Clinical predictive factors of long-term survival after curative resection of pancreatic cancer: a retrospective study

Predictors for Long-Term Survival After Resection of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Improved systemic therapy has made long term (≥ 5 years) overall survival (LTS) after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) increasingly common. However, a systematic review on predictors of LTS following resection of PDAC is lacking.

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Cochrane CENTRAL databases were systematically searched from inception until March 2023. Studies reporting actual survival data (based on follow-up and not survival analysis estimates) on factors associated with LTS were included. Meta-analyses were conducted by using a random effects model, and study quality was gauged by using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS).

RESULTS

Twenty-five studies with 27,091 patients (LTS: 2,132, non-LTS: 24,959) who underwent surgical resection for PDAC were meta-analyzed. The median proportion of LTS patients was 18.32% (IQR 12.97-21.18%) based on 20 studies. Predictors for LTS included sex, body mass index (BMI), preoperative levels of CA19-9, CEA, and albumin, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, tumor grade, AJCC stage, lymphovascular and perineural invasion, pathologic T-stage, nodal disease, metastatic disease, margin status, adjuvant therapy, vascular resection, operative time, operative blood loss, and perioperative blood transfusion. Most articles received a "good" NOS assessment, indicating an acceptable risk of bias.

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analysis pools all true follow up data in the literature to quantify associations between prognostic factors and LTS after resection of PDAC. While there appears to be evidence of a complex interplay between risk, tumor biology, patient characteristics, and management related factors, no single parameter can predict LTS after the resection of PDAC.

Efficacy of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by pancreatic resection for older patients with resectable and borderline resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The benefit of preoperative treatment followed by pancreatic resection in older patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains unclear. In this retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data, we evaluated the significance and safety of preoperative treatment followed by curative resection for older PDAC patients.

METHODS

We evaluated 122 patients with resectable and borderline resectable PDAC who received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) followed by curative resection between 2009 and 2019. Changes in the prognostic nutritional indices during NACRT, surgical outcomes, and prognosis were compared between older (≥75 years, n = 44) and younger patients (<75 years, n = 78).

RESULTS

The completion rate, adverse event rate, changes in prognostic nutritional indices during NACRT, and prognosis were similar between the groups. In multivariate analysis, an elevated C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CRP/Alb) ≥ 33.1% during NACRT (p = 0.035) and no postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (p = 0.041) were identified as significant predictors of overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

NACRT followed by pancreatic resection could be safely performed in older patients, with a similar prognosis as that of younger patients, despite an increased frequency of postoperative complications. Elevated CRP/Alb during NACRT and no postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy were poor prognostic factors for older patients.

Survival and prognostic factors among hospitalized pancreatic cancer patients in northwestern Iran

Background

Pancreatic cancer (PC) is associated with a poor prognosis, with various modifiable risk factors affecting the survival of patients. Our aim was to evaluate the survival rate and the prognostic factors influencing survival in PC patients in northwestern Iran.

Materials and Methods

All the PC patients admitted to the Imam Reza Hospital of Tabriz, Iran, from 2016 to 2020, were enrolled in this study. The survival rate and time were calculated, and the risk factors related to survival were evaluated by Cox regressions. The data were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards model using STATA software.

Results

Of 110 patients, 12-, 24-, 36-, and 48-month survival rates were 29.1%, 19.8%, 14.1%, and 8.5%, respectively, with the median survival time of seven months. The mean age was 65.5 years. The results showed that a higher age (hazard ratio [HR] [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 2.04 [1.20-3.46]), lower education (1.72 [1.03-2.89]), delayed diagnosis (1.03 [1.02-1.05]), hypertension (1.53 [1.01-2.31]), concomitant heart disorders (2.67 [1.50-4.74]), COPD (4.23 [1.01-17.69]), consanguineous marriage (1.59 [1.01-2.50]), and the presence of icterus complications (adjusted HR = 3.64 [1.56-8.49]) were directly associated with a worse survival. On the contrary, radiotherapy (0.10 [0.01-0.85]), chemotherapy (0.57 [0.36-0.89]), and surgical therapy (AHR = 0.48 [0.23-0.99]) were directly related to a good prognosis.

