Development and validation of two models for early prediction of response to therapy in genotype 1 chronic hepatitis C

Prediction of week 4 virological response in hepatitis C for making decision on triple therapy: the Optim study

BACKGROUND

Virological response to peginterferon + ribavirin (P+R) at week 4 can predict sustained virological response (SVR). While patients with rapid virological response (RVR) do not require triple therapy, patients with a decline <1 log10 IU/ml HCVRNA (D1L) should have treatment discontinued due to low SVR rate.

AIM

To develop a tool to predict first 4 weeks' viral response in patients with hepatitis C genotype 1&4 treated with P+R.

METHODS

In this prospective and multicenter study, HCV mono-infected (n=538) and HCV/HIV co-infected (n=186) patients were included. To develop and validate a prognostic tool to detect RVR and D1L, we segregated the patients as an estimation cohort (to construct the model) and a validation cohort (to validate the model).

RESULTS

D1L was reached in 509 (80.2%) and RVR in 148 (22.5%) patients. Multivariate analyses demonstrated that HIV co-infection, Forns' index, LVL, IL28B-CC and Genotype-1 were independently related to RVR as well as D1L. Diagnostic accuracy (AUROC) for D1L was: 0.81 (95%CI: 0.76 ̶ 0.86) in the estimation cohort and 0.71 (95%CI: 0.62 ̶ 0.79) in the validation cohort; RVR prediction: AUROC 0.83 (95%CI: 0.78 ̶ 0.88) in the estimation cohort and 0.82 (95%CI: 0.76 ̶ 0.88) in the validation cohort. Cost-analysis of standard 48-week treatment indicated a saving of 30.3% if the prognostic tool is implemented.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of genetic (IL28B polymorphism) and viral genotype together with viral load, HIV co-infection and fibrosis stage defined a tool able to predict RVR and D1L at week 4. Using this tool would be a cost-saving strategy compared to universal triple therapy for hepatitis C.

IL28B polymorphism genotyping as predictor of rapid virologic response during interferon plus ribavirin treatment in hepatitis C virus genotype 1 patients

AIM

To clarify the association of interleukin-28B (IL28B) single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with hepatitis C virus (HCV) viremia changes for assessment of interferon (IFN) response.

METHODS

A cohort of 118 Caucasian treatment-naïve HCV-G1 infected patients, treated with pegylated-IFN alpha 2a or 2b associated with ribavirin (53 responders, 65 non-responders) during the period 2010-2012, were genotyped for IL28B SNPs rs12979860 C>T and rs8099917 T>G. Genotyping was performed by real-time allelic discrimination assay. Serum HCV RNA levels were assayed at 2, 4, 12, 24 and 48 wk during therapy. Correlation between IL28B genotypes and serum HCV RNA kinetics was investigated. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of null-response.

RESULTS

Twenty-six out of 118 patients (22%) had no HCV RNA decline ≥ 1 log IU/mL at therapy week 4 (null-responders). IL28B genotype was rs8099917 (G)/rs1297860 in 21/26 (80%) of null-responder patients. Using multivariate analysis, it was shown that the presence of the rs8099917 G allele was the best predictor of null-response (OR = 7.9, 95%CI: 1.99-31.18). The presence of at least one favorable genotype showed a positive predictive value of above 90% for HCV RNA reduction ≥ log at week 4. Analysis of the HCV RNA kinetics during 12 wk of therapy in patients with IL28B rs12979860 CT heterozygosis (n = 73), according to their rs8099917 status, showed that the viremia reduction was significantly different in patients carrying the rs8099917 G allele compared to those with favorable homozygosis.

CONCLUSION

Our findings emphasize the association of the IL28B rs8099917 G allele with HCV. Genotyping for both IL28B SNPs is useful in clinical practice for thorough patient risk stratification based on IFN responsiveness.

Relevance of baseline viral genetic heterogeneity and host factors for treatment outcome prediction in hepatitis C virus 1b-infected patients

BACKGROUND

Only about 50% of patients chronically infected with HCV genotype 1 (HCV-1) respond to treatment with pegylated interferon-alfa and ribavirin (dual therapy), and protease inhibitors have to be administered together with these drugs increasing costs and side-effects. We aimed to develop a predictive model of treatment response based on a combination of baseline clinical and viral parameters.

METHODOLOGY

Seventy-four patients chronically infected with HCV-1b and treated with dual therapy were studied (53 retrospectively -training group-, and 21 prospectively -validation group-). Host and viral-related factors (viral load, and genetic variability in the E1-E2, core and Interferon Sensitivity Determining Region) were assessed. Multivariate discriminant analysis and decision tree analysis were used to develop predictive models on the training group, which were then validated in the validation group.

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

A multivariate discriminant predictive model was generated including the following variables in decreasing order of significance: the number of viral variants in the E1-E2 region, an amino acid substitution pattern in the viral core region, the IL28B polymorphism, serum GGT and ALT levels, and viral load. Using this model treatment outcome was accurately predicted in the training group (AUROC = 0.9444; 96.3% specificity, 94.7% PPV, 75% sensitivity, 81% NPV), and the accuracy remained high in the validation group (AUROC = 0.8148, 88.9% specificity, 90.0% PPV, 75.0% sensitivity, 72.7% NPV). A second model was obtained by a decision tree analysis and showed a similarly high accuracy in the training group but a worse reproducibility in the validation group (AUROC = 0.9072 vs. 0.7361, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS AND SIGNIFICANCE

The baseline predictive models obtained including both host and viral variables had a high positive predictive value in our population of Spanish HCV-1b treatment naïve patients. Accurately identifying those patients that would respond to the dual therapy could help reducing implementation costs and additional side effects of new treatment regimens.

Baseline factors and early viral response (week 4) to antiviral therapy with peginterferon and ribavirin for predicting sustained virologic response in patients infected with hepatitis C virus genotype 1: a multicenter study

Both baseline predictive factors and viral response at week 4 of therapy are reported to have high predictive ability for sustained virologic response to peginterferon and ribavirin combination therapy in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1. However, it is not clear how these baseline variables and week 4 response should be combined to predict sustained virologic response. In this multicenter study, the authors investigated the impact of baseline predictive factors on the predictive value of week 4 viral response. Receiver-operating characteristic curve analyses were performed to evaluate the ability of week 4 reduction in HCV RNA levels to predict sustained virologic response in 293 Japanese patients infected with HCV genotype 1b. Analyses were performed in all patients and in patient subgroups stratified according to baseline variables. Overall, week 4 viral reduction demonstrates a high predictive ability for sustained virologic response. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value, and accuracy were higher than those of viral reduction at week 12. However, the best cut-off levels differ depending on the baseline factors and they were lower in patients with unfavorable baseline predictors. When patients had the TG/GG rs8099917 genotype, the best cut-off was markedly low with low PPV. Week 4 viral response can be a predictor of sustained virologic response in patients with HCV genotype 1 and is better than week 12 viral response. However, the cut-off levels should be modified based on the baseline predictive variables.

