Novel risk stratification score for predicting early distant brain failure and salvage whole-brain radiotherapy after stereotactic radiosurgery for brain metastases

Efficacy of 3D-TSE sequence-based radiosurgery in prolonging time to distant intracranial failure: A session-wise analysis in a histology-diverse patient cohort

BACKGROUND

Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) for patients with brain metastases (BM) is associated with a risk of distant intracranial failure (DIF). This study evaluates the impact of integrating dedicated 3D fast/turbo spin echo (3D-TSE) sequences to MPRAGE in BM detection and DIF prolongation in a histology-agnostic patient cohort.

METHODS

The study population included adults treated with SRS from February 2019 to January 2024 who underwent MPRAGE alone or dual sequence with the addition of 3D-TSE starting from February 2020. Median times to DIF were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

The 216 study patients who underwent 332 SRS courses for 1456 BM imaged with MPRAGE and 3D-TSE (primary cohort) were compared to a control cohort (92 patients, 135 SRS courses, 462 BM). In the session-wise analysis, the median time to DIF between the cohorts was significantly prolonged in the primary vs. control cohorts (11.4 vs. 6.8 months, P = .029), more pronounced in the subgroups with 1-4 metastases (14.7 vs. 8.1 months, P = .008) and with solitary BM (36.4 vs. 10.9 months, P = .001). While patients relapsing on immunotherapy or targeted therapy did not significantly benefit from 3D-TSE (7.2 vs. 5.7 months, P = .280), those who relapsed on chemotherapy or who were off systemic therapy (including synchronous metastases) exhibited a trend toward longer time to DIF with 3D-TSE integration (14.7 vs. 7.9 months, P = .057).

CONCLUSIONS

Implementing 3D-TSE sequences into SRS practice increases BM detection across all patients and translates into clinical relevance by prolonging time to DIF, particularly in those with limited intracranial disease and those not receiving central nervous system-active agents.

Distant brain failure after stereotactic radiosurgery for brain metastases in patients receiving novel systemic treatments

Background

Novel systemic therapies, such as immunotherapy and targeted therapies, have shown better systemic disease control in the last decennium. However, the effect of these treatments on distant brain failure (DBF) in patients with brain metastases (BM) remains a topic of discussion. Improving time to DBF leads to longer overall survival (OS), as is reflected in the brain metastasis velocity (BMV). This study presents real world data about the combined effects of local and systemic treatments on DBF and survival.

Methods

A retrospective consecutive cohort study was conducted. Patients with newly diagnosed BM were included between June 2018 and May 2020. Factors associated with DBF were analyzed in multivariate models. The association between BMV and overall survival was analyzed with linear regression analysis.

Results

Three hundred and three patients were included. Two hundred and sixty-two (86%) patients received stereotactic radiotherapy, 41 (14%) awaited in first instance the intracranial effect of newly started or switched systemic treatment. Median time to DBF after radiotherapy was 21 months (95% CI 15-27), median OS was 20 months (IQR 10-36). Receiving immunotherapy or targeted therapy were associated with a lower hazard of DBF, compared with chemotherapy. The presence of > 5 initial BM and progressive or stable extracranial disease were associated with increased DBF. BMV was significantly associated with overall survival.

Conclusions

In this retrospective cohort, patients who received immunotherapy or targeted therapy experienced a reduced risk of DBF in comparison to those treated with chemotherapy. A higher BMV was associated with a decreased OS.

Impact of systemic disease on CNS disease control after stereotactic radiosurgery to breast cancer brain metastases (The SYBRA Study)

The objective of the study is to assess impact of systemic disease (SD) status on overall survival and brain metastasis (BM) control, adopting a novel landmark approach to categorize SD among breast cancer (BC) patients. This single institution retrospective study included BCBM patients who have received stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) to brain. Separate endpoints [CNS failure-free survival (cFFS), overall survival (OS)] were analyzed from each Landmark (LM): LM1 (3-months), LM2 (6-months). Patients were categorized into early and non-early progression (EP, NEP) groups depending on SD status before LMs. Median survivals from LM were assessed with Kaplan Meier plots, compared with Log-Rank test. EP was associated with worse median cFFS and OS vs NEP in both LM analyses (cFFS- LM1: 3.6 vs. 9.7 months, p = 0.0016; LM2: 2.3 vs. 12.5 months, p < 0.0001; OS- LM1: 3.6 vs. 24.3 months, p < 0.0001; LM2: 5.3 vs. 30.2 months, p < 0.0001). In multivariate analyses, EP was associated with shorter cFFS [LM1: Hazard Ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.16, 1.46-6.83, p = 0.0034; LM2: 5.32, 2.33-12.15, p = <0.0001] and shorter OS (LM1: HR with 95% CI 4.28, 1.98-9.12, p = 0.0002; LM2: 7.40, 3.10-17.63, p = <0.0001) vs NEP. Early systemic disease progressions after 1st SRS to brain is associated with worse cFFS and OS in patients with BCBM.

