Correlation of biochemical response to interferon alfa with histological improvement in hepatitis C: a meta-analysis of diagnostic test characteristics

Progressive fibrosis significantly correlates with hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with a sustained virological response

AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma develops even in some patients who achieve a sustained virological response following treatment for hepatitis C virus infection. This study investigated the relationship between changes in fibrosis, as assessed by sequential biopsies, and development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients who achieved a sustained virological response for hepatitis C virus.

METHODS

We enrolled 97 patients with sustained virological response who had undergone initial biopsies before therapy and sequential biopsies at an average of 5.8 ± 1.9 years after the initial biopsy. Factors associated with hepatocellular carcinoma were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

The liver fibrotic stage regressed in 44 patients (45%), remained stable in 47 patients (48%) and progressed in six patients (6%). The fibrotic stage significantly decreased, from 1.54 ± 0.86 to 1.16 ± 1.07 units. Hepatocellular carcinoma was identified in 12 patients (12.4%). The cumulative incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with progressive fibrosis was significantly higher than that in patients with regressed or stable fibrosis (P < 0.001). A Cox proportional hazards regression analysis confirmed that progressive fibrosis in sequential liver biopsies (hazard ratio [HR], 8.30; P = 0.001) and low platelet counts before treatment (HR, 8.69; P = 0.006) were significant independent factors associated with the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with a sustained virological response.

CONCLUSION

Progressive fibrosis, assessed by sequential biopsies, was significantly correlated with development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients who had achieved a sustained virological response for hepatitis C virus.

Effects and tolerance of silymarin (milk thistle) in chronic hepatitis C virus infection patients: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of silymarin on chronic hepatitis C virus- (HCV-) infected patients.

METHODS

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of silymarin in chronic HCV-infected patients up to April 1, 2014 were systematically identified in PubMed, Ovid, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases.

RESULTS

A total of 222 and 167 patients in five RCTs were randomly treated with silymarin (or intravenous silibinin) and placebo, respectively. Serum HCV RNA relatively decreased in patients treated with silymarin compared with those administered with placebo, but no significance was found (P = 0.09). Meta-analysis of patients orally treated with silymarin indicated that the changes of HCV RNA are similar in the two groups (P = 0.19). The effect on alanine aminotransferase (ALT) of oral silymarin is not different from that of placebo (P = 0.45). Improvements in quality-of-life (Short Form-36) in both silymarin and placebo recipients were impressive but relatively identical (P = 0.09).

CONCLUSION

Silymarin is well tolerated in chronic HCV-infected patients. However, no evidence of salutary effects of oral silymarin has yet been reported based on intermediate endpoints (ALT and HCV RNA) in this population. Moreover, intravenous administration of silymarin should be further studied.

Interferon-based therapy decreases risks of hepatocellular carcinoma and complications of cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis C patients

Background

Interferon-based therapy (IBT) has been the standard of care for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. However, conflicting results exist regarding the effects of IBT on risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and cirrhosis-associated complications, and most included highly selected patients.

Methods

This 8-year cohort study was based on the Longitudinal Health Insurance Database 2000 (LHID 2000) consisting of 1,000,000 beneficiaries randomly selected from all Taiwan National Health Insurance enrollees in 2000 (>23.7 million). Patients with newly detected HCV infections (n = 11,264) were classified based on treatment and clinical outcomes. IBTs were defined as regimens that included interferon- alfa, pegylated interferon- alfa -2a, or pegylated interferon- alfa -2b for at least 3 months. The Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and associated confidence interval (CI) of HCC and cirrhosis-associated complications for IBT.

Results

The 8-year incidence rate for HCC was 3.9% among patients who received IBT and 5.6% among those who did not. The HCC-free survival rate was significantly higher among patients receiving IBT during the 8-year period than their counterpart (adjusted HR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.31–0.81; P = .004). Similarly, the event-free survival rates for esophageal variceal bleeding (adjusted HR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.22–0.91; P = .026), hepatic encephalopathy (adjusted HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.21–0.69; P = .001), ascites (adjusted HR, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.14–0.57; P<.001), and cirrhosis (adjusted HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.44–0.91; P = .013) were significantly higher among patients who received IBT than those who did not, after adjustment for associated factors.

Conclusion

Treatment with interferon may reduce the 8-year risk of HCC and cirrhosis-associated complications in patients with chronic HCV infection.

Effect of silymarin (milk thistle) on liver disease in patients with chronic hepatitis C unsuccessfully treated with interferon therapy: a randomized controlled trial

CONTEXT

The botanical product silymarin, an extract of milk thistle, is commonly used by patients to treat chronic liver disease, despite scant and conflicting evidence of its efficacy.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effect of silymarin on liver disease activity in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection unsuccessfully treated with interferon-based therapy.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial conducted at 4 medical centers in the United States. Participants included 154 persons with chronic HCV infection and serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels of 65 U/L or greater who were previously unsuccessfully treated with interferon-based therapy. Enrollment began in May 2008 and was completed in May 2010, with the last follow-up visit completed in March 2011.

INTERVENTION

Participants were randomly assigned to receive 420-mg silymarin, 700-mg silymarin, or matching placebo administered 3 times per day for 24 weeks.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome measure was serum ALT level of 45 U/L or less (considered within the normal range) or less than 65 U/L, provided this was at least a 50% decline from baseline values. Secondary outcomes included changes in ALT levels, HCV RNA levels, and quality-of-life measures.

