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Diakite I, Martins B, Owusu-Edusei K, Palmer C, Patterson-Lomba O, Gomez-Lievano A, Zion A, Simpson R, Daniels V, Elbasha E. Structured Literature Review to Identify Human Papillomavirus's Natural History Parameters for Dynamic Population Models of Vaccine Impacts. Infect Dis Ther 2024; 13:965-990. [PMID: 38589763 PMCID: PMC11098984 DOI: 10.1007/s40121-024-00952-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2023] [Accepted: 02/23/2024] [Indexed: 04/10/2024] Open
Abstract
Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a common sexually transmitted virus that can cause cervical cancer and other diseases. Dynamic transmission models (DTMs) have been developed to evaluate the health and economic impacts of HPV vaccination. These models typically include many parameters, such as natural history of the disease, transmission, demographic, behavioral, and screening. To ensure the accuracy of DTM projections, it is important to parameterize them with the best available evidence. This study aimed to identify and synthesize data needed to parametrize DTMs on the natural history of HPV infection and related diseases. Parameters describing data of interest were grouped by their anatomical location (genital warts, recurrent respiratory papillomatosis, and cervical, anal, vaginal, vulvar, head and neck, and penile cancers), and natural history (progression, regression, death, cure, recurrence, detection), and were identified through a systematic literature review (SLR) and complementary targeted literature reviews (TLRs). The extracted data were then synthesized by pooling parameter values across publications, and summarized using the range of values across studies reporting each parameter and the median value from the most relevant study. Data were extracted and synthesized from 223 studies identified in the SLR and TLRs. Parameters frequently reported pertained to cervical cancer outcomes, while data for other anatomical locations were less available. The synthesis of the data provides a large volume of parameter values to inform HPV DTMs, such as annual progression rates from cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 1 to CIN 2+ (median of highest quality estimate 0.0836), CIN 2 to CIN 3+ (0.0418), carcinoma in situ (CIS) 2 to local cancer+ (0.0396), and regional to distant cancer (0.0474). Our findings suggest that while there is a large body of evidence on cervical cancer, parameter values featured substantial heterogeneity across studies, and further studies are needed to better parametrize the non-cervical components of HPV DTMs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ibrahim Diakite
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, 07065, USA.
- Merck & Co., Inc. Biostatistics and Research Decision Sciences (BARDS), Health Economic and Decision Sciences (HEDS), Vaccines, WP 37A-150 770 Sumneytown Pike, 1st Floor, West Point, PA, 19486, USA.
| | - Bruno Martins
- Analysis Group, Inc, 111 Huntington Avenue, 14th Floor, Boston, MA, 02199, USA
| | - Kwame Owusu-Edusei
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, 07065, USA
| | - Cody Palmer
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, 07065, USA
| | | | | | - Abigail Zion
- Analysis Group, Inc, 111 Huntington Avenue, 14th Floor, Boston, MA, 02199, USA
| | - Ryan Simpson
- Analysis Group, Inc, 111 Huntington Avenue, 14th Floor, Boston, MA, 02199, USA
| | - Vincent Daniels
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, 07065, USA
| | - Elamin Elbasha
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, 07065, USA
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Stem J, Hewitt AJ, Yang Q, Sanger CB. Commonly Drawn Immunologic and Inflammatory Markers as Risk Predictors for Anal Cancer in Veterans Living With HIV. J Low Genit Tract Dis 2024:00128360-990000000-00111. [PMID: 38661377 DOI: 10.1097/lgt.0000000000000811] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/26/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aimed to determine if immune inflammatory markers (neutrophil lymphocyte ratio [NLR], platelet lymphocyte ratio [PLR], and prognostic nutritional index [PNI]) correlate with anal cancer risk in people living with HIV and to compare these markers with the CD4/CD8 ratio. MATERIALS AND METHODS This is a regional retrospective cohort study of veterans living with HIV who were screened for or diagnosed with anal neoplasia or cancer from 2001 to 2019. The NLR, PLR, PNI, and CD4/CD8 ratio within 1 year of anal pathology results were computed. Patients with anal cancer were compared to patients without anal cancer. Regression modeling was used to estimate the odds of developing anal cancer. RESULTS Three hundred thirty-four patients were included (37 with anal cancer, 297 without anal cancer). In patients with anal cancer, NLR and PLR were higher (2.17 vs 1.69, p = .04; 140 vs 110, p = .02, respectively), while PNI and CD4/CD8 ratio were lower (44.65 vs 50.01, p < .001; 0.35 vs 0.80, p < .001, respectively). On multivariate logistic regression modeling, only PNI (odds ratio, 0.90; p = .001) and CD4/CD8 ratio (odds ratio, 0.05; p < .001) were associated with increased anal cancer risk. CONCLUSIONS Although NLR and PLR independently correlate with anal cancer risk, when controlling for other risk predictors, only PNI and CD4/CD8 ratio were statistically significant biomarkers for anal cancer. The CD4/CD8 ratio is the strongest immune inflammatory marker that predicts risk of anal cancer among veterans living with HIV.