Effect of aging on risk for hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis C virus infection

Prognostic Value of the ASAP Score for Patients Undergoing Hepatic Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Multicenter Analysis of 1,239 Patients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The ASAP score, which incorporates age, sex, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), and protein induced by vitamin K absence-II, has demonstrated promise for early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, its prognostic value after HCC treatment remains unknown. The current study sought to evaluate the prognostic value of the ASAP score to predict recurrence and survival following curative hepatic resection for HCC.

METHODS

This study using prospectively collected data included HCC patients who underwent curative-intent hepatic resection. The ASAP score was calculated preoperatively, and X-tile analysis was used to determine the optimal cutoff value. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors associated with recurrence and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Among 1239 patients in the analytic cohort, the optimal ASAP score cutoff was 4.8; patients were divided into low (n = 749) and high (n = 490) ASAP score subgroups. Patients with high ASAP scores had a higher incidence of 5-year recurrence (73.9% vs 51.0%, P < 0.001) and worse OS (31.7% vs 60.1%, P < 0.001) versus individuals with low scores. Multivariate analysis identified ASAP score ≥4.8 as an independent risk factor of both recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 1.976, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.633-2.390, P < 0.001) and OS (HR 1.407, 95% CI 1.170-1.691, P < 0.001) after controlling for established clinicopathological factors.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative ASAP score was independently associated with recurrence and survival after HCC resection. The clinical utility of the ASAP score may be applicable to both diagnosis and prognosis, potentially improving postoperative surveillance and management strategies for HCC patients.

Hepatitis C virus attributable liver cancer in the country of Georgia, 2015-2019: a case-control study

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection can lead to a type of primary liver cancer called hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Georgia, a high HCV prevalence country, started an HCV elimination program in 2015. In addition to tracking incidence and mortality, surveillance for the HCV-attributable fraction of HCC is an important indicator of the program's impact. This study assesses HCV infection-attributable HCC in the Georgian population.

METHODS

This case-control study utilized HCV programmatic and Georgian Cancer Registry data from 2015-2019. Bivariate logistic regression and age- and sex-stratified analyses assessed HCV and liver cancer association. HCV-attributable liver cancer proportions for the HCV-exposed and total population were calculated. A sub-analysis was performed for HCC cases specifically.

RESULTS

The total study population was 3874 with 496 liver cancer cases and 3378 controls. The odds for HCV-infected individuals developing liver cancer was 20.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] 15.97-25.37), and the odds of developing HCC was 16.84 (95% CI 12.01-23.83) compared to the HCV-negative group. Odds ratios varied across strata, with HCV-infected older individuals and women having higher odds of developing both liver cancer and HCC. A large proportion of liver cancer and HCC can be attributed to HCV in HCV-infected individuals; however, in the general population, the burden of liver cancer and HCC cannot be explained by HCV alone.

CONCLUSION

HCV was significantly associated with a higher risk of developing liver cancer and HCC in the Georgian population. In addition, given Georgia's high HCV burden, increased HCC monitoring in HCV-infected patients is needed.

Analysis of Carcinogenic Involvement of MicroRNA Pattern in Peripheral Non-Cancerous Tissues and Chronic Viral Liver Injury

Risk factors for hepatocarcinogenesis include chronic inflammation due to viral infection, liver fibrosis, and aging. In this study, we separated carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic cases due to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, aiming to comprehensively analyze miRNA expression in liver tissues by age, and identify factors that contribute to carcinogenesis. Total RNA was extracted from 360 chronic hepatitis C (CH), 43 HCV infected hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and surrounding non-tumor (SNT) tissues. MicroRNA (miRNA) expression patterns were analyzed using microarray. Using machine learning, we extracted characteristic miRNA expression patterns for each disease and age. There were no age-dependent changes in miRNA expression in the disease-specific comparisons; however, miRNA expression differed among the age groups of 50, 60, and 70 years of age between CH and SNT. The expression of miRNA was different between SNT and HCC only in patients in their 70s. Of the 55 miRNAs with significant differences in expression between CH and SNT, 34 miRNAs showed significant differences in expression even in the degree of liver fibrosis. The observation that miRNAs involved in hepatocarcinogenesis differ at different ages suggests that the mechanisms of carcinogenesis differ by age group as well. We also found that many miRNAs whose expression did not affect liver fibrosis were involved in carcinogenesis. These findings are expected to define biomarkers for detection of HCC at early stage, and develop novel therapeutic targets for HCC.

Hepatitis B and C infections among Japanese dental health workers: Insights from vaccination rates and screening results in the Oita prefecture

OBJECTIVE

This study examined the hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection rates and vaccination rates for hepatitis B (HB) among dental healthcare workers (DHCWs) in the Oita prefecture, Japan.

METHODS

Hepatitis virus testing was conducted on 1920 participants (486 dentists and 1434 dental staff). Anonymous data on age, gender, occupation, hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), antibodies to hepatitis B surface antigen (anti-HBs), antibodies to HCV (anti-HCV), history of HB vaccination, and antiviral treatment for individuals with positive anti-HCV were collected.

RESULTS

The positivity rates for HBsAg, anti-HBs, and anti-HCV were 0.5%, 39.7%, and 0.6%, respectively. Dentists had significantly higher rates of anti-HBs positivity (53.9% vs. 34.9%; p < .0001) and anti-HCV positivity (1.4% vs. 0.3%; p = .0080) compared to dental staff. The vaccination and non-vaccination rates among 1395 with a known HB vaccination history were 59.1% and 40.9%, respectively. Dentists had a significantly higher HB vaccine vaccination rate than the dental staff (73.6% vs. 54.0%; p < .0001). Those in the vaccination group were younger (p < .0001), had a higher proportion of males (p = .0022) and dentists (p < .0001), a lower HBsAg positivity rate (p < .0097), and a higher anti-HBs positivity rate (p < .0001) compared to those in the non-vaccination group. The positivity rate of HBsAg and anti-HBs in the unvaccinated group increased with age, with HBsAg positivity reaching 3.8% in the 70s and anti-HBs positivity reaching 40.4% in the 70s and 66.7% in the 80s.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the need to raise awareness about hepatitis prevention vaccination, particularly among dental staff, due to differences in HB vaccination rates across occupations. In particular, they indicated that elderly DHCWs may be more vulnerable to HBV infection. Regular monitoring of the vaccination rate and infection risk is crucial.

Signature construction and molecular subtype identification based on liver-specific genes for prediction of prognosis, immune activity, and anti-cancer drug sensitivity in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Liver specific genes (LSGs) are crucial for hepatocyte differentiation and maintaining normal liver function. A deep understanding of LSGs and their heterogeneity in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is necessary to provide clues for HCC diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment.

METHODS

The bulk and single-cell RNA-seq data of HCC were downloaded from TCGA, ICGC, and GEO databases. Through unsupervised cluster analysis, LSGs-based HCC subtypes were identified in TCGA-HCC samples. The prognostic effects of the subtypes were investigated with survival analyses. With GSVA and Wilcoxon test, the LSGs score, stemness score, aging score, immune score and stromal score of the samples were estimated and compared. The HCC subtype-specific genes were identified. The subtypes and their differences were validated in ICGC-HCC samples. LASSO regression analysis was used for key gene selection and risk model construction for HCC overall survival. The model performance was estimated and validated. The key genes were validated for their heterogeneities in HCC cell lines with quantitative real-time PCR and at single-cell level. Their dysregulations were investigated at protein level. Their correlations with HCC response to anti-cancer drugs were estimated in HCC cell lines.

RESULTS

We identified three LSGs-based HCC subtypes with different prognosis, tumor stemness, and aging level. The C1 subtype with low LSGs score and high immune score presented a poor survival, while the C2 subtype with high LSGs score and immune score indicated an enduring survival. Although no significant survival difference between C2 and C3 HCCs was shown, the C2 HCCs presented higher immune score and stroma score. The HCC subtypes and their differences were confirmed in ICGC-HCC dataset. A five-gene prognostic signature for HCC survival was constructed. Its good performance was shown in both the training and validation datasets. The five genes presented significant heterogeneities in different HCC cell lines and hepatocyte subclusters. Their dysregulations were confirmed at protein level. Furthermore, their significant associations with HCC sensitivities to anti-cancer drugs were shown.

CONCLUSIONS

LSGs-based HCC subtype classification and the five-gene risk model might provide useful clues not only for HCC stratification and risk prediction, but also for the development of more personalized therapies for effective HCC treatment.

Direct-acting antivirals failed to reduce the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence in hepatitis C virus associated cirrhosis: A real-world study

BACKGROUND

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) revolutionized the treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated disease achieving high rates of sustained virological response (SVR). However, whether DAAs can reduce the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with HCV-associated cirrhosis who are at high risk have not been concluded.

