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Leon-Martinez D, Lundsberg LS, Culhane J, Zhang J, Son M, Reddy UM. Fetal growth restriction and small for gestational age as predictors of neonatal morbidity: which growth nomogram to use? Am J Obstet Gynecol 2023; 229:678.e1-678.e16. [PMID: 37348779 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajog.2023.06.035] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2022] [Revised: 06/15/2023] [Accepted: 06/15/2023] [Indexed: 06/24/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Fetal growth nomograms were developed to screen for fetal growth restriction and guide clinical care to improve perinatal outcomes; however, existing literature remains inconclusive regarding which nomogram is the gold standard. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to compare the ability of 4 commonly used nomograms (Hadlock, International Fetal and Newborn Growth Consortium for the 21st Century, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development-unified standard, and World Health Organization fetal growth charts) and 1 institution-specific reference to predict small for gestational age and poor neonatal outcomes. STUDY DESIGN This was a retrospective cohort study of all nonanomalous singleton pregnancies undergoing ultrasound at ≥20 weeks of gestation between 2013 and 2020 and delivering at a single academic center. Using random selection methods, the study sample was restricted to 1 pregnancy per patient and 1 ultrasound per pregnancy completed at ≥22 weeks of gestation. Fetal biometry data were used to calculate estimated fetal weight and percentiles according to the aforementioned 5 nomograms. Maternal and neonatal data were extracted from electronic medical records. Logistic regression was used to estimate the association between estimated fetal weight of <10th and <3rd percentiles compared with estimated fetal weight of 10th to 90th percentile as the reference group for small for gestational age and the neonatal composite outcomes (perinatal mortality, hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy or seizures, respiratory morbidity, intraventricular hemorrhage, necrotizing enterocolitis, hyperbilirubinemia or hypoglycemia requiring neonatal intensive care unit admission, and retinopathy of prematurity). Receiver operating characteristic curve contrast estimation (primary analysis) and test characteristics were calculated for all nomograms and the prediction of small for gestational age and the neonatal composite outcomes. We restricted the sample to ultrasounds performed within 28 days of delivery; moreover, similar analyses were completed to assess the prediction of small for gestational age and neonatal composite outcomes. RESULTS Among 10,045 participants, the proportion of fetuses classified as <10th percentile varied across nomograms from 4.9% to 9.7%. Fetuses with an estimated fetal weight of <10th percentile had an increased risk of small for gestational age (odds ratio, 9.9 [95% confidence interval, 8.5-11.5] to 12.8 [95% confidence interval, 10.9-15.0]). In addition, the estimated fetal weight of <10th and <3rd percentile was associated with increased risk of the neonatal composite outcome (odds ratio, 2.4 [95% confidence interval, 2.0-2.8] to 3.5 [95% confidence interval, 2.9-4.3] and 5.7 [95% confidence interval, 4.5-7.2] to 8.8 [95% confidence interval, 6.6-11.8], respectively). The prediction of small for gestational age with an estimated fetal weight of <10th percentile had a positive likelihood ratio of 6.3 to 8.5 and an area under the curve of 0.62 to 0.67. Similarly, the prediction of the neonatal composite outcome with an estimated fetal weight of <10th percentile had a positive likelihood ratio of 2.1 to 3.1 and an area under the curve of 0.55 to 0.57. When analyses were restricted to ultrasound within 4 weeks of delivery, among fetuses with an estimated fetal weight of <10th percentile, the risk of small for gestational age increased across all nomograms (odds ratio, 16.7 [95% confidence interval, 12.6-22.3] to 25.1 [95% confidence interval, 17.0-37.0]), and prediction improved (positive likelihood ratio, 8.3-15.0; area under the curve, 0.69-0.75). Similarly, the risk of neonatal composite outcome increased (odds ratio, 3.2 [95% confidence interval, 2.4-4.2] to 5.2 [95% confidence interval, 3.8-7.2]), and prediction marginally improved (positive likelihood ratio, 2.4-4.1; area under the curve, 0.60-0.62). Importantly, the risk of both being small for gestational age and having the neonatal composite outcome further increased (odds ratio, 21.4 [95% confidence interval, 13.6-33.6] to 28.7 (95% confidence interval, 18.6-44.3]), and the prediction of concurrent small for gestational age and neonatal composite outcome greatly improved (positive likelihood ratio, 6.0-10.0; area under the curve, 0.80-0.83). CONCLUSION In this large cohort, Hadlock, recent fetal growth nomograms, and a local population-derived fetal growth reference performed comparably in the prediction of small for gestational age and neonatal composite outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daisy Leon-Martinez
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.
| | - Lisbet S Lundsberg
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT
| | - Jennifer Culhane
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT
| | - Jun Zhang
- International Peace Maternal and Child Health Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Moeun Son
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT
| | - Uma M Reddy
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT
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Albaiges G, Papastefanou I, Rodriguez I, Prats P, Echevarria M, Rodriguez MA, Rodriguez Melcon A. External validation of Fetal Medicine Foundation competing-risks model for midgestation prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates in Spanish population. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2023; 62:202-208. [PMID: 36971008 DOI: 10.1002/uog.26210] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2022] [Revised: 02/23/2023] [Accepted: 03/20/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To examine the external validity of the new Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) competing-risks model for prediction in midgestation of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonates. METHODS This was a single-center prospective cohort study of 25 484 women with a singleton pregnancy undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19 + 0 to 23 + 6 weeks' gestation. The FMF competing-risks model for the prediction of SGA combining maternal factors and midgestation estimated fetal weight by ultrasound scan (EFW) and uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) was used to calculate risks for different cut-offs of birth-weight percentile and gestational age at delivery. The predictive performance was evaluated in terms of discrimination and calibration. RESULTS The validation cohort was significantly different in composition compared with the FMF cohort in which the model was developed. In the validation cohort, at a 10% false-positive rate (FPR), maternal factors, EFW and UtA-PI yielded detection rates of 69.6%, 38.7% and 31.7% for SGA < 10th percentile with delivery at < 32, < 37 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation, respectively. The respective values for SGA < 3rd percentile were 75.7%, 48.2% and 38.1%. Detection rates in the validation cohort were similar to those reported in the FMF study for SGA with delivery at < 32 weeks but lower for SGA with delivery at < 37 and ≥ 37 weeks. Predictive performance in the validation cohort was similar to that reported in a subgroup of the FMF cohort consisting of nulliparous and Caucasian women. Detection rates in the validation cohort at a 15% FPR were 77.4%, 50.0% and 41.5% for SGA < 10th percentile with delivery at < 32, < 37 and ≥ 37 weeks, respectively, which were similar to the respective values reported in the FMF study at a 10% FPR. The model had satisfactory calibration. CONCLUSION The new competing-risks model for midgestation prediction of SGA developed by the FMF performs well in a large independent Spanish population. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.
