Muscle strength and prediabetes progression and regression in middle-aged and older adults: a prospective cohort study

Frailty transitions and risk of chronic kidney disease: insights from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

BACKGROUND

Frailty is increasingly recognized as a critical factor in the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD), and it is also a condition that can undergo transitions. However, the relationship between frailty transitions and CKD risk in aging populations remains underexplored. This study aims to investigate the association between frailty transitions and CKD risk in middle-aged and older adults using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study.

METHODS

Frailty was assessed using a 40-item Frailty Index (FI), with participants categorized into three groups: robust (FI ≤ 0.10), pre-frail (0.10 < FI ≤ 0.21), and frail (FI > 0.21). Frailty transitions were tracked between the first and second waves of the study. Data on CKD incidence were obtained from self-reported physician-diagnosed kidney disease. Cox proportional hazards models were employed to evaluate the risk of CKD, with adjustments made for potential confounders.

RESULTS

Among 12,050 participants (52.60% female, mean age 58.37), those who progressed to frailty or pre-frailty had an increased risk of CKD compared with stable participants (HR 1.74, p < 0.001). In contrast, individuals who recovered from frailty to robust or pre-frail status had a reduced CKD risk (HR 0.71, p = 0.023). The results of the sensitivity analysis, which showed consistent findings, support the reliability of the results.

CONCLUSION

Frailty transitions are significantly associated with the risk of CKD. Worsening frailty is linked to an increased risk of CKD, while improvement in frailty is associated with a lower risk of CKD.

Association between muscle strength and low back pain among middle-aged and older adults: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

There has been limited research examining the relationship between muscle strength and low back pain (LBP). Our study aims at investigating the association in middle-aged and older population in China.

METHODS

The dataset used in this study was derived from CHARLS Wave 3. The identification of LBP symptoms relied on self-reported data. Muscle strength was measured by grip strength (determined using a handgrip dynamometer) and chair-rising time (recorded using a stopwatch). This study employed a cross-sectional design involving 10,985 final participants. Multivariate logistic regression analysis subgroup analysis, and interaction tests were used in our study to explore the potential association.

RESULTS

A cohort of 3871 individuals (35.2%) reported a history of LBP, displaying significantly lower levels of muscle strength in comparison to the control group (grip strength, p < 0.001; chair-rising time, p < 0.001). Multivariate regression analyses revealed a significant association between decreased muscle strength and higher risk of LBP among study participants after accounting for all potential covariates (grip strength: OR, 0.974, 95% CI: 0.970, 0.979, P = 0.010; chair-rising time: OR, 1.056, 95% CI: 1.045, 1.067, P < 0.001). Restricted cubic spline models further revealed an L-shaped relationship between muscle strength and LBP, suggesting the possible potential non-linear trends in the association. The subgroup analysis indicates that this association was consistent among different groups.

CONCLUSION

Our study revealed a significant association between weaker muscle strength and higher LBP risk, suggesting that interventions aimed at improving muscle strength may be beneficial in reducing the incidence of LBP. Further studies should address the progression of LBP and explore how muscle strength interacts with other risk factors, such as age, body mass index, and physical activity levels, to influence LBP outcomes.

Associations between depressive symptoms, activity of daily living, and falls/severe falls: evidence from two prospective longitudinal studies

BACKGROUND

Falls are the second leading cause of unintentional injury deaths globally and are strongly associated with a variety of psychological and physiological factors. Studies have suggested an association between depressive symptoms and fall risk, but the mechanism of action is unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between depressive symptoms and the risk of falls and severe falls, and to examine whether activities of daily living (ADL) impairment mediates this relationship.

METHODS

This study included 12,440 participants from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and 6,627 participants from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA). Depressive symptoms were assessed using the Centre for Epidemiological Studies of Depression Scale (CES-D). Falls were defined as any fall experienced since the last follow-up. Severe falls were defined as falls that required medical treatment. Logistic regression was used to assess the association of depressive symptoms and ADL impairment with the risk of falls/severe falls. Further, we analyzed the mediating role of ADL impairment between depressive symptoms and falls/severe falls.

RESULTS

The proportions of depressive symptoms in the CHARLS and ELSA longitudinal studies were 25.6% and 11.7%, respectively. Depressive symptoms were significantly associated with falls in both longitudinal studies: the OR was 1.78 (95% CI: 1.62, 1.96) for CHARLS and 1.85 (95% CI: 1.57, 2.18) for ELSA. The association between depressive symptoms and severe falls was also significant, with an OR of 1.61 (95% CI: 1.41, 1.85) for CHARLS and 1.74 (95% CI: 1.37, 2.22) for ELSA. The association of depressive symptoms with falls and severe falls remained significant after controlling for ADL impairment. In addition, ADL impairment was significantly associated with fall risk, with ORs of 1.66 (95% CI: 1.49, 1.85) for CHARLS and 2.32 (95% CI: 2.01, 2.68) for ELSA; The association between ADL impairment and severe falls was also significant, with ORs of 1.61 (95% CI: 1.38, 1.87) for CHARLS and 1.75 (95% CI: 1.40, 2.18) for ELSA. Mediation analysis revealed significant mediating effects of ADL impairment in the effect of depressive symptoms on the risk of falls and severe falls, with mediation effects all exceeding 20%, ranging from 22.2 to 27.3%.

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed the key role of depressive symptoms and ADL impairment in the risk of falls/severe falls in middle-aged and older adults, and highlighted the mediating role of ADL impairment between depressive symptoms and falls/severe falls. In addition, fall risk in the UK was more affected by depressive symptoms than in China. This study provided a scientific basis for the management of depressive symptoms and falls prevention, suggesting the introduction of interventions for ADL impairment in the management of depressive symptoms to reduce the risk of falls and their associated health burden.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

Not applicable.

The skeletal muscle mass index is a predictor for all-cause mortality in US adults with type 2 diabetes or pre-diabetes

AIMS

To investigate the relationship between the skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) with all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) or pre-diabetes (pre-DM) among American adults.

METHODS

This study included 3684 patients with T2DM or pre-DM from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011-2018.

RESULTS

Our study revealed an inverse J-shaped relationship between the SMI with all-cause mortality in US adults with T2DM or pre-DM. We determined the inflection points for all-cause mortality in patients with T2DM or pre-DM were 9.07 kg/m2 in males and 7.82 kg/m2 in females. In men, the all-cause mortality decreased by approximately 72 % (HR, 0.28; 95 % CI, 0.09-0.93) for each unit increased in the SMI below the inflection point. In women, all-cause mortality was reduced by 60 % (HR, 0.40; 95 % CI, 0.16-0.91) for each unit increased in SMI below the threshold. A reverse J-shaped SMI-mortality association emerged in patients with T2DM, contrasting with a U-shaped pattern in pre-DM individuals.

CONCLUSIONS

An inverse J-shaped association was observed between the SMI with all-cause mortality in in US adults with T2DM or pre-DM. SMI is a valuable tool for predicting all-cause mortality in patients with T2DM or pre-DM.

High muscle-to-fat ratio predicts slow muscle strength decline in middle-aged and older adults: Longitudinal aging study of Taipei

BACKGROUND

Handgrip strength is a vital marker of muscle function and predictor of health outcomes in older adults. This study investigated the relationship between the muscle-to-fat ratio and 3-year decrease in handgrip strength in community-dwelling adults aged ≥50 years.

METHODS

Data were obtained from the Longitudinal Aging Study of Taipei (LAST), a cohort study of adults aged 50 years and older. Measurements from two waves, 3 years apart, were analyzed. Demographics, laboratory data, and handgrip strength data were collected. Appendicular skeletal muscle mass was assessed using bioimpedance analysis, and the relative appendicular skeletal muscle mass index was calculated by dividing appendicular muscle mass by height squared. The muscle-to-fat ratio was derived by dividing appendicular muscle mass by total body fat. Handgrip strength decrease was divided into quartiles; slow decliners experienced the smallest decrease, whereas rapid decliners had the greatest decrease. Associations between the muscle-to-fat ratio and other risk factors were analyzed.

RESULTS

Over 3 years, the Charlson Comorbidity Index, medication use, waist-to-hip ratio, and fat percentage increased, whereas skeletal muscle mass, the muscle-to-fat ratio, and handgrip strength decreased. Rapid decliners were less likely to be male (21.6% vs 33.3%, p = 0.008) or alcohol drinkers (53.8% vs 66.2%, p = 0.01) and had lower skeletal muscle mass (6.3 ± 0.9 vs 6.6 ± 1.0, p = 0.006) and muscle-to-fat ratios (1.0 ± 0.4 vs 1.1 ± 0.5, p = 0.004) but greater fat percentages (30.4 ± 6.6 vs 29.0 ± 7.6, p = 0.045). A greater muscle-to-fat ratio (odds ratio [OR] = 3.751, p = 0.047), greater physical activity (OR = 1.694, p = 0.04), and lower glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c; OR = 0.61, p = 0.008) reduced the risk of rapid decline.

CONCLUSION

The muscle-to-fat ratio, together with physical activity and glycemic control, predicts a decrease in handgrip strength, highlighting its potential as a biomarker of intrinsic capacity and muscle-fat interplay. Further research is needed to explore the underlying biological mechanisms involved.

Prediabetes Phenotypes and All-Cause or Cardiovascular Mortality: Evidence From a Population-Based Study

OBJECTIVE

Fasting plasma glucose (FPG), glycated hemoglobin A1C (HbA1C), and 2-hour postload plasma glucose (2h PG) are all currently used to define prediabetes. We aimed to determine whether a higher number of prediabetes defects correspond to an increased all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality.