Significance of a reduction in HCV RNA levels at 4 and 12 weeks in patients infected with HCV genotype 1b for the prediction of the outcome of combination therapy with peginterferon and ribavirin

Background

The importance of the reduction in hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA levels 4 and 12 weeks after starting peginterferon (PEG-IFN) and ribavirin combination therapy has been reported to predict a sustained virologic response (SVR) in patients infected with HCV genotype 1. We conducted a multicenter study to validate this importance along with baseline predictive factors in this patient subpopulation.

Methods

A total of 516 patients with HCV genotype 1 and pretreatment HCV RNA levels ≥5.0 log₁₀ IU/mL who completed response-guided therapy according to the AASLD guidelines were enrolled. The reduction in serum HCV RNA levels 4 and 12 weeks after starting therapy was measured using real-time PCR, and its value in predicting the likelihood of SVR was evaluated.

Results

The area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was 0.852 for 4-week reduction and 0.826 for 12-week reduction of HCV RNA levels, respectively. When the cut-off is fixed at a 2.8-log₁₀ reduction at 4 weeks and a 4.9-log₁₀ reduction at 12 weeks on the basis of ROC analysis, the sensitivity and specificity for SVR were 80.9% and 77.9% at 4 weeks and were 89.0% and 67.2% at 12 weeks, respectively. These variables were independent factors associated with SVR in multivariate analysis. Among 99 patients who showed a delayed virologic response and completed 72-week extended regimen, the area under ROC curve was low: 0.516 for 4-week reduction and 0.482 for 12-week reduction of HCV RNA levels, respectively.

Conclusions

The reduction in HCV RNA levels 4 and 12 weeks after starting combination therapy is a strong independent predictor for SVR overall. These variables were not useful for predicting SVR in patients who showed a slow virologic response and experienced 72-week extended regimen.

[Analysis of the results of the 2010 External Quality Control Program of the Spanish Society of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology for HIV-1, HCV, and HBV viral loads]

Human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) and hepatitis B (HBV) and C virus (HCV) viral load determinations are among the most important markers for the follow-up of patients infected with these viruses. External quality control tools are crucial to ensure the accuracy of the results obtained by microbiology laboratories. This article summarized the results obtained in the 2010 External Quality Control Program of the Spanish Society of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology for HIV-1, HCV, and HBV viral loads and HCV genotyping. In the HIV-1 program, a total of five standards were sent. One standard consisted of seronegative human plasma, while the remaining four contained plasma from three different viremic patients, in the range of 3-5 log(10) copies/mL; two of these standards were identical, with the aim of determining repeatability. A significant proportion of the laboratories (22.6% on average) obtained values out of the accepted range (mean ± 0.2 log(10)copies/mL), depending on the standard and on the method used for quantification. Repeatability was very good, with up to 95% of laboratories reporting results within the limits (Δ<0.5 log(10)copies/mL). The HBV and HCV program consisted of two standards with different viral load contents. Most of the participants, 86.1% in the case of HCV and 87.1% in HBV, obtained all the results within the accepted range (mean ± 1.96 SD log(10)UI/mL). Post-analytical errors due to mistranscription of the results were detected in these controls. Data from this analysis reinforce the utility of proficiency programs to ensure the quality of the results obtained by a particular laboratory, as well as the importance of the post-analytical phase in overall quality. Due to interlaboratory variability, use of the same method and the same laboratory for patient follow-up is advisable.

Predictive value of early viral dynamics during peginterferon and ribavirin combination therapy based on genetic polymorphisms near the IL28B gene in patients infected with HCV genotype 1b

A study was carried out to determine whether early viral dynamics retain prediction of the outcome of peginterferon (PEG-IFN) and ribavirin combination therapy based on different genetic polymorphisms near the IL28B gene, the strongest baseline predictor of response to this therapy. A total of 272 patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1b were grouped according to genetic polymorphisms near the IL28B gene (rs8099917). The ability of reduced HCV RNA levels at 4 and 12 weeks after starting therapy to predict a sustained virologic response was evaluated based on these genotypes. Among patients with the TT genotype for rs8099917 (associated with a favorable response), the rates of sustained virologic response were higher in patients with a ≥3 log(10) reduction in serum HCV RNA levels at 4 weeks after starting therapy (P < 0.0001). In contrast, among patients with the TG/GG genotype (associated with an unfavorable response), there were no differences in this rate based on the reduction in HCV RNA levels at 4 weeks. Early viral dynamics at 4 weeks after starting therapy retains its predictive value for sustained virologic response in patients with the TT genotype for rs8099917, but not in patients with the TG/GG genotype. Patients who are likely to achieve sustained virologic response despite unfavorable TG/GG genotype cannot be identified based on early viral dynamics during therapy. In contrast, lack of early virologic response at 12 weeks retains a strong predictive value for the failure of sustained virologic response regardless of IL28B polymorphisms, which remains useful as a factor to stop therapy.

[Current options for predicting therapeutic response in chronically infected patients with hepatitis C virus genotype 1]

Only about 50% of patients chronically infected with hepatitis C virus genotype 1 achieve a successful response to standard treatment with pegylated interferon-alfa and ribavirin. Moreover, the recently approved protease inhibitors will have to be administered together with these drugs. Consequently, predicting response to standard treatment, ideally before starting it, remains an important challenge. Although several baseline predictors of treatment failure have been described, including clinical and virological factors, none of them is able to provide reliable predictions at the individual level. In addition, the development of multivariate models combining several predictive factors has not yet yielded predictions with the requisite reliability for use in clinical practice. Therefore, further research is needed to improve predictive models and to describe new factors that would enable us to predict treatment outcome with greater reliability and reproducibility. The development of candidate selection algorithms that help clinicians to identify which patients could benefit from the new therapies on the basis of their chances of responding to standard therapy is of major interest for both patient well-being and healthcare expense. This review attempts to provide a view of the current options for predicting the response to pegylated interferon-alfa plus ribavirin therapy in patients chronically infected with hepatitis C virus genotype 1.

