The new liver allocation system: moving toward evidence-based transplantation policy

Measurement of skeletal muscle volume is useful for predicting prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score were previously reported as prognostic factors for outcome in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC), and recently, the presence of sarcopenia was reported to be an indicator of worse prognosis in these patients.

AIM

This retrospective study aimed to clarify the importance of sarcopenia as a prognostic factor in patients with LC.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The MELD-Na score, HVPG, and skeletal muscle index (SMI) were measured in 202 patients between January 2013 and August 2020. We performed linear regression analysis between HVPG and SMI and calculated suitable cutoff values of HVPG for predicting presarcopenia and of HVPG, ΔSMI (i.e. the decrease in SMI per year, for predicting survival). Overall survival rates with the HVPG and ΔSMI cutoff values were compared by Kaplan-Meier estimates and log-rank tests. Prognostic factors for survival were analyzed by Cox regression univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

In total, 71% (143/202) of patients presented with presarcopenia. Linear regression showed a significantly negative correlation between HVPG and SMI. Survival was significantly worse in the group with presarcopenia than in the group without. Survival was worse also in the group with an HVPG value ≥ 15 and ΔSMI ≥ -2.4. Cox regression multivariate analyses showed that MELD-Na score, HVPG, HVPG ≥ 15, ΔSMI, and ΔSMI ≥ -2.4 were independent prognostic factors.

CONCLUSION

Skeletal muscle volume, especially ΔSMI, has a prognostic value equivalent to that of the MELD-Na score and HVPG.

Regional and National Trends of Adult Living Donor Liver Transplantation in the United States Over the Last Two Decades

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Liver organ shortage remains a major health burden in the US, with more patients being waitlisted than the number of liver transplants (LTs) performed. This study investigated US national and regional trends in living donor LT (LDLT) and identified factors associated with recipient survival.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed LDLT recipients and donors from the United Network Organ Sharing/Organ Procurement Transplant Network database from 1998 until 2019 for clinical characteristics, demographic differences, and survival rate. National and regional trends in LDLT, recipient outcomes, and predictors of survival were analyzed.

RESULTS

Of the 223,571 candidates listed for an LT, 57.5% received an organ, of which only 4.2% were LDLTs. Annual adult LDLTs first peaked at 412 in 2001 but experienced a significant decline to 168 by 2009. LDLTs then gradually increased to 445 in 2019. Region 2 had the highest LDLT numbers (n=919), while region 1 had the highest proportion (11.1%). Overall, post-LT mortality was 21.4% among LDLT recipients. Post-LDLT survival rates after 1-, 5-, and 10-years were 92%, 87%, and 70%, respectively. Interval analysis (2004-2019) showed that patients undergoing LDLT in recent years had lower mortality than in earlier years (hazard ratio=0.81, 95% confidence interval=0.75-0.88).

CONCLUSIONS

Following a substantial decline after a peak in 2001, the number of adult LDLTs steadily increased from 2011 to 2019. However, LDLTs still constitute the minority of the transplant pool in the US. Life-saving policies to increase the use of LDLTs, particularly in regions of high organ demand, should be implemented.

D-Dimer-to-Albumin Ratio: A Novel Indicator to Predict Poor Outcomes in Patients with HBV-Associated Decompensated Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

The purpose of the present study was to investigate the impact of D-dimer-to-albumin ratio (DAR) on outcomes in patients with hepatitis B virus-associated decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DeCi).

METHODS

A total of 172 HBV-DeCi patients were enrolled. Logistic regression was used to explore the association between DAR and 30-day mortality. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the performance of DAR for predicting mortality.

RESULTS

The 30-day mortality was 19.8%. DAR was clearly higher in the nonsurvivors compared with the survivors, and increasing DAR was associated with an increasing risk of death. DAR was independently associated with mortality and its AUC for mortality was equivalent to that for Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score.

CONCLUSIONS

DAR may be a potential prognostic marker for mortality in HBV-DeCi patients.

The impact of minimally invasive surgery and frailty on post-hepatectomy outcomes

BACKGROUND

The impact of patient frailty on post-hepatectomy outcomes is not well studied. We hypothesized that patient frailty is a strong predictor of 30-day post-hepatectomy complications.

METHODS

The liver-targeted National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database for 2014-2019 was reviewed. A validated modified frailty index (mFI) was used.

RESULTS

A total of 24,150 hepatectomies were reviewed. Worsening frailty was associated with increased incidence of Clavien-Dindo grade IV complications (mFI 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 was 3.9%, 6.3%, 10%, 8.1%, 50% respectively; p < 0.001). Minimally invasive hepatectomies had a lower rate of Clavien-Dindo grade IV complications for non-frail (Laparoscopic: 1%, Robotic: 2.6%, Open: 4.6%; p < 0.001) and frail patients (Laparoscopic: 3%, Robotic: 2.3%, Open: 7.7%; p < 0.001). Frail patients experienced higher incidence of post-hepatectomy liver failure (5.4% vs 4.1% for non-frail; p < 0.001) and grade C liver failure (28% vs 21.1% for non-frail; p = 0.03). Incorporating mFI to Albumin-Bilirubin score (ALBI) improved its ability to predict Clavien-Dindo grade IV complications (AUC improved from 0.609 to 0.647; p < 0.001) and 30-day mortality (AUC improved from 0.663 to 0.72; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Worsening frailty correlates with increased incidence of Clavien-Dindo grade IV complications post-hepatectomy, whereas minimally invasive approaches decrease this risk. Incorporating frailty assessment to ALBI improves its ability to predict major postoperative complications and 30-day mortality.

A comprehensive review of prognostic scoring systems to predict survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement

Patient prognosis after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement is relatively poor and highly heterogeneous; therefore, a prognostic scoring system is essential for survival prediction and risk stratification. Conventional scores include the Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP) and model for end‐stage liver disease (MELD) scores. The CTP score was created empirically and displayed a high correlation with post‐TIPS survival. However, the inclusion of subjective parameters and the use of discrete cut‐offs limit its utility. The advantages of the MELD score include its statistical validation and objective and readily available predictors that contribute to its broad application in clinical practice to predict post‐TIPS outcomes. In addition, multiple modifications of the MELD score, by incorporating additional predictors (e.g., MELD‐Sodium and MELD‐Sarcopenia scores), adjusting coefficients (recalibrated MELD score), or combined (MELD 3.0), have been proposed to improve the prognostic ability of the standard MELD score. Despite several updates to conventional scores, a prognostic score has been proposed (based on contemporary data) specifically for outcome prediction after TIPS placement. However, this novel score (the Freiburg index of post‐TIPS survival, FIPS) exhibited inconsistent discrimination in external validation studies, and its superiority over conventional scores remains undetermined. Additionally, several tools display potential for application in specific TIPS indications (e.g., bilirubin‐platelet grade for refractory ascites), and biomarkers of systemic inflammation, nutritional status, liver disease progression, and cardiac decompensation may provide additional value, but require further validation. Future studies should consider the effect of TIPS placement when exploring predictors, as TIPS is a pathophysiological approach that substantially alters systemic hemodynamics and ameliorates bacterial translocation and malnutrition.

Impact of the time-weighted average glucose concentration and diabetes on in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients older than 75 years : a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the effects of diabetes and hyperglycemia on in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients older than 75 years.

METHODS

This was a single-center retrospective cohort study of patients older than 75 years in the first intensive care unit stay. The patients were divided into four groups: time-weighted average glucose (TWAG) < 140 mg/dL without diabetes (group 1); TWAG ≥ 140 mg/dL without diabetes (group 2); TWAG < 180 mg/dL with diabetes (group 3); TWAG ≥ 180 mg/dL with diabetes (group 4). Clinical and laboratory data were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 6760 patients over 75 years of age were included, including 2089 patients previously diagnosed with diabetes. The patients in group 2 had the highest in-hospital mortality (27.4%). In the fully adjusted regression model, the risk of in-hospital mortality increased by 76% (OR = 1.76, 95% CI: 1.49-2.08) in group 2 as compared with group 1. Those from groups 3 and 4 exhibited risks equivalent to the risks of those in group 1; similar results were observed in the subgroup analysis. A J-shaped curve relationship and threshold effect were observed in patients without diabetes. For those with diabetes, a flatter curve pattern with a small slope was observed.

