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de Graaf M, Antoni M, ter Kuile M, Arbous M, Duinisveld A, Feltkamp M, Groeneveld G, Hinnen S, Janssen V, Lijfering W, Omara S, Postmus P, Ramai S, Rius-Ottenheim N, Schalij M, Schiemanck S, Smid L, Stöger J, Visser L, de Vries J, Wijngaarden M, Geelhoed J, Roukens A. Short-term outpatient follow-up of COVID-19 patients: A multidisciplinary approach. EClinicalMedicine 2021; 32:100731. [PMID: 33532720 PMCID: PMC7843037 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.100731] [Citation(s) in RCA: 66] [Impact Index Per Article: 16.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2020] [Revised: 01/06/2021] [Accepted: 01/13/2021] [Indexed: 01/20/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Short-term follow-up of COVID-19 patients reveals pulmonary dysfunction, myocardial damage and severe psychological distress. Little is known of the burden of these sequelae, and there are no clear recommendations for follow-up of COVID-19 patients.In this multi-disciplinary evaluation, cardiopulmonary function and psychological impairment after hospitalization for COVID-19 are mapped. METHODS We evaluated patients at our outpatient clinic 6 weeks after discharge. Cardiopulmonary function was measured by echocardiography, 24-hours ECG monitoring and pulmonary function testing. Psychological adjustment was measured using questionnaires and semi-structured clinical interviews. A comparison was made between patients admitted to the general ward and Intensive care unit (ICU), and between patients with a high versus low functional status. FINDINGS Eighty-one patients were included of whom 34 (41%) had been admitted to the ICU. New York Heart Association class II-III was present in 62% of the patients. Left ventricular function was normal in 78% of patients. ICU patients had a lower diffusion capacity (mean difference 12,5% P = 0.01), lower forced expiratory volume in one second and forced vital capacity (mean difference 14.9%; P<0.001; 15.4%; P<0.001; respectively). Risk of depression, anxiety and PTSD were 17%, 5% and 10% respectively and similar for both ICU and non-ICU patients. INTERPRETATION Overall, most patients suffered from functional limitations. Dyspnea on exertion was most frequently reported, possibly related to decreased DLCOc. This could be caused by pulmonary fibrosis, which should be investigated in long-term follow-up. In addition, mechanical ventilation, deconditioning, or pulmonary embolism may play an important role.
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Affiliation(s)
- M.A. de Graaf
- Department of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333ZA Leiden, the Netherlands
- Corresponding author.
| | - M.L. Antoni
- Department of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333ZA Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - M.M. ter Kuile
- Department of Gynaecology, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - M.S. Arbous
- Department of Intensive Care, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - A.J.F. Duinisveld
- Department of Pulmonary Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - M.C.W. Feltkamp
- Department of Medical Microbiology, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - G.H. Groeneveld
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - S.C.H. Hinnen
- Department of Oncology, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - V.R. Janssen
- Department of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333ZA Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - W.M. Lijfering
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - S. Omara
- Department of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333ZA Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - P.E. Postmus
- Department of Pulmonary Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - S.R.S. Ramai
- Department of Pulmonary Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - N. Rius-Ottenheim
- Department of Psychiatry, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - M.J. Schalij
- Department of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333ZA Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - S.K. Schiemanck
- Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - L. Smid
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - J.L. Stöger
- Department of Radiology, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - L.G. Visser
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - J.J.C. de Vries
- Department of Medical Microbiology, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - M.A. Wijngaarden
- Department of Internal Medicine, section Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - J.J.M. Geelhoed
- Department of Pulmonary Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
| | - A.H.E. Roukens
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, the Netherlands
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352
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Hernando JEC. Seguimiento de los pacientes con secuelas no respiratorias de la COVID-19. FMC : FORMACION MEDICA CONTINUADA EN ATENCION PRIMARIA 2021; 28:81-89. [PMID: 33679125 PMCID: PMC7909903 DOI: 10.1016/j.fmc.2020.11.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2020] [Accepted: 11/11/2020] [Indexed: 12/25/2022]
Abstract
•La COVID-19 puede presentar síntomas prolongados no solo respiratorios, sino también extrapulmonares. •Las alteraciones hematológicas, cardiacas y neurológicas pueden llegar a ser las más graves, pero otras manifestaciones pueden también impactar sobre la calidad de vida. •El papel de atención primaria durante el seguimiento es fundamental, identificando problemas y orientando su tratamiento. •El trabajo multidisciplinar y en equipo es la base de una correcta atención a estos pacientes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Juan Enrique Cimas Hernando
- Médico especialista en Medicina Familiar y Comunitaria, Centro de Salud de Contrueces, Gijón, Asturias, España
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353
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Kruip MJHA, Cannegieter SC, ten Cate H, van Gorp ECM, Juffermans NP, Klok FA, Maas C, Vonk‐Noordegraaf A. Caging the dragon: Research approach to COVID-19-related thrombosis. Res Pract Thromb Haemost 2021; 5:278-290. [PMID: 33733026 PMCID: PMC7938618 DOI: 10.1002/rth2.12470] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/27/2020] [Revised: 09/30/2020] [Accepted: 10/02/2020] [Indexed: 12/18/2022] Open
Abstract