AIM

To investigate the effect of DAAs on the occurrence of HCC in patients with HCV-associated cirrhosis after achieving SVR.

METHODS

Of 427 inpatients with HCV-associated cirrhosis were enrolled in Tianjin Second People's Hospital from January 2014 to April 2020. 118 patients weren't received antiviral treatment with any reasons named non-antiviral treatment group, and 236 patients obtained from the 309 DAAs treatment patients according to the propensity score matching named DAAs treatment group. Demographic information and laboratory data were collected from baseline and the following up. Kaplan-Meier curve and Log-Rank test were used to compare the incidence and cumulative incidence of HCC between the two groups. Cox proportional risk regression was used to re-evaluate the risk factors for HCC.

RESULTS

HCC incidence was 4.68/100PY (95%CI, 3.09-6.81) in the DAAs treatment group, while it was 3.00/100PY (95%CI, 1.50-5.37) in the non-antiviral treatment group, and the relative risk was 1.82 (95%CI, 0.93-3.53, P > 0.05). The incidence of HCC at 12, 24, 36 and 48 months was 3.39%, 6.36%, 8.47% and 10.17% in the DAAs treatment group, and it was 0%, 0%, 3.39% and 9.32% in the non-antiviral treatment group, respectively. Age > 58 [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.089; 95%CI, 1.033-1.147; P = 0.002] and liver stiffness measurement > 27.85 kPa (HR = 1.043; 95%CI, 1.022-1.065; P = 0.000) were risk factors for HCC in all patients (n = 427), and DAAs treatment didn't show protective efficacy.

CONCLUSION

DAAs treatment seems failed to reduce the incidence of HCC occurrence in HCV-associated cirrhosis in 48 months, and even increased the incidence of HCC in 36 months.

Validation of combined AFP, AFP-L3, and PIVKA II for diagnosis and monitoring of hepatocellular carcinoma in Chinese patients

Background

In this study, we aimed to investigate the performance of GALAD, GALAD-C, and GAAP models in Chinese population in comparison to our newly build statistical model.

Methods

In this study, we built the AALP model based on age, α-fetoprotein (AFP), AFP-L3, and prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence-II (PIVKA II) to differentiate between patients with HCC and patients with CLD. We then compared the serum levels of AFP-L3 and PIVKA II in patients with HCC who were defined as remission or progression and showed the prognostic value of combined biomarkers.

Results

The AUC value of the AALP model for HCC detection was 0.939 and AALP model exhibited a sensitivity of 81 % and a high specificity of 95 %. AALP model also exhibited good performance in the subgroups of patients with CLD. Furthermore, we demonstrated the consistency between imaging results and serum levels of AFP-L3 and PIVKA II.

Conclusions

The AALP model achieved a good diagnostic performance and a high sensitivity for predicting HCC patients. Our research also showed that AFP-L3 and PIVKA II are complementary to each other but irreplaceable in the clinical detection and monitoring of HCC.

A novel nomogram for predicting microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

In hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the prognosis of patients with microvascular invasion (MVI) is poor. Therefore, in this study, we established and evaluated the performance of a novel nomogram to predict MVI in patients with HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively obtained clinical data of 497 patients with HCC who underwent hepatectomy at Liaoning Cancer Hospital from November 1, 2018, to November 4, 2021. The patients (n = 497) were randomized in a 7:3 ratio into the training cohort (TC, n = 349) and the validation cohort (VC, n = 148). We performed Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) and univariate as well as multivariate logistic regression analyses (ULRA, MRLA) on patients in the TC to identify factors independently predicting MVI.

RESULTS

Preoperative FIB-4, AFU, AFP levels, liver cirrhosis, and non-smooth tumor margin were independent risk factors for preoperative MVI prediction. The C-index of the TC, VC, and the entire cohort was 0.846, 0.786, and 0.829, respectively. The calibration curves demonstrated the outstanding agreement between predicted MVI incidences by our model and the actual MVI risk. Decision curve analysis (DCA) confirmed the significance of our predictive model in clinical settings. The Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival curve showed that the recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients in the high-MVI risk group were poor compared to those in the low-MVI risk group.

CONCLUSIONS

We constructed and evaluated the performance of the novel nomogram for predicting MVI risk. Our predictive model could adequately predict MVI risk and aid clinicians in selecting appropriate therapeutic strategies for patients.

Oncological prognosis and morbidity of hepatectomy in elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a propensity score matching and multicentre study

PURPOSE

With increasing life expectancy, the number of elderly patients (≥ 65 years) with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has steadily increased. Hepatectomy remains the first-line treatment for HCC patients. However, the prognosis of hepatectomy for elderly patients with HCC remains unclear.

METHODS

Clinical and follow-up data from 1331 HCC patients who underwent surgery between 2008 and 2020 were retrospectively retrieved from a multicentre database. Patients were divided into elderly (≥ 65 years) and non-elderly (< 65 years) groups, and PSM was used to balance differences in the baseline characteristics. The postoperative major morbidity and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of the two groups were compared and the independent factors that were associated with the two study endpoints were identified by multivariable regression analysis.

RESULTS

Of the 1331 HCC patients enrolled in this study, 363 (27.27%) were elderly, while 968 (72.73%) were not. After PSM, 334 matched samples were obtained. In the propensity score matching (PSM) cohort, a higher rate of major morbidity was found in elderly patients (P = 0.040) but the CSS was similar in the two groups (P = 0.087). Multivariate analysis revealed that elderly age was not an independent risk factor associated with high rates of major morbidity (P = 0.117) or poor CSS (P = 0.873). The 1-, 3- and 5-year CSS rates in the elderly and non-elderly groups were 91.0% versus 86.2%, 71.3% versus 68.8% and 55.9% versus 58.0%, respectively. Preoperative alpha fetoprotein (AFP) level, Child‒Pugh grade, intraoperative blood transfusion, extended hemi hepatectomy, and tumour diameter could affect the postoperative major morbidity and preoperative AFP level, cirrhosis, Child‒Pugh grade, macrovascular invasion, microvascular invasion (MVI), satellite nodules, and tumor diameter were independently and significantly associated with CSS.

CONCLUSION

Age itself had no significant effect on the prognosis of elderly patients with HCC after hepatectomy. Hepatectomy can be safely performed in elderly patients after cautious perioperative management.

Association of abnormal glucose tolerance with liver-related disease and cardiovascular diseases in patients with chronic hepatitis C

AIM

Hepatitis C complicated by diabetes mellitus (DM) is considered a risk factor for the progression of fibrosis and development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and cardiovascular diseases. However, several studies may have lacked appropriate diagnosis of glucose intolerance. We aimed to examine the risk associated with abnormal glucose intolerance in the development of liver-related diseases, including HCC and complications of liver cirrhosis, such as ascites, esophageal and gastric varices, and hepatic encephalopathy, and cardiovascular diseases in patients with hepatitis C accurately diagnosed with impaired glucose tolerance.

METHODS

This longitudinal retrospective study included 365 patients with chronic hepatitis C admitted to Ehime University Hospital for anti-hepatitis C therapy between September 1991 and January 2015. Patients were classified into normal glucose tolerance (NGT), prediabetes, and DM groups based on 75-g oral glucose tolerance test results.

RESULTS

Both univariate and multivariate (adjusted for potential confounders) analyses revealed a significantly higher risk of developing HCC and cardiovascular events in the DM group than in the NGT group. However, in multivariate analysis, liver-related events, particularly liver cirrhosis complications, revealed no significant association. In addition, the prediabetes group had no significant risk of any outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with hepatitis C complicated by DM, compared with patients with hepatitis C with NGT or complicated with prediabetes, have a higher risk of HCC and cardiovascular disease events, but not liver-related events, particularly in not developing liver cirrhosis complications. Therefore, appropriate follow-up is required for patients with hepatitis C based on their glucose tolerance status.

Machine learning for individualized prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma development after the eradication of hepatitis C virus with antivirals

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Accurate risk stratification for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after achieving a sustained viral response (SVR) is necessary for optimal surveillance. We aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model to predict the risk of HCC after achieving an SVR in individual patients.

METHODS

In this multicenter cohort study, 1742 patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved an SVR were enrolled. Five ML models were developed including DeepSurv, gradient boosting survival analysis, random survival forest (RSF), survival support vector machine, and a conventional Cox proportional hazard model. Model performance was evaluated using Harrel' c-index and was externally validated in an independent cohort (977 patients).

