Transvaginal cervical length measurement for prediction of preterm birth in women with threatened preterm labor: a meta-analysis

Development and validation of a spontaneous preterm birth risk prediction algorithm based on maternal bioinformatics: A single-center retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) is a primary cause of adverse neonatal outcomes. The objective of this study is to analyze the factors influencing the occurrence of sPTB in pregnant women and to construct and validate a predictive model for sPTB risk based on big data from clinical and laboratory assessments during pregnancy.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 3,082 pregnant women, categorizing those who delivered before 37 weeks of gestation as the sPTB group and those who delivered at or after 37 weeks as the full-term group. The performance of five machine learning models was compared using metrics such as the AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and precision to identify the optimal predictive model. The top 10 predictive variables were selected based on their significance in disease prediction. The data were then divided into a training set (70%) and a validation set (30%) for validation. External data were also utilized to validate the model's predictive performance.

RESULTS

A total of 24 indicators with significant differences were identified. In terms of predicting the risk of preterm birth, the XGBoost algorithm demonstrated the most outstanding performance, with an AUCROC of 0.89 (95% CI: 0.88-0.90). The top 10 critical indicators included ALP, AFP, ALB, HCT, TC, DBP, ALT, PLT, height, and SBP, which are essential for constructing an accurate predictive model. The model exhibited stable performance on both the training and validation sets, with AUC values of 0.93 and 0.87, respectively. Furthermore, the external testing set also showed superior performance, with an AUC of 0.79.

CONCLUSIONS

At the time of delivery, ALP, AFP, ALB, HCT, TC, DBP, ALT, PLT, height, and SBP are influential factors for sPTB in pregnant women. The XGBoost algorithm, constructed based on these factors, demonstrated the most outstanding performance.

Developing a logistic regression model to predict spontaneous preterm birth from maternal socio-demographic and obstetric history at initial pregnancy registration

BACKGROUND

Current predictive machine learning techniques for spontaneous preterm birth heavily rely on a history of previous preterm birth and/or costly techniques such as fetal fibronectin and ultrasound measurement of cervical length to the disadvantage of those considered at low risk and/or those who have no access to more expensive screening tools.

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES

We aimed to develop a predictive model for spontaneous preterm delivery < 37 weeks using socio-demographic and clinical data readily available at booking -an approach which could be suitable for all women regardless of their previous obstetric history.

METHODS

We developed a logistic regression model using seven feature variables derived from maternal socio-demographic and obstetric history from a preterm birth (n = 917) and a matched full-term (n = 100) cohort in 2018 and 2020 at a tertiary obstetric unit in the UK. A three-fold cross-validation technique was applied with subsets for data training and testing in Python® (version 3.8) using the most predictive factors. The model performance was then compared to the previously published predictive algorithms.

RESULTS

The retrospective model showed good predictive accuracy with an AUC of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.71-0.83) for spontaneous preterm birth, with a sensitivity and specificity of 0.71 (95% CI: 0.66-0.76) and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.63-0.88) respectively based on seven variables: maternal age, BMI, ethnicity, smoking, gestational type, substance misuse and parity/obstetric history.

CONCLUSION

Pending further validation, our observations suggest that key maternal demographic features, incorporated into a traditional mathematical model, have promising predictive utility for spontaneous preterm birth in pregnant women in our region without the need for cervical length and/or fetal fibronectin.

Asymptomatic short cervix and threatened preterm labor: A comparative study on perinatal outcomes

OBJECTIVE

To determine the rate of delivery within 15 days of admission among patients with an asymptomatic short cervix (ASC) compared to those admitted for threatened preterm labor (TPL).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This retrospective study conducted in a tertiary maternity hospital, included patients with a singleton pregnancy admitted with a cervical length of less than 25 mm between 24 and 34 weeks. The population was divided into two groups, patients with ASC (i.e., with no contractions at admission) and patients with TPL. The primary outcome was the delivery rate within 15 days of admission. Secondary outcomes included gestational age at delivery, preterm delivery rate before 37°/7 weeks and before 34°/7 weeks, admission to delivery interval, 5 min Apgar score and transfer to neonatal intensive care unit rate. The characteristics of the two groups and the primary and secondary outcomes were compared between the two groups using univariate analysis. Two subgroup analysis were performed, one restricted to patients with a mildly modified CL (15 ≤ CL < 25 mm), and one excluding patients at high risk of preterm birth.

RESULTS

Among the 247 included patients, 136 (55.1 %) had TPL, and 111 (44.9 %) ASC. There were no significant differences in the rate of patient who delivered within 15 days of admission between the groups, 13.2 % in the TPL group vs 8.0 % in the ASC group (p = 0.22). Patients in the TPL group had a significantly higher frequency of delivery before 34 weeks compared to those in the ASC group (19.9 % versus 9.0 %, p = 0.02 This finding persisted in the subgroup analysis excluding patients at high risk of preterm birth (16.5 % in the TPL subgroup vs. 6.9 % in the ASC subgroup, p = 0.04). There were no significant differences in the rates of preterm delivery before 37 weeks, the admission-to-delivery interval, or neonatal outcomes between the two groups or within the subgroup analyses.

CONCLUSION

The frequency of delivery within 15 days of admission was not statistically different between patients with an asymptomatic short cervix and those with TPL. Nevertheless, these asymptomatic patients delivered significantly later and less frequently before 34 weeks, with only one in ten requiring corticosteroids.

Early Magnetic Resonance Imaging Measurements and Prediction of Second Trimester Pregnancy Loss: a Nomogram Model Analysis

Objective

To investigate the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features of women with prior second-trimester pregnancy loss, and to establish a nomogram prediction model for subsequent miscarriage.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study of women with prior second-trimester pregnancy loss from January 2018 to December 2021 in Second Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University was performed. A total of 245 patients were included. Data from January 2018 to December 2019 were used to construct the model, and data from January 2020 to December 2021 were used to evaluate the model. Data on maternal demographic characteristics, MRI cervical measurements were extracted. The prediction model was constructed with independent variables determined by multivariate logistic regression analyses. Through receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, the predictive ability of the model for subsequent second trimester pregnancy loss in women was evaluated, and internal validation was performed through validation data.

Results

Thin cervix was observed in 77 (31.42%) women with prior second-trimester pregnancy loss, the mean longitudinal diameter of cervical canal on MRI was 11.76±2.75mm. The model reached a sensitivity of 80%, specificity of 75.90%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 55.80% and negative predictive value of 90.90%; ROC characteristics proved that the model was superior to any single parameter with an AUC of 0.826.

Conclusion

Our observations showed that thin cervix and longitudinal diameter of cervical canal reliably predicted second trimester pregnancy loss. We developed and validated a nomogram model to predict the individual probability of second trimester pregnancy loss in the next pregnancy and hopefully improve the prediction and indication of interventions.

Cervical Length Ultrasound for the Evaluation of Preterm Labor: A Survey of National Use and Review of Evidence

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to survey national utilization of cervical length (CL) ultrasound on labor and delivery (L&D) for the evaluation of preterm labor (PTL) and identify provider attitudes and barriers to utilization.

STUDY DESIGN

Survey was emailed to Obstetrics and Gynecology Residency and Maternal-Fetal Medicine Fellowship program and advertised via links on obstetric-related Facebook interest groups. The survey was open from August 4, 2020 to January 4, 2021. Characteristics between respondents who did and did not report the use of CL ultrasound for PTL evaluation were compared with chi-square analysis.

RESULTS

There were 214 respondents across 42 states. One hundred and thirty-four respondents (63%) reported any use of CL in the evaluation of PTL and eighty (37%) denied it. There was a significant difference in practice location, practice type, delivery volume, and region between those who did and did not utilize CL ultrasound on L&D. Those who did use CL ultrasound were more likely to report no barriers to use (40 vs. 4%, p < 0.001). The most common barriers involved the availability of transvaginal ultrasound (31%), sterilization of transvaginal ultrasound probe (32%), limited availability of persons able to perform/interpret CL imaging (38%). Nineteen percent believed CL ultrasound had little/no utility in clinical practice. Those who did not use CL ultrasound in the evaluation of PTL were significantly more likely to report the feeling that there was little/no utility of CL ultrasound in clinical practice (37 vs. 7%, p < 0.001) and to report transvaginal ultrasound availability as barriers to use (63 vs. 12%, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

CL ultrasound is used nationally in PTL evaluation. However, significant barriers limit widespread adoption. These barriers can be addressed through the dissemination of information and practice guidelines, addition of CL ultrasound education in residency training and through CME opportunities after training, and providing support/resources/access for those looking to add this tool to their practice environment.