METHODS

Individuals with prediabetes and available information on FPG, HbA1C, 2h PG, and mortality data were derived from the 2005-2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Kaplan-Meier survival curves, Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, and stratified analysis were used to compare all-cause and CVD mortality among participants with one, two, and all three defects.

RESULTS

Among the 4511 individuals included, 76.31%, 30.89%, and 41.65% met the FPG-, 2h PG-, and HbA1C-defined criteria for prediabetes, respectively. There were 2609 (60.78%), 1420 (29.60%), and 482 (9.62%) adults meeting one, two, and all three criteria for prediabetes, respectively. During a median follow-up of 100 months, a total of 534 (180 CVD-related) deaths occurred. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals in those meeting two and three criteria were 1.341 (1.042-1.727) and 1.369 (1.027-1.824), respectively, for all-cause mortality (P for trend = 0.006), and 1.836 (1.228-2.744) and 2.037 (1.092-3.801), respectively, for CVD mortality (P for trend = 0.002), with those meeting only one criterion as the reference. In subgroup analysis, the association between the number of diagnostic criteria for prediabetes and CVD mortality was observed only in men.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher number of diagnostic criteria for prediabetes was associated with increased all-cause and CVD mortality.

Bidirectional association between sarcopenia and diabetes: A prospective cohort study in middle-aged and elderly adults

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Sarcopenia and diabetes are prevalent diseases among middle-aged and elderly population. This study aimed to investigate the bidirectional association between sarcopenia and diabetes.

METHODS

This study comprised two longitudinal analyses. In cohort 1, the association between baseline diabetes and the risk of new-onset sarcopenia was assessed. In cohort 2, the association between baseline sarcopenia and the risk of new-onset diabetes was examined. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to calculate odds ratios (OR) and 95 % confidence intervals (95 % CI). Cross-lagged panel analysis was used to further validate their bidirectional associations.

RESULTS

Significant bidirectional associations were observed between sarcopenia and diabetes in both cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses (P < 0.05). After four years of follow-up, low handgrip strength (OR: 2.31, 95 % CI: 1.74-3.08) and appendicular skeletal muscle mass index (ASM/Ht2) (OR: 1.25, 95 % CI: 1.20-1.30) were associated with an increased risk of diabetes. Conversely, elevated fasting plasma glucose (FPG) (OR: 1.52, 95 % CI: 1.17-1.96) and glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) (OR: 1.35, 95 % CI: 1.05-1.73) were associated with a higher risk of sarcopenia. Cross-lagged analysis further confirmed their bidirectional longitudinal association.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified significant longitudinal bidirectional association between sarcopenia and diabetes, highlighting that each condition serves as a risk factor for the other. Clinically, early assessments of handgrip strength and ASM/Ht2 may aid in diabetes prevention, while monitoring FPG and HbA1c could help reduce the risk of sarcopenia.

Insights into the complex relationship between triglyceride glucose-waist height ratio index, mean arterial pressure, and cardiovascular disease: a nationwide prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Both the triglyceride glucose-waist height ratio (TyG-WHtR) index and elevated arterial blood pressure are risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, it is uncertain whether the TyG-WHtR index can increase the risk of CVD by influencing arterial blood pressure, and the extent to which the TyG-WHtR index may mediate the association between arterial blood pressure and CVD. The purpose of this study is to evaluate complex association of the TyG-WHtR index and mean arterial pressure (MAP) with CVD.

METHODS

All data in this study were obtained from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) free of CVD at baseline. CVD was defined as self-reporting heart disease and stroke. Cox proportional hazards model and restricted cubic spline (RCS) were used to analyze the association of the TyG-WHtR index and MAP with the risk of CVD. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to assess the predictive performance of TyG-WHtR, MAP for CVD. Four-way decomposition method explored the mediating effects of the TyG-WHtR index and MAP in CVD.

RESULTS

A total of 7976 participants were included in this study. The mean age of the participants was 58.68 ± 9.60 years, and 4263 (53.45%) were females. During a maximum follow-up of 7.0 years, 1326 (16.62%) people developed CVD. Both the TyG-WHtR index and MAP were signifcantly associated with CVD. The RCS regression analyses demonstrated a positive linear association of the TyG-WHtR index and MAP with the incidence of CVD. Compared with participants with TyG-WHtR < median and MAP < median, those with TyG-WHtR ≥ median and MAP ≥ median had the highest risk of CVD (HR 1.961; 95%CI 1.660-2.317). The combination of TyG-WHtR and MAP demonstrated incremental predictive utility over either biomarker alone, as evidenced by improvements in integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and net reclassification improvement (NRI). While absolute predictive performance remained moderate. Increased MAP signifcantly mediated 52.43% of the associations between TyG-WHtR index and CVD, and increased TyG-WHtR index signifcantly mediated 83.40% of the associations between MAP and CVD.

CONCLUSION

The combination of a higher TyG-WHtR index and a higher MAP was associated with the highest risk of CVD. The combined model of the TyG-WHtR index and MAP showed improved predictive ability, as indicated by IDI and NRI, although its overall predictive performance was still moderate. The MAP could partially mediate the association between TyG-WHtR index and CVD, as well as TyG-WHtR index could also partially mediate the association between MAP and CVD. These findings suggested that the combination of TyG-WHtR index and MAP helps identify populations at early risk of CVD and improve risk stratifcation.

The De Ritis ratio mediates the association between creatinine-to-body weight ratio and normoglycemic conversion in Chinese health examinees

To assess the associations between the creatinine-to-body weight (Cre/BW) ratio and reversion to normoglycemia mediated by the aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase (De Ritis) ratio. This retrospective cohort study included 24,884 prediabetic participants from health check-ups in 32 regions across 11 Chinese cities. We employed multivariable Cox regression to assess time-to-event outcomes, smooth curve fitting for trend analysis, and inflection point analysis to determine critical thresholds. Subgroup analyses were performed to explore interactions. Mediation analysis was conducted to clarify the mechanisms linking prediabetes with health outcomes. In the analysis of 24,884 individuals, it was observed that 49.08% of the prediabetic subjects experienced normoglycemic conversion during a follow-up period spanning 73,517.66 person-years. Following full adjustment, the Cre/BW ratio was positively associated with normoglycemic conversion among prediabetic individuals (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.30-1.55). Multivariate smooth spline analysis revealed a nonlinear relationship between the Cre/BW ratio and glucose status conversion (P for nonlinearity < 0.05), with the curves leveling off when the Cre/BW ratio (×100) reached 1.34. Subgroup analysis and additional sensitivity analyses confirmed that the results between the Cre/BW ratio and glucose status conversion were robust. Additionally, the De Ritis ratio was found to explain 50% of the association between the Cre/BW ratio and the prediabetes-to-normoglycemia transition. A higher Cre/BW ratio was associated with a better chance of controlling blood glucose levels in prediabetic individuals, with the De Ritis ratio playing a key mediating role.

Muscle quality index is correlated with insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes mellitus: a cross-sectional population-based study

BACKGROUND

Muscle quality index (MQI), an emerging health index, is calculated by dividing handgrip strength by skeletal muscle mass. Current evidence on the correlation between MQI and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), insulin resistance (IR) is limited. This work aims to study that correlation.

METHODS

This study involves a cross-sectional analysis on data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) during the period from 2011 to 2014. To explore the correlation between MQI, IR and T2DM, multivariate logistic regression, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, subgroup analysis, and restricted cubic spline regression were employed.

RESULTS

A total of 2816 American adults were enrolled in this study, among whom 1264 (44.9%) had IR, and 300 (10.7%) had T2DM. Logistic regression and RCS regression analyses showed a significant negative linearly correlation between MQI and the prevalence of IR (OR = 0.708, 95%=0.514, 0.976) and T2DM (OR = 0.676, 95%CI = 0.472, 0.969). Subgroup analysis further revealed a stronger correlation between MQI and IR among individuals with obesity. ROC analysis showed that compared with skeletal muscle and grip strength, MQI (AUC = 0.679 for IR and 0.688 for T2DM) can serve as a more reliable identification factor for IR and T2DM.

CONCLUSION

This study provides evidence that decreased levels of MQI are correlated with an increased risk of IR and T2DM, indicating the potential utility as a marker for identifying IR and T2DM.

Relationships between muscle strength, lung function, and cognitive function in Chinese middle-aged and older adults: A study based on the China health and retirement longitudinal study (CHARLS)

OBJECTIVE

As the population ages, concerns about cognitive decline have become increasingly relevant in medical consultations. This study aims to analyze the interaction between muscle strength, lung function, and cognitive function in Chinese middle-aged and older adults, providing a theoretical basis for better prevention of cognitive decline.

METHODS

This study used data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) wave 3, including 13 716 participants aged 45 years or older. Cognitive function was assessed through two dimensions, resulting in a total score ranging from 0 to 31 points, with higher scores indicating better cognitive function. Muscle strength was measured using normalized grip strength and chair-standing time, while lung function was evaluated using peak expiratory flow (PEF).

