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Rhyou SY, Yu M, Yoo JC. Mixture of Expert-Based SoftMax-Weighted Box Fusion for Robust Lesion Detection in Ultrasound Imaging. Diagnostics (Basel) 2025; 15:588. [PMID: 40075835 PMCID: PMC11899514 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics15050588] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/24/2025] [Revised: 02/25/2025] [Accepted: 02/26/2025] [Indexed: 03/14/2025] Open
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Ultrasound (US) imaging plays a crucial role in the early detection and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, challenges such as speckle noise, low contrast, and diverse lesion morphology hinder its diagnostic accuracy. Methods: To address these issues, we propose CSM-FusionNet, a novel framework that integrates clustering, SoftMax-weighted Box Fusion (SM-WBF), and padding. Using raw US images from a leading hospital, Samsung Medical Center (SMC), we applied intensity adjustment, adaptive histogram equalization, low-pass, and high-pass filters to reduce noise and enhance resolution. Data augmentation generated ten images per one raw US image, allowing the training of 10 YOLOv8 networks. The mAP@0.5 of each network was used as SoftMax-derived weights in SM-WBF. Threshold-lowered bounding boxes were clustered using Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (DBSCAN), and outliers were managed within clusters. SM-WBF reduced redundant boxes, and padding enriched features, improving classification accuracy. Results: The accuracy improved from 82.48% to 97.58% with sensitivity reaching 100%. The framework increased lesion detection accuracy from 56.11% to 95.56% after clustering and SM-WBF. Conclusions: CSM-FusionNet demonstrates the potential to significantly improve diagnostic reliability in US-based lesion detection, aiding precise clinical decision-making.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Jae-Chern Yoo
- Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, College of Information and Communication Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon 440-746, Republic of Korea; (S.-Y.R.); (M.Y.)
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Wang JD, Lai WW, Yang SC, Huang WY, Hwang JS. Estimating Taiwan's QALY league table for catastrophic illnesses: Providing real-world evidence to integrate prevention with treatment for resources allocation. J Formos Med Assoc 2024; 123 Suppl 3:S234-S241. [PMID: 38772804 DOI: 10.1016/j.jfma.2024.05.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2023] [Revised: 04/21/2024] [Accepted: 05/14/2024] [Indexed: 05/23/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND/PURPOSE Curative technologies improve patient's survival and/or quality of life but increase financial burdens. Effective prevention benefits all three. We summarize estimation methods and provide examples of how much money is spent per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) or life year (LY) on treating a catastrophic illness under a lifetime horizon and how many QALYs/LYs and lifetime medical costs (LMC) could be potentially saved by prevention. METHODS We established cohorts by interlinkages of Taiwan's nation-wide databases including National Health Insurance. We developed methods to estimate lifetime survival functions, which were multiplied with the medical costs and/or quality of life and summed up to estimate LMC, quality-adjusted life expectancy (QALE) and lifetime average cost per QALY/LY for catastrophic illnesses. By comparing with the age-, sex-, and calendar year-matched referents simulated from vital statistics, we obtained the loss-of-QALE and loss-of-life expectancy (LE). RESULTS The lifetime cost-effectiveness ratios of ventilator-dependent comatose patients, dialysis, spinal cord injury, major trauma, and cancers were US$ 96,800, 16,200-20,000, 5500-5,900, 3400-3,600, and 2900-11,900 per QALY or LY, respectively. The successful prevention of lung, liver, oral, esophagus, stomach, nasopharynx, or ovary cancer would potentially save US$ 28,000-97,000 and > 10 QALYs; whereas those for end-stage kidney disease, stroke, spinal injury, or major trauma would be US$ 55,000-300,000 and 10-14 QALYs. Loss-of-QALE and loss-of-LE were less confounded indicators for comparing the lifetime health benefits of different technologies estimated from real-world data. CONCLUSIONS Integration of prevention with treatment for resources allocation seems feasible and would improve equity and efficiency.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jung-Der Wang
- Department of Public Health, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan; Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, Tainan, Taiwan.
