the disease, resulting in high rates of advanced liver disease leading to death or liver transplantation. However, advances have been made in our understanding of the pathophysiological mechanisms of the disease, particularly from breakthroughs in the underlying genetics. Moreover, large international collaborations have generated important clinical data that have given greater detail on the different disease phenotypes and natural history, generating new risk prediction models. As a result, drug development may be designed to target specific disease mechanisms at known points of the disease natural history. Therefore, more drugs are entering phase II and III development, giving hope that soon patient-specific treatments may be available to treat this difficult disease.

Precision medicine in primary biliary cholangitis

For many years the one-size-fits-all approach has been the only one available to manage patients affected by primary biliary cholangitis. The introduction of obeticholic acid in 2016 as a second-line treatment, together with the creation and validation of several biochemically based scores to stratify the risk of progressive disease, has opened up the need to redefine clinical practice by changing the actual paradigm. The precision medicine initiative is a model of patient-centered health care that aims to improve medicine based on genotypic and molecular characteristics that correlate to specific phenotypic, individual characteristics. In summary, the aim of the precision medicine is to define the right treatment for the right person at the right time. The availability of a second-line disease-modifying drug and new molecules in phase 2 or 3 trials makes this an exciting time for the precision medicine initiative in primary biliary cholangitis. In this review we describe the current risk stratification tools and we track a possible path towards the application of precision medicine in clinical daily life.

Noninvasive Predictors of High-Risk Varices in Patients with Non-Cirrhotic Portal Hypertension

Non-cirrhotic portal hypertension (NCPH) comprises a heterogeneous group of liver disorders causing portal hypertension without cirrhosis and carries a high risk of variceal bleeding. Recent guidelines, based largely on patients with viral cirrhosis, suggest low likelihood of high risk varices (HRV) in patients with a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) <20 kPa and platelet count >150 × 10⁹/L. In NCPH, LSM is often higher than healthy controls but lower than matched cirrhotic patients. The aim of this study was to assess whether LSM or other noninvasive assessments of portal hypertension could predict HRV in NCPH patients. Methods. Records of patients with NCPH seen at a single centre between 2007 and 2018 were reviewed retrospectively. Primary outcome measure was presence or absence of HRV at gastroscopy within 12 months of clinical assessment. Association of LSM or other clinical features of portal hypertension (spleen size, platelet count, platelet count/spleen length ratio (PSL), LSM-spleen length/platelet count ratio score (LSP)) with HRV and ability of these variables to predict HRV was analysed. Results. Of 44 patients with NCPH who met inclusion criteria, 34% (15/44) had HRV. In a multivariate model, spleen size and PSL correlated with HRV but platelet count, LSM, and LSP did not (spleen size: β = 0.35, p = 0.02; OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.06-1.92; PSL: β = -1.47, p = 0.02; OR 0.23, 95% CI 0.07-0.80). There was no significant difference between spleen size and PSL in predicting HRV (AUROC 0.81 (95% CI 0.66 - 0.91) versus 0.71 (95% CI 0.54 - 0.84), respectively, p = 0.400). Spleen size >17.2cm had sensitivity 78.6% and specificity 64.3% for prediction of HRV. Conclusions. In NCPH patients, spleen size may predict risk of HRV at gastroscopy within 12 months. LSM and platelet count are not useful to assess risk of HRV in NCPH.