RESULTS

Total cognitive function scores exhibited significant correlations with grip strength, chair-standing time, and PEF. Muscle strength and lung function demonstrated significant associations with cognitive function, with lung function emerging as a notable mediating factor. This relationship persisted even after adjusting for potential confounding variables. Specifically, PEF played a substantial mediating role in linking grip strength to cognitive function scores (estimated indirect effect = 0.0132, boot-strapped standard error = 0.0015, boot-strapped standard 95% confidence interval = 0.0104, 0.0162). Additionally, PEF served as a significant mediator in the association between chair-standing time and cognitive function scores (estimated indirect effect = -0.0204, boot-strapped standard error = 0.0023, boot-strapped standard 95% confidence interval = -0.0251, -0.0159).

CONCLUSION

The study highlights the importance of addressing declines in muscle strength and lung function to identify risk factors associated with cognitive function. Understanding these relationships can provide insights into potential pathways linking these variables and may aid in better prevention of cognitive decline. Further long-term longitudinal cohort studies are needed to explore the causality between these factors.

Development and Validation of a Nutritional Frailty Phenotype for Older Adults Based on Risk Prediction Model: Results from a Population-Based Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

Malnutrition is generally studied to be involved in outlining hazard frailty trajectories, resulting in adverse outcomes. In view of frailty's multidimensional nature, we aimed to assess the contribution of nutritional items in existing frailty tools to adverse outcomes, and develop and validate a nutritional frailty phenotype based on machine learning.

DESIGN

A population-based prospective cohort study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

A total of 7641 older adults from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) were included as the training set to develop the nutritional frailty phenotype between 2011 at baseline and 2013 at follow-up, and 8656 older adults between 2013 at baseline and 2015 at follow-up were included for temporally external validation.

METHODS

The important predictors for 2-year incident adverse outcomes including all-cause mortality, disability, and combined outcomes were selected based on the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. The nutritional frailty phenotype was developed using 2 machine learning models (random forest and eXtreme Gradient Boosting), and modified Poisson regression with the robust (sandwich) estimation of variance.

RESULTS

Slowness (walking speed), lower extremity function (chair-stand test), and upper limb function (grip strength) were selected as important predictors for each outcome using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. For the training set, the models for predicting all-cause mortality [area under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUCs), 0.746-0.752; mean AUCs of the 5-fold cross validation: 0.746-0.752] and combined outcome (AUCs, 0.706-0.708; mean AUCs of the 5-fold cross validation, 0.706) showed acceptable discrimination, whereas the models for predicting incident disability had approximately acceptable discrimination (AUCs, 0.681-0.683; mean AUCs of the 5-fold cross validation, 0.681-0.684). For external validation, all models had acceptable discrimination, overall prediction performance, and clinical usefulness, but only the modified Poisson regression model for predicting incident disability had acceptable calibration.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

A novel nutritional frailty phenotype may have direct implications for decreasing risk of adverse outcomes in older adults. Weakness and slowness play a major role in the progression of nutritional frailty, emphasizing that nutritional supplementation combined with exercise may be one of the feasible pathways to prevent or delay adverse outcomes.

Cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between glycaemic measures and grip strength in people without diabetes in the UK Biobank cohort study

PURPOSE

To investigate associations between glycaemic measures (HbA1c, random glucose), and grip strength (GS) in adults without prevalent diabetes.

METHODS

We included 381,715 UK Biobank participants aged 38-73 years without diabetes (any type) with complete baseline measures for GS and HbA1c (main analyses), and glucose (supplementary analyses). Cross-sectional sex- and age-stratified associations between each glycaemic measure, GS, and probable sarcopenia (low GS) were examined with regression analyses. Changes in GS over 8.9 years were classified into four groups (decline, stable low, stable high, or reference (increase or maintained within the normal range)) in 36,228 participants and associations with baseline glycaemic measures explored using multinomial regression.

RESULTS

Higher HbA1c (mmol/mol) was associated with weaker mean GS (kg) (regression coefficient and 95% confidence intervals (CI): - 0.08 (- 0.09, - 0.07)), and increased odds of probable sarcopenia (odds ratio (OR) and 95% CIs: 1.02 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.02)) in males and across the age groups. In females, higher HbA1c was associated with weaker mean GS only in mid-life (e.g., 50-59 years: - 0.06 (- 0.07, - 0.05)). In males, but not in females with repeated GS, higher HbA1c was associated with decreased odds of stable high (0.97 (0.96, 0.99) and increased odds of stable low (1.03 (1.01, 1.04)) GS pattern (0.98 (0.97, 0.980)) over the follow-up. The results for glucose in supplementary analyses were mixed, especially in females.

CONCLUSIONS

The associations between HbA1c and GS in people without diabetes warrant replication and consideration of the effect on muscle strength when interventions to promote normoglycaemia are trialled.

Achieving prediabetes reversal in China: a nationwide longitudinal study on the role of blood glucose and lipid management in middle-aged and elderly adults

Background

Prediabetes, impacting a third of the adult Chinese population, is linked to a variety of detrimental health outcomes. However, scant research has delved into the factors that affect a regression from prediabetes to normal glucose regulation (NGR) in middle-aged and elderly Chinese adults.

Methods

We conducted a longitudinal analysis of 2,655 adults, aged 45 years and above, drawing data from wave 1 and wave 3 of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). We employed a stepwise logistic regression model to identify factors associated with the regression to NGR. Restricted Cubic Spline (RCS) analysis was used to evaluate the dose-response relationships between baseline fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels and the likelihood of regression to NGR. Attribution fraction (AF) analysis was conducted to measure the impact of modifiable factors on the regression of prediabetes. We further examined how changes in these factors were associated with regression to NGR.

Results

During the 4-year follow-up, 570 of 2,655 prediabetes participants regressed to NGR. The stepwise logistic regression model identified older age, female sex, abdominal obesity (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.57-0.86), elevated LDL-C (OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.48-0.97), higher FPG (OR 0.68, 95% CI 0.52-0.90), and higher HbA1c (OR 0.23, 95% CI 0.18-0.30) as factors associated with regression to NGR. AF analysis showed that a lower initial HbA1c was the most influential factor for regression to NGR. Additionally, evaluated blood lipid profiles reduced the odds of regression to NGR.

Conclusion

This study underscores the influence of age, gender, abdominal obesity, LDL-C levels, FPG, HbA1c, and blood lipid profiles on the likelihood of regressing from prediabetes to NGR. It suggests that adopting a healthy lifestyle and preemptively mitigating these risks may be more beneficial than addressing them after they have been identified in clinical settings.

Association between atherogenic index of plasma and future risk of cardiovascular disease in individuals with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome stages 0-3: a nationwide prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

As an emerging concept, Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome (CKM) elucidates the intricate interconnection between metabolic disorders(Mets), cardiovascular disease(CVD), and chronic kidney disease(CKD). Within this context, while numerous studies have demonstrated a correlation between the Atherogenic Index of Plasma (AIP) and CVD, the precise relationship between long-term fluctuations in the AIP and the incidence of CVD in patients with CKM syndrome remains unclear.

METHOD

The CKM stages 0-3 population was obtained from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). The outcome CVD was defined as self-reported heart disease and/or stroke. AIP control level was classified using k-mean cluster analysis. Logistic regression was used to analyse the effect of cumulative AIP (cumAIP) on the incidence of CVD. Restricted cubic spline models (RCS) were used to explore the potential non-linear relationship between cumulative AIP and CVD risk at different CKM syndrome stages.

RESULTS

Of the 3429 CKM stages 0-3 participants, 620 patients developed CVD during the 3-year follow-up period. After adjusting for various confounders, the odds ratio (OR) for the well-controlled class 2 compared with the best AIP control class 1 were 1.37 (1.04, 1.81), the OR for the moderately-controlled class 3 were 1.54 (95% CI, 1.04-2.26), the poorly-controlled class 4 were 1.65 (95% CI, 1.13-2.41), and the worst-controlled class 5 were 2.14 (95% CI, 1.15-3.97). In restricted cubic spline regression analyses, changes in AIP were linearly associated with the occurrence of CVD events. Further weighted quartiles and regression analyses indicated that triglyceride(TG) was a key variable for AIP in predicting CVD events in the CKM stages 0-3 population.

CONCLUSIONS

Poor control level of AIP are associated with an increased risk of CVD events in the population of CKM stages 0-3. Long-term dynamic monitoring of changes in AIP may help in the early identification of patients at high risk of developing CVD in the individuals with CKM stages 0-3.

Individual and combined effects of muscle strength and visceral adiposity on incident prediabetes and type 2 diabetes in a longitudinal cohort of midlife Asian women

AIM

To investigate the independent and combined effects of muscle strength and visceral adiposity on prediabetes and type 2 diabetes incidence among midlife women.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this prospective study of midlife women (mean age 56.4 years), visceral adiposity, defined as visceral adipose tissue (VAT) >131 cm2 measured by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry, and poor combined muscle strength, defined as handgrip strength <18 kg and/or five-time repeated chair stand test performance ≥12 s, were determined at baseline between 2014 and 2016. After 6.6 years, the effects of VAT and muscle strength on risk of incident prediabetes (fasting blood glucose 5.6-6.9 mmol/L) and type 2 diabetes (fasting blood glucose levels ≥7 mmol/L, medication use, or physician diagnosis) were examined using modified Poisson regression analysis.

RESULTS

Among the 733 initially normoglycaemic participants, 150 (20.5%) developed prediabetes or type 2 diabetes. Women with both poor combined muscle strength and high VAT had the highest risk for both prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (adjusted relative risk [aRR] 2.63, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.81-3.82). In comparison, high VAT alone increased risk by 1.78-fold (95% CI 1.12-2.84). Stratification analyses showed that among women with low muscle strength, high VAT demonstrated increased risks of prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (aRR 2.84, 95% CI 1.95-4.14) compared to those with normal strength (aRR 1.66, 95% CI 1.04-2.65).