KEY POINTS

· In a national survey, 63% of obstetricians endorsed any use of cervical length (CL) ultrasound for preterm labor evaluation on labor and delivery.. · The most common barriers involved the availability of transvaginal ultrasound (31%), sterilization of transvaginal ultrasound probe (32%), limited availability of persons able to perform/interpret CL imaging (38%).. · Those who did not use CL ultrasound in the evaluation of PTL were significantly more likely to report the feeling that there was little/no utility of CL ultrasound in clinical practice and to report transvaginal ultrasound availability as barriers to utilization.. · Barriers to utilization of CL ultrasound for preterm labor evaluation can be addressed through practice guidelines, ultrasound education, and support for equipment/training necessary for use..

Predicting preterm birth within 2 weeks in asymptomatic women with a short cervix: Combined effects of cervicovaginal fluid cytokine levels and fetal fibronectin test

AIMS

To predict preterm birth (PTB) accurately, we conducted a comprehensive cytokine assay using cervicovaginal fluid (CVF) and evaluated the additive effects of cytokine levels on the fetal fibronectin (fFN) test.

METHODS

A total of 645 CVF samples were collected from 256 asymptomatic pregnant women between 24 and 35 weeks gestation, exhibiting short cervix. After selection based on specific criteria, 17 cytokines in 105 CVF samples were simultaneously measured using multiplex assay. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association between cytokine levels and impending PTB, which is defined as PTB within 2 weeks after CVF collection. Moreover, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed in women with positive fFN results, which was validated using another set of 65 CVF samples.

RESULTS

In positive fFN women, the CCL2 level was significantly higher in the impending PTB group than the other group (p < 0.01) and a predictor of impending PTB (adjusted odds ratio 1.020, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.003-1.038, p = 0.020). The cutoff value of CCL2 was 64.8 pg/mL (are under the curve 0.726, p = 0.004, 95% CI 0.593-0.859, sensitivity 45.2%, specificity 91.7%). Additionally, the reliable classification performance of proposed ROC model could be validated. However, measuring cytokine levels could not help in predicting impending PTB in women with negative fFN or normal labor onset in healthy-term women.

CONCLUSION

Comprehensive analysis of CVF cytokines revealed that the CCL2 level significantly improves the prediction of impending PTB in asymptomatic fFN-positive women with a short cervix, which may contribute to better clinical management.

Preterm Birth: Screening and Prediction

Preterm birth (PTB) affects approximately 10% of births globally each year and is the most significant direct cause of neonatal death and of long-term disability worldwide. Early identification of women at high risk of PTB is important, given the availability of evidence-based, effective screening modalities, which facilitate decision-making on preventative strategies, particularly transvaginal sonographic cervical length (CL) measurement. There is growing evidence that combining CL with quantitative fetal fibronectin (qfFN) and maternal risk factors in the extensively peer-reviewed and validated QUanititative Innovation in Predicting Preterm birth (QUiPP) application can aid both the triage of patients who present as emergencies with symptoms of preterm labor and high-risk asymptomatic women attending PTB surveillance clinics. The QUiPP app risk of delivery thus supports shared decision-making with patients on the need for increased outpatient surveillance, in-patient treatment for preterm labor or simply reassurance for those unlikely to deliver preterm. Effective triage of patients at preterm gestations is an obstetric clinical priority as correctly timed administration of antenatal corticosteroids will maximise their neonatal benefits. This review explores the predictive capacity of existing predictive tests for PTB in both singleton and multiple pregnancies, including the QUiPP app v.2. and discusses promising new research areas, which aim to predict PTB through cervical stiffness and elastography measurements, metabolomics, extracellular vesicles and artificial intelligence.

Management of preterm labor: Clinical practice guideline and recommendation by the WAPM-World Association of Perinatal Medicine and the PMF-Perinatal Medicine Foundation

This practice guideline follows the mission of the World Association of Perinatal Medicine in collaboration with the Perinatal Medicine Foundation, bringing together groups and individuals throughout the world, with the goal of improving the management of preterm labor. In fact, this document provides further guidance for healthcare practitioners on the appropriate use of examinations with the aim to improve the accuracy in diagnosing preterm labor and allow timely and appropriate administration of tocolytics, antenatal corticosteroids and magnesium sulphate and avoid unnecessary or excessive interventions. Therefore, it is not intended to establish a legal standard of care. This document is based on consensus among perinatal experts throughout the world in the light of scientific literature and serves as a guideline for use in clinical practice.

Predicting preterm birth using machine learning techniques in oral microbiome

Preterm birth prediction is essential for improving neonatal outcomes. While many machine learning techniques have been applied to predict preterm birth using health records, inflammatory markers, and vaginal microbiome data, the role of prenatal oral microbiome remains unclear. This study aimed to compare oral microbiome compositions between a preterm and a full-term birth group, identify oral microbiome associated with preterm birth, and develop a preterm birth prediction model using machine learning of oral microbiome compositions. Participants included singleton pregnant women admitted to Jeonbuk National University Hospital between 2019 and 2021. Subjects were divided into a preterm and a full-term birth group based on pregnancy outcomes. Oral microbiome samples were collected using mouthwash within 24 h before delivery and 16S ribosomal RNA sequencing was performed to analyze taxonomy. Differentially abundant taxa were identified using DESeq2. A random forest classifier was applied to predict preterm birth based on the oral microbiome. A total of 59 women participated in this study, with 30 in the preterm birth group and 29 in the full-term birth group. There was no significant difference in maternal clinical characteristics between the preterm and the full-birth group. Twenty-five differentially abundant taxa were identified, including 22 full-term birth-enriched taxa and 3 preterm birth-enriched taxa. The random forest classifier achieved high balanced accuracies (0.765 ± 0.071) using the 9 most important taxa. Our study identified 25 differentially abundant taxa that could differentiate preterm and full-term birth groups. A preterm birth prediction model was developed using machine learning of oral microbiome compositions in mouthwash samples. Findings of this study suggest the potential of using oral microbiome for predicting preterm birth. Further multi-center and larger studies are required to validate our results before clinical applications.

Outperformance of interleukin-6 over placental alpha microglobulin-1 in predicting preterm delivery in symptomatic women

BACKGROUND

Threatened preterm labor is the major cause of hospital admission during the second half of pregnancy. An early diagnosis is crucial for adopting pharmacologic measures to reduce perinatal mortality and morbidity. Current diagnostic criteria are based on symptoms and short cervical length. However, there is a high false-positive rate when using these criteria, which implies overtreatment, causing unnecessary side effects and an avoidable economic burden.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to compare the use of placental alpha microglobulin-1 and interleukin-6 as vaginal biomarkers combined with cervical length and other maternal characteristics to improve the prediction of preterm delivery in symptomatic women.

STUDY DESIGN

A prospective observational study was conducted in women with singleton pregnancies complicated by threatened preterm labor with intact membranes at 24+0 to 34+6 weeks of gestation. A total of 136 women were included in this study. Vaginal fluid was collected with a swab for placental alpha microglobulin-1 determination using the PartoSure test, interleukin-6 was assessed by electrochemiluminescence immunoassay, cervical length was measured by transvaginal ultrasound, and obstetrical variables and newborn details were retrieved from clinical records. These characteristics were used to fit univariate binary logistic regression models to predict time to delivery <7 days, time to delivery <14 days, gestational age at delivery ≤34 weeks, and gestational age at delivery ≤37 weeks, and multivariate binary logistic regression models were fitted with imbalanced and balanced data. Performance of models was assessed by their F2-scores and other metrics, and the association of their variables with a risk or a protective factor was studied.

RESULTS

A total of 136 women were recruited, of whom 8 were lost to follow-up and 7 were excluded. Of the remaining 121 patients, 22 had a time to delivery <7 days and 31 had a time to delivery <14 days, and 30 deliveries occurred with a gestational age at delivery ≤34 weeks and 55 with a gestational age at delivery ≤37 weeks. Univariate binary logistic regression models fitted with the log transformation of interleukin-6 showed the greatest F2-scores in most studies, which outperformed those of models fitted with placental alpha microglobulin-1 (log[interleukin-6] vs placental alpha microglobulin-1 in time to delivery <7 days: 0.38 vs 0.30; time to delivery <14 days: 0.58 vs 0.29; gestational age at delivery ≤34 weeks: 0.56 vs 0.29; gestational age at delivery ≤37 weeks: 0.61 vs 0.16). Multivariate logistic regression models fitted with imbalanced data sets outperformed most univariate models (F2-score in time to delivery <7 days: 0.63; time to delivery <14 days: 0.54; gestational age at delivery ≤34 weeks: 0.62; gestational age at delivery ≤37 weeks: 0.73). The performance of prediction of multivariate models was drastically improved when data sets were balanced, and was maximum for time to delivery <7 days (F2-score: 0.88±0.2; positive predictive value: 0.86±0.02; negative predictive value: 0.89±0.03).