RESULTS

During the mean observation period of 5.4 years, 122 patients developed HCC (83 in the derivation cohort and 39 in the external validation cohort). The RSF model showed the best discrimination ability using seven parameters at the achievement of an SVR with a c-index of 0.839 in the external validation cohort and a high discriminative ability when the patients were categorized into three risk groups (P <0.001). Furthermore, this RSF model enabled the generation of an individualized predictive curve for HCC occurrence for each patient with an app available online.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and externally validated an RSF model with good predictive performance for the risk of HCC after an SVR. The application of this novel model is available on the website. This model could provide the data to consider an effective surveillance method. Further studies are needed to make recommendations for surveillance policies tailored to the medical situation in each country.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

A novel prediction model for HCC occurrence in patients after hepatitis C virus eradication was developed using machine learning algorithms. This model, using seven commonly measured parameters, has been shown to have a good predictive ability for HCC development and could provide a personalized surveillance system.

Necessity for surveillance for hepatocellualr carcinoma in older patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved sustained virological response

Background and Aim

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance in low-risk patients (annual incidence <1.5%) is not recommended per the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases guidelines. Because patients with chronic hepatitis C with non-advanced fibrosis who have achieved sustained virological response (SVR) have a low risk of HCC, HCC surveillance is not recommended for them. However, aging is a risk factor for HCC; threfore, the necessity for HCC surveillance in older patients with non-advanced fibrosis needs to be verified.

Methods

This multicenter, prospective study enrolled 4993 patients with SVR (1998 patients with advanced fibrosis and 2995 patients with non-advanced fibrosis). The HCC incidence was examined with particular attention to age.

Results

The 3-year incidence of HCC in patients with advanced and non-advanced fibrosis was 9.2% (95% CI: 7.8-10.9) and 2.9% (95% CI: 2.1-3.7), respectively. HCC incidence was significantly higher in patients with advanced fibrosis (P < 0.001). HCC incidence stratified by age and sex was investigated in patients with non-advanced fibrosis. The HCC incidence in the 18-49, 50s, 60s, 70s, and ≥80 age groups were 0.26, 1.3, 1.8, 1.7, and 2.9 per 100 person-years in men, and 0.00, 0.32, 0.58, 0.49, and 0.57 per 100 person-years in women, respectively.

Conclusions

Male patients with non-advanced fibrosis aged ≥60 years have a higher risk of developing HCC and, thus, require HCC surveillance.

Hepatocellular carcinoma in patients cured of chronic hepatitis C: Minimal steatosis

BACKGROUND

Successful treatment of hepatitis C reduces liver inflammation and fibrosis; however, patients remain at risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

AIMS

To identify risk factors for new-onset HCC in patients cured of hepatitis C.

METHODS

Imaging, histological, and clinical data on patients whose first HCC was diagnosed >12 months of post-SVR were analyzed. Histology of 20 nontumor tissues was analyzed in a blinded manner using the Knodel/Ishak/HAI system for necroinflammation and fibrosis/cirrhosis stage and the Brunt system for steatosis/steatohepatitis. Factors associated with post-SVR HCC were identified by comparison with HALT-C participants who did not develop post-SVR HCC.

RESULTS

Hepatocellular carcinoma was diagnosed in 54 patients (45 M/9F), a median of 6 years of post-SVR [interquartile range (IQR) =1.4-10y] at a median age of 61 years (IQR, 59-67). Approximately one-third lacked cirrhosis, and only 11% had steatosis on imaging. The majority (60%) had no steatosis/steatohepatitis in histopathology. The median HAI score was 3 (1.25-4), indicating mild necroinflammation. In a multivariable logistic regression model, post-SVR HCC was positively associated with non-Caucasian race (p = 0.03), smoking (p = 0.03), age > 60 years at HCC diagnosis (p = 0.03), albumin<3.5 g/dL (p = 0.02), AST/ALT>1 (p = 0.05), and platelets <100 × 103 cells/μL (p < 0.001). Alpha fetoprotein ≥4.75 ng/mL had 90% specificity and 71% sensitivity for HCC occurrence. Noncirrhotic patients had larger tumors (p = 0.002) and a higher prevalence of vascular invasion (p = 0.016) than cirrhotic patients.

CONCLUSIONS

One-third of patients with post-SVR HCC did not have liver cirrhosis; most had no steatosis/steatohepatitis. Hepatocellular carcinomas were more advanced in noncirrhotic patients. Results support AFP as a promising marker of post-SVR HCC risk.

Response to antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis C and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence in Japan: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies

In Japan, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer mortality and hepatitis C virus infection is a major cause of HCC. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of published studies evaluating patient response to antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis C on the risk of HCC occurrence in Japan. Articles were searched using terms determined a priori through PubMed, screened by title and abstract, and selected by full-text assessment according to criteria determined a priori, including HCC occurrence in response to interferon (IFN)-based or IFN-free therapy, Japanese study, and 2 or more years of follow-up. We excluded studies on HCC recurrence. We calculated the pooled estimate of the crude incidence rate ratio with data from the selected studies using the person-years method with Poisson regression model and pooled estimate of the hazard ratio adjusted for potential confounders reported by the studies using a random effects model. A total of 26 studies were identified, all of which examined only IFN-based therapy as a result of the selection process. The pooled estimate (95% confidence interval [CI]) of 25 studies was 0.37 (0.33-0.43) for sustained virologic response (SVR) and 1.70 (1.61-1.80) for non-SVR for the HCC incidence rate per 100 person-years, and 0.22 (0.19-0.26) for the incidence rate ratio (SVR vs. non-SVR). The pooled estimate of the hazard ratio (95% CI) of HCC incidence adjusted for potential confounders of 8 studies was 0.25 (0.19-0.34). SVR to interferon therapy for chronic hepatitis C reduces the risk of HCC occurrence.

Hepatocellular carcinoma and hepatitis C virus treatments: The bold and the beautiful

The occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most serious complications of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Recently, effective antiviral medications have made sustained viral response (SVR) or cure a realistic therapeutic goal for most chronic HCV patients. Given HCV's tumorigenic propensity, it is not surprising that achieving SVR is helpful in preventing HCC. This review briefly summarizes and discusses the existing evidence on the relationship between hepatic carcinogenesis and viral eradication by antivirals, which is mainly divided into interferon-based and direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) based therapy. DAAs have changed the treatment landscape of chronic HCV, reaching high rates of SVR even in patients with advanced cirrhosis, with few contraindications and little side effects. Although some early reports suggested that DAA treatment increased the chance of HCC occurrence, more subsequent observational studies have refuted this theory. The probability of HCC recurrence after HCV eradication appears to be decreasing over time following SVR. Despite virological suppression/cure, individuals with liver cirrhosis are still at risk of HCC and should be monitored. There is a considerable need for markers/scores to predict the long-term risk of HCC in patients with HCV-related liver disease who attain SVR with direct-acting antivirals.

The prognosis of elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: A multi-center 19-year experience in Japan

AIMS

This retrospective study compared the survival between elderly and non-elderly patients.

METHODS

A total of 5545 treatment-naive patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who visited 7 different hospitals from January 2000 to December 2018 were included. Patients ≥80 years old were defined as elderly patients. We divided the patients into three groups based on the timing of the initial treatment: Early, middle, and late periods defined as 2000 to 2005, 2006 to 2012, and 2013 to 2018, respectively.

RESULTS

There were 132 (8.9%), 405 (17.5%), and 388 (22.2%) elderly patients in the early, middle, and late period, respectively, showing a significant increase over time (p < 0.001). In both elderly and non-elderly patients, the median albumin-bilirubin score significantly improved over time and the diagnosis of HCC was made slightly earlier over time. The median overall survival (OS) in elderly patients was 52.8, 42.0, and 45.6 months in the early, middle, and late period, respectively, without a significant improvement (p = 0.17) whereas the OS in non-elderly patients was significantly improved (p < 0.001). The percentage of elderly patients receiving curative treatments did not significantly increase (p = 0.43), while that of non-elderly patients did (p = 0.017). Non-liver-related death in elderly patients significantly differed among periods (p = 0.023), while liver-related death did not (p = 0.050). Liver- and non-liver-related death in non-elderly patients significantly differed among periods (p < 0.001, p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Survival in elderly patients was not improved despite an improvement in their liver function. Curative treatments should be conducted when appropriate after evaluating each elderly patient.