RESULTS

After 24 weeks of treatment, only 2 participants in each treatment group (P ≥ .99) met the primary outcome measure (3.8% [95% CI, 0.5% to 13.2%] for placebo, 4.0% [95% CI, 0.5% to 13.7%] for 420-mg silymarin, and 3.8% [95% CI, 0.5% to 13.2%] for 700-mg silymarin). The mean decline in serum ALT activity at the end of treatment did not differ significantly (P = .75) across the 3 treatment groups (mean decline, -4.3 [95% CI, -17.3 to 8.7] U/L for placebo, -14.4 [95% CI, -41.6 to 12.7] U/L for 420-mg silymarin, -11.3 [95% CI, -27.9 to 5.4] U/L for 700-mg silymarin); there likewise were no significant differences in HCV RNA levels (mean change, 0.07 [95% CI, -0.05 to 0.18] log10 IU/mL for placebo, -0.03 [95% CI, -0.18 to 0.12] log10 IU/mL for 420-mg silymarin, 0.04 [95% CI, -0.08 to 0.16] log10 IU/mL for 700-mg silymarin; P = .54) or quality-of-life measures. The adverse event profile of silymarin was comparable with that of placebo.

CONCLUSION

Higher than customary doses of silymarin did not significantly reduce serum ALT levels more than placebo in participants with chronic HCV infection unsuccessfully treated with interferon-based therapy.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00680342.

Long-term cohort study of chronic hepatitis C according to interferon efficacy

BACKGROUND AND AIM

We investigated the prognosis of patients with C-viral chronic liver disease (C-CLD) according to the efficacy of interferon (IFN) therapy in a long-term retrospective cohort study.

METHODS

Of 721 patients with C-CLD who underwent liver biopsy between January 1986 and December 2005, 577 were treated with IFN, and 221 of these patients achieved sustained virological response (SVR) with a follow-up period of 9.9 ± 5.3 years.

RESULTS

The annual rate of HCC development was 2.71%/year, 2.31%/year, and 0.24%/year in untreated, non-SVR, and SVR patients, respectively. Multivariate Cox proportional regression analysis showed that the risk of HCC development was significantly lower in SVR patients than in untreated or non-SVR patients; moreover, this risk was similar in non-SVR patients and untreated patients. The annual mortality rate in overall death was 3.19%/year, 1.98%/year, and 0.44%/year in untreated, non-SVR, and SVR patients, respectively. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that the SVR status reduced the risk ratio for overall death to 0.173, whereas the non-SVR status did not significantly reduce the risk ratio.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk ratio of overall death and HCC development was significantly reduced in SVR patients, whereas no significant reduction was found in non-SVR patients in a long-term cohort study.

Rationale, challenges, and participants in a Phase II trial of a botanical product for chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis C is associated with significant morbidity and mortality as a consequence of progression to cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver failure. Current treatment for chronic hepatitis C with pegylated interferon (IFN) and ribavirin is associated with suboptimal responses and numerous adverse effects. A number of botanical products have been used to treat hepatic disorders. Silymarin, extracted from the milk thistle plant, Silybum marianum (L) Gaertn. (Asteraceae), has been most widely used for various liver disorders, including chronic hepatitis C, B, and alcoholic liver disease. However, the safety and efficacy of silymarin have not been studied systematically in chronic hepatitis C.

PURPOSE

We describe our strategy for a phased approach for studying the impact of silymarin in hepatitis C, in the context of the unique challenges of botanical product clinical trials and the development of specific and curative antiviral therapy.

METHODS

This multicenter, randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled trial was conducted with four clinical centers and a data-coordinating center in the United States, to assess the impact of silymarin therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis C who failed conventional antiviral therapy.

RESULTS

Key aspects relevant to performing clinical trials of botanical products include early identification of an appropriate product with standard product chemistry, acquisition of pharmacokinetic and dosing information, selection of the appropriate study group, and choosing rigorous outcome variables. POTENTIAL LIMITATIONS: Trial participants were chronic hepatitis C patients who were nonsustained virologic responders to IFN-based therapy; therefore, the findings are not generalizable to all hepatitis C populations. Further, alanine aminotransferase, a biochemical liver test, rather than hepatitis viral RNA or liver histology was the primary end point.

CONCLUSIONS

The challenges identified and addressed during development of this United States multicenter Phase II trial to evaluate silymarin for treatment of patients with chronic hepatitis C infection who had failed to respond successfully to previous IFN-based therapy are common and must be addressed to conduct rigorous trials of botanical products.

Methotrexate in patients with primary biliary cirrhosis who respond incompletely to treatment with ursodeoxycholic acid

BACKGROUND

Approximately 35% of PBC patients have progressive disease despite treatment with UDCA.

AIMS

We offered treatment with methotrexate and colchicine to PBC patients who had not responded fully to UDCA, after at least 1 year of treatment.

METHODS

A total of 91 PBC patients failed to respond adequately to UDCA, defined as patients whose liver biopsies showed persistent interface hepatitis and whose serum alkaline phosphatase levels remained more than 50% above normal after at least 12 months on UDCA. We added colchicine (0.6 mg orally twice daily) for 6 months. If there was no decrease in alkaline phosphatase, methotrexate (0.25 mg/kg lean body weight orally per week) was added. Liver biopsies were performed at least three times: at diagnosis, after a patient had been on UDCA for at least 1 year (mean 3.4 years), and after a patient had been on methotrexate for at least 6 months (mean 2.2 years). A fourth liver biopsy was performed in 51 patients after they had been on methotrexate for at least another year (mean 3.5 years).

RESULTS

From the time that methotrexate was begun until the final visit, there were significant decreases in the mean levels of alkaline phosphatase, 323 to 151, ALT, 73 to 39, fibrosis, 2.5 to 2.0, and inflammation scores, 2.0 to 1.0, (p < 0.0001 for all). Based on pre-specified definitions, 73 patients (80%) responded to methotrexate while 18 (20%) did not.

CONCLUSIONS

In 91 PBC patients who responded incompletely to UDCA, colchicine and methotrexate significantly improved liver enzyme tests and liver histology.