External validation of three prognostic scores for brain metastasis velocity in patients treated with intracranial stereotactic radiotherapy

BACKGROUND AND INTRODUCTION

Brain metastasis velocity (BMV) has been proposed as a prognostic factor for overall survival (OS) in patients with brain metastases (BMs). In this study, we conducted an external validation and comparative assessment of the performance of all three BMV scores.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients treated with intracranial stereotactic radiotherapy (SRT) for BM at a single center between 2014 and 2018 were identified. Where possible, all three BMV scores were calculated. Log-rank tests and linear, logistic and Cox regression analysis were used for validation and predictor identification of OS.

RESULTS

For 333 of 384 brain metastasis patients, at least one BMV score could be calculated. In a sub-group of 187 patients, "classic" BMV was validated as categorical (p < 0.0001) and continuous variable (HR 1.02; 95% CI 1.02-1.03; p < 0.0001). In a sub-group of 284 patients, "initial" BMV was validated as categorical variable (high-risk vs. low-risk; p < 0.01), but not as continuous variable (HR 1.02; 95% CI 0.99-1.04; p = 0.224). "Volume-based" BMV could not be validated in a sub-group of 104 patients. On multivariable Cox regression analysis, iBMV (HR 1.85; 95% CI 1.01-3.38; p < 0.05) and cBMV (HR 2.32; 95% CI 1.15 4.68; p < 0.05) were predictors for OS for intermediate-risk patients after first SRT and first DBFs, respectively. cBMV proved to be the dominant predictor for OS for high-risk patients (HR 2.99; 95% CI 1.30-6.91; p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

This study externally validated cBMV and iBMV as prognostic scores for OS in patients treated with SRT for BMs whereas validation of vBMV was not achieved.

Heterogeneity of HER2 Expression in Circulating Tumor Cells of Patients with Breast Cancer Brain Metastases and Impact on Brain Disease Control

Simple Summary

Results from a previous study suggested that the number of circulating tumor cells (CTC) might have a role as a biomarker of early distant brain failure in patients with breast cancer brain metastases (BCBM). However, it remains largely underexplored whether heterogeneous HER2 expression in CTC may have a prognostic implication. We evaluated the status of HER2 expression in CTC before and after radiotherapy/radiosurgery for BCBM and observed that the presence of HER2 expression in any moment was associated with longer distant brain failure-free survival, irrespective of the primary immunophenotype of the breast tumor. This finding suggests that the status of HER2 expression in CTC has the potential to improve the treatment selection for patients with BCBM.

Abstract

HER2 expression switching in circulating tumor cells (CTC) in breast cancer is dynamic and may have prognostic and predictive clinical implications. In this study, we evaluated the association between the expression of HER2 in the CTC of patients with breast cancer brain metastases (BCBM) and brain disease control. An exploratory analysis of a prospective assessment of CTC before (CTC1) and after (CTC2) stereotactic radiotherapy/radiosurgery (SRT) for BCBM in 39 women was performed. Distant brain failure-free survival (DBFFS), the primary endpoint, and overall survival (OS) were estimated. After a median follow-up of 16.6 months, there were 15 patients with distant brain failure and 16 deaths. The median DBFFS and OS were 15.3 and 19.5 months, respectively. The median DBFFS was 10 months in patients without HER2 expressed in CTC and was not reached in patients with HER2 in CTC (p = 0.012). The median OS was 17 months in patients without HER2 in CTC and was not reached in patients with HER2 in CTC (p = 0.104). On the multivariate analysis, DBFFS was superior in patients who were primary immunophenotype (PIP) HER2-positive (HR 0.128, 95% CI 0.025–0.534; p = 0.013). The expression of HER2 in CTC was associated with a longer DBFFS, and the switching of HER2 expression between the PIP and CTC may have an impact on prognosis and treatment selection for BCBM.

Dedicated isotropic 3-D T1 SPACE sequence imaging for radiosurgery planning improves brain metastases detection and reduces the risk of intracranial relapse

BACKGROUND

Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is increasingly used for brain metastases (BM) patients, but distant intracranial failure (DIF) remains the principal disadvantage of this focal therapeutic approach. The objective of this study was to determine if dedicated SRS imaging would improve lesion detection and reduce DIF.