CONCLUSION

A multivariate assessment including interleukin-6 may lead to more targeted treatment, thus reducing unnecessary hospitalization and avoiding unnecessary maternal-fetal treatment.

Benefits of Premaquick® Combined Detection of IL-6/Total IGFBP-1/Native IGFBP-1 to Predict Preterm Delivery

We conducted a prospective double-blind study to compare two vaginal diagnostic methods in singleton pregnancies with threatened preterm labor (TPL) at the University Hospital of Clermont-Ferrand (France) from August 2018 to December 2020. Our main objective was to compare the diagnostic capacity at admission, in terms of positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV), of Premaquick® (combined detection of IL-6/total IGFBP-1/native IGFBP-1) and QuikCheck fFN™ (fetal fibronectin) for delivery within 7 days in cases of TPL. We included 193 patients. Premaquick® had a sensitivity close to 89%, equivalent to QuikCheck fFN™, but a higher statistical specificity of 49.5% against 38.6% for QuikCheck fFN™. We found no superiority of Premaquick® over QuickCheck fFN™ in terms of PPV (6.6% vs. 7.9%), with NPV being equivalent in predicting childbirth within 7 days in cases of TPL (98.6% vs. 98.9%). Nevertheless, the combination of positive native and total IGFBP-1 and the combination of all three positive markers were associated with a higher PPV. Our results, though non-significant, support this combined multiple-biomarker approach to improve testing in terms of predictive values.

A nomogram to optimize the timing of antenatal corticosteroids in threatened preterm delivery

BACKGROUND

Recent observational studies reported a high rate of suboptimal use of antenatal corticosteroids (too anticipated or retrospectively not indicated) for women at risk of preterm delivery despite a recommended use within 7 days before delivery.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to elaborate a nomogram aiming at optimizing the timing of administration of antenatal corticosteroids in case of threatened preterm labor, asymptomatic short cervix, or uterine contractions.

STUDY DESIGN

This was an observational retrospective study conducted in a tertiary hospital. All women between 24 and 34 weeks of gestation who received corticosteroids during hospitalization for threatened preterm delivery, asymptomatic short cervix, or uterine contractions requiring tocolysis between 2015 and 2019 were included. Clinical, biological, and sonographic data of women were used to construct logistic regression models for predicting delivery within 7 days. The model was validated on an independent series of women hospitalized in 2020.

RESULTS

Among the 1343 women included in this study, the risk factors independently associated with a delivery within 7 days in multivariate analysis were vaginal bleeding (odds ratio, 14.47; 95% confidence interval, 7.81-26.81; P<.001); need for a second-line tocolysis, such as atosiban (odds ratio, 5.66; 95% confidence interval, 3.39-9.45; P<.001); C-reactive protein level (per 1 mg/L increase; odds ratio, 1.03; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.04; P<.001); cervical length (per 1 mm increase; odds ratio, 0.84; 95% confidence interval, 0.82-0.87; P<.001); uterine scar (odds ratio, 2.98; 95% confidence interval, 1.33-6.65; P=.008), and gestational age at admission (per week of amenorrhea increase; odds ratio, 1.10; 95% confidence interval, 1.00-1.20; P=.041). Based on these results, a nomogram was developed that, in retrospect, would have allowed physicians to avoid or delay antenatal corticosteroids in 57% of cases in our population. The discrimination of the predictive model was good when applied to the validation set of 232 women hospitalized in 2020. It would have enabled physicians to avoid or delay antenatal corticosteroids in 52% of cases.

CONCLUSION

This study developed a simple use, accurate prognostic score to identify women at risk of delivery within 7 days in cases of threatened preterm delivery, asymptomatic short cervix, or uterine contractions and thereby optimized the use of antenatal corticosteroids.

[Pelvic exam in gynecology and obstetrics: Guidelines for clinical practice]

OBJECTIVE

To provide guidelines for the pelvic clinical exam in gynecology and obstetrics.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A multidisciplinary experts consensus committee of 45 experts was formed, including representatives of patients' associations and users of the health system. The entire guidelines process was conducted independently of any funding. The authors were advised to follow the rules of the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE®) system to guide assessment of quality of evidence. The potential drawbacks of making strong recommendations in the presence of low-quality evidence were emphasized.

METHODS

The committee studied 40 questions within 4 fields for symptomatic or asymptomatic women (emergency conditions, gynecological consultation, gynecological diseases, obstetrics, and pregnancy). Each question was formulated in a PICO (Patients, Intervention, Comparison, Outcome) format and the evidence profiles were produced. The literature review and recommendations were made according to the GRADE® methodology.

RESULTS

The experts' synthesis work and the application of the GRADE method resulted in 27 recommendations. Among the formalized recommendations, 17 present a strong agreement, 7 a weak agreement and 3 an expert consensus agreement. Thirteen questions resulted in an absence of recommendation due to lack of evidence in the literature.

CONCLUSIONS

The need to perform clinical examination in gynecological and obstetrics patients was specified in 27 pre-defined situations based on scientific evidence. More research is required to investigate the benefit in other cases.

Differences in the anatomical structure of the uterus between fertile and infertile individuals

Infertility affects a significant portion of the reproductive population and is caused by structural and hormonal factors. The prevalence of congenital uterine anomalies is 3%-4%, with the most common anomaly being septate uterus. However, further research is needed to determine whether these anomalies can cause infertility. In this study, we compared the morphometric parameters of the uterus of fertile and infertile individuals. Based on the data obtained, we aimed to determine the parameters to be evaluated for fertility prediction and to investigate the effect of uterine septum on fertility. The uteruses of 55 infertile and 80 fertile individuals between the age range of 20-45 years were analyzed retrospectively using magnetic resonance images. Infertile individuals were categorized into two groups according to the reasons for infertility: Group I, which included women with congenital uterine anomalies (septate uterus), and Group II, which included women with tubal and male factors. Group III comprised fertile individuals. Uterine length (UL), uterine body length (UbL), cervical length (CxL), uterine cavity length (UcL), anteroposterior diameter (APD), transverse diameter (TD), fundal thickness (FT), and ostial distance (OD) were measured. The uterine positions were examined. The data of uterine variables were evaluated statistically according to age and groups. The mean ages of individuals in Groups I, II, and III were 29.88 ± 6.69, 29.21 ± 4.59, and 27.45 ± 5.43 years, respectively. Significant differences were observed between the groups in terms of UL, UbL, CxL, UcL, APD, FT, and OD variables (p < 0.05), except for TD (p > 0.05). We observed that UL, UcL, length/width ratio, and APD parameters are important factors that influence fertility. Evaluating these parameters before septum resection would be useful in predicting the contribution of this surgical operation to fertility.

Cervical length screening for predicting preterm birth: A comparative review of guidelines

A cervical length (CL) assessment may predict preterm birth (PTB). This study aimed to analyze and compare the recommendations of guidelines on the role of CL in the prediction of PTB. There is no consensus regarding universal screening of asymptomatic women without a history of prior spontaneous PTB (sPTB), using CL. On the other hand, CL assessment is recommended in cases with a history of sPTB due to the high recurrence rate. Finally, there is discrepancy regarding CL assessment in asymptomatic women with multiple pregnancy. Although far from perfect, CL measurement remains the best available method to predict PTB.

Transperineal ultrasound in routine uterine cervix measurement

PURPOSE

Transvaginal ultrasound (TVUS) is used in routine practice to evaluate cervical length (CL). This technique is nevertheless invasive and often viewed as uncomfortable, which is less the case with transperineal ultrasound (TPUS). This study was conducted in light of recent technological improvements in the ultrasound field to evaluate whether TPUS could be used as an alternative to TVUS in CL assessment.

METHODS

This was a prospective single-blind study. Pregnant women requiring CL measurement during their emergency consultation were offered a second assessment by TPUS after an initial TVUS. TPUS was performed by a third-year OBGYN resident, unaware of the CL measurement obtained via TVUS.