Cholesterol and chronic hepatitis C virus infection

Cholesterol is an essential molecule for the life cycle of the hepatitis C virus (HCV). This review focuses on the roles of cholesterol in HCV infection and introduces HCV events related to cholesterol metabolism and applications for cholesterol metabolism as a therapeutic target. HCV appears to alter host lipid metabolism into its preferable state, which is clinically recognized as steatosis and hypocholesterolemia. While hepatic fatty acid and triglyceride syntheses are upregulated in chronic hepatitis C patients, no direct evidence of increased hepatic de novo cholesterol biosynthesis has been obtained. Impaired VLDL secretion from hepatocytes is suggested to increase intracellular cholesterol concentrations, which may lead to hypocholesterolemia. Clinically, lower serum cholesterol levels are associated with lower rates of sustained virological responses (SVR) to pegylated-interferon plus ribavirin therapy, but the reason remains unclear. Clinical trials targeting HMG-CoA reductase, the rate-limiting enzyme in the cholesterol biosynthetic pathway, are being conducted using statins. Anti-HCV actions by statins appear to be caused by the inhibition of geranylgeranyl pyrophosphate synthesis rather than their cholesterol lowering effects. Other compounds that block various steps of cholesterol metabolic pathways have also been studied to develop new strategies for the complete eradication of this virus.

Sustained virological response of patients with hepatitis C virus genotype 2 depends on pegylated interferon compliance

AIM

  Patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 2 are more sensitive to interferon (IFN) therapy than those infected with genotype 1, but 10-20% of patients do not achieve a sustained viral response (SVR) to combination therapy with pegylated (PEG) IFN and ribavirin (RBV). This study examines the prognostic factors associated with SVR in patients infected with HCV genotype 2 treated with PEG IFN and RBV.

METHODS

  We treated 149 patients with chronic hepatitis C caused by HCV genotype 2. The patients received s.c. PEG IFN-α-2b (1.5 µg/kg) and a weekly weight-adjusted dose of RBV (600, 800 and 1000 mg per <60, 60-80 and >80 kg, respectively) for 24 weeks and then prognostic factors associated with the SVR were examined.

RESULTS

  Among the 149 patients, 138 completed the combination therapy and a sustained viral response was achieved in 71.8% of them. Univariate analysis showed that age, as well as mean RBV and PEG IFN doses were factors affecting the SVR (P = 0.012, =0.021, =0.014). Multivariate analysis identified age and mean PEG IFN dose (P = 0.021, =0.018, respectively) as factors involved in the SVR, but not mean RBV dose.

CONCLUSION

  The SVR of patients infected with HCV genotype 2 depended on the dosage of PEG IFN, but not of RBV. Selecting sufficient doses of PEG IFN for combination with RBV is critical for treating such patients.

[Analysis of the results of the HIV-1 and HCV viral load of the SEIMC External Quality Control Program. Year 2009]

Human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) viral load determinations are among the most important markers in the follow-up of patients infected with these viruses. External quality control tools are crucial to ensure the accuracy of the results obtained by microbiology laboratories. This article summarizes the results obtained from the SEIMC's External Quality Control Program for HIV-1 and HCV viral loads in 2009. In the HIV-1 program, a total of five standards were sent. One standard consisted of seronegative human plasma, while the remaining four contained plasma from three different viremic patients, in the range of 2-5 log(10) copies/mL; two of these standards were identical, aiming to determine repeatability. A significant proportion of the laboratories (21.5% on average) obtained values outside the accepted range (mean ± 0.2 log(10) copies/mL), depending on the standard and on the method used for quantification. Repeatability was very good, with up to 95 % of laboratories reporting results within the accepted limits (Δ<0.5 log10 copies/mL). Post-analytical errors due to mistranscription of the results were detected for HIV-1. The HCV program consisted of two standards with different viral load contents. Most of the participants (79.7%) obtained results within the accepted range (mean ± 1.96 SD log(10) UI/mL). Data from this analysis reinforce the utility of proficiency programs to ensure the quality of the results obtained by a particular laboratory, as well as the importance of the post-analytical phase in overall quality. Due to marked interlaboratory variability, use of the same method and the same laboratory for patient follow-up is advisable.

High ability to predict the treatment outcome of peginterferon and ribavirin combination therapy based on the reduction in HCV RNA levels at 4 weeks after starting therapy and amino acid substitutions in the hepatitis C virus in patients infected with HCV genotype 1b

BACKGROUND

The ability to predict the outcome of peginterferon (PEG-IFN) and ribavirin combination therapy based on the reduction in hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA levels at 4 weeks after starting the therapy and amino acid substitutions in HCV was to be confirmed.

METHODS

We measured the reduction in HCV RNA levels at 4 weeks after starting the combination therapy, as well as examining amino acid substitutions at residue 70 in the HCV core and within the interferon sensitivity-determining region (ISDR) of HCV non-structural protein 5A (NS5A), for 101 patients infected with HCV genotype 1b. The ability of these factors to predict a sustained virologic response (SVR) was analyzed.

RESULTS

When a 3 log(10) reduction in HCV RNA levels at 4 weeks after starting therapy was set as the cut-off value, an SVR was achieved in 37 of the 46 patients (80.4%) with a ≥3 log(10) decrease and in 4 of the 55 patients (7.3%) with a <3 log(10) decrease. All 4 patients who achieved an SVR despite a <3 log(10) reduction in HCV RNA levels at 4 weeks had an arginine at residue 70 in the HCV core and a non-wild-type sequence for the ISDR of HCV NS5A.

CONCLUSION

A ≥3 log(10) reduction in HCV RNA levels at 4 weeks after starting therapy indicates that a patient has a high likelihood of achieving an SVR as a final outcome. Additional information on the amino acid substitutions at residue 70 in the HCV core and within NS5A-ISDR will further increase the ability to predict a clinical response.

Peginterferon and ribavirin treatment for hepatitis C virus infection

Pegylated interferon α (IFNα) in combination with ribavirin is currently recommended as a standard-of-care treatment for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. This combination therapy has drastically improved the rate of sustained virological response, specifically in difficult-to-treat patients. Recently, individualized treatment, such as response-guided therapy, is being developed based on host-, HCV- and treatment-related factors. Furthermore, modified regimens with currently available medications, novel modified IFNα and ribavirin or combinations with specifically targeted antiviral therapy for HCV agents, are currently being investigated. The purpose of this review is to address some issues and epoch-making topics in the treatment of chronic HCV infection, and to discuss more optimal and highly individualized therapeutic strategies for HCV-infected patients.

Baseline prediction of combination therapy outcome in hepatitis C virus 1b infected patients by discriminant analysis using viral and host factors

Background

Current treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has limited efficacy −especially among genotype 1 infected patients−, is costly, and involves severe side effects. Thus, predicting non-response is of major interest for both patient wellbeing and health care expense. At present, treatment cannot be individualized on the basis of any baseline predictor of response. We aimed to identify pre-treatment clinical and virological parameters associated with treatment failure, as well as to assess whether therapy outcome could be predicted at baseline.