METHODS

Between 02/2020 and 01/2021, SRS patients at a tertiary care institution underwent dedicated treatment planning MRIs of the brain including MPRAGE and SPACE post-contrast sequences. DIF was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method; comparisons were made to a historical consecutive cohort treated using MPRAGE alone (02/2019-01/2020).

RESULTS

134 patients underwent 171 SRS courses for 821 BM imaged with both MPRAGE and SPACE (primary cohort). MPRAGE sequence evaluation alone detected 679 lesions. With neuroradiologists evaluating SPACE and MPRAGE, an additional 108 lesions were identified (p<0.001). Upon multidisciplinary review, 34 additional lesions were identified. Compared to the historical cohort (103 patients, 135 SRS courses, 479 BM), the primary cohort had improved median time to DIF (13.5 vs. 5.1 months, p=0.004). The benefit was even more pronounced for patients treated for their first SRS course (18.4 vs. 6.3 months, p=0.001). SRS using MPRAGE and SPACE was associated with a 60% reduction in risk of DIF compared to the historical cohort (HR: 0.40; 95%CI: 0.28-0.57, p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Among BM patients treated with SRS, a treatment planning SPACE sequence in addition to MPRAGE substantially improved lesion detection and was associated with a statistically significant and clinically meaningful prolongation in time to DIF, especially for patients undergoing their first SRS course.

Local recurrence and cerebral progression-free survival after multiple sessions of stereotactic radiotherapy of brain metastases: a retrospective study of 184 patients : Statistical analysis

PURPOSE

Forty to sixty percent of patients treated with focal therapy for brain metastasis (BM) will have distant brain recurrence (C-LR), while 10-25% of patients will have local recurrence (LR) within 1 year after stereotactic radiotherapy (SRT). The purpose of this study was to analyze cerebral progression-free survival (C-PFS) and LR of BM among patients treated with repeated courses of radiotherapy in stereotactic conditions.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

We retrospectively reviewed data from 184 patients treated for 915 BMs with at least two courses of SRT without previous WBRT. Initial patient characteristics, patient characteristics at each SRT, brain metastasis velocity (BMV), delay between SRT, MRI response, LR and C‑LR were analyzed.

RESULTS

In all, 123 (66.9%), 39 (21.2%), and 22 (12%) patients received 2, 3, or 4 or more SRT sessions, respectively. Ninety percent of BMs were irradiated without prior surgery, and 10% were irradiated after neurosurgery. The MRI response at 3, 6, 12 and 24 months after SRT was stable regardless of the SRT session. At 6, 12 and 24 months, the rates of local control were 96.3, 90.1, and 85.8%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, P‑LR was statistically associated with kidney (HR = 0.08) and lung cancer (HR = 0.3), ECOG 1 (HR = 0.5), and high BMV grade (HR = 5.6). The median C‑PFS after SRT1, SRT2, SRT3 and SRT4 and more were 6.6, 5.1, 6.7, and 7.7 months, respectively. C‑PFS after SRT2 was significantly longer among patients in good general condition (HR = 0.39), patients with high KPS (HR = 0.91), patients with no extracerebral progression (HR = 1.8), and patients with a low BMV grade (low vs. high: HR = 3.8).

CONCLUSION

Objective MRI response rate after repeated SRT is stable from session to session. Patients who survive longer, such as patients with breast cancer or with low BMV grade, are at risk of local reirradiation. C‑PFS after SRT2 is better in patients in good general condition, without extracerebral progression and with low BMV grade.

Value of screening and follow-up brain MRI scans in patients with metastatic melanoma

Background

Novel treatments make long‐term survival possible for subsets of patients with melanoma brain metastases. Brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) may aid in early detection of brain metastases and inform treatment decisions. This study aimed to determine the impact of screening MRI scans in patients with metastatic melanoma and follow‐up MRI scans in patients with melanoma brain metastases.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included patients diagnosed with metastatic melanoma or melanoma brain metastases between June 2015 and January 2018. The impact of screening MRI scans was evaluated in the first 2 years after metastatic melanoma diagnosis. The impact of follow‐up MRI scans was examined in the first year after brain metastases diagnosis. The number of MRI scans, scan indications, scan outcomes, and changes in treatment strategy were analyzed.

Results

In total, 116 patients had no brain metastases at the time of the metastatic melanoma diagnosis. Twenty‐eight of these patients (24%) were subsequently diagnosed with brain metastases. Screening MRI scans detected the brain metastases in 11/28 patients (39%), of which 8 were asymptomatic at diagnosis. In the 96 patients with melanoma brain metastases, treatment strategy changed after 75/168 follow‐up MRI scans (45%). In patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors, the number of treatment changes after follow‐up MRI scans was lower when patients had been treated longer.