RESULTS

Seventy-three women were included. The mean ∂ was 0.59 mm. The interclass Pearson correlation coefficient between the two techniques was 0.8987 (95% CI [0.8429; 0.9353]). None of the tested factors were found to be associated with a difference between TPUS and TVUS CL measurements. ROC curve analysis indicated that a transperineal CL cut-off measurement of 24.9 mm was predictive of a transvaginal CL measurement below 25 mm. This threshold enabled a 95% sensitivity [75.1-99.9%] and a 100% specificity [93.3-100%] for the TPUS CL measurement technique.

CONCLUSION

TPUS should be acknowledged as a reliable alternative to TVUS for CL assessment in routine every day practice.

Predicting preterm births from electrohysterogram recordings via deep learning

About one in ten babies is born preterm, i.e., before completing 37 weeks of gestation, which can result in permanent neurologic deficit and is a leading cause of child mortality. Although imminent preterm labor can be detected, predicting preterm births more than one week in advance remains elusive. Here, we develop a deep learning method to predict preterm births directly from electrohysterogram (EHG) measurements of pregnant mothers recorded at around 31 weeks of gestation. We developed a prediction model, which includes a recurrent neural network, to predict preterm births using short-time Fourier transforms of EHG recordings and clinical information from two public datasets. We predicted preterm births with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.78 (95% confidence interval: 0.76-0.80). Moreover, we found that the spectral patterns of the measurements were more predictive than the temporal patterns, suggesting that preterm births can be predicted from short EHG recordings in an automated process. We show that preterm births can be predicted for pregnant mothers around their 31st week of gestation, prompting beneficial treatments to reduce the incidence of preterm births and improve their outcomes.

The use of fetal fibronectin and cervical length measurements in the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth in women with an Arabin pessary in situ

OBJECTIVES

The ability to predict spontaneous PTB (sPTB) has improved greatly, allowing women at risk to be managed with prophylactic interventions such as cervical cerclage and the Arabin pessary. Cervicovaginal fetal fibronectin (qfFN) concentration and ultrasound measurement of cervical length (CL) are the two most established tools to predict sPTB. There is however limited data regarding the predictive value of qfFN and CL tests following insertion of an Arabin pessary. Our aim was therefore to determine the clinical use of qfFN and CL measurements to predict sPTB in women fitted with an Arabin pessary.

STUDY DESIGN

This study is a secondary analysis on the SUPPORT trial data. Data were prospectively collected from women attending high-risk preterm surveillance clinics in 3 London centres between July 2015 and April 2020. The matched control group was pregnant women attending the same high-risk preterm surveillance clinics who had not received an Arabin pessary. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for prediction of birth by 34 and by 37 weeks' gestation were generated for qfFN and CL measurements combined for both study groups. A formal comparison of area under the curve before 34 weeks' gestation (AUC < 34 weeks) was made between the two study groups.

RESULTS

At our primary endpoint of sPTB < 34 weeks' gestation, qfFN was a good predictor of sPTB in cases with an Arabin pessary in situ (AUC, 0.79, 95% CI: 0.62-0.90) and no worse than the control group who did not have an Arabin pessary, (AUC 0.74, 95% CI: 0.48-0.96). CL had good prediction for sPTB < 34 weeks' gestation in the control group (AUC 0.76, 95% CI: 0.63-0.88) but was lower and non-significant in the Arabin pessary case group (AUC 0.60, 95% CI: 0.43-0.76).

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that cervicovaginal qfFN concentration is equally reliable in the prediction of sPTB in pregnant women at increased risk of sPTB with and without an Arabin pessary in situ, and significantly better than CL measurement alone for predicting delivery before 34 weeks. This commonly used test therefore has utility in predicting sPTB in pregnant women fitted with an Arabin pessary.

The evaluation of maternal systemic thiol/disulphide homeostasis for the short-term prediction of preterm birth in women with threatened preterm labour: a pilot study

The aim of this study was to investigate maternal systemic thiol/disulphide homeostasis (TDH) for the short-term prediction of preterm birth in women with threatened preterm labour (TPL). This prospective study included 75 pregnant women whose pregnancies were complicated by TPL. Thirty-seven of them delivered within 7 days and 38 of them delivered beyond 7 days. Maternal serum samples were collected at the day of diagnosis and the TDH was measured. The maternal disulphide level was significantly higher in pregnant women who delivered within 7 days (25.0 ± 9.8 μmol/L vs 19.4 ± 9.8 μmol/L, p: .015). The threshold value of 22.1 μmol/L for maternal disulphide level predicted delivery within 7 days with 62.2% sensitivity and 60.5% specificity (area under curve 0.651, confidence interval 0.53-0.78). The likelihood ratios for short cervix (≤25 mm) and maternal disulphide level (≥22 μmol/L) to predict delivery within 7 days was found to be 8.7 and 7.3, respectively. The likelihood ratio of combining two tests to predict delivery within 7 days was found to be 11.4. The maternal TDH, which is an indicator of oxidative stress status in maternal compartment, is disturbed in TPL cases who delivered within 7 days. Elevated maternal disulphide level along with cervical length screening predicts a short latency period in pregnancies with TPL. IMPACT STATEMENTWhat is already known on this subject? Spontaneous preterm delivery is one of the major complication of pregnancy and the common cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality. Threatened preterm labour (TPL) is also a frequent complaint in obstetric emergency care units in all around the world. Triaging women with TPL is mandatory for planning further management therapies, since the most of them will eventually deliver at term. Only the measurement of cervical length in symptomatic women has moderate accuracy in predicting preterm delivery. Short cervix is described as an independent predictor of preterm delivery in women with TPL, its predictive accuracy as a single measurement is relatively limited. On this account, several potential markers like foetal fibronectin in the cervicovaginal fluid, salivary oestriol, prolactin in vaginal discharge, maternal serum calponin and interleukin-6 in the amniotic fluid were examined to predict preterm delivery in previous studies. However, none of them represented an excessive predictive accuracy like high sensitivity, PPV or NPV.What do the results of this study add? We report a method which has higher diagnostic and predictive performance to identifying TPL women with high risk of preterm delivery. According to the current literature, there are accumulated data about the correlation between oxidative stress (OS) and preterm delivery regardless of the amniotic membrane status. However, it is still debated whether OS is a trigger or a consequence of preterm delivery. Our study provides evidence for the first time that maternal serum thiol/disulphide homeostasis, which is an indicator of OS in maternal compartment, is disturbed in TPL cases who delivered within 7 days. The high disulphide level in maternal serum, along with cervical length measurement (short cervix) accurately predicts a short latency period in TPL cases.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? This novel test combination (maternal serum disulphide level and cervical length measurement) could be used clinically to triage pregnant women presenting with TPL, avoiding overtreatment, unnecessary hospitalisations and increased medical costs. The future research would be addressed on reducing maternal OS by using new antioxidant treatment strategies to improve perinatal and long-term childhood outcomes.

Prediction of preterm delivery in threatened preterm labour with short cervical length

In this study, we evaluated the value of the uterocervical angle (UCA), myometrial thickness (MT), sICAM-1, sVCAM-1, soluble E-selectin (sE-selectin) and pentraxin 3 (PTX3) levels in women with threatened preterm labour (TPL) in predicting spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) within 14 days in symptomatic women with cervical length (CL) measurements between 10 and 25 mm. Forty-six patients diagnosed with TPL, 47 healthy pregnant women were evaluated in a case-control study. sE-selectin (AUC = 0.744, p = .007) and PTX3 (AUC = 0.711, p = .019) were found to be effective in predicting preterm delivery within 14 days. In conclusion, maternal sE-selectin and PTX3 levels may be helpful in identifying pregnancies that will deliver within 14 days in symptomatic women with CL measurements between 10 and 25 mm. However, maternal sICAM-1 and sVCAM-1 levels, MT and UCA are not effective in the prediction of sPTB in TPL pregnancies. Impact StatementWhat is already known on this subject? Aetiology of spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) is unclear and believed to be multifactorial, infection, inflammation, vascular endothelial dysfunction and uteroplacental ischaemia are all considered to be related to preterm delivery syndrome. Transvaginal cervical length (CL) measurement is a good indicator of increased risk of sPTB. Inflammation is accepted to have a central role in the process of labour.What do the results of this study add? soluble E-selectin (sE-selectin) and pentraxin 3 (PTX3) levels may be helpful in identifying pregnancies that will deliver within 14 days in symptomatic women with CL measurements between 10 and 25 mm.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? This study will help understand the important role of the inflammatory process in predicting spontaneous preterm birth.

