The prognosis of gastric cancer patients with marginally elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) values after D2 radical gastrectomy

Prediction of overall survival after radical gastrectomy using nomograms created by tumor markers

Prediction of prognosis after radical resection of gastric cancer has not been well established. Therefore, we aimed to establish a prognostic model based on a new score system of patients with gastric cancer. A total of 1235 patients who underwent curative gastrectomy at our hospital from October 2015 to April 2017 were included in this study. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to screen for prognostic risk factors. Construction of the nomogram was based on Cox proportional hazard regression models. The construction of the new score models was analyzed by the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve), calibration curve, and decision curve. Multivariate analysis showed that tumor size, T, N, carcinoembryonic antigen, CA125, and CA19-9 were independent prognostic factors. The new score model had a greater AUC (The area under the ROC curve) than other systems, and the C-index of the nomogram was highly reliable for evaluating the survival of patients with gastric cancer. Based on the tumor markers and other clinical indicators, we developed a precise model to predict the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer after radical surgery. This score system can be helpful to both surgeons and patients.

Perioperative CRP: A novel inflammation-based classification in gastric cancer for recurrence and chemotherapy benefit

Background

Perioperative C‐reactive protein (CRP) levels have effects on the prognosis of cancer patients. We intended to determine the prognostic value of combining the two for gastric cancer (GC).

Methods

Data were extracted from a clinical trial. By calculating the area under the curve (AUC) and the C‐index, the predictive value of CRPs among different time points, including preoperative (pre‐CRP), postoperative days 1, 3, and 5 (post‐CRPs), and postoperative maximum CRP (post‐CRP_max), was derived. Multivariate analysis was performed to further explore the independent variates for recurrence‐free survival (RFS).

Results

Finally, 401 patients were available in the present study. For RFS, higher AUC (0.692) and concordance index (0.678) of pre‐CRP were observed when compared with those of post‐CRPs. Further, among post‐CRPs, post‐CRP_max had the highest predictive values (AUC: 0.591; concordance index: 0.585) among the other post‐CRPs. The threshold values in predicting RFS for pre‐CRP and post‐CRP_max were 3.1 mg/L and 77.1 mg/L. Multivariate analysis showed both pre‐CRP≥3.1 mg/L (high‐pre‐CRP) and post‐CRP_max≥77.1 mg/L (high‐post‐CRP_max) were risk factors for RFS. Postoperative chemotherapy benefit was further analyzed for patients with stage II/III GC and indicated that patients with pre‐CRP<3.1 mg/L had better prognosis without benefit from postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT), p = 0.557. In high‐pre‐CRP patients, only patients with post‐CRP_max≥77.1 mg/L but not post‐CRP_max<77.1 mg/L benefited from postoperative ACT (RFS: 33.2% vs 49.9% for non‐chemotherapy group and chemotherapy group, respectively, p = 0.037). Analyses for overall survival obtained the similar outcomes.

Conclusions

Both high‐pre‐CRP and high‐post‐CRP_max are associated with worse prognosis in GC. ACT seems to only improve the prognosis for stage II/III GC with pre‐CRP≥3.1 mg/L and post‐CRP_max≥77.1 mg/L after radical gastrectomy. Further studies are needed to confirm these findings and explore the potential mechanism.

Prognostic Value of Changes in Preoperative and Postoperative Serum CA19-9 Levels in Gastric Cancer

Objective: The prognostic significance of serum CA19-9 levels in gastric cancer patients remains a matter debate. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic value of changes in preoperative and postoperative serum CA19-9 levels in patients with gastric cancer.

Methods: A total of 1,046 gastric cancer patients who underwent curative gastrectomy in West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 2011 to December 2016 were analyzed retrospectively. Patients were categorized by minimum P-value using X-tile, while the baseline confounders for CA19-9 changes were balanced through propensity score matching (PSM). The relationships between CA19-9 changes and other clinicopathologic features were measured. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to explore the risk factors associated with survival outcomes.

Results: We included 653 patients. Changes in CA19-9 levels significantly correlated with age, tumor size, macroscopic type, histological grade, T stage and TNM stage. Kaplan–Meier curves revealed that patients with CA19-9 changes <20% had significant better overall survival than those with changes more than 20% (p < 0.001); Cox regression analysis revealed the CA19-9 change (p = 0.010), gender (p = 0.031), histological grade (p = 0.036) and TNM stage (p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for survival after PSM. Stratification analysis indicated that patients with CA19-9 change more than 20% had worse prognosis that those with CA19-9 change no more than 20% in male (p = 0.002), poorly differentiated or undifferentiated type (p = 0.031) and TNM stage III (p = 0.006).