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Affiliation(s)
- G Albaiges
- Fetal Medicine Unit, Obstetrics Service, Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Medicine, University Hospital Quirón Dexeus, Barcelona, Spain
| | - I Papastefanou
- Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, UK
- Department of Women and Children's Health, Faculty of Life Sciences and Medicine, King's College London, London, UK
| | - I Rodriguez
- Epidemiological Unit, Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Medicine, University Hospital Quiron Dexeus, Barcelona, Spain
| | - P Prats
- Fetal Medicine Unit, Obstetrics Service, Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Medicine, University Hospital Quirón Dexeus, Barcelona, Spain
| | - M Echevarria
- Fetal Medicine Unit, Obstetrics Service, Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Medicine, University Hospital Quirón Dexeus, Barcelona, Spain
| | - M A Rodriguez
- Fetal Medicine Unit, Obstetrics Service, Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Medicine, University Hospital Quirón Dexeus, Barcelona, Spain
| | - A Rodriguez Melcon
- Fetal Medicine Unit, Obstetrics Service, Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Medicine, University Hospital Quirón Dexeus, Barcelona, Spain
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Huluta I, Wright A, Cosma LM, Hamed K, Nicolaides KH, Charakida M. Fetal Cardiac Function at Midgestation in Women Who Subsequently Develop Gestational Diabetes. JAMA Pediatr 2023; 177:718-725. [PMID: 37184868 PMCID: PMC10186208 DOI: 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2023.1174] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2022] [Accepted: 03/20/2023] [Indexed: 05/16/2023]
Abstract
Importance Fetuses in women with gestational diabetes (GD) compared with those without GD show evidence of subclinical cardiac functional and morphological changes. However, it is uncertain whether glycemia or the adverse maternal underlying risk factor profile is the main driver for fetal cardiac remodeling. Objective To assess cardiac morphology and function at midgestation in fetuses of mothers prior to development of GD and compare them with those of unaffected controls. Design, Setting, and Participants During this prospective nonintervention screening study at 19 to 23 weeks' gestation, fetal cardiac morphology and function were assessed in all participants. Pregnancy complications were obtained from the medical records of the women. Fetal cardiac morphology and function were assessed in all participants at Harris Birthright Research Institute at King's College Hospital, London, United Kingdom. Participants included pregnant women with singleton pregnancy who attended their routine fetal ultrasound examination at midgestation and agreed to participate in the Advanced Cardiovascular Imaging Study in pregnancy. Main Outcome and Measures Comparison of fetal cardiac morphology and function between mothers who subsequently developed GD and those who did not develop GD. Methods This was a prospective nonintervention screening study of 5620 women with singleton pregnancies at 19 to 23 weeks' gestation. Conventional and more advanced echocardiographic modalities, such as speckle tracking, were used to assess fetal cardiac function in the right and left ventricle. The morphology of the fetal heart was assessed by calculating the right and left sphericity index. Results The 5620 included patients had a mean age of 33.6 years. In 470 cases, the women were diagnosed with GD after the midgestation echocardiographic assessment (8.4%). Women with GD, compared with the non-GD group, were older, had higher BMI, higher prevalence of family history of diabetes, non-White ethnicity, chronic hypertension, and GD in a previous pregnancy. In fetuses of the GD group compared with the non-GD group, there was mild increase in interventricular millimeter thickness (0.04; 95% CI, 0.03-0.06 mm) and left atrial area (0.04; 95% CI, 0.04-0.05), whereas left and right functional indices were comparable between groups with the exception of left ventricular ejection fraction, which was marginally improved in the GD group (0.02; 95% CI, 0.03-0.03). Conclusions and Relevance This study demonstrates that prior to development of GD, there was mild alteration in fetal cardiac morphology without affecting cardiac function. This suggests that the adverse maternal risk factor profile and not only the glycemia might contribute to cardiac remodeling noted in fetuses of women with GD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Iulia Huluta
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King’s College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Alan Wright
- Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
| | - Livia Mihaela Cosma
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King’s College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Karam Hamed
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King’s College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Kypros H. Nicolaides
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King’s College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Marietta Charakida
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King’s College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
- School of Biomedical Engineering and Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
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Springer S, Worda K, Franz M, Karner E, Krampl-Bettelheim E, Worda C. Fetal Growth Restriction Is Associated with Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein A and Uterine Artery Doppler in First Trimester. J Clin Med 2023; 12:jcm12072502. [PMID: 37048586 PMCID: PMC10095370 DOI: 10.3390/jcm12072502] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/27/2023] [Revised: 03/17/2023] [Accepted: 03/24/2023] [Indexed: 03/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is a major cause of stillbirth and poor neurodevelopmental outcomes. The early prediction may be important to establish treatment options and improve neonatal outcomes. The aim of this study was to assess the association of parameters used in first-trimester screening, uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index and the development of FGR. In this retrospective cohort study, 1930 singleton pregnancies prenatally diagnosed with an estimated fetal weight under the third percentile were included. All women underwent first-trimester screening assessing maternal serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A), free beta-human chorionic gonadotrophin levels, fetal nuchal translucency and uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index (PI). We constructed a Receiver Operating Characteristics curve to calculate the sensitivity and specificity of early diagnosis of FGR. In pregnancies with FGR, PAPP-A was significantly lower, and uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index was significantly higher compared with the normal birth weight group (0.79 ± 0.38 vs. 1.15 ± 0.59, p < 0.001 and 1.82 ± 0.7 vs. 1.55 ± 0.47, p = 0.01). Multivariate logistic regression analyses demonstrated that PAPP-A levels and uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index were significantly associated with FGR (p = 0.009 and p = 0.01, respectively). To conclude, these two parameters can predict FGR < 3rd percentile.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stephanie Springer
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria
| | - Katharina Worda
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria
- Correspondence: ; Tel.: +43-140-400-28210
| | - Marie Franz
- Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, University Hospital, LMU Munich, 81377 Munich, Germany
| | - Eva Karner
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria
| | | | - Christof Worda
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria
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5
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Groten T, Lehmann T, Städtler M, Komar M, Winkler JL, Condic M, Strizek B, Seeger S, Jäger Y, Pecks U, Eckmann-Scholz C, Kagan KO, Hoopmann M, von Kaisenberg CS, Brodowski L, Tauscher A, Schrey-Petersen S, Friebe-Hoffmann U, Lato K, Hübener C, Delius M, Verlohren S, Sroka D, Schlembach D, de Vries L, Kraft K, Seliger G, Schleußner E. Effect of pentaerythritol tetranitrate (PETN) on the development of fetal growth restriction in pregnancies with impaired uteroplacental perfusion at midgestation-a randomized trial. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2023; 228:84.e1-84.e12. [PMID: 35931132 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajog.2022.07.028] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2022] [Revised: 07/12/2022] [Accepted: 07/16/2022] [Indexed: 01/26/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Fetal growth restriction is strongly associated with impaired placentation and abnormal uteroplacental blood flow. Nitric oxide donors such as pentaerythritol tetranitrate are strong vasodilators and protect the endothelium. Recently, we demonstrated in a randomized controlled pilot study a 38% relative risk reduction for the development of fetal growth restriction or perinatal death following administration of pentaerythritol tetranitrate to pregnant women at risk, identified by impaired uterine perfusion at midgestation. Results of this monocenter study prompted the hypothesis that pentaerythritol tetranitrate might have an effect in pregnancies with compromised placental function as a secondary prophylaxis. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to test the hypothesis that the nitric oxide donor pentaerythritol tetranitrate reduces fetal growth restriction and perinatal death in pregnant women with impaired placental perfusion at midgestation in a multicenter trial. STUDY DESIGN In this multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, 2 parallel groups of pregnant women presenting with a mean uterine artery pulsatility index >95th percentile at 19+0 to 22+6 weeks of gestation were randomized to 50-mg Pentalong or placebo twice daily. Participants were assigned to high- or low-risk groups according to their medical history before randomization was performed block-wise with a fixed block length stratified by center and risk group. The primary efficacy endpoint was the composite outcome of perinatal death or development of fetal growth restriction. Secondary endpoints were neonatal and maternal outcome parameters. RESULTS Between August 2017 and March 2020, 317 participants were included in the study and 307 were analyzed. The cumulative incidence of the primary outcome was 41.1% in the pentaerythritol tetranitrate group and 45.5% in the placebo group (unadjusted relative risk, 0.90; 95% confidence interval, 0.69-1.17; adjusted relative risk, 0.90; 95% confidence interval, 0.69-1.17; P=.43). Secondary outcomes such as preterm birth (unadjusted relative risk, 0.73; 95% confidence interval, 0.56-0.94; adjusted relative risk, 0.73; 95% confidence interval, 0.56-0.94; P=.01) and pregnancy-induced hypertension (unadjusted relative risk, 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.46-0.93; adjusted relative risk, 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.46-0.92; P=0.01) were reduced. CONCLUSION Our study failed to show an impact of pentaerythritol tetranitrate on the development of fetal growth restriction and perinatal death in pregnant women with impaired uterine perfusion at midgestation. Pentaerythritol tetranitrate significantly reduced secondary outcome parameters such as the incidence of preterm birth and pregnancy-induced hypertension in these pregnancies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tanja Groten
- Department of Obstetrics, Jena University Hospital, Jena, Germany.
