Machine learning algorithms for identifying contralateral central lymph node metastasis in unilateral cN0 papillary thyroid cancer

Purpose

The incidence of thyroid cancer is growing fast and surgery is the most significant treatment of it. For patients with unilateral cN0 papillary thyroid cancer whether to dissect contralateral central lymph node is still under debating. Here, we aim to provide a machine learning based prediction model of contralateral central lymph node metastasis using demographic and clinical data.

Methods

2225 patients with unilateral cN0 papillary thyroid cancer from Wuhan Union Hospital were retrospectively studied. Clinical and pathological features were compared between patients with contralateral central lymph node metastasis and without. Six machine learning models were constructed based on these patients and compared using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, area under the receiver operating characteristic and decision curve analysis. The selected models were then verified using data from Differentiated Thyroid Cancer in China study. All statistical analysis and model construction were performed by R software.

Results

Male, maximum diameter larger than 1cm, multifocality, ipsilateral central lymph node metastasis and younger than 50 years were independent risk factors of contralateral central lymph node metastasis. Random forest model performed better than others, and were verified in external validation cohort. A web calculator was constructed.

Conclusions

Gender, maximum diameter, multifocality, ipsilateral central lymph node metastasis and age should be considered for contralateral central lymph node dissection. The web calculator based on random forest model may be helpful in clinical decision.

Application and subgroup analysis of competing risks model based on different lymph node staging systems in differentiated thyroid cancer

Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is the most common endocrine malignancy, with a rising incidence worldwide. Accurate prognostic models are essential for effective patient management. This study evaluates the prognostic value of various lymph node staging systems in DTC using a competing risks model. We used SEER database records (1998-2016) of 16,527 DTC patients, analyzing N stage, positive lymph node numbers (PLNNs), metastatic lymph node ratio (MLNR), log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS), and log odds of the negative lymph node (NLN)/T stage ratio (LONT). Univariate and multivariate analyses in a competing risks model were performed, along with subgroup analyses based on demographic and clinical characteristics. In this study of 16,527 patients with DTC, different lymph node staging systems showed different prognostic correlations in univariate and multivariate analyses. In particular, PLNNs showed significant prognostic correlations in several subgroups. Additionally, PLNNs were more suitable as a lymph node staging system for DTC than LODDS and MLNR in N1 stage subgroups, with an optimal cut-off of 13. Receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves and nomograms improved the clinical utility of the prognostic model based on PLNNs. Using competing risks model and subgroup analyses, we found that PLNNs had the best prognostic discriminatory efficacy for patients with DTC, especially those with N1 stage disease, and had an optimal cut-off value of 13.

LncRNA DNAJC3-AS1 promotes the biological functions of papillary thyroid carcinoma via regulating the microRNA-27a-3p/CCBE1 axis

Long noncoding RNA DNAJC3-AS1 (lncRNA DNAJC3-AS1) has been probed in many studies, while the regulatory mechanism of DNAJC3-AS1 on papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) via regulating microRNA (miR)-27a-3p remains inadequate. This research aims to depict the role of DNAJC3-AS1, miR-27a-3p, collagen, and calcium-binding EGF domain-containing protein 1 (CCBE1) on PTC development. DNAJC3-AS1, miR-27a-3p, and CCBE1 expression levels in PTC tissues and adjacent normal tissues were tested. The relation of DNAJC3-AS1, miR-27a-3p, and CCBE1 was analyzed. DNAJC3-AS1 and miR-27a-3p and CCBE1-related oligonucleotides were transfected into IHH-4 cells to investigate their role in PTC development. Cell tumorigenicity was detected by in vivo assay. DNAJC3-AS1 and CCBE1 expressed highly and miR-27a-3p expressed lowly in PTC. Downregulation of DNAJC3-AS1, upregulating miR-27a-3p or downregulating CCBE1 impaired the malignant behaviors of IHH-4 cells. Depletion of miR-27a-3p reversed the DNAJC3-AS1 suppression-induced phenotypic inhibition of IHH-4 cells. DNAJC3-AS1 bound to miR-27a-3p and CCBE1 as a target of miR-27a-3p. Our study highlights that DNAJC3-AS1 inhibits miR-27a-3p to promote CCBE1 expression, thereby facilitating PTC development. This study affords distinguished therapeutic strategies and novel research directions for PTC treatment.

