Post-operative stimulated thyroglobulin and neck ultrasound as personalized criteria for risk stratification and radioactive iodine selection in low- and intermediate-risk papillary thyroid cancer

Predictors of recurrence after total thyroidectomy in 1,611 patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma: postoperative stimulated serum thyroglobulin and ATA initial and dynamic risk assessment

Objective

Despite a favorable prognosis, some patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) develop recurrence. The objective of this study was to examine the impact of the combination of initial American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification with serum level of postoperative stimulated thyroglobulin (s-Tg) in predicting recurrence in patients with PTC and compare the results with an assessment of response to initial therapy (dynamic risk stratification).

Subjects and methods

We retrospectively analyzed 1,611 patients who had undergone total thyroidectomy for PTC, followed in most cases (87.3%) by radioactive iodine (RAI) administration. Clinicopathological features and s-Tg levels obtained 3 months postoperatively were evaluated. The patients were stratified according to ATA risk categories. Nonstimulated thyroglobulin levels and imaging studies obtained during the first year of follow-up were used to restage the patients based on response to initial therapy.

Results

After a mean follow-up of 61.5 months (range 12-246 months), tumor recurrence was diagnosed in 99 (6.1%) patients. According to ATA risk, recurrence was identified in 2.3% of the low-risk, 9% of the intermediate-risk, and 25% of the high-risk patients (p < 0.001). Using a receiver operating characteristic curve approach, a postoperative s-Tg level of 10 ng/mL emerged as the ideal cutoff value, with positive and negative predictive values of 24% and 97.8%, respectively (p < 0.001). Patients with low to intermediate ATA risk with postoperative s-Tg levels < 10 ng/mL and excellent response to treatment had a very low recurrence rate (<0.8%). In contrast, higher recurrence rates were observed in intermediate-riskto high-risk patients with postoperative s-Tg > 10 ng/mL and indeterminate response (25%) and in those with incomplete response regardless of ATA category or postoperative s-Tg value (38.5-87.5%). Using proportion of variance explained (PVE), the predicted recurrence using the ATA initial risk assessment alone was 12.7% and increased to 29.9% when postoperative s-Tg was added to the logistic regression model and 49.1% with dynamic risk stratification.

Conclusion

The combination of ATA staging system and postoperative s-Tg can better predict the risk of PTC recurrence. Initial risk estimates can be refined based ondynamic risk assessment following response to therapy, thus providing a useful guide for follow-up recommendations.

Does it work in childhood and adolescence? The predictive role of postoperative/preablative stimulated thyroglobulin levels in paediatric thyroid cancer. A systematic review of the literature

BACKGROUND

Thyroglobulin is a well-established disease marker during follow-up in paediatric differentiated thyroid cancer. However, no conclusive data on the role of endogenously stimulated thyroglobulin after thyroidectomy (ptTg) in predicting disease-specific outcomes are available. This review aims to establish the prognostic value of ptTg in children with DTC.

METHODS

Online medical databases were searched for studies evaluating the association between ptTg and disease-specific outcomes in DTC-affected children. Documents not in English, preclinical studies, other review articles, case reports, and small case series were excluded. The risk of bias was assessed with the QUADAS-2 tool.

RESULTS

Twelve studies, analysing 1043 children in total, were included in the review. They all had a retrospective design and were published between 2016 and 2022. Of all patients, 1008 (97%) and 849 (81%) had undergone thyroidectomy and RAI, respectively. Eight studies (756 children) evaluated the correlation between ptTg and disease persistence/relapse: six reported a significant association between these parameters; a specific ptTg cut-off (10-14 ng/ml) was identified at the multivariate analysis in three studies. The remaining four studies assessed the link between ptTg levels and disease extension, with three reporting a correlation between ptTg and lung/nodal metastases.

DISCUSSION

ptTg is a readily available and inexpensive parameter, bearing a strong prognostic power in identifying disease persistence, relapse, and the presence of metastases in children affected by DTC.

Early Post-operative Stimulated Serum Thyroglobulin: Role in Preventing Unnecessary Radioactive Iodine Treatment in Low to Intermediate Risk Papillary Thyroid Cancer

AIM

The aims of the study are to evaluate the predictive value of early post-operative stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) analysis on the recurrence risk, and to define a cut-off value that is related to recurrence risk in low to intermediate risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included individuals who were diagnosed with PTC aged 18 years or older and had been operated by experienced surgeons of a tertiary university hospital between the years 2011 and 2021. The American Thyroid Association thyroid cancer guidelines version 2015 was used as the risk stratification system. Early sTg measurement obtained at 3-4 weeks after surgery when TSH >30 µIU/mL. Data was collected from the hospital database. A total of 328 patients who had post-operative early sTg values with negative anti-Tg antibodies were included.

RESULTS

The median age was 44 years. Of the 328 patients, 223 (68%) were women. The median tumor diameter was 11 mm. One hundred ninety-one patients (58.2%) had low risk and 137 (41.8%) had intermediate risk for recurrent disease. Of the 328 patients, 4.0% had recurrent disease. In multivariate Cox regression, post-operative early sTg value [OR: 1.070 (1.038-1.116), P = .000], and the pre-operative malign cytology [OR: 1.483 (1.080-2.245), P = .042] were independent risk factors for recurrence. On the ROC curve analysis, the cut-off value of early sTg was 4.1 ng/mL for those with recurrent disease.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated that early sTg could predict recurrent disease in patients with low to intermediate risk PTC. A cut-off of 4.1 ng/mL was identified with a high negative predictive value.

Lymph node ratio independently associated with postoperative thyroglobulin levels in papillary thyroid cancer

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the impact of the lymph node ratio (LNR) on postoperative thyroglobulin (Tg) levels in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective, cohort study. The association between clinicopathological variables and postoperative unstimulated Tg (uTg) levels, preablative-stimulated Tg (sTg) levels, and postablative unstimulated Tg levels was analysed.

RESULTS

A total of 300 patients with PTC were identified. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that M classification (odds ratio [OR], 2.33; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.62-3.34), and postoperative thyroid-stimulating hormone levels (OR, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.01-1.02) were independently associated with postoperative uTg levels. One hundred and sixteen patients underwent radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy. Multivariate analysis showed that LNR in the central neck (OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.02-1.51), LNR in the lateral neck (OR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.09-2.77), RAI dose (OR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.21-1.69), and M classification (OR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.22-2.61) were independently associated with preablative sTg levels. Tumour size (OR, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.00-1.01), LNR in the central neck (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.08-1.51), LNR in the lateral neck (OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.10-2.49), RAI dose (OR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.34-1.79), and M classification (OR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.12-2.19) were also independently associated with postablative uTg levels.