Methodology

Forty-three HCV subtype 1b (HCV-1b) chronically infected patients treated with pegylated-interferon alpha plus ribavirin were retrospectively studied (21 responders and 22 non-responders). Host (gender, age, weight, transaminase levels, fibrosis stage, and source of infection) and viral-related factors (viral load, and genetic variability in the E1–E2 and Core regions) were assessed. Logistic regression and discriminant analyses were used to develop predictive models. A “leave-one-out” cross-validation method was used to assess the reliability of the discriminant models.

Principal Findings

Lower alanine transaminase levels (ALT, p = 0.009), a higher number of quasispecies variants in the E1–E2 region (number of haplotypes, nHap_E1–E2) (p = 0.003), and the absence of both amino acid arginine at position 70 and leucine at position 91 in the Core region (p = 0.039) were significantly associated with treatment failure. Therapy outcome was most accurately predicted by discriminant analysis (90.5% sensitivity and 95.5% specificity, 85.7% sensitivity and 81.8% specificity after cross-validation); the most significant variables included in the predictive model were the Core amino acid pattern, the nHap_E1–E2, and gamma-glutamyl transferase and ALT levels.

Conclusions and Significance

Discriminant analysis has been shown as a useful tool to predict treatment outcome using baseline HCV genetic variability and host characteristics. The discriminant models obtained in this study led to accurate predictions in our population of Spanish HCV-1b treatment naïve patients.

Associations between serum lipids and hepatitis C antiviral treatment efficacy

Approximately one half of patients who undergo antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1 infection do not respond to treatment. African Americans (AAs) are less responsive to treatment than Caucasian Americans (CAs), but the reasons for this disparity are largely unknown. Recent studies suggest that serum lipids may be associated with treatment response. The aims of this study were to evaluate baseline and changes in serum lipids during therapy, determine whether serum lipids are associated with virological response, and assess whether these measures explain the racial difference in efficacy. The study participants were from Virahep-C, a prospective study of treatment-naïve patients with genotype 1 HCV infection who received peginterferon (PEG-IN) alfa-2a plus ribavirin therapy for up to 48 weeks. Fasting serum lipids were analyzed at baseline and during and after therapy in 160 AAs and 170 CAs. A relative risk (RR) model was employed to evaluate characteristics associated with sustained virological response (SVR). Antiviral therapy was associated with changes in serum lipids during and after antiviral therapy, with the changes differing by race and the amount of PEG-IFN taken. Baseline lipid measures independently associated with higher rates of SVR were lower triglyceride and higher low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, with an interaction between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDLc) and gender. Lipid measures did not contribute significantly to an explanation of the racial difference in SVR.

CONCLUSION

Serum lipids are associated with SVR, although these paramaters did not explain the racial difference in treatment response. The results of this study are compatible with proposed biological mechanisms of HCV entry, replication, and secretion, and may underscore new potential therapeutic targets for HCV eradication.

Serum cholesterol and statin use predict virological response to peginterferon and ribavirin therapy

Elevated low-density lipoprotein (LDL) levels and statin use have been associated with higher sustained virological response (SVR) rates in patients receiving chronic hepatitis C therapy. However, these relationships have not been well characterized in randomized controlled trials. Furthermore, little is known about the relationship between high-density lipoprotein (HDL) and virological response. To determine whether baseline LDL or HDL levels and statin use affect SVR rates, we retrospectively evaluated the IDEAL (Individualized Dosing Efficacy Versus Flat Dosing to Assess Optimal Pegylated Interferon Therapy) trial, in which 3070 treatment-naive, hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1-infected patients were treated for up to 48 weeks in one of the following arms: (1) peginterferon (PEG-IFN) alfa-2b at 1.5 microg/kg/week with ribavirin (RBV) at 800 to 1400 mg/day, (2) PEG-IFN alfa-2b at 1.0 microg/kg/week with RBV at 800 to 1400 mg/day, or (3) PEG-IFN alfa-2a at 180 microg/week with RBV at 1000 to 1200 mg/day. Virological responses were assessed by pretreatment statin use and baseline elevated LDL levels (> or =130 mg/dL) or low HDL levels (<40 mg/dL for men and <50 mg/dL for women). In 1464 patients with baseline elevated LDL levels or low HDL levels, the SVR rate was significantly higher than that in patients with normal levels (44.9% versus 34.0%, P < 0.001). In 66 patients receiving a statin pretreatment, the SVR rate was higher than the rate of those not receiving it (53.0% versus 39.3%, P = 0.02). In a multivariate logistic regression analysis using the stepwise selection method with baseline characteristics, a high LDL level [odds ratio (OR) = 1.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.4-1.8, P < 0.001], a low HDL level (OR = 0.5, 95% CI = 0.3-0.8, P = 0.004), and statin use (OR = 2.0, 95% CI = 1.1-3.7, P = 0.02) were independently associated with SVR.

CONCLUSION

Baseline elevated LDL levels or low HDL levels and preemptive statin usage were associated with higher SVR rates. Prospective studies may be considered to explore the biological impact of these factors on HCV RNA replication and treatment response.

Peginterferon alpha-2b and ribavirin for the treatment of chronic hepatitis C in Japanese pediatric and young adult patients: a survey of the Japan Society of Pediatric Hepatology

OBJECTIVES

Only a few studies on the treatment with peginterferon-2b and ribavirin are available in children with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV). The aim of this study was to evaluate both the efficacy and the safety of the treatment in Japanese children and young adults.

METHODS

Twenty-two of 41 members of the Japan Society of Pediatric Hepatology reported on 37 cases who were treated with peginterferon and ribavirin.

RESULTS

Of the 37 patients, 29 have completed the treatment and all of them cleared the HCV virus. Three patients are still being treated, whereas the remaining five failed to complete the treatment. Cessation of the treatment was because of the nonresponsiveness (n=3), the expense of the treatment (n = 1), or lethargy (n=1). After excluding the three patients, who were continuing the treatment and one who has not completed the 24-week follow-up period, from the 37 patients, 33 were available for sustained virologic response (SVR) analysis. After 4 weeks of follow-up, one of the 33 relapsed. An intention-to-treat analysis showed that 27 of the 33 (81.8%) achieved a SVR. The only factor significantly associated with SVR was their virologic response status at week 4.

CONCLUSION

The results showed that the present patients infected with HCV and treated with peginterferon-2b and ribavirin achieved a remarkably high SVR rate. In addition, most of the patients achieved a SVR once they showed a virologic response at week 4. The combination of peginterferon-alpha with ribavirin may be considered as a standard therapy for children and young adults.

APRI as a predictor of early viral response in chronic hepatitis C patients

AIM: To evaluate the aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI) as a predictive factor of early viral response in chronic hepatitis C naive patients.