Conclusion(s)

Screening MRI scans aid in early detection of melanoma brain metastases, and follow‐up MRI scans inform treatment strategy. In patients with brain metastases responding to immune checkpoint inhibitors, treatment changes were less frequently observed after follow‐up MRI scans. These results can inform the development of brain imaging protocols for patients with immune checkpoint inhibitor sensitive tumors.

Prospective Assessment of the Association Between Circulating Tumor Cells and Control of Brain Disease After Focal Radiation Therapy of Breast Cancer Brain Metastases

Purpose

Predicting the risk of early distant brain failure (DBF) is in demand for management decisions in patients who are candidates for local treatment of brain metastases. This study aimed to analyze the association between circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and brain disease control after stereotactic radiation therapy/radiosurgery (SRT) for breast cancer brain metastasis (BCBM).

Methods and Materials

We prospectively assessed CTCs before (CTC1) and 4 to 5 weeks after (CTC2) SRT and their relationship with the number of new lesions (NL) suggestive of BCBM before SRT. CTC were quantified and analyzed by immunocytochemistry to evaluate the expression of the proteins COX2, EGFR, ST6GALNAC5, NOTCH1, and HER2. Distant brain failure-free survival (DBFFS), the primary endpoint, diffuse DBFFS (D-DBFFS), and overall survival were estimated. Analysis for DBF within 6 months, with death as competing risk, was performed.

Results

Patients were included between 2016 and 2018. CTCs were detected in all 39 patients before and in 34 of 35 patients after SRT. After median follow-up of 16.6 months, median DBFFS, D-DBFFS, and overall survival were 15.3, 14.1, and 19.5 months, respectively. DBF at 6 months was 40% with CTC1 ≤0.5 and 8.82% with CTC1 >0.5 CTC/mL (P = .007), and D-DBF at 6 months was 40% with CTC1 ≤0.5 and 0 with CTC1 >0.5 CTC/mL (P = .005) and 25% with NL/CTC1 >6.8 and 2.65% with NL/CTC1 ≤6.8 (P = .063). On multivariate analysis, DBFFS was inferior with CTC1 ≤0.5 (hazard ratio, 8.27; 95% confidence interval, 2.12-32.3; P = .002), and D-DBFFS was inferior with CTC1 ≤0.5 (hazard ratio, 10.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.99-52.41; P = .005). Protein expression was not associated with outcomes.

Conclusions

These data suggest that CTC1 and NL/CTC1 may have a role as a biomarker of early diffuse DBF and as a subsequent guide between focal or whole-brain radiation therapy in patients with BCBM.

CD138 plasma cells may predict brain metastasis recurrence following resection and stereotactic radiosurgery

We sought to identify candidate biomarkers for early brain metastasis (BM) recurrence in patients who underwent craniotomy followed by adjuvant stereotactic radiosurgery. RNA sequencing was performed on eight resected brain metastasis tissue samples and revealed B-cell related genes to be highly expressed in patients who did not experience a distant brain failure and had prolonged overall survival. To translate the findings from RNA sequencing data, we performed immunohistochemistry to stain for B and T cell markers from formalin-fixed parffin-embedded tissue blocks on 13 patients. CD138 expressing plasma cells were identified and quantitatively assessed for each tumor sample. Patients’ tumor tissues that expressed high levels of CD138 plasma cells (N = 4) had a statistically significant improvement in OS compared to low levels of CD138 (N = 9) (p = 0.01). Although these findings are preliminary, the significance of CD138 expressing plasma cells within BM specimens should be investigated in a larger cohort. Immunologic markers based on resection cavity analysis could be predictive for determining patient outcomes following cavity-directed SRS.

Stereotactic Radiosurgery for Multiple Brain Metastases

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To give an overview on the current evidence for stereotactic radiosurgery of brain metastases with a special focus on multiple brain metastases.