Central Lymph Node Ratio Predicts Recurrence in Patients with N1b Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Simple Summary

The lymph node ratio (LNR) is an emerging predictive marker for recurrence in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between LNR and disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with N1b PTC. Unlike that in the lateral or whole neck, LNR in the central compartment (CLNR) was found to have prognostic significance. The high-CLNR group (CLNR ≥ 0.7) had worse DFS and was 4.5 times more likely to experience recurrence in patients with N1b PTC.

Abstract

The lymph node ratio (LNR) indicates the number of metastatic lymph nodes (LNs) to the total number of LNs. The prognostic value of LNR in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and other solid tumors is known. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between LNR and disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with PTC with lateral LN metastases (N1b PTC). A total of 307 patients with N1b PTC who underwent total thyroidectomy and therapeutic central and lateral LN dissection were retrospectively analyzed. The DFS and recurrence risk in the patients with LNR, central-compartment LNR (CLNR), and lateral-compartment LNR (LLNR) were compared. The mean follow-up duration was 93.6 ± 19.9 months. Eleven (3.6%) patients experienced recurrence. Neither LNR nor LLNR affected the recurrence rate in our analysis (p = 0.058, p = 0.106, respectively). However, there was a significant difference in the recurrence rates between the patients with low and high CLNR (2.1% vs. 8.8%, p = 0.017). In the multivariate analysis, CLNR ≥ 0.7 and perineural invasion were independent predictors of tumor recurrence. High CLNR was associated with an increased risk of recurrence, and was shown to be a significant predictor of prognosis in patients with N1b PTC.

Predictive value of metastatic lateral lymph node ratio for recurrence in pathologically lateral lymph node-positive papillary thyroid cancer patients with palpable lymph nodes

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to identify the predictive value of the extent of metastatic lymph nodes in the central and lateral neck compartment for recurrence in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients with pathologically lateral lymph node metastasis (pN1b).

METHODS

This study enrolled 252 patients with pN1b from PTC.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 17.6 years, 55 (21.8%) patients experienced recurrence. Patients with palpable lymph nodes were more likely to have a recurrence than those with nonpalpable lymph nodes (30.1% vs. 17.8%, relative risk 1.7, 95%CI: 1.1-2.7). For patients with palpable metastatic lymph nodes, lymph node ratio of lateral lymph nodes ≥0.5 (aHR = 2.906, 95%CI: 1.29-6.54) and age ≥55 years (aHR = 2.508, 95%CI: 1.12-5.63) were independent prognostic factors. For those without palpable nodes, age ≥55 years (aHR = 2.224, 95%CI: 1.08-4.60) and tumor size >4 cm (aHR = 2.168, 95%CI: 1.01-4.66) were independently predictive of worse RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Palpable lymph nodes were approximately twice as likely to recur as nonpalpable nodes. Metastatic lateral lymph node ratio predicts recurrence in pN1b PTC patients with palpable lymph nodes, but not those without ones.

Factors Affecting Central Node Metastasis and Metastatic Lymph Node Ratio in Papillary Thyroid Cancer

OBJECTIVE

Despite the growing evidence that metastatic lymph node ratio (MLNR) is a valuable predictor for the prognosis of papillary thyroid carcinoma, it has not yet been fully determined which factors give the ratio predictive value independent of the number of metastatic lymph nodes (MLNs).

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

A comprehensive cancer center.

METHODS

Recurrence and clinicopathologic factors were analyzed in 2409 patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma who underwent total thyroidectomy and central node dissection.

RESULTS

Cutoff values of MLNs ≥2 and MLNR ≥28.2% increased the recurrence risk (hazard ratio [95% CI], 9.97 [4.73-21.0] and 11.4 [5.53-23.3], respectively). Younger age, male sex, multifocality, tumor size, lymphatic and vascular invasion, and gross extrathyroidal extension positively correlated with MLN and MLNR (all P < .05). Meanwhile, lymphocytic thyroiditis negatively correlated with MLNR in female patients (P < .001), by increasing total lymph node yields as compared with papillary thyroid carcinoma without lymphocytic thyroiditis. In multivariate analysis, younger age, tumor size, and lymphatic invasion remained significant in male and female patients for MLN and MLNR; lymphocytic thyroiditis was also significantly correlated with MLNR in female patients.