Impact of eradication of hepatitis C virus on liver-related and -unrelated diseases: morbidity and mortality of chronic hepatitis C after SVR

Hepatitis C virus infection is characterized by chronic liver inflammation and fibrogenesis, leading to end-stage liver failure and hepatocellular carcinoma over the course of 20 to 30 years. It seems not only the chronicity of hepatitis C but also the presence of the virus in non-hepatic tissues creates a favorable environment for the potential development of pathogenic impacts on extrahepatic systems and organs. Numerous extra-hepatic manifestations have been reported in association with HCV infection, all of which can substantially affect morbidity, mortality, and quality of life. With the recent development of DAAs, antiviral treatment can cure almost all patients with HCV infection, even those intolerant of or unresponsive to IFN treatment, and several large multicenter studies have confirmed the association of DAA-induced SVR with reductions in liver-related and liver-unrelated complications, such as cardiovascular events, end stage renal disease, and so on. Because, in addition to liver-related diseases, extrahepatic lesions are threatening for patients, it is important to eradicate the virus before these progress and affect life prognosis; in other words, patients should be treated before reaching the point of no return. Tailored surveillance with biomarkers such as M2BPGi and Ang-2, which can be used to identify patients with an elevated risk of EHM, and early prevention or treatment for these patients could improve the morbidity, mortality and QOL. Advancement of both basic and clinical research in this field including the development of more precise biomarkers is highly anticipated.

Late hepatitis C virus diagnosis among patients with newly diagnosed hepatocellular carcinoma: a case–control study

Background

New direct-acting antiviral therapies have revolutionized hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection therapy. Nonetheless, once liver cirrhosis is established, the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) still exists despite virus eradication. Late HCV diagnosis hinders timely access to HCV treatment. Thus, we determined trends and risk factors associated with late HCV among patients with a diagnosis of HCC in Taiwan.

Methods

We conducted a population-based unmatched case–control study. 2008–2018 Claims data were derived from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. Individuals with an initial occurrence of liver cancer between 2012 and 2018 were included. The late HCV group were referred as individuals who were diagnosed with HCC within 3 years after HCV diagnosis. The control group were referred as individuals who were diagnosed more than 3 years after the index date. We used multivariable logistic models to explore individual- and provider-level risk factors associated with a late HCV diagnosis.

Results

A decreasing trend was observed in the prevalence of late HCV-related HCC diagnosis between 2012 and 2018 in Taiwan. On an individual level, male, elderly patients, patients with diabetes mellitus (DM), and patients with alcohol-related disease had significantly higher risks of late HCV-related HCC diagnosis. On a provider level, patients who were mainly cared for by male physicians, internists and family medicine physicians had a significantly lower risk of late diagnosis.

Conclusions

Elderly and patients who have DM and alcohol related disease should receive early HCV screening. In addition to comorbidities, physician factors also matter. HCV screening strategies shall take these higher risk patients and physician factors into consideration to avoid missing opportunities for early intervention.

Impact of antiviral therapy for disease progression and non-invasive liver fibrosis index in patients with chronic hepatitis C: Markov chain model analysis

BACKGROUND/AIM

Antiviral therapy advancements resulted in an era in which eradication of hepatitis C has become a goal, however, there are few reports on the long-term course of liver disease progression with antiviral therapy. The aim of this study was to use the Markov model to analyze disease progression and non-invasive liver fibrosis index in hepatitis C Patients.

METHODS

Patients with chronic hepatitis C (n = 1432) were diagnosed between January 2012 and May 2021 in the Musashino Red Cross Hospital. Patients with other hepatitis virus co-infection, chronic liver disease, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at the beginning of the study were excluded. A total of 618 patients with a 1-year or longer observation period were studied. The liver disease state was defined as chronic hepatitis (CH), compensated liver cirrhosis (CLC), decompensated liver cirrhosis (DLC), and HCC.

RESULTS

Cirrhosis and high FIB-4 index (≥3.61) were 42 cases (6.8%) and 208 cases (33.6%), respectively at the start of the study. The 40 years estimated transition analysis of 40-year-old CH low FIB-4 level (<3.61) revealed that the proportion of CH low/high, CLC low/high, DLC low/high, and HCC were 10.83%/10.86%, 0.35%/2.64%, 0%/3.21% 72.11% in untreated unit and 47.83%/9.21%, 6.69%/1.32%, 0.70%/0.99%, 33.27% in treated unit, respectively. Antiviral therapy suppressed liver fibrosis, disease progression, and HCC development significantly.

CONCLUSION

Markov model analysis of hepatitis C virus patients showed the impact of antiviral therapy on the suppression of disease progression in the order of CH, CLC, and DLC.

Outcomes of adolescent and young patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after curative liver resection: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

The risk of HCC is documented to be age-related. The outcomes of young HCC patients on postoperative prognosis are not well understood. The study aims to compare the characteristic differences between adolescent and young (AYA) and non-AYA HCC patients.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of the clinical and pathological findings and the survival of 243 HCC patients who underwent operations between 2007 and 2018.

RESULTS

The AYA group had a higher AFP level and a higher prevalence of family history of HCC or other cancers than the non-AYA group (P < 0.01 and P < 0.05). AYA patients had more unfavorable pathological characteristics including bigger lesion size, microvascular invasion, portal vein invasion, and hepatic capsule invasion. They also had a more unfavorable Edmondson grade and less tumor capsule formation (P < 0.01). Age was an independent predictor of survival in HCC patients. AYA patients had poorer disease-free and overall survival than non-AYA patients did (P < 0.01). Patients under 30 years old had an even poorer disease-free survival than those aged 30-40 (P = 0.047).

CONCLUSIONS

AYA patients exhibited a higher recurrence rate and disease-related death rate with more unfavorable pathological characteristics. Enhanced follow-up for young HCC patients should be applied.

Improved prognosis of hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma in the era of direct-acting antivirals

The prognostic impact of direct‐acting antivirals (DAAs) on patients with hepatitis C‐related hepatocellular carcinoma (C‐HCC) is still unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the prognosis of C‐HCC in the DAA era. We enrolled 1237 consecutive patients with treatment‐naive C‐HCC who underwent radical radiofrequency ablation between 1999 and 2019. We also enrolled 350 patients with nonviral HCC as controls. We divided these patients into three groups according to the year of initial treatment: 1999–2005 (cohort 1), 2006–2013 (cohort 2), and 2014–2019 (cohort 3). The use of antiviral agents and their effect in patients with C‐HCC was investigated. Overall survival was evaluated for each cohort using the Kaplan‐Meier method and a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model. Sustained virologic response (SVR) was achieved in 52 (10%), 157 (26%), and 102 (74%) patients with C‐HCC in cohorts 1–3, respectively. The 3‐ and 5‐year survival rates of patients with C‐HCC were 82% and 59% in cohort 1; 80% and 64% in cohort 2; and 86% and 78% in cohort 3, respectively (p = 0.003). Multivariable analysis adjusted for age, liver function, and tumor extension showed that the prognosis of C‐HCC improved in cohort 3 compared to cohort 1 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.32–0.73; p < 0.001), whereas the prognosis of nonviral HCC did not improve significantly (aHR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.59–1.57; p = 0.88). The prognosis of C‐HCC drastically improved with the advent of DAAs.

Prevalence of HIV and Its Co-Infection with Hepatitis B/C Virus Among Chronic Liver Disease Patients in Ethiopia

Background

The efficient use of antiretroviral drugs has significantly reduced AIDS-related morbidities and mortalities; however, mortality due to non-AIDS-related end-stage liver diseases is escalating in those living with HIV.

Objective

The study was designed to determine the prevalence of HIV and its co-infection with HBV and HCV among chronic liver disease (CLD) patients in Ethiopia.

Methods

Three hundred and forty-five CLD patients were included in this study in two groups: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (n=128) and non-HCC (n=217) patients. The non-HCC group comprised patients with advanced liver disease (n=98) and chronic hepatitis (n=119). Enzyme immunoassays were used to determine HBV and HCV infection markers. In addition, a serial rapid HIV testing algorithm was employed to screen HIV infection.

Results

Regardless of the stage of liver disease, the overall frequency of HIV was 4.3% (15/345), with a 2% (7/345) and 0.3% (1/345) of HIV/HBV and HIV/HCV co-infection rate. Of all HIV-infected patients (n=15), 46.7% (7/15) and 6.7% (1/15) were co-infected with HBV (HBsAg⁺HBcAb⁺) and HCV (anti-HCV⁺ HCV-RNA⁺), respectively, and 86.7% (13/15) exhibited a marker of HBV exposure (total HBcAb⁺). Overall, the frequency of HIV and its co-infection with HBV was more noticeable among HCC than non-HCC patients [8.6% (11/128) vs 1.8 (4/217), p=0.005 and 3.9% (5/128) vs 0.9% (2/217), p=0.1]. The rate of HIV mono-infection was 3.9% (5/128) vs 0.9% (2/217) among HCC and non-HCC patients.

Conclusion

The frequency of HIV and its co-infections with HBV/HCV exhibited an increasing pattern with the severity of the liver disease. Thus, screening all HIV-positive patients for HBV and HCV infection and all CLD patients for HIV infection and taking necessary preventive measures would be an essential strategy to prevent the progression of CLD and death related to liver disease in people living with HIV.