RECENT FINDINGS

While the use of stereotactic radiosurgery in patients with limited brain metastases has been clearly defined, its role in patients with multiple lesions (> 4) is still a matter of controversy. Whole-brain radiation therapy (WBRT) has been the standard treatment approach for patients with multiple brain lesions and is still the most commonly used treatment approach worldwide. Although distant brain failure is improved by WBRT, the overall survival is not readily impacted. As WBRT is associated with significant neurocognitive decline compared to stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS), SRS has been explored and increasingly utilized for selected patients with multiple brain metastases. Recent clinical data indicated the feasibility of stereotactic radiosurgery to multiple brain metastases with a similar survival in patients with more than 4 brain metastases versus patients with a maximum of 4 brain metastases. Also, neurocognitive function and quality of life was maintained after stereotactic radiosurgery which is essential in a palliative setting. The application of stereotactic radiosurgery with Gamma Knife, Cyberknife, or LINAC-based equipment has emerged as an effective and widely available treatment option for patients with limited brain metastases. Although not formally proven in prospective studies, SRS may also be considered as a safe and effective treatment option in selected patients with multiple brain metastases. Especially in patients with a favorable prognosis, survival over several years is observed also in the setting of multiple BM. For these patients, avoidance of the neurocognitive damage of WBRT is desirable, and SRS is often a more appropriate treatment in the current multimodality treatment of BM in which systemic treatment is often the cornerstone of the treatment. For patients with an intermediate (3-12 months) and poor prognosis (< 3 months), the application of WBRT becomes more and more controversial, because of its acute side effects, such as hair loss and fatigue and, thereby, detrimental effect on quality of life. For these patients, best supportive care, primary systemic treatment, and even SRS may be preferred over WBRT on an individualized patient basis.

Predicting intracranial progression following stereotactic radiosurgery for brain metastases: Implications for post SRS imaging

PURPOSE

Follow-up imaging after stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is crucial to identify salvageable brain metastases (BM) recurrence. As optimal imaging intervals are poorly understood, we sought to build a predictive model for time to intracranial progression.

METHODS

Consecutive patients treated with SRS for BM at three institutions from January 1, 2002 to June 30, 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. We developed a model using stepwise regression that identified four prognostic factors and built a predictive nomogram.

RESULTS

We identified 755 patients with primarily non-small cell lung, breast, and melanoma BMs. Factors such as number of BMs, histology, history of prior whole-brain radiation, and time interval from initial cancer diagnosis to metastases were prognostic for intracranial progression. Per our nomogram, risk of intracranial progression by 3 months post-SRS in the high-risk group was 21% compared to 11% in the low-risk group; at 6 months, it was 43% versus 27%.

CONCLUSION

We present a nomogram estimating time to BM progression following SRS to potentially personalize surveillance imaging.

Analysis of the drivers of cost of management when patients with brain metastases are treated with upfront radiosurgery

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to assess the driving factors for increased cost of brain metastasis management when using upfront stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS).

PATIENT AND METHODS

737 patients treated with upfront SRS without whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT). Patients were evaluated for use of craniotomy, length of hospital stay, need for rehabilitation or facility placement, and use of salvage SRS or salvage WBRT. Costs of care of these interventions were estimated based on 2013 Medicare reimbursements. Multiple linear regression was performed to determine factors that predicted for higher cost of treatment per month of life, as well as highest cumulative cost of care for brain metastasis.

RESULTS

Mean cost of brain metastasis management per patient was $42,658, and $4673 per month of life. Upfront SRS represented the greatest contributor of total cost of brain metastasis management over a lifetime (49%), followed by use of any salvage SRS (21%), use of initial surgery (14%), use of salvage surgery (10%), hospitalization (3%) and cost of salvage WBRT (3%). Multiple linear regression identified brain metastasis velocity (BMV) (p < 0.001), use of cavity-directed SRS (<0.001), and CNS symptoms at time of presentation (p = 0.005) as factors that increased costs of care per month of survival. Use of salvage WBRT decreased per month cost of care in patients requiring salvage (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The cost of upfront SRS is the greatest contributor to cost of brain metastasis management when using upfront SRS. Higher BMV, progressive systemic disease and presence of symptoms are associated with increased cost of care.

Repeated Courses of Radiosurgery for New Brain Metastases to Defer Whole Brain Radiotherapy: Feasibility and Outcome With Validation of the New Prognostic Metric Brain Metastasis Velocity