The use of PAMG-1 testing in patients with preterm labor, intact membranes and a short sonographic cervix reduces the rate of unnecessary antenatal glucocorticoid administration

OBJECTIVES

To assess the frequency of antenatal corticosteroid (ACS) administration in cases with shortened cervical length by addition of placental alpha-microglobulin-1 (PAMG-1) testing to sonographic examination.

METHODS

Single centre retrospective cohort study. Rate of ACS administration was compared between cases with cervical length between 15 and 25 mm and cases with positive PAMG-1 testing and cervical length between 15 and 25 mm. We evaluated the following outcome parameters: Rate of ACS administration, gestational age at delivery, time to delivery, delivery within seven days, delivery <34 and <37 weeks' gestation, rate of admission to neonatal intensive care unit (NICU).

RESULTS

In total, 130 cases were included. "PAMG-1 group" consisted of 68 women, 62 cases built the "historical control group". ACS administration was performed less frequently in the "PAMG-1 cohort" (18 (26%) vs. 46 (74%); p<0.001). The rate of delivery within seven days did not differ (2 (3%) vs. 4 (6.5%); p=0.4239). The rates of delivery <34 weeks' gestation (7 (10%) vs. 9 (15%); p=0.4643) and <37 weeks' gestation (19 (28%) vs. 26 (42%); p=0.0939) did not differ. Time to delivery interval was longer in the PAMG-1 group (61.5 vs. 43 days, p=0.0117). NICU admission occurred more often in the "historical control group" (22 (38%) vs. 28 (60%); p=0.0272).

CONCLUSIONS

Addition of biomarker testing can help to avoid unnecessary ACS administrations in women with shortened cervical length.

Change in cervical length after arrested preterm labor and risk of preterm birth

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association between preterm birth and cervical length after arrested preterm labor in high-risk pregnant women.

METHODS

In this post-hoc analysis of a randomized clinical trial, transvaginal cervical length was measured in women whose contractions had ceased 48 h after admission for threatened preterm labor. At admission, women were defined as having a high risk of preterm birth based on a cervical length of < 15 mm or a cervical length of 15-30 mm with a positive fetal fibronectin test. Logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the association of cervical length measured at least 48 h after admission and of the change in cervical length between admission and at least 48 h later, with preterm birth before 34 weeks' gestation and delivery within 7 days after admission.

RESULTS

A total of 164 women were included in the analysis. Women whose cervical length increased between admission for threatened preterm labor and 48 h later (32%; n = 53) were found to have a lower risk of preterm birth before 34 weeks compared with women whose cervical length did not change (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 0.24 (95% CI, 0.09-0.69)). The risk in women with a decrease in cervical length between the two timepoints was not different from that in women with no change in cervical length (aOR, 1.45 (95% CI, 0.62-3.41)). Moreover, greater absolute cervical length after 48 h was associated with a lower risk of preterm birth before 34 weeks (aOR, 0.90 (95% CI, 0.84-0.96)) and delivery within 7 days after admission (aOR, 0.91 (95% CI, 0.82-1.02)). Sensitivity analysis in women randomized to receive no intervention showed comparable results.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests that the risk of preterm birth before 34 weeks is lower in women whose cervical length increases between admission for threatened preterm labor and at least 48 h later when contractions had ceased compared with women in whom cervical length does not change or decreases. © 2021 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Prediction of Spontaneous Preterm Birth in At-risk Women Using Thrombospondin 1 from Cervicovaginal Fluid: A Prospective Observational Study

Introduction Thrombospondin 1, desmoplakin and stratifin are putative biomarkers for the prediction of preterm birth. This study aimed to validate the predictive capability of these biomarkers in patients at risk of preterm birth.

Materials and Methods We included 109 women with symptoms of threatened spontaneous preterm birth between weeks 20 0/7 and 31 6/7 of gestation. Inclusion criteria were uterine contractions, cervical length of less than 25 mm, or a personal history of spontaneous preterm birth. Multiple gestations were also included. Samples of cervicovaginal fluid were taken before performing a digital examination and transvaginal ultrasound. Levels of cervicovaginal thrombospondin 1, desmoplakin and stratifin were quantified by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. The primary endpoint was spontaneous preterm birth before 34 + 0 weeks of gestation.

Results Sixteen women (14.7%) delivered before 34 + 0 weeks. Median levels of thrombospondin 1 were higher in samples where birth occurred before 34 weeks vs. ≥ 34 weeks of gestation (4904 vs. 469 pg/mL, p < 0.001). Receiver operator characteristics analysis resulted in an area under the curve of 0.86 (p < 0.0001). At an optimal cut-off value of 2163 pg/mL, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value were 0.94, 0.77, 0.42 and 0.99, respectively, with an adjusted odds ratio of 32.9 (95% CI: 3.1 – 345, p = 0.004). Multiple gestation, cervical length, and preterm labor had no impact on the results. Survival analysis revealed a predictive period of more than eight weeks. Levels of desmoplakin and stratifin did not differ between groups.

Conclusion Thrombospondin 1 allowed long-term risk estimation of spontaneous preterm birth.

Evaluating the use of the QUiPP app and its impact on the management of threatened preterm labour: A cluster randomised trial

BACKGROUND

Preterm delivery (before 37 weeks of gestation) is the single most important contributor to neonatal death and morbidity, with lifelong repercussions. However, the majority of women who present with preterm labour (PTL) symptoms do not deliver imminently. Accurate prediction of PTL is needed in order ensure correct management of those most at risk of preterm birth (PTB) and to prevent the maternal and fetal risks incurred by unnecessary interventions given to the majority. The QUantitative Innovation in Predicting Preterm birth (QUIPP) app aims to support clinical decision-making about women in threatened preterm labour (TPTL) by combining quantitative fetal fibronectin (qfFN) values, cervical length (CL), and significant PTB risk factors to create an individualised percentage risk of delivery.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

EQUIPTT was a multi-centre cluster randomised controlled trial (RCT) involving 13 maternity units in South and Eastern England (United Kingdom) between March 2018 and February 2019. Pregnant women (n = 1,872) between 23+0 and 34+6 weeks' gestation with symptoms of PTL in the analysis period were assigned to either the intervention (762) or control (1,111). The mean age of the study population was 30.2 (+/- SD 5.93). A total of 56.0% were white, 19.6% were black, 14.2% were Asian, and 10.2% were of other ethnicities. The intervention was the use of the QUiPP app with admission, antenatal corticosteroids (ACSs), and transfer advised for women with a QUiPP risk of delivery >5% within 7 days. Control sites continued with their conventional management of TPTL. Unnecessary management for TPTL was a composite primary outcome defined by the sum of unnecessary admission decisions (admitted and delivery interval >7 days or not admitted and delivery interval ≤7 days) and the number of unnecessary in utero transfer (IUT) decisions/actions (IUT that occurred or were attempted >7 days prior to delivery) and ex utero transfers (EUTs) that should have been in utero (attempted and not attempted). Unnecessary management of TPTL was 11.3% (84/741) at the intervention sites versus 11.5% (126/1094) at control sites (odds ratio [OR] 0.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.66-1.42, p = 0.883). Control sites frequently used qfFN and did not follow UK national guidance, which recommends routine treatment below 30 weeks without testing. Unnecessary management largely consisted of unnecessary admissions which were similar at intervention and control sites (10.7% versus 10.8% of all visits). In terms of adverse outcomes for women in TPTL <36 weeks, 4 women from the intervention sites and 12 from the control sites did not receive recommended management. If the QUiPP percentage risk was used as per protocol, unnecessary management would have been 7.4% (43/578) versus 9.9% (134/1,351) (OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.45-1.16). Our external validation of the QUiPP app confirmed that it was highly predictive of delivery in 7 days; receiver operating curve area was 0.90 (95% CI 0.85-0.95) for symptomatic women. Study limitations included a lack of compliance with national guidance at the control sites and difficulties in implementation of the QUiPP app.

CONCLUSIONS

This cluster randomised trial did not demonstrate that the use of the QUiPP app reduced unnecessary management of TPTL compared to current management but would safely improve the management recommended by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). Interpretation of qfFN, with or without the QUiPP app, is a safe and accurate method for identifying women most likely to benefit from PTL interventions.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ISRCTN Registry ISRCTN17846337.

Guideline No. 401: Sonographic Cervical Length in Singleton Pregnancies: Techniques and Clinical Applications

OBJECTIVES

• To assess the association between sonography-derived cervical length measurement and preterm birth. • To describe the various techniques to measure cervical length using sonography. • To review the natural history of the short cervix. • To review the clinical uses, predictive ability, and utility of sonography-measured short cervix.