The incidence of venous thrombosis, mostly pulmonary embolism (PE), ranging from local immunothrombosis to central emboli, but also deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in people with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is reported to be remarkably high. The relevance of better understanding, predicting, treating, and preventing COVID-19-associated venous thrombosis meets broad support, as can be concluded from the high number of research, review, and guideline papers that have been published on this topic. The Dutch COVID & Thrombosis Coalition (DCTC) is a multidisciplinary team involving a large number of Dutch experts in the broad area of venous thrombosis and hemostasis research, combined with experts on virology, critically ill patients, pulmonary diseases, and community medicine, across all university hospitals and many community hospitals in the Netherlands. Within the consortium, clinical data of at least 5000 admitted COVID-19-infected individuals are available, including substantial collections of biobanked materials in an estimated 3000 people. In addition to considerable experience in preclinical and clinical thrombosis research, the consortium embeds virology-hemostasis research models within unique biosafety facilities to address fundamental questions on the interaction of virus with epithelial and vascular cells, in relation to the coagulation and inflammatory system. The DCTC has initiated a comprehensive research program to answer many of the current questions on the pathophysiology and best anticoagulant treatment of COVID-19-associated thrombotic complications. The research program was funded by grants of the Netherlands Thrombosis Foundation and the Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development. Here, we summarize the design and main aims of the research program.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marieke J. H. A. Kruip
- Department of HematologyErasmus MCErasmus University Medical CenterRotterdamThe Netherlands
| | - Suzanne C. Cannegieter
- Department of Clinical EpidemiologyLeiden University Medical CenterLeidenThe Netherlands
- Department of Medicine – Thrombosis and HemostasisLeiden University Medical CenterLeidenThe Netherlands
| | - Hugo ten Cate
- Maastricht University Medical Center and CARIMMaastrichtThe Netherlands
| | - Eric C. M. van Gorp
- Department of ViroscienceErasmus MCErasmus University Medical CenterRotterdamThe Netherlands
- Department of Infectious DiseasesErasmus MCErasmus University Medical CenterRotterdamThe Netherlands
| | - Nicole P. Juffermans
- Laboratory of Experimental Intensive Care and AnesthesiologyAmsterdam UMC ‐ Location AMCAmsterdamThe Netherlands
- Department of Intensive CareOLVG HospitalAmsterdamThe Netherlands
| | - Frederikus A. Klok
- Department of Medicine – Thrombosis and HemostasisLeiden University Medical CenterLeidenThe Netherlands
| | - Coen Maas
- Department of Clinical Chemistry and HematologyUniversity Medical Center UtrechtUtrechtThe Netherlands
| | - Anton Vonk‐Noordegraaf
- Dept of Pulmonary MedicineAmsterdam Cardiovascular SciencesAmsterdam UMCVrije Universiteit AmsterdamAmsterdamThe Netherlands
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354
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Pant P, Joshi A, Basnet B, Shrestha BM, Bista NR, Bam N, Das SK. Prevalence of Functional Limitation in COVID-19 Recovered Patients Using the Post COVID-19 Functional Status Scale. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2021; 59:7-11. [PMID: 34508442 PMCID: PMC7893391 DOI: 10.31729/jnma.5980] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/15/2021] [Accepted: 09/11/2021] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
Introduction: COVID-19 is an emerging global health pandemic causing tremendous morbidity and mortality worldwide. Chronic symptoms progressing to poor functional status have been reported in a substantial proportion of COVID-19 patients worldwide. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of functional limitation in COVID-19 recovered patients using the post-COVID-19 functional status scale. Methods: A descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted at Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital. COVID-19 recovered patients with reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction negative status were included and assessed using the post-COVID-19 functional status scale. Data entry and analysis was done in Statistical Package for the Social Sciences version 20.0. Descriptive statistics were performed. Results: A total of 106 patients were included for the final analysis. More than half of the patients (56.6%) reported having no functional limitation (grade 0), while the prevalence of some degree of functional limitation was observed in 46 (43.4%) patients (grade 1 to 4). Conclusions: Some form of functional limitation should be anticipated after COVID-19 infection. Post-COVID-19 functional status scale can be a valuable tool in determining the prevalence of functional limitation in COVID-19 recovered patients in acute health care settings. It can potentially guide in planning rehabilitative measures in post-acute care management of COVID-19 survivors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pankaj Pant
- Department of Pulmonology and Critical Care, Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital, Maharajgunj, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | - Aishana Joshi
- Department of General Practice and Emergency Medicine, Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital, Maharajgunj, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | - Babin Basnet
- Maharajgunj Medical Campus, Maharajgunj, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | | | - Navindra Raj Bista
- Department of Anaesthesiology, Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital, Maharajgunj, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | - Niraj Bam
- Department of Pulmonology and Critical Care, Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital, Maharajgunj, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | - Santa Kumar Das
- Department of Pulmonology and Critical Care, Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital, Maharajgunj, Kathmandu, Nepal
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355
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COVID-19-induced sarcopenia and physical deconditioning may require reassessment of surgical risk for patients with cancer. World J Surg Oncol 2021; 19:8. [PMID: 33430881 PMCID: PMC7798369 DOI: 10.1186/s12957-020-02117-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/20/2020] [Accepted: 12/28/2020] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The long-term physiological consequences of SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus) infection are not known. The ability of COVID-19 to cause chronic illness, sarcopenia, and physical deconditioning may be underestimated and go beyond the anticipated respiratory sequelae. Myalgia, lethargy, and anorexia are common symptoms even in mild to moderate cases and have the potential to exacerbate frailty. How this impacts on risk-stratification for patients requiring surgery for time-critical conditions, such as malignancy, requires further urgent investigation. Main body The deleterious effect of sarcopenia and poor physical capacity are well recognised in cancer surgery. This review commentary highlights current evidence which suggests skeletal muscle as an under recognised cause of COVID-19-related functional deconditioning. The mechanisms behind this are via direct (viral induced myositis, nutritional decline, cytokine-mediated myopathy) and indirect mechanisms (social isolation, inactivity, and psychological consequences). Conclusion Further mechanistic research is required to explore the processes behind the deconditioning effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection and how this impacts on treatment of malignant disease.