Conclusion

Surgery, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy were the best predictors of survival in PC patients. Moreover, it seems that resolving jaundice can improve survival in these patients. It seems that increasing social awareness, treating underlying diseases, and employing an appropriate therapeutic method may promise a better outlook, improve the survival rate of patients, and reduce PC risk.

Systemic inflammation response index correlates with survival and predicts oncological outcome of resected pancreatic cancer following neoadjuvant chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

The Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI) has been used to predict the prognosis of various cancers. This study examined SIRI as a prognostic factor in the neoadjuvant setting and determined whether it changing after chemotherapy is related to patient prognosis.

METHODS

Patients who underwent pancreatic surgery following neoadjuvant chemotherapy for pancreatic cancer were retrospectively analyzed. To establish the cut-off values, SIRIpre-neoadjuvant, SIRIpost-neoadjuvant, and SIRIquotient (SIRIpost-neoadjuvant/SIRIpre-neoadjuvant) were calculated and significant SIRI values were statistically determined to examine their effects on survival rate.

RESULTS

The study included 160 patients. Values of SIRIpost-neoadjuvant ≥ 0.8710 and SIRIquotient <0.9516 affected prognosis (hazard ratio [HR], 1.948; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.210-3.135; ∗∗P = 0.006; HR, 1.548; 95% CI, 1.041-2.302; ∗∗P = 0.031). Disease-free survival differed significantly at values of SIRIpost-neoadjuvant < 0.8710 and SIRIpost-neoadjuvant ≥ 0.8710 (P = 0.0303). Overall survival differed significantly between SIRIquotient <0.9516 and SIRIquotient ≥0.9516 (P = 0.0368).

CONCLUSIONS

SIRI can predict the survival of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma after resection and neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Preoperative SIRI value was correlated with disease-free survival, while changes in SIRI values were correlated with overall survival.

Prediction of local tumor control and recurrence-free survival in patients with pancreatic cancer undergoing curative resection after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

There is little data on the correlation between the reduction in fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) radioactive accumulation and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels with pathological tumor responses (PTRs) and prognosis after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

METHODS

This study was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from 102 patients with resectable (R-) and borderline resectable (BR-) PDAC who received NACRT, followed by curative resection. Data were prospectively collected and compared between the responders and nonresponders to NACRT.

RESULTS

Patients with 60% or more reduction in maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) on FDG-PET, with 75% or more reduction in CA19-9 levels, or with 50%-100% of tumor cells destroyed due to NACRT had significantly better recurrence-free survival (RFS) than each of the nonresponders (p = 0.028, <0.001, and 0.022, respectively). The reduction rates of SUVmax and CA19-9 levels were correlated with PTR. The combined evaluation of these biomarkers reflected RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Reduction rates of FDG uptake and CA19-9 levels were preoperative predictors of pathological response to NACRT. These biomarkers of local response had prognostic value in R-PDAC and BR-PDAC. The combined evaluation of these biomarkers allowed for reliable prediction of RFS after surgery.

Association Between Clinical Backgrounds and Malignant Progression of Suspected Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm

OBJECTIVES

Some intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) have malignant potential and can become pancreatic cancer. The mechanism behind the malignant progression of IPMN remains unknown. We aimed to identify the risk factors and interactions between backgrounds for IPMN.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 980 patients of pancreatic cancer or suspected IPMN (sIPMN) who underwent endoscopic ultrasound or retrograde cholangiopancreatography. We classified them into pancreatic cancer, high-risk sIPMN, and low-risk sIPMN, and investigated the risk factors for high-risk sIPMN.

RESULTS

Smoking habits (odds ratio [OR], 3.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.04-6.85; P < 0.001), serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 ≥37 U/mL (OR, 6.30; 95% CI, 2.88-13.80; P < 0.001), and family history of cancers (OR, 2.38; 95% CI, 1.30-4.37; P = 0.005) were independent risk factors for high-risk suspected IPMN. Odds ratios of diabetes and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio of 2.45 or greater were significantly higher in patients with a family history of cancer than those without a family history of cancer (OR, 3.28; 95% CI, 0.52-20.80 vs 1.85; 95% CI, 0.78-4.41; OR, 2.44; 95% CI, 0.81-7.34 vs 1.24; 95% CI, 0.67-2.30, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Understanding the interactions between background factors can effectively prevent IPMNs' malignant transformation.