CONCLUSION

Stress hyperglycemia was more detrimental to short-term prognosis than diabetes status in these patients. Looser glucose control may be suitable for patients older than 75 years with diabetes but unnecessary for those without diabetes. Patients with diabetes may be more resistant to the detrimental effects of glucose variations.

Noninvasively Assessed Portal Hypertension Grade Predicts Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure in Patients With HepatocellCarcinoma: A Multicenter Study

Purpose

To determine the predictive value of portal hypertension (PH) for the development of post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Patients and methods

This study enrolled a total of 659 patients with HCC that received hepatectomy as a first-line therapy. PH was classified as grade 0, 1, and 2 according to whether the indirect criteria for PH were met: 1) patients had obvious varicose veins and 2) splenomegaly was present and platelet count < 100 × 109/L. The effects of each variable on the occurrence of PHLF were assessed using univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results

PH grade 2 (odds ratio [OR] = 2.222, p = 0.011), higher age (OR = 1.031, p = 0.003), hepatitis C infection (OR = 3.711, p = 0.012), open surgery (OR = 2.336, p < 0.001), portal flow blockage (OR = 1.626, p = 0.023), major hepatectomy (OR = 2.919, p = 0.001), hyperbilirubinemia (≥ 17.2 μmol/L, OR = 2.113, p = 0.002), and high levels of alpha-fetoprotein (> 400n g/ml, OR = 1.799, p = 0.008) were significantly associated with PHLF occurrence. We performed a subgroup analysis of liver resection and found that the extent of liver resection and PH grade were good at distinguishing patients at high risk for PHLF, and we developed an easy-to-view roadmap.

Conclusion

PH is significantly related to the occurrence of PHLF in patients who underwent hepatectomy. Noninvasively assessing PH grade can predict PHLF risk.

Gender specific survival rates after deceased donor liver transplantation: A retrospective cohort

Background

According to the literature, there are sex allocation inequalities in liver transplantation (LT). Sex disparities in outcomes after LT have been debated. This study aimed to evaluate sex-specific outcomes after LT, specifically short-term mortality and long-term survival rates.

Methods

A retrospective cohort of the entire LT series from to 2010–2019 in a single center in which the inclusion criteria were adults ≥18 YO age who underwent primary deceased donor LT. Mortality rate was evaluated within 30 days and 6 months. Survival rate was evaluated at 1,3 and 5 years of age.

Results

A total of 240 primary and deceased donor LTs (153 men and 87 women) were included. Mean age 55.2Y men and 51.6Y women (p = 0.02). Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was the direct indication in 32.7% of the men and only 17.4% of the women. The leading primary liver morbidities were viral hepatitis (B, C, and D) in 38.3% (N = 92) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in 20.8% (N = 50) of patients. Thirty-day mortality was 14%, which was significantly higher in men (18%) than in women (8%). Survival rates after 5 years were 64.9% and 78.3%, respectively. Multivariate analysis through logistic regression that included age, direct indication, MELD, and primary liver morbidity revealed statistically significant female to male Odds-Ratio of 0.4 in 30 days, 6 m mortality and a statistically significant higher long-term survival.

Conclusions

Our observations revealed better female outcomes, namely, lower short-term mortality and higher long-term survival. Given the consistency after stratification and given the multivariate analysis, this is unlikely to be attributable to confounders. Such findings suggesting consistently better female outcomes have not been previously reported; hence, multi center study is encouraged.

•

Gender outcome disparities after liver transplantation (LT) is debated.

•

We present retrospective cohort of 240 consecutive LT in a single center.

•

We found significant lower short-term mortality rates and better long-term survival in women.

•

The outcome disparity was consistent in most underlying liver diseases.

•

We had not identified factors that may confound sex outcome disparity.

"Beyond MELD" - Emerging strategies and technologies for improving mortality prediction, organ allocation and outcomes in liver transplantation

In this review article, we discuss the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and its dual purpose in general and transplant hepatology. As the landscape of liver disease and transplantation has evolved considerably since the advent of the MELD score, we summarise emerging concepts, methodologies, and technologies that may improve mortality prognostication in the future. Finally, we explore how these novel concepts and technologies may be incorporated into clinical practice.

Clinical complications of liver disease in adults after the Fontan operation

Background

The natural history and complications of Fontan-associated liver disease (FALD) are not well-characterized. We aim to describe the incidence and prevalence of and risk factors for adverse liver-related complications in FALD.

Methods

This is a single-center, retrospective cohort study of adult Fontan patients followed in an adult congenital heart disease center from 2006 to 2019. The primary outcome was clinical complications of liver disease (CCLD) defined as portal hypertension (pHTN)-related ascites, pHTN-related gastrointestinal bleeding, hepatic encephalopathy, or hepatocellular carcinoma. We also explored the composite outcome of CCLD, transplantation, or death.

Results

Among 182 adult Fontan patients (46% female), median time from Fontan to first liver evaluation was 25.5 years (interquartile range [IQR] 22.3-30.4) with median subsequent follow-up of 4.1 years (IQR 2.5-7.6). There were 14 CCLD, 6 heart-liver and 1 heart transplant, and 16 deaths. The cumulative incidence of CCLD and the composite outcome were 2.6 per 1000-person years and 6.2 per 1000 person-years, respectively. Median time from Fontan to CCLD was 26.8 years (IQR 23.1-31.2), and to the composite outcome 26.6 years (IQR 23.1-30.5). Prior diuretic use was associated with the development of CCLD (hazard ratio [HR] 10.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.25-80.22, P 0.030). Diuretic use (HR 16.47, 95% CI 3.90-69.57, P < 0.001), thrombocytopenia (HR 2.30, 95% CI 1.05-5.01, P 0.036), and cyanosis (HR 5.68, 95% CI 2.47-13.08, P < 0.001) were associated with the composite outcome.

Conclusion

We identified clinical factors associated with adverse outcomes in FALD that may help guide early recognition of complications and clinical management.

Hyponatremia in Cirrhosis

Hyponatremia is the most common electrolyte disorder encountered in clinical practice, and it is a common complication of cirrhosis reflecting an increase in nonosmotic secretion of arginine vasopressin as a result of of the circulatory dysfunction that is characteristic of advanced liver disease. Hyponatremia in cirrhosis has been associated with poor clinical outcomes including increased risk of morbidity and mortality, poor quality of life, and heightened health care utilization. Despite this, the treatment of hyponatremia in cirrhosis remains challenging as conventional therapies such as fluid restriction are frequently ineffective. In this review, we discuss the epidemiology, clinical outcomes, pathogenesis, etiology, evaluation, and management of hyponatremia in cirrhosis.

Assessment of pathogens and risk factors associated with bloodstream infection in the year after pediatric liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

Bloodstream infection (BSI) is one of the most significantly adverse events that can occur after liver transplantation (LT) in children.

AIM

To analyze the profile of BSI according to the postoperative periods and assess the risk factors after pediatric LT.

METHODS

Clinical data, collected from medical charts of children (n = 378) who underwent primary LT, were retrospectively reviewed. The primary outcome considered was BSI in the first year after LT. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify risk factors for BSI and respective odds ratios (ORs).