| | - Thomas Lehmann
- Institute of Medical Statistics and Computer Science, Jena University Hospital, Jena, Germany; Center for Clinical Studies, Jena University Hospital, Jena, Germany
| | - Mariann Städtler
- Center for Clinical Studies, Jena University Hospital, Jena, Germany
| | - Matej Komar
- Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany
| | - Jennifer Lucia Winkler
- Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany
| | - Mateja Condic
- Department of Obstetrics and Prenatal Medicine, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Brigitte Strizek
- Department of Obstetrics and Prenatal Medicine, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Sven Seeger
- Department of Gynaecology and Obstetrics, Perinatal Centre, Hospital St. Elisabeth and St. Barbara, Halle (Saale), Germany
| | - Yvonne Jäger
- Department of Gynaecology and Obstetrics, Perinatal Centre, Hospital St. Elisabeth and St. Barbara, Halle (Saale), Germany
| | - Ulrich Pecks
- Department of Obstetrics, Christian-Albrecht University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany
| | | | - Karl Oliver Kagan
- Department of Feto-Maternal Medicine, Women's University Hospital Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
| | - Markus Hoopmann
- Department of Feto-Maternal Medicine, Women's University Hospital Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
| | | | - Lars Brodowski
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Medicine, Hannover Medical School, Hannover, Germany
| | - Anne Tauscher
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
| | | | | | - Krisztian Lato
- Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Ulm University Hospital, Ulm, Germany
| | - Christoph Hübener
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Perinatal Center, University Hospital, Campus Grosshadern, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Maria Delius
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Perinatal Center, University Hospital, Campus Grosshadern, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Stefan Verlohren
- Department of Obstetrics, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Dorota Sroka
- Department of Obstetrics, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Dietmar Schlembach
- Vivantes Network for Health GmbH, Klinikum Neukölln, Clinic for Obstetric Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - Laura de Vries
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, München Klinik Harlaching, Munich, Germany
| | - Katrina Kraft
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, München Klinik Harlaching, Munich, Germany
| | - Gregor Seliger
- Center for Reproductive Medicine and Andrology, University Medical Center Halle (Saale), Halle (Saale), Germany
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Iwama N, Obara T, Ishikuro M, Murakami K, Ueno F, Noda A, Onuma T, Matsuzaki F, Hoshiai T, Saito M, Metoki H, Sugawara J, Yaegashi N, Kuriyama S. Risk scores for predicting small for gestational age infants in Japan: The TMM birthree cohort study. Sci Rep 2022; 12:8921. [PMID: 35618764 PMCID: PMC9135745 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-12892-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2021] [Accepted: 05/16/2022] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
This study aimed to construct a prediction model for small-for-gestational-age (SGA) infants in Japan by creating a risk score during pregnancy. A total of 17,073 subjects were included in the Tohoku Medical Megabank Project Birth and Three-Generation Cohort Study, a prospective cohort study. A multiple logistic regression model was used to construct risk scores during early and mid-gestational periods (11–17 and 18–21 weeks of gestation, respectively). The risk score during early gestation comprised the maternal age, height, body mass index (BMI) during early gestation, parity, assisted reproductive technology (ART) with frozen-thawed embryo transfer (FET), smoking status, blood pressure (BP) during early gestation, and maternal birth weight. The risk score during mid-gestation also consisted of the maternal age, height, BMI during mid-gestation, weight gain, parity, ART with FET, smoking status, BP level during mid-gestation, maternal birth weight, and estimated fetal weight during mid-gestation. The C-statistics of the risk scores during early- and mid-gestation were 0.658 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.642–0.675) and 0.725 (95% CI: 0.710–0.740), respectively. In conclusion, the predictive ability of the risk scores during mid-gestation for SGA infants was acceptable and better than that of the risk score during early gestation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Noriyuki Iwama
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Tohoku University Hospital, 1-1, Seiryomachi, Sendai, Miyagi, 980-8574, Japan. .,Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology, Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.
| | - Taku Obara
- Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology, Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.,Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.,Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Tohoku University Hospital, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan
| | - Mami Ishikuro
- Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology, Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.,Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan
| | - Keiko Murakami
- Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology, Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.,Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan
| | - Fumihiko Ueno
- Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology, Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.,Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan
| | - Aoi Noda
- Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology, Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.,Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.,Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Tohoku University Hospital, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan
| | - Tomomi Onuma
- Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology, Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.,Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan
| | - Fumiko Matsuzaki
- Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology, Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan
| | - Tetsuro Hoshiai
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Tohoku University Hospital, 1-1, Seiryomachi, Sendai, Miyagi, 980-8574, Japan
| | - Masatoshi Saito
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Tohoku University Hospital, 1-1, Seiryomachi, Sendai, Miyagi, 980-8574, Japan.,Department of Maternal and Fetal Therapeutics, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan
| | - Hirohito Metoki
- Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan.,Division of Public Health, Hygiene and Epidemiology, Tohoku Medical Pharmaceutical University, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan
| | - Junichi Sugawara
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Tohoku University Hospital, 1-1, Seiryomachi, Sendai, Miyagi, 980-8574, Japan.,Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan.,Environment and Genome Research Center, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan
| | - Nobuo Yaegashi
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Tohoku University Hospital, 1-1, Seiryomachi, Sendai, Miyagi, 980-8574, Japan.,Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan.,Environment and Genome Research Center, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan.,Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan
| | - Shinichi Kuriyama
- Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology, Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.,Division of Molecular Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.,International Research Institute of Disaster Science, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan
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7
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Papastefanou I, Nowacka U, Syngelaki A, Mansukhani T, Karamanis G, Wright D, Nicolaides KH. Competing risks model for prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates from biophysical markers at 19 to 24 weeks' gestation. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2021; 225:530.e1-530.e19. [PMID: 33901487 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajog.2021.04.247] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2021] [Revised: 04/19/2021] [Accepted: 04/19/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Antenatal identification of women at high risk to deliver small-for-gestational-age neonates may improve the management of the condition. The traditional but ineffective methods for small-for-gestational-age screening are the use of risk scoring systems based on maternal demographic characteristics and medical history and the measurement of the symphysial-fundal height. Another approach is to use logistic regression models that have higher performance and provide patient-specific risks for different prespecified cutoffs of birthweight percentile and gestational age at delivery. However, such models have led to an arbitrary dichotomization of the condition; different models for different small-for-gestational-age definitions are required and adding new biomarkers or examining other cutoffs requires refitting of the whole model. An alternative approach for the prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates is to consider small for gestational age as a spectrum disorder whose severity is continuously reflected in both the gestational age at delivery and z score in birthweight for gestational age. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to develop a new competing risks model for the prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates based on a combination of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history with sonographic estimated fetal weight, uterine artery pulsatility index, and mean arterial pressure at 19 to 24 weeks' gestation. STUDY DESIGN This was a prospective observational study of 96,678 women with singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19 to 24 weeks' gestation, which included recording of estimated fetal weight, uterine artery pulsatility index, and mean arterial pressure. The competing risks model for small for gestational age is based on a previous joint distribution of gestational age at delivery and birthweight z score, according to maternal demographic characteristics and medical history. The likelihoods of the estimated fetal weight, uterine artery pulsatility index, and mean arterial pressure were fitted conditionally to both gestational age at delivery and birthweight z score and modified the previous distribution, according to the Bayes theorem, to obtain an individualized posterior distribution for gestational age at delivery and birthweight z score and therefore patient-specific risks for any desired cutoffs for birthweight z score and gestational age at delivery. The model was internally validated by randomly dividing the data into a training data set, to obtain the parameters of the model, and a test data set, to evaluate the model. The discrimination and calibration of the model were also examined. RESULTS The estimated fetal weight was described using a regression model with an interaction term between gestational age at delivery and birthweight z score. Folded plane regression models were fitted for uterine artery pulsatility index and mean arterial pressure. The prediction of small for gestational age by maternal factors was improved by adding biomarkers for increasing degree of prematurity, higher severity of smallness, and coexistence of preeclampsia. Screening by maternal factors with estimated fetal weight, uterine artery pulsatility index, and mean arterial pressure, predicted 41%, 56%, and 70% of small-for-gestational-age neonates with birthweights of <10th percentile delivered at ≥37, <37, and <32 weeks' gestation, at a 10% false-positive rate. The respective rates for a birthweight of <3rd percentile were 47%, 65%, and 77%. The rates in the presence of preeclampsia were 41%, 72%, and 91% for small-for-gestational-age neonates with birthweights of <10th percentile and 50%, 75%, and 92% for small-for-gestational-age neonates with birthweights of <3rd percentile. Overall, the model was well calibrated. The detection rates and calibration indices were similar in the training and test data sets, demonstrating the internal validity of the model. CONCLUSION The performance of screening for small-for-gestational-age neonates by a competing risks model that combines maternal factors with estimated fetal weight, uterine artery pulsatility index, and mean arterial pressure was superior to that of screening by maternal characteristics and medical history alone.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ioannis Papastefanou
- Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Urszula Nowacka
- Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Argyro Syngelaki
- Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Tanvi Mansukhani
- Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - George Karamanis
- Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - David Wright
- Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
| | - Kypros H Nicolaides
- Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, United Kingdom.
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Papastefanou I, Nowacka U, Syngelaki A, Dragoi V, Karamanis G, Wright D, Nicolaides KH. Competing-risks model for prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonate from estimated fetal weight at 19-24 weeks' gestation. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2021; 57:917-924. [PMID: 33464642 DOI: 10.1002/uog.23593] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/20/2020] [Revised: 01/03/2021] [Accepted: 01/05/2021] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To develop further a new competing-risks model for the prediction of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate, by including second-trimester ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW). METHODS This was a prospective observational study in 96 678 women with singleton pregnancy undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19-24 weeks' gestation. All pregnancies had ultrasound biometry assessment, and EFW was calculated according to the Hadlock formula. We refitted in this large dataset a previously described competing-risks model for the joint distribution of gestational age (GA) at delivery and birth-weight Z-score, according to maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, to obtain the prior distribution. The continuous likelihood of the EFW was fitted conditionally to GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score and modified the prior distribution, according to Bayes' theorem, to obtain individualized distributions for GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score and therefore patient-specific risks for any cut-offs for GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score. We assessed the discriminative ability of the model for predicting SGA with, without or independently of pre-eclampsia occurrence. A calibration study was carried out. Performance of screening was evaluated for SGA defined according to the Fetal Medicine Foundation birth-weight charts. RESULTS The distribution of EFW, conditional to both GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score, was best described by a regression model. For earlier gestations, the association between EFW and birth weight was steeper. The prediction of SGA by maternal factors and EFW improved for increasing degree of prematurity and greater severity of smallness but not for coexistence of pre-eclampsia. Screening by maternal factors predicted 31%, 34% and 39% of SGA neonates with birth weight < 10th percentile delivered at ≥ 37, < 37 and < 30 weeks' gestation, respectively, at a 10% false-positive rate, and, after addition of EFW, these rates increased to 38%, 43% and 59%, respectively; the respective rates for birth weight < 3rd percentile were 43%, 50% and 64%. The addition of EFW improved the calibration of the model. CONCLUSION In the competing-risks model for prediction of SGA, the performance of screening by maternal characteristics and medical history is improved by the addition of second-trimester EFW. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.