Predictive risk factors for early recurrence in patients with localized pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma who underwent curative-intent resection after preoperative chemoradiotherapy

Background

The optimal surgical indication after preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) remains a subject of debate for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) because early recurrence often occurs even after curative-intent resection. The present study aimed to identify perioperative risk factors of early recurrence for patients with PDAC who underwent curative-intent resection after preoperative CRT.

Methods

Two hundred three patients with PDAC who underwent curative-intent resection after preoperative CRT from February 2005 to December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. The optimal threshold for differentiating between early and late recurrence was determined by the minimum p-value approach. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to identify predictive factors for early recurrence.

Results

In 130 patients who developed recurrence after resection, 52 who had an initial recurrence within 12 months were defined as the early recurrence group, and the remaining 78 were defined as the late recurrence group. The incidence of hepatic recurrence was significantly higher in the early recurrence group than in the late recurrence group (39.7 vs. 15.4%). The early recurrence group had significantly lower 3-year rates of post-recurrence and overall survival than the late recurrence group (4.0 and 10.7% vs. 9.8 and 59.0%, respectively). Serum level of CA19-9 before surgery ≥56.8 U/ml was identified as an independent risk factor for early recurrence (OR:3.07, 95%CI:1.65–5.73, p<0.001) and associated with a significantly higher cumulative incidence rate of hepatic recurrence and lower rates of recurrence-free and overall survival.

Conclusion

Serum level of CA19-9 before surgery after preoperative CRT was a strong predictive factor for early recurrence.

Efficacy and Safety of Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation Therapy Administered for 5 Versus 2 Weeks for Resectable and Borderline Resectable Pancreatic Cancer

OBJECTIVES

Indications of preoperative treatment for resectable (R-) or borderline resectable (BR-) pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) are unclear, and the protocol remains to be standardized.

METHODS

Included 65 patients with R- and BR-PDAC with venous involvement (V-) received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy with S-1 and 50 Gy of radiation as the 5-week regimen. The outcomes of this group were compared with those of 52 patients who underwent S-1 and 30 Gy of radiation as the 2-week regimen, previously collected as our prospective phase II study.

RESULTS

Compared with the 2-week regimen, there were no significant differences in the rate of protocol completion, adverse events, mortality and morbidity, or R0 resection in the 5-week regimen. In subgroup analyses of R-PDAC, there were no significant differences in overall survival and recurrence-free survival between the groups. In contrast, the 5-week regimen had significantly better overall survival and recurrence-free survival than the 2-week regimen for BRV-PDAC. Similar results were observed after propensity score matching analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The 5-week regimen of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy has good clinical efficacy and safety for R- and BRV-PDAC. The 5-week regimen could achieve better outcomes than the 2-week regimen for BRV-PDAC. In contrast, both regimens achieved similar outcomes for R-PDAC.

[Results of pancreatic surgery from the perspective of patients: a cross-sectional study of the support group "Arbeitskreis der Pankreatektomierten e. V."]

BACKGROUND

 The support group "Arbeitskreis der Pankreatektomierten e. V. (AdP)" was founded in 1976 and is the largest group of individuals affected by pancreatic disease in Germany. Members of the AdP support patients with pancreatic disease. This patient-initiated, cross-sectional study intends to present the results of pancreatic surgery from the perspective of patients.

METHODS

 Since March the 3 rd, 2018, members of the AdP received a questionnaire with eleven categories of questions concerning their medical history. This data was gathered in a medical database and analysed.

RESULTS

 625 members were operated upon, with 57.5 % receiving pancreaticoduodenectomy, 15.5 % distal pancreatectomy, 23.2 % total pancreatectomy, and 4.0 % another or unknown operation. 37.9 % were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer, 38.2 % with another type of pancreatic tumour, 25 % with pancreatitis, 4 % with autoimmune pancreatitis and 2.7 % with other rare entities.82 patients of 237 pancreatic cancer patients survived more than 5 years. 24.5 % of the 237 patients reported have a second primary malignancy and 13.9 % have close family members with pancreatic cancer.Weight loss after pancreatic surgery was dependant on the type of operation with the greatest after pancreatectomy (17.8 ± 9.5 kg). The prevalence of diabetes was 54.1 %, the incidence of new onset perioperative diabetes 33.3 %. 91.5 % needed pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy, on average 189 417 IE/day. The reported quality of life was independent from type of surgery received.