OUTCOMES

Reduction in rates of prematurity and/or better identification of those at risk, as well as possible prevention of unnecessary interventions.

INTENDED USERS

Clinicians involved in the obstetrical management or cervical imaging of patients at increased risk of a short cervix.

TARGET POPULATION

Women at increased risk of a short cervix or at risk of preterm birth.

EVIDENCE

Literature published up to June 2019 was retrieved through searches of PubMed and the Cochrane Library using appropriate controlled vocabulary and key words (preterm labour, ultrasound, cervix, cervical insufficiency, transvaginal, transperineal, cervical length, fibronectin). Results were restricted to general and systematic reviews, randomized controlled trials, controlled clinical trials, and observational studies. There were no date or language restrictions. Grey (unpublished) literature was identified through searching the websites of health technology assessment agencies, clinical practice guideline collections, clinical trial registries, and national and international medical specialty societies.

VALUES

The evidence and this guideline were reviewed by the Diagnostic Imaging Committee of the Society of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists of Canada, and the recommendations were made and graded according to the rankings of the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care (Online Appendix Table A1).

BENEFITS, HARMS, COSTS

Preterm birth is a leading cause of perinatal morbidity and mortality. Use of the sonographic technique reviewed in this guideline may help identify women at risk of preterm birth and, in some circumstances, lead to interventions that may reduce the rate of preterm birth. SUMMARY STATEMENTS (CANADIAN TASK FORCE ON PREVENTIVE HEALTH CARE GRADING IN PARENTHESES): RECOMMENDATIONS (CANADIAN TASK FORCE ON PREVENTIVE HEALTH CARE GRADING IN PARENTHESES).

Prediction of labour onset in women who present with symptoms of preterm labour using cervical length

Background

Diagnosis of preterm labour is difficult because initial symptoms and signs are often mild and may occur in continuing pregnancies. This study aims to investigate the utility of measuring cervical length, using transvaginal ultrasound, in women presenting to the delivery suite with symptoms of preterm labour.

Methods

This was a prospective cohort study performed in KK Women’s and Children’s Hospital, Singapore from September 2017 to July 2018. Women with singleton pregnancies, presenting with symptoms of contraction pain, between 24^+ 0 to 36^+ 6 weeks gestation, were included. Transvaginal ultrasound cervical length measurements were done at presentation to the labour ward, after four hours and in the following morning. The primary outcome of the study was delivery within 1 week. All statistical analyses were conducted with Microsoft Excel and Statistical Package for the Social Sciences.

Results

A total of 95 subjects were included. A one-millimeter increase in the 1st cervical length increases scan-to-delivery time by 0.802 days (p-value 0.003, CI 0.280–1.323). Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for prediction of delivery within 1 week showed an Area Under Curve (AUC) of 0.667, optimal cut-off value of 27.5mm (sensitivity 77.8 %, specificity 61.6 %). A one-millimetre increase in the 3rd cervical length increases scan-to-delivery time by 0.770 days (p-value 0.023, CI 0.108–1.432). ROC curve analysis for prediction of delivery within 1 week showed an AUC of 0.915, optimal cut-off value of 25.5mm (sensitivity 100 %, specificity 73.6 %). However, the change in cervical length over a period of 1 day was not significant in predicting delivery within 1 week.

Conclusions

Our results indicate that by using a cervical length cut off of 27.5mm at presentation, we would have predicted 77.8 % of deliveries within 1 week. If we were to repeat the cervical length scan the next day, with the same cut-off of 27.5mm, we would have predicted 100 % of deliveries within 1 week. In our study, measuring the transvaginal ultrasound cervical length is a reliable diagnostic test for delivery within 1 week. However, the results are limited by the small sample size. Further studies should be conducted with a larger sample size.

Measurement of the uterocervical angle for the prediction of preterm birth in symptomatic women

Purpose

To examine if the uterocervical angle (UCA) can be used to predict preterm delivery in women with painful and regular uterine contractions and a cervical length of 25 mm or less.

Methods

Retrospective study at the perinatal unit of the University Hospital of Tuebingen, Germany. Women with singleton gestation and preterm contractions between 24 + 0 and 33 + 6 weeks’ gestation were included. For the UCA measurement, a line is placed from the internal os to the external os irrespective of whether the cervix is straight or curved. A second line is drawn to delineate the lower uterine segment. The angle between the two lines is the UCA measurement. The measurements were taken on stored images from our database.

Results

The study consisted of 213 singleton pregnancies. At the time of UCA measurement, median maternal and gestational age was 31.4 years and 29.7 weeks’ gestation. Median gestational age at delivery was 35.3 weeks and the corresponding birth weight 2480 g, respectively. The UCA measurement in women who delivered within 2 days, between 3–7 days and after 7 days was not helpful to distinguish between these three groups [median UCA measurements: 108.5°, 108.0° and 107.3° (Kruskal–Wallis test p = 0.576)]. Uni- and multivariate logistic multiple regression analysis demonstrated that the delivery within 2 days was only dependent on the gestational age and the cervical length at the time of presentation.

Conclusion

The measurement of UCA is not useful in predicting preterm birth in the subsequent 7 days after an episode of preterm contractions.

Serial cervical-length measurements after first episode of threatened preterm labor improve prediction of spontaneous delivery prior to 37 weeks' gestation

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether repeat cervical-length (CL) measurement in women discharged from hospital after their first episode of threatened preterm labor can predict their risk of spontaneous preterm birth.

METHODS

This was a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial of maintenance tocolysis, in which CL was measured on transvaginal ultrasound at the time of hospital discharge and after 2, 4, 8 and 12 weeks, in women who remained undelivered after their first episode of threatened preterm labor. After univariate analysis, multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to assess whether CL < 10 mm at the time of hospital discharge or at any follow-up evaluation could predict spontaneous delivery prior to 37 weeks of gestation.

RESULTS

Of 226 women discharged after a diagnosis of threatened preterm labor, 57 (25.2%) delivered spontaneously prior to 37 weeks' gestation. The risk of spontaneous preterm birth was higher among women with CL < 10 mm at hospital discharge compared to those with CL ≥ 10 mm (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 3.3; 95% CI, 1.2-9.2). Moreover, spontaneous preterm delivery was more common when CL < 10 mm was detected up to 2 weeks (aOR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.1-7.3) or up to 4 weeks (aOR, 7.3; 95% CI, 2.3-22.8) post discharge, as compared with when CL was persistently ≥ 10 mm. The association was not significant when considering CL measurements at 8 weeks, and there was insufficient information to assess the effect of measurements obtained at 12 weeks.

CONCLUSIONS

Women who remain undelivered after their first episode of threatened preterm labor continue to be at high risk of spontaneous preterm birth if their CL is below 10 mm at the time of hospital discharge or at any follow-up visit up to 4 weeks later. CL measurement could be included in the antenatal care of these women in order to stratify their risk of preterm birth, rationalize resource utilization and help clinicians improve pregnancy outcome. © 2020 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Do nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR)-based metabolomics improve the prediction of pregnancy-related disorders? Findings from a UK birth cohort with independent validation

BACKGROUND

Prediction of pregnancy-related disorders is usually done based on established and easily measured risk factors. Recent advances in metabolomics may provide earlier and more accurate prediction of women at risk of pregnancy-related disorders.

METHODS

We used data collected from women in the Born in Bradford (BiB; n = 8212) and UK Pregnancies Better Eating and Activity Trial (UPBEAT; n = 859) studies to create and validate prediction models for pregnancy-related disorders. These were gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP), small for gestational age (SGA), large for gestational age (LGA) and preterm birth (PTB). We used ten-fold cross-validation and penalised regression to create prediction models. We compared the predictive performance of (1) risk factors (maternal age, pregnancy smoking, body mass index (BMI), ethnicity and parity) to (2) nuclear magnetic resonance-derived metabolites (N = 156 quantified metabolites, collected at 24-28 weeks gestation) and (3) combined risk factors and metabolites. The multi-ethnic BiB cohort was used for training and testing the models, with independent validation conducted in UPBEAT, a multi-ethnic study of obese pregnant women.