RESULTS

Of the examined patients, 106 (28%) experienced 162 episodes of pathogen-confirmed BSI during the first year after LT. There were 1.53 ± 0.95 episodes per children (mean ± SD) among BSI-complicated patients with a median onset of 0.4 mo post-LT. The most common pathogenic organisms identified were Coagulase-negative staphylococci, followed by Enterococcus spp. and Streptococcus spp. About half (53%) of the BSIs were of unknown origin. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that young age (≤ 1.3 year; OR = 2.1, P = 0.011), growth failure (OR = 2.1, P = 0.045), liver support system (OR = 4.2, P = 0.008), and hospital stay of > 44 d (OR = 2.3, P = 0.002) were independently associated with BSI in the year after LT.

CONCLUSION

BSI was frequently observed in patients after pediatric LT, affecting survival outcomes. The profile of BSI may inform clinical treatment and management in high-risk children after LT.

Prognostic value of albumin-related ratios in HBV-associated decompensated cirrhosis

Background

Identification of effective and accurate prognostic biomarkers for hepatitis B virus‐associated decompensated cirrhosis (HBV‐DeCi) is challenging. This study was designed to determine and compare the prognostic value of albumin‐related ratios (blood urea nitrogen‐to‐albumin ratio [BAR], C‐reactive protein‐to‐albumin ratio [CAR], prothrombin time‐international normalized ratio‐to‐albumin ratio [PTAR], neutrophil count‐to‐albumin ratio [NAR], and D‐dimer‐to‐albumin ratio [DAR]) in HBV‐DeCi patients.

Methods

We retrospectively recruited 161 HBV‐DeCi patients. Receiver operating characteristic curve, DeLong test, and Cox regression analyses were used to estimate and compare the predictive value of these five albumin‐related ratios and Model for End‐Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score.

Results

A total of 29 (18.0%) patients had died 30 days after admission. The prognostic roles of CAR, DAR, PTAR, NAR, and BAR in HBV‐DeCi were different. CAR, PTAR, NAR, and BAR were significantly higher in non‐survivors compared with survivors. However, DAR did not differ between the two groups. The predictive power of BAR was superior to that of the other four albumin‐related biomarkers and similar to that of MELD score. On multivariate analysis, BAR and MELD score were identified as independent prognostic factors, and the combination of BAR and MELD score may improve the prognostic accuracy in HBV‐DeCi.

Conclusion

The present findings suggest that BAR may be a simple and useful prognostic tool to predict mortality in HBV‐DeCi patients.

The Impact of Median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease at Transplant Minus 3 National Policy on Waitlist Outcomes in Patients With and Without Hepatocellular Carcinoma

As a result of ongoing regional disparities, the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) implemented policy in May 2019 limiting exception points for waitlisted patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease at transplant in the area surrounding a transplant center minus 3 points (MMAT-3). The impact of this policy change remains unknown. We included adult patients with HCC (n = 4567) and without HCC (n = 19,773) in the UNOS database added to the waiting list before this policy change (May 7, 2017-May 18, 2019) and after (May 19, 2019-March 7, 2020). Cumulative incidence analysis estimated the probability of dropout within 1 year of listing decreased from 12.9% before the policy to 11.1% after the policy in candidates without HCC and from 14% to 10.7% in candidates with HCC. Incidence rates of liver transplantation (LT) and waitlist dropout varied significantly before the policy in patients with HCC and without HCC but nearly equalized in the postpolicy era. These effects were observed in both shorter and longer wait regions. With policy change being modeled as a time-dependent covariate, competing risk regression analyses estimated a decreased risk of dropout after policy change in the non-HCC group (cause-specific hazard ratio, 0.91; P = 0.02) after adjusting for demographic variables. These results suggest that the MMAT-3 policy has successfully reduced disparities in access to LT including across UNOS wait regions, although certain patients with HCC are now disadvantaged.

Clinical characteristics of neonatal cholestasis in a tertiary hospital and the development of a novel prediction model for mortality

Background

Few studies have described the aetiologies of neonatal cholestasis, and the overall neonatal cholestasis-related mortality (NCM) rate is unclear. We investigated the aetiology and outcome of neonatal cholestasis in a tertiary hospital and developed an NCM prediction model for these patients.

Methods

Patients aged <100 days with serum direct bilirubin (DB) levels of >1.0 mg/dL were retrospectively screened. Diagnostic and laboratory data during the 8-week follow-up period after enrolment between 2005 and 2020 were extracted digitally, and medical charts were reviewed manually by clinicians. Logistic regression was used to derive a prediction model for the 1-year mortality outcome of neonatal cholestasis, and performance evaluation and external validation were conducted for the NCM prediction model.

Findings

We enrolled 4028 neonates with DB of >1.0 mg/dL at least once. Prematurity and birth injury (35.4%), complex heart anomalies (18.6%), liver diseases (11.4%), and gastrointestinal anomalies (9.2%) were the most common aetiologies; 398 (9.9%) patients died before one year of age. The peak value of DB was positively correlated to the 1-year mortality rate. In the multivariate analysis, simple laboratory indices, including platelet, prothrombin time, aspartate aminotransferase, albumin, direct bilirubin, creatinine, and C-reactive protein, were independent predictors of 1-year mortality outcome of complete-case subjects. Using these laboratory indices, a logistic regression-based NCM prediction model was constructed. It showed acceptable performances on discrimination (area under the curve, 0.916), calibration (slope, 1.04) and Brier scoring (0.072). The external validation of the sample (n = 920) from two other centres also revealed similar performance profiles of the NCM model.

Interpretation

Various aetiologies of neonatal cholestasis were identified in a tertiary hospital, resulting in unfavourable outcomes of a large proportion. The NCM prediction model may have the potential to help clinicians to be aware of high-risk neonatal cholestasis.

Low Hemoglobin-to-Red Cell Distribution Width Ratio Is Associated with Mortality in Patients with HBV-Related Decompensated Cirrhosis

Background

The prognostic role of hemoglobin-to-red blood cell distribution width ratio (HRR) in HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DeCi) has not been established. The present study is aimed at determining the potential of HRR as a predictive factor for the prognosis of HBV-DeCi patients.

Methods

The study included 177 HBV-DeCi patients. The clinical outcome was death at 30 days. Multivariate regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis were applied to assess the predictive value of HRR for poor outcomes.

Results

A total of 26 patients (14.7%) had died by 30 days. Patients with unfavorable outcomes had lower HRR than patients with favorable outcomes. Multivariate analysis revealed that HRR and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score were independently associated with poor outcomes. Combination of HRR and MELD score may improve prognostic accuracy in HBV-DeCi.

Conclusions

The present findings indicate that low HRR may be a promising predictor for mortality in HBV-DeCi patients.

Preoperative hyperlactatemia and early mortality after liver transplantation: selection of important variables using random forest survival analysis

Background

Generally, lactate levels > 2 mmol/L represent hyperlactatemia, whereas lactic acidosis is often defined as lactate > 4 mmol/L. Although hyperlactatemia is common finding in liver transplant (LT) candidates, association between lactate and organ failures with Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) is poorly studied. We searched the important variables for pre-LT hyperlactatemia and examined the impact of preoperative hyperlactatemia on early mortality after LT.

Methods

A total of 2,002 patients from LT registry between January 2008 and February 2019 were analyzed. Six organ failures (liver, kidney, brain, coagulation, circulation, and lung) were defined by criteria of EASL-CLIF ACLF Consortium. Variable importance of preoperative hyperlactatemia was examined by machine learning using random survival forest (RSF). Kaplan-Meier Survival curve analysis was performed to assess 90-day mortality.

Results

Median lactate level was 1.9 mmol/L (interquartile range: 1.4, 2.4 mmol/L) and 107 (5.3%) patients showed > 4.0 mmol/L. RSF analysis revealed that the four most important variables for hyperlactatemia were MELD score, circulatory failure, hemoglobin, and respiratory failure. The 30-day and 90-day mortality rates were 2.7% and 5.1%, whereas patients with lactate > 4.0 mmol/L showed increased rate of 15.0% and 19.6%, respectively.

