Systolic blood pressure and mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation and heart failure: insights from the AFFIRM and AF-CHF studies

Exercise training outcomes in patients with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction depend on patient background

Background

The aim of this study was to identify significant factors affecting the effectiveness of exercise training using information of the HF-ACTION (Heart Failure: A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of Exercise Training) study.

Methods

Background factors influencing the effect of exercise training were comprehensively surveyed for 2,130 patients by multivariable Cox regression analysis with the stepwise variable selection, and only significant factors were selected that were statistically distinguished from dummy noise factors using the Boruta method.

Results

The analysis suggested that the use of beta-blockers, pulse pressure, hemoglobin level, electrocardiography findings, body mass index, and history of stroke at baseline potentially influenced the exercise effect on all-cause death (AD). Therefore, a hypothetical score to estimate the effect of exercise training was constructed based on the analysis. The analysis suggested that the score is useful in identifying patients for whom exercise training may be significantly effective in reducing all-caused death and hospitalization (ADH) as well as AD. Such a subpopulation accounted for approximately 40% of the overall study population. On the other hand, in approximately 45% of patients, the effect of exercise was unclear on either AD or ADH. In the remaining 15% of patients, it was estimated that the effect of exercise might be unclear for ADH and potentially rather increase AD.

Conclusions

This study is the first analysis to comprehensively evaluate the effects of various factors on the outcome of exercise training in chronic heart failure, underscoring the need to carefully consider the patient's background before recommending exercise training. However, it should be noted that exercise training can improve many outcomes in a wide variety of diseases. Therefore, given the limitations involved in post-hoc analyses of a single clinical trial, the characteristics of patients to whom the results of this analysis can be applied need attention, and also further research is necessary on the relationship between the degree of exercise and the outcomes. A new clinical trial would be needed to confirm the factors detected and the appropriateness of the score.

Low diastolic blood pressure and adverse outcomes in inpatients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although intensively studied in patients with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), the prognostic value of diastolic blood pressure (DBP) has little been elucidated in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). This study aimed to reveal the prognostic value of DBP in AECOPD patients.

METHODS

Inpatients with AECOPD were prospectively enrolled from 10 medical centers in China between September 2017 and July 2021. DBP was measured on admission. The primary outcome was all-cause in-hospital mortality; invasive mechanical ventilation and intensive care unit (ICU) admission were secondary outcomes. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariable Cox regressions were used to identify independent prognostic factors and calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for adverse outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 13,633 included patients with AECOPD, 197 (1.45%) died during their hospital stay. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that low DBP on admission (<70 mmHg) was associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality (HR = 2.16, 95% CI: 1.53-3.05, Z = 4.37, P <0.01), invasive mechanical ventilation (HR = 1.65, 95% CI: 1.32-2.05, Z = 19.67, P <0.01), and ICU admission (HR = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.24-1.69, Z = 22.08, P <0.01) in the overall cohort. Similar findings were observed in subgroups with or without CVDs, except for invasive mechanical ventilation in the subgroup with CVDs. When DBP was further categorized in 5-mmHg increments from <50 mmHg to ≥100 mmHg, and 75 to <80 mmHg was taken as reference, HRs for in-hospital mortality increased almost linearly with decreased DBP in the overall cohort and subgroups of patients with CVDs; higher DBP was not associated with the risk of in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSION

Low on-admission DBP, particularly <70 mmHg, was associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes among inpatients with AECOPD, with or without CVDs, which may serve as a convenient predictor of poor prognosis in these patients.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

Chinese Clinical Trail Registry, No. ChiCTR2100044625.

Impact of baseline blood pressure on all-cause mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation: results from a multicenter registry study

BACKGROUND

The ideal blood pressure (BP) target for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is still unclear. The present study aimed to assess the effect of the baseline BP on all-cause mortality in patients with AF.