Conclusion: Changes in preoperative and postoperative serum CA19-9 levels were closely associated with clinicopathological traits and was an independent prognostic factor in gastric cancer patients. This parameter may be a reliable marker for prediction of survival.

Tumor-infiltrating CD8+ T cells combined with tumor-associated CD68+ macrophages predict postoperative prognosis and adjuvant chemotherapy benefit in resected gastric cancer

Background

Tumor-infiltrating immune cells are present in various malignant tumors, but their clinical significance in gastric cancer (GC) remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) and tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs).

Methods

Using a prospective database containing 401 cases of GC, we evaluated TIL (cluster of differentiation 8 (CD8) expression) and TAM (cluster of differentiation 68 (CD68) expression) statuses via immunohistochemical staining.

Results

Compared with CD8+ TIL-negative cases (n = 196, 48.6%), CD8+ TIL-positive cases (n = 205, 51.1%) showed significantly better recurrence-free survival (RFS) [log-rank p<0.001; multivariate HR: 0.372; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.239–0.579, p<0.001]. In contrast, compared with CD68+ TAM-negative cases (n = 217, 54.1%), CD68+ TAM-positive cases (n = 184, 45.9%) had significantly poor RFS [log-rank p<0.001; multivariate HR: 2.182; 95% CI: 1.435–3.318, p<0.001]. Thus, patients with a positive CD8+ TIL and negative CD68+ TAM status exhibited significantly increased RFS. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that CD8+ TILs and CD68+ TAMs may serve as independent prognostic markers for RFS. Incorporating CD8+ TIL and CD68+ TAM statuses into the AJCC TNM system generated a predictive model with better predictive accuracy for RFS. More importantly, patients with a positive TIL and negative TAM status showed a tendency of improved RFS after postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (PAC). Similar results were obtained by overall survival (OS) analysis.

Conclusions

CD8+ TIL and CD68+ TAM statuses were identified as independent prognostic factors that may be integrated into the current TNM staging system to refine risk stratification and to better predict the survival benefit from PAC in patients with GC.

Trial registration

The current controlled trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (ID: NCT02327481) on December 30, 2014.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12885-019-6089-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

The predictive value of the preoperative C-reactive protein-albumin ratio for early recurrence and chemotherapy benefit in patients with gastric cancer after radical gastrectomy: using randomized phase III trial data

BACKGROUND

The definition and predictors of early recurrence (ER) for gastric cancer (GC) patients after radical gastrectomy are unclear.

METHODS

A minimum-p value approach was used to evaluate the optimal cutoff value of recurrence-free survival to determine ER and late recurrence (LR). Receiver operating characteristic curves were generated for inflammatory indices. Potential risk factors for ER were assessed with a Cox regression model. A decision curve analysis was performed to evaluate the clinical utility.

RESULTS

A total of 401 patients recruited in a clinical trial (NCT02327481) from January 2015 to April 2016 were included in this study. The optimal length of recurrence-free survival to distinguish between ER (n = 44) and LR (n = 52) was 12 months. Factors associated with ER included a preoperative C-reactive protein-albumin ratio (CAR) ≥ 0.131, stage III and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (PAC) > 3 cycles. The risk model consisting of both the CAR and TNM stage had a higher predictive ability and better clinical utility than TNM stage alone. Further stratification analysis of the stage III patients found that for the patients with a CAR < 0.131, both PAC with 1-3 cycles (p = 0.029) and > 3 cycles (p < 0.001) could reduce the risk of ER. However, for patients with a CAR ≥ 0.131, a benefit was observed only if they received PAC > 3 cycles (54.2% vs 16.0%, p = 0.004), rather than 1-3 cycles (58.3% vs 54.2%, p = 0.824).

CONCLUSIONS

A recurrence-free interval of 12 months was found to be the optimal threshold for differentiating between ER and LR. Preoperative CAR was a promising predictor of ER and PAC response. PAC with 1-3 cycles may not exert a protective effect against ER for stage III GC patients with CAR ≥ 0.131.

The difference in prognosis of stage II and III colorectal cancer based on preoperative serum tumor markers

Background: Preoperative serum tumor markers have been widely used to predict prognosis in stage II and III colorectal cancer (CRC). However, few previous studies addressed the effect of increased preoperative numbers of tumor markers.

Methods: Patients with stage II and III CRC who underwent curative resection were included from January 2009 to October 2015. The relationship between serum tumor markers and clinicopathological parameters was analyzed. DFS and OS were compared in stage II and III CRC.