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jonathan Stem
- Department of Surgery, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC
| | - Austin J Hewitt
- Department of Surgery, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI
| | - Qiuyu Yang
- Department of Surgery, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI
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Loughrey MB, Shepherd NA. Anal and Perianal Preneoplastic Lesions. Gastroenterol Clin North Am 2024; 53:201-220. [PMID: 38280748 DOI: 10.1016/j.gtc.2023.09.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/29/2024]
Abstract
Anal cancer, mainly squamous cell carcinoma, is rare but increasing in prevalence, as is its precursor lesion, anal squamous dysplasia. They are both strongly associated with human papillomavirus infection. The 2-tiered Lower Anogenital Squamous Terminology classification, low-grade SIL and high-grade SIL, is preferred to the 3-tiered anal intraepithelial neoplasia classification because of better interobserver agreement and clearer management implications. Immunohistochemistry with p16 is helpful to corroborate the diagnosis of squamous dysplasia. Similarly, immunohistochemistry is helpful to differentiate primary Paget disease from secondary Paget disease, which is usually due to anal squamous mucosal/epidermal involvement by primary rectal adenocarcinoma.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maurice B Loughrey
- Department of Cellular Pathology, Royal Victoria Hospital, Grosvenor Road, Belfast, Northern Ireland BT12 6BA, United Kingdom.
| | - Neil A Shepherd
- Gloucestershire Cellular Pathology Laboratory, Cheltenham General Hospital, Sandford Road, Cheltenham GL53 7AN, United Kingdom
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Rivera-Santiago T, Ramos-Cartagena JM, Amaya-Ardila C, Muñoz C, Guiot HM, Colón-López V, Matos M, Tirado-Gómez M, Patricia Ortiz A. Association of tobacco use and the presence of anal warts in people who attend the anal Neoplasia clinic in Puerto Rico. Prev Med Rep 2024; 37:102546. [PMID: 38186663 PMCID: PMC10767185 DOI: 10.1016/j.pmedr.2023.102546] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/08/2023] [Revised: 12/05/2023] [Accepted: 12/07/2023] [Indexed: 01/09/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Limited research exists regarding the association between smoking and anal warts. In this study, we evaluated this association among a clinic-based Hispanic population in Puerto Rico. Methods Cross-sectional study among eligible patients seen at the Anal Neoplasia Clinic of the University of Puerto Rico Comprehensive Cancer Center (2016-2023) (n = 920). Sociodemographic and clinical variables were collected from medical records. Patients underwent a high-resolution anoscopy (HRA) during the clinical visit; physicians assessed anal condylomas on HRA. Poisson regression models with robust standard errors were used to evaluate the association between smoking and anal warts. Demographic and clinical factors were also assessed. Results The mean age of participants was 45.8 ± 13.1 years, 66.4 % were men, and 21.6 % were current smokers. While 10.8 % self-reported a history of anogenital condylomas, 18.9 % had anal condylomas on clinical evaluation. A higher prevalence of anal condylomas was observed among current smokers (PR = 1.28, 95 % CI: 0.94-1.75) in comparison to non-smokers in adjusted analysis, but this was not statistically significant. However, a higher prevalence of anal condylomas was observed among younger individuals (PR = 0.96, 95 % CI: 0.96-0.98) and individuals with anal high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL) as compared to those with benign histology (PR = 1.74. 95 % CI: 1.09-2.77). Conclusions Although current smoking seemed to be positively associated with anal condylomas in this high-risk Hispanic population, this finding was not statistically significant as the power to detect an association was limited. However, younger age and HSIL diagnosis were associated with a higher prevalence of anal condylomas.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tanialy Rivera-Santiago
- Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Puerto Rico Medical Sciences Campus PO Box 365067, San Juan, Puerto Rico 00936, U.S
| | - Jeslie M. Ramos-Cartagena
- University of Puerto Rico Medical Sciences Campus/MD Anderson Cancer Center Partnership for Excellence in Cancer Research Program, PO Box 363067 San Juan, Puerto Rico 00936, U.S
| | | | - Cristina Muñoz
- University of Puerto Rico Comprehensive Cancer Center, PO Box 363027 San Juan, Puerto Rico 00936, U.S
| | - Humberto M. Guiot
- University of Puerto Rico Comprehensive Cancer Center, PO Box 363027 San Juan, Puerto Rico 00936, U.S
- Department of Medicine, University of Puerto Rico School of Medicine, Medical Sciences Campus, San Juan, Puerto Rico, U.S
- Department of Microbiology and Medical Zoology, University of Puerto Rico School of Medicine, San Juan, Puerto Rico, U.S
| | - Vivian Colón-López
- University of Puerto Rico Comprehensive Cancer Center, PO Box 363027 San Juan, Puerto Rico 00936, U.S
| | - Miriam Matos
- University of Puerto Rico Medical Sciences Campus, San Juan, Puerto Rico, U.S
| | - Maribel Tirado-Gómez
- University of Puerto Rico Comprehensive Cancer Center, PO Box 363027 San Juan, Puerto Rico 00936, U.S
| | - Ana Patricia Ortiz
- Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Puerto Rico Medical Sciences Campus PO Box 365067, San Juan, Puerto Rico 00936, U.S
- University of Puerto Rico Comprehensive Cancer Center, PO Box 363027 San Juan, Puerto Rico 00936, U.S
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Masiá M, Gutiérrez‐Ortiz de la Tabla A, Gutiérrez F. Cancer screening in people living with HIV. Cancer Med 2023; 12:20590-20603. [PMID: 37877338 PMCID: PMC10660116 DOI: 10.1002/cam4.6585] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/10/2023] [Revised: 09/08/2023] [Accepted: 09/12/2023] [Indexed: 10/26/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Cancer is the leading cause of mortality in people living with HIV (PWH) and is expected to account for a growing fraction of deaths as PWH age. METHODS In this literature review, we have compiled the most recent developments in cancer screening and screening performance in PWH, which are currently primarily implemented in well-resourced settings. This includes an assessment of the associated benefits, harms, and cost-effectiveness. The article also addresses unmet needs and potential strategies for tailored screening in the HIV population. FINDINGS Incidence and mortality due to screenable cancer are higher in PWH than in the general population, and diagnosis is frequently made at younger ages and/or at more advanced stages, the latter amenable to improved screening. Adequate evidence on the benefits of screening is lacking for most cancers in the HIV population, in whom standard practice may be suboptimal. While cancer surveillance has helped reduce mortality in the general population, and interest in risk-based strategies is growing, implementation of screening programs in the HIV care settings remains low. INTERPRETATION Given the devastating consequences of a late diagnosis, enhancing early detection of cancer is essential for improving patient outcomes. There is an urgent need to extend the investigation in cancer screening performance to PWH, evaluating whether personalized measures according to individual risk could result in higher efficiency and improve patient outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mar Masiá
- Infectious Diseases DivisionHospital General Universitario de ElcheElcheSpain
- Centro de Investigación en Red de Enfermedades Infecciosas (CIBERINFEC), Instituto de Salud Carlos IIIMadridSpain
| | | | - Félix Gutiérrez
- Centro de Investigación en Red de Enfermedades Infecciosas (CIBERINFEC), Instituto de Salud Carlos IIIMadridSpain
- Department of Clinical MedicineMiguel Hernández UniversitySan Juan de AlicanteSpain
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Albuquerque A. Anal Intraepithelial Neoplasia and Anal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Updates From the Last 3 Years. J Low Genit Tract Dis 2023; 27:252-254. [PMID: 37166025 DOI: 10.1097/lgt.0000000000000749] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/12/2023]
Abstract
ABSTRACT In the last 3 years, new and relevant information has been published on anal cancer and anal precancerous lesions epidemiology, screening, treatment, and vaccination. This information will likely change prevention and treatment strategies for these patients in the upcoming years.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andreia Albuquerque
- Gastroenterology Department, Fernando Pessoa Teaching Hospital, Portugal, Precancerous lesions and early cancer management research group RISE@CI-IPO (Health Research Network), Portuguese Oncology Institute of Porto (IPO-Porto), Porto, Portugal
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