METHODS

This registry study included 20 emergency centers across China and consecutively enrolled patients with AF from 2008 to 2011. All participants were followed for 1 year ± 1 month. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

During the follow-up, 276 (13.9%) all-cause deaths occurred. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that a systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≤110 mmHg or >160 mmHg was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (log-rank test, P  = 0.014), and a diastolic blood pressure (DBP) <70 mmHg was associated with the highest risk of all-cause mortality (log-rank test, P  = 0.002). After adjusting for confounders, the multivariable Cox regression model suggested that the risk of all-cause mortality was increased in the group with SBP ≤110 mmHg (hazard ratio [HR], 1.963; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.306-2.951), and DBP <70 mmHg (HR, 1.628; 95% CI, 1.163-2.281). In the restricted cubic splines, relations between baseline SBP or DBP and all-cause mortality showed J-shaped associations (non-linear P <0.001 and P  = 0.010, respectively). The risk of all-cause mortality notably increased at a lower baseline SBP and DBP.

CONCLUSIONS

Having a baseline SBP ≤110 mmHg or DBP <70 mmHg was associated with a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality in patients with AF. An excessively low BP may not be an optimal target for patients with AF.

Impact of baseline blood pressure on adverse outcomes in Japanese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation: the J-RISK AF

Aims

This study aimed to investigate the impact of baseline blood pressure (BP) on adverse outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), using a pooled analysis performed on data from J-RISK AF, a large-scale cohort of Japanese patients with AF.

Methods and results

Of the 16 918 patients from five major AF registries including the J-RHYTHM Registry, Fushimi AF Registry, Shinken Database, Keio interhospital Cardiovascular Studies, and Hokuriku-Plus AF Registry, 15 019 non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients with baseline BP values (age, 70.0 ± 11.0 years; men, 69.1%) were analysed. Incidence rates of adverse events were evaluated between patients divided into baseline systolic BP quartiles or at 150 mmHg. During the follow-up period of 730 days, ischaemic stroke, major bleeding, all-cause death, and cardiovascular death occurred in 277, 319, 718, and 275 patients, respectively. Hazard ratios (HRs) for ischaemic stroke and major bleeding were comparable among the quartiles, whereas HRs for all-cause and cardiovascular deaths in the lowest quartile with systolic BP <114 mmHg were significantly higher [HR 1.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-1.81; and HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.01-2.12, respectively] than in the third quartile, even after adjusting for known confounding factors. In patients with a systolic BP of ≥150 mmHg, adjusted HR for major bleeding was significantly higher than that of <150 mmHg (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.12-2.40).

Conclusion

In Japanese patients with NVAF, a baseline systolic BP <114 mmHg was significantly associated with higher all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. In contrast, a systolic BP ≥150 mmHg was an independent risk factor for major bleeding.

Time-averaged cumulative blood pressure and cardiovascular outcomes in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: analysis from the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist trial

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether time-averaged cumulative blood pressure (cumBP) is associated with the risk of cardiovascular outcomes among patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

METHOD

Three thousand, three hundred and thirty participants from Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) trial were included in this analysis with a median follow-up of 3 years. CumBP, expressed as mmHg-years, was the sum of mean BP for each pair of successive examinations multiplied by the time. Time-averaged cumBP was calculated by dividing cumBP by total exposure time, also expressed as mmHg. Clinical outcomes of our study including primary endpoint, all-cause death, cardiovascular death and heart failure hospitalization. Multivariable Cox hazard regression models and a restricted cubic spline model were used to assess the association and linearity between time-averaged cumBP and adverse outcomes.

RESULTS

There is a U-shaped relationship between time-averaged cumBP and primary endpoint, all-cause death, cardiovascular death and heart failure hospitalization among participants with HFpEF, with the nadir risk around 120-129 mmHg of SBP and 70-79 mmHg of DBP after adjusting for confounding variables. Treatment with spironolactone did not affect the association significantly. The finding remained robust across sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION

Higher or lower time-averaged cumBP was significantly associated with a higher risk of adverse events. Control of time-averaged cumulative BP within a reasonable range was an important component of hypertension management in HFpEF.

Association of long-term SBP with clinical outcomes and quality of life in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: an analysis of the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist trial