Results: The median follow-up was 45 months. In this study, 735 enrolled patients were assessed based on the numbers of increased tumor markers. We found that these increased tumor markers were closely associated with clinical stage, T stage, N stage, tumor location, pathology type, differentiation, lymphatic invasion and vascular invasion (all p values < 0.05). Furthermore, the number of increased tumor markers directly affected the survival of patients with CRC after curative surgery. The 3-year DFS and OS of patients with a score of 0 were 84.0% and 91.0%, respectively, which are much higher than those of patients with a score of 4 (42.9% and 37.8%, respectively) (p < 0.05). The 5-year DFS and OS of patients with a score of 0 were 75.9% and 77.9%, respectively, which are much higher than those of patients with a score of 4 (31.7% and 23.6%, respectively). Interestingly, our results suggested that stage III CRC patients with a score of 0 had longer DFS and OS times than stage II patients with scores of 3 and 4. Further analysis revealed statistically significant differences in OS (p < 0.05) but not in DFS.

Conclusions: The number of increased tumor markers could significantly predict prognosis in stage II and III CRC. In addition, these increased tumor markers had direct impacts on metastasis as well as the recurrence status and survival time of stage II and III CRC patients.

Prognostic significance of perioperative tumor marker levels in stage II/III gastric cancer

AIM

To evaluate the prognostic significance of perioperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels in stage II/III gastric cancer.

METHODS

From a multi-institutional retrospective database compiled by integrating clinical data from nine institutions, data of 998 patients who underwent curative resection for stage II/III gastric cancer between 2010 and 2014 were retrieved and analyzed. The prognostic impact of the preoperative and postoperative levels and chronological changes in CEA, CA19-9 and their combination were evaluated. To test whether postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy alters the prognostic impact of perioperative CEA and CA19-9 levels, the hazard ratios for mortality were compared between patients who underwent surgery alone and patients who underwent surgery followed by adjuvant chemotherapy.

RESULTS

The prognostic impact of postoperative CEA and CA19-9 was superior to that of the preoperative levels. Multivariable analysis identified high postoperative CEA and CA19-9 levels as independent prognostic factors for overall survival. Disease-free survival rates clearly decreased in a stepwise manner in association with postoperative CEA and CA19-9 levels, and patients with high levels of both markers showed significantly poorer prognosis than other patient groups. When we analyzed perioperative changes in serum CEA and CA19-9 levels, patients with high levels before and after surgery had the worst disease-free survival rates among all patient groups. Patients with normalized CEA levels after surgery had a significantly lower disease-free survival rate than those with normal perioperative levels, whereas patients with normalized CA19-9 levels after surgery had equivalent survival to those with normal perioperative levels. The prognostic impact of high CEA levels was observably smaller in patients who underwent adjuvant chemotherapy than in patients who underwent surgery alone, whereas that of high CA19-9 was greater in patients who underwent adjuvant chemotherapy. High postoperative CEA levels were significantly associated with an increased prevalence of liver, lung and bone recurrences, and high postoperative CA19-9 levels were significantly associated with increased frequencies of lymph node and liver recurrences.

CONCLUSION

The evaluation of serum CEA and CA 19-9 levels both before and after surgery provides useful information for precise risk stratification after curative gastrectomy.

Prognostic values of normal preoperative serum cancer markers for gastric cancer

We examined the prognostic value of normal levels of four serum cancer markers, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate associated antigen (CA19-9), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and cancer antigen 125 (CA125), in gastric cancer patients. Among 1927 gastric cancer patients enrolled in this study, 1477 were male (76.6%) and 450 were female (23.4%). The median age was 57 years (range 20-86). Clinicopathological features and survival times were recorded, and the association between CEA, CA19-9, AFP, and CA125 levels and patient prognosis was analyzed. The optimal cut-off values were 0.71 for CEA (P=0.317), 9.22 for CA19-9 (P=0.009), 3.76 for AFP (P=0.008) and 15.65 for CA125 (P=0.006). Serum CA19-9 levels correlated with gender, age, and tumor depth (all P<0.05); AFP levels correlated with pathological type (P=0.005); and CA125 levels correlated with gender, tumor size, pathological type, tumor depth and lymph node metastasis (all P<0.05). Relatively high levels of CA19-9, AFP and CA125, still within the normal range, were all associated with poor prognosis (5-year overall survival: 70.6% vs 64.2%, P<0.001. 69.6% vs 54.5%, P=0.011. 70.2% vs 54.9%, P<0.001). However, only CA19-9 and AFP levels were independent prognostic predictors. We conclude that the combined assessment of CA19-9, AFP and CA125 levels could have prognostic value in gastric cancer (P<0.001).