RESULTS

Maternal age, pregnancy smoking, BMI, ethnicity and parity were retained in the combined risk factor and metabolite models for all outcomes apart from PTB, which did not include maternal age. In addition, 147, 33, 96, 51 and 14 of the 156 metabolite traits were retained in the combined risk factor and metabolite model for GDM, HDP, SGA, LGA and PTB, respectively. These include cholesterol and triglycerides in very low-density lipoproteins (VLDL) in the models predicting GDM, HDP, SGA and LGA, and monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFA), ratios of MUFA to omega 3 fatty acids and total fatty acids, and a ratio of apolipoprotein B to apolipoprotein A-1 (APOA:APOB1) were retained predictors for GDM and LGA. In BiB, discrimination for GDM, HDP, LGA and SGA was improved in the combined risk factors and metabolites models. Risk factor area under the curve (AUC 95% confidence interval (CI)): GDM (0.69 (0.64, 0.73)), HDP (0.74 (0.70, 0.78)) and LGA (0.71 (0.66, 0.75)), and SGA (0.59 (0.56, 0.63)). Combined risk factor and metabolite models AUC 95% (CI): GDM (0.78 (0.74, 0.81)), HDP (0.76 (0.73, 0.79)) and LGA (0.75 (0.70, 0.79)), and SGA (0.66 (0.63, 0.70)). For GDM, HDP and LGA, but not SGA, calibration was good for a combined risk factor and metabolite model. Prediction of PTB was poor for all models. Independent validation in UPBEAT at 24-28 weeks and 15-18 weeks gestation confirmed similar patterns of results, but AUCs were attenuated.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest a combined risk factor and metabolite model improves prediction of GDM, HDP and LGA, and SGA, when compared to risk factors alone. They also highlight the difficulty of predicting PTB, with all models performing poorly.

Prediction of preterm birth: the role cervical assessment by ultrasound and cervico-vaginal biomarkers

Preterm delivery (PTB) is one of the most common and serious complications of pregnancy. PTB accounts for approximately 70% of neonatal deaths and is a major cause of neonatal morbidity including respiratory distress syndrome, necrotising enterocolitis and long-term neurological disabilities. Prevention of PTB and its complications include identification among symptomatic women those at high risk of immediate delivery requiring prenatal corticosteroids administration. Transvaginal ultrasonographic evaluation of the cervical length (CL) is predictive of PTB and a value 15 mm identifies among symptomatic women approximately 70% of women who will deliver within one week. In the range of CL within 15 and 30 mm biomarkers n cervical-vaginal fluids (fetal fibronectin, phosphorylated insulin-like growth factor protein-1, placental alpha-microglobulin-, cytokines) and other ultrasonographic cervical variables (posterior cervical angle, elastography) improve the identification of women at risk, In asymptomatic women CL can be applied as screening and has been proposed as a universal screening during the second trimester in singleton gestations. The finding of a CL25mm is associated with an increased risk of subsequent PTB with a sensitivity between 30 and 60% that is improved with the combination of biomarkers. Asymptomatic women with a CL 25mm should be offered vaginal progesterone treatment for the prevention of preterm birth and neonatal morbidity. The role of cerclage and pessary is still controversial. In this review we discuss the evidence-based role of ultrasonographic cervical assessment and cervicovaginal biomarkers in the prediction of PTB in symptomatic and asymptomatic women

Uterocervical angle as a predictor of preterm birth on a high-risk collective between 20 and 31 weeks of gestation: A cohort analysis

INTRODUCTION

The cervical length (CL) measurement is a widely used method to estimate the risk of preterm birth. Due in particular to the high false-positive rate, the establishment of markers with improved test characteristics is a great challenge. A potential predictor of preterm birth is the uterocervical angle (UCA) and this additional measurement may improve the risk assessment. It was the aim of this study to compare the test properties of CL and UCA on patients at risk for preterm birth.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

109 patients with at least one of the following signs of threatening preterm birth between 20^+0/7 and 31^+6/7 weeks were included in a prospective cohort analysis: regular (>3/30 min) or painful uterine contractions, CL below 25 mm or a history of preterm birth. Exclusion criteria were premature rupture of membranes, hypertensive disorders, vaginal bleeding, surgical cerclage, Arabin pessary or cervical dilation of more than 30 mm. The determination of the UCA was carried out in a standardized manner using the image documents captured by vaginal sonographic CL measurement. The primary endpoint was preterm birth <34 weeks, secondary endpoints were delivery <37 weeks and within 7 days.

RESULTS

The UCA was on average 103° and the mean UCA in preterm and term groups did not differ significantly (P = .924). The UCA was not predictive for threatened preterm birth, even if only singletons were considered. For CL the best predictive accuracy for preterm birth <34 weeks was observed at a cut-off value of 14 mm with sensitivity 0.50, specificity 0.80, positive predictive value 0.30, negative predictive value 0.90, positive likelihood ratio 2.4, negative likelihood ratio 0.6 and an odds ratio of 3.9 (95% confidence interval 1.3-11.7, P = .016).

CONCLUSIONS

The assessment of UCA in patients at risk for preterm birth was not suitable to predict the probability of a threatened preterm birth. Measurement of UCA cannot be recommended in this situation.

Cervical length change as a predictor of preterm birth in symptomatic patients

BACKGROUND

Distinguishing between true and false preterm labor remains a challenge. The shortening in cervical length throughout a gestation has been theorized to be a possible predictor of spontaneous preterm birth. Although there are some studies evaluating cervical length shortening as a predictor of spontaneous preterm birth, it is not known whether the shortening in cervical length from an asymptomatic to symptomatic state, when a patient presents with preterm labor symptoms, is predictive of spontaneous preterm birth.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to determine the utility of cervical length shortening from an asymptomatic time point (anatomic ultrasound) to when a patient presents with preterm labor symptoms as a predictor of spontaneous preterm birth.

STUDY DESIGN

A prospective cohort study was performed to evaluate the use of transvaginal cervical length assessment in symptomatic women in predicting spontaneous preterm birth from January 2013 to March 2015. Women with singleton gestations who presented to our institution between 22 0/7 weeks and 33 6/7 weeks of gestation with preterm labor symptoms were included in the overall cohort. This was a planned secondary analysis to evaluate the shortening in cervical length from an asymptomatic state (anatomic ultrasound) to a symptomatic state as a predictor of preterm birth. For this analysis, inclusion criteria were known delivery status, cervical length screening performed at anatomic ultrasound, and a valid cervical length measurement at the time of preterm labor symptoms. Women with preterm rupture of membranes, cervical dilation of >2 cm, or moderate to severe bleeding were excluded. Cervical length shortening was defined as a decrease in cervical length of >10 mm from anatomic ultrasound to the time of presentation with preterm labor symptoms. The outcome evaluated was spontaneous preterm birth before 37 weeks of gestation. Chi-square test and receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the data. Multivariable logistic regression was used to calculate the odds. Test characteristics of cervical length shortening of >10 mm were determined.

RESULTS

A total of 549 women were included in the original cohort, and 277 women were included in this secondary analysis. The overall rate of spontaneous preterm birth was 8.3%. There were 52 women (19%) with cervical length shortening of >10 mm. The rate of spontaneous preterm birth was significantly higher for those with cervical length shortening of >10 mm than those with cervical length shortening of ≤10 mm (21.2% vs 5.3%; P=.001). This higher risk of spontaneous preterm birth remained after adjusting for confounders including maternal age and previous spontaneous preterm birth (adjusted odds ratio, 4.71; 95% confidence interval, 1.84-12.09). Using cervical length shortening of >10 mm as a screening test had a sensitivity of 47.8%, a specificity of 83.9%, a positive predictive value of 21.2%, and a negative predictive value of 94.7%.

CONCLUSION

In women presenting with preterm labor symptoms, a cervical length that is >10 mm shorter from anatomic ultrasound is associated with an increased risk of spontaneous preterm birth.

Single and repeat cervical-length measurement in twin gestation with threatened preterm labor

OBJECTIVE

To examine the effectiveness of single and repeat sonographic cervical-length (CL) measurement in predicting preterm delivery in symptomatic women with a twin pregnancy.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of women with a twin gestation who presented with painful and regular uterine contractions at 24 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks' gestation at the perinatal unit of the University Hospital of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany between 2012 and 2018. CL was measured on transvaginal ultrasound at the time of admission and a few days later after cessation of contractions. Treatment included administration of tocolytics (usually oral nifedipine), for no more than 48 h, and administration of steroids if CL was ≤ 25 mm. Patients were clustered into five groups according to the CL measurement obtained at first assessment: < 10.0 mm; between 10.0 and 14.9 mm; between 15.0 and 19.9 mm; between 20.0 and 24.9 mm; and ≥ 25.0 mm. For each group, we calculated the test performance of CL measurement for prediction of preterm delivery within the subsequent 7 days and before 34 weeks' gestation. Regression analysis was used to evaluate the test performance of the second CL measurement for predicting preterm delivery within 7 days after the second assessment.