Real‐world long‐term analysis of daclatasvir plus asunaprevir in patients with hepatitis C virus infection

Background and Aim

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Low Incidence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Antiviral Therapy in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C and Hemophilia

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) rarely develops in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) who achieve sustained virological response (SVR). We assessed the incidence of HCC in CHC patients with hemophilia after treatment with pegylated interferon plus ribavirin (PegIFN/RBV) and direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). Methods: Patients (n = 202) were enrolled between March 2007 and July 2019. A total of 139 patients were treated with PegIFN/RBV (genotype 1, n = 98; genotype 2, n = 41). Sixty-three patients were treated with DAAs (genotype 1, n = 44; genotype 2, n = 19). The cumulative incidence rates of HCC were estimated using the Kaplan−Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Results: For genotype 1, SVR was achieved in 78.6% (77/98) and 90.9% (40/44) of patients in the PegIFN/RBV and DAAs groups, respectively. For genotype 2, SVR was achieved in 95.1% (39/41) and 94.7% (18/19) of patients in the PegIFN/RBV and DAAs groups, respectively. Six HCC cases were identified. The cumulative incidence of HCC was 4.1% at 14 years in PegIFN/RBV and 1.7% at 5 years in DAAs. The 14-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 1.9% in the SVR group and 21.7% in the no-SVR group in the PegIFN/RBV group (p < 0.001). Conclusions: Treatment with PegIFN/RBV led to stable SVR and a low incidence of HCC. Although the follow-up period was short, DAAs led to more stable SVR than PegIFN/RBV and a low incidence of HCC in CHC patients with hemophilia.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk Assessment for Patients With Advanced Fibrosis After Eradication of Hepatitis C Virus

The identification of patients with advanced fibrosis who do not need any further hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance after the eradication of hepatitis C is pivotal. In this study, we developed a simple serum-based risk model that could identify patients with low-risk HCC. This was a nationwide multicenter study involving 16 Hospitals in Japan. Patients with advanced fibrosis (1,325 in a derivation cohort and 508 in a validation cohort) who achieved sustained virological responses at 24 weeks after treatment (SVR24) were enrolled. The HCC risk model at any point after SVR24 and its change were evaluated, and subsequent HCC development was analyzed. Based on the multivariable analysis, patients fulfilling all of the factors (GAF4 criteria: gamma-glutamyl transferase < 28 IU/L, alpha-fetoprotein < 4.0 ng/mL, and Fibrosis-4 Index < 4.28) were classified as low-risk and others were classified as high-risk. When patients were stratified at the SVR24, and 1 year, and 2 years after SVR24, subsequent HCC development was significantly lower in low-risk patients (0.5-1.1 per 100 person-years in the derivation cohort and 0.9-1.1 per 100 person-years in the validation cohort) than in high-risk patients at each point. HCC risk from 1 year after SVR24 decreased in patients whose risk improved from high-risk to low-risk (HCC incidence: 0.6 per 100 person-years [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.163 in the derivation cohort] and 1.3 per 100 person-years [HR = 0.239 in the validation cohort]) than in those with sustained high risk. Conclusion: The HCC risk model based on simple serum markers at any point after SVR and its change can identify patients with advanced fibrosis who are at low HCC risk, and these patients may be able to reduce HCC surveillance.

Short-term outcomes of laparoscopic versus open liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in older patients: a propensity score matching analysis

Background

The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) requiring surgical treatment in older patients has been continuously increasing. This study aimed to examine the safety and feasibility of performing laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) versus open liver resection (OLR) for HCC in older patients at a Japanese institution.

Methods

Between January 2010 and June 2021, 133 and 145 older patients (aged ≥ 70 years) who were diagnosed with HCC underwent LLR and OLR, respectively. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis with covariates of baseline characteristics was performed. The intraoperative and postoperative data were evaluated in both groups.

Results

After PSM, 75 patients each for LLR and OLR were selected and the data compared. No significant differences in demographic characteristics, clinical data, and operative times were observed between the groups, although less than 10% of cases in each group underwent a major resection. Blood loss (OLR: 370 mL, LLR: 50 mL; P < 0.001) was lower, and the length of postoperative hospital stay (OLR: 12 days, LLR: 7 days; P < 0.001) and time to start of oral intake (OLR: 2 days, LLR: 1 day; P < 0.001) were shorter in the LLR group than in the OLR group. The incidence of complications ≥ Clavien–Dindo class IIIa was similar between the two groups.

Conclusions

LLR, especially minor resections, is safely performed and feasible for selected older patients with HCC.

Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma using age and liver stiffness on transient elastography after hepatitis C virus eradication

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is a useful tool for assessing advanced liver fibrosis, an important risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatitis C (HCV) eradication. This study aimed to clarify the non-invasive factors associated with HCC following sustained virological response (SVR) and to identify the low-risk group. 567 patients without history of HCC who achieved SVR at 24 weeks (SVR24) after IFN-free treatment were retrospectively analyzed. The cumulative incidence of HCC and the risk factors were examined using pre-treatment and SVR24 data. The median observation period was 50.2 months. Thirty cases of HCC were observed, and the 4-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 5.9%. In multivariate analysis, significant pre-treatment factors were age ≥ 71 years (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.402) and LSM ≥ 9.2 kPa (HR: 6.328); SVR24 factors were age ≥ 71 years (HR: 2.689) and LSM ≥ 8.4 kPa (HR: 6.642). In cases with age < 71 years and LSM < 8.4 kPa at the time of SVR24, the 4-year cumulative incidence of HCC was as low as 1.1%. Both pre-treatment LSM (≥ 9.2 kPa) and SVR24 LSM (≥ 8.4 kPa) and age (≥ 71 years) are useful in predicting the risk of HCC after SVR with IFN-free treatment. Identification of low-risk individuals may improve the efficiency of follow-up.

Effects of Hepatitis C Virus Elimination by Direct-Acting Antiviral Agents on the Occurrence of Oral Lichen Planus and Periodontal Pathogen Load: A Preliminary Report

Objective

The association between hepatitis C virus (HCV) and oral lichen planus (OLP) is well known, but the association with periodontal disease has been reported less often. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of periodontal bacteria and OLP lesions before and after HCV elimination. Subjects and Methods. The subjects were four OLP patients (mean age 72.5 years) with HCV infection. Six types of periodontal bacteria (Aggregatibacter actinomycetemcomitans, Prevotella intermedia, Porphyromonas gingivalis, Tannerella forsythia, Treponema denticola, and Fusobacterium nucleatum) were quantified in saliva, and changes in OLP were examined before and after elimination of HCV by antiviral therapy. Biochemical blood tests also were performed.

Results

The total number of periodontal bacteria, the numbers of P. gingivalis, T. forsythia, T. denticola, and F. nucleatum, and the risk of presenting with the red-complex bacteria (P. gingivalis, T. forsythia, and T.denticola), leading to periodontal disease progression, decreased after HCV elimination. OLP disappeared in three of the four patients and decreased in the other after sustained virological responses (SVRs).

Conclusion

HCV elimination not only improved OLP lesions but also reduced the number of periodontal pathogens and the amount of red-complex periodontal pathogens.

Serum GP88 as a predictive biomarker for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with viral hepatitis C after direct-acting antiviral agents

BACKGROUND

Progranulin (GP88) is an 88-kDa glycoprotein growth factor with important biological effects in tumorigenesis and tumour survival. We investigated the usefulness of measuring serum GP88 concentrations as a predictive biomarker for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with viral hepatitis C after treatment with direct-acting antiviral agents.

METHODS

We measured the serum GP88 concentrations by using a sandwich enzyme-linked immunoassay from 67 healthy control subjects and 29 patients (20 patients who did not develop hepatocellular carcinoma and 9 patients who developed hepatocellular carcinoma after treatment) with viral hepatitis C after treatment with asunaprevir and daclatasvir.

RESULTS

The serum GP88 concentrations of patients with chronic hepatitis C prior to antiviral treatment were significantly higher than those of healthy control subjects. After antiviral treatment, the serum GP88 concentrations of patients who eventually developed hepatocellular carcinoma were significantly higher than those who did not develop hepatocellular carcinoma. The changes in the serum GP88 concentrations before and after treatment in patients who developed hepatocellular carcinoma were significantly lower than those in patients who did not develop hepatocellular carcinoma. The cumulative incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma was significantly higher in either patients with high serum GP88 concentrations after treatment or those with small changes of serum GP88 concentrations pre- and post-treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Sustained high concentrations of serum GP88 in patients treated with direct-acting antiviral agents are correlated with the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma.