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrates that MLN and MLNR are independently observed prognostic markers for tumor recurrence. However, lymphocytic thyroiditis in female patients seems to have lower MLNR by increasing total lymph node yields. In light of their association, a different cutoff for MLNR needs to be applied according to the presence or absence of underlying lymphocytic thyroiditis in the use of MLNR for predicting the recurrence.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

4.

Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The Role of ATA Nodal Risk Factors in N1b Patients

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS

Nodal involvement is frequent in patients with differentiated thyroid cancers (DTCs), but its prognostic relevance is not univocal. Some characteristics of nodal metastases can increase the risk of recurrence. We attempted to quantify the impact on survival of nodal factors included in the American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification system in N1b patients with DTC.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective study.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of patients affected by DTC who underwent therapeutic lateral neck dissection (ND) was performed. The impact on the prognosis of the number of positive lymph nodes (LNs), dimension of nodal metastasis, and microscopic and macroscopic extranodal extension (miENE and maENE, respectively) was investigated.

RESULTS

The study included 347 N1b patients who underwent 401 therapeutic lateral NDs. Mean number of positive LNs was nine, mean nodal ratio was 0.27, and mean diameter of metastasis was 15.5 mm. ENE was detected in 25.9% of patients (22.5% miENE and 3.5% maENE). In univariate analysis, the presence of maENE had an impact on disease specific survival (DSS) (P = .023); increasing number of positive LNs affected DSS and locoregional control (LRC) (P = .009 and =.006, respectively); increasing metastatic node dimension was a risk factors for overall survival, DSS, and metastases free survival (MFS) (P = .05, =.013 and =.016). In multivariate analysis, number of positive LNs and LN dimension were independent risk factors for LRC and MFS, respectively (HR 1.1, P = .028; HR 1.1, P = .026).

CONCLUSIONS

In our analysis on a cohort of N1b patients, the number of positive LNs and LN dimension were confirmed as independent risk factors for locoregional and distant recurrence, respectively.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

4 Laryngoscope, 131:E1029-E1034, 2021.

Investigating the prevalence of risk factors of papillary thyroid carcinoma recurrence and disease-free survival after thyroidectomy and central neck dissection in Iranian patients

Background: Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is considered the most frequent thyroid malignancy (85-90%) with a good prognosis. However, its frequent recurrence increases mortality and morbidity. In this inquiry we investigated the prevalence of risk factors of PTC recurrence and disease free survival after thyroidectomy and central neck dissection. Method: In this retrospective study, all patients with confirmed PTC who underwent total thyroidectomy and central neck dissection in Imam Reza and Omid hospitals of Mashhad University of Medical Sciences from 2004 to 2011 were included. Total locoregional and distant recurrence rate, 5-year disease free survival rate (DFS) and contributing factors of recurrence were investigated after at least 5 years. Results: In this study 289 patients were included with a mean follow-up of 72.90 ± 11.02 months. 70.6% were female and 29.4% were male. Recurrence occurred in 58 cases from which 10 were distant and 48 were loco-regional. 5-year DFS was 80% and total-survival-rate was 99%. Our analysis showed that primary tumor size, vascular-invasion, extra-thyroid extension, and lymph node ratio (LNR) were significantly related to DFS.

Risk Factors for Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Purpose: To explore the risk factors that may predict the lymph node metastasis potential of these lesions and new prevention strategies in papillary thyroid carcinoma patients. Materials and Methods: In total, 9,369 papillary thyroid carcinoma patients with 37.17% lymph node metastasis were analyzed (Revman 5.3 software) in this study. The PubMed and Embase databases were used for searching works systematically that were published through to January 22, 2020. Results: Several factors were related to the increased risk of lymph node metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma: age <45 years (pooled OR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.14-2.01, p <0.00001); gender = male (pooled OR = 1.68, 95% CI = 1.51-1.87, p <0.00001); multifocality (pooled OR = 2.05, 95% CI = 1.45-2.89, p <0.0001); tumor size ≥1.0 cm (pooled OR = 3.53, 95% CI = 2.62-4.76, p <0.00001); tumor location at the upper pole 1/3 (pooled OR =1.46, 95% CI = 1.04-2.04, p = 0.03); capsular invasion + (pooled OR = 3.48, 95% CI = 1.69-7.54, p = 0.002); and extrathyroidal extension + (pooled OR = 2.03, 95% CI= 1.78-2.31, p <0.00001). However, tumor bilaterality (pooled OR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.54-1.34, p = 0.49) and Hashimoto's thyroditis (pooled OR = 1.08, 95% CI = 0.79-1.49, p = 0.62) showed no correlation with lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma patients. Conclusion: The systematic review and meta-analysis defined several significant risk factors of lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid cancer patients: age (<45 years), gender (male), multifocality, tumor size (>1 cm), tumor location (1/3 upper), capsular invasion, and extra thyroidal extension. Bilateral tumors and Hashimoto's thyroiditis were unrelated to lymph node metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid cancer.