CONCLUSION

 Following complex pancreatic surgery, patients are confronted with daily lifelong challenges. AdP members offering their shared experiences offer meaningful support to newly affected patients. Individuals affected by pancreatic disease could be an important but underutilised resource to studying these diseases.

Prognostic value of the Memorial Sloan Kettering Prognostic Score in metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The Memorial Sloan Kettering Prognostic Score (MPS), a composite of the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and albumin, is an objective prognostic tool created as a more readily available alternative to the Glasgow Prognostic Score. A prior analysis of patients with metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma (mPDAC) suggested that the MPS may predict survival, although it did not control for clinically relevant factors.

METHODS

MPS scores were calculated for patients with mPDAC treated at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center from January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2014. An MPS scale of 0 to 2 was used: 0 for an albumin level ≥ 4 g/dL and an NLR ≤ 4 g/dL, 1 for either an albumin level < 4 g/dL or an NLR > 4 g/dL, and 2 for an albumin level < 4 g/dL and an NLR > 4 g/dL. Performance status, antineoplastic therapy, presence of thromboembolism (TE), radiation therapy, and metastatic sites were also analyzed. The associations with overall survival were examined with time-dependent Cox proportional hazards regression analyses.

RESULTS

A multivariate model revealed that higher MPS scores at diagnosis (hazard ratio for MPS of 2 vs MPS of 0, 1.41; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-1.76), liver metastases, radiation therapy, hospital admissions, TE, and performance status were associated with worse overall survival. The median overall survival for patients with MPS scores of 0, 1, and 2 were 12.9, 9.0, and 5.4 months, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The MPS, an easily calculated composite of the NLR and albumin, is an objective tool that may predict survival in mPDAC independently of performance status, disease characteristics, and cancer therapy.

LAY SUMMARY

The Memorial Sloan Kettering Prognostic Score (MPS) is a new scoring system that incorporates markers of inflammation found in individuals' blood at the diagnosis of metastatic pancreatic cancer. Data suggest that the MPS may help to determine prognosis.

Impact of preoperative malnutrition, based on albumin level and body mass index, on operative outcomes in patients with pancreatic head cancer

BACKGROUND

To investigate whether preoperative malnutrition in patients who underwent curative pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) in pancreatic head cancer correlated with short-term outcomes.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective review of medical records from January 2004 to December 2018. Preoperative malnutrition was defined as body mass index (BMI) <18.5 kg/m² , or hypoalbuminemia with serum albumin level < 3.5 g/dL within 30 days before surgery.

RESULTS

Of the 289 eligible patients, 60 patients (20.7%) were classified as the malnutrition group. The estimated blood loss (EBL, mL) (964.1 ± 879.7 vs 597.7 ± 501.7, P = .044) and transfusion rate (51.7% vs 18.8%, P < .001) was significantly higher in the malnutrition group than no-malnutrition group. The hospital stay (days) (20.5 ± 12.2 vs 18.1 ± 13.6, P = .05) was significantly longer in the malnutrition group. The open conversion rate (45.4% vs 6.67%, P < .001) and major complication rate (36.7% vs 21.8%, P = .032) was significantly higher in the malnutrition group. In multivariate analysis, preoperative malnutrition was found to be the predictor of postoperative complication (HR 1.971 95% confidence interval 1.071-3.624, P = .029).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative malnutrition in patients who underwent curative PD for pancreatic head cancer is associated with adverse short-term outcomes.

The actual 5-year survivors of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma based on real-world data

Survival data for pancreatic cancer are usually based on actuarial calculations and actual long-term survival rates are rarely reported. Here we use population-level data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program for patients with microscopically confirmed pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma diagnosed from 1975 to 2011. A total of 84,275 patients with at least 5 years of follow-up were evaluated (follow-up cutoff date: December 31, 2016). Actual 5-year survival for pancreatic cancer increased from 0.9% in 1975 to 4.2% in 2011 in patients of all stages (p < 0.001), while in surgically resected patients, it rose from 1.5% to 17.4% (p < 0.001). In non-resected patients, the actual 5-year survival remained unchanged over the same time period (0.8% vs 0.9%; p = 0.121). Multivariable analysis of surgically resected patients diagnosed in the recent time era (2004-2011) showed that age, gender, grade, tumour size, TNM-stage and chemotherapy were significant independent predictors of actual 5-year survival, while age, grade and TNM-stage were significant independent predictors in non-resected patients. However, unfavourable clinicopathological factors did not preclude long-term survival. Collectively, our findings indicate that actual 5-year survival for pancreatic cancer is still below 5% despite improvement of survival for the subset of patients undergoing surgical resection.