CONCLUSION

LNR was independently associated with postoperative Tg levels in patients with PTC. Patients with high LNR were more likely to have incomplete biochemical responses after surgery.

Establishing a Cutoff Serum Thyroglobulin Value for the Diagnosis and Management of Well-Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Objective  The aim of this study was to define a cutoff serum thyroglobulin (Tg) level associated with either residual or metastasis that may help decide postoperative radioactive iodine (RAI) scan and treatment in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients residing in low-income countries like Nepal. Methods  We prospectively studied a total of 81 patients (female-to-male ratio of 3.0:1; mean age: 37.3 ± 14.0 years, within age range of 14-88 years) who underwent total thyroidectomy with/without neck dissection and were referred for RAI whole-body scan (WBS) ± RAI ablation or adjuvant treatment in the department of Nuclear Medicine, Chitwan Medical College. We calculated the cutoff value of Tg using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results  Forty-six of 81 patients (56.7%) had remnants in the thyroid bed, 26/81 (32.1%) had regional lymph node metastasis, 9/81 (11.1%) had distant lymph node metastasis, 3/81 (3.7%) had lung metastases, and only 1/81 (1.2%) had bone metastases. RAI WBS was positive in 61/81 (75.3%) patients and negative in 20/81 (24.7%) patients. Seventeen of 81 (20.9%) patients had negative RAI scans with low serum Tg levels; only 3/81 (3.7%) patients had Tg elevated negative RAI scan (TENIS). Although scan was positive in 61/81 (75.3%) patients, 64/81 (79.0%) patients received treatment with RAI, of which 3/81 (3.7%) patients were TENIS patients. There was a significant difference in serum Tg levels between patients who received or did not receive RAI ablation or treatment ( p  < 0.05). On ROC curve analysis, the cutoff value of Tg levels between patients who received and did not receive treatment was 2.9 ng/mL (sensitivity: 85.9%; specificity: 94.1%; positive predictive value [PPV], 98.2%; negative predictive value [NPV]: 64.0%; AUC: 0.938). Conclusion  We identified a cutoff value of 2.9 ng/mL between patients who required or did not require treatment with high sensitivity, specificity, and PPVs.

Post-Surgical Indications to Radioiodine Treatment and Potential Risk Factors for Post-Treatment Recurrence in Patients with Intermediate-Risk Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma

In this multicentric retrospective observational study, we investigated the potential risk factors for radioiodine (RAI) indication and the post-treatment recurrence of intermediate-risk differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) 1 and 3 years from diagnosis. We included 121 patients who underwent thyroidectomy for intermediate-risk DTC. The 92 patients (76.0%) who underwent RAI treatment had a higher prevalence of extra-thyroid micro-extension (mETE) (p = 0.03), pT3 staging (p = 0.03) and recourse to therapeutic central (p = 0.04) and lateral (p = 0.01) neck dissection, as well as higher numbers (p = 0.02) and greater dimensions (p = 0.01) of lymph node metastases, compared with untreated patients. Relapse was observed in 18.1% and 20.7% of cases 1 and 3 years from diagnosis, respectively, with no significant differences between groups. A lower age at diagnosis (p = 0.03) and higher levels of stimulated thyroglobulin (Tg) (p = 0.04) emerged as the only independent risk factors for tumour relapse at 1 year. Tumour relapse at 3 years was only independently predicted by the presence of tumour relapse at 1 year (p = 0.04). In conclusion, mETE, pT3 and the presence of large, multiple or clinically evident lymph node metastases represent the main indicators for referring patients to RAI treatment. Early recurrence may be considered the most relevant factor when planning further surveillance.

The Role of Thyroglobulin in Preoperative and Postoperative Evaluation of Patients With Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Thyroglobulin (Tg) is secreted by thyroid follicular cells and stored in the thyroid follicular lumen as a component of thyroid hormone. It is known that both benign and well-differentiated malignant thyroid tissue can secrete Tg. In recent years, growing lines of evidence have shown that Tg plays an important role in the diagnosis and metastasis of preoperative differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC). The levels of Tg, whether in the serum or in a fine-needle aspiration washout fluid, are usually viewed as an excellent indicator in the monitoring of postoperative DTC, including the guidance and evaluation of radioactive iodine ablation. Nevertheless, some factors limit the application of Tg, such as the method used to measure Tg and the presence of Tg antibodies. This review aimed to summarize the role of Tg in the preoperative and postoperative evaluation of patients with DTC, and the factors influencing Tg. This review could provide a reference for a more accurate application of Tg in patients with DTC.

Indication for radioactive iodine in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma without apparent disease after total thyroidectomy but with elevated antithyroglobulin antibodies

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate a criterion for the selective indication of radioactive iodine (RAI) based on the short-term behaviour of antithyroglobulin antibodies (TgAb) in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) who have negative thyroglobulin (Tg) and neck ultrasonography (US) without abnormalities after total thyroidectomy but elevated TgAb.

DESIGN

This was a prospective study that evaluated 216 patients with low- or intermediate-risk PTC who had nonstimulated Tg ≤ 0.2 ng/ml and no US abnormalities but elevated TgAb 3 months after thyroidectomy. RAI was not indicated in patients with negative TgAb or a >50% reduction in TgAb concentrations 6 months after initial assessment followed by a negative test or an additional reduction (also >50%) after 12 months.

RESULTS

Only two of the 114 patients who did not receive RAI developed recurrences; another 108 patients met the criterion of an excellent response to therapy in the last assessment and TgAb persisted in four patients but there was an additional reduction in their concentration during follow-up. Among the 102 patients who received RAI, post-therapy whole-body scanning (RxWBS) detected persistent disease in 8 (8%). Two of the 94 patients without persistent disease on RxWBS developed recurrences. In the last assessment, in the absence of additional treatment, 54/92 patients (58.7%) without structural recurrence had negative TgAb.