Conclusion

About 50% and 5% of LT candidates showed pre-LT hyperlactatemia of > 2.0 mmol/L and > 4.0 mmol/L, respectively. Pre-LT lactate > 4.0 mmol/L was associated with increased early post-LT mortality. Our results suggest that future study of correcting modifiable risk factors may play a role in preventing hyperlactatemia and lowering early mortality after LT.

[Risk factors of surgical treatment in patients with liver cirrhosis]

OBJECTIVE

To optimize selection of patient for surgical treatment of comorbidities and complications of liver cirrhosis (LC) via analysis of perioperative risk factors.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

There were 610 patients with LC and comorbidities who underwent surgical treatment between 2015 and 2021 at the Regional Clinical Hospital No. 2. Thirty (4.9%) patients died. We analyzed Child-Pugh and MELD scores, Mayo Postoperative Surgical Risk Score and Charlson comorbidity index to predict postoperative mortality.

RESULTS

Perioperative risk in patients with LC depends on the type of surgery, degree of surgical invasiveness, liver function, and severity of LC-associated complications.

CONCLUSION

A thorough preoperative assessment of patients and adequate perioperative management are required to reduce the risk of mortality.

liver cirrhosis, surgical treatment, risk factors.

Measuring the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on solid organ transplantation

Background

The COVID-19 pandemic has uniquely affected the United States. We hypothesize that transplantation would be uniquely affected.

Methods

In this population-based cohort study, adult transplantation data were examined as time series data. Autoregressive-integrated-moving-average models of transplantation rates were developed using data from 1990 to 2019 to forecast the 2020 expected rates in a theoretical scenario if the pandemic did not occur to generate observed-to-expected (O/E) ratios.

Results

32,594 transplants were expected in 2020, and only 30,566 occurred (O/E 0.94, CI 0.88–0.99). 58,152 waitlist registrations were expected and 50,241 occurred (O/E 0.86, CI 0.80–0.94). O/E ratios of transplants were kidney 0.92 (0.86–0.98), liver 0.96 (0.89–1.04), heart 1.05 (0.91–1.23), and lung 0.92 (0.82–1.04). O/E ratios of registrations were kidney 0.84 (0.77–0.93), liver 0.95 (0.86–1.06), heart 0.99 (0.85–1.18), and lung 0.80 (0.70–0.94).

Conclusions

The COVID-19 pandemic was associated with a significant deficit in transplantation. The impact was strongest in kidney transplantation and waitlist registration.

Performance of the model for end-stage liver disease score for mortality prediction and the potential role of etiology

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Although the discriminative ability of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score is generally considered acceptable, its calibration is still unclear. In a validation study, we assessed the discriminative performance and calibration of 3 versions of the model: original MELD-TIPS, used to predict survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS); classic MELD-Mayo; and MELD-UNOS, used by the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS). We also explored recalibrating and updating the model.

METHODS

In total, 776 patients who underwent elective TIPS (TIPS cohort) and 445 unselected patients (non-TIPS cohort) were included. Three, 6 and 12-month mortality predictions were calculated by the 3 MELD versions: discrimination was assessed by c-statistics and calibration by comparing deciles of predicted and observed risks. Cox and Fine and Grey models were used for recalibration and prognostic analyses.

RESULTS

In the TIPS/non-TIPS cohorts, the etiology of liver disease was viral in 402/188, alcoholic in 185/130, and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis in 65/33; mean follow-up±SD was 25±9/19±21 months; and the number of deaths at 3-6-12 months was 57-102-142/31-47-99, respectively. C-statistics ranged from 0.66 to 0.72 in TIPS and 0.66 to 0.76 in non-TIPS cohorts across prediction times and scores. A post hoc analysis revealed worse c-statistics in non-viral cirrhosis with more pronounced and significant worsening in the non-TIPS cohort. Calibration was acceptable with MELD-TIPS but largely unsatisfactory with MELD-Mayo and -UNOS whose performance improved much after recalibration. A prognostic analysis showed that age, albumin, and TIPS indication might be used to update the MELD.

CONCLUSIONS

In this validation study, the performance of the MELD score was largely unsatisfactory, particularly in non-viral cirrhosis. MELD recalibration and candidate variables for an update to the MELD score are proposed.

LAY SUMMARY

While the discriminative performance of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score is credited to be fair to good, its calibration, the correspondence of observed to predicted mortality, is still unsettled. We found that application of 3 different versions of the MELD in 2 independent cirrhosis cohorts yielded largely imprecise mortality predictions particularly in non-viral cirrhosis. Thus, we propose a recalibration and suggest candidate variables for an update to the model.

Sex Disparity in Liver Transplant and Access to Living Donation

Importance

The Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD)-based organ allocation system has significantly decreased mortality on the transplant waiting list for patients with end-stage liver disease. However, women have remained at a disadvantage with respect to access to deceased donor liver transplant (DDLT) even after introduction of the MELD score for organ allocation.

Objective

To determine whether availability of living donation in a transplant program can offset inequity in liver transplant (LT) allocation for women.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study retrospectively analyzed adult patients listed for LT at the University Health Network in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Patients included had a potential living donor (pLD) at the moment of listing. This study was performed from November 13, 2012, to May 31, 2019. A total of 1289 listed patients (830 men; 459 women) were analyzed during the study period.

Main Outcomes and Measures

This study performed survival analysis and competing-risk analysis to delineate how access to livers from living donors was associated with events in women vs men on the transplant waiting list (LT, death, or dropout).

Results

Of 1289 included patients, 459 (35.6%) were women, and the mean (SD) age was 56.1 (10.0) years at assessment and listing. A total of 783 of 1289 listed patients underwent LT. Among those with no pLD at assessment, there was a higher median (range) Model for End-stage Liver Disease incorporating sodium levels (MELD-Na) score at listing (22 [6-50] vs 19 [6-50]; P < .001) and at LT (27 [6-49] vs 20 [6-52]; P < .001) in women receiving DDLT. Women were at a significant disadvantage without a pLD (hazard ratio [HR], 1.29; 95% CI, 1.04-1.60; P = .01); there was no difference in access to LT with availability of a pLD (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.76,-1.14; P = .44). The instantaneous rate of receiving a transplant in men with a pLD was 1.39 times higher than men who did not have a pLD (HR, 1.39; 95% CI; P < .001) and the instantaneous rate of receiving a transplant in women with a pLD was 1.92 times higher than in women who did not (HR, 1.92; 95% CI, 1.51-2.44; P < .001). The HR was 1.38 times higher in women compared with men across the MELD-Na score strata (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.03-1.84; P = .03) and 2.04 times higher when the MELD-Na score was less than 20 (HR, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.31-3.14; P = .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

These study findings suggest that women can overcome the complex problem of allocation inequity with access to livers from living donors. Women with access only to DDLT were much more unwell than men independent of liver disease at the time of listing, dropout, or LT. Therefore, the wider availability of living donation liver transplant would be helpful in addressing the sex disparity in access to LT in the current MELD-Na era.

MELD is MELD is MELD? Transplant center-level variation in waitlist mortality for candidates with the same biological MELD

Recently, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD)-based liver allocation in the United States has been questioned based on concerns that waitlist mortality for a given biologic MELD (bMELD), calculated using laboratory values alone, might be higher at certain centers in certain locations across the country. Therefore, we aimed to quantify the center-level variation in bMELD-predicted mortality risk. Using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) data from January 2015 to December 2019, we modeled mortality risk in 33 260 adult, first-time waitlisted candidates from 120 centers using multilevel Poisson regression, adjusting for sex, and time-varying age and bMELD. We calculated a "MELD correction factor" using each center's random intercept and bMELD coefficient. A MELD correction factor of +1 means that center's candidates have a higher-than-average bMELD-predicted mortality risk equivalent to 1 bMELD point. We found that the "MELD correction factor" median (IQR) was 0.03 (-0.47, 0.52), indicating almost no center-level variation. The number of centers with "MELD correction factors" within ±0.5 points, and between ±0.5-± 1, ±1.0-±1.5, and ±1.5-±2.0 points was 62, 41, 13, and 4, respectively. No centers had waitlisted candidates with a higher-than-average bMELD-predicted mortality risk beyond ±2 bMELD points. Given that bMELD similarly predicts waitlist mortality at centers across the country, our results support continued MELD-based prioritization of waitlisted candidates irrespective of center.