Survival benefit of adjuvant chemoradiotherapy for positive or close resection margin after curative resection of pancreatic adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

This study was conducted to identify patients who may benefit from adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for positive or close resection margin (RM) after curative resection of pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

From 2004 to 2015, total of 472 patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma underwent curative resection. After excluding patients with RM > 2 mm or unknown, remaining 217 patients were retrospectively analyzed. Forty-six (21.2%) patients were treated with adjuvant chemotherapy alone (CTx; mainly gemcitabine-based), 142 (65.4%) with adjuvant CRT (mainly upfront), and 29 (13.4%) patients didn't receive any adjuvant therapy (noTx group).

RESULTS

Locoregional recurrence rate was significantly lower in the CRT group (43.7%) than in the CTx group (71.7%) or noTx group (65.5%) (p = 0.001). Significant survival benefits of CRT over CTx (HR 0.602, p = 0.020 for overall survival (OS); HR 0.599, p = 0.016 for time to any recurrence (TTR)) were demonstrated in multivariate analysis. CRT group had more 5-year survivors than other groups. In the subgroup analysis, such benefits of adjuvant CRT over CTx was observed only in patients with head tumor & vascular RM > 0.5 mm, but not in patients with body/tail tumor or vascular RM ≤ 0.5 mm. In the CRT group, radiation dose≥54 Gy was significantly associated with better TTR and OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Adjuvant CRT could improve TTR and OS compared to adjuvant CTx alone in patients with close RM under 2 mm. Radiation dose escalation may be beneficial when feasible. Modern CRT regimen-based randomized evidence is needed for these high-risk patients.

Usefulness of 18 F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography for predicting the prognosis and treatment response of neoadjuvant therapy for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) for computed tomography (CT) is preoperatively used to evaluate therapeutic effects. However, it does not reflect the pathological treatment response (PTR) of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The Positron Emission Tomography Response Criteria in Solid Tumors (PERCIST) for positron emission tomography (PET)/CT is effective in other cancers. This study aimed to confirm the usefulness of PERCIST and the prognostic utility of PET/CT for PDAC.

METHODS

Forty-two consecutive patients with PDAC who underwent neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) and pancreatectomy at our institution between 2014 and 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. We evaluated the treatment response and prognostic significance of PET/CT parameters and other clinicopathological factors.

RESULTS

Twenty-two patients who underwent PET/CT both before and after NAT with the same protocol were included. RECIST revealed stable disease and partial response in 20 and 2 cases, respectively. PERCIST revealed stable metabolic disease, partial metabolic response, and complete metabolic response in 8, 9, and 5 cases, respectively. The PTR was G3, G2, and G1 in 8, 12, and 2 cases, respectively. For comparing the concordance rates between PTR and each parameter, PERCIST (72.7% [16/22]) was significantly superior to RECIST (36.4% [8/22]) (P = .017). The area under the curve survival values of PET/CT parameters were 0.777 for metabolic tumor volume (MTV), 0.500 for maximum standardized uptake value, 0.554 for peak standardized uptake value corrected for lean body mass, and 0.634 for total lesion glycolysis. A 50% cut-off value for the MTV reduction rate yielded the largest difference in survival between responders and nonresponders. On multivariate analysis, MTV reduction rates < 50% were independent predictors for relapse-free survival (hazard ratio [HR], 3.92; P = .044) and overall survival (HR, 14.08; P = .023).

CONCLUSIONS

PERCIST was more accurate in determining NAT's therapeutic effects for PDAC than RECIST. MTV reduction rates were independent prognostic factors for PDAC.

A nomogram to preoperatively predict 1-year disease-specific survival in resected pancreatic cancer following neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy

Objective

This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict the 1-year survival of patients with pancreatic cancer who underwent pancreatectomy following neoadjuvant treatment with preoperatively detectable clinical parameters. Extended pancreatectomy is necessary to achieve complete tumor removal in borderline resectable and locally advanced pancreatic cancer. However, it increases postoperative morbidity and mortality rates, and should be balanced with potential benefit of long-term survival.