METHODS: We performed an ambispective case-control study. We enrolled chronic hepatitis C naive patients who were evaluated to start therapy with PEGylated interferon α-2b (1.5 μg/kg per week) and ribavirin (> 75 kg: 1200 mg and < 75 kg: 1000 mg). Patients were allocated into two groups, group 1: Hepatitis C patients with early viral response (EVR), group 2: Patients without EVR. Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated to assess the relationship between each risk factor and the EVR in both groups.

RESULTS: During the study, 80 patients were analyzed, 45 retrospectively and 35 prospectively. The mean ± SD age of our subjects was 42.9 ± 12 years; weight 70 kg (± 11.19), AST 64.6 IU/mL (± 48.74), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) 76.3 IU/mL (± 63.08) and platelets 209 000 mill/mm³ (± 84 429). Fifty-five (68.8%) were genotype 1 and 25 (31.3%) were genotype 2 or 3; the mean hepatitis C virus RNA viral load was 2 269 061 IU/mL (± 7 220 266). In the univariate analysis, APRI was not associated with EVR [OR 0.61 (95% CI 0.229-1.655, P = 0.33)], and the absence of EVR was only associated with genotype 1 [OR 0.28 (95% CI 0.08-0.94, P = 0.034)]. After adjustment in a logistic regression model, genotype 1 remains significant.

CONCLUSION: APRI was not a predictor of EVR in chronic hepatitis C; Genotype 1 was the only predictive factor associated with the absence of EVR in our patients.

Systematic review: non-invasive methods of fibrosis analysis in chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Accurate determination of the presence and degree of liver fibrosis is essential for prognosis and for planning treatment of patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV). Non-invasive methods of assessing fibrosis have been developed to reduce the need for biopsy.

AIM

To perform a review of these non-invasive measures and their ability to replace biopsy for assessing hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic HCV.

METHODS

A systematic review of PUBMED and EMBASE was performed through 2008 using the following search terms: HCV, liver, elastography, hepatitis, Fibroscan, SPECT, noninvasive liver fibrosis, ultrasonography, Doppler, MRI, Fibrotest, Fibrosure, Actitest, APRI, Forns and breath tests, alone or in combination.

RESULTS

We identified 151 studies: 87 using biochemical, 57 imaging and seven breath tests either alone or in combination.

CONCLUSIONS

Great strides are being made in the development of accurate non-invasive methods for determination of fibrosis. Although no single non-invasive test or model developed to date can match that information obtained from actual histology (i.e. inflammation, fibrosis, steatosis), combinations of two modalities of non-invasive methods can reliably differentiate between minimal and significant fibrosis, and thereby avoid liver biopsy in a significant percentage of patients.

Clinical performances of two real-time PCR assays and bDNA/TMA to early monitor treatment outcome in patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Early viral monitoring is essential for the management of treatment outcome in patients with chronic hepatitis C. A variety of commercially available assays are now available to quantify HCV-RNA in routine clinical practice.

OBJECTIVES

Compare the clinical results of 3 commercially available assays to evaluate the positive predictive value (PPV) and the negative predictive value (NPV) of rapid virological response (RVR) at week 4 and early virological response (EVR) at week 12.

STUDY DESIGN

287 patients treated with standard care regimen combination therapy were studied. HCV-RNA values measured at baseline, week 4, week 12 with VERSANT HCV 3.0 Assay (bDNA), and VERSANT HCV-RNA Qualitative Assay (TMA) (bDNA/TMA); COBAS Ampliprep/COBAS/TaqMan (CAP/CTM) and Abbott m2000sp extraction/m2000rt amplification system (ART). RVR was defined as undetectable serum HCV-RNA and EVR as a > OR =2 log decline in baseline viral load (BLV).

RESULTS

Median (range) BVLs were: 5.585(2.585-6.816), 5.189(2.792-7.747) and 4.804(2.380-6.580) log(10)IU/ml, with bDNA/TMA, CAP/CTM and ART, respectively (p<0.01); RVR was observed in 22%, 30% and 27% of the patients and PPVs were 97%, 91% and 94% with bDNA/TMA, CAP/CTM and ART, respectively (p=0.317). EVR was observed in 76%, 73% and 67% of the patients and NPVs were 93%, 83% and 79% with bDNA/TMA, CAP/CTM and ART, respectively (p=0.09).

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment monitoring should include both detection of serum HCV-RNA at week 4 to predict SVR and at week 12 to predict non-SVR. The value of all 3 assays was similar for evaluating RVR or EVR. Because of viral load discrepancies the same assay should be used throughout patient treatment follow-up.

Elevation of serum gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase activity is frequent in chronic hepatitis C, and is associated with insulin resistance

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Serum gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase level is often increased in patients with chronic hepatitis C, and we aimed to identify factors associated with this phenomenon in patients completely abstinent from alcohol (teetotaller).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

71 teetotaller patients have been identified by personal history, questioning of relatives, CAGE questionnaire administration and unscheduled alcoholemia measurements.

RESULTS

39 patients (55%) had elevated (>50IU/L) gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase level. Body mass index, insulin and C-peptide level, insulin resistance, piecemeal necrosis score > or =3, fibrosis score > or =2 and steatosis score > or =1 were significantly higher in these patients than in those (n=32) with normal gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase. At multiple linear regression analysis gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase level was associated with C-peptide level, insulin resistance and histopathologic grading. At multiple logistic regression analysis, C-peptide level (OR=2.13) and piecemeal necrosis score > or =3 (OR=4.59) were the only factors independently associated with elevated gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase. Sustained virological response during pegylated interferon plus ribavirine treatment was achieved by 97% and 49% patients with normal and elevated gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase, respectively (p=0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Serum gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase level is often elevated in chronic hepatitis C and is associated with metabolic and inflammatory factors; this phenomenon may contribute to explain and to predict resistance to treatment in this subgroup of patients.

Short-term prolongation of pegylated interferon and ribavirin therapy for genotype 1b chronic hepatitis C patients with early viral response

AIM

We tailored extended treatments using pegylated interferon (PEG IFN) and ribavirin (RBV) to viral responses after initiation of therapy and investigated the efficacy and safety of its therapy for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients.

METHODS

Eighty-two genotype 1b CHC patients were enrolled in the present study. All patients received PEG IFN-alpha-2b and weight-based RBV therapy. We defined a viral response in which serum HCV-RNA is undetectable at week 4 as rapid viral response (RVR), detectable at week 4 and undetectable by week 12 as early viral response (EVR), and detectable at week 12 and undetectable by week 24 as late viral response (LVR). We set the treatment duration depending on viral response; 48 weeks for RVR patients and 72 weeks for LVR. Furthermore, EVR patients received a short-term extension of treatment duration to 52-60 weeks. We prospectively investigated sustained viral response (SVR) rates of these groups.