New prognostic factor for hepatitis B virus-related decompensated cirrhosis: Ratio of monocytes to HDL-cholesterol

Aim

Hepatitis B virus‐related decompensated cirrhosis (HBV‐DeCi) has a high mortality rate, and it remains a challenge to predict its outcomes in clinical practice. We aimed to determine the association between monocyte‐to‐HDL‐cholesterol ratio (MHR) and short‐term prognosis in HBV‐DeCi patients.

Methods

A total of 145 HBV‐DeCi patients were enrolled. A multivariate analysis was performed to identify predictors of mortality. The findings were validated by a receiver operating characteristic analysis using the area under the curve (AUC).

Results

A total of 20 (13.8%) patients had died 30 days after admission. MHR was markedly increased in the non‐survivors compared with the survivors. In the multivariate analysis, MHR was identified as an independent risk factor for mortality, with a significant predictive value (AUC = 0.825; sensitivity, 90.0%; specificity, 62.4%).

Conclusions

Elevated MHR is associated with increased mortality rate in HBV‐DeCi patients.

Impact of portal hypertension on short- and long-term outcomes after liver resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: A propensity score matching analysis

Objective

We explored the impact of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) on short‐ and long‐term outcomes of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after liver resection (LR).

Methods

Data of 352 ICC patients with cirrhosis who underwent LR were extracted from the Primary Liver Cancer Big Data (PLCBD) between 2005 and 2015 and reviewed. A nomogram based on logistic analyses was developed to illustrate the influencing factors of post‐hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). The impact of CSPH on long‐term survival was explored through propensity score matching (PSM) analysis, log‐rank test, Cox proportional hazards model, and Kaplan–Meier curves.

Results

A total of 106 patients had CSPH, and 246 patients did not. A nomogram established based on GGT level, CSPH, intraoperative blood loss, and multiple tumors had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.721 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.630–0.812), which displayed a better PHLF predictive value than the MELD score (0.639, 95% CI = 0.532–0.747) and Child–Pugh score (0.612, 95% CI = 0.506–0.719). Moreover, the patients with CSPH had worse overall survival (OS) rates than the patients without CSPH in the whole cohort (p = 0.011) and PSM cohort (p = 0.017). After PSM, multivariable Cox analyses identified that CSPH was an independent risk factor for OS (hazard ratio = 1.585, 95% CI = 1.107–2.269; p = 0.012).

Conclusion

CSPH is a significant risk factor for PHLF and OS in ICC patients with cirrhosis after surgery. Selecting the proper patients before operation can effectively avoid PHLF and improve the prognosis of ICC.

Association of Low High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Levels with Poor Outcomes in Hepatitis B-Associated Decompensated Cirrhosis Patients

Background

Lipid levels become decreased in cirrhotic patients and are correlated with disease severity. In the present study, we investigated the impact of serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) on prognosis in patients with HBV-associated decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DeCi).

Methods

The medical records of 153 HBV-DeCi patients were analyzed. Patients were separated into survivors and nonsurvivors according to their 30-day survival. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify predictors of poor outcomes, and the performance of these predictors was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

Results

The 30-day mortality in the cohort was 18.9%. HDL-C levels differed markedly between survivors and nonsurvivors. On multivariate analysis, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and HDL-C level were identified as independent risk factors for mortality in HBV-DeCi patients. In the ROC analyses, the prognostic accuracy for mortality was similar between HDL-C (area under ROC curve: 0.785) and MELD score (area under ROC curve: 0.853).

Conclusions

Low HDL-C level had a significant correlation with mortality in HBV-DeCi patients and can be used as a simple marker for risk assessment and selection of therapeutic options.

Sarco-Model: A score to predict the dropout risk in the perspective of organ allocation in patients awaiting liver transplantation

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Sarcopenia in liver transplantation (LT) cirrhotic candidates has been connected with higher dropouts and graft losses after transplant. The study aims to create an 'urgency' model combining sarcopenia and Model for End-stage Liver Disease Sodium (MELDNa) to predict the risk of dropout and identify an appropriate threshold of post-LT futility.

METHODS

A total of 1087 adult cirrhotic patients were listed for a first LT during January 2012 to December 2018. The study population was split into a training (n = 855) and a validation set (n = 232).

RESULTS

Using a competing-risk analysis of cause-specific hazards, we created the Sarco-Model2 . According to the model, one extra point of MELDNa was added for each 0.5 cm2 /m2 reduction of total psoas area (TPA) < 6.0 cm2 /m2 . At external validation, the Sarco-Model2 showed the best diagnostic ability for predicting the risk of 3-month dropout in patients with MELDNa < 20 (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.93; P = .003). Using the net reclassification improvement, 14.3% of dropped-out patients were correctly reclassified using the Sarco-Model2 . As for the futility threshold, transplanted patients with TPA < 6.0 cm2 /m2 and MELDNa 35-40 (n = 16/833, 1.9%) had the worse results (6-month graft loss = 25.5%).

CONCLUSIONS

In sarcopenic patients with MELDNa < 20, the 'urgency' Sarco-Model2 should be used to prioritize the list, while MELDNa value should be preferred in patients with MELDNa ≥ 20. The Sarco-Model2 played a role in more than 30% of the cases in the investigated allocation scenario. In sarcopenic patients with a MELDNa value of 35-40, 'futile' transplantation should be considered.

A Comparison of Prognostic Scores (Mayo, UK-PBC, and GLOBE) in Primary Biliary Cholangitis

INTRODUCTION

Comparative data on scores that predict outcome in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) are scarce. We aimed to assess and compare the prognostic value of the Mayo Risk Score (MRS, 1989 and 1994), UK-PBC score, and GLOBE score in a large international cohort of patients with PBC.

METHODS

Ursodeoxycholic acid-treated patients from 7 centers participating in the GLOBAL PBC Study Group were included. The discriminatory performance of the scores was assessed with concordance statistics at yearly intervals up to 5 years. Model for End-stage Liver Disease was included for comparison. Prediction accuracy was assessed by comparing predicted survival and actual survival in Kaplan-Meier analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 1,100 ursodeoxycholic acid-treated patients with PBC were included, with a mean (SD) age of 53.6 (12.0) years, of whom 1,003 (91%) were female. During a median follow-up of 7.6 (interquartile range 4.1-11.7) years, 42 patients underwent liver transplantation, and 127 patients died. At 1 year, the concordance statistic for Model for End-stage Liver Disease was 0.68 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.64-0.72), 0.74 (95% CI 0.67-0.80) for the UK-PBC score, 0.76 (95% CI 0.72-0.81) for the MRS (1989 and 1994), and 0.80 (95% CI 0.76-0.84) for the GLOBE score. The GLOBE score showed superior discriminatory performance, but differences were not statistically different. For all scores, discriminatory performance increased in those with bilirubin >0.6 × ULN and advanced fibrosis estimated with Fibrosis-4. The predicted (median) minus observed 5-year transplant-free survival was +0.4% and +2.5% for the MRS (1989) and GLOBE score, respectively.

DISCUSSION

All prognostic scores developed for PBC (GLOBE, UK-PBC, and MRS) demonstrated comparable discriminating performance for liver transplantation or death as well as good prediction accuracy.

Creatinine-lactate score predicts mortality in non-acetaminophen-induced acute liver failure in patients listed for liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to analyze prognostic indicators of in-hospital mortality among patients listed for urgent liver transplantation (LT) for non-acetaminophen (APAP)-induced acute liver failure (ALF).