AIMS

To determine the associations of long-term SBP (LT-SBP) levels with clinical outcomes and health-related quality of life in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analyzed participants from the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) study with available different SBP measurements from different follow-ups (n = 3310). LT-SBP was the mean SBP value from 4-week measurement to the last one. The outcome measures are all-cause mortality and a composite of heart failure readmission or all-cause mortality and the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) overall summary score. To determine the associations of LT-SBP and outcomes, we used adjusted Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline models. After multivariable adjustment, LT-SBP of 120-129 and 130-139 mmHg were associated with a lower risk of mortality (hazard ratio 0.66, 95% CI 0.51-0.87, P = 0.003; hazard ratio 0.68, 95% CI 0.51-0.90, P = 0.007, respectively); LT-SBP of 100-119 mmHg had similar risk of mortality (hazard ratio 0.96, 95% CI 0.72-1.28, P = 0.778) compared with LT-SBP of at least 140 mmHg. There was U-shaped relationship between LT-SBP and all-cause mortality (P < 0.001) with nadir risk occurring around 123 mmHg. Similar relationships were observed between LT-SBP and composite end point of heart failure readmission or all-cause mortality. The adjusted mean improvement in KCCQ score was significantly higher in the 120-129 mmHg group than in the at least 140 mmHg group beginning from the 12-month follow-up visit without significant differences in other groups.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with HFpEF, long-term control of SBP level at 120-129 mmHg is independently associated with the highest risk reduction of all-cause mortality and improvement of KCCQ score. Future randomized clinical trials need to specifically evaluate optimal SBP treatment goals in patients with HFpEF.

D-dimer level and long-term outcome in patients with end-stage heart failure secondary to idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy

Background

Previous studies had demonstrated hemostatic abnormalities in patients with heart failure (HF) and several studies have shown that abnormal coagulation indices, represented by elevated D-dimer, had prognostic significance in patients with compatible or acute decompensated HF. However, the impact of D-dimer on the outcome in patients with end-stage HF remains unclear.

Methods

A total of 244 consecutive patients with end-stage HF due to idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) were prospectively enrolled from February 2011 to September 2014. D-dimer levels were measured and its prognostic value was assessed. Primary endpoint was all-cause mortality during the follow-up period. Secondary endpoints were stroke, bleeding, occurrence of sustained ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE).

Results

D-dimer was significantly elevated in the non-survivors (median: 0.8 vs. 1.1 mg/L, P < 0.001). Traditional markers including B-type natriuretic peptide, troponin I, left ventricular ejection fraction, and left ventricular end-diastolic dimension provided limited prognostic value; but the addition of D-dimer refined the risk stratification. The optimal cut-off value of D-dimer to predict all-cause mortality was 0.84 mg/L by receiver operator characteristic analysis. Elevated D-dimer level was independently associated with increased risk of long-term all-cause mortality (HR = 2.315, 95% CI: 1.570–3.414, P < 0.001) and MACE (HR = 1.256, 95% CI: 1.058–1.490, P = 0.009), and the predictive value was independent of age, sex, atrial fibrillation and anticoagulation status.

Conclusions

Elevated D-dimer level was independently associated with poor long-term outcome in patients with end-stage HF secondary to idiopathic DCM, and the predictive value was superior to that of traditional prognostic markers.

Relation of Systolic Blood Pressure on the Following Day with Post-Discharge Mortality in Hospitalized Heart Failure Patients with Preserved Ejection Fraction

The clinical scenario, which is based on systolic blood pressure (SBP) upon admission, is useful for classifying and determining initial treatment for acute heart failure (HF). However, the prognostic significance of SBP following the initial treatment is unclear.The Japanese Heart Failure Syndrome with Preserved Ejection Fraction (JASPER) registry is a nationwide, observational, and prospective registration of consecutive Japanese patients hospitalized with HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and left ventricular ejection fraction ≥ 50%. We divided 525 patients into three groups based on their SBP on the day following hospitalization: high (SBP > 140 mmHg, n = 72, 13.7%); normal (100 ≤ SBP ≤ 140 mmHg, n = 379, 72.2%); and low (SBP < 100 mmHg, n = 74, 14.1%) groups. This analysis had two primary endpoints: (1) all-cause death and (2) all-cause death or rehospitalization for HF. In the Kaplan-Meier analysis, both of the endpoints were the highest in the low group (Log-Rank < 0.05, respectively). Compared to the normal and high groups, the low group demonstrated a higher prevalence of atrial fibrillation (67.1%, 63.9%, and 47.8%, P = 0.026) and the lowest left ventricular outflow tract velocity time integral determined by echocardiography (16.4 cm, 19.4 cm, and 23.3 cm, P = 0.001). In the multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis, low SBP on the day following hospitalization was an independent predictor of all-cause death (hazard ratio 1.868, 95% confidence interval 1.024-3.407, P = 0.042) and the composite endpoint (hazard ratio 1.660, 95% confidence interval 1.103-2.500, P = 0.015).Classification based on SBP on the day following initial treatment predicts post-discharge prognosis in hospitalized patients with HFpEF.