Purpose: Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is the preferred primary treatment option for patients with a limited number of asymptomatic brain metastases. In case of relapse after initial SRS the optimal salvage treatment is not well defined. Within this retrospective analysis, we investigated the feasibility of repeated courses of SRS to defer Whole-Brain Radiation Therapy (WBRT) and aimed to derive prognostic factors for patient selection. Materials and Methods: From 2014 until 2017, 42 patients with 197 brain metastases have been treated with multiple courses of SRS at our institution. Treatment was delivered as single fraction (18 or 20 Gy) or hypo-fractionated (6 fractions with 5 Gy) radiosurgery. Regular follow-up included clinical examination and contrast-enhanced cMRI at 3-4 months' intervals. Besides clinical and treatment related factors, brain metastasis velocity (BMV) as a newly described clinical prognostic metric was included and calculated between first and second treatment. Results: A median number of 1 lesion (range: 1-13) per course and a median of 2 courses (range: 2-6) per patient were administered resulting in a median of 4 (range: 2-14) metastases treated over time per patient. The median interval between SRS courses was 5.8 months (range: 0.9-35 months). With a median follow-up of 17.4 months (range: 4.6-45.5 months) after the first course of treatment, a local control rate of 84% was observed after 1 year and 67% after 2 years. Median time to out-of-field-brain-failure (OOFBF) was 7 months (95%CI 4-8 months). WBRT as a salvage treatment was eventually required in 7 patients (16.6%). Median overall survival (OS) has not been reached. Grouped by ds-GPA (≤ 2 vs. >2) the survival curves showed a significant split (p = 0.039). OS differed also significantly between BMV-risk groups when grouped into low vs. intermediate/high risk groups (p = 0.025). No grade 4 or 5 acute or late toxicity was observed. Conclusion: In selected patients with relapse after SRS for brain metastases, repeat courses of SRS were safe and minimized the need for rescue WBRT. The innovative, yet easy to calculate metric BMV may facilitate treatment decisions as a prognostic factor for OS.

Multi-institutional competing risks analysis of distant brain failure and salvage patterns after upfront radiosurgery without whole brain radiotherapy for brain metastasis

BACKGROUND

In this study, we use a competing risks analysis to assess factors predictive of early-salvage whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) and early death after upfront stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) alone for brain metastases in an attempt to identify populations that benefit less from upfront SRS.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients from eight academic centers were treated with SRS for brain metastasis. Competing risks analysis was carried out for distant brain failure (DBF) versus death prior to DBF as well as for salvage SRS versus salvage WBRT versus death prior to salvage. Linear regression was used to determine predictors of the number of brain metastases at initial DBF (nDBF).

RESULTS

A total of 2657 patients were treated with upfront SRS alone. Multivariate analysis (MVA) identified an increased hazard of DBF associated with increasing number of brain metastases (P < 0.001), lowest SRS dose received (P < 0.001), and melanoma histology (P < 0.001), while there was a decreased hazard of DBF associated with increasing age (P < 0.001), KPS < 70 (P < 0.001), and progressive systemic disease (P = 0.004). MVA for first salvage SRS versus WBRT versus death prior to salvage revealed an increased hazard of first salvage WBRT seen with increasing number of brain metastases (P < 0.001) and a decreased hazard with widespread systemic disease (P = 0.002) and increasing age (P < 0.001). Variables associated with nDBF included age (P = 0.02), systemic disease status (P = 0.03), melanoma histology (P = 0.05), and initial number of brain metastases (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with a higher initial number of brain metastases were more likely to experience DBF, have a higher nDBF, and receive early-salvage WBRT, while patients who were older, had lower KPS, or had more systemic disease were more likely to experience death prior to DBF or salvage WBRT.

Survival and Failure Outcomes Predicted by Brain Metastasis Volumetric Kinetics in Melanoma Patients Following Upfront Treatment with Stereotactic Radiosurgery Alone

Introduction

The roles of early whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) and upfront stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) alone in the treatment of melanoma patients with brain metastasis remain uncertain. We investigated the volumetric kinetics of brain metastasis development and associations with clinical outcomes for melanoma patients who received upfront SRS alone.

Methods

Volumetric brain metastasis velocity (vBMV) was defined as the volume of new intracranial disease at the time of distant brain failure (DBF) for the first DBF (DBF1) and second DBF (DBF2) averaged over the time since initial or most recent SRS. Non-volumetric brain metastasis velocity (BMV) was calculated for comparison.

Results

Median overall survival (OS) for all patients was 7.7 months. Increasing vBMV_DBF1 was associated with worsened OS (hazard ratio (HR): 1.10, confidence interval (CI): 1.02 - 1.18, p = .01). Non-volumetric BMV_DBF1 was not predictive of OS after DBF1 (HR: 1.00, CI: 0.97 - 1.02, p = .77). Cumulative incidence of DBF2 at three months after DBF1 was 50.0% for vBMV_DBF1 > 4 cc/yr versus (vs) 15.1% for vBMV_DBF1 ≤ 4 cc/yr, (Gray’s p-value = .02). Cumulative incidence of salvage WBRT at three months after DBF1 was 50.0% for vBMV_DBF1 > 4 cc/yr vs 2.3% for vBMV_DBF1 ≤ 4 cc/yr (Gray’s p-value < .001).