Clinical effectiveness and cost effectiveness of tailoring chronic hepatitis C treatment with peginterferon alpha-2b plus ribavirin to HCV genotype and early viral response: a decision analysis based on German guidelines

BACKGROUND

Recently developed German guidelines for antiviral treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis C recommend basing drug dosage, intended treatment duration and early stopping rules on the genotype of the hepatitis C virus and early viral responses to treatment.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate effectiveness and cost effectiveness of different antiviral treatment strategies including the German guidelines, for chronic hepatitis C.

METHODS

A validated lifetime Markov model was used to project life expectancy, QALYs and lifetime costs for the following strategies: (i) no antiviral therapy (NoAVT); (ii) interferon-alpha-2b plus ribavirin for 48 weeks (IFN + R); (iii) peginterferon-alpha-2b plus weight-based ribavirin for 48 weeks (PEG + R); (iv) peginterferon-alpha-2b plus ribavirin according to German guidelines with genotype-dependent treatment duration, dosage and 12-week viral response evaluation (GUIDE). Clinical and resource utilization data were derived from a clinical trial, the published literature and a survey of German hepatologists. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated adopting the German societal perspective. Costs (in euro, year 2005 values) and health outcomes were discounted at 3% annually. Uncertainty was assessed using deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

Compared with NoAVT, PEG + R increased undiscounted life expectancy by 5.0 life-years (5.2 QALYs) and GUIDE increased undiscounted life expectancy by 4.9 years (5.1 QALYs). Compared with PEG + R, GUIDE saved 13% of hepatitis C virus-related lifetime costs per patient. GUIDE dominated IFN + R. Compared with NoAVT, discounted ICERs were euro1500 per QALY for GUIDE and euro3200 per QALY for PEG + R.

CONCLUSION

Administering GUIDE should allow tailoring treatment efficiently to genotype, bodyweight and early viral response in patients with chronic hepatitis C, and appears cost effective compared with other well accepted medical interventions.

Peginterferon-α2a in the treatment of chronic hepatitis C

Chronic hepatitis C virus infection occurs worldwide and affects over 2.7 million adults in North America. Current standard of care is the combination of pegylated (peg) interferon and ribavirin for 24 weeks in hepatitis C virus genotypes 2 or 3 and at least 48 weeks in chronic hepatitis C virus infection genotypes 1 or 4. Peginterferon-α2a is a 40-kDa linear pegylated molecule that alters the pharmacokinetic properties of unmodified interferon-α. In clinical trials evaluating the combination of peginterferon-α2a and ribavirin in chronic chronic hepatitis C virus infection, sustained virologic response rates have been achieved in 46–52% of patients with genotype 1 and 76–80% of patients with genotypes 2 or 3. Studies on the role of longer treatment duration and retreatment in prior nonresponders are in progress. The main toxicities of peginterferon-α2a are flu-like symptoms and neuropsychiatric disorders, especially depression and cytopenias, and are found in similar rates to those observed with regular inteferon. Future areas of study include the role of peginterferon-α2a in combination with the newer oral chronic hepatitis C virus infection active agents in development.

Sustained viral response to pegylated interferon alpha-2b and ribavirin in chronic hepatitis C refractory to prior treatment

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection refractory to previous therapy is common. Treatment of patients with refractory disease is difficult and less studied. Pegylated interferon alpha-2b plus ribavirin is used for treatment of HCV patients naïve to therapy. We conducted a randomized study for refractory HCV patients using a high- vs. a low-dose pegylated interferon alpha-2b and ribavirin protocol. Our aim was (1) to determine the efficacy of pegylated interferon alpha-2b plus ribavirin to eradicate HCV in previously treated individuals and (2) to compare a low-dose to a high-dose regimen. One hundred fifty-two patients were initiated in the study, 112 (74%) were male and 40 (26%) female. Nineteen percent of patients obtained a sustained viral response (SVR) in the high-dose arm. Prior relapsers had the highest SVR rates: 50% in non-genotype 1 and 34% in genotype 1. The odds of achieving a SVR were six times higher in previous relapsers. The rate of SVR in genotype 1 patients who were nonresponders to prior therapy was only 8%. All patients who achieved a SVR had no detectable virus at week 24. However, only half of those who had undetectable viral titers at week 24 achieved a SVR. In conclusion, retreatment of patients with refractory hepatitis C infection with interferon alpha-2b and ribavirin combination therapy is well tolerated and gives modest response rates. The most important factor in predicting response to therapy is the manner of response to previous treatment. The likelihood of response to treatment can be predicted from the viral titers at 24 weeks.

Liquiritigenin, an aglycone of liquiritin in Glycyrrhizae radix, prevents acute liver injuries in rats induced by acetaminophen with or without buthionine sulfoximine

Glycyrrhizae radix has been used as one of the oldest and most frequently employed botanicals in both western and oriental countries. Previously, we showed that liquiritigenin (LQ), an aglycone of liquiritin in G. radix, exerts cytoprotective effects against heavy metal-induced toxicity in vitro. This study investigated in vivo protective effects of LQ against acute liver injuries induced by acetaminophen (APAP) or APAP plus buthionine sulfoximine (BSO). Liver injuries were assessed by blood biochemistry and histopathology in rats administered with LQ purified from the acid hydrolyates of liquiritin singly (p.o. or i.v., 2-4 days) or in combination with dimethyl-4,4'-dimethoxy-5,6,5',6'-dimethylenedioxybiphenyl-2,2'-dicarboxylate (DDB), a synthetic derivative of Schisandrin C in Fructus shizandrae, and exposed to APAP or APAP + BSO. LQ treatments (oral) effectively decreased liver injuries induced by a single dose of APAP, as evidenced by decreases in hepatic necrosis and inflammation as well as plasma alanine aminotransferase and lactate dehydrogenase activities. LQ, when intravenously applied, enhanced hepatoprotective effect with a greater potency. APAP + BSO led to severe liver injuries, resulting in lethality. LQ pretreatments significantly reduced the potentiated liver necrosis, decreasing mortality. In spite of the improvement in blood biochemistry, DDB failed to protect the liver from injuries induced by APAP or APAP + BSO. Combined treatments of rats with LQ and DDB showed some additive protective effect. The present study demonstrates that LQ efficaciously protects the liver from acute injuries induced by APAP or from APAP-induced severe injuries during GSH deficiency, indicating that LQ is one of the principal cytoprotective components comprised in G. radix.