CONCLUSIONS

Low combined muscle strength with high VAT poses a greater risk for the development of prediabetes and type 2 diabetes than high VAT alone. Muscle strengthening should be promoted alongside weight loss in diabetes prevention.

Correlation between individual thigh muscle volume and grip strength in relation to sarcopenia with automated muscle segmentation

INTRODUCTION

Grip strength serves as a significant marker for diagnosing and assessing sarcopenia, particularly in elderly populations. The study aims to explore the relationship between individual thigh muscle volumes and grip strength, leveraging advanced AI-based UNETR segmentation techniques for accurate muscle volume assessment.

METHODS

The study included 49 participants from a cohort of 478 patients diagnosed with hip fractures at Gyeongsang National University Hospital. We recorded Grip strength and height and utilized UNETR-based segmentation techniques on CT scans, to calculate individual thigh muscle volumes. Point-biserial correlation was employed to explore the relationship between sarcopenia and thigh muscle volumes. The research also included a quantile analysis of grip strength.

RESULTS

Our findings revealed a strong statistical significance in specific thigh muscles like Rectus femoris, Vastus lateralis, and Vastus intermedius, particularly in males, in relation to sarcopenia. The male cohort displayed a trend where higher thigh muscle volumes correlated with better grip strengths. Meanwhile no such relationship was found within the female group.

CONCLUSION

The findings indicate that stronger grip strength correlates with larger thigh muscles in males but not in females, with specific muscles like the Rectus femoris and Vastus lateralis linked to sarcopenia in men only. The study's small sample size calls for further research with more diverse and gender-balanced groups to verify these results.

Association of remnant cholesterol with progression and regression of prediabetes in middle-aged and older adults: a nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

The relationship between remnant cholesterol (RC) and outcome of patients with prediabetes remains unclear. This study aims to explore the association between dynamic changes in RC and progression to diabetes or regression to normal blood glucose in pre-diabetic population through a nationwide cohort study.

METHODS

Based on the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), 2304 participants aged 45 years or older (58.60 ± 8.04 years) who participated in two surveys in 2011 and 2015 were included. Participants were divided into 3 groups according to the tertiles of dynamic changes in RC levels between the two surveys (Q1: ≤ - 1.59, Q2: - 1.59-12.73, Q3: ≥ 12.73, mmol/L). Multivariate Logistic regression models were used to analyze the association of the dynamic changes in RC and the progression and regression of prediabetes. Restricted cubic splines were used to analyze the dose-response relationship between RC and dynamic changes in RC and progression in the prediabetic population.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 522 (22.30%) participants developed diabetes, 1283 (54.8%) participants remained prediabetic, and 536 (22.9%) participants regressed to normoglycemia. Further analysis of dynamic changes in RC revealed that reducing RC levels during follow-up reduced the risk of developing diabetes (OR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.58-0.99, P = 0.04). However, compared with people with increased RC levels, people with prediabetes and stable RC levels are more likely to return to normal blood glucose (OR = 1.45,95% CI: 1.12-1.88, P = 0.005). In the pre-diabetic population, there was non-linear dose-response relationship between the level of RC and dynamic change in RC and the risk of developing diabetes (P nonlinearity < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Our findings revealed a substantial and non-linear association between dynamic change in RC levels and the outcome of prediabetes. Decreased RC level were associated with reduced risk of progression to diabetes in prediabetes.

Roles of low muscle strength and sarcopenic obesity on incident symptomatic knee osteoarthritis: A longitudinal cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Sarcopenia is prevalent in middle to old age. We aimed to investigate the association between muscle strength and the incident knee osteoarthritis (OA).

METHODS

12,043 participants were collected from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. The effects of sarcopenic obesity (defined by obesity in combination with possible sarcopenia) on knee OA onset were calculated using Poisson regression models. Mediation analysis was fit to estimate mediating proportion of muscle strength on the association between obesity and incident knee OA.

RESULTS

The study all enrolled 12,043 participants with 2,008 progressed to knee OA. Poisson analyses demonstrated causal association of general obesity (RR:1.23, 95% CI: 1.08 to 1.39) and abdominal obesity (RR:1.23, 95% CI: 1.11 to 1.35) with knee OA onset. For the risk of incident knee OA, participants with the highest level of normalized grip strength had a decreased risk of incident knee OA by 0.33 (RR:0.67, 95% CI: 0.60 to 0.75) times compared to the control group, and chair-rising time was associated with increased risk of incident knee OA by 0.65 (RR:1.65, 95% CI: 1.17 to 2.33) times. Sensitivity analysis identified similar results. Participants with sarcopenic obesity were about 2 times risk of incident knee OA than reference group. Normalized grip strength and chair-rising time mediated the association between obesity and incidence of knee OA.

CONCLUSIONS

Sarcopenic obesity is correlated with an increased risk of knee OA. Muscle strength recovery may alleviate the risk of incident knee OA in middle to old age with obesity.

The combined effect of handgrip strength and obesity phenotype on the risk of stroke in Chinese middle-aged and elderly: A cohort study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the combined effect of handgrip strength (HGS) and obesity phenotype on the risk of stroke in Chinese middle-aged and elderly people.

METHODS

The data was used from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Middle-aged and older adults who participated in surveys between 2011 and 2018 were included in the study. They were divided into 4 different types of obesity phenotypes based on obesity and metabolic status: metabolically healthy non-overweight/obesity (MHNO), metabolically healthy overweight/obesity (MHO), metabolically abnormal non-overweight/obesity (MANO), and metabolically abnormal overweight/obesity (MAO). The HGS level was divided into low and high groups according to the median values. Cox proportional risk regression model was used to analyze the joint effect of HGS and obesity phenotype on the risk of stroke among participants.

RESULTS

A total of 7904 participants aged 58.89±9.08 years were included in this study. After adjusting for potential confounders, high HGS&MHO (HR=1.86, 95 % CI=1.12-3.09), high HGS&MANO (HR=2.01, 95 %CI=1.42-2.86), high HGS&MAO (HR=2.01, 95 % CI=1.37-2.93), low HGS&MHNO (HR=1.57, 95 % CI=1.00-2.46), low HGS&MHO (HR=2.09, 95 % CI=1.29-3.38), low HGS&MANO (HR=2.02, 95 % CI=1.35-3.03), and low HGS&MAO (HR=2.48, 95 % CI=1.72-3.58) group had significantly higher risks of stroke than the high HGS&MHNO group.

CONCLUSION

The coexistence of metabolically unhealthy and low HGS can synergistically increase the risk of stroke in Chinese middle-aged and elderly people.

A longitudinal study on the impact of the TyG Index and TG/HDL-C ratio on the risk of type 2 diabetes in Chinese patients with prediabetes

OBJECTIVE

To elucidate the impact and predictive value of the Triglyceride Glucose Index (TyG) and the ratio of Triglycerides to High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) in identifying the risk of diabetes progression in Chinese individuals with prediabetes.

METHODS

This longitudinal study enrolled 15,012 prediabetic adults from the Rich Healthcare Group between 2010 and 2016. Diabetes was defined as self-reported diabetes or a fasting glucose level ≥ 7.0 mmol/L. The Cox proportional hazards models was utilized to assess the relationship between the two indices and the risk of developing diabetes. The predictive efficacy of the two markers was gauged by the area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up period of 2.87 years, 1,730 (11.5%) prediabetic participants developed diabetes. The adjusted hazard ratios for the top quartile of the TyG index and the TG/HDL-C ratio were 2.03 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.71-2.40) and 2.59 (95% CI: 2.20-3.05), respectively, compared to the lowest quartile. A significant trend of increasing diabetes risk with higher quartiles of both indices was observed. The AUC for the adjusted prediction model for prediabetes-to-diabetes transition was 0.726 for the TyG index and 0.710 for the TG/HDL-C ratio. The difference in AUCs was statistically significant (P = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

The baseline TyG index or TG/HDL-C ratio was significantly associated with an increased risk of diabetes in prediabetic individuals. The TyG index demonstrated superior predictive accuracy, underscoring its importance in preventing diabetes in prediabetic individuals.

Association between the triglyceride glucose-body mass index and future cardiovascular disease risk in a population with Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic syndrome stage 0-3: a nationwide prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association (AHA) has recently introduced the concept of Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic (CKM) syndrome, which is the result of an increasing emphasis on the interplay of metabolic, renal and cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Furthermore, there is substantial evidence of a correlation between the triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI ) and CVD as an assessment of insulin resistance (IR). However, it remains unknown whether this correlation exists in population with CKM syndrome.

METHODS

All data for this study were obtained from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). The exposure was the participants' TyG-BMI at baseline, which was calculated using a combination of triglycerides (TG), fasting blood glucose (FBG) and body mass index (BMI). The primary outcome was CVD, which were determined by the use of a standardised questionnaire during follow-up. To examine the relationship between TyG-BMI and CVD incidence in population with CKM syndrome, both Cox regression analyses and restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

A total of 7376 participants were included in the final analysis. Of these, 1139, 1515, 1839, and 2883 were in CKM syndrome stages 0, 1, 2, and 3, respectively, at baseline. The gender distribution was 52.62% female, and the mean age was 59.17 ± 9.28 (years). The results of the fully adjusted COX regression analyses indicated that there was a 6.5% increase in the risk of developing CVD for each 10-unit increase in TyG-BMI,95% confidence interval (CI):1.041-1.090. The RCS regression analyses demonstrated a positive linear association between TyG-BMI and the incidence of CVD in the CKM syndrome population (P for overall < 0.001, P for nonlinear = 0.355).