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Affiliation(s)
- I Papastefanou
- Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - U Nowacka
- Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - A Syngelaki
- Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - V Dragoi
- Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - G Karamanis
- Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - D Wright
- Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
| | - K H Nicolaides
- Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, UK
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Radin M, Schreiber K, Cecchi I, Bortoluzzi A, Crisafulli F, de Freitas CM, Bacco B, Rubini E, Foddai SG, Padovan M, Gallo Cassarino S, Franceschini F, Andrade D, Benedetto C, Govoni M, Bertero T, Marozio L, Roccatello D, Andreoli L, Sciascia S. A multicentre study of 244 pregnancies in undifferentiated connective tissue disease: maternal/fetal outcomes and disease evolution. Rheumatology (Oxford) 2021; 59:2412-2418. [PMID: 31943123 DOI: 10.1093/rheumatology/kez620] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/26/2019] [Revised: 11/07/2019] [Indexed: 01/29/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To investigate fetal/perinatal and maternal outcomes from a large multicentre cohort of women diagnosed with UCTD. METHODS This multicentre retrospective cohort study describes the outcomes of 224 pregnancies in 133 consecutive women with a diagnosis of UCTD, positive for ANA and aged <45 years old at study inclusion. RESULTS Of the 224 pregnancies analysed, 177 (79%) resulted in live births, 45 (20.1%) in miscarriages (defined as pregnancy loss before 12 weeks' gestation), 2 (0.9%) in stillbirths (pregnancy loss after 20 weeks' gestation) and 6 (2.7%) cases showed intrauterine growth restriction. Miscarriages and stillbirths were strongly associated with the presence of aPL and ENA antibodies (P < 0.05). Maternal pregnancy complications were as follows: 5 (2.2%) cases developed pre-eclampsia, 11 (4.9%) cases gestational hypertension and 12 (5.4%) cases gestational diabetes. Joint involvement represented the most frequent clinical manifestation of the cohort (57.9%), followed by RP (40.6%), photosensitivity (32.3%) and haematological manifestations (27.1%). The rate of disease evolution of our cohort from a diagnosis of UCTD to a diagnosis of definite CTD was 12% within a mean time of 5.3 ± 2.8 years. With a total follow-up after first pregnancy of 1417 patient-years, we observed the evolution to a defined CTD in one out of every 88 patient- years. CONCLUSION In our multicentre cohort, women with UCTD had a live birth rate of 79%. Women with UCTD should be referred to specialist follow-up when planning a pregnancy. ENA profiling and aPL testing should be mandatory in this setting, and further therapeutic approaches and management should be planned accordingly.
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Affiliation(s)
- Massimo Radin
- Center of Research of Immunopathology and Rare Diseases - Coordinating Center of Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Network for Rare Diseases, Department of Clinical and Biological Sciences, and SCDU Nephrology and Dialysis, S. Giovanni Bosco Hospital, Turin, Italy
| | - Karen Schreiber
- Department of Thrombosis and Haemophilia, Guy's and St Thomas' Hospital, London, UK.,Copenhagen Lupus and Vasculitis Clinic, Center for Rheumatology and Spine Diseases, Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Irene Cecchi
- Center of Research of Immunopathology and Rare Diseases - Coordinating Center of Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Network for Rare Diseases, Department of Clinical and Biological Sciences, and SCDU Nephrology and Dialysis, S. Giovanni Bosco Hospital, Turin, Italy
| | - Alessandra Bortoluzzi
- Department of Medical Sciences, University of Ferrara and Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Sant'Anna, Cona (Ferrara)
| | - Francesca Crisafulli
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Brescia, Unit of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, ASST Spedali Civili, Brescia, Italy
| | - Cristiano M de Freitas
- Department of Rheumatology, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Beatrice Bacco
- Clinical Immunology Department, University of Turin, AO Mauriziano
| | - Elena Rubini
- Center of Research of Immunopathology and Rare Diseases - Coordinating Center of Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Network for Rare Diseases, Department of Clinical and Biological Sciences, and SCDU Nephrology and Dialysis, S. Giovanni Bosco Hospital, Turin, Italy
| | - Silvia G Foddai
- Center of Research of Immunopathology and Rare Diseases - Coordinating Center of Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Network for Rare Diseases, Department of Clinical and Biological Sciences, and SCDU Nephrology and Dialysis, S. Giovanni Bosco Hospital, Turin, Italy
| | - Melissa Padovan
- Department of Medical Sciences, University of Ferrara and Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Sant'Anna, Cona (Ferrara)
| | | | - Franco Franceschini
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Brescia, Unit of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, ASST Spedali Civili, Brescia, Italy
| | - Danieli Andrade
- Department of Rheumatology, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Chiara Benedetto
- Department of Surgical Sciences, Obstetrics and Gynecology, Sant'Anna, University Hospital, University of Turin, Turin, Italy
| | - Marcello Govoni
- Department of Medical Sciences, University of Ferrara and Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Sant'Anna, Cona (Ferrara)
| | - Tiziana Bertero
- Clinical Immunology Department, University of Turin, AO Mauriziano
| | - Luca Marozio
- Department of Surgical Sciences, Obstetrics and Gynecology, Sant'Anna, University Hospital, University of Turin, Turin, Italy
| | - Dario Roccatello
- Center of Research of Immunopathology and Rare Diseases - Coordinating Center of Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Network for Rare Diseases, Department of Clinical and Biological Sciences, and SCDU Nephrology and Dialysis, S. Giovanni Bosco Hospital, Turin, Italy
| | - Laura Andreoli
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Brescia, Unit of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, ASST Spedali Civili, Brescia, Italy
| | - Savino Sciascia
- Center of Research of Immunopathology and Rare Diseases - Coordinating Center of Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Network for Rare Diseases, Department of Clinical and Biological Sciences, and SCDU Nephrology and Dialysis, S. Giovanni Bosco Hospital, Turin, Italy
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Eraslan Sahin M, Sahin E, Col Madendag I, Madendag Y, Acmaz G, Ozdemir F, Kırlangıç MM, Muderris II. Evaluation of midtrimester ductus venosus diameter and peak systolic velocity to predict late onset small for gestational age fetuses. J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med 2020; 35:3984-3990. [PMID: 33190543 DOI: 10.1080/14767058.2020.1846175] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The ductus venosus, a small blood vessel in the fetal venous system, has extraordinary physiologic significance because it connects the umbilical vein to the inferior vena cava in the fetus circulation system and transports highly oxygenated blood from the placenta to the fetus' heart. Hence, assessment of ductus venosus flows is helpful in evaluating fetal hemodynamics. Considering the critical function of the ductus venosus, we hypothesized that the diameter of the midtrimester ductus venosus and its peak velocity index can be related to adequate fetal growth; therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate the role of the midtrimester umbilical venous blood flow, ductus venosus diameter, and ductus venosus peak systolic velocity to help predict uncomplicated deliveries of late onset small for gestational age (SGA) fetuses. METHODS In this prospective study we analyzed the pregnancies and deliveries of 398 pregnant women who met the inclusion criteria and divided them into three groups according to fetal birth weight as follows: birth weight <3 percentile SGA group (n = 16), birth weight 3-10 percentile SGA group (n = 42), and appropriate for the gestational age (AGA) group (n = 340). The midtrimester ductus venosus diameter and peak sistolic velocity, umbilical venous blood flow, and umbilical artery pulsatility index (PI) were recorded. In the absence of congenital anomalies, the diagnosis of fetal growth restriction (FGR) is made according to Delphi consensus criteria. In the absence of abnormal Doppler findings, late FGR was defined as occurring ≥32 weeks. RESULTS Maternal age, nulliparity, mean gestational age at ultrasound evaluation, ethnicity, body mass index, and previous cesarean delivery rates were similar among the groups. In addition, mid-trimester fetal biometric measurements and amniotic fluid volume were similar among the groups. The gestational age at delivery, prematurity, fetal birth weight, vaginal delivery rates, and rate of admission to the neonatal intensive care unit were significantly different among the groups. The mean mid-trimester umbilical vein blood flow to abdominal circumference ratio (UVBF/AC) was similar among the groups (p=.740). In the <3 group, the mean peak systolic velocity of the ductus venosus was significantly lower and the mean diameter of the ductus venosus significantly higher than those in the 3-10 and AGA groups (both p<.001). Although the values are below the 95th percentile mid-trimester umbilical artery PI was significantly higher in the <3 percentile SGA group than in the 3-10 percentile SGA and AGA groups. CONCLUSION Our results suggest that the diameter and peak systolic velocity of the mid-trimester ductus venosus are useful noninvasive measurements that provide prediction of late onset SGA fetuses.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Erdem Sahin
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Erciyes University Medicine Faculty, Kayseri, Turkey
| | - Ilknur Col Madendag
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Kayseri City Hospital, Kayseri, Turkey
| | - Yusuf Madendag
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Erciyes University Medicine Faculty, Kayseri, Turkey
| | - Gokhan Acmaz
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Erciyes University Medicine Faculty, Kayseri, Turkey
| | - Fatma Ozdemir
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Erciyes University Medicine Faculty, Kayseri, Turkey
| | - Mehmet Mete Kırlangıç
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Tuzla Government Hospital, İstanbul, Turkey
| | - Iptisam Ipek Muderris
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Erciyes University Medicine Faculty, Kayseri, Turkey
