Weighted statistics for aggregation and linkage analysis of human longevity in selected families: the Leiden Longevity Study

Epigenetic and Metabolomic Biomarkers for Biological Age: A Comparative Analysis of Mortality and Frailty Risk

Biological age captures a person's age-related risk of unfavorable outcomes using biophysiological information. Multivariate biological age measures include frailty scores and molecular biomarkers. These measures are often studied in isolation, but here we present a large-scale study comparing them. In 2 prospective cohorts (n = 3 222), we compared epigenetic (DNAm Horvath, DNAm Hannum, DNAm Lin, DNAm epiTOC, DNAm PhenoAge, DNAm DunedinPoAm, DNAm GrimAge, and DNAm Zhang) and metabolomic-based (MetaboAge and MetaboHealth) biomarkers in reflection of biological age, as represented by 5 frailty measures and overall mortality. Biomarkers trained on outcomes with biophysiological and/or mortality information outperformed age-trained biomarkers in frailty reflection and mortality prediction. DNAm GrimAge and MetaboHealth, trained on mortality, showed the strongest association with these outcomes. The associations of DNAm GrimAge and MetaboHealth with frailty and mortality were independent of each other and of the frailty score mimicking clinical geriatric assessment. Epigenetic, metabolomic, and clinical biological age markers seem to capture different aspects of aging. These findings suggest that mortality-trained molecular markers may provide novel phenotype reflecting biological age and strengthen current clinical geriatric health and well-being assessment.

Activation-Induced Autophagy Is Preserved in CD4+ T-Cells in Familial Longevity

As with many other tissues and organs, the immune system is also affected by age. Immunosenescence is characterized by a decreased ability of immune cells to mount a productive response upon exposure to new antigens. Several studies have reported that members of families with exceptional longevity show improved immune function, which might contribute to the increased life- and health-span observed in those families. Autophagy is a catabolic process that delivers cytoplasmic material to the lysosomes for degradation. Defective autophagy is known to be associated with age in several cell types and tissues and its dysregulation is related to age-associated diseases. In T-cells, autophagy has an essential role in modulating protein and organelle homeostasis and in the regulation of activation-induced responses. In this study, using two different cohorts of individuals belonging to families with exceptional longevity, we show that CD4+ T-cells isolated from the offspring of parents with exceptional longevity show improved activation-induced autophagic activity compared with age-matched controls. Interestingly, increased autophagy is positively correlated with increased interferon-γ production. In conclusion, autophagy appears to be better maintained in members of families with extended longevity and positively correlates with improved T-cell function.

Secondary phenotype analysis in ascertained family designs: application to the Leiden longevity study

The case-control design is often used to test associations between the case-control status and genetic variants. In addition to this primary phenotype, a number of additional traits, known as secondary phenotypes, are routinely recorded, and typically, associations between genetic factors and these secondary traits are studied too. Analysing secondary phenotypes in case-control studies may lead to biased genetic effect estimates, especially when the marker tested is associated with the primary phenotype and when the primary and secondary phenotypes tested are correlated. Several methods have been proposed in the literature to overcome the problem, but they are limited to case-control studies and not directly applicable to more complex designs, such as the multiple-cases family studies. A proper secondary phenotype analysis, in this case, is complicated by the within families correlations on top of the biased sampling design. We propose a novel approach to accommodate the ascertainment process while explicitly modelling the familial relationships. Our approach pairs existing methods for mixed-effects models with the retrospective likelihood framework and uses a multivariate probit model to capture the association between the mixed type primary and secondary phenotypes. To examine the efficiency and bias of the estimates, we performed simulations under several scenarios for the association between the primary phenotype, secondary phenotype and genetic markers. We will illustrate the method by analysing the association between triglyceride levels and glucose (secondary phenotypes) and genetic markers from the Leiden Longevity Study, a multiple-cases family study that investigates longevity. © 2017 The Authors. Statistics in Medicine Published by JohnWiley & Sons Ltd.