Adequacy of Lymph Node Yield for Papillary Thyroid Cancer: An Analysis of 23,131 Patients

BACKGROUND

Threshold numbers for defining adequacy of lymph node (LN) yield have been determined for evaluation of occult nodal disease during papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) surgery. This study assesses the prevalence of adequate LN yield and estimates its association with patient clinicopathologic characteristics.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Adult patients with cN1 pT1b or pT2 and cN0 or cN1 pT3 M0 PTC ≥1 cm who received surgery with ≥1 LN resected were identified from the National Cancer Database, 2004-2015. Adequate yield was defined as removing ≥6, 9, and 18 LNs for pT1b, pT2, and pT3 stages, respectively, based on recently published literature. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression were used to determine factors associated with adequate yield.

RESULTS

A total of 23,131 patients were included; 7544 (32.6%) had adequate LN yield. Rate of adequate yield increased from 19.9% to 36.6% over time. After adjustment, patients at academic facilities were more likely to have adequate yield than those at community centers [OR 1.94 (95% CI 1.55-2.41), P < 0.001]. Patients with more advanced tumors were less likely to have adequate yield (pT1b: 75.9% versus pT2: 64.5% versus pT3: 24.6% adequate LN yield, P < 0.001). Patients with adequate LN yield were 0.89 times likely to receive radioactive iodine compared with those with inadequate yield [OR 0.98 (95% CI 0.81-0.98), P = 0.02].

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of adequate LN yield has increased over time, but only a minority of lymphadenectomies performed for PTC can be defined as adequate. Disparities still exist based on patient and facility characteristics; patients with more advanced tumors appear less likely to have adequate LN yield.

Identification of RNA Expression Profiles in Thyroid Cancer to Construct a Competing Endogenous RNA (ceRNA) Network of mRNAs, Long Noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs), and microRNAs (miRNAs)

Background

The aims of this study were to use RNA expression profile bioinformatics data from cases of thyroid cancer from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG), and the Gene Ontology (GO) databases to construct a competing endogenous RNA (ceRNA) network of mRNAs, long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs), and microRNAs (miRNAs).

Material/Methods

TCGA provided RNA profiles from 515 thyroid cancer tissues and 56 normal thyroid tissues. The DESeq R package analyzed high-throughput sequencing data on differentially expressed RNAs. GO and KEGG pathway analysis used the DAVID 6.8 and the ClusterProfile R package. Kaplan-Meier survival statistics and Cox regression analysis were performed. The thyroid cancer ceRNA network was constructed based on the miRDB, miRTarBase, and TargetScan databases.

Results

There were 1,098 mRNAs associated with thyroid cancer; 101 mRNAs were associated with overall survival (OS). Multivariate analysis developed a risk scoring system that identified seven signature mRNAs, with a discriminative value of 0.88, determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. A ceRNA network included 13 mRNAs, 31 lncRNAs, and seven miRNAs. Four out of the 31 lncRNAs and all miRNAs were down-regulated, and the remaining RNAs were upregulated. Two lncRNAs (MIR1281A2HG and OPCML-IT1) and one miRNA (miR-184) were significantly associated with OS in patients with thyroid cancer.

Conclusions

Differential RNA expression profiling in thyroid cancer was used to construct a ceRNA network of mRNAs, lncRNAs, and miRNAs that showed potential in evaluating prognosis.