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Groten T, Lehmann T, Schleußner E. Does Pentaerytrithyltetranitrate reduce fetal growth restriction in pregnancies complicated by uterine mal-perfusion? Study protocol of the PETN-study: a randomized controlled multicenter-trial. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth 2019; 19:336. [PMID: 31521118 PMCID: PMC6744635 DOI: 10.1186/s12884-019-2456-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2019] [Accepted: 08/13/2019] [Indexed: 04/25/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Affecting approximately 10% of pregnancies, fetal growth restriction (FGR), is the most important cause of perinatal mortality and morbidity. Impaired placental function and consequent mal-perfusion of the placenta is the leading cause of FGR. Although, screening for placental insufficiency based on uterine artery Doppler measurement is well established, there is no treatment option for pregnancies threatened by FGR. The organic nitrate pentaerithrityl tetranitrate (PETN) is widely used for the treatment of cardiovascular disease and has been shown to have protective effects on human endothelial cells. In a randomized placebo controlled pilot-study our group could demonstrate a risk reduction of 39% for the development of FGR, and FGR or death, by administering PETN to patients with impaired uterine artery Doppler at mid gestation. To confirm these results a prospective randomized placebo controlled double-blinded multicentre trial was now initiated. METHOD The trial has been initiated in 14 centres in Germany. Inclusion criteria are abnormal uterine artery Doppler, defined by mean PI > 1.6, at 190 to 226 weeks of gestation in singleton pregnancies. Included patients will be monitored in 4-week intervals. Primary outcome measures are development of FGR (birth weight < 10th percentile), severe FGR (birth weight < 3rd centile) and perinatal death. Placental abruption, birth weight below the 3rd, 5th and 10th centile, development of FGR requiring delivery before 34 weeks` gestation, neonatal intensive care unit admission, and spontaneous preterm delivery < 34 weeks` and 37 weeks` gestation will be assessed as secondary endpoints. Patient enrolment was started in August 2017. Results are expected in 2020. DISCUSSION During the past decade therapeutic agents with possible perfusion optimizing potential have been evaluated in clinical trials to treat FGR. Meta-analysis and sub-analysis of trials targeting preeclampsia revealed ASS to have a potential in reducing FGR. Phosphodiesterase-type-5 inhibitors have recently been tested in a worldwide RCT for therapy of established FGR, failing to show an effect on neonatal outcome. The ongoing multicenter trial will, by confirming our previous results, finally provide a therapeutic option in cases at risk for FGR. TRIAL REGISTRATION DRKS00011374 registered at September 29th, 2017 and NCT03669185 , registered September 13th, 2018.
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Affiliation(s)
- T. Groten
- Department of Obstetrics, University Hospital Jena, Am Klinkum 1, 07740 Jena, Germany
| | - T. Lehmann
- Institute of Medical Statistics and Computer Science, University Hospital Jena, Friedrich Schiller University Jena, Jena, Germany
| | - E. Schleußner
- Department of Obstetrics, University Hospital Jena, Am Klinkum 1, 07740 Jena, Germany
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12
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Ciobanu A, Wright A, Syngelaki A, Wright D, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Fetal Medicine Foundation reference ranges for umbilical artery and middle cerebral artery pulsatility index and cerebroplacental ratio. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 53:465-472. [PMID: 30353583 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 128] [Impact Index Per Article: 21.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2018] [Revised: 10/15/2018] [Accepted: 10/16/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To develop gestational age-based reference ranges for the pulsatility index in the umbilical artery (UA-PI) and fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA-PI) and the cerebroplacental ratio (MCA-PI/UA-PI), and to examine the maternal characteristics and medical history that affect these measurements. METHODS This was a cross-sectional study of 72 387 pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 20 + 0 to 22 + 6 weeks' gestation (n = 3712), 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks (n = 29 035), 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks (n = 37 252) or 41 + 0 to 41 + 6 weeks (n = 2388). For the purpose of this study, we included data for only one of the second- or third-trimester visits. The inclusion criteria were singleton pregnancy, dating by fetal crown-rump length at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation, live birth of a morphologically normal neonate and ultrasonographic measurements by sonographers who had received the Fetal Medicine Foundation Certificate of Competence in Doppler ultrasound. Since the objectives of the study were to establish reference ranges, rather than normal ranges, and to examine factors from maternal characteristics and medical history that affect these measurements, we included all pregnancies having routine ultrasound examinations, irrespective of whether the mother had a pre-existing medical condition, such as diabetes mellitus, or a pregnancy complication, such as pre-eclampsia or suspected fetal growth restriction. Median and SD models were fitted between UA-PI, MCA-PI and CPR and gestational age. Assessment of goodness of fit of the models was by inspection of quantile-to-quantile (Q-Q) plots of Z-scores calculated using the mean and SD models. The distributions of MCA-PI, UA-PI and CPR Z-scores were examined in relation to maternal characteristics and medical history. RESULTS The relationship between the median and gestational age was linear for UA-PI and cubic for MCA-PI and CPR and the SD was log quadratic for all three. MCA-PI and CPR increased with gestational age from 20 weeks' gestation to reach a peak at around 32 and 34 weeks, respectively, and decreased thereafter, whereas UA-PI decreased linearly with gestational age from 20 to 42 weeks. Compared to the general population, significant deviations in multiples of the median values of UA-PI, MCA-PI and CPR were observed in subgroups of maternal age, body mass index, racial origin, method of conception and parity. CONCLUSION This study established new reference ranges for UA-PI, MCA-PI and CPR, according to gestational age, and reports maternal characteristics and medical history that affect these measurements. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Ciobanu
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - A Wright
- Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
| | - A Syngelaki
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - D Wright
- Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
| | - R Akolekar
- Fetal Medicine Unit, Medway Maritime Hospital, Gillingham, UK
| | - K H Nicolaides
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
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13
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Doulaveris G, Gallagher P, Romney E, Richley M, Gebb J, Rosner M, Dar P. Fetal abdominal circumference in the second trimester and prediction of small for gestational age at birth. J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med 2019; 33:2415-2421. [PMID: 30482067 DOI: 10.1080/14767058.2018.1554039] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/27/2022]
Abstract
Background: Infants that are small for gestational age (SGA) at birth are at increased risk for morbidity and mortality. Unfortunately, the antenatal prediction of SGA is suboptimal.Objectives: We sought to: (1) examine the association between second trimester fetal abdominal circumference < 10% (2T-AClag) with SGA and other gestational and neonatal adverse outcomes; (2) assess 2T-AClag as a predictor of SGA.Study design: Retrospective study of 212 singleton gestations with 2T-AClag on routine ultrasound between 18-24 weeks. The study group was compared to 424 gestations without 2T-AClag for maternal characteristics as well as pregnancy and neonatal adverse outcomes. A multivariate logistic regression was used to determine the predictive value of 2T-AClag for SGA, adjusting for maternal and pregnancy characteristics. The screening model accuracy was assessed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Fetal growth restriction (FGR) was defined as an estimated fetal weight (EFW) less than the 10th percentile.Results: Gestations with 2T-AClag had higher rates of SGA (35.7 versus 11.6%, p < .0001), FGR (17 versus 1.7%, p < .0001), pregnancy induced hypertension (31.1 versus 17%, p < .0001), preeclampsia (14.6 versus 7.8%, 0 = 0.01), abnormal umbilical artery Doppler (30 versus 5.1%, p < .0001), indicated preterm birth (5.7 versus 1.9%, p = .01), primary cesarean birth (29.6 versus 20.1%, p = .01) and NICU admission (12.9 versus 6.4%, p = .009). After adjusting for maternal and gestational risk factors, 2T-AClag remained an independent risk factor for SGA (OR 4.53, 95%CI 2.91-7.05, p < .0001) and FGR (OR 11.57, 95%CI 5.02-26.65, p < .0001). The inclusion of 2T-AClag in a regression model with traditional risk factors, significantly improved the model's predictability for SGA and FGR (area under ROC curve increased from 0.618 to 0.723 and 0.653 to 0.819, respectively, p < .0001).Conclusions: Second trimester abdominal circumference (AC) lag is associated with an increased risk of SGA, FGR and other adverse outcomes. The inclusion of 2T-AClag in a screening model for prediction of SGA and FGR may improve the identification of this at-risk group and assist in customizing surveillance plans.Brief rationaleScreening for newborns that are small for gestational age (SGA) at birth is currently suboptimal. Our study shows that second trimester abdominal circumference (AC) lag, using a parameter already routinely assessed during anatomic survey, is associated with SGA at birth and can improve current screening for growth restriction and other gestational, fetal and neonatal complications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Georgios Doulaveris
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Women's Health, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY, USA
| | - Patience Gallagher
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Women's Health, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY, USA
| | - Elizabeth Romney
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Women's Health, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY, USA
| | - Michael Richley
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Women's Health, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY, USA
| | - Juliana Gebb
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Women's Health, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY, USA
| | - Mara Rosner
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, NYU School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA
| | - Pe'er Dar
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Women's Health, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY, USA
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Bowkalow S, Schleussner E, Kähler C, Schneider U, Lehmann T, Groten T. Pentaerythrityltetranitrate (PETN) improves utero- and feto-placental Doppler parameters in pregnancies with impaired utero-placental perfusion in mid-gestation - a secondary analysis of the PETN-pilot trial. J Perinat Med 2018; 46:1004-1009. [PMID: 29272253 DOI: 10.1515/jpm-2017-0238] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/24/2017] [Accepted: 11/07/2017] [Indexed: 11/15/2022]
