How accurately and how early can we predict rapid fibrosis progression in hepatitis C virus-infected patients after liver transplantation?

Liver stiffness identifies two different patterns of fibrosis progression in patients with hepatitis C virus recurrence after liver transplantation

Significant liver fibrosis (F >or= 2) and portal hypertension (hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] >or= 6 mmHg) at 1 year after liver transplantation (LT) identify patients with severe hepatitis C recurrence. We evaluated whether repeated liver stiffness measurements (LSM) following LT can discriminate between slow and rapid "fibrosers" (fibrosis stage F2-F4 at 1 year after LT). Eighty-four patients who had undergone LT and who were infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) and 19 LT controls who were not infected with HCV underwent LSM at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months after LT. All HCV-infected patients underwent liver biopsy 12 months after LT (paired HVPG measurements in 74); 31 (37%) were rapid fibrosers. Median LSM (in kilopascal) at months 6, 9, and 12 were significantly higher in rapid fibrosers (9.9, 9.5, 12.1) than in slow fibrosers (6.9, 7.5, 6.6) (P < 0.01 all time points). The slope of liver stiffness progression (kPa x month) in rapid fibrosers (0.42) was significantly greater than in slow fibrosers (0.05) (P < 0.001), suggesting two different speeds of liver fibrosis progression. Figures were almost identical for patients with HVPG >or= 6 mmHg or HVPG < 6 mmHg at 1 year after LT. Multivariate analysis identified donor age, bilirubin level, and LSM as independent predictors of fibrosis progression and portal hypertension in the estimation group (n = 50) and were validated in a second group of 34 patients. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve that could identify rapid fibrosers and patients with portal hypertension as early as 6 months after LT were 0.83 and 0.87, respectively, in the estimation group and 0.75 and 0.80, respectively, in the validation group.

CONCLUSION

Early and repeated LSM following hepatitis C recurrence in combination with clinical variables discriminates between rapid and slow fibrosers after LT.

Serum fibrosis markers identify patients with mild and progressive hepatitis C recurrence after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Significant fibrosis (fibrosis stage [F] >or= 2) and portal hypertension (hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] >or= 6 mm Hg) in patients 1 year after liver transplantation indicate progressive hepatitis C recurrence. This study evaluated whether serum fibrosis markers can predict hepatitis C recurrence during the first year after liver transplantation.

METHODS

Hyaluronic acid, amino-terminal propeptide of type-III-procollagen, tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinase type-1 concentrations were measured in serum samples from 133 patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) at 3, 6, and 12 months after liver transplantation; routine laboratory tests were also performed. Liver biopsy samples (n = 133) and HVPGs (n = 94) were analyzed 1 year after transplantation. Sixteen patients who were not infected with HCV served as controls.

RESULTS

An algorithm, including the 3 markers (3-M-ALG) and 3 published scores (aspartate aminotransferase [AST]-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio, AST-to-platelet ratio index, and Benlloch) were analyzed. One year after liver transplantation, 50 patients (38%) had significant fibrosis (F >or= 2) and 31 (32%) had an HVPG >or= 6 mm Hg. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of the 3-M-ALG used to identify F >or= 2 at 3, 6, and 12 months after transplantation (0.67, 0.77, and 0.78) and of those with HVPG >or= 6 at the same time points (0.75, 0.87, and 0.90) were significantly higher than values obtained with the 3 published scores. At 12 months, a 3-M-ALG >or= 2 identified most patients at risk of decompensation/death.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum markers can accurately discriminate between patients with mild and progressive hepatitis C recurrence after liver transplantation.