RESULTS

Overall SVR rate for the total patient group was 57.3%. SVR rates of the RVR, EVR and LVR patients were 100%, 80.5% and 40.0%, respectively. Nine patients could not complete this treatment protocol. Baseline platelet count and mutation in the interferon sensitivity-determining region of NS5A were significant independent predictors of SVR, and amino acid substitution of the core region was a significant independent predictor of non-viral response by multivariate logistic regression analyses.

CONCLUSION

The results indicate that short-treatment extension of PEG IFN plus RBV treatment protocols in EVR patients can improve overall SVR rates.

Positive and negative prediction of sustained virologic response at weeks 2 and 4 of treatment with albinterferon alfa-2b or peginterferon alfa-2a in treatment-naïve patients with genotype 1, chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Albinterferon alfa-2b is a novel, long-acting, fusion polypeptide that is dosed q2wk or q4wk. The predictive value of early virologic response during albinterferon alfa-2b or peginterferon alfa-2a treatment was investigated in interferon-naïve patients with genotype 1, chronic hepatitis C.

METHODS

Four hundred and fifty-eight patients were randomized to: albinterferon 900 or 1200 microg q2wk, or 1200 microg q4wk, or peginterferon 180 microg qwk. HCV RNA was measured by real-time PCR. A linear exhaustive search algorithm was used to determine the best SVR prediction algorithm in the per-protocol population (n=368), with inclusion of key ITT analyses to assess impact.

RESULTS

SVR rate: 54-67% (P=NS between arms). Rapid initial virologic response rate at week 2 (RIVR; viral decline >2 log(10)IU/mL) was 32-50% and gave rise to positive predictive value of 88-97% for SVR. No initial virologic response at week 4 (NIVR; viral decline <2 log(10)IU/mL; viral load >5.5 log(10)IU/mL) demonstrated a 100% negative predictive value for SVR. A sequential prediction algorithm based on viral kinetics at weeks 2 and 4 identified four prediction groups that reliably predicted SVR, positively or negatively, in 65-72% of patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Improved SVR prediction was obtained by integrating absolute levels and reduction of HCV RNA at treatment week 2 and 4. Patients with RIVR had a high likelihood of achieving SVR.

Virological response at 4 weeks to predict outcome of hepatitis C treatment with pegylated interferon and ribavirin

Background

Viral kinetics during therapy provides information on how to individualize treatment. To determine the benefit of assessing positive predictive values (PPVs) and negative predictive values (NPVs) of rapid virological responses (RVRs) and early virological responses (EVRs), on-treatment outcomes in chronic hepatitis C patients were examined.

Methods

A total of 408 patients (221 treatment-naive) treated with pegylated interferon-α2b and ribavirin were included. Hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA was measured at baseline, 4 weeks and 12 weeks. RVR was defined as undetectable HCV RNA at 4 weeks and EVR as ≥2 log10 decrease in HCV RNA at 12 weeks. The additive value of RVR on predicting sustained virological response (SVR) was assessed with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

Results

SVR, RVR and EVR were observed in 46%, 23% and 78% of patients, respectively. PPVs of RVR were 96%, 100% and 100% in treatment-naive patients, relapsers and non-responders, respectively. NPVs of failure to achieve EVR were 97%, 75% and 91%, in treatment- naive patients, relapsers and non-responders, respectively. At 4 weeks, patients with RVR had the highest probability to achieve SVR (odds ratio 44.98 in the entire population and 32.95 in treatment-naive patients). ROC curves showed the area under the ROC curve to be 0.758 versus 0.832 in the entire population and 0.795 versus 0.858 in treatment-naive patients at baseline versus week 4, respectively.

Conclusions

RVR is a strong predictor of SVR (PPV>96%) and failure to achieve EVR is a strong predictor of non-SVR (NPV>75%), independent of patients’ pretreatment status. Added to baseline characteristics, RVR increased the accuracy to predict SVR. The combination of RVR and EVR provided complementary information, and thus provides a key opportunity to individualize treatment and improve the benefit/risk ratio of therapy.

Response to pegylated interferon plus ribavirin in HIV-infected patients with chronic hepatitis C due to genotype 4

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotypes 1 and 4 respond less well to pegylated interferon (pegIFN) plus ribavirin (RBV) therapy. For this reason most studies merge these two genotypes when assessing virological response. However, in most trials the HCV genotype 4 population is rather small, and conclusions are mainly derived from what occurs in HCV-1 patients. All HCV-4 patients coinfected with HIV who received pegIFN plus RBV in two different multicentre studies, PRESCO and ROMANCE, conducted respectively in Spain and Italy, were retrospectively analyzed. Baseline plasma HCV-RNA, proportion of patients with HCV-RNA <10 IU / mL at week 4 (rapid virological response), and HCV-RNA declines >2 logs at week 12 (early virological response, EVR) were all assessed as predictors of sustained virological response (SVR). Overall, 75 patients (60 men) were evaluated. Median age was 40 years and median CD4 count 598 cells / mm(3); 49% had plasma HIV-RNA <50 copies / mL; 71% had elevated liver enzymes and 31% had advanced liver fibrosis (Metavir F3-F4). Median serum HCV-RNA was 5.7 log IU / mL. Rapid virological response was attained by 10 (20%) patients and EVR by 26 (42%). Using intention-to-treat and on-treatment (OT) analyses, SVR was achieved by 21 / 75 (28%) and 21 / 62 (34%) of HCV-4 patients, respectively. In the multivariate analysis (OT), baseline HCV-RNA (OR 0.09 for every log increment; 95% CI: 0.01-0.7) and EVR (OR: 7.08; 95% CI: 1.8-27.2) were significantly and independently associated with SVR. This is the largest series of HIV-infected patients with chronic hepatitis C due to HCV-4 treated with pegIFN plus RBV examined so far and the results show that HCV-4 behaves similarly to HCV-1. Therefore, these patients should be considered as difficult to treat population. Baseline serum HCV-RNA and EVR are the best predictors of SVR in HCV-4 / HIV-coinfected patients.

Sustained virologic response to treatment in 100% of patients recently infected, nosocomially, with HCV genotype 2

OBJECTIVE

In 2003, a cluster of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients with a common history of a surgical procedure, performed during 2001 to 2003, was identified in a medical center. An epidemiologic investigation linked a physician, infected with HCV genotype 2, as the possible source of infection in 35 patients. The evaluation, therapy, and outcome of this unique cohort are presented.

DESIGN

HCV-RNA was isolated from sera of all patients and the double-stranded phosphorylation homology domain region was sequenced. After a routine clinical investigation 33 patients were offered antiviral therapy. Two patients were not treatment candidates due to old age and comorbidity.