Association of Ambulatory Blood Pressure with All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality in Hemodialysis Patients: Effects of Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Evidence on the utility of ambulatory BP monitoring for risk prediction has been scarce and inconclusive in patients on hemodialysis. In addition, in cardiac diseases such as heart failure and atrial fibrillation (common among patients on hemodialysis), studies have found that parameters such as systolic BP (SBP) and pulse pressure (PP) have inverse or nonlinear (U-shaped) associations with mortality.

METHODS

In total, 344 patients on hemodialysis (105 with atrial fibrillation, heart failure, or both) underwent ambulatory BP monitoring for 24 hours, starting before a dialysis session. The primary end point was all-cause mortality; the prespecified secondary end point was cardiovascular mortality. We performed linear and nonlinear Cox regression analyses for risk prediction to determine the associations between BP and study end points.

RESULTS

During the mean 37.6-month follow-up, 115 patients died (47 from a cardiovascular cause). SBP and PP showed a U-shaped association with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the cohort. In linear subgroup analysis, SBP and PP were independent risk predictors and showed a significant inverse relationship to all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation or heart failure. In patients without these conditions, these associations were in the opposite direction. SBP and PP were significant independent risk predictors for cardiovascular mortality; PP was a significant independent risk predictor for all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides evidence for the U-shaped association between peripheral ambulatory SBP or PP and mortality in patients on hemodialysis. Furthermore, it suggests that underlying cardiac disease can explain the opposite direction of associations.

Publication trends in cachexia and sarcopenia in elderly heart failure patients

The loss of skeletal mass - sarcopenia and cachexia - is considered to be a major contributor to morbidity and mortality in chronic heart failure (CHF). Unfortunately, sarcopenia is generally considered to be a geriatric syndrome, but not necessarily seen as a comorbidity in CHF, even though it has a wide range of adverse health outcomes. While there were 15,574 publication with the title word "heart failure" in PubMed in the 5‑year period from 1 June 2011 to 31 May 2016, only 22 or 71 publications were found with the search combination "sarcopenia" or "cachexia" (title word) and "heart failure" (all fields), respectively. This shows very clearly that loss of muscle quality and function due to heart failure is still an underappreciated problem in the medical field.

Heart failure 2016: still more questions than answers

Heart failure has reached epidemic proportions given the ageing of populations and is associated with high mortality and re-hospitalization rates. This article reviews and summarizes recent advances in the diagnosis, assessment and treatment of the patients with heart failure. Data are discussed based also on the most recent guidelines indications. Open issues and unmet needs are highlighted.

Effect of B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Level on Long-Term Outcome in Patients With End-Stage Heart Failure

Previous studies have demonstrated elevated B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level indicates a poor outcome in patients with heart failure (HF). However, some patients with end-stage HF presented with low BNP level and the impact of the nearly "normal" BNP level on long-term outcome is not well understood. Our study aimed to evaluate the association of BNP level with long-term outcome in 218 consecutive patients with dilated cardiomyopathy and end-stage HF. Sixty-two patients (28%) presented with admission BNP level ≤400 pg/ml. During a median follow-up period of 20 months (4 to 26 months), the all-cause mortality rate in patients with BNP ≤400 pg/ml was higher than in patients with BNP >400 pg/ml (76% vs 48%, p <0.001). Patients were then divided into 5 groups according to the BNP level (≤400, 401 to 1,000, 1,001 to 2,000, 2,001 to 3,000, and >3,000 pg/ml), the all-cause mortality were 76%, 41%, 40%, 49%, and 75%, respectively (p <0.001). After multivariate adjustment, both BNP ≤400 and >3,000 pg/ml were independently associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratios 1.87, 95% CI 1.02 to 3.42, p = 0.043 and hazard ratio 2.31, 95% CI 1.16 to 4.60, p = 0.018, respectively). In conclusion, our present study demonstrated a "U-like" shape between BNP level and all-cause mortality in end-stage HF, and the seemingly "normal" BNP level might also be a risk factor for poor outcome. Low BNP level may be a reflection of impaired neurohormonal response or altered metabolism of BNP and is associated with increased risk of poor outcome.