CONCLUSIONS

The indication for RAI can be based on the short-term behaviour of TgAb in patients with PTC and elevated TgAb after thyroidectomy who are not high risk and who do not have apparent disease (nonstimulated Tg ≤ 0.2 ng/ml and no US abnormalities).

Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Health Economic Review

Simple Summary

This review reflects on health economic considerations associated with the increasing diagnosis and treatment of differentiated thyroid cancer. Analysis of different relevant health economic topics, such as overdiagnosis, overtreatment, surgical costs, and costs of follow-up are being addressed. Several unanswered research questions such as optimising molecular markers for diagnosis, active surveillance of primary tumours, and improved risk stratification and survivorship care all influence future healthcare expenditures.

Abstract

The incidence of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is rising, mainly because of an increased detection of asymptomatic thyroid nodularity revealed by the liberal use of thyroid ultrasound. This review aims to reflect on the health economic considerations associated with the increasing diagnosis and treatment of DTC. Overdiagnosis and the resulting overtreatment have led to more surgical procedures, increasing health care and patients’ costs, and a large pool of community-dwelling thyroid cancer follow-up patients. Additionally, the cost of thyroid surgery seems to increase year on year even when inflation is taken into account. The increased healthcare costs and spending have placed significant pressure to identify potential factors associated with these increased costs. Some truly ground-breaking work in health economics has been undertaken, but more cost-effectiveness studies and micro-cost analyses are required to evaluate expenses and guide future solutions.

Therapeutic Outcomes of Recurrent Well-Differentiated Thyroid Carcinomas

Objective

The aim of this study was to evaluate outcomes of the recurrent and non-recurrent groups including disease-specific mortality of patients with well-differentiated thyroid carcinoma after multimodality treatment. In addition, prognostic factors for disease-specific mortality were analyzed.

Summary of Background Data

Among 2,844, there were 166 patients with recurrent disease. Recurrent disease was defined as the presence of papillary or follicular thyroid cancer 6 months after the initial thyroidectomy, including locoregional or distant metastasis, diagnosed using diagnostic or therapeutic 131I scans or other imaging techniques.

Methods

The study was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data for a long-term follow-up result of well-differentiated thyroid carcinoma patients.

Results

The mean age of 166 patients was 45.8 ± 1.2 years, 116 (69.9%) were women, 111 (66.9%) had locoregional neck recurrence, and 55 (33.1%) had metastatic recurrence in distant organs. We found that when recurrences were observed, more than half were detected within the first 5 years following the initial therapy. The longest period of time before relapse was 29.8 years. After a mean follow-up period of 12.7 ± 0.5 years, 37 (22.3%) patients experienced disease-specific mortality. Multivariable analysis revealed that older age, male sex, and development of a second primary malignancy were associated with disease-specific mortality. Higher post-operative levels of thyroglobulin predicted a shorter time to relapse.

Conclusions

These data indicate that among the recurrent cases over 50% of recurrent well-differentiated thyroid carcinomas were diagnosed within 5 years after initial thyroidectomy. Additionally, more than 20% of the patients died of thyroid cancer.

Predictors of thyroglobulin in the lymph nodes recurrence of papillary thyroid carcinoma undergoing total thyroidectomy

BACKGROUND

To investigate the association between postoperative lymph nodes (LNs) recurrence and distinct serum thyroglobulin (Tg) levels in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

METHODS

This study included PTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy (TT) with at least central neck dissection and then re-operated due to recurrence of LNs between January 2013 and June 2018. These patients were grouped by negative or positive serum Tg levels according to the American Thyroid Association guidelines.

RESULTS

Of the 60 included patients, 49 underwent radioactive iodine (RAI) treatment. Maximum unstimulated Tg (uTg) ≥ 0.2 ng/mL were associated with larger diameter of recurrent LNs (P = 0.027), and higher rate of metastatic LNs (P < 0.001). Serum-stimulated Tg (off-Tg) ≥ 1 ng/mL (P = 0.047) and unstimulated Tg (on-Tg) ≥ 0.2 ng/Ml (P = 0.013) were associated with larger diameter of recurrent LNs. Number of metastatic LNs ≥ 8 was an independent predictor for postoperative maximum uTg ≥ 0.2 ng/mL (OR = 8.767; 95% CI = 1.392-55.216; P = 0.021). Ratio of metastatic LNs ≥ 25% was an independent predictor for off-Tg ≥ 1 ng/mL (OR = 20.997; 95% CI = 1.649-267.384; P = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

Postoperative Tg-positive status was associated with larger size of recurrent LNs. Number of metastatic LNs ≥ 8 and ratio of metastatic LNs ≥ 25% were independent predicators for uTg-positive and off-Tg-positive status, respectively.

The Prognostic Role of Postablative Non-Stimulated Thyroglobulin in Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Simple Summary

In the management of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer, thyroglobulin (Tg) is used as a tumor marker to predict residual disease. After surgery, the presence or absence of persistent disease and the risk for recurrent disease should be assessed. Risk categories may be changed during the course of disease; the reclassification of patients influences the management of the disease and the intensity of follow-up. The diagnostic and prognostic roles of postoperative stimulated and one-year postablative non-stimulated Tg was evaluated. The individual lowest and highest non-stimulated Tg values during the entire follow-up were also assessed. Non-stimulated Tg values had excellent diagnostic accuracy in predicting structural disease, and the risk classification based on these was significantly more accurate regarding outcome than that based on the postoperative stimulated Tg. Analysis of the lowest and highest Tg values highlighted that a patient’s risk category can be revised based on a single Tg measurement.

Abstract

Thyroglobulin (Tg) is the most important tumor marker in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic and prognostic roles of postoperative stimulated and postablative lowest, highest, and one-year non-stimulated Tg values obtained during the follow-up of patients with DTC. In this retrospective study, 222 radioiodine-treated, anti-thyroglobulin antibody (TgAb)-negative DTC patients having at least 9 months’ follow-up time were included (172 papillary and 50 follicular cancers; median age: 48 (from 15 to 91) years; female–male ratio: 158/64; median (quartiles) follow-up time: 54 (22–97) months). The 2015 American Thyroid Association guidelines were applied as criteria of the therapeutic response. Postoperative stimulated Tg values had significantly lower diagnostic accuracy than any of the non-stimulated postablative Tg values. One-year non-stimulated Tg had excellent prognostic value for structural disease: a cut-off value of 0.85 ng/mL had an 88.1% diagnostic accuracy. If the Tg value did not decrease below 0.75 ng/mL at any time during follow-up, the risk of residual disease was 25 times higher. The highest non-stimulated Tg during follow-up was the best predictor of residual disease (e.g., a Tg value exceeding 7.7 ng/mL indicated a 30-fold increase in risk). Non-stimulated Tg values measured during follow-up have excellent diagnostic accuracy to predict structural disease in DTC patients. The risk classification of a patient can safely be modified based on even a single Tg measurement.