CONCLUSIONS

This cohort study demonstrated a positive linear association between TyG-BMI index and increased CVD incidence in a population with CKM syndrome stage 0-3. This finding suggests that enhanced assessment of TyG-BMI index may provide a more convenient and effective tool for individuals at risk for CVD in CKM syndrome stage 0-3.

Association between muscle strength and cardiometabolic multimorbidity risk among middle-aged and older Chinese adults: a nationwide longitudinal cohort study

BACKGROUND

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CM) is emerging as a global health challenge. This study investigated the potential impact of muscle strength on the risk of CM in middle-aged and older Chinese adults.

METHODS

In total, 7610 participants were identified from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Muscle strength was measured by absolute, relative grip strength (normalized for body mass index) and chair-rising time which were classified into three categories according to tertiles stratified by gender. Cox proportional hazards models were adopted to evaluate the effect of muscle strength on CM.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 235(3.76%) participants from none cardiometabolic diseases (CMD), 140 (19.23%) from diabetes, 119 (21.17%) from heart disease, and 22 (30.56%) from stroke progressed to CM. In participants who had low relative grip strength, CM was more likely to occur in individuals with heart disease at baseline (HR: 1.89, 95%CIs: 1.10 to 3.23). Those with high chair-rising time had a higher risk of CM than those with low chair-rising time in the individuals with diabetes (HR: 1.85, 95%CIs:1.20 to 2.86) and with heart disease (HR: 1.67, 95%CIs:1.04 to 2.70). However, we did not observe an association between muscle strength and CM in participants without CMD or with stroke at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

In Chinese middle-aged and older adults, low relative grip strength was associated with a higher risk of CM in individuals with heart disease, while high chair-rising time was associated with a higher risk of CM in individuals with diabetes or heart disease.

Associations of muscle mass and strength with new-onset diabetes among middle-aged and older adults: evidence from the China health and retirement longitudinal study (CHARLS)

BACKGROUND

The associations of muscle mass and strength with new-onset Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) remain controversial. We aimed to longitudinally evaluate muscle mass and strength in predicting T2DM among Chinese middle-aged and older adults.

METHODS

We enrolled 6033 participants aged ≥ 45 years from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), a cohort survey, between 2011 and 2012. The appendicular skeletal muscle mass (normalized by weight, ASM/BW%), relative hand grip strength (normalized by weight, HGS/BW), and five-repetition chair stand test (5CST). were all categorized into tertiles (lowest, middle, and highest groups) at baseline, respectively. Individuals were followed up until the occurrence of diabetes or the end of CHARLS 2018, whichever happened first. Cox proportional hazards models to calculate hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CI) and mediation analysis were used.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 815 (13.5%) participants developed T2DM. After adjusting for covariates, lower ASW/BW% was not associated with a higher risk of diabetes. Compared with individuals in the highest tertile of HGS/BW, those in the lowest tertile had 1.296 (95%CI 1.073-1.567) higher risk of diabetes. Compared with individuals in the lowest tertile of 5CST, those in the highest tertile had 1.329 times (95%CI 1.106-1.596) higher risk of diabetes. By subgroup, both the lowest HGS/BW and highest 5CST were risk factors for diabetes among obesity. The mediation analysis revealed that the effect of HGS/BW on the risk of diabetes is mainly mediated by insulin resistance.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower muscle strength is associated with an increased risk of diabetes, especially in obese populations.

The association of platelet to white blood cell ratio with diabetes: a nationwide survey in China

Background

Inflammation is integral to diabetes pathogenesis. The novel hematological inflammatory biomarker, platelet to white blood cell ratio (PWR), is linked with various conditions such as chronic kidney disease and stroke. However, the association of this novel clinical indicator with diabetes still remains unclear, which is investigated in this study.

Materials and Methods

A total of 10,973 Chinese participants were included and grouped according to the tertiles of PWR (T1, T2, and T3 groups). Diagnosis of prediabetes and diabetes adhered to American Diabetes Association criteria. Binary logistic regression was adopted to assess the relationship between PWR and both diabetes and prediabetes. The dose-response relationship of PWR and diabetes was examined using restricted cubic spline regression. Subgroup and interaction analyses were conducted to investigate potential covariate interactions.

Results

Individuals with higher PWR had better lifestyles and lipid profiles (all P < 0.05). After adjusting for all the covariates, the T2 group had a 0.83-fold (95% CI: 0.73-0.93, P < 0.01) risk of diabetes and that for the T3 group was 0.68-fold (95% CI: 0.60-0.78. P < 0.001). Dose-response analysis identified non-linear PWR-diabetes associations in the general population and females (both P < 0.05), but absent in males. Participants with prediabetes in the T2 and T3 groups had lower risks of diabetes (OR = 0.80 for the T2 group, P < 0.001 and 0.68 for the T3 group, P < 0.001) in the full models. All the sensitivity analysis support consistent conclusions.

Conclusions

An increase in PWR significantly correlates with reduced diabetes risks. A non-linear PWR-diabetes relationship exists in the general population and females, but not in males. The correlation between PWR and diabetes indicates that PWR holds potentials in early identification and prevention of diabetes.

Changes in muscle strength and risk of cardiovascular disease among middle-aged and older adults in China: Evidence from a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Evidence indicates that low muscle strength is associated with an increased cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) risk. However, the association between muscle strength changes based on repeated measurements and CVD incidence remains unclear.

METHODS

The study used data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study in 2011 (Wave 1), 2013 (Wave 2), 2015 (Wave 3), and 2018 (Wave 4). Low muscle strength was defined as handgrip strength <28 kg for men or <18 kg for women, or chair-rising time ≥12 s. Based on changes in muscle strength from Waves 1 to 2, participants were categorized into four groups of Normal-Normal, Low-Normal, Normal-Low, and Low-Low. CVD events, including heart disease and stroke, were recorded using a self-reported questionnaire during Waves 3 and 4 visits. Cox proportional hazards models were used to investigate the association between muscle strength changes and CVD incidence after multivariable adjustments. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were estimated with the Normal-Normal group as the reference.

RESULTS

A total of 1164 CVD cases were identified among 6608 participants. Compared to participants with sustained normal muscle strength, the CVD risks increased progressively across groups of the Low-Normal (HR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.01-1.43), the Normal-Low (HR = 1.35, 95% CI: 1.14-1.60), and the Low-Low (HR = 1.76, 95% CI: 1.49-2.07). Similar patterns were observed for the significant associations between muscle strength status and the incidence risks of heart disease and stroke. Subgroup analyses showed that the significant associations between CVD and muscle strength changes were consistent across age, sex, and body mass index (BMI) categories.

CONCLUSIONS

The study found that muscle strength changes were associated with CVD risk. This suggests that continuous tracking of muscle status may be helpful in screening cardiovascular risk.

Intraindividual difference in estimated GFR by creatinine and cystatin C, cognitive trajectories and motoric cognitive risk syndrome

BACKGROUND

Intraindividual differences between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on cystatin C (eGFRcys) and creatinine (eGFRcr) can convey important clinical information regarding health status. However, the clinical implications of these differences (eGFRdiff) for risk of cognitive decline and motoric cognitive risk (MCR) syndrome remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the longitudinal associations of eGFRdiff with cognitive trajectories and incident MCR.

METHODS

Based on the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, we identified two study subcohorts: one for cognitive trajectory follow-up (6423 participants, 2011-2018) and another for incident MCR follow-up (2477 participants, 2011-2015). The eGFRdiff was defined as eGFRcys - eGFRcr. Adjusted ordinal and binary logistic regression models were separately used to assess the associations of eGFRdiff with cognitive trajectories and incident MCR. We also performed discordance analyses for eGFRdiff versus eGFRcys, eGFRcr or eGFR based on both creatinine and cystatin C (eGFRcys-cr).

RESULTS

In the first subcohort, four distinct 7-year cognitive trajectories were identified. Each 1 standard deviation (SD) higher eGFRdiff (value for eGFRcys - eGFRcr) was associated with a lower risk of poorer cognitive trajectories {odds ratio 0.909 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.877-0.942]}. In the second subcohort, 121 participants developed incident MCR after a 4-year follow-up. Each 1-SD higher eGFRdiff (value for eGFRcys - eGFRcr) was linked with a 25.3% (95% CI 16.6-33.2) decreased risk for MCR. The above associations persisted in individuals with normal kidney function. Additionally, the risk for cognitive decline and incident MCR was more strongly associated with eGFRcys than eGFRcr and eGFRcys-cr. For the discordance analyses, the 'discordantly high eGFRdiff/low eGFR' group but not the 'discordantly low eGFRdiff/high eGFR' exhibited a significantly lower risk of poorer cognitive trajectories and MCR compared with the concordant group.

CONCLUSIONS

A large negative difference between eGFRcys and eGFRcr (eGFRcys < eGFRcr) was associated with a higher risk of cognitive decline and incident MCR. The eGFRdiff could capture additional valuable risk information beyond eGFRcys, eGFRcr and eGFRcys-cr.