Conclusion

In melanoma patients with brain metastasis, volumetric BMV was predictive of survival, shorter time to second DBF, and the need for salvage WBRT. Non-volumetric BMV, however, did not predict for these outcomes, suggesting that vBMV is a stronger predictor in melanoma.

External validity of two nomograms for predicting distant brain failure after radiosurgery for brain metastases in a bi-institutional independent patient cohort

Patients treated with stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) for brain metastases (BM) are at increased risk of distant brain failure (DBF). Two nomograms have been recently published to predict individualized risk of DBF after SRS. The goal of this study was to assess the external validity of these nomograms in an independent patient cohort. The records of consecutive patients with BM treated with SRS at Levine Cancer Institute and Emory University between 2005 and 2013 were reviewed. Three validation cohorts were generated based on the specific nomogram or recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) entry criteria: Wake Forest nomogram (n = 281), Canadian nomogram (n = 282), and Canadian RPA (n = 303) validation cohorts. Freedom from DBF at 1-year in the Wake Forest study was 30% compared with 50% in the validation cohort. The validation c-index for both the 6-month and 9-month freedom from DBF Wake Forest nomograms was 0.55, indicating poor discrimination ability, and the goodness-of-fit test for both nomograms was highly significant (p < 0.001), indicating poor calibration. The 1-year actuarial DBF in the Canadian nomogram study was 43.9% compared with 50.9% in the validation cohort. The validation c-index for the Canadian 1-year DBF nomogram was 0.56, and the goodness-of-fit test was also highly significant (p < 0.001). The validation accuracy and c-index of the Canadian RPA classification was 53% and 0.61, respectively. The Wake Forest and Canadian nomograms for predicting risk of DBF after SRS were found to have limited predictive ability in an independent bi-institutional validation cohort. These results reinforce the importance of validating predictive models in independent patient cohorts.

In response to Fogarty et al. and why adjuvant whole brain radiotherapy is not recommended routinely

The routine use of adjuvant whole brain radiotherapy (AWBRT) after surgery or stereotactic radiosurgery is now discouraged by a number of international expert panels. Three decades of randomised studies have shown that, although AWBRT improves radiological measures of intracranial disease control, the clinical benefit is unclear and it is also associated with inferior quality of life and neurocognitive function. The number of patients with melanoma in these trials was low, but data suggesting that treatment-related side effects should vary according to histology of the primary malignancy are lacking. For metastatic melanoma, the role of AWBRT to control microscopic disease in the brain is also a less relevant concern because systemic therapies with intracranial activity are now available. Whether AWBRT is useful in select patients deemed at high risk of neurologic death remains undefined.

Prediction of new brain metastases after radiosurgery: validation and analysis of performance of a multi-institutional nomogram

Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) without whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) for brain metastases can avoid WBRT toxicities, but with risk of subsequent distant brain failure (DBF). Sole use of number of metastases to triage patients may be an unrefined method. Data on 1354 patients treated with SRS monotherapy from 2000 to 2013 for new brain metastases was collected across eight academic centers. The cohort was divided into training and validation datasets and a prognostic model was developed for time to DBF. We then evaluated the discrimination and calibration of the model within the validation dataset, and confirmed its performance with an independent contemporary cohort. Number of metastases (≥8, HR 3.53 p = 0.0001), minimum margin dose (HR 1.07 p = 0.0033), and melanoma histology (HR 1.45, p = 0.0187) were associated with DBF. A prognostic index derived from the training dataset exhibited ability to discriminate patients' DBF risk within the validation dataset (c-index = 0.631) and Heller's explained relative risk (HERR) = 0.173 (SE = 0.048). Absolute number of metastases was evaluated for its ability to predict DBF in the derivation and validation datasets, and was inferior to the nomogram. A nomogram high-risk threshold yielding a 2.1-fold increased need for early WBRT was identified. Nomogram values also correlated to number of brain metastases at time of failure (r = 0.38, p < 0.0001). We present a multi-institutionally validated prognostic model and nomogram to predict risk of DBF and guide risk-stratification of patients who are appropriate candidates for radiosurgery versus upfront WBRT.