Follow-Up of Patients Who Achieved Sustained Virologic Response after Interferon-Free Treatment against Hepatitis C Virus: Focus on Older Patients

Background and Objectives: Direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) have improved sustained virologic response (SVR) rates in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Our aim was to elucidate the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to compare the outcomes of patients aged 75 years or older (older group) with those of patients younger than 75 years (younger group) after SVR. Materials and Methods: Among 441 patients treated with interferon-free DAA combinations, a total of 409 SVR patients were analyzed. We compared the two age groups in terms of HCC incidence and mortality rates. Results: Older and younger groups consisted of 68 and 341 patients, respectively. Occurrence of HCC after SVR did not differ between the two groups of patients with a history of HCC. Occurrence of HCC after SVR was observed more in younger patients without a history of HCC (p < 0.01). Although older patients without a history of HCC had a higher mortality rate (p < 0.01), their causes of death were not associated with liver diseases. Among younger patients without a history of HCC, none died. Conclusions: After SVR, liver disease may not be a prognostic factor in older HCV patients without a history of HCC.

Systemic Treatment for Older Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The incidence rate of hepatocellular carcinoma is growing and age at diagnosis is increasing; however, despite the unprecedented wealth of therapeutic options for advanced HCC, its optimal management in some categories, such as older adults, is yet to be defined. Even though age is not an exclusion criterion per se, most of the landmark trials enrolled a limited number of senior patients, raising some concerns on the potential benefit of active treatments in this group. The identification of more vulnerable patients remains a crucial issue in clinical practice. In fact, the suitability assessment for systemic therapy through performance status metrics might underestimate or conversely overestimate the fitness of older patients, failing to detect other relevant impairments. Thus, the assessment of frailty through geriatric screening scales is largely necessary. In addition, most of the available data relate to the use of sorafenib, while very little is known about the most recent therapeutic agents. Age subgroup analyses provided by many of the pivotal trials did not find significant efficacy or safety differences across ages; however, the most widely used cut-off age of 65 years may not be very informative for the current older population. Regarding immunotherapy, the clinical benefit reported with immune checkpoint inhibitors reassures their safe use in senior patients and supports further investigations to assess their efficacy in this population.

Antitumor Effects of Triterpenes in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Triterpenes are a large group of secondary metabolites mainly produced by plants with a variety of biological activities, including potential antitumor effects. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a very common primary liver disease spread worldwide. The treatment can consist of surgical intervention, radiotherapy, immunotherapy and chemotherapeutic drugs. These drugs mainly include tyrosine multikinase inhibitors, although their use is limited by the underlying liver disease and displays side effects. For that reason, the utility of natural compounds such as triterpenes to treat HCC is an interesting line of research. No clinical studies are reported in humans so far.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present work is to review the knowledge about the effects of triterpenes as a possible coadjuvant tool to treat HCC.

RESULTS

In vitro and xenograft models have pointed out the cytotoxic and anti-proliferative effects as well as improvements in tumor growth and development of many triterpenes. In addition, they have also shown to be chemosensitizing agents when co-administered with chemotherapeutic agents. The mechanisms of action are diverse and involve the participation of mitogen-activated protein kinases, including JNK, p38 MAPK and ERK, and the survival-associated PI3K / Akt signaling pathway. However, no clinical studies are still reported in humans.

CONCLUSION

Triterpenes could become a future strategy to address HCC or at least improve results when administered in combination with chemotherapeutic agents.

Current Status of Therapeutic Choice and Feasibility for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Aged ≥ 70 Years: A Nationwide Cancer Registry Analysis

Background

The opportunities for examining elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have increased. We investigated the treatment of HCC for elderly patients and the overall survival associated with each treatment modality.

Methods

From January 2003 to December 2005 (n=578, period I) and January 2008 to December 2014 (n=2428, period II), the National Cancer Center and Korean Liver Cancer Association collected clinical data of 3006 patients with HCC aged ≥70 years old at 54 medical centers in Korea. We analyzed the treatment modalities and overall survival for patients with HCC aged ≥70 years.

Results

The mean age, Child-Pugh score, and model for end-stage liver disease score and proportion of male patients were not different between period I and period II (74 years, 6.6, 10.4 and 70.1% vs 76 years, 6.2, 9.9 and 67.3%). TNM stage II and BCLC stage A were most commonly noted in periods I and II (44.3% and 49.1% vs 40.4% and 40.2%). Transarterial therapy was the most commonly used treatment modality according to age in both periods. Surgical resection was associated with significant superior overall survival compared to local ablation and transarterial therapy (p<0.001). After propensity score matching between surgical resection and transarterial therapy in period II, surgical resection was associated with more favorable overall survival outcomes (median: 39 months vs 86 months, p<0.001).

Conclusion

Transarterial therapy was the most commonly used treatment modality for patients with HCC aged ≥70 years. However, surgical resection led to significantly higher overall survival rates compared to other treatment modalities.

Cost-effectiveness of a "treat-all" strategy using Direct-Acting Antivirals (DAAs) for Japanese patients with chronic hepatitis C genotype 1 at different fibrosis stages

Aim

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of therapeutic strategies initiated at different stages of liver fibrosis using three direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), sofosbuvir-ledipasvir (SL), glecaprevir-pibrentasvir (GP), and elbasvir plus grazoprevir (E/G), for Japanese patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) genotype 1.

Methods

We created an analytical decision model reflecting the progression of liver fibrosis stages to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of alternative therapeutic strategies applied at different fibrosis stages. We compared six treatment strategies: treating all patients regardless of fibrosis stage (TA), treating individual patients with one of four treatments starting at four respective stages of liver fibrosis progression (F1S: withholding treatment at stage F0 and starting treatment from stage F1 or higher, and three successive options, F2S, F3S, and F4S), and administering no antiviral treatment (NoRx). We adopted a lifetime horizon and Japanese health insurance payers’ perspective.

Results

The base case analysis showed that the incremental quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gain of TA by SL, GP, and E/G compared with the strategies of starting treatments for patients with the advanced fibrosis stage, F2S, varied from 0.32 to 0.33, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were US$24,320, US$18,160 and US$17,410 per QALY, respectively. On the cost-effectiveness acceptability curve, TA was most likely to be cost-effective, with the three DAAs at the willingness to pay thresholds of US$50,000.

Conclusions

Our results suggested that administration of DAA treatment for all Japanese patients with genotype 1 CHC regardless of their liver fibrosis stage would be cost-effective under ordinary conditions.

Liver Pathologic Changes After Direct-Acting Antiviral Agent Therapy and Sustained Virologic Response in the Setting of Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Infection

CONTEXT.—

Treatment of chronic viral hepatitis C (HCV) infection with direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) results in cure, or sustained viral response (SVR), in more than 90% of patients. However, there are subsets of patients who have persistent liver inflammation and fibrosis and develop hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) despite achieving SVR. A possible reason for these phenomena may be the presence of virus particles in liver tissue but not blood, otherwise defined as occult infection.

OBJECTIVE.—

To describe liver histologic findings following successful DAA therapy, test HCV RNA by (liver) tissue polymerase chain reaction in treated cases, and identify predictive markers for HCC development in treated cases.

DESIGN.—

A total of 96 identified patients were divided into 4 groups, each differentiated by the presence or absence of SVR and HCC. Groups were compared for several clinicopathologic variables, including degree of inflammation and fibrosis, and the 'directionality' of fibrosis in cirrhotic livers using the novel progressive-indeterminate-regressive scoring system.

RESULTS.—

Overall, we found a significant decrease in inflammation in SVR patients. None of the patients showed regression of their cirrhosis following treatment. No evidence of occult HCV infection was seen in 40 livers tested, including 21 with HCC. The number of patients who developed HCC was similar in the SVR and non-SVR groups, and increased inflammation and fibrosis were associated with HCC development.

CONCLUSIONS.—

Following DAA-SVR there appears to be an overall decrease in inflammation, but the fibrosis tends to persist, at least in the short term (median follow-up of 20.2 months).

Short- and Long-Term Outcomes After Hepatectomy in Elderly Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: An Analysis of 229 Cases from a Developing Country

Background

The number of elderly patients with HCC who undergo liver resection is increasing. Because of the advanced age of the patients, increased postoperative morbidity and reduced overall survival are expected in this population. The study aim was to compare clinicopathologic and operative features, short- and long-term outcomes among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients from three age groups undergoing potentially curative liver resection in a developing country.

Methods

Prospectively collected data relating to 229 patients who underwent curative-intent liver resection from January 2009 until December 2018 were analyzed. The patients were divided into two age groups: G1 was below 70 years old (n=151) and G2 was 70 years old and older (n=78). Demographic, clinical, operative data, short- and long-term outcomes were compared between the two groups. Univariate and multivariate analyses of prognostic factors were performed.