Association analysis of insulin-like growth factor-1 axis parameters with survival and functional status in nonagenarians of the Leiden Longevity Study

Reduced insulin/insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1) signaling has been associated with longevity in various model organisms. However, the role of insulin/IGF-1 signaling in human survival remains controversial. The aim of this study was to test whether circulating IGF-1 axis parameters associate with old age survival and functional status in nonagenarians from the Leiden Longevity Study. This study examined 858 Dutch nonagenarian (males≥89 years; females≥91 years) siblings from 409 families, without selection on health or demographic characteristics. Nonagenarians were divided over sex-specific strata according to their levels of IGF-1, IGF binding protein 3 and IGF-1/IGFBP3 molar ratio. We found that lower IGF-1/IGFBP3 ratios were associated with improved survival: nonagenarians in the quartile of the lowest ratio had a lower estimated hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of 0.73 (0.59 – 0.91) compared to the quartile with the highest ratio (p_trend=0.002). Functional status was assessed by (Instrumental) Activities of Daily Living ((I)ADL) scales. Compared to those in the quartile with the highest IGF-1/IGFBP3 ratio, nonagenarians in the lowest quartile had higher scores for ADL (p_trend=0.001) and IADL (p_trend=0.003). These findings suggest that IGF-1 axis parameters are associated with increased old age survival and better functional status in nonagenarians from the Leiden Longevity Study.

Survival analysis with delayed entry in selected families with application to human longevity

In the field of aging research, family-based sampling study designs are commonly used to study the lifespans of long-lived family members. However, the specific sampling procedure should be carefully taken into account in order to avoid biases. This work is motivated by the Leiden Longevity Study, a family-based cohort of long-lived siblings. Families were invited to participate in the study if at least two siblings were 'long-lived', where 'long-lived' meant being older than 89 years for men or older than 91 years for women. As a result, more than 400 families were included in the study and followed for around 10 years. For estimation of marker-specific survival probabilities and correlations among life times of family members, delayed entry due to outcome-dependent sampling mechanisms has to be taken into account. We consider shared frailty models to model left-truncated correlated survival data. The treatment of left truncation in shared frailty models is still an open issue and the literature on this topic is scarce. We show that the current approaches provide, in general, biased estimates and we propose a new method to tackle this selection problem by applying a correction on the likelihood estimation by means of inverse probability weighting at the family level.

Genotype-Based Score Test for Association Testing in Families

The multiplex-case and control design in which multiple cases are sampled from the same family is considered. In such studies phenotype information of the un-genotyped relatives might be available. We intend to use additional family information when performing genetic association tests. A score test is revisited to provide a flexible framework to accommodate various genetic models and to improve power of the association test by adding available family information. The proposed test accounts for correlations induced by multiple cases from the same pedigree, directly deals with X-linked SNPs in mixed-sex-related samples, and incorporates additional phenotypic information such as the number of (un-genotyped) siblings and parents with similar symptoms by assigning the weights to (genotyped) multiplex cases. In addition, the score test directly incorporates posterior probabilities of imputed genotypes, which leads to an efficiency measure that reflects imputation uncertainty on the test conducted. The proposed test is applied to real applications for illustration. Its efficiency is demonstrated via simulations.

Genome-wide linkage analysis for human longevity: Genetics of Healthy Aging Study

Clear evidence exists for heritability of human longevity, and much interest is focused on identifying genes associated with longer lives. To identify such longevity alleles, we performed the largest genome-wide linkage scan thus far reported. Linkage analyses included 2118 nonagenarian Caucasian sibling pairs that have been enrolled in 15 study centers of 11 European countries as part of the Genetics of Healthy Aging (GEHA) project. In the joint linkage analyses, we observed four regions that show linkage with longevity; chromosome 14q11.2 (LOD = 3.47), chromosome 17q12-q22 (LOD = 2.95), chromosome 19p13.3-p13.11 (LOD = 3.76), and chromosome 19q13.11-q13.32 (LOD = 3.57). To fine map these regions linked to longevity, we performed association analysis using GWAS data in a subgroup of 1228 unrelated nonagenarian and 1907 geographically matched controls. Using a fixed-effect meta-analysis approach, rs4420638 at the TOMM40/APOE/APOC1 gene locus showed significant association with longevity (P-value = 9.6 × 10(-8) ). By combined modeling of linkage and association, we showed that association of longevity with APOEε4 and APOEε2 alleles explain the linkage at 19q13.11-q13.32 with P-value = 0.02 and P-value = 1.0 × 10(-5) , respectively. In the largest linkage scan thus far performed for human familial longevity, we confirm that the APOE locus is a longevity gene and that additional longevity loci may be identified at 14q11.2, 17q12-q22, and 19p13.3-p13.11. As the latter linkage results are not explained by common variants, we suggest that rare variants play an important role in human familial longevity.