Metabolic Alteration Bridging the Prediabetic State and Colorectal Cancer

Prediabetes and colorectal cancer (CRC) represent compelling health burdens responsible for high mortality and morbidity rates, sharing several modifiable risk factors. It has been hypothesized that metabolic abnormalities linking prediabetes and CRC are hyperglycemia, hyperinsulinemia, and adipokines imbalance. The chronic stimulation related to these metabolic signatures can favor CRC onset and development, as well as negatively influence CRC prognosis. To date, the growing burden of prediabetes and CRC has generated a global interest in defining their epidemiological and molecular relationships. Therefore, a deeper knowledge of the metabolic impairment determinants is compelling to identify the pathological mechanisms promoting the onset of prediabetes and CRC. In this scenario, this review aims to provide a comprehensive overview on the metabolic alterations of prediabetes and CRC as well as an overview of recent preventive and therapeutic approaches for both diseases, focusing on the role of the metabolic state as a pivotal contributor to consider for the development of future preventive and therapeutic strategies.

Muscle Quality in Relation to Prediabetes Phenotypes: A Population-Based Study With Mediation Analysis

CONTEXT

Prediabetes is associated with an increased risk of physical disability, yet no studies have assessed the extent to which muscle quality, a measure reflecting muscle functionality, was altered in prediabetes and its specific phenotype.

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated their associations in a general US population with mediation analysis.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study based on the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011-2014. Participants with prediabetes were stratified as having an isolated defect (impaired fasting glucose [IFG], impaired glucose tolerance [IGT], or impaired hemoglobin A1c [IA1c]), 2 defects (IFG + IGT, IFG + IA1c, or IGT + IA1c), or all defects (IFG + IGT + IA1c). Muscle quality was calculated as dominant grip strength divided by dominant arm muscle mass measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry.

RESULTS

We included 2351 participants (938 with prediabetes and 1413 with normoglycemia). Despite higher grip strength and larger arm muscle mass, arm muscle quality was lower in prediabetes and all prediabetes phenotypes (except for IGT) than normoglycemia (all P < .04), and was unrelated to prediabetes awareness. Arm muscle quality was decreased and the odds of low arm muscle quality was increased in prediabetes with increasing numbers of glucometabolic defects (both P < .001), with insulin resistance being the predominant mediator. HbA1c-defined prediabetes (IA1c) had lower arm muscle quality and higher odds of low arm muscle quality than blood glucose-defined prediabetes (IFG, IGT, or IFG + IGT).

CONCLUSION

Muscle quality was impaired in prediabetes and its specific phenotype. Relative to blood glucose, elevated HbA1c might be a better predictor of reduced muscle quality.

High sensitivity C-reactive protein and prediabetes progression and regression in middle-aged and older adults: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the effect of systemic inflammation, assessed by high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels, on prediabetes progression and regression in middle-aged and older adults based on the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS).

METHODS

Participants with prediabetes from CHARLS were followed up 4 years later with blood samples collected for measuring fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c). The level of hs-CRP was assessed at baseline and categorized into tertiles (low, middle, and high groups). Prediabetes at baseline and follow-up was defined primarily according to the American Diabetes Association (ADA) criteria. Logistic regression models were used to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) and confidence intervals (CIs). We also performed stratified analyses according to age, gender, BMI, the presence of hypertension, and the disease history of heart disease and dyslipidemia and sensitivity analyses excluding a subset of participants with incomplete data.

RESULTS

Of the 2,874 prediabetes included at baseline, 834 participants remained as having prediabetes, 146 progressed to diabetes, and 1,894 regressed to normoglycemia based on ADA criteria with a 4 year follow-up. After multivariate logistics regression analysis, prediabetes with middle (0.67-1.62 mg/L) and high (>1.62 mg/L) hs-CRP levels had an increased incidence of progressing to diabetes compared with prediabetes with low hs-CRP levels (<0.67 mg/L; OR = 1.846, 95%CI: 1.129-3.018; and OR = 1.632, 95%CI: 0.985-2.703, respectively), and the incidence of regressing to normoglycemia decreased (OR = 0.793, 95%CI: 0.645-0.975; and OR = 0.769, 95%CI: 0.623-0.978, respectively). Stratified analyses and sensitivity analyses showed consistent results.

CONCLUSIONS

Low levels of hs-CRP are associated with a high incidence of regression from prediabetes to normoglycemia and reduced odds of progression to diabetes.

The Association between the Platelet to White Blood Cell Ratio and Chronic Kidney Disease in an Aging Population: A Four-Year Follow-Up Study

INTRODUCTION

The platelet to white blood cell ratio (PWR) has been reported to be a prognostic factor for some diseases, such as subarachnoid hemorrhage. However, the association between the PWR and chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unknown. To investigate the cross-sectional and longitudinal association between the PWR and CKD, this study was performed.

METHODS

This study used datasets from a national prospective cohort in China (China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study). A retrospective cohort from 2011 to 2015 was constructed. The PWR was stratified as a categorical variable according to tertiles (T1-T3 groups). CKD was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL min-1/1.73/m2. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions and restricted cubic spline regression were adopted to assess the linear and non-linear association between the PWR and CKD. Propensity score matching was used to balance the discrepancies between covariates. Subgroup and interactive analyses were performed to explore potential interactive effects of covariates. Missing values were interpolated using random forest. The PWR was also stratified according to the median and quartiles as sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 8600 participants were included in this study. In the full model, the odds ratios (ORs) of prevalent CKD were 0.78 (95% CI = 0.62-0.97, p < 0.05) for the T2 group and 0.59 (95% CI = 0.46-0.76, p < 0.001) for the T3 group. There were significant interactive effects of marital status and smoking in the PWR-CKD association (both p for interaction < 0.05). An L-shaped, non-linear association was detected between the PWR and prevalent CKD in the overall population, participants ≥ 60 years, and females subgroups (all p for non-linear < 0.05). All sensitivity analyses supported the negative association between the PWR and prevalent CKD. In the 2011-2015 follow-up cohort, the ORs of incident CKD were 0.73 (95% CI = 0.49-1.08, p > 0.05) and 0.31 (95% CI = 0.18-0.51, p < 0.001) for the T2 and T3 groups, respectively, in the full model.

CONCLUSIONS

A high PWR is associated with a reduced risk of prevalent and incident CKD. The PWR may serve as a predictor for CKD, facilitating the early identification and intervention of kidney function decline.

Prediabetes Progression and Regression on Objectively- Measured Physical Function: A Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGRUOUND

Prediabetes leads to declines in physical function in older adults, but the impact of prediabetes progression or regression on physical function is unknown. This study assessed this longitudinal association, with physical function objectivelymeasured by grip strength, walking speed, and standing balance, based on the Health and Retirement Study enrolling United States adults aged >50 years.

METHODS

Participants with prediabetes were followed-up for 4-year to ascertain prediabetes status alteration (maintained, regressed, or progressed), and another 4-year to assess their impacts on physical function. Weak grip strength was defined as <26 kg for men and <16 kg for women, slow walking speed was as <0.8 m/sec, and poor standing balance was as an uncompleted fulltandem standing testing. Logistic and linear regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Of the included 1,511 participants with prediabetes, 700 maintained as prediabetes, 306 progressed to diabetes, and 505 regressed to normoglycemia over 4 years. Grip strength and walking speed were declined from baseline during the 4-year followup, regardless of prediabetes status alteration. Compared with prediabetes maintenance, prediabetes progression increased the odds of developing weak grip strength by 89% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.04 to 2.44) and exhibited larger declines in grip strength by 0.85 kg (95% CI, -1.65 to -0.04). However, prediabetes progression was not related to impairments in walking speed or standing balance. Prediabetes regression also did not affect any measures of physical function.

CONCLUSION

Prediabetes progression accelerates grip strength decline in aging population, while prediabetes regression may not prevent physical function decline due to aging.

Sleep duration and depressive symptoms in Chinese middle-aged and older adults: The moderating effects of grip strength

BACKGROUND

Evidence on the combined effect of sleep duration and grip strength on depressive symptoms is scarce. This study aimed to explore the moderating effect of grip strength on the association between sleep duration and depressive symptoms in a large cohort of middle-aged and older adults.

METHOD

Data were extracted from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) 2011-2018 wave. Grip strength and sleep duration were assessed by dynamometer and self-report, respectively. Depressive symptoms were determined by the Centre for Epidemiological Studies Depression scale (CESD-10). Multivariable cox regression model was used to explore the associations between sleep duration, and depressive symptoms, and assess moderation by grip strength.

RESULTS

A total of 4337 participants aged 57.0 ± 8.1 years (45.1 % females) were included in this study. During the 7-year follow up period, 1508 participants developed depressive symptoms. Short sleep duration (<6 h/d) was significantly associated with an increased risk of depressive symptoms [Hazard ratio (HR):1.24, 95 % confidence interval (CI):1.09, 1.40)]. This association remained in individuals with the low (HR:1.22, 95%CI:1.00, 1.49) and middle grip strength (HR:1.32, 95%CI: 1.07, 1.63), but attenuated in individuals with high grip strength (HR:1.11, 95%CI: 0.86, 1.43).

CONCLUSIONS

High grip strength mitigated the association between short sleep duration and higher risk of depressive symptoms. Thus, improving sleep duration and strengthening muscle strength are recommended to prevent depressive symptoms in middle-aged and older adults.

Development and validation of a prediction model based on machine learning algorithms for predicting the risk of heart failure in middle-aged and older US people with prediabetes or diabetes

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) based prediction model for the risk of heart failure (HF) in patients with prediabetes or diabetes.