Methods

The medical records of patients who underwent pancreatectomy following neoadjuvant treatment from January 2005 to December 2016 at Severance Hospital were retrospectively reviewed. Medical records were collected from five international institutions from Japan and Singapore for external validation.

Results

A total of 113 patients were enrolled. The nomogram for predicting 1-year disease-specific survival was created based on 5 clinically detectable preoperative parameters as follows: age (year), symptom (no/yes), tumor size at initial diagnostic stage (cm), preoperative serum carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 level after neoadjuvant treatment (<34/≥34 U/mL), and planned surgery [pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) (pylorus-preserving PD)/distal pancreatectomy (DP)/total pancreatectomy]. Model performance was assessed for discrimination and calibration. The calibration plot showed good agreement between actual and predicted survival probabilities; the the Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino (GND) goodness-of-fit test showed that the model was well calibrated (χ²=8.24, P=0.5099). A total of 84 patients were used for external validation. When correlating actual disease-specific survival and calculated 1-year disease-specific survival, there were significance differences according to the calculated probability of 1-year survival among the three groups (P=0.044).

Conclusions

The developed nomogram had quite acceptable accuracy and clinical feasibility in the decision-making process for the management of pancreatic cancer.

Meta-analysis of recurrence pattern after resection for pancreatic cancer

Background

Initial recurrence mapping of resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) could help in stratifying patient subpopulations for optimal postoperative follow-up. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to investigate the initial recurrence patterns of PDAC and to correlate them with clinicopathological factors.

Methods

MEDLINE and Web of Science databases were searched systematically for studies reporting first recurrence patterns after PDAC resection. Data were extracted from the studies selected for inclusion. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95 per cent confidence intervals were calculated to determine the clinicopathological factors related to the recurrence sites. The weighted average of median overall survival was calculated.

Results

Eighty-nine studies with 17 313 patients undergoing PDAC resection were included. The weighted median rates of initial recurrence were 20·8 per cent for locoregional sites, 26·5 per cent for liver, 11·4 per cent for lung and 13·5 per cent for peritoneal dissemination. The weighted median overall survival times were 19·8 months for locoregional recurrence, 15·0 months for liver recurrence, 30·4 months for lung recurrence and 14·1 months for peritoneal dissemination. Meta-analysis revealed that R1 (direct) resection (OR 2·21, 95 per cent c.i. 1·12 to 4·35), perineural invasion (OR 5·19, 2·79 to 9·64) and positive peritoneal lavage cytology (OR 5·29, 3·03 to 9·25) were significantly associated with peritoneal dissemination as initial recurrence site. Low grade of tumour differentiation was significantly associated with liver recurrence (OR 4·15, 1·71 to 10·07).

Conclusion

Risk factors for recurrence patterns after surgery could be considered for specific surveillance and treatments for patients with pancreatic cancer.

Efficacy and safety of preoperative 5-fluorouracil, cisplatin, and mitomycin C in combination with radiotherapy in patients with resectable and borderline resectable pancreatic cancer: a long-term follow-up study

Background

We aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of 5-fluorouracil-based neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) in patients with resectable/borderline resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

Methods

This retrospective study investigated the clinicopathological features and > 5-year survival of patients with T3/T4 PDAC who underwent NACRT at our institute between 2003 and 2012.

Results

Seventeen resectable and eight borderline resectable patients were included. The protocol treatment completion and resection rates were 92.0% and 68.0%, respectively. Two patients failed to complete chemotherapy owing to cholangitis or anorexia. Common grade 3 toxicities included anorexia (12%), neutropenia (4%), thrombocytopenia (4%), anemia (4%), and leukopenia (12%). Pathologically negative margins were achieved in 94.1% of patients who underwent pancreatectomy. Pathological response according to Evans’ classification was grade IIA in 10 patients (58.8%), IIB in 5 patients (29.4%), and IV in 2 patients (11.8%). Postoperative pancreatic fistulas were observed in four patients (23.5%), delayed gastric emptying in one patient (5.9%), and other operative morbidities in four patients (23.5%). The 1-, 2-, 5-, and 10-year overall survival rates were 73.9%, 60.9%, 60.9%, and 39.1%, respectively (median follow-up period, 80.3 months).