Hepatitis C: cost of illness and considerations for the economic evaluation of antiviral therapies

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection affects 170 million individuals worldwide. As it is detected incidentally through the evaluation of liver function tests or at the time of blood donor testing, it is usually clinically silent until the advanced stages of liver disease have occurred, when treatment is less effective and shortages of donor liver organs limit the therapeutic options. Combination therapy with ribavirin and pegylated interferon has resulted in sustained viral negative response rates of 54-61%. Because treatment is expensive and not uniformly effective, and because not all chronically infected patients will develop complications, concerns have arisen regarding the cost effectiveness of combination therapy. This paper reviews the public health and individual implications of HCV infections. Because of the latency of infection, numerous country-specific population analyses suggest that HCV will cause an increasing number of liver-related deaths over the next 10 years, despite the dramatic drop in incidence over the past 10-15 years. These deaths will be related to prevalent HCV infection from transfusion and injection drug use prior to identification of the virus and availability of screening tests in the late 1980s and early 1990s. HCV can reduce life expectancy and impair quality of life, yet not all patients will develop progressive liver disease, and antiviral treatment may have associated adverse effects. Finally, to assess the value of antiviral drugs for HCV infection, this paper reviews studies examining the costs of antiviral drugs and of the disease itself along with response to antiviral therapy and the cost effectiveness of antiviral therapy. Although antiviral therapy appears to be expensive, when also considering the likelihood of sustained viral response to therapy, and the cost savings, quality-of-life improvement and prolongation of life expectancy from the prevention of HCV complications, antiviral treatment for HCV appears to be cost effective when compared with other well accepted medical interventions.

Garlic oil and DDB, comprised in a pharmaceutical composition for the treatment of patients with viral hepatitis, prevents acute liver injuries potentiated by glutathione deficiency in rats

A pharmaceutical composition PENNEL comprising garlic oil (GO) and dimethyl-4,4'-dimethoxy-5,6,5',6'-dimethylene dioxybiphenyl-2,2'-dicarboxylate (DDB) as ingredients active for phase II enzyme induction and liver protection, respectively, has been used as a curative preparation for patients with acute or chronic viral hepatitis. In spite of the wide clinical use of PENNEL in Asian and Middle Eastern countries, whether GO+DDB treatment synergistically protects the liver from injuries potentiated by GSH deficiency compared to the individual treatment has not been determined. This study investigated the effects of GO+DDB in comparison with each ingredient alone on chemical-induced liver injury potentiated by a GSH depleting agent. Rats that had been daily pretreated with GO+DDB, GO, DDB, ursodesoxycholic acid or silymarin for 6 days were exposed to buthionine sulfoximine (BSO) and then injected with a single dose of CCl4. The effects of the agents on acute liver toxicities induced by BSO, CCl4 or BSO+CCl4 were assessed by blood biochemistry and histopathology. GO+DDB pretreatment effectively prevented increases in plasma aminotransferases or lactate dehydrogenase activities in rats exposed to BSO+CCl4, compared to GO or DDB treatment alone. Whereas BSO potentiated CCl4-induced liver injuries as evidenced by elevations in central necrosis, hepatocyte degeneration and inflammation, pretreatment with GO+DDB abrogated BSO+CCl4-induced liver injuries more efficaciously than did that with GO or DDB. The hepatoprotective effect of GO+DDB was superior to that of ursodesoxycholic acid or silymarin. Also, blood biochemistry indicated that GO+DDB pretreatment prevented increases in plasma triglyceride contents in rats insulted with CCl4 or BSO+CCl4. The present study demonstrated that GO+DDB, when daily pretreated for six consecutive days, exerted synergistic protection of the liver from chemical-induced injury potentiated by the condition of GSH deficiency, and has additional advantages in lowering the plasma lipids.

Using competence network collaboration and decision-analytic modeling to assess the cost-effectiveness of interferon alpha-2b plus ribavirin as initial treatment of chronic hepatitis C in Germany

The objective of this study was to translate and apply a decision-analytic model for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) to the German health care context using competence network collaboration. The German Hepatitis C Model (GEHMO) competence network used a systematic multistep approach to identify and transfer a high quality Markov model for CHC to the German health care context. GEHMO was used to project lifetime clinical and economic outcomes and to determine the cost-effectiveness of initial antiviral therapy with interferon a-2b plus ribavirin from a societal perspective. In 40-year-old patients combination therapy for 24 and 48 weeks increased life expectancy by 1.6 and 2.3 years, respectively, compared with interferon alone for 48 weeks. The discounted incremental cost-utility ratios (ICUR) for combination therapy were euro 5,500 per quality-adjusted life-year gained (QALY) for 24 weeks and euro 6,800/QALY for 48 weeks of treatment. ICUR was euro 9,800/QALY for moving from 24 to 48 weeks of treatment. Combination therapy remained cost-effective in sensitivity analyses. In conclusion, combination therapy with interferon alpha-2b and ribavirin is effective and cost-effective compared with other well-accepted medical treatments. Competence network collaboration and decision modeling provide a useful and efficient approach to combine evidence from international studies with country-specific parameters.

A systematic review finds that diagnostic reviews fail to incorporate quality despite available tools

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

To review existing quality assessment tools for diagnostic accuracy studies and to examine to what extent quality was assessed and incorporated in diagnostic systematic reviews.

METHODS

Electronic databases were searched for tools to assess the quality of studies of diagnostic accuracy or guides for conducting, reporting or interpreting such studies. The Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects (DARE; 1995-2001) was used to identify systematic reviews of diagnostic studies to examine the practice of quality assessment of primary studies.