The definition of lymph node micrometastases in pathologic N1a papillary thyroid carcinoma should be revised

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to identify the risk factors for structural recurrence with a focus on lymph node-related factors and to determine the optimal cutoff size of lymph node micrometastases in patients with pathologic N1a classical papillary thyroid carcinoma.

METHODS

We included patients who underwent total thyroidectomy with central compartment lymph node dissection for classic papillary thyroid carcinoma with pathologic N1a classification.

RESULTS

A total of 398 patients were followed up for a median of 131 months. Structural recurrence occurred in 17.3% of patients (69/398). The multivariate analysis reported the following independent risk factors for structural recurrence: tumor size >1.95 cm, bilaterality, lymphatic and/or vascular invasion, a maximum diameter of the metastatic lymph node focus >3.5 mm, distribution of metastatic lymph node foci size >3.0 mm, and ≥4 metastatic lymph nodes.

CONCLUSION

The newly proposed cutoff of 3.5 mm for a definition of lymph node micrometastasis in pathologic N1a papillary thyroid carcinoma patients can reclassify the risk estimates of structural recurrence, thus modifying postoperative management plans and follow-up strategies.

The impact of the number of harvested central lymph nodes on the lymph node ratio

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to analyze the impact of lymph node harvest on the lymph node ratio (LNR).

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 106 patients diagnosed preoperatively with PTMC (papillary thyroid microcarcinoma), no evidence of central or lateral neck nodal metastasis, and who underwent a total thyroidectomy and bilateral central lymph node neck dissection (CND).

RESULTS

The median number of retrieved lymph nodes in the central compartments was 7±6.59 (range: 1-42). The mean number of metastatic lymph nodes in the central compartments on pathology was 1.1±1.79 (range: 0-7). The high node volume group (>7) had a significantly higher rate of central lymph node (CLN) metastasis than the low node volume group (≤7) in the final pathologic report (p<0.001). With the linear regression method, the number of CLN metastasis increased as the number of retrieved lymph nodes increased (correlation coefficient=0.286, p=0.003). The multivariate analysis confirmed the number of retrieved lymph nodes in the central compartments was a risk factor for high LNR (p=0.008, odds ratio 3.737). The rates of vocal fold palsy and hypoparathyroidism did not differ according to the number of retrieved lymph nodes.

CONCLUSION

The lymph node ratio in the final pathologic report is larger when a greater number of lymph nodes are retrieved during the central compartment neck dissection.

Nodal Factors Predictive of Recurrence After Thyroidectomy and Neck Dissection for Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Lymph node (LN) yield and ratio are considered important predictors of post-treatment outcomes for several human cancers. This study examined the association between nodal factors, including the LN yield and ratio, with recurrence after thyroidectomy plus central compartment neck dissection (ND) for papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study involved 2384 consecutive patients who underwent a thyroidectomy plus central compartment ND combined with (n = 440) or without lateral compartment ND at the authors' tertiary referral center between 2006 and 2012. The number of harvested LNs, as well as other tumor and nodal findings, were carefully reviewed. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were conducted to predict recurrence and its association with clinicopathologic variables.

RESULTS

All nodal factors, including the positive number of LNs, ratio, and extranodal extension, were significantly associated with nodal and any-site recurrence after thyroidectomy, as well as the tumor size and multifocality (p < 0.01). The multivariable analysis showed that tumor size, multifocality, LN ratio, and extranodal extension were independent factors predictive of post-treatment recurrence (p < 0.05). The LN yield was higher in patients with nodal recurrence but did not significantly affect the nodal recurrence. Patients with a LN ratio >0.3 exhibited a 1.7-fold higher risk of post-treatment nodal recurrence than their counterparts (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

LN ratio is an independent determinant predictive of nodal and any-site recurrence following thyroidectomy for PTC.

Number of Metastatic Lymph Nodes and Ratio of Metastatic Lymph Nodes to Total Number of Retrieved Lymph Nodes Are Risk Factors for Recurrence in Patients With Clinically Node Negative Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

The number of metastatic lymph nodes (LNs) and the ratio between the number of metastatic LNs and the total number of retrieved LNs (the LN ratio [LNR]) have been proposed as risk factors for recurrence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). However, the significance of the number of LNs and the LNR in patients with clinically node negative PTC has not been clearly determined. The purpose of this study is to evaluate their significance.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 382 patients with PTC who had undergone total thyroidectomy with prophylactic central neck dissection (CND) between January 2000 and December 2010. We excluded patients with lobectomy, concurrent lateral compartment neck dissection, a follow-up period less than at least 2 years, number of harvested central LNs less than or equal to one, clinically positive LN, distant metastasis, recurrent cancer or other types of malignancy. The correlations between recurrence and various clinicopathologic characteristics including tumor size, extrathyroidal extension (ETE), stage, number of metastatic central LNs, and the LNR were investigated.