RESULTS

Twenty-two (66%) were women. The mean age was 48.5+/-16.9 years. Alanine aminotransferase level was 117+/-135 IU/L. Thirty patients were treated with pegylated interferon alpha 2a, 1 with pegylated interferon alpha 2b, and 1 with standard interferon. All received ribavirin 800 mg daily. One patient refused to be treated and was lost for follow-up. Time from acquisition of disease to initiation of therapy was 14.8+/-4.9 month (5.5 to 26). Therapy duration was 24 weeks except for 1 patient who stopped therapy after 16 weeks. Sustained virologic response was achieved in all 32 treated patients. The sequence motif of the phosphorylation homology domain region, studied in all patients, predicted good response to interferon.

CONCLUSIONS

Our excellent results can be explained by a constellation of favorable viral characteristics, a short-term disease and adherence to therapy.

Undetectable hepatitis C virus RNA at week 4 as predictor of sustained virological response in HIV patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Low baseline serum hepatitis C virus (HCV)-RNA and clearance of viraemia at week 4 with pegylated interferon (pegIFN) plus ribavirin therapy predict sustained virological response (SVR) and enable a shorter duration of therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis C. It is unclear whether this applies to HIV/HCV-co-infected patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In the Peginterferon Ribavirin ESpaña COinfection (PRESCO) trial, 389 co-infected patients received pegIFN-alpha2a 180 microg/week plus ribavirin 1000-1200 mg/day. Patients with HCV-2/3 were treated for 6 or 12 months, whereas patients with HCV-1/4 were treated for 12 or 18 months. For each genotype, baseline HCV-RNA and rapid virological response (RVR), defined as under 50 IU/ml HCV-RNA at week 4, were evaluated as predictors of SVR in an 'on-treatment' analysis.

RESULTS

Overall, SVR was achieved by 193 patients (49.6%), 68/191 (35.6%) with genotype 1, 110/152 (72.4%) with genotypes 2/3 and 15/46 (32.6%) with genotype 4. RVR was the best predictor of SVR regardless of HCV genotype. Only for HCV-1 patients, baseline HCV-RNA less than 500 000 IU/ml was also associated with SVR. In HCV-3 patients RVR had a positive predictive value (PPV) for SVR of 90%, with treatment for 24 or 48 weeks. The PPV of SVR for patients with RVR was 69% for HCV-1 and 83% for HCV-4.

CONCLUSION

Undetectable HCV-RNA at week 4 is the best predictor of curing chronic hepatitis C in HCV/HIV-co-infected patients. In HCV-1 patients, baseline HCV-RNA also predicts response. HIV patients with HCV-3 and RVR may permit shortening therapy duration to only 24 weeks of pegIFN plus 1000-1200 mg ribavirin.

Optimizing outcomes in patients with hepatitis C virus genotype 1 or 4

Currently, many decisions for the treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) are based on genotype, which is the most significant baseline predictor of response to therapy; however, it has become increasingly apparent that fixed treatment durations might not be appropriate for all patients. The use of on-treatment predictors such as rapid virological response (RVR) at week 4 and early virological response (EVR) at week 12 can be used to predict the likelihood of achieving a sustained virological response (SVR), helping to tailor treatment to the individual. Until now, EVR has been defined as achieving either undetectable HCV RNA (<50 IU/ml) or a >2 log drop in HCV RNA, but still detectable, at week 12. However, rates of SVR in patients achieving an EVR are heterogeneous. It has recently been suggested that by subdividing EVR into RVR (<50 IU/ml at week 4), complete EVR (HCV RNA <50 IU/ml at week 12) or partial EVR (HCV RNA >2 log drop in HCV RNA but still detectable [>50 IU/ml] at week 12), it might be possible to further improve the prediction of patients likely to achieve an SVR and may allow for tailoring of treatment duration. Genotype 1 and 4 patients achieving an RVR have high rates of SVR and may be candidates for shorter treatment duration. Patients with a complete EVR achieve high SVR rates with the current treatment duration of 48 weeks, whereas patients achieving a partial EVR have lower rates of SVR and could benefit from treatment intensification to 72 weeks. Here, we discuss the importance of baseline predictors of response and the emerging concept of response-guided therapy in genotype 1 and 4 patients.

Papel de la biopsia hepática en el diagnóstico y el control de la hepatitis C crónica

For several years, liver biopsy has been the established gold standard for evaluating the status of liver disease in patients with chronic hepatitis C. Although this procedure continues to be recommended, current practice is changing for 2 main reasons: firstly, treatment is more effective and, secondly, biochemical and serological tests provide a great deal of information on disease progression. Pathologists can increase the importance and utility of liver biopsy in chronic hepatitis C, providing information not only on the stage of fibrosis and necroinflammatory activity but also on the grade of steatosis and iron accumulation, which are implicated in disease progression. Moreover, these specialists can identify other diseases, such as steatohepatitis and hereditary hemochromatosis. Nevertheless, the use of serological tests will reduce the indications for liver biopsy.

Early ribavirin pharmacokinetics, HCV RNA and alanine aminotransferase kinetics in HIV/HCV co-infected patients during treatment with pegylated interferon and ribavirin

BACKGROUND/AIMS

We evaluated whether early ribavirin pharmacokinetics differ comparing hepatitis C/human immunodeficiency virus coinfected sustained virological responders and nonresponders.

METHODS

Twenty-four treatment-naive coinfected patients received pegylated-interferon alfa-2b (12 kDa) (1.5 microg/kg) once weekly plus daily ribavirin (13.6 mg/kg/d) for up to 48 weeks. Serum HCV RNA, serum alanine aminotransferase, and plasma ribavirin levels were measured frequently during the first 16 days of therapy and monthly thereafter.

RESULTS

Six patients were sustained responders. During the first 4 weeks of treatment, median plasma ribavirin levels and area under the ribavirin curve were significantly lower (p<0.0001 and p<0.01, respectively) in sustained responders compared with nonresponders. Compared to ribavirin levels at weeks 2 and 4, ribavirin levels in sustained responders continued to increase significantly until week 8 (p<0.02). At week 4, hemoglobin declines were significantly (p=0.002) greater in sustained responders than nonresponders. At week 1, serum HCV RNA levels and changes in alanine aminotransferase levels relative to baseline could identify likely responders better than plasma ribavirin levels.

CONCLUSIONS

We conjecture that intracellular ribavirin accumulation may be enhanced early in treatment in coinfected sustained responders, although this hypothesis should be investigated further. At week 1, serum HCV RNA and changes in alanine aminotransferase levels relative to baseline might identify likely responders.