METHODS

We used 3527 subjects aged 40 years and older with a prior diagnosis of prediabetes or diabetes from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2007 to 2018. The search for independent risk variables linked to HF was conducted using univariate and multivariable logistic regression analysis. The 3527 subjects were randomly divided into training set and validation set in a 7:3 ratio. Five ML models were built on the training set using five ML algorithms, including random forest (RF), and then validated on the validation set. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis and Bootstrap resampling method were used to measure the predictive performance of the five ML models.

RESULTS

Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, poverty-to-income ratio, myocardial infarction condition, coronary heart disease condition, chest pain condition, and glucose-lowering medication use were independent predictors of HF. By comparing the performance of the five ML models, the RF model (AUC = 0.978) was the best prediction model.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of HF in middle-aged and elderly patients with prediabetes or diabetes can be accurately predicted using ML models. The best prediction performance is presented by RF model, which can assist doctors in making clinical decisions.

Grip strength affects the association between platelet count and disability-free survival: Evidence from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Previous studies found elevated platelet count (PLT), especially long-term persist high or increased PLT was associated with less likelihood disability-free survival (DFS). However, whether grip strength affects the relationship between them is still not elucidated.

METHODS

A total of 6252 participants were recruited in the analysis based on the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. The primary outcome was DFS, evaluated by a composite endpoint based on the first occurrence of either disability (having difficulty in at least one of the 6 activities of daily living: namely, dressing, bathing, continence, eating, getting into or out of bed, and toileting) or all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

The association of PLT with primary outcome was significantly modified by grip strength (pinteraction = 0.022). The rates of primary outcome were significantly lower among participants with lower baseline PLT in participants with normal grip strength (multivariable odds ratio [OR], 0.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.54-0.84; ptrend < 0.001), but not in those with low grip strength (multivariable OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 0.88-3.15; ptrend = 0.135), for the lowest quartile vs the highest quartile. Adding baseline PLT (quartiles or continuous) to a model containing conventional risk factors significantly improved risk reclassification for primary outcome among those with normal grip strength (most of p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

An inverse dose-response association of PLT with DFS was found among participants with normal grip strength, but not among those with low grip strength. Low grip strength might weaken the benefit of low PLT on DFS among middle-aged and older Chinese.

Association between serum triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and sarcopenia among elderly patients with diabetes: a secondary data analysis of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

OBJECTIVE

Previous studies investigating the association between the serum triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio and the occurrence of sarcopenia in different populations have yielded inconsistent results. This study aimed to investigate the potential association between TG/HDL-C ratio and sarcopenia among elderly Chinese patients with diabetes.

DESIGN

A secondary data analysis.

SETTING

This was a secondary analysis of data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study.

PARTICIPANTS

In this study, 752 elderly individuals with diabetes were included after excluding individuals aged <60 years old, those with missing data for the assessment of sarcopenia and missing measurements for plasma glucose or glycated haemoglobin.

OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary information included TG/HDL-C ratio, muscle strength, physical performance, muscle mass and covariables. The association between TG/HDL-C ratio and sarcopenia was assessed using ordinal logistic regression and linear regression analysis.

RESULTS

On multivariate ordinal logistic regression, among male patients, compared with those with the lowest quartile of TG/HDL-C ratio (≤1.41), those with the highest quartile (>4.71) had a significantly lower risk of more severe sarcopenia (OR 0.24, 95% CI 0.10 to 0.54). Similarly, among female patients, compared with those with the lowest quartile of TG/HDL-C ratio (≤2.07), those with the highest quartile (>5.61) had a significantly lower risk of more severe sarcopenia (OR 0.17, 95% CI 0.07 to 0.44). In multivariate linear regression, male patients with the highest quartile of TG/HDL-C ratio (β=0.36, 95% CI 0.20 to 0.51) had higher muscle mass than those with the lowest quartile. Similarly, female patients with the highest quartile of TG/HDL-C ratio (β=0.31, 95% CI 0.10 to 0.51) had higher muscle mass than those with the lowest quartile.

CONCLUSIONS

There was a negative association between TG/HDL-C ratio categorised by quartile and sarcopenia, which indicates that a higher TG/HDL-C ratio may be related to better muscle status.

Bidirectional association between handgrip strength and ADLs disability: a prospective cohort study

Background

Decreased handgrip strength (HGS) and activities of daily living (ADL) disability are common in aging populations. No studies have evaluated the bidirectional associations between HGS and ADL disability. This study aimed to explore the bidirectional effects of HGS and ADL disability.

Methods

This study analyzed data from two waves (2011 and 2015) of China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Low HGS is defined by the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia criteria. Meanwhile, disability was assessed by ADLs scale. The prospective bidirectional association between HGS and ADL disability was examined using binary logistic regression. Subgroup analysis were performed according to age and gender.

Results

A total of 4,902 and 5,243 participants were included in the Stage I and Stage II analyses, respectively. On the one hand, low HGS was significantly associated with subsequent ADL disability. The odds ratio (OR) value of developing BADL disability and IADL disability were 1.60 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.23-2.08) and 1.40 (95% CI: 1.15-1.70), respectively, in participants with low HGS. On the other hand, baseline ADL disability was associated with an increased risk of developing low HGS. The OR value of developing low HGS were 1.84 (95% CI: 1.34-2.51) and 1.46 (95% CI: 1.19-1.79) for participants with BADL disability and participants with IADL disability, respectively. Lastly, the strength of the bidirectional associations varied among subgroups.

Conclusions

A significant bidirectional associations were identified between HGS and ADL disability. Interventions should be developed to prevent the development or progression of both low HGS and ADL disability.

Possible sarcopenia and risk of new-onset type 2 diabetes mellitus in older adults in China: a 7-year longitudinal cohort study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have shown that type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) can cause sarcopenia; however, these conditions may have a bidirectional association. This study aimed to explore the longitudinal association between possible sarcopenia and new-onset T2DM.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based cohort study using nationally representative data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). This study included participants aged ≥ 60 years who were free of diabetes during the baseline survey of CHARLS (2011 to 2012) and were followed up until 2018. Possible sarcopenia status was defined according to the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia 2019 criteria. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to evaluate the effect of possible sarcopenia on new-onset T2DM.

RESULTS

In total, 3,707 individuals were enrolled in this study, with a median age of 66 years; the prevalence of possible sarcopenia was 45.1%. During the 7-year follow-up, 575 cases (15.5%) of incident diabetes were identified. Participants with possible sarcopenia were more likely to have new-onset T2DM than those without possible sarcopenia (hazard ratio: 1.27, 95% confidence interval: 1.07-1.50; p = 0.006). In subgroup analysis, we found a significant association between possible sarcopenia and T2DM in individuals aged < 75 years or with a BMI < 24 kg/m². However, this association was not significant in individuals aged ≥ 75 years or with a BMI ≥ 24 kg/m².

CONCLUSIONS

Possible sarcopenia is associated with an increased risk of new-onset T2DM in older adults, especially in individuals who are not overweight and aged 75 years or younger.

The association between long-term platelet count and disability-free survival among middle-aged and older Chinese: Evidence from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We aimed to assess the associations of baseline and long-term platelet count (PLT) with disability-free survival (DFS) among middle-aged and older Chinese.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 7296 participants were recruited in the analysis. Updated mean PLT was defined as the mean of the two PLT measurements (4 years between wave 1-3). The long-term status of PLT was defined as persistent low, attenuated, increased and persistent high PLT according to the optimal cut points from the receiver operating characteristic curves of the two PLT measurements, respectively. The primary outcome was DFS, evaluated by the first occurrence of either disability or mortality. During 6-year visit, 1579 participants experienced disability or all-cause mortality. The rates of primary outcome were significantly higher among participants with elevated baseline PLT and updated mean PLT. Multivariable adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of primary outcome were 1.253 (1.049-1.496) for highest baseline PLT tertile and 1.532 (1.124-2.088) for highest updated mean PLT tertile, comparing to the lowest tertiles. Multivariable-adjusted spline regression models showed a linear association of baseline PLT (p_linearity < 0.001) and updated mean PLT (p_linearity = 0.005) with primary outcome. Moreover, participants with persistent high PLT and increased PLT had increased risk of primary outcome (ORs [95% CIs]: 1.825 [1.282-2.597] and 1.767 [1.046-2.985], respectively), compared with the reference of those with persistent low PLT.

CONCLUSION

This study proved elevated baseline PLT, especially long-term persist high or increased PLT was associated with less likelihood of DFS among middle-aged and older Chinese.

Associations of obesity-related indices with prediabetes regression to normoglycemia among Chinese middle-aged and older adults: a prospective study

Background

Prediabetes is associated with increased cardiovascular risk and all-cause mortality, while its regression will decrease the risks. This study investigated the associations of six obesity-related indices (waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), body roundness index (BRI), conicity index (CI), body shape index (ABSI), Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI), and triglyceride glucose (TyG) index) with prediabetes regression based on the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), enrolling middle-aged and older adults.

Methods

We included 2,601 participants with prediabetes from CHARLS, who were followed up from 2011-2012 to 2015-2016, with blood samples collected for measuring fasting plasma glucose and hemoglobin A1c. All the obesity-related indices at baseline and their dynamic changes were calculated and categorized into tertiles. Logistic regression analysis was applied to obtain the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Attributable fractions (AFs) and 95% CIs of these indices and the dynamic changes were calculated with the AF package in R software, and the cutoff values of initial obesity-related indices were obtained by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.