Results

The mean overall morbidity rate of the patients was 31.1% (G1), and 46.2% (G2) by age group. Postoperative morbidity was significantly higher in the G2 group (p=0.03). There was no difference in major morbidity between the two groups (p=0.214). No significant difference in mortality rate and overall survival was found between the study groups (p=0.280, p=0.383). Both age ≥70 years (ie, G2 group) and liver cirrhosis were identified as prognostic factors for postoperative morbidity, and a Child-Pugh score B as a negative prognostic factor for overall survival. In subgroup analysis of patients with cirrhosis, age ≥70, diabetes mellitus and perioperative transfusion were identified as prognostic factors for postoperative morbidity.

Conclusion

The study confirmed the safety and feasibility of liver resection in elderly patients with HCC. However, appropriate patient selection among the elderly is mandatory in order to improve short- and long-term outcomes.

Healthcare Utilization and Cost Burden of Porphyria in Commercially Insured Adults in the United States

OBJECTIVES

The healthcare burden associated with porphyria remains unevaluated despite the associated increased risks of morbidity and mortality. We aimed to assess the healthcare utilization and cost burdens of porphyria in the United States (US) using real-world claims data.

METHODS

We performed a case-control analysis of adults in the Truven Health MarketScan^® Commercial Claims database (2010-2015). Using propensity scores, 2788 porphyria cases were matched 1:1 to porphyria-free controls with chronic liver disease. Total and service-specific parameters were quantified for the 12 months before porphyria diagnosis versus the 12 months after diagnosis and over the 12 months following a randomly selected date for controls. Wilcoxon signed rank tests and McNemar tests were used to examine incremental differences in burden between cases and controls. Adjusted multivariable generalized linear regression models were used to compare healthcare burdens for cases versus controls.

RESULTS

Relative to the 12 months before porphyria diagnosis, the following 12 months had more claims per patient (35.94 vs 39.67; p < 0.0001) and increased per-patient healthcare costs (US$21,308 vs US$27,270; p < 0.0001). Porphyria cases incurred US$7839 more in total unadjusted costs compared with controls in the 12 months after index date. Compared with controls, cases also had more claims (39.67 vs 34.81), primarily due to inpatient admissions (1.80 vs 0.78) and outpatient visits (21.41 vs 17.98). Cases also had higher healthcare costs for inpatient admissions (US$8882 vs US$4674) and outpatient visits (US$12,378 vs US$9801).

CONCLUSION

Porphyria is associated with significant healthcare costs and utilization burdens driven by increased inpatient admissions, outpatient visits, and pharmaceutical claims.

Prognosis of late elderly patients with chronic hepatitis C after achieving a sustained viral response by direct-acting antivirals

BACKGROUND AND AIM

We investigated the prognosis of late elderly patients (≥75 years old) after the achievement of a sustained viral response (SVR) by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs).

METHODS

One hundred and four late elderly patients and 251 young patients (≤74 years old) who had achieved an SVR were included. We compared the cumulative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence rates and survival rates after DAA administration. Furthermore, the factors associated with HCC incidence and the causes of death after DAA administration were also investigated.

RESULTS

The cumulative HCC incidence rates for 1 and 3 years were 2.9% and 11.7% in the late elderly patients and 2.4% and 5.4% in the young patients, respectively. The cumulative survival rates for 1 and 3 years were 100% and 95.6% in the late elderly patients and 100% and 96.4% in the young patients, respectively, with no significant differences in those rates noted (P = 0.133, P = 0.322, respectively). In the late elderly patients, only a history of HCC was a significant factor associated with HCC incidence after DAA administration. Five late elderly patients died after achieving an SVR, and malignant liver tumor was the cause of death in three of those patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognosis did not differ markedly between late elderly patients and young patients. The factor most strongly influencing the prognosis of late elderly patients was likely liver disease, including HCC. DAAs should be introduced even in late elderly patients who can be expected to have a relative long-term survival.

Clinical and contrast-enhanced image features in the prediction model for the detection of small hepatocellular carcinomas

Purpose: To identify novel radiological features and clinical characteristics to improve diagnostic criteria for early detection of small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Patients and Methods: We retrospectively recruited asymptomatic patients with no history of HCC but a high risk of HCC in whom a new, solitary, well-defined, solid nodule between 10 and 20 mm was detected through a screening ultrasound. We retrospectively collected all clinical data, and patients were examined using dynamic contrast-enhanced computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging; subsequently, fine-needle biopsy was performed. A multivariate analysis of the predictors of small HCCs was performed by fitting a multiple logistic regression model with the stepwise variable selection method. Results: In total, 392 and 347 patients with a small liver nodule received a final pathologic confirmation of HCC and non-HCC, respectively. The estimated odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals of tumor size > 12.45 mm, age > 56.61 years, liver cirrhosis, hepatitis C virus (HCV) carrier status, ln alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) > 1.954, arterial phase enhancement, and portal or venous phase washout appearance without arterial phase enhancement were 2.0735 (1.4746-2.9155), 1.8878 (1.2949-2.7521), 1.6927 (1.1294-2.5369), 1.6186 (1.0347-2.5321), 2.0297 (1.3342-3.0876), 3.7451 (2.3845-5.8821), and 2.0327 (1.3500-3.0608), respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for the diagnosis of small HCCs was 0.79 for arterial phase enhancement and 0.75 for portal or venous phase washout appearance without arterial phase enhancement. Conclusion: Clinical and contrast-enhanced image features are valuable in the prediction model for the detection and early diagnosis of small HCCs in patients with a high risk of HCC. In addition to negative portal or venous washout and negative arterial enhancement in images, age > 56.61 years, tumor size > 12.45 mm, HCV carrier status, and ln(AFP) > 1.954, are useful indicators for the early detection of small HCCs.

Laparoscopic versus Open Hepatectomy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Elderly Patients: A Single-Institutional Propensity Score Matching Comparison

BACKGROUND

The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in elderly patients is increasing worldwide. Although open hepatectomy (OH) yields acceptable outcomes, high morbidity rate is concerned. Laparoscopic hepatectomy (LH) has evolved to improve perioperative outcomes. However, comparative study between both techniques for elderly patients with HCC is scarce.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to compare outcomes between LH and OH specifically.

METHODS

HCC patients aged ≥70 years after hepatectomy (2003-2018) were included. The propensity score matching (PSM) and comparative analyses between groups were performed.

RESULTS

After PSM, there were 41 patients in each group with similar demographics, radiographic tumor characteristics, cirrhotic status, and extent of resection. The LH group had a shorter hospital stay (7 vs. 11 days, p = 0.002) compared with the OH group. The completeness of resection and complication rates were not statistically different between groups. The 5-year overall survival and recurrence-free survival rates were 86.7 and 43.4% in the LH group and 62.2 and 30.8% in the OH group (p = 0.221 and 0.500).

CONCLUSION

Our study confirmed the operative and oncological safety of LH in elderly HCC patients with improved perioperative outcomes compared with OH.

Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer as a novel predictive biomarker for patient survival after hepatitis C virus eradication by DAAs

BACKGROUND

It is crucial to identify risk factors for life prognosis after hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication among patients with or without a high risk of liver cancer or complications.

METHODS

This is a prospective, multicenter and observational study using the database of 1031 patients after HCV eradication by direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) to evaluate the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and patients' survival after a sustained virological response (SVR). The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate hazard ratios associated with HCC development and survival.

RESULTS

AFP at SVR was significantly associated with HCC recurrence in the adjusted model. Liver fibrosis, Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) at SVR and smoking status before treatment were positively associated with the development of HCC and M2BPGi was positively associated with HCC recurrence, although not reaching statistical significance. Among patients without a history of HCC, M2BPGi and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at SVR were significantly associated with death after viral eradication [M2BPGi (HR 4.07, 95% CI 1.22, 13.57), eGFR (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.94, 0.99)]. Strikingly, of 16 patients who died, among participants without a history of HCC, only two died of liver cancer associated with HCV, whereas 11 died of non-HCV- related cancer or cardiovascular diseases.

CONCLUSION

M2BPGi at SVR is a potential predictor for patients' survival and a candidate biomarker for detecting individuals who are at greater risk of death due to cancer-related and unrelated to HCV, as well as cardiovascular diseases, after viral eradication.

Elderly Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients: Open or Laparoscopic Approach?

It remains unclear whether the short-term benefits and long-term outcomes of laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) accrue to elderly patients with medical comorbidities. The aim of the present study was to compare the outcomes between LLR and open liver resection (OLR) in elderly patients (≥65 years) with solitary, treatment-naïve solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). From January 2013 to August 2017, 256 elderly patients with solitary treatment-naive HCC underwent liver resection. All patients were Child–Pugh class A and older than 65 years. The OLR and LLR groups contained 160 and 96 patients, respectively. The median tumor size in the OLR group was significantly larger than that in the LLR group (3.9 vs. 2.6 cm), but the tumor size did not differ between the two groups after matching. The median operation time, blood loss, transfusion rate, and postoperative complications in the OLR group did not differ from those in the LLR group, but the operation time in the LLR group was longer than that in the OLR group after matching. The median hospitalization in the LLR group was significantly shorter than that in the OLR group. Disease-free survival (DFS) in the LLR group was better than that in the OLR group before and after matching, but the difference was not significant. Patient survival (PS) in the LLR group was similar to that in the OLR group. LLR is feasible and safe for elderly patients with solitary, treatment-naïve HCC. The short- and long-term benefits of LLR are evident in geriatric oncological liver surgery patients.