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356
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Mechanick JI, Carbone S, Dickerson RN, Hernandez BJ, Hurt RT, Irving SY, Li DY, McCarthy MS, Mogensen KM, Ochoa Gautier JB, Patel JJ, Prewitt TE, Rosenthal M, Warren M, Winkler MF, McKeever L. Clinical Nutrition Research and the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Scoping Review of the ASPEN COVID-19 Task Force on Nutrition Research. JPEN J Parenter Enteral Nutr 2021; 45:13-31. [PMID: 33094848 PMCID: PMC8409259 DOI: 10.1002/jpen.2036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 46] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/12/2020] [Accepted: 10/16/2020] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
The purpose of this scoping review by the American Society for Parenteral and Enteral Nutrition (ASPEN) Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Nutrition Task Force was to examine nutrition research applicable to the COVID-19 pandemic. The rapid pace of emerging scientific information has prompted this activity to discover research/knowledge gaps. This methodology adhered with recommendations from the Joanna Briggs Institute. There were 2301 citations imported. Of these, there were 439 articles fully abstracted, with 23 main topic areas identified across 24 article types and sourced across 61 countries and 51 specialties in 8 settings and among 14 populations. Epidemiological/mechanistic relationships between nutrition and COVID-19 were reviewed and results mapped to the Population, Intervention, Comparator, Outcome, and Time (PICO-T) questions. The aggregated data were analyzed by clinical stage: pre-COVID-19, acute COVID-19, and chronic/post-COVID-19. Research gaps were discovered for all PICO-T questions. Nutrition topics meriting urgent research included food insecurity/societal infrastructure and transcultural factors (pre-COVID-19); cardiometabolic-based chronic disease, pediatrics, nutrition support, and hospital infrastructure (acute COVID-19); registered dietitian nutritionist counseling (chronic/post-COVID-19); and malnutrition and management (all stages). The paucity of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) was particularly glaring. Knowledge gaps were discovered for PICO-T questions on pediatrics, micronutrients, bariatric surgery, and transcultural factors (pre-COVID-19); enteral nutrition, protein-energy requirements, and glycemic control with nutrition (acute COVID-19); and home enteral and parenteral nutrition support (chronic/post-COVID-19). In conclusion, multiple critical areas for urgent nutrition research were identified, particularly using RCT design, to improve nutrition care for patients before, during, and after COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jeffrey I. Mechanick
- Marie-Josée and Henry R. Kravis Center for Cardiovascular Health at Mount Sinai Heart, and, Metabolic Support, Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Bone Disease, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, USA
| | - Salvatore Carbone
- Department of Kinesiology & Health Sciences, College of Humanities & Sciences, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, USA
| | - Roland N. Dickerson
- Clinical Pharmacy and Translational Science, University of Tennessee Health Science CenterClinical Coordinator and Clinical Pharmacy Specialist, Nutrition Support Service, Regional One Health, Memphis, Tennessee, USA
| | | | - Ryan T. Hurt
- Divisions of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, and Endocrinology, Diabetes, Metabolism, Nutrition, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Sharon Y. Irving
- Department of Family and Community Health, University of Pennsylvania School of Nursing, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Ding-You Li
- Gastroenterology and Nutrition, University of Missouri, Kansas City School of Medicine, Kansas City, Missouri, USA
| | | | - Kris M. Mogensen
- Department of Nutrition, Brigham & Women’s Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | | | - Jayshil J. Patel
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA
| | - T. Elaine Prewitt
- Department of Health Policy and Management, Fay W. Boozman College of Public Health, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Arkansas, USA
| | - Martin Rosenthal
- Acute Care Surgery Team, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville, Florida, USA
| | - Malissa Warren
- VA Portland HealthCare System, Oregon Health and Sciences University, Portland, Oregon, USA
| | - Marion F. Winkler
- Department of Surgery and Nutritional Support Service, Rhode Island Hospital, Brown Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
| | - Liam McKeever
- Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
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357
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Post-COVID-19-Functional-Status-Skala misst Einschränkungen nach SARS-CoV-2-Infektion. Pneumologie 2021. [DOI: 10.1055/a-1263-2042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
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358
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Dhawan RT, Gopalan D, Howard L, Vicente A, Park M, Manalan K, Wallner I, Marsden P, Dave S, Branley H, Russell G, Dharmarajah N, Kon OM. Beyond the clot: perfusion imaging of the pulmonary vasculature after COVID-19. THE LANCET. RESPIRATORY MEDICINE 2021; 9:107-116. [PMID: 33217366 PMCID: PMC7833494 DOI: 10.1016/s2213-2600(20)30407-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 113] [Impact Index Per Article: 28.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/21/2020] [Revised: 08/18/2020] [Accepted: 09/01/2020] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
A compelling body of evidence points to pulmonary thrombosis and thromboembolism as a key feature of COVID-19. As the pandemic spread across the globe over the past few months, a timely call to arms was issued by a team of clinicians to consider the prospect of long-lasting pulmonary fibrotic damage and plan for structured follow-up. However, the component of post-thrombotic sequelae has been less widely considered. Although the long-term outcomes of COVID-19 are not known, should pulmonary vascular sequelae prove to be clinically significant, these have the potential to become a public health problem. In this Personal View, we propose a proactive follow-up strategy to evaluate residual clot burden, small vessel injury, and potential haemodynamic sequelae. A nuanced and physiological approach to follow-up imaging that looks beyond the clot, at the state of perfusion of lung tissue, is proposed as a key triage tool, with the potential to inform therapeutic strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ranju T Dhawan
- Department of Radiology, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK; Hybrid Imaging and Therapy Unit, The Wellington Hospital, HCA Healthcare, London, UK.