Abstract
AIM In pregnancies complicated by impaired utero-placental perfusion, pentaeritrithyltetranitrate (PETN) has been shown to reduce the risk of severe fetal growth restriction (FGR) and perinatal death by 39%. The effect is most likely related to the vasodilatative influence of PETN. To assess its impact on utero-placental and fetal perfusion, we analyzed the Doppler parameters measured during the PETN pilot-trial. METHODS One hundred and eleven pregnancies presenting impaired utero-placental resistance at mid-gestation were included in the trial. Fifty-four women received PETN, while 57 received a placebo. Doppler velocimetry measurements were monitored biweekly. Statistical analysis was performed using a mixed linear model. RESULTS Within the first week of treatment, the mean pulsatility index (PI) of the uterine artery (UtA) dropped more prominently in the PETN group [-0.20, 95% confidence interval (CI): -0.34 to -0.05, P=0.007). The adjusted relative risk (RR) for abnormal cerebro-placental ratio (CPR) was significantly reduced by PETN [RR 0.412 (95% CI: 0.181-0.941)]. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrates the postponement of absent end-diastolic flow (AED), absent or reverse end-diastolic flow (ARED), brain sparing and abnormal cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) in the PETN group. CONCLUSION The demonstrated effect of PETN on utero-placental and feto-placental perfusion strengthens the evidence for a positive impact in pregnancies complicated by impaired placental perfusion and might explain the effect on neonatal outcome, as shown in the PETN-pilot trial.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sandy Bowkalow
- Department of Obstetrics, University Hospital Jena, Friedrich Schiller University, Jena, Germany
| | - Ekkehard Schleussner
- Department of Obstetrics, University Hospital Jena, Friedrich Schiller University, Jena, Germany
| | | | - Uwe Schneider
- Department of Obstetrics, University Hospital Jena, Friedrich Schiller University, Jena, Germany
| | - Thomas Lehmann
- Institute of Medical Statistics and Computer Science, University Hospital Jena, Friedrich Schiller University, Jena, Germany
| | - Tanja Groten
- Department of Obstetrics, University Hospital Jena, Friedrich Schiller University, Jena, Germany
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Tan MY, Poon LC, Rolnik DL, Syngelaki A, de Paco Matallana C, Akolekar R, Cicero S, Janga D, Singh M, Molina FS, Persico N, Jani JC, Plasencia W, Greco E, Papaioannou G, Wright D, Nicolaides KH. Prediction and prevention of small-for-gestational-age neonates: evidence from SPREE and ASPRE. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2018; 52:52-59. [PMID: 29704277 DOI: 10.1002/uog.19077] [Citation(s) in RCA: 78] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2018] [Accepted: 04/07/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To examine the effect of first-trimester screening for pre-eclampsia (PE) on the prediction of delivering a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate and the effect of prophylactic use of aspirin on the prevention of SGA. METHODS The data for this study were derived from two multicenter studies. In SPREE, we investigated the performance of screening for PE by a combination of maternal characteristics and biomarkers at 11-13 weeks' gestation. In ASPRE, women with a singleton pregnancy identified by combined screening as being at high risk for preterm PE (> 1 in 100) participated in a trial of aspirin (150 mg/day from 11-14 until 36 weeks' gestation) compared to placebo. In this study, we used the data from the ASPRE trial to estimate the effect of aspirin on the incidence of SGA with birth weight < 10th , < 5th and < 3rd percentile for gestational age. We also used the data from SPREE to estimate the proportion of SGA in the pregnancies with a risk for preterm PE of > 1 in 100. RESULTS In SPREE, screening for preterm PE by a combination of maternal factors, mean arterial pressure, uterine artery pulsatility index and serum placental growth factor identified a high-risk group that contained about 46% of SGA neonates < 10th percentile born at < 37 weeks' gestation (preterm) and 56% of those born at < 32 weeks (early); the overall screen-positive rate was 12.2% (2014 of 16 451 pregnancies). In the ASPRE trial, use of aspirin reduced the overall incidence of SGA < 10th percentile by about 40% in babies born at < 37 weeks' gestation and by about 70% in babies born at < 32 weeks; in babies born at ≥ 37 weeks, aspirin did not have a significant effect on incidence of SGA. The aspirin-related decrease in incidence of SGA was mainly due to its incidence decreasing in pregnancies with PE, for which the decrease was about 70% in babies born at < 37 weeks' gestation and about 90% in babies born at < 32 weeks. On the basis of these results, it was estimated that first-trimester screening for preterm PE and use of aspirin in the high-risk group would potentially reduce the incidence of preterm and early SGA by about 20% and 40%, respectively. CONCLUSION First-trimester screening for PE by the combined test identifies a high proportion of cases of preterm SGA that can be prevented by the prophylactic use of aspirin. © 2018 Crown copyright. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology © 2018 ISUOG.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Y Tan
- Kings College Hospital, London, UK
- Kings College London, London, UK
- University Hospital Lewisham, London, UK
| | - L C Poon
- Kings College London, London, UK
- Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR
| | | | | | | | - R Akolekar
- Medway Maritime Hospital, Gillingham, UK
| | - S Cicero
- Homerton University Hospital, London, UK
| | - D Janga
- North Middlesex University Hospital, London, UK
| | - M Singh
- Southend University Hospital, Essex, UK
| | - F S Molina
- Hospital Universitario San Cecilio, Granada, Spain
| | - N Persico
- Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
| | - J C Jani
- University Hospital Brugmann, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium
| | - W Plasencia
- Hospiten Group, Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain
| | - E Greco
- Royal London Hospital, London, UK
| | | | - D Wright
- University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
| | - K H Nicolaides
- Kings College Hospital, London, UK
- Kings College London, London, UK
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Simic M, Stephansson O, Petersson G, Cnattingius S, Wikström AK. Slow fetal growth between first and early second trimester ultrasound scans and risk of small for gestational age (SGA) birth. PLoS One 2017; 12:e0184853. [PMID: 28934257 PMCID: PMC5608242 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0184853] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/26/2016] [Accepted: 09/02/2017] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives To investigate the association between fetal growth between first and early second trimester ultrasound scan and the risk of severe small for gestational age (SGA) birth. Methods This cohort study included 69 550 singleton pregnancies with first trimester dating and an early second trimester growth scan in Stockholm and Gotland Counties, Sweden between 2008 and 2014. Exposure was difference in biparietal diameter growth between observed and expected at the second trimester scan, calculated by z-scores. Risk of birth of a severe SGA infant (birth weight for gestational age by fetal sex less than the 3rd centile) was calculated using multivariable logistic regression analysis and presented as adjusted odds ratio (aOR). Results Parietal growth less than 2.5 percentile between first and second trimester ultrasound examination was associated with elevated risk of being born severe SGA. (aOR 1.67; 95% Confidence Interval 1.28–2.18). The risks of preterm severe SGA (birth before 37 weeks) and term severe SGA (birth 37 weeks or later) were at similar levels, and risk of severe SGA were also elevated in the absence of preeclampsia, hypertensive diseases or gestational diabetes. Conclusions Fetuses with slow growth of biparietal diameter at ultrasound examination in early second trimester exhibit increased risk of being born SGA independent of gestational age at birth and presence of maternal hypertensive diseases or diabetes mellitus.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marija Simic
- Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska University Hospital and Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
- * E-mail:
| | - Olof Stephansson
- Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska University Hospital and Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
- School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America
| | - Gunnar Petersson
- Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska University Hospital and Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Sven Cnattingius
- Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska University Hospital and Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Anna-Karin Wikström
- Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska University Hospital and Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
- Department of Women’s and Children’s Health, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
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[Does customized weight curves improve prenatal diagnosis of fetuses small for gestational age in a high-risk population?]. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2017; 45:335-339. [PMID: 28552750 DOI: 10.1016/j.gofs.2017.05.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2017] [Accepted: 04/24/2017] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To assess the accuracy of customized growth charts for the ultrasound antenatal diagnostic of fetus small for gestational age in a high-risk population of preterm. METHODS All premature infants born in a French university maternity center for a year and classified as small for gestational age at birth by using customized growth charts developed by Ego et al. were included in this retrospective study. At the ultrasound performed closest to the term, customized growth charts and population growth curves were compared for the antenatal diagnosis of a premature infants group classified small for gestational age in post-natal by customized growth charts and more at risk of perinatal complications. RESULTS Sixty-seven newborns were included in the study. Fifty-one (76.1%) were secondarily classified as small for gestational age although they were eutrophic on the basis of population growth curves and 16 (23.9%) were small for gestational age on both curves. The average time between the last ultrasound and birth was 2.2 weeks. On the threshold of the tenth percentile, the sensitivities of customized growth charts and curves in population were not significantly different (29.85% versus 41.79% P=0.05) for antenatal detection of fetus small for gestational age. CONCLUSION In our study, the use of customized growth charts does not improve the antenatal detection of most at-risk children.