METHODS

ALF patients listed for LT according to the King's College Criteria were retrospectively reviewed. Variables were recorded from medical records and electronic databases (HCMED and RedCap).

RESULTS

The study included 100 patients, of which 69 were subject to LT and 31 died while waiting for LT. Patients were 35.5 ± 14.73 years old, and 78% were females. The main etiologies were virus (17%), drug-induced (32%), autoimmune (15%), and indeterminate hepatitis (31%). The prioritization-to-LT time interval was 1.5 days (0-9). The non-LT patients showed higher lactate (8.71 ± 5.36 vs. 4.48 ± 3.33 mmol/L), creatinine (229 ± 207 vs. 137 ± 136 µm/L), MELD (44 ± 8 vs. 38 ± 8), and BiLE scores (15.8 ± 5.5 vs. 10.3 ± 4.1) compared to LT patients (p < 0.05). Multiple logistic regression analysis identified creatinine and lactate as independent prognostic factors, and a creatinine-lactate (CL) score was developed. ROC analysis showed that creatinine, lactate, MELD, BiLE, and CL scores had considerable specificity (71-88%), but only BiLE, lactate, and CL presented high sensitivities (70%, 80%, and 87% respectively). AUCs were 0.696 for creatinine, 0.763 for lactate, 0.697 for MELD, 0.814 for BiLE, and 0.835 for CL.

CONCLUSIONS

CL and BiLE scores predict mortality with more accuracy than MELD in patients with ALF during prioritization time. Creatinine and lactate are independent prognostic factors for mortality.

Long-term outcome of Wilson's disease complicated by liver disease

Background and Aim

Wilson's disease (WD) is a rare inherited disease that causes systemic copper accumulation. This study examined the long‐term course of WD patients with liver disease.

Methods

The 12 patients (9 female patients) enrolled in the study had a median age of 28 years (range: 19–57 years) at their first visit to our hospital. Clinical course and fibrosis markers were assessed in all patients.

Results

The median age at diagnosis was 24 years (range: 5–42 years). One patient had acute liver failure (ALF) and 11 patients had chronic liver disease (CLD, 5 with cirrhosis). The patients were followed‐up for >20 years. The patient with ALF underwent liver transplantation; the postoperative course during the subsequent 20 years was good. Of the six patients with CLD, liver cirrhosis developed in four patients with interrupted chelating therapy. Two of the patients with cirrhosis died; one of these two patients died at 21 years after liver transplantation. However, the remaining patients with continued treatment exhibited a favorable clinical course for 30 years and none developed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The duration of chelation therapy was significantly negatively correlated (P < 0.05) with the fibrosis‐4 index or aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) score at the last visit; lower values were indicative of greater treatment success. Patients with an APRI score ≥1.5 had a significantly worse prognosis (P < 0.05).

Conclusion

Long‐term survival of patients with WD was achieved without worsened liver function or carcinogenesis with appropriate treatment. Treatment disruption should be avoided.

Lactated Ringer's solution versus normal saline in pediatric living-donor liver transplantation: A matched retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

In pediatric living-donor liver transplantation, lactated Ringer's solution and normal saline are commonly used for intraoperative fluid management, but the comparative clinical outcomes remain uncertain.

AIMS

To compare the effect between lactated Ringer's solution and normal saline for intraoperative volume replacement on clinical outcomes among pediatric living-donor liver transplantation patients.

METHODS

This single-center, retrospective trial study enrolled children who received either lactated Ringer's solution or normal saline during living-donor liver transplantation between January 2010 and August 2016. The groups with comparable clinical characteristics were balanced by propensity score matching. The primary outcome was 90-day all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcomes included early allograft dysfunction, primary nonfunction, acute renal injury, and hospital-free days (days alive postdischarge within 30 days of liver transplantation).

RESULTS

We included 333 pediatric patients who met the entry criteria for analysis. Propensity score matching identified 61 patients in each group. After matching, the lactated Ringer's solution group had a higher 90-day mortality rate than the normal saline group (11.5% vs. 0.0%). Early allograft dysfunction and primary nonfunction incidences were also more frequent in the lactated Ringer's solution group (19.7% and 11.5%, respectively) than in the normal saline group (3.3% and 0.0%, respectively). In the lactated Ringer's solution group, four (6.6%) recipients developed acute renal injury within 7 days postoperatively compared with three (4.9%) recipients in the normal saline group. Hospital-free days did not differ between groups (9 days [1-13] vs. 9 days [0-12]).

CONCLUSIONS

For intraoperative fluid management in pediatric living-donor liver transplantation patients, lactated Ringer's solution administration was associated with a higher 90-day mortality rate than normal saline. This finding has important implications for selecting crystalloid in pediatric living-donor liver transplantation. Further randomized clinical trials in larger cohort are necessary to confirm this finding.

Outcomes of curative liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Given the poor synthetic function of cirrhotic liver, successful resection for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) necessitates the ability to achieve resections with tumor free margins.

AIM

To validate post hepatectomy liver failure score (PHLF), compare it to other established systems and to stratify risks in patients with cirrhosis who underwent curative liver resection for HCC.

METHODS

Between December 2010 and January 2017, 120 patients underwent curative resection for HCC in patients with cirrhosis were included, the pre-operative, operative and post-operative factors were recorded to stratify patients' risks of decompensation, survival, and PHLF.

RESULTS

The preoperative model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score [odds ratio (OR) = 2.7, 95%CI: 1.2-5.7, P = 0.013], tumor diameter (OR = 5.4, 95%CI: 2-14.8, P = 0.001) and duration of hospital stay (OR = 2.5, 95%CI: 1.5-4.2, P = 0.001) were significant independent predictors of hepatic decompensation after resection. While the preoperative MELD score [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.37, 95%CI: 1.16-1.62, P < 0.001] and different grades of PHLF (grade A: HR = 2.33, 95%CI: 0.59-9.24; Grade B: HR = 3.15, 95%CI: 1.11-8.95; Grade C: HR = 373.41, 95%CI: 66.23-2105.43; P < 0.001) and HCC recurrence (HR = 11.67, 95%CI: 4.19-32.52, P < 0.001) were significant independent predictors for survival.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative MELD score and tumor diameter can independently predict hepatic decompensation. While, preoperative MELD score, different grades of PHLF and HCC recurrence can precisely predict survival.

Usefulness of International Normalized Ratio to Albumin Ratio for Evaluation of Mortality in Hepatitis B Virus-Associated Decompensated Cirrhosis

Background

We sought to determine the prognostic value of prothrombin time-international normalized ratio to albumin ratio (PTAR) in patients with hepatitis B virus-associated decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DeCi).

Methods

The study enrolled 166 HBV-DeCi patients. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to identify predictors associated with mortality.

Results

Among the 166 HBV-DeCi patients, 27 (16.3%) had died by 30 days after admission. PTAR was markedly increased in nonsurvivors compared with survivors, and had a significant positive correlation with disease severity. Multivariate analysis identified PTAR as an effective independent predictor for mortality in HBV-DeCi patients.

Conclusions

High PTAR was associated with poor outcomes and can act as a novel prognostic predictor for mortality in HBV-DeCi patients.

Serum potassium levels and prognosis in HBV-associated decompensated cirrhosis

Background

Serum potassium disorders are commonly seen in patients with advanced cirrhosis and have a detrimental effect on clinical outcome, but its role in HBV‐related decompensated cirrhosis (DeCi) is remained to be illustrated. We aim to assess the effects of serum potassium on outcomes in HBV‐DeCi patients.

Methods

Retrospective study included 155 subjects. Multivariate analysis was used to determine the independent prognostic factor. Predictive ability of mortality for variables was determined using the receiver operating characteristics curves.