| | - Deepa Gopalan
- Department of Radiology, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK; National Pulmonary Hypertension Service, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK; Hybrid Imaging and Therapy Unit, The Wellington Hospital, HCA Healthcare, London, UK
| | - Luke Howard
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK; National Pulmonary Hypertension Service, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK; National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Angelito Vicente
- Hybrid Imaging and Therapy Unit, The Wellington Hospital, HCA Healthcare, London, UK
| | - Mirae Park
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK; National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Kavina Manalan
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK; National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Ingrid Wallner
- Hybrid Imaging and Therapy Unit, The Wellington Hospital, HCA Healthcare, London, UK
| | - Peter Marsden
- Hybrid Imaging and Therapy Unit, The Wellington Hospital, HCA Healthcare, London, UK; Medical Physics and Biomedical Engineering, University College London Hospitals, London, UK
| | - Surendra Dave
- Hybrid Imaging and Therapy Unit, The Wellington Hospital, HCA Healthcare, London, UK
| | - Howard Branley
- Respiratory Unit, The Wellington Hospital, HCA Healthcare, London, UK
| | - Georgina Russell
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Nishanth Dharmarajah
- Hybrid Imaging and Therapy Unit, The Wellington Hospital, HCA Healthcare, London, UK
| | - Onn M Kon
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK; National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
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359
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Bove M, Fogacci F, Quattrocchi S, Veronesi M, Cicero AF. Effect of Synaid on cognitive functions and mood in elderly subjects with self-perceived loss of memory after COVID-19 infection. Arch Med Sci 2021; 17:1797-1799. [PMID: 34900061 PMCID: PMC8641516 DOI: 10.5114/aoms/141502] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2021] [Accepted: 08/22/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION There is growing attention towards the possible long-term effect of COVID-19 on neuropsychiatric disorders. METHODS We tested the effect of a combined nutraceutical (Synaid) with known nootropic effects in 40 elderly patients with self-perceived cognitive decline after SARS-CoV-2 infection, treated at home or in hospital. RESULTS After 3 months of treatment, Synaid significantly improved functional status, MMSE and the main psychological disorders associated with mild cognitive impairment, both in patients previously cared for at home and in hospital because of SARS-CoV-2 infection. CONCLUSIONS Synaid was well tolerated and effective in improving cognitive function and psychosocial parameters after SARS-CoV-2 infection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marilisa Bove
- IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Federica Fogacci
- Medical and Surgical Sciences Department, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | | | | | - Arrigo F.G. Cicero
- Medical and Surgical Sciences Department, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
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360
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Post-COVID-19 functional status six-months after hospitalization. J Infect 2020; 82:e31-e33. [PMID: 33373650 PMCID: PMC7834022 DOI: 10.1016/j.jinf.2020.12.022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 81] [Impact Index Per Article: 16.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2020] [Accepted: 12/23/2020] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
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361
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Quality of life, functional status, and persistent symptoms after intensive care of COVID-19 patients. Br J Anaesth 2020; 126:e110-e113. [PMID: 33413976 PMCID: PMC7833644 DOI: 10.1016/j.bja.2020.12.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 130] [Impact Index Per Article: 26.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/20/2020] [Revised: 12/03/2020] [Accepted: 12/03/2020] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
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362
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Bikdeli B, Talasaz AH, Rashidi F, Sharif-Kashani B, Farrokhpour M, Bakhshandeh H, Sezavar H, Dabbagh A, Beigmohammadi MT, Payandemehr P, Yadollahzadeh M, Riahi T, Khalili H, Jamalkhani S, Rezaeifar P, Abedini A, Lookzadeh S, Shahmirzaei S, Tahamtan O, Matin S, Amin A, Parhizgar SE, Jimenez D, Gupta A, Madhavan MV, Parikh SA, Monreal M, Hadavand N, Hajighasemi A, Maleki M, Sadeghian S, Mohebbi B, Piazza G, Kirtane AJ, Lip GYH, Krumholz HM, Goldhaber SZ, Sadeghipour P. Intermediate versus standard-dose prophylactic anticoagulation and statin therapy versus placebo in critically-ill patients with COVID-19: Rationale and design of the INSPIRATION/INSPIRATION-S studies. Thromb Res 2020; 196:382-394. [PMID: 32992075 PMCID: PMC7513771 DOI: 10.1016/j.thromres.2020.09.027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 51] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2020] [Revised: 09/17/2020] [Accepted: 09/18/2020] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Microvascular and macrovascular thrombotic events are among the hallmarks of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Furthermore, the exuberant immune response is considered an important driver of pulmonary and extrapulmonary manifestations of COVID-19. The optimal management strategy to prevent thrombosis in critically-ill patients with COVID-19 remains unknown. METHODS The Intermediate versus Standard-dose Prophylactic anticoagulation In cRitically-ill pATIents with COVID-19: An opeN label randomized controlled trial (INSPIRATION) and INSPIRATION-statin (INSPIRATION-S) studies test two independent hypotheses within a randomized controlled trial with 2 × 2 factorial design. Hospitalized critically-ill patients with reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction confirmed COVID-19 will be randomized to intermediate-dose versus standard dose prophylactic anticoagulation. The 600 patients undergoing this randomization will be screened and if meeting the eligibility criteria, will undergo an additional double-blind stratified randomization to atorvastatin 20 mg daily versus matching placebo. The primary endpoint, for both hypotheses will be tested for superiority and includes a composite of adjudicated acute arterial thrombosis, venous thromboembolism (VTE), use of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, or all-cause death within 30 days from enrollment. Key secondary endpoints include all-cause mortality, adjudicated VTE, and ventilator-free days. Key safety endpoints include major bleeding according to the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium definition and severe thrombocytopenia (platelet count <20,000/fL) for the anticoagulation hypothesis. In a prespecified secondary analysis for non-inferiority, the study will test for the non-inferiority of intermediate intensity versus standard dose anticoagulation for major bleeding, considering a non-inferiority margin of 1.8 based on odds ratio. Key safety endpoints for the statin hypothesis include rise in liver enzymes >3 times upper normal limit and clinically-diagnosed myopathy. The primary analyses will be performed in the modified intention-to-treat population. Results will be tested in exploratory analyses across key subgroups and in the intention-to-treat and per-protocol cohorts. CONCLUSIONS INSPIRATION and INSPIRATON-S studies will help address clinically-relevant questions for antithrombotic therapy and thromboinflammatory therapy in critically-ill patients with COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Behnood Bikdeli
- Cardiovascular Medicine Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Yale/YNHH Center for Outcomes Research & Evaluation, New Haven, CT, USA; Cardiovascular Research Foundation (CRF), New York, NY, USA.
