Developing a prognostic index for ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast. Are we there yet?

259 Patients with DCIS of the breast applying USC/Van Nuys prognostic index: a retrospective review with long term follow up

BACKGROUND

The Van Nuys Prognostic Index (VNPI) is a simple score for predicting the risk of local recurrence (LR) in patients with Ductal Carcinoma In Situ (DCIS) conservatively treated. This score combines three independent predictors of Local Recurrence. The VNPI has recently been updated with the addition of age as a fourth parameter into the scoring system (University of Southern California/ VNPI).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Our database consisted of 408 women with DCIS. Applying the USC/VNPI we reviewed retrospectively 259 patients who were treated with breast conserving surgery with or without radiotherapy (RT). Of these patients 63.5% had a low VNPI score, 32% intermediate and 4.5% a high score. In the low score group, the majority of the patients underwent Conservative Surgery (CS) without RT while in the intermediate group, almost half of the patients received RT. Eighty-three percent (83%) of the patients with high VNPI were treated with Conservative Surgery plus RT. Nodal assessment by Sentinel Lymph Node Biopsy was obtained in 32 patients since 2002.

RESULTS

Twenty-one Local Recurrences were observed (8%) with a mean follow up of 130 months: sixteen were invasive. No statistically significant differences in Disease Free Survival were reached in all groups of VNPI score between patients treated with Conservative Surgery or Conservative Surgery plus RT. However it was noted that the higher the VNPI score, the lower was the risk of local recurrence in the group treated additionally with RT, even though it was not statistically significant. Further analysis included those patients treated with Conservative Surgery alone and followed up. Disease-free survival (DFS) at 10 years was 94% with low VNPI and 83% in both intermediate and high score (P < 0.05). No significant differences were observed in the subgroups of VNPI. The Local Relapse rate after Conservative Surgery alone, increased with tumor size, margin width, and pathology classification (P < 0,05), while age was not found to be a significant factor. Lesions with only mammographic appearances are associated with lower DFS but it did not reach significance (P = ns), while assumption of estrogenic hormones and familial history of breast cancer are significant factors associated with a higher risk of local recurrence. After multivariate analysis including seven clinical and pathological factors, the only significant predictors of local recurrence remained margin width of surgical excision, previous therapy with estrogens (contraceptives or Hormone Replacement Therapy) and the Van Nuys pathologic classification. The overall survival breast cancer specific was 99% and no differences were observed between groups (P = ns). The comparison of patients treated with a total mastectomy and those conservatively treated showed a significantly better local relapse free survival rate obtained with mastectomy (98.2% vs. 89.7% at 10 years P = 0.02). However, the overall cause-specific survival did not prove any better outcome (98.7% in both groups). Of the 32 patients who underwent a Sentinel Lymph Node Biopsy, four were found to have micrometastases and all of them had a previous Directional Vacuum Assisted Biopsy.

CONCLUSIONS

Although in our series there is not a significant difference in LR rates by the parameter of age, the new USC/VNPI is still a simple and reliable scoring system for therapeutic management of DCIS. We did not find any statistically significant advantage in groups treated with the addition of RT. Obtaining wide surgical margins appears to be the strongest prognostic factor for local recurrence, regardless of other pathological factors or the addition of adjuvant radiation therapy. However, only prospective randomized studies can precisely predict the risk of LR of conservatively treated DCIS. The clinical significance of Sentinel Lymph Nodes micrometastases Immuno-Histo-Chemistry-detected found in DCIS patients remains uncertain. However, we hypothesize that the anatomical disruption after preoperative biopsy procedures increases the likelihood of epithelial cell displacement and the frequency of IHC-positive Sentinel Lymph Nodes, both of which are directly proportional to the degree of manipulation.