| | - Wu-Wei Lai
- Department of Surgery, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan; Department of Surgery, An Nan Hospital, China Medical University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Szu-Chun Yang
- Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Wen-Yen Huang
- Department of Public Health, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
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Lo WC, Hu TH, Shih CY, Lin HH, Hwang JS. Impact of Healthy Lifestyle Factors on Life Expectancy and Lifetime Health Care Expenditure: Nationwide Cohort Study. JMIR Public Health Surveill 2024; 10:e57045. [PMID: 39018094 PMCID: PMC11292159 DOI: 10.2196/57045] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2024] [Revised: 03/20/2024] [Accepted: 05/17/2024] [Indexed: 07/18/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The association between lifestyle risk factors and the risk of mortality and chronic diseases has been established, while limited research has explored the impact of healthy lifestyle factors on lifetime health care expenditure using longitudinal individual data. OBJECTIVE We aimed to determine the individual and combined effects of 5 healthy lifestyle factors on life expectancy and lifetime health care expenditure in Taiwan. METHODS Using data from the National Health Interview Survey cohort, 5 healthy lifestyle behaviors were defined and analyzed: nonsmoking, avoiding excessive alcohol consumption, engaging in sufficient physical activity, ensuring sufficient fruit and vegetable intake, and maintaining a normal weight. We used a rolling extrapolation algorithm that incorporated inverse probability of treatment weighting to estimate the life expectancy and lifetime health care expenditure of the study populations with and without healthy lifestyle factors. RESULTS A total of 19,893 participants aged ≥30 (mean age 48.8, SD 13.4) years were included, with 3815 deaths recorded during a median follow-up period of 15.6 years. The life expectancy and per capita estimated lifetime health care expenditures for the overall study population were 35.32 years and US $58,560, respectively. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for all-cause mortality in participants adhering to all 5 healthy lifestyle factors, compared with those adhering to none, were 0.37 (95% CI 0.27-0.49). We found significant increases in life expectancy for nonsmokers (2.31 years; 95% CI 0.04-5.13; P=.03), those with sufficient physical activity (1.85 years; 95% CI 0.25-4.34; P=.02), and those with adequate fruit and vegetable intake (3.25 years; 95% CI 1.29-6.81; P=.01). In addition, nonsmokers experienced a significant reduction in annual health care expenditure (-9.78%; 95% CI -46.53% to -1.45%; P=.03), as did individuals maintaining optimal body weight (-18.36%; 95% CI -29.66% to -8.57%; P=.01). Overall, participants adhering to all 5 healthy lifestyle behaviors exhibited a life gain of 7.13 years (95% CI 1.33-11.11; P=.02) compared with those adhering to one or none, with a life expectancy of 29.19 years (95% CI 25.45-33.62). Furthermore, individuals adopting all 5 healthy lifestyle factors experienced an average annual health care expenditure reduction of 28.12% (95% CI 4.43%-57.61%; P=.02) compared with those adopting one or none. CONCLUSIONS Adopting a healthy lifestyle is associated with a longer life expectancy and a reduction of health care expenditure in Taiwanese adults. This contributes to a more comprehensive understanding of the impact of healthy lifestyle factors on the overall health and economic burden.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei-Cheng Lo
- Master Program in Applied Epidemiology, College of Public Health, Taipei Medical University, New Taipei, Taiwan
- School of Public Health, College of Public Health, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Tsuey-Hwa Hu
- Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Cheng-Yu Shih
- Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Hsien-Ho Lin
- Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
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Huang DQ, Singal AG, Kanwal F, Lampertico P, Buti M, Sirlin CB, Nguyen MH, Loomba R. Hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance - utilization, barriers and the impact of changing aetiology. Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol 2023; 20:797-809. [PMID: 37537332 DOI: 10.1038/s41575-023-00818-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 71] [Impact Index Per Article: 35.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/30/2023] [Indexed: 08/05/2023]
Abstract
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third leading cause of cancer death worldwide. Surveillance for HCC is critical for early detection and treatment, but fewer than one-quarter of individuals at risk of HCC undergo surveillance. Multiple failures across the screening process contribute to the underutilization of surveillance, including limited disease awareness among patients and health-care providers, knowledge gaps, and difficulty recognizing patients who are at risk. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and alcohol-associated liver disease are the fastest-rising causes of HCC-related death worldwide and are associated with unique barriers to surveillance. In particular, more than one-third of patients with HCC related to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease do not have cirrhosis and therefore lack a routine indication for HCC surveillance on the basis of current practice guidelines. Semi-annual abdominal ultrasound with measurement of α-fetoprotein levels is recommended for HCC surveillance, but the sensitivity of this approach for early HCC is limited, especially for patients with cirrhosis or obesity. In this Review, we discuss the current status of HCC surveillance and the remaining challenges, including the changing aetiology of liver disease. We also discuss strategies to improve the utilization and quality of surveillance for HCC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Q Huang
- Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore.