| | - Azita H Talasaz
- Tehran Heart Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Farid Rashidi
- Tuberclosis and Lung Diseases Research Center, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Babak Sharif-Kashani
- Tobacoo Prevention and control Research center, National Research lnstitute of Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran; Lung Transplantion Research Center, Department of Cardiology, National Research Institute of Tuberculosls and Lung Diseases (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mohsen Farrokhpour
- Firouzgar Hospital, Department of Internal Medicine, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Hooman Bakhshandeh
- Rajaie Cardiovascular Medical and Research Center, Iran university of Medical sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Hashem Sezavar
- Rasoul-e-Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Ali Dabbagh
- Department of Anesthesiology, School of Medicine Anesthesiology Research Center Shahid Modarres Hospital, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mohammad Taghi Beigmohammadi
- Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, Imam Khomeini Hospital Complex, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Mahdi Yadollahzadeh
- Firouzgar Hospital, Department of Internal Medicine, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Taghi Riahi
- Rasoul-e-Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Hossein Khalili
- Department of Pharmacotherapy, Imam Khomeini Hospital Complex, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Sepehr Jamalkhani
- Student Research Committee, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran; Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark
| | | | - Atefeh Abedini
- Chronic Respiratory Disease Research Center, Masih Daneshvari Hospital, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Somayeh Lookzadeh
- Chronic Respiratory Disease Research Center, Masih Daneshvari Hospital, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Ouria Tahamtan
- Tuberclosis and Lung Diseases Research Center, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Samira Matin
- Tuberclosis and Lung Diseases Research Center, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Ahmad Amin
- Rajaie Cardiovascular Medical and Research Center, Iran university of Medical sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Seyed Ehsan Parhizgar
- Rajaie Cardiovascular Medical and Research Center, Iran university of Medical sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - David Jimenez
- Respiratory Department, Hospital Ramón y Cajal (IRYCIS), Madrid, Spain; Medicine Department, Universidad de Alcalá (IRYCIS), Madrid, Spain; CIBER Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES), Madrid, Spain
| | - Aakriti Gupta
- Cardiovascular Research Foundation (CRF), New York, NY, USA; Division of Cardiology, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Mahesh V Madhavan
- Cardiovascular Research Foundation (CRF), New York, NY, USA; Division of Cardiology, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Sahil A Parikh
- Cardiovascular Research Foundation (CRF), New York, NY, USA; Division of Cardiology, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Manuel Monreal
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Germans Trias i Pujol, Badalona, Barcelona, Universidad Católica de Murcia, Murcia, Spain
| | - Naser Hadavand
- Rajaie Cardiovascular Medical and Research Center, Iran university of Medical sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Majid Maleki
- Rajaie Cardiovascular Medical and Research Center, Iran university of Medical sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Saeed Sadeghian
- Tehran Heart Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Bahram Mohebbi
- Rajaie Cardiovascular Medical and Research Center, Iran university of Medical sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Gregory Piazza
- Cardiovascular Medicine Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Ajay J Kirtane
- Cardiovascular Research Foundation (CRF), New York, NY, USA; Division of Cardiology, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Gregory Y H Lip
- Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science, University of Liverpool and Liverpool Heart & Chest Hospital, Liverpool, United Kingdom; Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark
| | - Harlan M Krumholz
- Yale/YNHH Center for Outcomes Research & Evaluation, New Haven, CT, USA; Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA; Department of Health Policy and Adminitration, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Samuel Z Goldhaber
- Cardiovascular Medicine Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Parham Sadeghipour
- Cardiovascular Intervention Research Center, Rajaie Cardiovascular, Medical, and Research Center, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Iran; Clinical Trial Center, Rajaie Cardiovascular, Medical, and Research Center, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Iran.