RESULTS

Ninety-one quality assessment tools were identified. Only two provided details of tool development, and only a small proportion provided any indication of the aspects of quality they aimed to assess. None of the tools had been systematically evaluated. We identified 114 systematic reviews, of which 58 (51%) had performed an explicit quality assessment and were further examined. The majority of reviews used more than one method of incorporating quality.

CONCLUSION

Most tools to assess the quality of diagnostic accuracy studies do not start from a well-defined definition of quality. None has been systematically evaluated. The majority of existing systematic reviews fail to take differences in quality into account. Reviewers should consider quality as a possible source of heterogeneity.

Randomized trial of three different regimens for 24 weeks for re-treatment of chronic hepatitis C patients who failed to respond to interferon-alpha monotherapy in Taiwan

With the favorable result of interferon (IFN)-ribavirin combination therapy for 24 weeks among naive Taiwanese chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients, the optimal regimens of re-treatment for CHC patients who failed initial IFN monotherapy is not well-established. The study evaluated the effectiveness of re-treatment for 24 weeks with 3 different regimens and predictors for sustained virological response (SVR).

METHODS

Total 120 Taiwanese CHC patients (81 males, 70 relapsers, mean age: 48.6 years) who failed initial IFN monotherapy were enrolled. They were assigned randomly (with a ratio of 1:1:2) to receive one of the three regimens for re-treatment for 24 weeks; group A: IFN 6 million units (MU) monotherapy (N=30), group B: combination therapy with ribavirin and IFN 3 MU (N=30) or group C: combination therapy with ribavirin and IFN 6 MU (N=60). The intention-to-treat rate of sustained virological response (SVR) was 38.3%. The SVR rate in group C (53.3%) was significantly higher than group A (16.7%, P<0.005) and group B (30%, P<0.05). Drop-out rates were similar between the three groups. Patients achieving SVR had significant improvement histologically. Hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype non-1b infection, lower pretreatment HCV RNA levels, combined with ribavirin and with higher IFN dose, and relapsers were independent predictors for SVR.

CONCLUSION

We concluded that more than one-third Taiwanese CHC patients achieved SVR after 24 weeks re-treatment and combination therapy, especially with higher dose of IFN, yielded higher efficacy.

Natural interferon alpha treatment and interferon alpha receptor 2 levels in acute hepatitis C

Efficacy of interferon (IFN) therapy during the acute phase of hepatitis C infection is promising, although the optimal regimen has yet to be determined. It is not known whether the known prognostic factors for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) influence the effect of IFN in acute hepatitis C (AHC). Seventeen patients with AHC were analyzed for hepatic IFN alpha receptor 2 (IFNAR2) prior to IFN treatment. All patients were subsequently treated with either 168 million units (MU) or 336 MU of natural IFN alpha. Seventeen age-matched samples of CHC were provided as controls. The overall sustained response rate was 64.7% (11/17). In patients who received a total dose of 168 MU IFN, the sustained response rate was 28.6% (2/7), and in those who received 336 MU of IFN, the sustained response rate was 90.0% (9/10). The peaks of ALT and HCV-RNA quantity were not associated with the response to IFN. The hepatic IFNAR2 levels were 1.52 +/- 0.34 densitometry units and 0.92 +/- 0.16 in AHC and CHC, respectively (P = 0.042). There was no difference in hepatic IFNAR2 levels between sustained virological responders (SVR) and nonsustained virological responders (NR). The hepatic receptor levels were higher in AHC than in CHC patients. The levels of hepatic IFNAR2 did not differ in SVR and NR, indicating that high-dose natural IFN alpha treatment is effective for AHC, irrespective of the levels of hepatic IFNAR2.

Favorable prognosis of chronic hepatitis C after interferon therapy by long-term cohort study

The prognosis of patients with chronic hepatitis C after interferon (IFN) therapy is still poorly defined. The present study evaluated the effect of IFN therapy on survival in a cohort of such patients. The study included 459 patients with biopsy-proven C-viral chronic liver disease who were followed for 8.2 +/- 2.9 years (range, 7-183 months). Survival status was examined by medical records or direct questionnaires. Fifteen (14%) of 104 IFN-untreated patients and 33 (9%) of 355 patients treated with IFN died during follow-up. Among the treated patients, 4 (3%) of 116 with sustained virologic response and 29 (12%) of 239 without sustained virologic response died. Liver-related death was shown in 32 (67%) patients, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) caused 25 (52%) of the 48 deaths. Multivariate Cox proportional regression analysis revealed that IFN treatment decreased the risk ratio for overall death to 0.521 (confidence interval [CI]: 0.263-1.034) and for liver-related death to 0.208 (CI: 0.088-0.495) compared with untreated patients, and sustained virologic response showed a decrease in the risk ratio for overall death to 0.219 (CI: 0.068-0.710) and for liver-related death to 0.030 (CI: 0.003-0.267). IFN treatment showed no association with liver-unrelated death. Furthermore, the standardized mortality ratios for all causes of death and liver-related death were reduced in IFN-treated patients compared with untreated patients (1.4 vs. 2.0 for total death and 7.9 vs. 19.7 for liver-related death). In conclusion, the present data suggest that IFN therapy has a long-term clinical benefit for patients with chronic hepatitis C patients by reducing liver-related death, especially in patients with sustained virologic response.

Sampling variability on percutaneous liver biopsy in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection

BACKGROUND

Sampling variability on liver biopsy has been demonstrated in a variety of liver diseases. The objective of this study was to determine whether sampling variability exists on percutaneous liver biopsy in patients with chronic HCV infection.

METHODS

Two separate tissue samples were obtained from the right lobe of the liver, through a single skin puncture, in 29 patients (22 M, mean age 43.4 +/- 8.1 years) with chronic HCV infection. The biopsies were assessed using a descriptive histological reporting system and Knodell's Histological Activity Index (HAI) and compared for differences in necroinflammatory activity (grade) and fibrosis (stage).