Can patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma and low postoperative thyroglobulin in the presence of clinically apparent lymph node metastases (cN1) be spared from radioiodine?

BACKGROUND

The study evaluated the recurrence rate in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and clinically apparent lymph node metastases (LNM) (cN1) who had low thyroglobulin (Tg) after total thyroidectomy and who were not submitted to adjuvant therapy with ¹³¹I.

METHODS

This was a prospective study. It included 82 cN1 patients (≤3 LNM ≤1.5 cm without macroscopic extracapsular extension) with tumors ≤4 cm without macroscopic extrathyroid invasion (T1-2) and who after thyroidectomy had unstimulated Tg (u-Tg) < 0.3 ng/ml, negative antithyroglobulin antibodies (TgAb), and neck ultrasonography (US) showing no anomalies. The patients were not submitted to therapy with ¹³¹I.

RESULTS

The time of follow-up ranged from 24 to 156 months (median 84 months). Seventy-nine patients (96.3%) continued to have u-Tg < 0.3 ng/ml and negative US. Three patients (3.6%) exhibited an increase in Tg and structural recurrence was detected in two. After treatment, these patients achieved u-Tg < 1 ng/ml and the imaging methods revealed no apparent tumor.

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest that even cN1 patients, given the absence of extensive LNM or other adverse findings, who have low Tg and neck US showing no anomalies after thyroidectomy do not require radioiodine.

Personalized treatment for differentiated thyroid cancer: current data and new perspectives

More conservative and personalized treatment options have been developed in recent years to face the rising diagnosis of low-risk differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC). The present review describes the change towards a more risk-adapted management either in the treatment or in the follow-up of DTC. Particular attention is given to the innovations introduced by the latest guidelines for low-risk tumors, starting from the most appropriate extension of surgery up to the postoperative management. The emerging role of active surveillance for low-risk microcarcinoma is discussed, as well as the development of percutaneous strategies in the setting of malignant thyroid disease. The recent use of approved new systemic target therapies for advanced radioiodine refractory thyroid cancer is reported, together with the description of new compounds in trial. Finally, we provide some considerations to improve the risk evaluation in a presurgical setting, especially related to the rising role of genetics, to enable better risk-based cancer management and personalized treatment choices.

Prognostic Value of Pre-Ablation Stimulated Thyroglobulin in Children and Adolescents with Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Purpose: To systemically investigate the prognostic value of pre-ablation stimulated thyroglobulin (s-Tg) in children and adolescents with differentiated thyroid cancer. Methods: Clinical records from 118 children and adolescents were retrospectively reviewed. Results: The median age was 16 years, and the majority were female (79.7%). All children and adolescents underwent total thyroidectomy and received radioactive iodine therapy. After a median follow-up of 5.3 years, 68 (57.6%) patients were disease free, while 50 patients (42.4%) had persistent/recurrent disease. In multivariate analysis, pre-ablation s-Tg and M1 were the independent predictive factors for persistent/recurrent disease. According to the receiver operating curve analysis, the best pre-ablation s-Tg cutoff to predict disease-free status was 17.8 ng/mL with a negative predictive value of 96.8%. Integration of pre-ablation s-Tg into American Thyroid Association pediatric risk categories indicated that the presence of pre-ablation s-Tg ≤17.8 ng/mL was associated with a decreased chance of having persistent/recurrent disease in intermediate- and high-risk patients (22.6% to 2.6% in intermediate-risk patients, and 64.4% to 5.6% in high-risk patients). Conclusions: Our findings suggest that pre-ablation s-Tg has the capability of predicting the clinical outcomes in children and adolescents with thyroid cancer.

Is TSH suppression still necessary in intermediate- and high-risk papillary thyroid cancer patients with pre-ablation stimulated thyroglobulin <1 ng/mL before the first disease assessment?

OBJECTIVE

Since papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients with pre-ablation stimulated thyroglobulin (s-Tg) < 1 ng/mL generally have a favorable prognosis, is TSH suppression still necessary in intermediate- and high-risk PTC patients with pre-ablation s-Tg < 1 ng/mL after initial therapy? The aim of this study was to assess the rate of disease recurrence in intermediate- and high-risk PTC patients with pre-ablation s-Tg < 1 ng/mL according to TSH levels measured 1 year after initial therapy.

METHODS

A retrospective series of intermediate- and high-risk PTC patients with pre-ablation s-Tg < 1 ng/mL was analyzed. Disease status was defined as the presence or absence of structural disease during late follow-up. Patients were grouped according to TSH level at 1 year: group 1, TSH < 0.1 mIU/L; group 2, TSH 0.1‒0.5 mIU/L; group 3, 0.5‒2 mIU/L; group 4, >2 mIU/L.

RESULTS

This study included 166 patients (78.3% females, median age 44 years) of whom the risk of recurrence was intermediate in 97 (58.4%) and high in 69 (41.6%). The response to initial therapy at 1 year was excellent in 163 patients (98.2%) and indeterminate in 3 (1.8%). Group 1 consisted of 63 patients (38%), group 2 of 47 (28%), group 3 of 28 (17%), and group 4 of 28 (17%). During a median follow-up duration of 5.8 years, disease recurrence was observed in only 4 patients (2.4%). The rate of disease recurrence was not significantly different between the TSH groups.

CONCLUSION

TSH suppression before the first response to treatment assessment does not seem to influence the rate of disease recurrence after initial therapy in intermediate- and high-risk PTC patients with pre-ablation s-Tg < 1 ng/mL.

The efficacy of radioactive iodine for the treatment of well-differentiated thyroid cancer with distant metastasis

Objective

Radioactive iodine (¹³¹I) has been used as a treatment for high-risk well-differentiated thyroid cancer after thyroidectomy. The aim of this study was to evaluate the long-term follow-up results after using high accumulated doses of ¹³¹I (>600 mCi) for the treatment of well-differentiated thyroid cancer.