External Validity of a Risk Stratification Score Predicting Early Distant Brain Failure and Salvage Whole Brain Radiation Therapy After Stereotactic Radiosurgery for Brain Metastases

BACKGROUND

A scoring system using pretreatment factors was recently published for predicting the risk of early (≤6 months) distant brain failure (DBF) and salvage whole brain radiation therapy (WBRT) after stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) alone. Four risk factors were identified: (1) lack of prior WBRT; (2) melanoma or breast histologic features; (3) multiple brain metastases; and (4) total volume of brain metastases <1.3 cm³, with each factor assigned 1 point. The purpose of this study was to assess the validity of this scoring system and its appropriateness for clinical use in an independent external patient population.

METHODS

We reviewed the records of 247 patients with 388 brain metastases treated with SRS between 2010 at 2013 at Levine Cancer Institute. The Press (Emory) risk score was calculated and applied to the validation cohort population, and subsequent risk groups were analyzed using cumulative incidence.

RESULTS

The low-risk (LR) group had a significantly lower risk of early DBF than did the high-risk (HR) group (22.6% vs 44%, P=.004), but there was no difference between the HR and intermediate-risk (IR) groups (41.2% vs 44%, P=.79). Total lesion volume <1.3 cm³ (P=.004), malignant melanoma (P=.007), and multiple metastases (P<.001) were validated as predictors for early DBF. Prior WBRT and breast cancer histologic features did not retain prognostic significance. Risk stratification for risk of early salvage WBRT were similar, with a trend toward an increased risk for HR compared with LR (P=.09) but no difference between IR and HR (P=.53).

CONCLUSION

The 3-level Emory risk score was shown to not be externally valid, but the model was able to stratify between 2 levels (LR and not-LR [combined IR and HR]) for early (≤6 months) DBF. These results reinforce the importance of validating predictive models in independent cohorts. Further refinement of this scoring system with molecular information and in additional contemporary patient populations is warranted.

Management approach for recurrent brain metastases following upfront radiosurgery may affect risk of subsequent radiation necrosis

Purpose

Many patients treated with stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) alone as initial treatment require 1 or more subsequent salvage therapies. This study aimed to determine if commonly used salvage strategies are associated with differing risks of radiation necrosis (RN).

Methods and materials

All patients treated with upfront SRS alone for brain metastases at our institution were retrospectively analyzed. Salvage treatment details were obtained for brain failures. Patients who underwent repeat SRS to the same lesion were excluded. RN was determined based on pathological confirmation or advanced brain imaging consistent with RN in a symptomatic patient. Patients were grouped according to salvage treatment and rates of RN were compared via Fisher's exact tests.

Results

Of 284 patients treated with upfront SRS alone, 132 received salvage therapy and 44 received multiple salvage treatments. This included 31 repeat SRS alone, 58 whole brain radiation therapy (WBRT) alone, 28 SRS and WBRT, 7 surgery alone, and 8 surgery with adjuvant radiation. With a median follow-up of 10 months, the rate of RN among all patients was 3.17% (9/284), salvaged patients 4.55% (6/132), and never salvaged patients 1.97% (3/152). Receiving salvage therapy did not significantly increase RN risk (P = .31). Of the patients requiring salvage treatments, the highest RN rate was among patients that had both salvage SRS and WBRT (delivered as separate salvage therapies) (6/28, 21.42%). RN rate in this group was significantly higher than in those treated with repeat SRS alone (0/31), WBRT alone (0/58), surgery alone (0/7), and surgery with adjuvant radiation (0/8). Comparing salvage WBRT doses <30 Gy versus ≥30 Gy revealed no effect of dose on RN rate. Additionally, among patients who received multiple SRS treatments, number of treated lesions was not predictive of RN incidence.

Conclusion

Our results suggest that initial management approach for recurrent brain metastasis after upfront SRS does not affect the rate of RN. However, the risk of RN significantly increases when patients are treated with both repeat SRS and salvage WBRT. Methods to improve prediction of toxicity and optimize patient selection for salvage treatments are needed.

Repeat courses of SRS in patients initially treated with SRS alone for brain-metastatic melanoma

Aim

Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is often used in the treatment of brain metastatic melanoma. Little data exist regarding outcomes of repeat course of SRS in this population. We aimed to identify treatment outcomes and toxicities in melanoma patients treated with repeat SRS after upfront SRS.

Patients & methods

We reviewed ten consecutive patients treated with repeat SRS following upfront SRS alone for brain metastatic melanoma.

Results

The median overall survival from initial treatment was 17.5 months. The median overall survival from repeat SRS was 6.7 months with a 6-month local control rate of 80%. The majority of patients progressed systemically before death. Four patients reported six adverse events, all grade 1.

Conclusion

Prospective study regarding the safety and efficacy of repeat courses of SRS in patients with brain-metastatic melanoma, especially in combination with novel immunotherapies, is warranted.