RESULTS

Thirteen (44.8%) patients had a difference of > or = 1 grade between the 2 biopsies on the descriptive system and 13 differed by > or = 1 stage. On the HAI, 20 (69.0%) patients had a difference of > or = 2 in the necroinflammatory activity score and 10 (34.5%) had a difference of > or = 4; whereas, 11 (38.0%) patients had a difference of > or = 1 in the fibrosis score and 6 (20.7%) had a difference of > or = 2. The mean difference between the two sets of biopsies was 2.4 +/- 2.1 (range 0-7) for the necroinflammatory activity and 0.6 +/- 0.9 (range 0-3) for fibrosis. Spearman's correlation coefficient (r) was moderate for both necroinflammatory activity (r = 0.53, P < 0.01) and fibrosis (r = 0.62, P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Sampling variability exists on percutaneous liver biopsy in patients with chronic HCV infection and should be taken into consideration when decisions regarding prognosis and therapy are made based on biopsy, and when defining histological response to antiviral regimens.

Long-term liver histology improvement in patients with chronic hepatitis C and sustained response to interferon

A retrospective multicentre survey was conducted to evaluate, in patients with chronic hepatitis C, the long-term liver histological changes induced by interferon (IFN). A total of 112 patients (mean age 46.4 years) were studied. All patients had received a 6-12-month IFN-alpha course (6-18 MU/week) and had successively undergone clinical, biochemical and virological follow-up for at least 36 months (range: 36-76). In each patient, two liver biopsies had been performed: 1-6 months before treatment and, 12-76 months after its completion. In 87 patients with biochemical and virological sustained response persisting for 12 months after therapy, post-treatment liver necroinflammation and fibrosis mean(+/-SD) scores (Knodell index) were significantly lower than pretreatment scores (2.9 +/- 2.2 vs 6.8 +/- 2.9 and 0.8 +/- 1.0 vs 1.2 +/- 1.1, respectively; P < 0.01). In 25 patients who relapsed within 1 year, necroinflammation and fibrosis post-treatment mean scores were similar to pretreatment scores (7.4 +/- 3.2 vs 6.9 +/- 3.1 and 1.8 +/- 1.3 vs 1.6 +/- 1.2, respectively; P > 0.05). On an individual basis, necroinflammation decreased in 87% of sustained responders but only in 36% of relapsers (P < 0.001), whereas fibrosis decreased in 44% of sustained responders but only in 14% of relapsers (P < 0.001). In sustained responders with biopsies performed 12-23 months (n=34), 24-35 months (n=26) or more than 36 months (n=27) after treatment, a progressive decrease of mean necroinflammatory score was observed (-2.6 +/- 2.1, -4.1 +/- 3.4 and -5.2 +/- 3.7 points, respectively; P < 0.01). A similar pattern was observed in fibrosis score (-0.3 +/- 0.6, -0.3 +/- 0.7 and -0.7 +/- 0.9 points, respectively; P < 0.05). Hence, among chronic hepatitis C patients treated with IFN, those with a 12-month sustained response, unlike those who relapse, have a long-term progressive reduction and, in some cases, a complete regression of liver histological damage.

Efficacy of colchicine in patients with primary biliary cirrhosis poorly responsive to ursodiol and methotrexate

OBJECTIVE

Approximately 20-30% of patients with primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) respond fully to treatment with ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA). The rest have progressive disease and eventually develop cirrhosis and liver failure. More effective treatment is needed. Methotrexate improved biochemical tests of liver function and liver histology in patients with PBC who had failed to respond to UDCA in one report and induced sustained biochemical and histological remission in another. The role of colchicine in PBC is unclear. We describe three patients with symptomatic PBC who responded very well to the addition of colchicine after they had failed to respond to UDCA alone and in combination with methotrexate. We suggest that colchicine should be tried in PBC patients who clearly fail to respond to UDCA.

METHODS

Three patients with symptomatic biopsy-proven, antimitochondrial antibody-positive PBC failed to respond to UDCA and then to the addition of methotrexate. Colchicine was eventually added to the regimen. Symptoms, biochemical tests of liver function, and percutaneous liver biopsies were done at baseline, after treatment with UDCA, UDCA plus methotrexate, and UDCA plus methotrexate plus colchicine.

RESULTS

All three patients responded after colchicine was added to UDCA and methotrexate. Symptoms, biochemical tests of liver function, and liver histology improved in all, and blood tests normalized in two.

CONCLUSIONS

Colchicine may be effective treatment in some symptomatic patients with PBC who respond incompletely to UDCA alone or in combination with methotrexate. Colchicine may be tried in such patients.

Asymmetric funnel plots and publication bias in meta-analyses of diagnostic accuracy

BACKGROUND

Despite the great possibility of publication bias in studies of diagnostic test research, empirical studies about publication bias have mainly focused on studies of treatment effect.

METHODS

A sample of 28 meta-analyses of diagnostic accuracy was selected from the Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effectiveness (DARE). Methods used to deal with publication and related biases in these meta-analyses were examined. Asymmetry of funnel plot of estimated test accuracy against corresponding precision for each meta-analysis was assessed by three statistical methods: rank correlation method, regression analysis, and Trim and Fill method.

RESULTS

In reviews of diagnostic accuracy, there was a general lack of consideration of appropriate literature searching to minimize publication bias, and the impact of possible publication bias has not been systematically assessed. The results of the three different statistical methods consistently showed that in a large proportion of the 28 meta-analyses evaluated, the smaller studies were associated with a greater diagnostic accuracy. Exploratory analyses found that the fewer the literature databases searched, the greater the funnel plot asymmetry in meta-analyses. Funnel plot asymmetry tended to be greater in meta-analyses that included smaller number of primary studies. Our data revealed no consistent relationship between funnel plot asymmetry and language restriction in reviews.