Patients and methods

In this study, we retrospectively evaluated prospectively enrolled patients with well-differentiated thyroid cancer who were treated and followed up in Chang Gung Memorial Hospital in Linkou and Keelung, Taiwan. All the patients underwent thyroidectomy between 1979 and 2016.

Results

For our study, 228 patients with papillary and follicular thyroid carcinoma with distant metastases were enrolled. Of the 228 patients, 71 (31.1%) received ¹³¹I therapy with an accumulated dose of at least 600 mCi. Forty-four died because of disease-specific mortality (DSM) after a mean follow-up of 10.6±6.3 years. Compared with the patients in the DSM group, which included 27 survival cases, patients who were younger, and those with a multifocal tumor, more extensive thyroidectomy, and papillary thyroid carcinoma showed better prognosis. The DSM group included a higher percentage of patients who developed a secondary primary cancer after receiving a diagnosis of thyroid cancer than the survival group (18.2 vs. 3.7%). However, the difference did not reach statistical significance (P=0.075).

Conclusion

¹³¹I provided an effective therapeutic modality for well-differentiated thyroid cancer patients with distant metastasis. After a mean of follow-up 10 years, more than 60% of cases resulted in DSM when high accumulated ¹³¹I doses were administered.

THYROGLOBULIN AS A TUMOR MARKER IN DIFFERENTIATED THYROID CANCER - CLINICAL CONSIDERATIONS

SUMMARY – Initial treatment of the majority of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) includes total thyroidectomy. Postoperative ablation therapy with radioactive iodine (I-131) is indicated in all high-risk patients, however, there is disagreement regarding its use in low- and intermediate-risk patients. Over the last few decades, thyroglobulin (Tg) has been established as the primary biochemical tumor marker for patients with DTC. Thyroglobulin can be measured during thyroid hormone therapy or after thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) stimulation, through thyroid hormone withdrawal or the use of human recombinant TSH. In many studies, the cut-off value for adequate Tg stimulation is a TSH value ≥30 mIU/L. However, there is an emerging body of evidence suggesting that this long-established standard should be re-evaluated, bringing this threshold into question. Recently, a risk stratification system of response to initial therapy (with four categories) has been introduced and Tg measurement is one of the main components. The relationship between the Tg/TSH ratio and the outcome of radioiodine ablation has also been studied, as well as clinical significance of serum thyroglobulin doubling-time. The postoperative serum Tg value is an important prognostic factor that is used to guide clinical management, and it is the most valuable tool in long term follow-up of patients with DTC.

Detection of distant metastasis at the time of ablation in children with differentiated thyroid cancer: the value of pre-ablation stimulated thyroglobulin

Background The present study was designed to determine the value of pre-ablation stimulated thyroglobulin (s-Tg) in predicting distant metastasis (DM) at the time of ablation in children with differentiated thyroid cancer. Methods From August 2009 to December 2016, consecutive children with differentiated thyroid cancer undergoing remnant ablation were retrospectively analyzed. Serum s-Tg was measured with the high-sensitive electrochemiluminescence immunoassay during hypothyroidism at ablation just before the ablative radioactive iodine (131I) administration. Post-ablation, whole body planar scintigraphy was obtained 5 days after administration of ablation activity of 131I. Single photon emission computed tomography/low-dose computed tomography (SPECT/CT) was added for children whose planar findings were inconclusive. Receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis was employed to find a cut-off level of pre-ablation s-Tg as a predictor of DM at the time of ablation. Results Fifty-seven children were included for the analysis. Metastases were noticed on post-ablation scintigraphy in 20 (35%) children: five post-operative residual neck lymph node metastases, four post-operative residual neck lymph node and lung metastases, three mediastinal lymph node and lung metastases and eight lung metastases. A significant difference in pre-ablation s-Tg levels was found in children with DM compared with those without DM, 603.5 vs. 5.7 ng/mL, respectively. A pre-ablation s-Tg level of 156 ng/mL was established as the optimal cut-off point to predict DM. Conclusions This study demonstrated that pre-ablation s-Tg could potentially act as a predictor of DM at the time of ablation in children with differentiated thyroid cancer. We also propose a specific pre-ablation s-Tg cut-off value of 156 ng/mL as an optimal threshold for practical use.

Comparison of treatment efficacy 1 and 2 years after thyroid remnant ablation with 1110 versus 5550 MBq of iodine-131 in patients with intermediate-risk differentiated thyroid cancer

BACKGROUND

Radioiodine ablation may be associated with improved survival in patients with intermediate-risk follicular cell differentiated thyroid cancer (FCDTC). The aim of this study was to compare ablation efficacy of 1110 versus 5500 MBq of iodine-131 (I) in FCDTC patients with intermediate risk.

METHODS

Thirty-nine patients with intermediate-risk FCDTC (T3N0, T1-2N1b and T1-3N1a) were treated with 1110 MBq of I and compared with 43 age-matched and sex-matched patients who received 5550 MBq of I. Patients with invasive histology, extensive lymph node involvement, and preablation thyroglobulin (Tg) of more than 100 ng/ml were excluded from the study. All patients underwent total or near total thyroidectomy with or without lymph node dissection. Response to treatment was evaluated 1 and 2 years after I treatment.

RESULTS

We studied four male and 78 female patients, age range 21-69 years. Preablation Tg level was 12.7±17.8 and 15.8±22.6 ng/ml in patients in the low-dose and high-dose groups, respectively (P=0.48). Anti-Tg antibody level as well as T and N staging were not significantly different in the two groups (P>0.2). One and 2 years after treatment, an excellent response was noted in 19 and 22 patients in the low-dose group and in 16 and 23 patients in the high-dose group, respectively (P>0.3). Using logistic regression analysis, preablation Tg was the only significant factor in the prediction of an incomplete response 2 years after therapy.

CONCLUSION

1110 MBq of I was as effective as 5550 MBq of I in the treatment of FCDTC patients with intermediate risk 1 and 2 years after therapy.

Role of Preablative Stimulated Thyroglobulin in Prediction of Nodal and Distant Metastasis on Iodine Whole-Body Scan

Background:

Preablative stimulated thyroglobulin (ps-Tg) is an important investigation in the follow-up of patients with Differentiated thyroid cancer(DTC) after surgery. Levels of ps-Tg >2–10 ng/ml have been suggested to predict metastasis to cervical and extracervical sites. There is still debate on the need for routine iodine whole-body scan (¹³¹I WBS) in the management of low-to-intermediate-risk DTC patients.