RESULTS

After a mean follow-up period of 82.2±26.4 months, recurrence occurred in 14 patients (3.7%). Tumor size ≥20 mm, maximal ETE, presence of central LN metastasis, number of metastatic LNs ≥2, and LNR ≥0.31 correlated with recurrence in the univariate analysis. However, tumor size ≥20 mm, maximal ETE, number of metastatic LNs ≥2, and LNR ≥0.31 were significantly associated with recurrence in the multivariate analysis (hazard ratio=6.61, 7.17, 3.43, and 11.23, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The LNR and the number of metastatic LNs are independent prognostic risk factors for recurrence in patients with clinically node negative PTC, and these factors can be used to guide postoperative adjuvant therapy and follow-up strategy after prophylactic CND.

Significance of micrometastases in the calculation of the lymph node ratio for papillary thyroid cancer

Purpose

The lymph node ratio (LNR) is an important prognostic factor in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), but micrometastases in cervical lymph nodes (LNs) are not of great clinical importance. In this study, we analyzed the accuracy of prediction of the prognosis depending on whether micrometastases were included in the number of metastatic LNs when calculating LNR.

Methods

The study included 353 PTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy with neck LN dissection, and calculated LNR by 2 methods according to whether micrometastases were included in the number of metastatic LNs: Method 1 did not and method 2 did include. To compare the predictive values of LNR by the 2 methods, correlation coefficients and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were analyzed.

Results

Positive correlations were found between LNR and preablation stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) levels in both methods, but the correlation between method 1 LNR and preablation sTg level was significantly stronger than that for method 2 (Fisher z = 1.7, P = 0.045). The areas under these 2 independent ROC curves were analyzed; the prognostic efficacy of method 1 LNR was more accurate than that of method 2 LNR, and the difference was statistically significant (P = 0.0001).

Conclusion

Regional recurrence of PTC can be predicted more accurately by not including micrometastases in the number of metastatic LNs when calculating LNR.

The prognostic value of regional lymph node metastases in patients of Guangdong Province, China with differentiated thyroid cancer: A multicenter retrospective clinical study

Although the prognostic value of nodal metastases in differentiated thyroid cancer remains controversial, it is of interest to evaluate and understand the different characteristics of predictive outcomes.A multicenter retrospective study was conducted in 215 untreated patients with differentiated thyroid cancer from July 1997 to July 2015 in 4 medical centers of Guangdong Province. A total of 107 patients with nodal metastases (group A) were compared to 108 patients without metastases (group B). The 5-year disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), and postoperative complications in both groups were calculated. Variables predictive of DFS and OS were evaluated in group A.The group A had lower 5-year DFS (69.16%, 11 months) and shorter median time of recurrence than those in group B (87.96%, 8.5 months, respectively, P < 0.001). The incidence of temporary hypoparathyroidism in group A is lower; whereas higher incidence of temporary unilateral vocal cord palsy, permanent hypoparathyroidism, permanent unilateral vocal cord palsy, and bilateral vocal cord palsy in group A were observed. Both univariate and multivariate analyses in group A revealed that age, pathological tumor node metastasis (pTNM) stage, and histology were related to DFS (P < 0.05); while pTNM stage and histology were related to OS only in univariate analyses.Positive nodal metastases have significant prognostic value in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer in Guangdong, China and primarily reduce DFS. Moreover, patients with positive nodal metastases who are >45 years and have higher pTNM stage or follicular histology tend to have poor prognosis. Selective lymph node dissection with appropriate postoperative treatment and frequent follow-up should be accorded to these vulnerable groups of patients.

Risk factors for recurrence in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma undergoing modified radical neck dissection

BACKGROUND

This study evaluated the impact of lymph node-related factors on the risk of and site of recurrence in patients who had papillary thyroid carcinoma with lymph node metastasis in the lateral compartment (classified as pN1b).