CONCLUSIONS

Further research is required to explain why smaller studies tended to report greater test accuracy in a large proportion of meta-analyses of diagnostic tests. In systematic reviews of diagnostic studies, literature search should be sufficiently comprehensive and possible impact of publication bias should be assessed.

Changes in histological lesions and serum fibrogenesis markers in chronic hepatitis C patients non-responders to interferon alpha

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The aim of this study was to evaluate the changes in histological lesions and serum N-terminal peptide of type III procollagen (PIIINP) and hyaluronate (HA) levels in virologic non-responder patients treated by Interferon alpha (IFNalpha).

METHODS

We enrolled 183 patients treated by IFNalpha and 56 controls, all with paired biopsy specimens. Yearly liver fibrosis progression was estimated before and during a follow-up of 1 year.

RESULTS

By contrast to sustained responders, non-responders (n = 105) did not achieve improvement of histological scores after therapy. Their yearly fibrosis progression rate was similar before and during follow-up (0.18, 95%CI: 0.16-0.20, vs 0.26 (95%CI: 0.12-0.40) fibrosis units/year, NS), and was not different in controls (0.17, 95%CI: 0.06-0.27). The levels of PIIINP and hyaluronate (HA) remained unchanged during follow-up. Histological improvement was observed for the second biopsy in 25% of non-responders, but also in 23% of controls. This improvement was not correlated with decrease of ALT level, viral load, PIIINP, or HA.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that IFNalpha therapy is unable to decrease PIIINP or HA levels and cannot improve the histological outcome in virologic non-responder patients. The histological improvement observed in a subset of patients may be linked to sample fluctuation or lack of reproducibility of histological scores.

Long-term beneficial effects in sustained responders to interferon-alfa therapy for chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Assessment of chronic hepatitis C outcome in sustained responders to interferon requires prolonged observation and close monitoring. We prospectively studied the impact of sustained response on histology and clinically relevant outcomes.

METHODS

The 47 sustained responders (ten with cirrhosis) from two interferon trials involving 235 chronic hepatitis C patients (81 with cirrhosis) were included. Hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA was assessed every 6 months, liver histological changes from baseline, 6-12 and 48-72 months after treatment discontinuation.

RESULTS

The mean follow-up was 102 +/- 19 months. HCV RNA became undetectable in 36/47 responders. Four responders, who had remained viremic, later relapsed. The histology progressively improved in non-viremic and viremic patients, with a more marked improvement in the former (P = 0.0089), normalizing in 53 vs. 0% (P = 0.0220). No patient progressed to cirrhosis. One non-viremic cirrhotic patient developed a hepatocellular carcinoma. Non-responders from the two original trials had worse histological outcomes and those with cirrhosis had a higher rate of clinically relevant events compared with cirrhotics showing a sustained biochemical response (4.5 vs. 1.2 cases/100 person-years; CI for the difference, 0.3-6.3).

CONCLUSIONS

Most sustained, virological responders without cirrhosis normalize liver histology in the long-term and are cured of the disease. Sustained responders remaining viremic still show histological improvement, albeit to a lesser extent.

Cost-effectiveness of 24 or 48 weeks of interferon alpha-2b alone or with ribavirin as initial treatment of chronic hepatitis C. International Hepatitis Interventional Therapy Group

OBJECTIVE

Initial therapy with ribavirin and interferon alpha-2b results in a higher sustained virological response than interferon alone, but this regimen is expensive. We aimed to examine the cost-effectiveness of 24- or 48-wk initial treatment with combination therapy versus interferon alone for patients who have chronic hepatitis C.

METHODS

Data from recent randomized clinical trials comparing combination therapy to interferon alone were applied to a previously published computer cohort simulation to project lifelong clinical and economic outcomes. Natural history and economic estimates were based on published literature, expert panel estimates, and actual variable cost and reimbursement data.

RESULTS

Using treatment stopping rules, sustained viral negative response rates would be 33.1% and 39.8% for patients receiving 24 versus 48 wk of ribavirin/interferon, compared with 14.3% for 48 wk of interferon alone. Compared to the interferon alone strategy, 24 or 48 wk of combination therapy should prolong life expectancy by 1.4 to 2.0 yr at marginal cost-effectiveness ratios of $4,400 to $5,400 per discounted quality-adjusted life-year (DQALY) gained. Compared to 24 wk of combination therapy, 48 wk of combination therapy should prolong life expectancy by 0.6 yr at a marginal cost-effectiveness ratio of $7,700 per DQALY gained. The results were robust, with 24 or 48 wk of combination therapy remaining preferred and cost-effective in sensitivity analysis compared with interferon alone.

CONCLUSION

For patients with chronic hepatitis C, 24 or 48 wk of ribavirin and interferon should prolong life and be cost-effective when compared with 48 wk, of interferon alone.

Long-term effects of interferon therapy on histology and development of hepatocellular carcinoma in hepatitis C

Chronic hepatitis C is a common disease that slowly progresses to cirrhosis and eventually to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Histology offers an important insight into disease prognosis and treatment response. Biochemical and virological responses to interferon (IFN) therapy are associated with an improvement in liver histology during and shortly after treatment, but the impact of treatment on the history of a slowly progressive disease cannot be ascertained by evaluating results at the completion of treatment. Some recent studies showed that the severity of hepatic inflammation may be a major factor driving progression of chronic hepatitis C to cirrhosis, and that improving hepatic inflammation may be associated with regression or retardation of fibrosis, especially in patients with virological sustained response. Many recent studies have shown an inhibition of the development of decompensation and HCC after IFN therapy, but a randomized controlled study using a large number of subjects with a more than 5-year observation period will be required to elucidate the exact role of antiviral therapy for the delay of decompensation or suppression of HCC.