Objective:

We analyzed our data of patients with DTC who underwent total thyroidectomy to discuss the predictability of ps-Tg on metastatic disease on the ¹³¹I WBS.

Materials and Methods:

Retrospective analysis of patient records.

Results:

One hundred and seventeen patients with DTC (95 papillary thyroid cancer [71 had classic histology, 8 had tall cell variant, 16 had follicular variant] and 22 follicular thyroid cancer [18 minimally invasive, 2 hurtle cell, and 2 widely invasive cancers]) had undergone total thyroidectomy. All these patients underwent ps-Tg assessment and an ¹³¹I WBS. About 65% of them went on to have radioiodine ablation along with a posttherapy ¹³¹I WBS. We divided the cohort into four groups based on their ps-Tg levels: Group 1 (ps-Tg <1), Group 2 (ps-Tg 1–1.9), Group 3 (ps-Tg 2–5), and Group 4 (ps-Tg >5). None of the patients in Group 1, 7% of those combined in Groups 2 and 3 (2 out of 28 patients), and 26% (12 out of 47) of those in Group 4 had either cervical or extracervical metastasis. Those with extracervical metastatic disease to lungs and bones had a mean (standard deviation) ps-Tg value of 436 (130) and median of 500 ng/ml and those with cervical metastatic disease had a mean Tg value of 31 (64) and median 6.6 ng/ml.

Conclusions:

A ps-Tg value in the absence of anti-Tg antibodies <1 ng/ml reliably excludes metastatic disease in DTC, while a value >5 ng/ml has a 26% risk of having either cervical or extracervical metastasis.

Controversies in the Management of Low-Risk Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Controversy exists over optimal management of low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer. This controversy occurs in all aspects of management, including surgery, use of radioactive iodine for remnant ablation, thyroid hormone supplementation, and long-term surveillance. Limited and conflicting data, treatment paradigm shifts, and differences in physician perceptions contribute to the controversy. This lack of physician consensus results in wide variation in patient care, with some patients at risk for over- or undertreatment. To reduce patient harm and unnecessary worry, there is a need to design and implement studies to address current knowledge gaps.

Dynamic monitoring of circulating microRNAs as a predictive biomarker for the diagnosis and recurrence of papillary thyroid carcinoma

Circulating microRNAs (miRNAs/miRs) are considered to be potential biomarkers for numerous types of cancer. However, previous investigations into the expression of miRNAs in the serum of patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) to predict diagnosis, prognosis and recurrence have reported conflicting results, and the role of miRNAs remains unclear. The present study dynamically assessed the circulating miRNA profile in patients with PTC and determined whether miRNAs in the serum could be used as biomarkers for the diagnosis, prognosis and recurrence of PTC. The expression levels of 3 reportedly upregulated miRNAs (miR-222, miR-221 and miR-146b) were analyzed using reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction in 106 patients with PTC, 35 patients with benign thyroid nodules (BTN) and 40 paired controls. Patients with either newly diagnosed PTC or BTN who were undergoing thyroidectomies were recruited for a dynamic analysis of preoperative and postoperative serum miRNA levels. The results indicated that the expression levels of serum miR-222, miR-221 and miR-146b were significantly increased in patients with newly diagnosed PTC compared with controls and patients with BTN. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis indicated that these miRNAs had a high diagnostic sensitivity and specificity for PTC prior to surgery. The expression of these three miRNAs in serum was significantly associated with poorer prognostic variables, including extrathyroidal invasion, metastatic lymph nodes and high-risk or advanced tumor node metastasis stage. More notably, the present study identified 2.36-, 2.69- and 5.39-fold reductions in the serum levels of miR-222, miR-221 and miR-146b, respectively, subsequent to patients undergoing a thyroidectomy. In addition, miR-222, miR-221 and miR-146b were overexpressed in the PTC with recurrence group compared with the PTC without recurrence group. Collectively, dynamic monitoring of circulating miRNAs may serve as a non-invasive biomarker for the diagnosis of PTC and the postoperative monitoring of its progression and recurrence.

Is a second recombinant human thyrotropin stimulation test useful? The value of postsurgical undetectable stimulated thyroglobulin level at the time of remnant ablation on clinical outcome

OBJECTIVE

The management of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) has changed in recent years, and monitoring depends on the risk of persistent/recurrent disease. The objective was to assess the prognostic value of a single stimulated thyroglobulin (Tg) measured at the time of the first radioiodine therapy (Stim-Tg1), and the utility of a second stimulated Tg measurement performed 6-12 months later (Stim-Tg2). We also examined the role of neck ultrasound (US) in the early diagnosis of recurrence.

DESIGN

This was a retrospective observational cohort study conducted in a tertiary referral hospital. Of 213 evaluated patients with DTC, 169 were finally included.

METHODS

Measurement of Stim-Tg1, Stim-Tg2 and neck US.

RESULTS

Stim-Tg1 was undetectable in 71 of 169 patients (42%). All of them (71/71) continued to have negative Stim-Tg2. Seventy of 71 had an excellent response to the first treatment. Sixty-eight of 71 had no evidence of disease after an average follow-up of 7·2 years. In patients with detectable Stim-Tg1 (98/169; 58%), Stim-Tg2 became negative in 40. The negative predictive value (NPV) of Stim-Tg1 was 0·96. The optimal Stim-Tg1 cut-off level for identifying persistence was 3·65 ng/ml. Recurrence was detected in 14 patients. Neck US was useful for identifying local recurrence (13/14; 92·85%).

CONCLUSIONS

Stim-Tg1 is a reliable marker with a high NPV. A second stimulation test should be avoided in patients with negative Stim-Tg1. In patients with biochemical persistence, Stim-Tg2 is useful for confirming/ruling out final status. Neck US plays a valuable role in the early diagnosis of recurrence.

Is postablation whole-body 131 I scintigraphy still necessary in intermediate-risk papillary thyroid cancer patients with pre-ablation stimulated thyroglobulin <1 ng/mL?