METHODS

Patients underwent total thyroidectomy with unilateral modified radical neck dissection for classical papillary thyroid carcinoma. Risk factors for recurrence were evaluated according to the pattern of recurrence.

RESULTS

A total of 324 patients were included in the study. The median follow-up was 63 (range 14-181) months. Recurrence was detected in 47 patients (14·5 per cent). In the multivariable analysis, a maximum diameter of metastatic lymph nodes larger than 2·0 cm (hazard ratio (HR) 1·15, 95 per cent c.i. 1·06 to 1·25; P = 0·033) and a central compartment metastatic lymph node ratio of more than 0·42 (HR 3·35, 1·65 to 6·79; P < 0·001) were identified as independent risk factors for locoregional recurrence. Age 45 years or older (HR 5·69, 1·24 to 26·12; P = 0·025) and extranodal extension of metastasis (HR 12·71, 1·64 to 98·25; P = 0·015) were risk factors for distant metastasis. In subgroup analysis of locoregional recurrence, several lymph node-related factors affected the risk of recurrence according to the specific site of metastasis.

CONCLUSION

Lymph node-related factors are of importance for the risk of recurrence in patients with classical papillary thyroid carcinoma classified as pN1b.

Post-operative stimulated thyroglobulin and neck ultrasound as personalized criteria for risk stratification and radioactive iodine selection in low- and intermediate-risk papillary thyroid cancer

The purpose of this study was to demonstrate the utility of a personalized risk stratification and radioactive iodine (RAI) selection protocol (PRSP) using post-operative stimulated thyroglobulin (Stim-Tg) and neck ultrasound in low- and intermediate-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients. Patients with PTC tumors ≥1 cm were prospectively followed after total thyroidectomy and selective therapeutic central compartment neck dissection. Low/intermediate risk was defined as PTC confined to the thyroid or central (level VI) lymph nodes. Stim-Tg and neck ultrasound were performed approximately 3 months after surgery and used to guide RAI selection. Patients with Stim-Tg < 1 µg/L did not receive RAI, while those with Stim-Tg >5 µg/L routinely did. Those with Stim-Tg 1-5 µg/L received RAI on the basis of several clinical risk factors. Patients were followed for >6 years with serial neck ultrasound and basal/stimulated thyroglobulin. Among the 129 patients, 84 (65 %) had undetectable Stim-Tg after initial surgery, 40 (31 %) had Stim-Tg of 1-5 µg/L, and 5 (4 %) had Stim-Tg >5 µg/L. RAI was administered to 8 (20 %) patients with Stim-Tg 1-5 µg/L and 5 (100 %) with Stim-Tg >5 µg/L. Using this approach, RAI therapy was avoided in 17/20 (85 %) patients with tumors >4 cm, in 72/81 (89 %) patients older than 45 years, and in 6/9 (67 %) patients with central lymph node involvement. To date, 116 (90 %) patients in this cohort have not received RAI therapy with no evidence of residual/recurrent disease, whereas among the 13 patients who received RAI, 1 (8 %) had pathologic residual/recurrence disease. Using the proposed PRSP, RAI can be avoided in the majority of low/intermediate-risk PTC patients. Moreover, traditional risk factors considered to favor RAI treatment were not always concordant with the PRSP and may lead to overtreatment.

Does papillary thyroid carcinoma have a better prognosis with or without Hashimoto thyroiditis?

BACKGROUND

It has been reported that the BRAF (V600E) mutation is related to a low frequency of background Hashimoto thyroiditis (HT); however, there are not many factors known to be related to the development of HT. The aim of this study was to determine whether patients with both papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and HT show aggressive features, by investigating the clinicopathological features of HT in patients with PTC.

METHODS

A database of patients with PTC who underwent thyroidectomy between October 2008 and August 2012 was collected and reviewed. All 2464 patients were offered a thyroidectomy, and DNA was extracted from the atypical cells in the surgical specimens for detection of the BRAF (V600E) mutation. Clinical and pathological characteristics were also investigated.