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Guy GP, Ling HZ, Machuca M, Poon LC, Nicolaides KH. Maternal cardiac function at 35-37 weeks' gestation: relationship with birth weight. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2017; 49:67-72. [PMID: 27706864 DOI: 10.1002/uog.17316] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2016] [Revised: 09/19/2016] [Accepted: 09/28/2016] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the relationship between maternal cardiovascular parameters and neonatal birth weight and examine the potential value of these parameters in improving the prediction of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) and large-for-gestational-age (LGA) neonates provided by maternal characteristics and medical history. METHODS In 2835 singleton pregnancies maternal characteristics and medical history were recorded and maternal cardiovascular parameters were measured. The observed measurements of cardiovascular parameters were expressed as multiples of the normal median (MoM) values after adjustment for those characteristics found to provide a substantial contribution to their measurement. Regression analysis was used to determine the significance of association between the normalized values of the cardiovascular parameters with birth-weight Z-score. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was then used to determine if the maternal factors, fetal biometry and maternal cardiovascular parameters had a significant contribution to predicting SGA and LGA neonates. The performance of screening was determined by the area under receiver-operating characteristics curves (AUC). RESULTS In the study population there were significant positive associations between maternal cardiac output and heart rate with neonatal birth-weight Z-score, and significant negative associations between total peripheral resistance and mean arterial pressure (MAP) with neonatal birth-weight Z-score. In pregnancies delivering SGA neonates (n = 249 (8.8%)), cardiac output and heart rate were lower and total peripheral resistance and MAP were higher, whereas in pregnancies delivering LGA neonates (n = 292 (10.3%)) cardiac output and heart rate were higher and total peripheral resistance and MAP were lower. The performance of screening for delivery of SGA neonates achieved by maternal characteristics and fetal biometry was not improved by the measurement of maternal cardiovascular parameters. There was a small but significant improvement in the performance of screening for delivery of LGA neonates by maternal factors and fetal biometry with the addition of maternal heart rate (comparison of AUC, P = 0.0095). CONCLUSIONS There are significant associations between maternal cardiac output, heart rate, total peripheral resistance and MAP and neonatal birth-weight Z-score; such findings reflect the close relationship between maternal cardiac function and fetal demands. However, assessment of these parameters at 35-37 weeks' gestation is unlikely to improve substantially the performance of screening for SGA or LGA neonates provided by a combination of maternal factors and fetal biometry. Copyright © 2016 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Affiliation(s)
- G P Guy
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - H Z Ling
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - M Machuca
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - L C Poon
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - K H Nicolaides
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
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Familiari A, Bhide A, Morlando M, Scala C, Khalil A, Thilaganathan B. Mid-pregnancy fetal biometry, uterine artery Doppler indices and maternal demographic characteristics: role in prediction of small-for-gestational-age birth. Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand 2015; 95:238-44. [PMID: 26472057 DOI: 10.1111/aogs.12804] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/21/2015] [Accepted: 10/09/2015] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of mid-trimester fetal biometry, uterine artery Doppler indices and maternal demographics in prediction of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) birth. MATERIALS AND METHODS We conducted a retrospective cohort study in a single referral center. The study included 23 894 singleton pregnancies scanned between 19 and 24 weeks of gestation. Maternal demographics included age, body mass index and ethnicity. Fetal biometry, birthweight and uterine artery pulsatility index values were converted into centiles. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed and the predictive accuracy was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The main outcome measure was prediction of delivery of preterm and term SGA neonates defined as a birthweight in the lowest centile groups (<10th, <5th and <3rd centiles). RESULTS Maternal ethnicity, fetal biometry and uterine artery Doppler indices were significantly associated with the risk of SGA <5th centile (p < 0.01). Maternal factors or fetal biometry alone showed poor to moderate performance in prediction of term and preterm SGA <5th centile at a 10% false-positive rate. Uterine artery pulsatility index alone was able to predict 25, 60 and 77% of SGA <5th centile delivering at >37, <37 and <32 weeks of gestation respectively at a 10% false-positive rate; maternal factors, fetal biometry and uterine artery Doppler combined detected 40, 66 and 89% of term, preterm and very preterm SGA <5th centile at a 10% false-positive rate. CONCLUSIONS Second-trimester screening can identify the majority of pregnancies at high risk of SGA birth and showed a higher performance for earlier gestational ages at birth and lower birthweight centiles.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alessandra Familiari
- Fetal Medicine Unit, Academic Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | - Amar Bhide
- Fetal Medicine Unit, Academic Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | - Maddalena Morlando
- Fetal Medicine Unit, Academic Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | - Carolina Scala
- Fetal Medicine Unit, Academic Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | - Asma Khalil
- Fetal Medicine Unit, Academic Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | - Basky Thilaganathan
- Fetal Medicine Unit, Academic Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, St George's University of London, London, UK
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Poon LC, Lesmes C, Gallo DM, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates: screening by biophysical and biochemical markers at 19-24 weeks. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2015; 46:437-445. [PMID: 25988293 DOI: 10.1002/uog.14904] [Citation(s) in RCA: 48] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2015] [Revised: 05/08/2015] [Accepted: 05/12/2015] [Indexed: 06/04/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the value of combined screening by maternal characteristics and medical history, fetal biometry and biophysical and biochemical markers at 19-24 weeks' gestation, for prediction of delivery of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonates, in the absence of pre-eclampsia (PE), and examine the potential value of such assessment in deciding whether the third-trimester scan should be at 32 and/or 36 weeks' gestation. METHODS This was a screening study in 7816 singleton pregnancies, including 389 (5.0%) that delivered SGA neonates with birth weight < 5(th) percentile (SGA < 5(th) ), in the absence of PE. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine if screening by a combination of maternal factors, fetal biometry, uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and maternal serum concentrations of placental growth factor (PlGF) and α-fetoprotein (AFP) had significant contribution in predicting SGA neonates. A model was developed for selecting the gestational age for third-trimester assessment, at 32 and/or 36 weeks, based on the results of screening at 19-24 weeks. RESULTS Significant independent contributions to the prediction of SGA < 5(th) were provided by maternal factors, fetal biometry, UtA-PI and serum PlGF and AFP. The detection rate (DR) of such combined screening at 19-24 weeks was 100%, 78% and 42% for SGA < 5(th) delivering < 32, at 32-36 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation, respectively, at a false-positive rate (FPR) of 10%. In a hypothetical model, it was estimated that if the desired objective of prenatal screening is to predict about 80% of the cases of SGA < 5(th) , it would be necessary to select 11% of the population at the 19-24-week assessment to be reassessed at 32 weeks and 44% to be reassessed at 36 weeks; 57% would not require a third-trimester scan. CONCLUSION Prenatal prediction of a high proportion of SGA neonates necessitates the undertaking of screening in the third trimester of pregnancy, in addition to assessment in the second trimester, and the timing of such screening, at 32 and/or 36 weeks, should be contingent on the results of the assessment at 19-24 weeks.