Conclusions

NACRT is tolerable and beneficial for resectable/borderline resectable PDAC, even in the long-term.

Prognostic significance of the postoperative level and recovery rate of serum albumin in patients with curatively resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

The aim of the present study was to investigate the clinicopathological features and prognostic factors associated with pre- and postoperative serum albumin levels in patients with curatively resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). To achieve this, the data of patients who underwent pancreatectomy for PDAC between January 1995 and March 2016 were retrospectively reviewed, and the pre- and postoperative serum albumin levels at postoperative months (POMs) 3, 6, and 12 were evaluated. The serum albumin recovery rate was also investigated. A total of 196 patients were enrolled in the present study. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, lymph node metastasis [hazard ratio (HR): 1.65; P=0.022], serum albumin level at POM 12 (≥3.9 g/dl; HR: 0.60; P=0.017), and serum albumin recovery rate at POM 12 (≥1.00; HR: 0.60; P=0.017) were independent prognostic factors for disease-free survival. Lymph node metastasis (HR: 1.79; P=0.013) and serum albumin level at POM 12 (≥3.9 g/dl) (HR: 0.60; P=0.033) were independent prognostic factors for overall survival. These results indicated that the postoperative level and recovery rate of serum albumin are potential biomarkers for predicting the prognosis of patients with curatively resected PDAC. However, further studies are required in order to investigate the survival benefit of increasing postoperative serum albumin levels in these patients.

A Survival Model in Locally Advanced and Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

The prognostic role of serum LDH, CA19-9, CRP and ALB in PDAC patients are controversial. In contrast to single factor, there is much less information about the prognostic value of the combination of the four factors in locally advanced and metastatic PDAC patients. It's essential to set up a survival model with the combination of tumor metabolism, tumor biomarker, systemic inflammation and nutritional status to eliminate the prognostic inaccuracy in single biomarker. 94 advanced PDAC patients who received palliative chemotherapy from 2009 to 2017 were recruited for this study. The predictive value of pretreatment serum LDH, CA19-9, CRP and ALB levels for OS were evaluated, and the same as combination of the four factors. It was confirmed that serum LDH, CA19-9, CRP and ALB levels were independent prognostic factors for OS by multivariate analyses. The results of Kaplan-Meier analyses revealed that serum LDH, CA19-9, CRP, ALB levels as well as the combination of the four factors were correlated with OS. It's concluded that the combination of the pretreatment serum LDH, CA19-9, CRP and ALB levels is a prognostic factor for advanced PDAC patients.

Clinical predictive factors of long-term survival after curative resection of pancreatic cancer: a retrospective study

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) continues to have the poorest prognosis of all gastrointestinal malignancies, even after the tumor has been completely resected. However, only a proportion of patients achieve 5-year survival after resection. The factors predictive of achieving 5-year survival remain unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the pre- and postoperative clinicopathological characteristics of PDAC patients with a >5-year survival after curative resection. We retrospectively reviewed patients who underwent pancreatectomy for PDAC between January 1995 and December 2011. Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the predictive factors for 5-year survival. One hundred and fifty-one patients were enrolled, including 38 patients with 5-year survival (actual 5-year survival rate, 25.2%). The independent preoperative factors predictive of achieving 5-year survival included serum albumin levels (odds ratio [OR]: 5.06, 95.0% confidence interval [CI]: 1.49-17.19; P = 0.009) and neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (OR: 3.02, 95.0% CI: 1.00-9.08; P = 0.049). Venous infiltration (OR: 2.99, 95.0% CI: 1.09-8.25; P = 0.034), liver recurrence (OR: 0.17, 95.0% CI: 0.04-0.69; P = 0.013), and perioperative portal vein infusion chemotherapy (OR: 3.06, 95.0% CI: 1.09-8.25; P = 0.028) were found to be independent postoperative predictive factors for achieving 5-year survival. Serum albumin levels could be a biomarker for predicting the prognosis of PDAC patients after curative resection. Liver recurrence and perioperative portal vein infusion chemotherapy were independent postoperative factors, suggesting that perioperative portal vein infusion chemotherapy could be promising for improving the survival rate of PDAC patients after curative resection.