Results

The 30‐day in‐hospital mortality was 12.9%. Serum potassium levels differed markedly between survivors and non‐survivors. On multivariate analysis, Model for End‐Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and serum potassium level were identified as independent predictors of outcomes in HBV‐DeCi patients. The combination of serum potassium and MELD score could improve prognostic accuracy in these patients.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that serum potassium is an effective predictor for poor outcomes in HBV‐DeCi patients.

Enhanced Recovery after Surgery: History, Key Advancements and Developments in Transplant Surgery

Enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) aims to improve patient outcomes by controlling specific aspects of perioperative care. The concept was introduced in 1997 by Henrik Kehlet, who suggested that while minor changes in perioperative practise have no significant impact alone, incorporating multiple changes could drastically improve outcomes. Since 1997, significant advancements have been made through the foundation of the ERAS Society, responsible for creating consensus guidelines on the implementation of enhanced recovery pathways. ERAS reduces length of stay by an average of 2.35 days and healthcare costs by $639.06 per patient, as identified in a 2020 meta-analysis of ERAS across multiple surgical subspecialties. Carbohydrate loading, bowel preparation and patient education in the pre-operative phase, goal-directed fluid therapy in the intra-operative phase, and early mobilisation and enteral nutrition in the post-operative phase are some of the interventions that are commonly implemented in ERAS protocols. While many specialties have been quick to incorporate ERAS, uptake has been slow in the transplantation field, leading to a scarcity of literature. Recent studies reported a 47% reduction in length of hospital stay (LOS) in liver transplantation patients treated with ERAS, while progress in kidney transplantation focuses on pain management and its incorporation into enhanced recovery protocols.

Increased Circulating T Follicular Helper Cells Induced via IL-12/21 in Patients With Acute on Chronic Hepatitis B Liver Failure

Objectives

T Follicular helper (Tfh) cells, recognized as a distinct CD4⁺ T cell subset, mediate the development of long-lived humoral immunity via B cell activation/differentiation. Tfh cells play an important role during hepatic viral infection, but its role in hepatitis B virus-related acute on chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) remains to be explored.

Materials and Methods

The frequency of Tfh cells, serum pro-inflammatory cytokine (IL-12, IL-21, IL-17 and TNF) levels and IgG/M levels were investigated in HBV-ACLF (n = 36), serious chronic hepatitis B (n = 21), moderate chronic hepatitis B patients (n = 32) and healthy control (HC) subjects (n = 10).

Results

Circulating Tfh cells were significantly increased in HBV-ACLF patients compared to other groups, correlating well with MELD score. However, the frequency of Tfh cells decreased in ameliorated HBV-ACLF patients. Furthermore, serum IL-12 and IL-21 levels were higher in HBV-ACLF patients, compared to other groups. Naïve CD4⁺ T cells from HC subjects differentiate into Tfh cells following treatment with HBV-ACLF patients’ serum, a process that can be blocked by IL-12/21 neutralizing antibodies. Tfh cells induced by HBV-ACLF patient’s serum promoted the proliferation and IgG production of B cells in vitro. Moreover, circulating CD19⁺ B cells, serum and liver IgG/M levels were significantly higher in HBV-ACLF patients, compared to other groups.

Conclusions

Our data demonstrated that there was a high frequency of Tfh cells and high levels of serum IL-12/21 in HBV-ACLF patients. Naïve CD4⁺ T cells differentiate into Tfh cells in the presence of HBV-ACLF patients’ serum rich in IL-12/21, which can be blocked by neutralizing IL-12/21 antibodies. These data may provide useful insights for both clinical and basic research in the treatment of HBV-ACLF.

Internal split liver transplants reduce the waiting list time for teenagers with a low calculated Model for End-stage Liver Disease score

BACKGROUND

Split liver transplantation allows for the simultaneous transplantation of two patients, typically a child and an adult, with a single organ. We report our experience with "internal splits" in which 10 pediatric patients from our institution were transplanted with five organs. We hypothesized that this would reduce the WL time for teenagers with a low calculated MELD score.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review of those 10 patients was done. Their WL time was compared with local, regional, and national data. P < .05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

The median age of the five primary recipients to whom the liver was first allocated was 2.3 years (0.7-7.4) (median weight 10.4 kg (8.4-17.7)). They received a segment 2-3 graft. Five "secondary" recipients (median age 17.4 years (16.6-18.9); median weight 66.2 kg (53.7-70.0)) were identified on our WL to receive the trisector graft. At transplant, their median calculated MELD score was 11 (8-20). Their mean WL time (241.6 ± 218.9 days) was significantly shorter than local (480.6 ± 833.6 days), regional (370.4 ± 563.4 days), and national patients (245.6 ± 465.4 days) with MELD ≤ 20 (P = .047). There was no significant difference between their WL time and that of patients with a MELD 8 ≤ x≤31 (equivalent to their median exception score, P = .63). Patient and graft survival was 100% for all 10 patients.

CONCLUSION

In our experience, simultaneous internal split liver transplantation allowed teenagers with a low calculated MELD score to be transplanted faster than patients with a similar score. Promoting the use of internal split liver transplantation could help reduce the pediatric waitlist mortality.

Neutrophil count to albumin ratio as a prognostic indicator for HBV-associated decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

To explore the value of neutrophil count to albumin ratio (NAR) in predicting the outcomes of patients with HBV-associated decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DeCi).

METHODS

One hundred and fifty-four HBV-DeCi patients were enrolled. The 30-day mortality was determined. Multivariate analysis was applied to identify risk factors for poor outcomes. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses was performed to evaluate prognostic accuracy.

RESULTS

The 30-day mortality was 10.4%. NAR was significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors and was an independent predictor for unfavorable prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

The present results indicate that increased NAR is associated with poor survival in HBV-DeCi patients and has potential for clinical application.

Both muscle quantity and quality are predictors of waiting list mortality in patients with end-stage liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Malnutrition is highly prevalent in patients with end-stage liver disease (ESLD) and associated with impaired clinical outcome. Previous studies focused on one component of body composition and not in combination with nutritional intake, while both are components of the nutritional status. We aimed to evaluate the most important risk factors regarding body composition (muscle mass, muscle quality and fat mass) and nutritional intake (energy and protein intake) for waiting list mortality in patients with ESLD awaiting liver transplantation (LTx).

METHODS

Consecutive patients with ESLD listed for LTx between 2007 and 2014 were investigated. Muscle mass quantity (Skeletal Muscle Mass Index, SMI), and muscle quality (Muscle Attenuation, MA), and various body fat compartments were measured on computed tomography using SliceOmatic. Nutritional intake (e.g. energy and protein intake) was assessed. Multivariable stepwise forward Cox regression analysis was used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS

261 Patients (mean age 54 years, 74.7% male) were included. Low SMI and MA were found to be statistically significant predictors of an increased risk for waiting list mortality in patients with ESLD, with a HR of 2.580 (95%CI 1.055-6.308) and HR of 9.124 (95%CI 2.871-28.970), respectively. No association between percentage adipose tissue, and protein and energy intake with waiting list mortality was found in this study.

CONCLUSION

Both low muscle quantity and quality, and not nutritional intake, were independent risk factors for mortality in patients with ESLD.

Liver transplantation and BCLC classification: Limitations impede optimum treatment

BACKGROUND

The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) system has been endorsed by international guidelines as a staging algorithm of hepatocellular carcinoma. This analysis was performed to assess the outcome of liver transplantation in patients treated against the BCLC recommendations.

METHODS

The data of 198 patients who underwent liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma were extracted from a prospectively maintained database to classify the patients according to the BCLC system.