Precursors and preinvasive lesions of the breast: the role of molecular prognostic markers in the diagnostic and therapeutic dilemma

Precursors and preinvasive lesions of the breast include atypical ductal hyperplasia (ADH), ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS), and lobular neoplasia (LN). There is a significant debate regarding the classification, diagnosis, prognosis and management of these lesions. This review article describes the current theories regarding the pathogenesis and molecular evolution of these lesions. It reviews the implication of a variety of molecules in the continuum of breast lesions: estrogen receptors (ER-alpha and ER-beta), c-erb-B2 (Her2/neu), p53, Ki-67, bcl-2, E-cadherin, transforming growth factor-beta (TGF-beta), p27 (Kip1), p16 (INK4a), p21 (Waf1), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF). With respect to the aforementioned molecules, this article reviews their pathophysiological importance, and puts the stress on whether they confer additional risk for invasive breast cancer or not. This knowledge has the potential to be of importance in the therapeutic decisions presenting in the common clinical practice.

Histological markers that predict clinical recurrence in ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast: an Australian population-based study

AIMS

The incidence of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) has increased substantially since the advent of widespread screening mammography. Identification of histological markers that predict recurrent disease is essential for optimal treatment management. To assist the clinico-pathological stratification of DCIS, we sought to determine histological markers of recurrence in DCIS in an Australian population-based series.

METHODS

In a study of all DCIS reported in Victoria between 1988 and 1992, managed by breast conserving therapy (wide local excision or subtotal mastectomy) with or without adjuvant radiotherapy and/or hormonal therapy, the histological features of DCIS lesions with subsequent ipsilateral recurrence as in situ or invasive breast cancer were compared with a similarly managed control group of DCIS without recurrence.

RESULTS

Large lesion size, presence of nuclear pleomorphism, absence of cellular polarisation and extensive necrosis were all significant predictors of recurrence (P<0.05). Primary and recurrent DCIS lesions had similar morphological features, and invasive recurrence was characterised by ductal type with high nuclear grade.

CONCLUSION

This study identifies histological markers in DCIS associated with recurrence in an Australian population, and demonstrates similar histological appearances between primary and secondary lesions. These histological characteristics may be used to stratify DCIS subtypes and facilitate the future optimisation of disease management.

Correlation of morphologic and cytogenetic parameters of genetic instability with chromosomal alterations in in situ carcinomas of the breast

Classification of preinvasive breast disease could be better founded using biologic markers, thereby increasing reproducibility. We studied 57 breast ductal and lobular in situ carcinomas by means of comparative genomic hybridization and correlated these findings with quantitative features such as the mean nuclear area, mitotic index (MI), apoptotic index (AI), and the presence or absence of necrosis. Loss of 8p and gains of 8q and 6q were associated, respectively, with a significantly higher MI and AI, whereas loss of 16q was associated with a lower MI and AI. A significantly higher number of alterations per case were seen in tumors with gains of 6q, 8q, and 17q and tumors with loss of 13q. Loss of 16q and gain of 17q correlated with the absence or presence of necrosis, respectively. Our data clearly demonstrate that distinct cytogenetic changes correlate with phenotypic changes, proliferation, and apoptosis. These data may be used to refine existing classification schemes.

Application of the van nuys prognostic index in a retrospective series of 367 ductal carcinomas in situ of the breast examined by serial macroscopic sectioning: practical considerations

The Van Nuys prognostic index (VNPI) was thought to be useful for predicting response to radiotherapy and local recurrence of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS). We applied the VNPI under the conditions defined by Silverstein et al., in 367 retrospective DCIS entirely sectioned into serial macroscopic 2 mm slices (155 patients had radiotherapy, median follow-up 71 months). The percentage of positive blocks with DCIS was also estimated for each specimen with cut-offs at 30% and 60% to obtain three scores. One hundred and ninety five lesions had a low VNPI, 152 an intermediate VNPI, and 20 a high VNPI. There were 9% of local recurrences (half invasive, all in the group without radiotherapy) in the low VNPI group. The local recurrence rate increased with size (p = 0.001), with reduction of distance to margins (p = 0.05), with histologic grade (p = 0.02), with percentage of positive blocks (p = 0.0003) and with VNPI score (p = 0.03). The percentage of positive blocks was the only independent predictor for local recurrence (p = 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

(1) The VNPI was a local recurrence rate predictor between the low and the intermediate groups but in our series the low VNPI group had a surprisingly high local recurrence rate. (2) Only prospective studies will assess the importance of margin width and the role of radiotherapy in maintaining local control. (3) Estimation of the percentage of positive blocks is simple, may be an alternative when measurement of DCIS is difficult and should be taken into account.