Cost effectiveness of ribavirin/interferon alfa-2b after interferon relapse in chronic hepatitis C

PURPOSE

Many patients with chronic hepatitis C who are treated with interferon suffer a relapse after an initial response. About half of these patients have a sustained virological response to retreatment with the combination of ribavirin and interferon alfa-2b. The aim of this study was to estimate the cost effectiveness of retreatment with combination therapy versus interferon alone for patients who have previously relapsed after interferon.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Data from a randomized trial among 345 relapsed patients that compared combination therapy with interferon alone were used to project lifelong clinical and economic outcomes. Natural history and economic estimates (discounted at 3% per year) were based upon published literature, expert panel estimates, and cost and reimbursement data.

RESULTS

Compared with retreatment with interferon alone, combination therapy should prolong life expectancy by about 2 discounted quality-adjusted life years (3 life years, undiscounted) while increasing costs modestly. The results were robust, maintaining an advantage to combination therapy in sensitivity analysis for all subgroups and with reasonable variations in all model parameters.

CONCLUSION

For patients with chronic hepatitis C who relapse after an initial response to interferon alone, retreatment with the combination of ribavirin and interferon alfa-2b should prolong life and be cost effective.

Cost-effectiveness of treatments for chronic hepatitis C

With increasing concern by consumers, employers, health-care payers, and policy makers, interest has grown in determining the economic efficiency of drugs. Consequently, numerous pharmacoeconomic studies have sought to estimate the marginal cost-effectiveness of initial interferon treatment for chronic hepatitis C. The effects of treating patients with histologically mild chronic hepatitis C for 6 months with interferon was compared with no interferon treatment using a computer simulation model. Data were obtained from five prospective trials, natural history studies from the literature, and actual cost data for hepatitis C patients. After applying the currently recommended annual discount rate (3%), the computer model projects a $400 reduction in lifetime cost of care and a 1.5-year increase in life expectancy associated with interferon treatment. Economic savings derived from preventing future cases of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma more than offset the initial treatment cost. By preventing future liver complications in responders, interferon treatment should prolong life expectancy and reduce costs. When compared with other well-accepted medical interventions, interferon treatment should be considered "cost-effective." Economic rationales should not restrict the availability of interferon for patients with hepatitis C.

Predictors of sustained response to alpha interferon therapy in chronic hepatitis C

OBJECTIVES

To utilize cytokine levels to predict sustained response (SR) to alpha interferon (IFN alpha) therapy in chronic hepatitis C patients, and to determine the relationship between serum tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF alpha), interleukin (IL) IL 6, IL 8, IL 12, transforming growth factor beta (TGF beta 1) and the degree of liver damage as reflected by traditional markers.

DESIGN AND METHODS

Serum cytokine levels were assessed using ELISA in 18 patients included in a controlled clinical trial of IFN alpha.

RESULTS

Of the 18 patients, 27% were sustained responders (SR), 27% were response and relapse responders (RR), and 46% were non-responders (NR). Multivariate analysis showed that a low serum TNF alpha level and high serum IL 8 levels were independent factors associated with SR to IFN alpha therapy. Serum TNF alpha level highly correlated with viral load and genotype predictive values (p < 0.001). Therapy lowered the IL 6 and IL 12 profile. TGF beta 1 levels in serum are positively correlated with fibrinogenesis.

CONCLUSIONS

IFN alpha therapy modulates immune response to hepatitis C virus, contributing to sustained response.

[Antiviral treatment of hepatitis C virus infection]

Hepatitis C virus infection is common and almost always chronic and can lead to cirrhosis and hepatocellular cancer. The primary goal of the treatment is virus eradication and the secondary is to reduce inflammation and liver cell damage. Interferon is the only effective therapy but disappearance of the virus is sustained in only 10 to 15%. The factors most closely associated with a response to treatment are absence of cirrhosis, low serum hepatitis C virus RNA level and genotype other than type 1. Recent studies have suggested that interferon treatment may reduce the subsequent risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in responders. The combination of interferon and oral ribavirin therapy increase the sustained response rate to about 40% in initial treatment and 50% for the treatment of relapse. The other therapeutic combination are less well documented. New agents such as hepatitis C virus-specific anti-protease may be available in the next future and treatment is evolving toward multiple-drug regimens.

Maternal cell-free viremia in the natural history of perinatal HIV-1 transmission: a meta-analysis

We performed a meta-analysis of the predictive value of maternal cell-free viral load in vertical HIV-1 transmission, including 9 cohorts with 1115 mother-infant pairs (696 untreated and 419 treated women). The pooled rate of transmission in untreated women was 21.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 18.3%-24.5%). The rates of transmission for untreated women in the <1000 copies/ml, 1000 to 9999 copies/ml, and > or = 10,000 copies/ml categories were 5% (95% CI, 2%-11%), 15% (95% CI, 11%-20%) and 37% (95% CI, 29%-46% by random effects), respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve in individual studies ranged from 0.67 to 1.00. The predictive performance of RNA differed between cohorts in which different percentages of transmitters had RNA values >10,000 copies/ml. When 95% of transmitters have RNA values >1000 copies/ml, 77% of nontransmitters would also have values above this cutoff. Transmission rates for treated women in the 1000 to 9999 copies/ml category (7%; 95% CI, 4%-11%,) and > or = 10,000 copies/ml category (18%; 95% CI, 12%-27%) were probably lower than those for untreated women, whereas the transmission rate for treated women with <1000 copies/ml was 5% (95% CI, 2%-11 %). Thus, the risk gradient between RNA categories seems attenuated in treated women. Several aspects of the design, analysis, and reporting of research in this area may be improved in the future with attention to selection and observer biases, multivariate adjustment, and technical consistency. Maternal HIV-1 RNA is a modest predictor of transmission for individual mothers, but a strong predictor of the average risk in groups of untreated mothers. Its discriminatory power is better in untreated than in treated populations and is better in cohorts with a high prevalence of elevated viral load values than in cohorts with generally low levels of viremia.