| | - Amit G Singal
- Department of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA
| | - Fasiha Kanwal
- Center for Innovations in Quality, Effectiveness and Safety (IQuESt), Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Houston, Texas, USA
- Section of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Pietro Lampertico
- Foundation IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Milan, Italy
- CRC "A. M. and A. Migliavacca" Center for Liver Disease, Department of Pathophysiology and Transplantation, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
| | - Maria Buti
- Liver Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitari Valle d'Hebron, Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
- CIBER-EHD del Instituto Carlos III, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Claude B Sirlin
- Liver Imaging Group, Department of Radiology, UCSD School of Medicine, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Mindie H Nguyen
- Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, USA
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, USA
| | - Rohit Loomba
- NAFLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California at San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA
- Division of Epidemiology, Department of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of California at San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA
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Chiu YM, Lan JL, Huang WL, Wu CS. Estimation of life expectancy and healthcare cost in rheumatoid arthritis patients with and without depression: a population-based retrospective cohort study. Front Med (Lausanne) 2023; 10:1221393. [PMID: 38020149 PMCID: PMC10657652 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2023.1221393] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/12/2023] [Accepted: 10/10/2023] [Indexed: 12/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Purpose This study aimed to estimate the lifetime healthcare costs and loss of life expectancy (loss-of-LE) among patients with incident rheumatoid arthritis (RA) with and without depression. Methods This 18 years longitudinal cohort study used data from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. In total, 43,311 patients with RA were included. Among them, 1,663 patients had depressive disorders in the year preceding the RA diagnosis. The survival function for patients with RA with or without depression was estimated and extrapolated over a lifetime using the rolling extrapolation algorithm. The loss-of-LE was calculated by comparing the sex, age, and calendar year-matched referents from vital statistics. The average monthly cost was calculated as the sum of the monthly costs for all patients divided by the number of surviving patients. Lifetime healthcare costs were estimated by multiplying the monthly average cost by the monthly survival probability. Results The loss-of-LE for RA patients with and without depression was 5.60 years and 4.76 years, respectively. The lifetime costs of RA patients with and without depression were USD$ 90,346 and USD$ 92,239, respectively. However, the annual healthcare costs were USD$ 4,123 for RA patients with depression and USD$ 3,812 for RA patients without depression. Regardless of sex or age, RA patients with depression had higher annual healthcare costs than those without depression. Conclusion Patients with RA and depression have a high loss-of-LE and high annual healthcare costs. Whether treating depression prolongs life expectancy and reduces healthcare costs warrants further investigation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ying-Ming Chiu
- Department of Allergy, Immunology, and Rheumatology, Tungs’ Taichung MetroHarbor Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
- Department of Post-Baccalaureate Medicine, College of Medicine, National Chung Hsing University, Taichung, Taiwan
- Department of Nursing, Jen Teh Junior College of Medicine, Nursing and Management, Miaoli, Taiwan
| | - Joung-Liang Lan
- Rheumatology and Immunology Center, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Wei-Lieh Huang
- Department of Psychiatry, National Taiwan University Hospital Yunlin Branch, Douliu, Taiwan
- Department of Psychiatry, College of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Chi-Shin Wu
- Department of Psychiatry, National Taiwan University Hospital Yunlin Branch, Douliu, Taiwan
- Department of Psychiatry, College of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
- National Center for Geriatrics and Welfare Research, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli, Taiwan
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Lo WC, Hu TH, Hwang JS. Lifetime exposure to PM 2.5 air pollution and disability-adjusted life years due to cardiopulmonary disease: A modeling study based on nationwide longitudinal data. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2023; 855:158901. [PMID: 36176245 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158901] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/18/2022] [Revised: 09/07/2022] [Accepted: 09/17/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND As knowledge of the health risks of PM2.5 has grown, the focus of PM2.5-related health impact assessments has evolved from simple risk models to burden-of-disease estimates. We proposed an ecological approach to directly estimate the impacts of lifetime exposure to PM2.5 on expected health losses due to cardiopulmonary diseases for older adult populations in Taiwan. METHODS We created study cohorts of 3.5 million older people living in 350 townships in Taiwan. We used a weighted regression model, with adjustments of area characteristic variables, to directly estimate the impacts of lifetime mean PM2.5 exposure on health losses among the 350 cohorts. Potential avoidable disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) by assuming that ambient PM2.5 met the air quality standard was estimated. RESULTS Each 10 μg/m3 increase in lifetime mean exposure to PM2.5 for an individual corresponded to an increment of 0.25 (95 % confidence interval (CI): 0.18-0.32) DALYs due to cardiopulmonary diseases, after adjusting for a wide range of ecological covariates. We estimated that 611.8 (95 % CI: 440.4-783.2) DALYs per 1000 older adult population could potentially be avoided by achieving air quality standards of WHO in Taiwan. CONCLUSIONS Reducing PM2.5 pollution in Taiwan associated with significant health co-benefits, providing important implications for public health and environmental management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei-Cheng Lo
- Master Program in Applied Epidemiology, College of Public Health, Taipei Medical University, Taipei 10675, Taiwan
| | - Tsuey-Hwa Hu
- Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taipei 11529, Taiwan
| | - Jing-Shiang Hwang
- Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taipei 11529, Taiwan.
