Sonographic markers of fetal adiposity and risk of Cesarean delivery

Ensemble learning for fetal ultrasound and maternal-fetal data to predict mode of delivery after labor induction

Providing adequate counseling on mode of delivery after induction of labor (IOL) is of utmost importance. Various AI algorithms have been developed for this purpose, but rely on maternal-fetal data, not including ultrasound (US) imaging. We used retrospectively collected clinical data from 808 subjects submitted to IOL, totaling 2024 US images, to train AI models to predict vaginal delivery (VD) and cesarean section (CS) outcomes after IOL. The best overall model used only clinical data (F1-score: 0.736; positive predictive value (PPV): 0.734). The imaging models employed fetal head, abdomen and femur US images, showing limited discriminative results. The best model used femur images (F1-score: 0.594; PPV: 0.580). Consequently, we constructed ensemble models to test whether US imaging could enhance the clinical data model. The best ensemble model included clinical data and US femur images (F1-score: 0.689; PPV: 0.693), presenting a false positive and false negative interesting trade-off. The model accurately predicted CS on 4 additional cases, despite misclassifying 20 additional VD, resulting in a 6.0% decrease in average accuracy compared to the clinical data model. Hence, integrating US imaging into the latter model can be a new development in assisting mode of delivery counseling.

Respiratory morbidity among offspring misclassified as growth restricted

OBJECTIVE

An ultrasound-based diagnosis implies that some fetuses suspected to be growth-restricted (FGR) are discovered at birth to be appropriately grown (appropriate for gestational age [AGA] birth weight, between the 10th and 90th percentile). These fetuses may thus be exposed to unnecessary medical interventions, including early labor induction. In this study, we have evaluated the long-term respiratory health of offspring misclassified as FGR.

STUDY DESIGN

A population-based cohort analysis was conducted, including deliveries of AGA singletons between 1991 and 2021 at a tertiary referral hospital. Incidence of morbidity due to various respiratory conditions was compared between AGA offspring with prenatal diagnosis of FGR, and those without a false diagnosis of FGR. The Kaplan-Meier approach was used to estimate cumulative morbidity incidence. The stratified Cox proportional-hazards model was used to control for confounders.

RESULTS

A total of 324,620 deliveries of AGA newborns were included in the analyses; 3249 of them (1.0%) were misclassified prenatally as FGR. The FGR subgroup delivered at an earlier gestational age (36.7 vs. 39.1 weeks, p < .001) and had more than 25% higher incidence of respiratory-related morbidity during childhood (33.2% vs. 26.5%), specifically related to asthma and obstructive sleep apnea (p < .001 for all). A higher cumulative morbidity rate due to respiratory conditions was observed in the Kaplan-Meier survival curve (log-rank p value < .001). This association between FGR and respiratory morbidity was independent of preterm delivery, maternal age, cesarean delivery, and child's birth year (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.14, 95% confidence interval: 1.07-1.21, p < .001), using a Cox proportional hazards model.

CONCLUSION

AGA newborns misclassified as FGR, are at an increased risk for long-term respiratory morbidity during childhood and adolescence.

The effect of ultrasonographically measured fetal adipose tissue components on labor

AIM

To investigate whether increased fetal adiposity diagnosed ultrasonographical is associated with labor dystocia, and increased risk of operative delivery.

METHOD

This was a prospective study and included 400 pregnant women between 37 and 41 weeks of gestation. In addition to standard ultrasonographic measurements, we evaluated fetal soft tissue thickness before delivery. We also recorded data on delivery method, shoulder dystocia, fetal birthweight and labor duration. We considered the period between 6 and 10 cm cervical opening as the active phase, and the period from full dilation to birth as the second stage.

RESULTS

While the vaginal delivery rate was 77.3%, a cesarean was performed in 22.7% of pregnant women. We found a positive correlation between fetal adipose tissue components and durations of the active phase and second-stage labor and the baby's birthweight. Also, we examined and determined that cesarean section and labor dystocia increased as the fetus adipose tissue thickness increased. We investigated the effect of parameters on the study results with logistic regression analysis and possible threshold values with receiver operating characteristics analysis.

CONCLUSION

Our study evaluated the fetal adipose tissue complex during delivery was significant in terms of labor dystocia and operative delivery. We think it may be a guide for future studies in the literature.

Caesarean section delivery and childhood obesity in a British longitudinal cohort study

Background

Several studies reported an association between Caesarean section (CS) birth and childhood obesity. However, there are several limitations in the current literature. These include an inability to distinguish between planned and emergency CS, small study sample sizes and not adjusting for pre-pregnancy body-mass-index (BMI). We examined the association between CS delivery and childhood obesity using the United Kingdom Millennium Cohort Study (MCS).

Methods

Mother-infant pairs were recruited into the MCS. Use of sampling weights ensured the sample was representative of the population. The exposure was categorised as normal vaginal delivery (VD) [reference], assisted VD, planned CS and emergency CS. Childhood obesity prevalence, at age three, five, seven, eleven and fourteen years was calculated using the International Obesity Taskforce criteria. Mixed-effects linear regression models were fitted with associations adjusted for several potential confounders like maternal age, pre-pregnancy BMI, education and infant macrosomia. Linear regression models were fitted evaluating body fat percentage (BF%), at age seven and fourteen years.

Results

Of the 18,116 infants, 3872 (21.4%) were delivered by CS; 9.2% by planned CS. Obesity prevalence was 5.4%, 5.7%, 6.5%, 7.1% and 7.6% at age three, five, seven, eleven and fourteen years respectively. The mixed-effects linear regression model showed no association between planned (adjusted mean difference = 0.00; [95% confidence interval (CI) -0.10; 0.10], p-value = 0.97) or emergency CS (adjusted mean difference = 0.08; [95% CI -0.01; 0.17], p-value = 0.09) and child BMI. At age seven years, there was no association between planned CS and BF% (adjusted mean difference = 0.13; [95% CI -0.23; 0.49]); there was no association at age fourteen years.

Conclusions

Infants born by planned CS did not have a significantly higher BMI or BF% compared to those born by normal VD. This may suggest that the association, described in the literature, could be due to the indications/reasons for CS birth or residual confounding.