OBJECTIVE

Postablation whole-body scintigraphy, which is performed 5-7 days after administration of ablation activity of radioactive iodine-131 (¹³¹ I) in patients with thyroid cancer, is considered a routine procedure for remnant ablation and a useful tool for disease staging. However, the relationship of pre-ablation stimulated thyroglobulin (s-Tg) levels with postablation scintigraphic findings has not been evaluated. The current study was designed to determine the diagnostic value of postablation ¹³¹ I scintigraphy during initial staging and risk stratification in intermediate-risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients with pre-ablation s-Tg < 1 ng/ml at the time of ablation.

DESIGN

From January 2013 to July 2015, consecutive PTC patients at intermediate-risk of recurrence according to American Thyroid Association criteria were prospectively recruited. Patients had to have pre-ablation s-Tg < 1 ng/ml in the absence of anti-Tg antibody at the time of ablation. Systematic pre-ablation neck ultrasonography was performed for each patient. Postablation whole-body planar scintigraphy was obtained 5 days after administration of ablation activity of ¹³¹ I. Single photon emission computed tomography/low-dose computed tomography was added for patients whose planar findings were inconclusive.

RESULTS

Among 756 patients ablated, 240 (31·7%) patients were eligible for the analysis. Pre-ablation neck ultrasonography revealed lymph node metastases in eight of the 240 patients. Postablation scintigraphy showed ectopic neck uptake corresponding to the lymph nodes seen by ultrasonography in four patients and revealed neck lymph node metastases in another two patients whose ultrasonography findings were negative. None of the 240 patients showed distant metastasis on postablation scintigraphy. Neither staging nor initial risk stratification was altered by postablation scintigraphy in the included patients with pre-ablation s-Tg < 1 ng/ml.

CONCLUSIONS

As postablation whole-body scintigraphy played a minimal role in improving staging or initial risk stratification in intermediate-risk PTC patients with pre-ablation s-Tg < 1 ng/ml, we propose that postablation scintigraphy may be omitted in this group of patients. Multi-institutional larger studies are necessary to draw definitive conclusions.

Iodine-131: An Effective Method for Treating Lymph Node Metastases of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Background

The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy of radioactive iodine-131 (¹³¹I) therapy for lymph node metastasis of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) and to identify influential factors using univariate and multivariate analyses to determine if identified factors influence the efficacy of treatment.

Material/Methods

This study included a retrospective review of 218 patients with histologically proven DTC in the post-operation stage. After thyroid tissue remnants were eliminated with ¹³¹I therapy, patients’ lymph node status was confirmed by ultrasound and by ¹³¹I whole body scan regarding lymph node metastasis, and then patients were treated with ¹³¹I as appropriate. The treatment efficacy was assessed and possible influencing factors were identified using univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results

The total effective rate of ¹³¹I therapy was 88.07% (including a cure rate of 20.64% and an improvement rate of 67.43%). The non-effective rate was 11.93%. Of the total 406 lymph nodes of 218 patients, 319 lymph nodes (78.57%) were judged to be effectively cured, including 133 (32.75%) lymph nodes that were totally eliminated and 186 (45.82%) lymph nodes that shrank. Eighty-seven (21.43%) of the 406 lymph nodes had no obvious change. No lymph nodes were found to be in a continuously enlarging state. Distant metastasis, size of lymph node, human serum thyroglobulin (HTG) level, and condition of thyroid remnants ablation were identified as the independent factors influencing the efficacy of treatment using univariate and multivariate analyses.

Conclusions

The use of ¹³¹I is a promising treatment for lymph node metastasis of DCT. Distant metastasis, size of lymph nodes, HTG level, and condition of thyroid remnant ablation were independent factors influencing the treatment efficacy.

Papillary thyroid carcinomas with biochemical incomplete or indeterminate responses to initial treatment: repeat stimulated thyroglobulin assay to identify disease-free patients

Papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients treated with thyroidectomy and radioiodine remnant ablation (RRA) often have detectable TSH-stimulated thyroglobulin (Tg) levels without localizable disease after primary treatment. To assess the value of repeat stimulated Tg assays in these patients' follow-up, we retrospectively analyzed 86 cases followed in 5 Italian thyroid-cancer referral centers. We enrolled 86 patients with PTCs treated with total/near-total thyroidectomy plus RRA between January 1,1990 and January 31, 2006. In all cases, the initial postoperative visit revealed stimulated serum Tg ≥1 ng/mL, negative Tg antibodies, and no structural evidence of disease. None received empiric radioiodine therapy. Follow-up (median: 9.6 years) included neck ultrasound and basal Tg assays (yearly) and at least 1 repeat stimulated Tg assay. Of the 86 patients analyzed (initial risk: low 63 %, intermediate 35 %, high 2 %), one (1 %) had ultrasound-detected lymph node disease and persistently elevated stimulated Tg levels at 3 years. In 17 (20 %), imaging findings were consistently negative, but the final stimulated Tg levels was still >1 ng/mL (median 2.07 ng/mL, range 1.02-4.7). The other 68 (80 %) appeared disease-free (persistently negative imaging findings with stimulated Tg levels ≤1 ng/mL). Mean intervals between first and final stimulated Tg assays were similar (5.2 and 4.8 years) in subgroups with versus without Tg normalization. Reclassification as disease-free was significantly more common when initial stimulated Tg levels were indeterminate (<10 ng/mL). In unselected PTC cohorts with incomplete/indeterminate biochemical responses to thyroidectomy and RRA, periodic remeasurement of stimulated Tg allows most patients to be classified as disease-free.