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Chan TC, Chuang YH, Hu TH, Y.-H. Lin H, Hwang JS. Mortality risk and years of life lost for people with reduced renal function detected from regular health checkup: A matched cohort study. Prev Med Rep 2023; 31:102107. [PMID: 36820368 PMCID: PMC9938332 DOI: 10.1016/j.pmedr.2022.102107] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2022] [Revised: 12/06/2022] [Accepted: 12/31/2022] [Indexed: 01/04/2023] Open
Abstract
With the increasing threat of metabolic syndromes, a focus on maintaining kidney health from early- to mid-adulthood is necessary. This study elucidates mortality risk and years of life lost (YLLs) due to abnormal renal function. This was a retrospective, matched cohort study from health checkup data from 2000 to 2015. We identified 12,774 participants with abnormal renal function (eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2) and used propensity score matching to identify 25,548 participants with normal renal function (eGFR ≥ 60). YLLs were estimated using the life expectancy differences between the abnormal and matched normal cohorts. Cox models were used to estimate the adjusted mortality risk. The estimated life expectancy of participants with proteinuria and eGFR < 60 was 26.24 years, with a 95 % confidence interval of (23.96, 29.36), 17.62 (16.37, 18.78), and 11.70 (11.02, 12.46) for age groups of 30 - 54, 55 - 64, and 65 - 79 years, respectively. The estimated YLLs of participants with proteinuria and eGFR < 60, as compared with the matched normal cohort, were 17.86 (13.41, 20.36), 12.55 (11.41, 13.78), and 8.31 (7.47, 9.13) years for the three age groups, respectively. The Cox model estimates of mortality hazard ratios of participants having proteinuria and eGFR < 60 against matched referents were 5.29 (3.97, 7.05), 3.99 (3.34, 4.75), and 3.05 (2.62, 3.55) for the three age groups, respectively. Abnormal renal function shortens life expectancy, particularly in patients with proteinuria and in younger adults. Active health management of renal function can reduce the disease burden.
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Key Words
- AFP, Alpha-fetoprotein
- CI, Confidence Interval
- CKD, Chronic Kidney Disease
- COD, Cause of Death
- CVD, Cardiovascular Disease
- DM, Diabetes Mellitus
- ESRD, End-stage Renal Disease
- HR, Hazard Ratio
- HTN, Hypertension
- Hazard of death
- Health check-up
- LE, Life Expectancy
- Life expectancy
- PS, Propensity Score
- Proteinuria
- RAS, Renin-angiotensin System
- SLED, Standardized Life Expectancy Deviation
- SMD, Standardized Mean Difference
- TCR, Taiwan Cancer Registry
- YLL, Years of Life Lost
- eGFR
- eGFR, estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate
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Affiliation(s)
- Ta-Chien Chan
- Research Center for Humanities and Social Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan,Institute of Public Health, School of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan,Corresponding authors.
| | - Yung-Hsin Chuang
- Research Center for Humanities and Social Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Tsuey-Hwa Hu
- Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Hugo Y.-H. Lin
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan,Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Municipal Ta-Tung Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan,Department of Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Jing-Shiang Hwang
- Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan,Corresponding authors.