Loss of ARID1A expression predicts poor survival prognosis in gastric cancer: a systematic meta-analysis from 14 studies

The chromatin remodeling gene, AT-rich interactive domain 1A gene (ARID1A), frequently mutates inactively in gastric cancer (GC). However, its prognostic value remains controversial. To address this issue, a comprehensive meta-analysis was performed. Studies published until March 2016 were systematically searched. A total of 15 cohorts from 14 literatures involving 3183 patients were subjected to this meta-analysis. The pooled data showed that ARID1A expression loss predicted poor overall survival (OS) in GC (Hazard Ratio (HR) = 1.60; 95% Confidence Interval (CI) = 1.40-1.81; P < 0.001), with low heterogeneity among these studies (I(2) = 21.5%; P = 0.214). Stratification analyses revealed that ARID1A expression loss was associated with poor OS in Asians (HR = 1.65, 95% CI = 1.44-1.89), proportion of proximal disease ≤30% subgroup (HR = 1.80, 95% CI = 1.36-2.38) and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) (+) > 5% subgroup (HR = 1.59, 95% CI = 1.18-2.15). The robust results were suggested by sensitivity analyses and no evidence of significant publication bias was detected. This study demonstrated a significant relationship between deletion of ARID1A expression and poor OS in GC. Moreover, ethnicity, tumor location and EBV infection status might be potential key factors influencing this correlation.

Classic tumor markers in gastric cancer. Current standards and limitations

The progress made in the last few years made available a large amount of information that needs to be integrated and ordered by oncologists. Tumor markers are one of the pieces that physicians need to fit into the bigger puzzle. This article will detail the most frequent etiologies for the surges in the carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cancer-related antigen 72-4 (CA 72-4), cancer-related antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) serum levels and their indications. Although tumor markers are an invaluable asset to medical practice, their role in screening, diagnosis and oncologic treatment remains poorly standardized. Ongoing or future clinical trials will shed light on pending problems.

At which stage of gastric cancer progression do levels of carcinoembryonic antigen and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 increase? Application in advanced gastric cancer treatment

Purpose

Since there are no proven tumor markers that reflect the course of gastric cancer, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) are commonly used alternatives. However, the degree of progression that corresponds to an increase in these markers, and the values of these markers at different cancer stages, remains unclear.

Materials and Methods

This study enrolled 1,733 gastric cancer patients who underwent surgery and whose pre-operative CEA and CA19-9 levels were known. Survival curves and mean values of the two markers were compared according to the degree of cancer progression: serosa-unexposed (SU), serosa-exposed (SE), direct invasion (DI), localized seeding (P1), and extensive seeding (P2).

Results

The 5-year overall survival rates at each stage differed significantly, except between DI and P1 patients (17.1% vs. 10.5%, P=0.344). The mean CEA values in SU, SE, DI, P1, and P2 patients were 5.80, 5.48, 13.36, 8.06, and 22.82, respectively. The CA19-9 values for these patients were 49.40, 38.97, 101.67, 73.77, and 98.57, respectively. The increase in CEA in P2 patients was statistically significant (P=0.002), and the increases in CA19-9 in DI and P2 patients were significant (P=0.025, 0.007, respectively). There was a fair correlation between the two markers in P2 patients (r=0.494, P<0.001).

Conclusions

CA19-9 can be used to assess DI of gastric cancer into adjacent organs. Both markers are useful for predicting the presence of extensive peritoneal seeding.

Detection of perioperative cancer antigen 72-4 in gastric juice pre- and post-distal gastrectomy and its significances

Gastric carcinoma is one of the most common malignancies nowadays, and caner antigen 72-4 (CA 72-4) in gastric juice has been rarely studied. To compare CA 72-4 in gastric juice pre- and post-distal gastrectomy (DG) and analyze its possible significances, we selected 64 patients diagnosed with gastric carcinoma who underwent DG and collected their perioperative gastric juice samples whose contents of CA 72-4 were detected. We found that CA 72-4 in gastric juice pre-gastrectomy is significantly higher among patients in advanced stages and correlated with tumor TNM classification (P < 0.01), within which tumor size, levels of gastric wall invaded, and number of metastatic lymph nodes are significant influencing factors (P < 0.05); CA 72-4 in gastric juice post-gastrectomy is significantly higher than that pre-surgery (P < 0.01), and it is significantly correlated with tumor TNM classification and radical degree (P < 0.01), and regards the sum of distances from tumor to two cutting edges and the classification of cutting edge as significant impact factors (P < 0.05); nine patients whose CA 72-4 in gastric juice rose post-DG show features indicating poor prognosis; the difference of CA 72-4 in gastric juice between pre- and post-gastrectomy is significantly correlated with tumor TNM classification and radical degree (P < 0.05), and regards tumor size, levels of gastric walls invaded, the sum of distances from tumor to two cutting edges and the classification of cutting edge as significant influential factors (P < 0.05). We conclude that CA 72-4 in gastric juice pre- and post-gastrectomy can provide us with much information about tumor and radical gastrectomy and that CA 72-4 in gastric juice post-gastrectomy and the difference of CA 72-4 in gastric juice between pre- and post-gastrectomy may indicate prognosis.