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Affiliation(s)
- L C Poon
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - C Lesmes
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - D M Gallo
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - R Akolekar
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
- Fetal Medicine Unit, Medway Maritime Hospital, Gillingham, Kent, UK
| | - K H Nicolaides
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
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21
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Lesmes C, Gallo DM, Gonzalez R, Poon LC, Nicolaides KH. Prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates: screening by maternal serum biochemical markers at 19-24 weeks. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2015; 46:341-349. [PMID: 25969963 DOI: 10.1002/uog.14899] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2015] [Revised: 05/05/2015] [Accepted: 05/07/2015] [Indexed: 06/04/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the value of maternal serum concentrations of placental growth factor (PlGF), soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1), pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A), free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) and α-fetoprotein (AFP) at 19-24 weeks' gestation, in combination with maternal factors and fetal biometry, in the prediction of delivery of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonates, in the absence of pre-eclampsia (PE) and examine the potential value of such assessment in deciding whether the third-trimester scan should be performed at 32 and/or 36 weeks' gestation. METHODS This was a screening study in 9715 singleton pregnancies, including 481 (5.0%) that delivered SGA neonates with birth weight < 5(th) percentile (SGA < 5(th) ), in the absence of PE. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine if screening by a combination of maternal factors, Z-scores of fetal head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length, and log10 multiples of the median (MoM) values of PlGF, sFlt-1, PAPP-A, free β-hCG or AFP had a significant contribution to the prediction of SGA neonates. A model was developed in selecting the gestational age for third-trimester assessment, at 32 and/or 36 weeks, based on the results of screening at 19-24 weeks. RESULTS Compared to the normal group, the mean log10 MoM value of PlGF was lower, AFP was higher and sFlt-1, PAPP-A and free β-hCG were not significantly different in the SGA < 5(th) group that delivered < 37 weeks. The detection rate (DR) of combined screening by maternal factors, fetal biometry and serum PlGF and AFP at 19-24 weeks was 100%, 76% and 38% for SGA < 5(th) delivering < 32, 32-36 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation, respectively, at a false-positive rate (FPR) of 10%. In a hypothetical model, it was estimated that, if the desired objective of prenatal screening is to predict about 80% of the cases of SGA < 5(th) , it would be necessary to select 11% of the population at the 19-24-week assessment to be reassessed at 32 weeks and 46% to be reassessed at 36 weeks; 54% would not require a third-trimester scan. CONCLUSION Prenatal prediction of a high proportion of SGA neonates necessitates the undertaking of screening in the third trimester of pregnancy, in addition to assessment in the second trimester, and the timing of such screening, at 32 and/or 36 weeks, should be contingent on the results of the assessment at 19-24 weeks.
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Affiliation(s)
- C Lesmes
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - D M Gallo
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - R Gonzalez
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - L C Poon
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - K H Nicolaides
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
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Fadigas C, Peeva G, Mendez O, Poon LC, Nicolaides KH. Prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates: screening by placental growth factor and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 at 35-37 weeks. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2015; 46:191-197. [PMID: 25825848 DOI: 10.1002/uog.14862] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2015] [Accepted: 03/25/2015] [Indexed: 06/04/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the potential value of maternal serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) at 35-37 weeks' gestation in the prediction of delivery of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonates, in the absence of pre-eclampsia (PE). METHODS This was a screening study in singleton pregnancies at 35-37 weeks, including 158 that delivered SGA neonates with birth weight < 5(th) percentile and 3701 cases unaffected by SGA, PE or gestational hypertension. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine if measuring serum levels of PlGF and sFlt-1 improved the prediction of delivery of SGA neonates provided by screening with maternal characteristics and medical history (maternal factors), and estimated fetal weight (EFW) from fetal head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length. RESULTS Compared to the normal group, the median PlGF multiples of the median (MoM) was significantly lower and the median sFlt-1 MoM was significantly higher in the SGA group. Combined screening by maternal factors and EFW at 35-37 weeks predicted, at 10% false-positive rate (FPR), 90%, 92% and 94% of SGA neonates with birth weight < 10(th), < 5(th) and < 3(rd) percentiles, respectively, delivering < 2 weeks following assessment; the respective values for SGA delivering ≥ 37 weeks were 66%, 73% and 80%. When PlGF and sFlt-1 were added to a model that combines maternal factors and EFW, sFlt-1 did not remain as a significant independent predictor of SGA < 5(th). Combined screening by maternal factors, EFW and serum PlGF, predicted, at a 10% FPR, 88%, 96% and 94% of SGA neonates with birth weight < 10(th), < 5(th) and < 3(rd) percentiles, respectively, delivering < 2 weeks following assessment and the respective values for SGA delivering ≥ 37 weeks were 64%, 75% and 80%. CONCLUSION sFlt-1 does not provide significant independent prediction of SGA, in the absence of PE, in addition to combined testing by maternal factors and fetal biometry at 35-37 weeks; whilst the addition of PlGF alone marginally improves the performance of screening.
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Affiliation(s)
- C Fadigas
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - G Peeva
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - O Mendez
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - L C Poon
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - K H Nicolaides
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
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Fadigas C, Guerra L, Garcia-Tizon Larroca S, Poon LC, Nicolaides KH. Prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates: screening by uterine artery Doppler and mean arterial pressure at 35-37 weeks. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2015; 45:715-721. [PMID: 25780898 DOI: 10.1002/uog.14847] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/23/2015] [Accepted: 03/09/2015] [Indexed: 06/04/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the potential value of uterine artery (UtA) pulsatility index (PI) and mean arterial pressure (MAP) at 35-37 weeks' gestation in the prediction of delivery of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonates, in the absence of pre-eclampsia (PE). METHODS This was a screening study in singleton pregnancies at 35-37 weeks, including 245 that delivered SGA neonates with birth weight < 5(th) percentile and 4876 cases unaffected by SGA, PE or gestational hypertension. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine if UtA-PI and MAP improved the prediction of SGA neonates provided by screening with maternal characteristics and medical history (maternal factors), and estimated fetal weight (EFW) from fetal head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length. RESULTS Compared to the normal group, the median multiple of the median (MoM) values of UtA-PI and MAP were significantly higher in the SGA < 5(th) group. Combined screening by maternal factors, EFW Z-score, UtA-PI and MAP at 35-37 weeks predicted, at a 10% false-positive rate, 90%, 86% and 90% of SGA neonates with birth weight < 10(th) , < 5(th) and < 3(rd) percentiles, respectively, delivering < 2 weeks following assessment; the respective values for SGA delivering ≥ 37 weeks were 66%, 74% and 80%. Such performance was not significantly different from screening by maternal factors and EFW Z-score alone. CONCLUSION Addition of UtA-PI and MAP to combined testing by maternal factors and fetal biometry at 35-37 weeks does not improve the performance of screening for delivery of SGA neonates.
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Affiliation(s)
- C Fadigas
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - L Guerra
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - S Garcia-Tizon Larroca
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - L C Poon
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - K H Nicolaides
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK
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Akolekar R, Sarno L, Wright A, Wright D, Nicolaides KH. Fetal middle cerebral artery and umbilical artery pulsatility index: effects of maternal characteristics and medical history. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2015; 45:402-408. [PMID: 25689937 DOI: 10.1002/uog.14824] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2015] [Accepted: 02/10/2015] [Indexed: 06/04/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To define the contribution of maternal variables which influence the measured fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA) and umbilical artery (UA) pulsatility index (PI) in the assessment of fetal wellbeing. METHODS Maternal characteristics and medical history were recorded and fetal MCA-PI and UA-PI (n = 36,818) were measured in women with singleton pregnancies attending a routine hospital visit at 30 + 0 to 37 + 6 weeks' gestation. For pregnancies delivering phenotypically normal live births or stillbirths ≥ 30 weeks' gestation, variables among maternal demographic characteristics and medical history that are important in the prediction of MCA-PI and UA-PI were determined by multiple linear regression analysis. RESULTS Significant independent contributions to MCA-PI were provided by gestational age at assessment, East Asian racial origin, being parous and birth-weight Z-score of the neonate of the previous pregnancy. Significant independent contributions to UA-PI were provided by gestational age at assessment, Afro-Caribbean, East Asian and mixed racial origin, cigarette smoking, being parous and birth-weight Z-score of the neonate of the previous pregnancy. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to define the contribution of maternal variables that influence the measured MCA-PI and UA-PI and express the values as multiples of the median (MoMs). The cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) MoM was calculated by dividing MCA-PI MoM by UA-PI MoM. The model was shown to provide an adequate fit of MoM values for all covariates, both in pregnancies that delivered small-for-gestational-age neonates and in those without this pregnancy complication. CONCLUSIONS A model was fitted to express MCA-PI, UA-PI and CPR as MoMs after adjusting for variables from maternal characteristics and medical history that affect this measurement.
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Affiliation(s)
- R Akolekar
- Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK; Fetal Medicine Unit, Medway Maritime Hospital, Gillingham, Kent, UK
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