RESULTS

BCLC staging was as follows: 0, n = 5; A, n = 77; B, n = 41; C, n = 53; and D, n = 22. Accordingly, liver transplantation was performed in the majority of patients against BCLC recommendations. Surgery (n = 16), radiofrequency ablation (n = 15) and transarterial chemoembolization (n = 151) preceded liver transplantation in 182 patients. Sixteen patients were transplanted without pretreatment. The1-, 5- and 10-year survival rates were 83.8%, 62.4% and 45.9%, and 1-, 5-, and 10-year recurrence rates were 7.7%, 22.7% and 26.7%. The BCLC classification did neither impact survival (P = 0.796) nor recurrence (P = 0.693). In the Cox analysis, RECIST tumor progression and initial alpha fetoprotein were independent predictors of outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Neither the oncological nor the functional stratification imposed by the BCLC system was of importance for outcome. Lack of flexibility and disregard of biological parameters hamper its clinical applicability in liver transplantation.

Factors associated with health-related quality of life in patients with cirrhosis: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Patients with cirrhosis have a poor health-related quality of life (HRQoL). Recognizing factors that affect HRQoL is key in delivering patient-centred care.

AIM

To identify factors most commonly associated with a poor HRQoL in adults with cirrhosis in a systematic review of the literature.

METHODS

Four databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL and PsycINFO) were searched from inception to March 2020, using terms related to patient-reported outcomes plus cirrhosis. Studies that analysed an association between at least one factor and HRQoL in adult patients with cirrhosis were included. Abstract and full-text screening was performed by two reviewers. Data were collected on factors evaluated in each study and the significance of their association with HRQoL.

RESULTS

A total of 10647 citations were reviewed, of which 109 met eligibility criteria. 76% of the studies used a generic instrument while only 45% used liver-specific instruments. Among identified factors, demographic factors and cirrhosis aetiology were not generally associated with poor HRQoL except for poor social support. Depression, poor sleep and muscle cramps affected HRQoL in all the studies that evaluated them. Among comorbidities, frailty, falls, malnutrition and cognitive impairment were also associated with poor HRQoL in the majority of studies. Among cirrhosis-specific decompensating events, only hepatic encephalopathy (HE) was consistently associated with impairment in HRQoL (75% of studies).

CONCLUSION

Many factors impact poor HRQoL in patients with cirrhosis such as depression, muscle cramps, poor sleep, falls, frailty and malnutrition. Among cirrhosis decompensating events, HE was the complication most commonly associated with a poor HRQoL.

LI-RADS and transplantation: challenges and controversies

Patients with early stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can be cured by liver transplantation. HCC imaging features on CT or MRI are specific enough to allow for definitive diagnosis and treatment without the need of confirmatory biopsy. When applied to the appropriate at-risk population the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) imaging criteria achieve high specificity and positive predictive value for the diagnosis of HCC. The Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN) is the United States organization that aims to assure the adequate and fair distribution of livers across candidates. Given the importance of fair organ allocation, OPTN also provides stringent imaging criteria for the diagnosis of HCC aiming to avoid false positive diagnosis. Although most imaging criteria are identical for both systems, discrepancies between LI-RADS and the current OPTN classification system for HCC diagnosis exists. Main differences include, but are not limited to, the binary approach of OPTN to classify lesions as HCC or not, versus the probabilistic algorithmic approach of LI-RADS, technical and interpretation considerations, and the approach towards treated lesions. The purpose of this article is to highlight the similarities and discrepancies between LI-RADS and the current OPTN criteria for HCC diagnosis and the implications that these differences may have on the management of patients who are transplant candidates.

Predicting Operative Outcomes in Patients with Liver Disease: Albumin-Bilirubin Score vs Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium Score

BACKGROUND

The albumin-bilirubin score (ALBI) has recently been shown to have increased accuracy in predicting post-hepatectomy liver failure and mortality compared with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD). However, the use of ALBI as a predictor of postoperative mortality for other surgical procedures has not been analyzed. The aim of this study was to measure the predictive power of ALBI compared with MELD-sodium (MELD-Na) across a wide range of surgical procedures.

STUDY DESIGN

Patients undergoing cardiac, pulmonary, esophageal, gastric, gallbladder, pancreatic, splenic, appendix, colorectal, adrenal, renal, hernia, and aortic operations were identified in the 2015-2018 American College of Surgeons NSQIP database. Patients with missing laboratory data were excluded. Univariable analysis and receiver operator characteristic curves were performed for 30-day mortality and morbidity. Areas under the curves were calculated to validate and compare the predictive abilities of ALBI and MELD-Na.

RESULTS

Of 258,658 patients, the distribution of ALBI grades 1, 2, 3 were 51%, 42%, and 7%, respectively. Median MELD-Na was 7.50 (interquartile range 6.43 to 9.43). Overall 30-day mortality rate was 2.7% and overall morbidity was 28.6%. Increasing ALBI grade was significantly associated with mortality (ALBI grade 2: odds ratio [OR] 5.24; p < 0.001; ALBI grade 3: OR 25.6; p < 0.001) and morbidity (ALBI grade 2: OR 2.15; p < 0.001; ALBI grade 3: OR 6.12; p < 0.001). On receiver operator characteristic analysis, ALBI outperformed MELD-Na with increased accuracy in several operations.

CONCLUSIONS

ALBI score predicts mortality and morbidity across a wide spectrum of surgical procedures. When compared with MELD-Na, ALBI more accurately predicts outcomes in patients undergoing pulmonary, elective colorectal, and adrenal operations.

Meropenem population pharmacokinetics in patients with decompensated cirrhosis and severe infections

OBJECTIVES

Meropenem pharmacokinetics (PK) may be altered in patients with cirrhosis, hampering target attainment. We aimed to describe meropenem PK in patients with decompensated cirrhosis and severe bacterial infections, identify the sources of PK variability and assess the performance of different dosing regimens to optimize the PK/pharmacodynamic (PD) target.

METHODS

Serum concentrations and covariates were obtained from patients with severe infections under meropenem treatment. A population PK analysis was performed using non-linear mixed-effects modelling and the final model was used to simulate meropenem exposure to assess the PTA.

RESULTS

Fifty-four patients were enrolled in the study. Data were best described by a one-compartment linear model. The estimated typical mean value for clearance (CL) was 8.35 L/h and the estimated volume of distribution (V) was 28.2 L. Creatinine clearance (CLCR) and MELD score significantly influenced meropenem CL, and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) significantly affected V. Monte Carlo simulations showed that a lower meropenem dose would be needed as CLCR decreases and as the MELD score increases. Patients with ACLF would have lower peak meropenem concentrations but similar steady-state concentrations compared with patients with no ACLF.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study identified two new covariates that influence meropenem PK in patients with decompensated cirrhosis in addition to CLCR: MELD score and ACLF. Dosing regimens are recommended to reach several PK/PD targets considering these clinical variables and any MIC within the susceptibility range.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC): Epidemiology, etiology and molecular classification

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the primary malignancy of hepatocytes, is a diagnosis with bleak outcome. According to National Cancer Institute's SEER database, the average five-year survival rate of HCC patients in the US is 19.6% but can be as low as 2.5% for advanced, metastatic disease. When diagnosed at early stages, it is treatable with locoregional treatments including surgical resection, Radio-Frequency Ablation, Trans-Arterial Chemoembolization or liver transplantation. However, HCC is usually diagnosed at advanced stages when the tumor is unresectable, making these treatments ineffective. In such instances, systemic therapy with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) becomes the only viable option, even though it benefits only 30% of patients, provides only a modest (~3months) increase in overall survival and causes drug resistance within 6months. HCC, like many other cancers, is highly heterogeneous making a one-size fits all option problematic. The selection of liver transplantation, locoregional treatment, TKIs or immune checkpoint inhibitors as a treatment strategy depends on the disease stage and underlying condition(s). Additionally, patients with similar disease phenotype can have different molecular etiology making treatment responses different. Stratification of patients at the molecular level would facilitate development of the most effective treatment option. With the increase in efficiency and affordability of "omics"-level analysis, considerable effort has been expended in classifying HCC at the molecular, metabolic and immunologic levels. This review examines the results of these efforts and the ways they can be leveraged to develop targeted treatment options for HCC.