Serial post-surgical stimulated and unstimulated highly sensitive thyroglobulin measurements in low- and intermediate-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma patients not receiving radioactive iodine

The purpose of this study was to determine the natural temporal trends of serial thyroglobulin (Tg) among low/intermediate-risk PTC patients not receiving radioactive iodine (RAI) using TSH-stimulated Tg (Stim-Tg) and unstimulated highly sensitive Tg (u-hsTg). We prospectively analyzed serial Stim-Tg measurements after total thyroidectomy ± therapeutic central neck dissection among 121 consecutive low/intermediate-risk PTC patients who did not receive RAI, of whom 104 also had serial u-hsTg measurements available. Median follow-up was 6.5 years with Stim-Tg measurements commencing 3 months after surgery and u-hsTg commencing 1.8 years after surgery (when the assay became available). TSH stimulation was performed with 9-day T3 withdrawal, 22-day T4 withdrawal, or using recombinant human TSH (rhTSH). To account for within-patient correlations of repeated Tg measurements, temporal trends in Stim-Tg and u-hsTg were assessed using Generalized Estimating Equations. Stim-Tg models were adjusted for the method of TSH stimulation, whereas the u-hsTg models were adjusted for concurrent TSH level. Linear regression modeling was used to assess the trend in serial Stim-Tg and u-hsTg measurements as a function time from time of surgery throughout the duration of follow-up. The main outcome measured was the change in u-hsTg and Stim-Tg measurements over time. A total of 337 Stim-Tg (2.8/patient) and 602 u-hsTg (5.8/patient) measurements were analyzed. Among the 337 Stim-Tg measurements, Stim-Tg was assessed using rhTSH in 202 (60 %), T4 withdrawal in 41 (12 %), and T3 withdrawal in 94 (28 %) measurements. The overall mean ± 1SD for Stim-Tg and u-hsTg measured was 1.0 ± 1.2 and 0.2 ± 0.1 μg/L, respectively. When adjusted for method of TSH stimulation, serial Stim-Tg measurements did not significantly change over time (all p = NS). The estimated changes in Stim-Tg per year for rhTSH, T4 withdrawal, and T3 withdrawal were 0.01, -0.08, and 0.04 μg/L, respectively. Upon exclusion of 73 patients with an initial undetectable Stim-Tg (n = 48), serial Stim-Tg measurements did not change significantly over time (all p = NS). For these patients, the estimated changes in Stim-Tg per year for rhTSH, T4 withdrawal, and T3 withdrawal were -0.09, -0.10, and 0.01 μg/L, respectively. Serial u-hsTg measurements did not significantly change over time after adjusting for TSH level (p = NS). The estimated change in u-hsTg per year was -0.003 μg/L. No patients had any clinical or imaging evidence of a recurrence during the duration of their follow-up. Among low/intermediate-risk PTC patients not treated with RAI, serial post-surgical Stim-Tg and u-hsTg measurements do not change significantly over a median follow-up of 6.5 years.

Is 131I ablation necessary for patients with low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma and slightly elevated stimulated thyroglobulin after thyroidectomy?

OBJECTIVE

This prospective study evaluated the recurrence rate in low-risk patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) who presented slightly elevated thyroglobulin (Tg) after thyroidectomy and who did not undergo ablation with131I.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

The study included 53 low-risk patients (nonaggressive histology; pT1b-3, cN0pNx, M0) with slightly elevated Tg after thyroidectomy (> 1 ng/mL, but ≤ 5 ng/mL after levothyroxine withdrawal or ≤ 2 ng/mL after recombinant human TSH).

RESULTS

The time of follow-up ranged from 36 to 96 months. Lymph node metastases were detected in only one patient (1.9%). Fifty-two patients continued to present negative neck ultrasound. None of these patients without apparent disease presented an increase in Tg.

CONCLUSIONS

Low-risk patients with PTC who present slightly elevated Tg after thyroidectomy do not require ablation with 131I.

Risk Stratification in Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: An Ongoing Process

Thyroid cancer is an increasingly common malignancy, with a rapidly rising prevalence worldwide. The social and economic ramifications of the increase in thyroid cancer are multiple. Though mortality from thyroid cancer is low, and most patients will do well, the risk of recurrence is not insignificant, up to 30%. Therefore, it is important to accurately identify those patients who are more or less likely to be burdened by their disease over years and tailor their treatment plan accordingly. The goal of risk stratification is to do just that. The risk stratification process generally starts postoperatively with histopathologic staging, based on the AJCC/UICC staging system as well as others designed to predict mortality. These do not, however, accurately assess the risk of recurrence/persistence. Patients initially considered to be at high risk may ultimately do very well yet be burdened by frequent unnecessary monitoring. Conversely, patients initially thought to be low risk, may not respond to their initial treatment as expected and, if left unmonitored, may have higher morbidity. The concept of risk-adaptive management has been adopted, with an understanding that risk stratification for differentiated thyroid cancer is dynamic and ongoing. A multitude of variables not included in AJCC/UICC staging are used initially to classify patients as low, intermediate, or high risk for recurrence. Over the course of time, a response-to-therapy variable is incorporated, and patients essentially undergo continuous risk stratification. Additional tools such as biochemical markers, genetic mutations, and molecular markers have been added to this complex risk stratification process such that this is essentially a continuum of risk. In recent years, additional considerations have been discussed with a suggestion of pre-operative risk stratification based on certain clinical and/or biologic characteristics. With the increasing prevalence of thyroid cancer but stable mortality, this risk stratification may identify those in whom the risk of conventional surgical treatment may outweigh the benefit. This review aims to outline the process of risk stratification and highlight the important concepts that are involved and those that are continuously evolving.

Low postoperative nonstimulated thyroglobulin as a criterion to spare radioiodine ablation

This study evaluated the recurrence rate in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) who had low nonstimulated thyroglobulin (Tg), measured with a second-generation assay, after total thyroidectomy and who were not submitted to ablation with (131)I. The objective was to define whether low postoperative nonstimulated Tg can be used as a criterion to spare patients with PTC from therapy with (131)I. This was a prospective study including 222 patients with PTC (except for microcarcinoma restricted to the thyroid and tumor with extensive extrathyroid invasion (pT4), aggressive histology, extensive lymph node (LN) involvement, or known residual disease). After thyroidectomy, all patients had nonstimulated Tg<0.3 ng/ml, negative antithyroglobulin antibodies (TgAb) and neck ultrasonography (US) showing no anomalies. Because of this finding, the patients were not submitted to ablation with (131)I. The time of follow-up ranged from 15 to 102 months (median 62 months). Of the 222 patients, 217 (97.7%) continued to have nonstimulated Tg <0.3 ng/ml and negative US. Tg was undetectable in the last assessment in 185 of these patients and detectable in 32. Five patients (2.2%) exhibited an increase in Tg, and LN metastases were detected in 4 (structural recurrence). One patient progressed to an increase in Tg, but disease was not detected by the imaging methods (biochemical recurrence). The results obtained here suggest that patients with PTC who have low nonstimulated Tg (measured with a second-generation assay and in the absence of TgAb) and negative neck US after thyroidectomy do not require ablation with (131)I.