Results

During the 4-year follow-up period, 562 (21.61%) participants regressed from prediabetes to normoglycemia. They had lower initial BRI, WHtR, CI, ABSI, CVAI, and TyG than those who did not (P < 0.05). After multivariable adjustment, participants in the first tertile of initial BRI (OR, 1.45, 95%CIs, 1.09-1.93), WHtR (OR, 1.46, 95%CIs, 1.10-1.95), and CVAI (OR, 1.47, 95%CIs, 1.11-1.93) had increased odds of prediabetes regression compared with those in the highest tertile. Participants with decreased TyG (OR, 2.08; 95%CIs, 1.61-2.70) also had increased odds of prediabetes regression compared with those with increased TyG. The cutoff values of initial obesity-related indices were 4.374 for BRI, 0.568 for WHtR, 8.621 for TyG, 1.320 for CI, 0.083 for ABSI, and 106.152 for CVAI, respectively. The AFs were 21.10% for BRI < 4.374, 20.85% for WHtR < 0.568, 17.48% for CVAI < 107.794, and 17.55% for ΔTyG < 0, respectively.

Conclusion

Low initial BRI, WHtR, and CVAI, as well as TyG reduction, were significantly related to prediabetes regression to normoglycemia, and the AFs were around 20%. Less abdominal fat and insulin resistance reduction would benefit future health outcomes among people with prediabetes.

Glomerular filtration rate estimated by differing measures and risk of all-cause mortality among Chinese individuals without or with diabetes: A nationwide prospective study

BACKGROUND

Whether estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) by differing biomarkers are differentially associated with mortality or whether the associations differ by diabetes status remains unclear, especially in Chinese population.

METHODS

We included 6995 participants without diabetes (mean age: 60.4 years) and 1543 with diabetes (mean age: 61.8 years). Each eGFR measure was divided into normal (≥90 mL/min/1.73 m² ), modestly declined (60 to <90 mL/min/1.73 m² ), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) (<60 mL/min/1.73 m² ) groups. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratio (HR) of all-cause mortality associated with each eGFR.

RESULTS

Over a follow-up of 7 years, 677 and 215 deaths occurred among individuals without or with diabetes, respectively. Among those without diabetes, all measures of modestly declined eGFR were not associated with mortality, whereas CKD defined by eGFR cystatin C (eGFRcys) and eGFR creatinine (eGFRcr)-cys (HRs were 1.71 and 1.55, respectively) but not by eGFRcr were associated with higher risk of mortality. Among diabetes, all measures of modestly declined eGFR (HRs: 1.53, 1.56, and 2.09 for eGFRcr, eGFRcys, and eGFRcr-cys, respectively) and CKD (HRs: 2.57, 2.99, and 3.92 for eGFRcr, eGFRcys, and eGFRcr-cys, respectively) were associated with higher risk of mortality. Regardless of diabetes status, an addition of eGFRcys or eGFRcr-cys to traditional risk factors lead to a larger improvement in the prediction of all-cause mortality risk than adding eGFRcr.

CONCLUSIONS

The association of eGFR with mortality risk appeared to be varied by its measures and by diabetes status among middle-aged and older Chinese, which needs to be considered in clinical practice.

Cumulative Muscle Strength and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease and All-cause mortality: A Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The existing literature regarding the association between muscle strength and cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality relies mostly on a single measurement of muscle strength but has seldomly focused on the accumulated exposure.

OBJECTIVE

This study explored the association between cumulative muscle strength and risks of CVD and all-cause mortality in middle-aged and older adults.

METHODS

A total of 6,972 patients from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, who underwent 3 repeated measurements of muscle strength over 4 years and were followed-up for another 3 years for CVD and all-cause mortality outcomes participated in this study. Muscle strength was evaluated by grip strength and chair-rising time. Cumulative muscle strength was calculated as the area under the curve. Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were analyzed.

RESULTS

The odds of CVD and all-cause mortality decreased as cumulative grip strength increased or cumulative chair-rising time decreased. For each 1 standard deviation (SD) increment in cumulative grip strength, the multivariable-adjusted OR for CVD and all-cause mortality were 0.81 (95% CI 0.73-0.91) and 0.85 (95% CI 0.73-0.99), respectively. For each 1 SD decrease in cumulative chair-rising time, the corresponding OR were 0.81 (95% CI 0.75-0.88) and 0.87 (95% CI 0.77-0.98), respectively. However, neither the change-slope of grip strength nor that of chair-rising time was related to decreased OR of CVD or of all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Cumulative muscle strength was associated with a reduced risk of CVD and all-cause mortality in middle-aged and older Chinese adults.

Cumulative muscle strength and risk of diabetes: A prospective cohort study with mediation analysis

AIMS

Previous studies assessing the association of muscle strength with risk of diabetes have seldomly accounted for the cumulative exposure over time. This study examined the association of 4-year cumulative muscle strength with risk of diabetes in middle-aged and older adults.

METHODS

We included participants without diabetes, who had 3 repeated measurements of muscle strength, which was assessed by grip strength (normalized by body-weight) and chair-rising time, over 4 years. Cumulative muscle strength was calculated based on trapezoid rule. Logistic regression analysis and mediation analysis for cumulative blood pressure were performed.

RESULTS

We included 3731 and 3799 participants with data on cumulative grip strength and cumulative chair-rising time, respectively. The odds of diabetes were gradually reduced with increments in cumulative grip strength or decrements in cumulative chair-rising time, with the corresponding odds ratio being 0.79 and 0.89 per 1 standard deviation change after multivariable-adjustment. Cumulative systolic blood pressure mediated 10.8% and 14.2% of the associations of diabetes with cumulative grip strength and cumulative chair-rising time, respectively. Cumulative grip strength also correlated inversely with blood pressure, glycemia, and inflammation.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher cumulative muscle strength was associated with lower risk of diabetes and better cardiometabolic health in middle-aged and older Chinese adults.

Effects of peer support and mobile application-based walking programme on physical activity and physical function in rural older adults: a cluster randomized controlled trial

PURPOSE

Increased physical activity maintains functional fitness and prevents aging-related declines in muscle mass for older adults. However, physical inactivity is prevalent in aging population, particularly in those living in rural areas. In this study we assessed the effectiveness of a 3-month peer support and mobile application-based walking programme on physical activity and physical function in rural older Chinese adults.

METHODS

This was a cluster randomized control trial recruiting adults aged  ≥ 60 years. Participants were randomized into intervention and control groups (4 clusters with 36 participants for each group). The intervention included face-to-face physical activity group sessions, peer-led walking, and mobile application-based feedback. Primary outcome was pedometer-measured daily walking steps, and secondary outcomes mainly included physical function and body composition. Both intention-to-treat and per-protocol analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Of the included 72 participants (mean age 66.9 years, male 36.1%), 64 completed the study. Intention-to-treat analysis showed that after 3-month walking programme, physical activity was increased by 408 steps/day and grip strength by 1.25 kg in the intervention group compared with the control group. However, no significant outcomes were observed on gait speed, chair-rising time, or body composition. Per-protocol analysis showed similar results. Linear regression analyses showed that changes in daily steps were associated with changes in gait speed (ß = 0.63, P < 0.001) and chair-rising time (ß = - 0.31, P = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The 3-month peer support and mobile application-based walking programme could improve physical activity and physical function in rural older adults.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ChiCTR2000034842, registered on 2020/07/21.

Muscle strength and prediabetes progression and regression in middle-aged and older adults: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Prediabetes progression is associated with increased mortality while its regression decreases it. It is unclear whether muscle strength is related to prediabetes progression or regression. This study investigated the associations of muscle strength, assessed by grip strength and chair-rising time, with prediabetes progression and regression based on the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) enrolling middle-aged and older adults.

METHODS

We included 2623 participants with prediabetes from CHARLS, who were followed up 4 years later with blood samples collected for measuring fasting plasma glucose and haemoglobin A1c. Grip strength (normalized by body weight) and chair-rising time were assessed at baseline and categorized into tertiles (low, middle, and high groups). Prediabetes at baseline and follow-up was defined primarily using the American Diabetes Association (ADA) criteria and secondarily using the World Health Organization (WHO) and International Expert Committee (IEC) criteria. Multinomial logistic regression analysis was applied to obtain the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

The mean age of included participants was 59.0 ± 8.6 years, and 46.6% of them were males. During follow-up, 1646 participants remained as prediabetes, 379 progressed to diabetes, and 598 regressed to normoglycaemia based on ADA criteria. Participants who progressed to diabetes had lower normalized grip strength than those who remained as prediabetes (0.49 ± 0.15 vs. 0.53 ± 0.15, P < 0.001), but participants who regressed to normoglycaemia showed the opposite (0.55 ± 0.16 vs. 0.53 ± 0.15, P = 0.003). However, chair-rising time was comparable across different groups (Poverall  = 0.17). Compared with participants in low normalized grip strength or high chair-rising time group, those in high normalized grip strength or low chair-rising time group had decreased odds of progression to diabetes (OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.44 to 0.87; and OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.93, respectively) after multivariable adjustment. However, both were unrelated to the odds of regression to normoglycaemia (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.71 to 1.25; and OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.65 to 1.07, respectively). These outcomes remained generally comparable when prediabetes was defined by WHO or IEC criteria. Higher normalized grip strength but not lower chair-rising time was prospectively associated with lower blood pressure, better glycaemic condition, and lower inflammation (all P ≤ 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

High muscle strength is associated with reduced odds of progression to diabetes but does not predict regression to normoglycaemia in prediabetes. Future studies are warranted to assess whether increases in muscle strength promote prediabetes regression.