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363
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Schneeberger T, Jarosch I, Koczulla AR. [What can pulmonary rehabilitation accomplish?]. Dtsch Med Wochenschr 2020; 145:1782-1785. [PMID: 33254254 DOI: 10.1055/a-1129-3375] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
Abstract
The Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) has stated that pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) is the most effective therapeutic intervention to reduce dyspnoea and to improve physical performance and quality of life for patients with obstructive lung disease.New innovative studies raised in the area of PR:1) Pulmonary fibrosis & asthma bronchiale - While PR is recommended for chronic respiratory diseases other than COPD (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) in the respective disease-specific treatment guidelines, PR in some pathologies is underrated. For example, there is a growing body of evidence showing the effectiveness of structured and multidisciplinary PR programs in pulmonary fibrosis and asthma bronchial patients;2) Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 - There is preliminary evidence that COVID-19 patients can benefit from a PR program. The current COVID-19 position paper of the German Respiratory Society e. V. (DGP) regarding PR recommendations suggests that early rehabilitative therapies are already indicated during hospitalisation on the normal or intensive care unit and that rehabilitative interventions should be continued after discharge as a follow-up treatment in PR centres in order to reduce long-term consequences of COVID-19 disease;3) Telehealth meets PR - To further improve the effectiveness of PR in COPD patients using recent technologies, a supplementary "digital exercise program" can contribute to greater benefits compared to PR alone.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tessa Schneeberger
- Philipps-Universität Marburg, Pneumologische Rehabilitation, Deutsches Zentrum für Lungenforschung (DZL) - Standort Schönau, Marburg.,Forschungsinstitut für pneumologische Rehabilitation, Schön-Klinik Berchtesgadener Land, Schönau am Königssee
| | - Inga Jarosch
- Philipps-Universität Marburg, Pneumologische Rehabilitation, Deutsches Zentrum für Lungenforschung (DZL) - Standort Schönau, Marburg.,Forschungsinstitut für pneumologische Rehabilitation, Schön-Klinik Berchtesgadener Land, Schönau am Königssee
| | - Andreas Rembert Koczulla
- Philipps-Universität Marburg, Pneumologische Rehabilitation, Deutsches Zentrum für Lungenforschung (DZL) - Standort Schönau, Marburg.,Forschungsinstitut für pneumologische Rehabilitation, Schön-Klinik Berchtesgadener Land, Schönau am Königssee.,Lehrkrankenhaus der Paracelsus Medizinische Privatuniversität Salzburg, Salzburg
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364
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Wong AW, Shah AS, Johnston JC, Carlsten C, Ryerson CJ. Patient-reported outcome measures after COVID-19: a prospective cohort study. Eur Respir J 2020; 56:13993003.03276-2020. [PMID: 33008936 PMCID: PMC7530908 DOI: 10.1183/13993003.03276-2020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 138] [Impact Index Per Article: 27.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/26/2020] [Accepted: 09/16/2020] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
Abstract
Patient reported outcome measures (PROMs) are standardised validated questionnaires completed by patients to provide information on their perceived functional well-being and health status [1]. These questionnaires can address various aspects of health including symptoms, quality of life, functionality, and physical, mental and social well-being. PROMs play an important role in increasing patient engagement, improving health systems, and ensuring that clinical care and research is person-centred. Over 75% of patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 have abnormal patient-reported outcome measures 3 months after symptom onset, with a third of patients reporting at least moderate impairment in major dimensions of quality of lifehttps://bit.ly/32QMMgw
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Affiliation(s)
- Alyson W Wong
- Dept of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,Centre for Heart Lung Innovation, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,Contributed equally to this manuscript
| | - Aditi S Shah
- Dept of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,Contributed equally to this manuscript
| | - James C Johnston
- Dept of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,UBC School of Population and Public Health, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,BC Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,Contributed equally to this manuscript
| | - Christopher Carlsten
- Dept of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,UBC School of Population and Public Health, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,Contributed equally to this manuscript
| | - Christopher J Ryerson
- Dept of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,Centre for Heart Lung Innovation, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,Contributed equally to this manuscript
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365
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Tools to measure the psychological impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: What do we have in the platter? Asian J Psychiatr 2020; 53:102371. [PMID: 32891929 PMCID: PMC7456260 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajp.2020.102371] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2020] [Accepted: 08/23/2020] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
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366
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Ar Mohamed Hussein A, Galal I, Saad MM, Zayan HEE, Abdelsayed MZ, Moustafa MM, Ezzat AR, Helmy RE, Abd Elaal HK, Aly K, Abdelrheem SS. Post-COVID-19 Functional Status: Relation to age, smoking, hospitalization and comorbidities.. [DOI: 10.1101/2020.08.26.20182618] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/02/2023]
Abstract
AbstractRationalRecently, a new “Post-COVID-19 Functional Status (PCFS) scale” is recommended in the current COVID-19 pandemic. It is proposed that it could be used to display direct retrieval and the functional sequelae of COVID-19.Aim of the studyTo assess the Post COVID-19 functional status in Egypt and to evaluate if age, gender, comorbidities have any effect on functional limitations in recovered COVID-19 patients.Patients and methodsA total of 444 registered confirmed COVID-19 patients were included. They were interviewed in our follow-up clinics or by calls and filled an Arabic translated PCFS scale in paper or online forms as well as their demographic and clinical data.Results80% of COVID-19 recovered cases have diverse degrees of functional restrictions ranging from negligible (63.1%), slight (14.4%), moderate (2%) to severe (0.5%) based on PCFS. Furthermore, there was a substantial variance between the score of PCFS with age (P= 0.003), gender (P= 0.014), the duration since the onset of the symptoms of COVID-19 (P <0.001), need for oxygen supplementation (P<0.001), need for ICU admittance (P= 0.003), previous periodic influenza vaccination (P<0.001), smoking status (P < 0.001) and lastly the presence of any comorbid disorder (P <0.001).ConclusionsMost of the COVID-19 recovered cases have diverse degrees of functional restrictions ranging from negligible to severe based on PCFS. These restrictions were affected by age, gender, periodic influenza vaccination, smoking, duration since symptoms onset, need for oxygen or ICU admittance, and lastly the presence of coexisting comorbidity.