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Underdiagnosis of High-Risk Liver Diseases Leads to Inadequate Ultrasound Screening for Hepatocellular Carcinoma. AJR Am J Roentgenol 2023; 220:151-152. [PMID: 36222716 DOI: 10.2214/ajr.22.28079] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
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Reply to "Underdiagnosis of High-Risk Liver Diseases Leads to Inadequate Ultrasound Screening for Hepatocellular Carcinoma". AJR Am J Roentgenol 2023; 220:152. [PMID: 36222717 DOI: 10.2214/ajr.22.28134] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
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Beyond the AJR: Shorter Ultrasound Screening Intervals for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Improve Patient Outcomes. AJR Am J Roentgenol 2022; 218:761. [PMID: 35576533 DOI: 10.2214/ajr.21.26780] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
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Ribaldone DG, Caviglia GP, Gaia S, Rolle E, Risso A, Campion D, Brunocilla PR, Saracco GM, Carucci P. Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on Hepatocellular Carcinoma Diagnosis: Results from a Tertiary Care Center in North-West Italy. Curr Oncol 2022; 29:1422-1429. [PMID: 35323319 PMCID: PMC8946861 DOI: 10.3390/curroncol29030119] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2022] [Revised: 02/17/2022] [Accepted: 02/23/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has forced us to direct most of the available resources towards its management. This has led to the neglect of all other pathologies, including cancer. The aim of this study was to verify whether the difficulty in accessing the health system has led to a reduction in new diagnoses of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and whether this has already been reflected in a more advanced stage of the cancer. A single-center, retrospective study including adult patients with a new diagnosis of HCC was performed. Patients were divided into three groups: the prelockdown phase (May 2019–February 2020), the lockdown phase (March 2020–December 2020), and the postlockdown phase (January 2021–October 2021); 247 patients were included. The number of patients diagnosed with HCC distinctly diminished in the periods March 2020–December 2020 (n = 69; −35%) and January 2021–October 2021 (n = 72; −32%) as compared to the period May 2019–February 2020 (n = 106). Noteworthy was the reduced surveillance in the period January 2021–October 2021 as compared to May 2019–February 2020 (22.9% vs. 36.6%, p = 0.056). No significant changes have yet been observed in tumor characteristics (BCLC staging distribution remained unvaried, p = 0.665). In conclusion, the number of new HCC diagnoses decreased sharply in the first 2 years of the pandemic, with no worsening of the stage. A more advanced stage of the disease could be expected in the next few years in patients who have escaped diagnosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Davide Giuseppe Ribaldone
- Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, 10100 Turin, Italy; (G.P.C.); (A.R.); (G.M.S.)
- Correspondence: (D.G.R.); (P.C.); Tel.: +39-11-633-3615 (D.G.R.); Fax: +39-11-633-3970 (D.G.R.)
| | - Gian Paolo Caviglia
- Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, 10100 Turin, Italy; (G.P.C.); (A.R.); (G.M.S.)
| | - Silvia Gaia
- Division of Gastroenterology, Città della Salute e della Scienza University-Hospital, 10100 Turin, Italy; (S.G.); (E.R.); (D.C.); (P.R.B.)
| | - Emanuela Rolle
- Division of Gastroenterology, Città della Salute e della Scienza University-Hospital, 10100 Turin, Italy; (S.G.); (E.R.); (D.C.); (P.R.B.)
| | - Alessandra Risso
- Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, 10100 Turin, Italy; (G.P.C.); (A.R.); (G.M.S.)
| | - Daniela Campion
- Division of Gastroenterology, Città della Salute e della Scienza University-Hospital, 10100 Turin, Italy; (S.G.); (E.R.); (D.C.); (P.R.B.)
| | - Paola Rita Brunocilla
- Division of Gastroenterology, Città della Salute e della Scienza University-Hospital, 10100 Turin, Italy; (S.G.); (E.R.); (D.C.); (P.R.B.)
| | - Giorgio Maria Saracco
- Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, 10100 Turin, Italy; (G.P.C.); (A.R.); (G.M.S.)
- Division of Gastroenterology, Città della Salute e della Scienza University-Hospital, 10100 Turin, Italy; (S.G.); (E.R.); (D.C.); (P.R.B.)
| | - Patrizia Carucci
- Division of Gastroenterology, Città della Salute e della Scienza University-Hospital, 10100 Turin, Italy; (S.G.); (E.R.); (D.C.); (P.R.B.)
- Correspondence: (D.G.R.); (P.C.); Tel.: +39-11-633-3615 (D.G.R.); Fax: +39-11-633-3970 (D.G.R.)
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