Management of Adverse Events Associated with Cabozantinib Treatment in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Cabozantinib is an oral multikinase inhibitor whose targets include vascular endothelial growth factor receptors, MET, and the TAM family of kinases (TYRO3, AXL, MER). Cabozantinib is approved for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma who have been previously treated with sorafenib, based on improved overall survival and progression-free survival relative to placebo in the phase III CELESTIAL study. During CELESTIAL, the most common adverse events (AEs) experienced by patients receiving cabozantinib included palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia, fatigue, gastrointestinal-related events, and hypertension. These AEs can significantly impact treatment tolerability and patient quality of life. However, AEs can be effectively managed with supportive care and dose modifications. During CELESTIAL, more than half of the patients receiving cabozantinib required a dose reduction, while the rate of treatment discontinuation due to AEs was low. Here, we review the safety profile of cabozantinib and provide guidance on the prevention and management of the more common AEs, based on current evidence from the literature as well as our clinical experience. We consider the specific challenges faced by clinicians in treating this patient population and discuss factors that may affect exposure and tolerability to cabozantinib.

JSH Guidelines for the Management of Hepatitis C Virus Infection, 2019 Update; Protective Effect of Antiviral Therapy against Hepatocarcinogenesis

The Drafting Committee for Hepatitis Management Guidelines established by the Japan Society of Hepatology (JSH) drafted the first version of the clinical practice guidelines for the management of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in 2012. Since then, we have been publishing updates as new drugs for hepatitis C become available and new indications for existing drugs are added. The new approval of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir prompted us to publish the seventh version of the guidelines in Japanese in March 2019. We also published the first English-language version of the JSH guidelines in 2013 and English versions of updates made to the Japanese-language guidelines in 2014 and 2016. In 2020, the committee has decided to publish a new English version, covering general information about treatment for hepatitis C, drugs used, recommended treatments for chronic hepatitis and cirrhosis, and special populations, such as patients who have renal impairment, are on dialysis, or have developed recurrence of hepatitis C after liver transplantation. Furthermore, the committee has released a separate publication covering the protective effect of antiviral therapy against hepatocarcinogenesis.

Characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma arising from Fontan-associated liver disease

AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can arise from Fontan-associated liver disease (FALD); this is known as FALD-HCC. The clinical features of FALD-HCC are unclear. Thus, we examined the incidence and clinical characteristics of FALD-HCC.

METHODS

From 1972 to 2019, 122 patients developed liver disease after undergoing Fontan procedures. HCC was diagnosed in 12 (9.8%) FALD patients. We compared FALD-HCC and non-HCC patients.

RESULTS

The incidence of HCC was 0.8% and 2.9% in FALD 10 and 20 years after the Fontan procedure, respectively. The median age of patients at diagnosis of HCC was 32.5 years (range 20.6-46.1 years), and seven of the 12 patients were men. Patients with FALD-HCC had a higher incidence of liver cirrhosis and polysplenia than non-HCC patients. Liver tumors were detected as single nodules in eight patients, and the median diameter was 47 mm (range 11-105 mm). HCC was treated by surgical resection in two patients, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization or chemotherapy in three patients, and proton beam therapy in four patients. Three patients could not be treated because of their poor condition. Four patients died of liver/cardiac failure and HCC, and HCC was controlled in three patients. The survival rate after 25 years was significantly lower in patients with FALD-HCC than non-HCC patients (68.6% vs. 97.9%, respectively; P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Of the 122 patients with FALD, 12 developed HCC 20 years after surgery. Because complications of HCC are associated with poor prognosis, constant surveillance for HCC should begin 10 years after surgery.

A Telephone and Mail Outreach Program Successfully Increases Uptake of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Society guidelines recommend surveillance with abdominal ultrasound with or without serum alpha-fetoprotein every 6 months for adults at increased risk of developing HCC. However, adherence is often suboptimal. We assessed the feasibility of a coordinated telephone outreach program for unscreened patients with cirrhosis within the Veteran's Affairs (VA) health care system. Using a patient care dashboard of advanced chronic liver disease in the VA Greater Los Angeles Healthcare System, we identified veterans with a diagnosis of cirrhosis, a platelet count ≤ 150,000/uL, and no documented HCC surveillance in the previous 8 months. Eligible veterans received a telephone call from a patient navigator to describe the risks and benefits of HCC surveillance. Orders for an abdominal ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein were placed for veterans who agreed to surveillance. Veterans who were not reached by telephone received an informational letter by mail to encourage participation. Of the 129 veterans who met the eligibility criteria, most were male (96.9%). The most common etiology for cirrhosis was hepatitis C (64.3%), and most of the patients had compensated cirrhosis (68.2%). The patient navigators reached 32.5% of patients by phone. Patients in each group were similar across clinical and demographic characteristics. Patients who were called were more likely to undergo surveillance (adjusted odds ratio = 2.56, 95% confidence interval: 1.03-6.33). Most of the patients (72.1%) completed abdominal imaging when reached by phone. Conclusion: Targeted outreach increased uptake of HCC surveillance among patients with cirrhosis in a large, integrated, VA health care system.

Cost-effectiveness of increased screening and treatment of chronic hepatitis C in Korea

Background: Given a hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination goal by 2030, World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines recommend scaling up HCV screening and treatment with highly-effective direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). This study investigated the cost-effectiveness of various screening and treatment strategies for chronic HCV patients in South Korea in patients aged over 40 as compared to currently screening only high-risk patients.Methods: A published Markov disease progression model was used with a screening/treatment decision-tree to model different screening and treatment strategies for Korean HCV patients (aged over 40) from a national payer perspective over a lifetime time horizon. The screening strategies included "screen-all" (upfront only: "once"; or upfront and age 65: "twice") or a "high-risk only" screening strategy followed by treatment. Treatment strategies included either ledipasvir/sofosbuvir (LDV/SOF), SOF + ribavirin (SOF + RBV; in GT2 only), or glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB). Model inputs were sourced from published literature and costing databases and validated by Korean hepatologists.Results: Regardless of treatment strategy, a "screen all twice" scenario led to the lowest rates of advanced liver disease events compared to "screen all once" and "high-risk only" screening scenarios. In this screening scenario, treatment with LDV/SOF for GT1/2 dominates (i.e. is more effective and less4costly) LDV/SOF in GT1 and SOF + RBV in GT2, while GLE/PIB is not cost-effective relative to LDV/SOF (₩105,124,920/QALY) at a willingness-to-pay threshold of 1xGDP per capita.Conclusion: Screening all South Korean patients twice followed by LDV/SOF treatment is cost-effective as compared current high-risk screening. Adopting this strategy can help achieve WHO HCV elimination goals.

Survival and Tolerability of Transarterial Chemoembolization in Greater Versus less than 70 Years of Age Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Propensity Score Analysis

BACKGROUND

The number of elderly patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is progressively increasing. The aim of this study was to determine the safety and efficacy of conventional transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in elderly HCC patients compared with younger adults.

METHODS

A consecutive cohort of unresectable HCC patients treated with TACE as a first-line treatment was retrospectively analyzed. Patients were categorized into "elderly" (≥ 70 years, 80 patients) and "younger" (< 70 years, 145 patients). Liver-related death and progression-free survival after TACE were compared before and after propensity score matching. A competing risk regression analysis was used for univariate/multivariate survival data analysis.

RESULTS

cTACE was well tolerated in both groups. The cumulative risk of both liver-related death and progression-free survival after cTACE was comparable between "elderly" and "younger" (death: 73.8% vs 69.4%, P = 0.505; progression-free survival: 48.2% vs 44.8%, P = 0.0668). Propensity model matched 61 patients in each group for gender and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging. Even after matching, the cumulative risk of liver-related death and of progression-free survival did not differ between the two groups. At multivariate analysis, Child-Pugh class, tumor gross pathology and alpha-fetoprotein were independently associated with the liver-related mortality risk.

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirms that TACE is well tolerated and effective in patients aged 70 years or more with unresectable HCC as it is for their younger counterparts (< 70 years). Liver-related mortality was not associated with age ≥ 70 years and primarily predicted by tumor multifocality, Child-Pugh class B and an increased alpha-fetoprotein value (> 31 ng/ml).