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367
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Affiliation(s)
- Trisha Greenhalgh
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK
| | | | - Christine A'Court
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Maria Buxton
- West Hertfordshire Respiratory Service - Central London Community Healthcare, London, UK
| | - Laiba Husain
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK
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368
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Andrenelli E, Negrini F, de Sire A, Arienti C, Patrini M, Negrini S, Ceravolo MG. Systematic rapid living review on rehabilitation needs due to COVID-19: update to May 31st, 2020. Eur J Phys Rehabil Med 2020; 56:508-514. [PMID: 32539312 DOI: 10.23736/s1973-9087.20.06435-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 40] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION This paper adds to the series of systematic rapid living reviews, started in April 2020, to provide the rehabilitation community with updates on the latest scientific literature on rehabilitation needs due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The aim of this study was to present the results of a systematic search performed on papers published from May 1st to May 31st, 2020. EVIDENCE ACQUISITION An extensive search on the main medical literature databases for articles published (including Epub), in English, from May 1st to May 31st, 2020 was performed, according to the methodology already described in the previous 2 rapid reviews, with 2 important improvements: first, we made the search string more comprehensive; second, we relied on accredited terminologies to describe the study designs and report the rehabilitation settings. EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS Fifty-eight out of 618 articles were finally included for qualitative analysis. The number of primary studies has increased, with respect to the previous months, although still around 60% papers are just expert opinions. Six papers report on the prevalence and /or characteristics of emerging disability after COVID-19, 12 on rehabilitation approaches to COVID-19 patients, up to 25 on the organization of rehabilitation services after COVID-19, 13 papers on the impact of COVID-19 on health conditions of rehabilitative interest and only 2 on late complications due to COVID-19 that may be of rehabilitative interest. CONCLUSIONS Nowadays, all patients with disability, regardless of COVID-19 infection, are suffering because of restrictions imposed to rehabilitation service delivery. Neurological involvement is often present during acute and postacute stage, conveying the risk of a long-lasting disability. Accordingly, careful neurological monitoring should be granted. Although new therapies are under development, the main gap in the available scientific literature is the lack of high-quality primary studies, so experimental studies on the effects of rehabilitation are still warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elisa Andrenelli
- Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, "Politecnica delle Marche" University, Ancona, Italy
| | | | - Alessandro de Sire
- Physical and Rehabilitative Medicine, Department of Health Sciences, University of Eastern Piedmont, Novara, Italy -
- Unit of Rehabilitation, Mons. L. Novarese Hospital, Moncrivello, Vercelli, Italy
| | | | | | - Stefano Negrini
- IRCCS Istituto Ortopedico Galeazzi, Milan, Italy
- Department of Biomedical, Surgical and Dental Sciences, University "La Statale", Milan, Italy
| | - Maria G Ceravolo
- Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, "Politecnica delle Marche" University, Ancona, Italy
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369
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Wynants L, Van Calster B, Collins GS, Riley RD, Heinze G, Schuit E, Bonten MMJ, Dahly DL, Damen JAA, Debray TPA, de Jong VMT, De Vos M, Dhiman P, Haller MC, Harhay MO, Henckaerts L, Heus P, Kammer M, Kreuzberger N, Lohmann A, Luijken K, Ma J, Martin GP, McLernon DJ, Andaur Navarro CL, Reitsma JB, Sergeant JC, Shi C, Skoetz N, Smits LJM, Snell KIE, Sperrin M, Spijker R, Steyerberg EW, Takada T, Tzoulaki I, van Kuijk SMJ, van Bussel B, van der Horst ICC, van Royen FS, Verbakel JY, Wallisch C, Wilkinson J, Wolff R, Hooft L, Moons KGM, van Smeden M. Prediction models for diagnosis and prognosis of covid-19: systematic review and critical appraisal. BMJ 2020; 369:m1328. [PMID: 32265220 PMCID: PMC7222643 DOI: 10.1136/bmj.m1328] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1728] [Impact Index Per Article: 345.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/31/2020] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To review and appraise the validity and usefulness of published and preprint reports of prediction models for diagnosing coronavirus disease 2019 (covid-19) in patients with suspected infection, for prognosis of patients with covid-19, and for detecting people in the general population at increased risk of covid-19 infection or being admitted to hospital with the disease. DESIGN Living systematic review and critical appraisal by the COVID-PRECISE (Precise Risk Estimation to optimise covid-19 Care for Infected or Suspected patients in diverse sEttings) group. DATA SOURCES PubMed and Embase through Ovid, up to 1 July 2020, supplemented with arXiv, medRxiv, and bioRxiv up to 5 May 2020. STUDY SELECTION Studies that developed or validated a multivariable covid-19 related prediction model. DATA EXTRACTION At least two authors independently extracted data using the CHARMS (critical appraisal and data extraction for systematic reviews of prediction modelling studies) checklist; risk of bias was assessed using PROBAST (prediction model risk of bias assessment tool). RESULTS 37 421 titles were screened, and 169 studies describing 232 prediction models were included. The review identified seven models for identifying people at risk in the general population; 118 diagnostic models for detecting covid-19 (75 were based on medical imaging, 10 to diagnose disease severity); and 107 prognostic models for predicting mortality risk, progression to severe disease, intensive care unit admission, ventilation, intubation, or length of hospital stay. The most frequent types of predictors included in the covid-19 prediction models are vital signs, age, comorbidities, and image features. Flu-like symptoms are frequently predictive in diagnostic models, while sex, C reactive protein, and lymphocyte counts are frequent prognostic factors. Reported C index estimates from the strongest form of validation available per model ranged from 0.71 to 0.99 in prediction models for the general population, from 0.65 to more than 0.99 in diagnostic models, and from 0.54 to 0.99 in prognostic models. All models were rated at high or unclear risk of bias, mostly because of non-representative selection of control patients, exclusion of patients who had not experienced the event of interest by the end of the study, high risk of model overfitting, and unclear reporting. Many models did not include a description of the target population (n=27, 12%) or care setting (n=75, 32%), and only 11 (5%) were externally validated by a calibration plot. The Jehi diagnostic model and the 4C mortality score were identified as promising models. CONCLUSION Prediction models for covid-19 are quickly entering the academic literature to support medical decision making at a time when they are urgently needed. This review indicates that almost all pubished prediction models are poorly reported, and at high risk of bias such that their reported predictive performance is probably optimistic. However, we have identified two (one diagnostic and one prognostic) promising models that should soon be validated in multiple cohorts, preferably through collaborative efforts and data sharing to also allow an investigation of the stability and heterogeneity in their performance across populations and settings. Details on all reviewed models are publicly available at https://www.covprecise.org/. Methodological guidance as provided in this paper should be followed because unreliable predictions could cause more harm than benefit in guiding clinical decisions. Finally, prediction model authors should adhere to the TRIPOD (transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis) reporting guideline. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION Protocol https://osf.io/ehc47/, registration https://osf.io/wy245. READERS' NOTE This article is a living systematic review that will be updated to reflect emerging evidence. Updates may occur for up to two years from the date of original publication. This version is update 3 of the original article published on 7 April 2020 (BMJ 2020;369:m1328). Previous updates can be found as data supplements (https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1328/related#datasupp). When citing this paper please consider adding the update number and date of access for clarity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Laure Wynants