Comparison of the abbott 7000 and bayer 340 systems for measurement of hepatitis C virus load

This study compared two commercially available assays for the measurement of hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA levels, the Bayer HCV RNA (version 3.0) branched DNA assay and the Abbott HCV analyte-specific reagent real-time PCR assay, to assess their quantitative relationships, ease of performance, and time to completion. The study group consisted of randomly selected patients from the NIAID human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) outpatient clinic who were infected with HIV type 1 and HCV. One hundred eighty-four samples from 66 patients coinfected with HIV and HCV receiving treatments under various protocols were analyzed for the correlation and agreement of the results. The results indicated that the two assays correlate well in the overlapping linear ranges of the assays and show good agreement. From the results obtained, we have derived a mathematical formula to compare the viral load results between the two assays, which is given as log(10) Abbott assay measure = 0.032 + 1.01 log(10) Bayer assay measure. Although it is preferable to use the same quantitation assay throughout the course of a patient's treatment, valid comparisons of the HCV RNA levels may be made between the results obtained by either of these assays in the overlapping linear range (615 to 7,700,000 IU/ml).

Response prediction and treatment tailoring for chronic hepatitis C virus genotype 1 infection

We monitored early viral response during the treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection with the aim of identifying predictors of treatment outcome. We studied 53 patients with genotype 1 infection who received 180 microg/week pegylated interferon alfa-2a and 1,000 or 1,200 mg/day ribavirin depending on body weight and serially assessed HCV RNA in serum, using the Cobas TaqMan assay. Thirty-one patients (58%) achieved sustained viral response (SVR). SVR was obtained in 100% (10/10) of patients with pretreatment viremia concentrations below 400,000 IU/ml, in 100% (14/14) of patients with more than 1.5 log reduction of HCV RNA after 4 days of treatment, and in 95% (22/23) of patients with a rate of decline in viremia higher than 0.70 log units/week during the second phase. Non-SVR was seen in all patients with a second-phase decline rate lower than 0.35 log units/week. Patients with slopes between 0.50 and 0.80 log units/week achieved SVR (4/4) unless the treatment dose was modified (3/3). We conclude that the second-phase slope appears to be an accurate and useful predictor of treatment response. On the basis of these findings, we propose a model of tailored treatment which takes into account the second-phase slope and the amount of HCV RNA after 21 days of treatment.

High predictive value of early viral kinetics in retreatment with peginterferon and ribavirin of chronic hepatitis C patients non-responders to standard combination therapy

BACKGROUND/AIMS

To evaluate the efficacy of peginterferon alfa-2b and ribavirin in unselected consecutive patients with chronic hepatitis C, treated outside of trials, who were relapsers or non-responders to interferon and ribavirin combination.

METHODS

One hundred and fifty-four patients were evaluated. There were 101 non-responders and 53 relapsers to standard combination therapy. Patients were retreated with peginterferon alfa-2b 1.5 microg/kg/wk plus ribavirin 1000-1200 mg/day during 48 weeks.

RESULTS

Forty-four patients (28.6%) achieved sustained virological response (SVR). Rapid (week 4) and early (week 12) virological response had high negative predictive values of SVR (94% and 97%, respectively); however positive predictive values were relatively low (52% and 49%, respectively). Relapsers had higher SVR rates (58.5%) than non-responders (13%) p<0.0001. In non-responders, SVR raised to 50% in patients with genotype non-1 and mild or moderate fibrosis. In multivariate analysis, predictors of SVR were: relapse after interferon plus ribavirin combination, mild or moderate fibrosis, genotype non-1 and baseline viral load <2 million copies/ml.

CONCLUSIONS

Relapsers to interferon plus ribavirin therapy, and non-responders with genotype non-1 and mild or moderate fibrosis, achieved a relatively high SVR rate following retreatment with peginterferon plus ribavirin. Early viral kinetics had a high negative predictive value of SVR.

Predictive factors of early and sustained responses to peginterferon plus ribavirin combination therapy in Japanese patients infected with hepatitis C virus genotype 1b: amino acid substitutions in the core region and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels

BACKGROUND/AIMS

We showed previously that amino acid (aa) substitutions in the HCV core region (HCV-CR) are predictors of non-virological response (NVR) to peginterferon (PEG-IFN) plus ribavirin (RBV) therapy. Here, we determined the predictive factors of sustained virological response (SVR) and early virologic response (EVR) to this treatment.

METHODS

We evaluated the response to 48-week PEG-IFN-RBV therapy in 114 Japanese adults infected with HCV genotype 1b and determined the predictors of EVR and SVR.

RESULTS

EVR was achieved by 70% and SVR by 45% of patients. 64% of patients who achieved EVR also showed SVR, while none of non-EVR achieved SVR. Multivariate analysis identified low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) (>or=86 mg/dl), aa substitutions in HCV-CR (double-wild-type; arginine at aa 70/leucine at aa 91), gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) (<109 IU/l), RBV dose (>or=11.0mg/kg), and leukocyte count (>or=4500/mm3) as significant determinants of EVR, and aa substitutions in HCV-CR (double-wild-type), LDL-C (>or=86 mg/dl), male gender, ICG R15 (<10%), GGT (<109 IU/l), and RBV dose (>or=11.0 mg/kg) as determinants of SVR. Prediction of response to therapy based on combination of these factors had high sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study identified aa substitutions in the core region and serum LDL-C as predictors of response to PEG-IFN-RBV therapy in Japanese patients infected with HCV genotype 1b.

Peginterferon-alfa2a plus ribavirin for 48 versus 72 weeks in patients with detectable hepatitis C virus RNA at week 4 of treatment

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Patients with chronic hepatitis C who do not respond rapidly to therapy have a low chance of developing a sustained virologic response (SVR) when treated for 48 weeks. This study investigated whether treatment for 72 weeks increases the rate of SVR in patients with detectable hepatitis C virus (HCV)-RNA levels at week 4 of treatment.

METHODS

A total of 510 treatment-naive patients were treated with peginterferon-alfa2a (180 microg/wk) plus ribavirin (800 mg/day). Patients with detectable HCV-RNA levels at week 4 (n = 326) were randomized to complete 48 (group A, n = 165) or 72 weeks (group B, n = 161) of treatment. Patients with undetectable HCV-RNA levels at week 4 (n = 184) were allocated into group C (n = 148) or group D (n = 36), according to HCV genotype and baseline viremia, and treated for 24 or 48 weeks, respectively. All patients were followed-up for 24 weeks after the end of treatment.

RESULTS

The end-of-treatment response rate (61%) was similar in groups A and B, but the SVR rate was higher in group B (45% vs 32% in A; P = .01). In genotype 1-infected patients randomized to group A (n = 149) or B (n = 142), SVR rates were 28% and 44%, respectively (P = .003). The incidence of adverse events was similar in all groups. Treatment discontinuation was more frequent in group B (36%) than in group A (18%) (P = .0004). SVR rates in groups C and D were 79% and 64%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Extension of treatment with peginterferon-alfa2a plus ribavirin from 48 to 72 weeks significantly increases the rate of SVR in patients with detectable viremia at week 4 of treatment.