RESULTS

Four hundred and fifty-two of 1945 (23.2%) patients were diagnosed with HT, and of these, 119 (72.1%) had a BRAF (V600E) mutation. HT was not significantly associated with the BRAF (V600E) mutation (P < 0.001) and extrathyroidal extensions (P = 0.005) but was associated with a low stage (P = 0.011) and female predominance (P < 0.001). In a subgroup analysis for gender, HT was associated with a low probability of BRAF (V600E) mutations in both genders (P < 0.001 for both females and males). Also, recurrence was significantly associated with HT (OR 0.297, CI 0.099-0.890, P = 0.030), lymph node ratio (OR 2.545, CI 1.092-5.931, P = 0.030), and BRAF (V600E) mutation (OR 2.075, CI 1.021-4.217, P = 0.044). However, there was no relationship with clinicopathological factors or with death.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results show that HT in patients with PTC is associated with a low probability of BRAF (V600E) mutations. Moreover, HT was correlated with some factors that were associated with less aggressive clinical features and inversely related to recurrence. Therefore, these results may be useful to predict whether PTC concurrent with HT exhibits a better prognosis than PTC alone.

Predictive value of nodal metastases on local recurrence in the management of differentiated thyroid cancer. Retrospective clinical study

Background

The significance of nodal metastases, very common in papillary thyroid cancer, and the role of lymph node dissection in the neoplasm management, are still controversial. The impact of lymph node involvement on local recurrence and long-term survival remains subject of active research. With the aim to better analyze the predictive value of lymph node involvement on recurrence and survival, we investigated the clinico-pathological patterns of local relapse following total thyroidectomy associated with lymph node dissection, for clinical nodal metastases papillary thyroid cancer, in order to identify the preferred surgical treatment.

Methods

Clinical records, between January 2000 and December 2006, of 69 patients undergoing total thyroidectomy associated with selective lymph node dissection for clinical nodal metastases papillary thyroid cancer, were retrospectively evaluated. Radioiodine ablation, followed by Thyroid Stimulating Hormone suppression therapy was recommended in every case. In patients with loco regional lymph nodal recurrence, a repeated lymph node dissection was carried out. The data were compared with those following total thyroidectomy not associated with lymph node dissection in 210 papillary thyroid cancer patients without lymph node involvement, at preoperative ultrasonography and intra operative inspection.

Results

Incidence of permanent hypoparathyroidism (iPTH < 10 pg/ml) and permanent monolateral vocal fold paralysis were respectively 1.4 % (1/69) and 1.4% (1/69), similar to those reported after total thyroidectomy "alone". The rate of loco regional recurrence, with positive cervical lymph nodes, following 8 year follow-up, was 34.7% (24/69), higher than that reported in patients without nodal metastases (4.2%). A repeated lymph node dissection was carried out without significant complications.

Conclusions

Nodal metastases are a predictor of local recurrence, and a higher rate of lymph node involvement is expected after therapeutic lymph node dissection associated with total thyroidectomy. The prognostic significance of nodal metastases on long-term survival remains unclear, and more prospective randomized trials are requested to better evaluate the benefits of different therapeutic approaches.

Prognostic implications of lymph node yield and lymph node ratio in papillary thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The lymph node yield (LNY) and the lymph node ratio (LNR) have been shown to be important prognostic factors in oral, colon, and gastric cancers. The role of the LNY and LNR in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is unclear. The aims of this study were to determine if a high LNR and a low LNY decrease disease-free survival rates. This study further aimed to determine an optimum nodal yield.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted of 198 patients with PTC undergoing total thyroidectomy with neck dissection between 1987 and 2011. The LNY and LNR were adjusted by relevant covariates in a multivariate Cox regression analysis with Andersen-Gill extension.

RESULTS

The LNR was associated with a decrease in disease-free survival (hazard ratio 3.2 [95% confidence interval 1.4-7.3], p=0.005). Patients with an LNR of 0.30 or higher had a 3.4 times higher risk of persistent or recurrent disease compared with patients with an LNR of 0.00 ([95% confidence interval 1.1-10.5], p=0.031). Conversely, patients with an LNR of 0.11 or lower had an 80% chance of remaining disease free during 5 years of follow-up. The LNY showed no significant independent effect and an optimum nodal yield was not determined.

CONCLUSIONS

The LNR is an important independent prognostic factor in PTC and can be used in conjunction with existing staging systems. A clinical relevant cut-off point of 0.3 (one positive lymph node out of three total) is proposed. No prognostic implications for LNY were identified.