- Department of Epidemiology, CAPHRI Care and Public Health Research Institute, Maastricht University, Peter Debyeplein 1, 6229 HA Maastricht, Netherlands
- Department of Development and Regeneration, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Ben Van Calster
- Department of Development and Regeneration, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, Netherlands
| | - Gary S Collins
- Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, UK
| | - Richard D Riley
- Centre for Prognosis Research, School of Primary, Community and Social Care, Keele University, Keele, UK
| | - Georg Heinze
- Section for Clinical Biometrics, Centre for Medical Statistics, Informatics and Intelligent Systems, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Ewoud Schuit
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Cochrane Netherlands, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Marc M J Bonten
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Department of Medical Microbiology, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Darren L Dahly
- HRB Clinical Research Facility, Cork, Ireland
- School of Public Health, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland
| | - Johanna A A Damen
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Cochrane Netherlands, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Thomas P A Debray
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Cochrane Netherlands, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Valentijn M T de Jong
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Cochrane Netherlands, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Maarten De Vos
- Department of Development and Regeneration, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
- Department of Electrical Engineering, ESAT Stadius, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Paul Dhiman
- Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, UK
| | - Maria C Haller
- Section for Clinical Biometrics, Centre for Medical Statistics, Informatics and Intelligent Systems, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Ordensklinikum Linz, Hospital Elisabethinen, Department of Nephrology, Linz, Austria
| | - Michael O Harhay
- Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
- Palliative and Advanced Illness Research Center and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Liesbet Henckaerts
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, KU Leuven-University of Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
- Department of General Internal Medicine, KU Leuven-University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Pauline Heus
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Cochrane Netherlands, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Michael Kammer
- Section for Clinical Biometrics, Centre for Medical Statistics, Informatics and Intelligent Systems, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Department of Nephrology, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Nina Kreuzberger
- Evidence-Based Oncology, Department I of Internal Medicine and Centre for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne Dusseldorf, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany
| | - Anna Lohmann
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, Netherlands
| | - Kim Luijken
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, Netherlands
| | - Jie Ma
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, UK
| | - Glen P Martin
- Division of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - David J McLernon
- Institute of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK
| | - Constanza L Andaur Navarro
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Cochrane Netherlands, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Johannes B Reitsma
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Cochrane Netherlands, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Jamie C Sergeant
- Centre for Biostatistics, University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK
- Centre for Epidemiology Versus Arthritis, Centre for Musculoskeletal Research, University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK
| | - Chunhu Shi
- Division of Nursing, Midwifery and Social Work, School of Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Nicole Skoetz
- Department of Nephrology, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Luc J M Smits
- Department of Epidemiology, CAPHRI Care and Public Health Research Institute, Maastricht University, Peter Debyeplein 1, 6229 HA Maastricht, Netherlands
| | - Kym I E Snell
- Centre for Prognosis Research, School of Primary, Community and Social Care, Keele University, Keele, UK
| | - Matthew Sperrin
- Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - René Spijker
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Cochrane Netherlands, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Public Health, Medical Library, Netherlands
| | - Ewout W Steyerberg
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, Netherlands
| | - Toshihiko Takada
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Ioanna Tzoulaki
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Imperial College London School of Public Health, London, UK
- Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina Medical School, Ioannina, Greece
| | - Sander M J van Kuijk
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Medical Technology Assessment, Maastricht University Medical Centre+, Maastricht, Netherlands
| | - Bas van Bussel
- Department of Epidemiology, CAPHRI Care and Public Health Research Institute, Maastricht University, Peter Debyeplein 1, 6229 HA Maastricht, Netherlands
- Department of Intensive Care, Maastricht University Medical Centre+, Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands
| | - Iwan C C van der Horst
- Department of Intensive Care, Maastricht University Medical Centre+, Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands
| | - Florien S van Royen
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Jan Y Verbakel
- EPI-Centre, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Christine Wallisch
- Section for Clinical Biometrics, Centre for Medical Statistics, Informatics and Intelligent Systems, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Institute of Health, Berlin, Germany
| | - Jack Wilkinson
- Division of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | | | - Lotty Hooft
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Cochrane Netherlands, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Karel G M Moons
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Cochrane Netherlands, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Maarten van Smeden
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
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