A mixture model with random-effects components for classifying sibling pairs

In healthy aging research, typically multiple health outcomes are measured, representing health status. The aim of this paper was to develop a model-based clustering approach to identify homogeneous sibling pairs according to their health status. Model-based clustering approaches will be considered on the basis of linear mixed effect model for the mixture components. Class memberships of siblings within pairs are allowed to be correlated, and within a class the correlation between siblings is modeled using random sibling pair effects. We propose an expectation-maximization algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation. Model performance is evaluated via simulations in terms of estimating the correct parameters, degree of agreement, and the ability to detect the correct number of clusters. The performance of our model is compared with the performance of standard model-based clustering approaches. The methods are used to classify sibling pairs from the Leiden Longevity Study according to their health status. Our results suggest that homogeneous healthy sibling pairs are associated with a longer life span. Software is available for fitting the new models.

New score tests for age-at-onset linkage analysis in general pedigrees

Our aim is to develop methods for mapping genes related to age at onset in general pedigrees. We propose two score tests, one derived from a gamma frailty model with pairwise likelihood and one derived from a log-normal frailty model with approximated likelihood around the null random effect. The score statistics are weighted nonparametric linkage statistics, with weights depending on the age at onset. These tests are correct under the null hypothesis irrespective of the weight used. They are simple, robust, computationally fast, and can be applied to large, complex pedigrees. We apply these methods to simulated data and to the Genetic Analysis Workshop 16 Framingham Heart Study data set. We investigate the time to the first of three events: hard coronary heart disease, diabetes, or death from any cause. We use a two-step procedure. In the first step, we estimate the population parameters under the null hypothesis of no linkage. In the second step, we apply the score tests, using the population parameters estimated in the first step.

Robust age at onset linkage analysis in nuclear families

OBJECTIVE

Standard methods for linkage analysis ignore the phenotype of the parents when they are not genotyped. However, this information can be useful for gene mapping. In this paper we propose methods for age at onset genetic linkage analysis in sibling pairs, taking into account parental age at onset.

METHODS

Two new score statistics are derived, one from an additive gamma frailty model and one from a log-normal frailty model. The score statistics are classical non-parametric linkage (NPL) statistics weighted by a function of the age at onset of the four family members. The weight depends on information from registries (age-specific incidences) and family studies (sib-sib and father-mother correlation).

RESULTS

In order to investigate how age at onset of sibs and their parents affect the information for linkage analysis the weight functions were studied for rare and common disease models, realistic models for breast cancer and human lifespan. We studied the performance of the weighted NPL methods by simulations. As illustration, the score statistics were applied to the GAW12 data. The results show that it is useful to include parental age at onset information in genetic linkage analysis.

Score test for age at onset genetic linkage analysis in selected sibling pairs

A new score statistic is derived, which uses information from registries (age-specific incidences) and family studies (sib-sib marginal correlation) to weight affected sibling pairs according to their age at onset. Age at onset of sibling pairs is modelled by a gamma frailty model. From this model we derive a bivariate survival function, which depends on the marginal survival and on the marginal correlation. The score statistic for linkage is a classical nonparametric linkage (NPL) statistic where the identical by descent sharing is weighted by a particular function of the age at onset data. Since the statistic is based on survival models, it can also be applied to discordant and healthy sibling pairs. Simulation studies show that the proposed method is robust and more powerful than standard NPL methods. As illustration we apply the new score statistic to data from a breast cancer study.