RESULTS

The study population consisted of 257 twin pregnancies, of which 80.2% were dichorionic diamniotic. Median maternal and gestational ages at the time of admission were 32.0 years and 29.9 weeks' gestation, respectively. Preterm birth within 7 days of admission occurred in 23 (8.9%) pregnancies, and 82 (31.9%) patients delivered prior to 34 weeks' gestation. Median CL for the entire study population was 17.0 mm. Delivery within 7 days after the first assessment occurred in 29.0%, 10.6%, 4.2%, 6.3% and 0% of women with CL < 10.0 mm, 10.0-14.9 mm, 15.0-19.9 mm, 20.0-24.9 mm and ≥ 25.0 mm, respectively. There was a weak, but significant, association between the CL measurement at the time of admission and the time interval between admission and delivery (interval = 27.9 + 0.58 × CL; P = 0.003, r = 0.184). CL was measured again after a median time interval of 3 (interquartile range (IQR), 2-5) days in 248 cases. Median second CL measurement was 17.0 (IQR, 11.5-22.0) mm. Delivery occurred within the subsequent 7 days after the second measurement in 25/248 (10.1%) cases. Binary regression analysis indicated that the first (odds ratio (OR), 0.895; P = 0.003) and second (OR, 0.908; P = 0.002) CL measurements, but not the difference between the two measurements (OR, 0.961; P = 0.361), were associated significantly with delivery within 7 days after the second measurement. Receiver-operating-characteristics (ROC)-curve analysis for the prediction of delivery within 7 days after the second assessment did not show a significant difference between the predictive performance of the first (area under ROC curve (AUC), 0.676 (95% CI, 0.559-0.793)) and the second (AUC, 0.661 (95% CI, 0.531-0.790)) measurement.

CONCLUSION

Sonographic measurement of CL can be helpful in predicting preterm delivery within 7 days of presentation in symptomatic women with a twin gestation; however, the test performance is relatively weak. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Development and validation of predictive models for QUiPP App v.2: tool for predicting preterm birth in women with symptoms of threatened preterm labor

OBJECTIVE

To develop enhanced prediction models to update the QUiPP App prototype, a tool providing individualized risk of spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB), for use in women with symptoms of threatened preterm labor (TPTL), incorporating risk factors, transvaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length (CL) and cervicovaginal fluid quantitative fetal fibronectin (qfFN) test results.

METHODS

Participants were pregnant women between 23 + 0 and 34 + 6 weeks' gestation with symptoms of TPTL, recruited as part of four prospective cohort studies carried out at 16 UK hospitals between October 2010 and October 2017. The training set comprised all women whose outcomes were known in May 2017 (n = 1032). The validation set comprised women whose outcomes were gathered between June 2017 and March 2018 (n = 506). Parametric survival models were developed for three combinations of predictors: risk factors plus qfFN test results alone, risk factors plus CL alone, and risk factors plus both qfFN and CL. The best models were selected using the Akaike and Bayesian information criteria. The estimated probability of sPTB < 30, < 34 or < 37 weeks' gestation and within 1 or 2 weeks of testing was calculated and receiver-operating-characteristics (ROC) curves were created to demonstrate the diagnostic ability of the prediction models.

RESULTS

Predictive statistics were similar between the training and the validation sets at most outcome time points and for each combination of predictors. Areas under the ROC curves (AUC) demonstrated that all three algorithms had good accuracy for the prediction of sPTB at < 30, < 34 and < 37 weeks' gestation and within 1 and 2 weeks' post-testing in the validation set, particularly the model combining risk factors plus qfFN alone (AUC: 0.96 at < 30 weeks; 0.85 at < 34 weeks; 0.77 at < 37 weeks; 0.91 at < 1 week from testing; and 0.92 at < 2 weeks from testing).

CONCLUSIONS

Validation of the new prediction models suggests that the QUiPP App v.2 can reliably calculate risk of sPTB in women with TPTL. Use of the QUiPP App in practice could lead to better targeting of intervention, while providing reassurance and avoiding unnecessary intervention in women at low risk. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

The role of noninvasive diagnostic imaging in monitoring pregnancy and detecting patients at risk for preterm birth: a review of quantitative approaches

Preterm birth (PTB) is the leading cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality worldwide. The ability to predict patients at risk for preterm birth remains a major health challenge. The currently available clinical diagnostics such as cervical length and fetal fibronectin may detect only up to 30% of patients who eventually experience a spontaneous preterm birth. This paper reviews ongoing efforts to improve the ability to conduct a risk assessment for preterm birth. In particular, this work focuses on quantitative methods of imaging using ultrasound-based techniques, magnetic resonance imaging, and optical imaging modalities. While ultrasound imaging is the major modality for preterm birth risk assessment, a summary of efforts to adopt other imaging modalities is also discussed to identify the technical and diagnostic limits associated with adopting them in clinical settings. We conclude the review by proposing a new approach using combined photoacoustic, ultrasound, and elastography as a potential means to better assess cervical tissue remodeling, and thus improve the detection of patients at-risk of PTB.

Prediction of time of delivery using cervical length measurement in women with threatened preterm labor

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the use of transvaginal (TV) sonographic cervical length (CL) measurement alone in predicting time of delivery in women who present in threatened preterm labor.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study at Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital of all women who presented between 22 weeks and 0 days and 35 weeks and six-day gestation in threatened preterm labor and were admitted for ongoing management including a TV sonographic CL measure. The accuracy of CL for predicting time of delivery was compared between women with a short cervix (CL  < 25 mm) and those with a normal cervix (CL ≥25 mm). The predictive accuracy of CL for spontaneous preterm delivery was analyzed with different outcome-specific thresholds.

RESULTS

One hundred and forty-six women with threatened preterm labor met the inclusion criteria; of which 74 (50.7%) had a short cervix and 72 (49.3%) had a normal cervix. The group with short cervix were more likely to deliver prematurely before 37-week gestation, as well as a shorter time interval between initial presentation and delivery and delivery within 14 days from presentation (p = .0002, p = .0001, and p = .0001, respectively). Similarly, with respect to the area under the receiver operator characteristic curves, CL measurement was found to be significant for time of delivery before or after 37 weeks (p < .0001), preterm delivery before 34 (p =  .0003) and 31 (p <  .0001) weeks; and preterm delivery within 14 days from presentation (p < .0001). Cervical length measurement has a high negative predictive value ranging from 94.9 to 97.1% depending on the different CL threshold used.

CONCLUSIONS

Cervical length measurement at the time of presentation was significantly associated with the risk of preterm delivery in women presenting with threatened preterm labor and a short cervix. Cervical length measurement was also helpful in predicting time of delivery within 14 days from presentation. The negative predictive value and predictive accuracy of CL as a single measure were of significance.

The utility of maternal serum endocan level to predict preterm delivery within seven days in patients with threatened preterm labor

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the current study was to determine serum endocan levels in patients with threatened preterm labor and to assign whether endocan levels in patients with true preterm labor who give birth within 7 days differ from those of false preterm labor and uncomplicated pregnancy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This cross-sectional study was conducted on 58 patients diagnosed with threatened preterm labor and 31 healthy pregnant women matched for gestational age. Patients with threatened preterm labor were divided into two groups; preterm delivery (28) and term delivery (30) groups. Maternal serum endocan levels were measured with the use of an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kit.

RESULTS

The median serum endocan level (pg/mL) in patients with threatened preterm labor was significantly higher than that of women with uncomplicated pregnancies (725, IQR 619-823 versus 310, IQR 218-423; p < .001 Figure 1). Subgroup analysis performed among threatened preterm labor group revealed that median serum endocan level (pg/mL) in preterm delivery group was higher compared with the other two groups (preterm 823, IQR 718-905 versus term 637, IQR 590-729 p < .001 and preterm 823, IQR 718-905 versus control 310, IQR 218-423 p < .001). The threshold value of maternal serum endocan level for predicting delivery within 7 days after admission was calculated 655 pg/mL, (the area under curve was 0.934, 95% CI 0.88-0.98, p < .001) with 85.7% sensitivity and 78.7% specificity. The mean cervical length measurement was significantly higher in the control group (p < .001); there was no significant difference in cervical length between the term and preterm delivery groups. Maternal characteristics including age, BMI, gravidity, gestational age at blood sampling, CRP and Hb levels were not significantly different between groups (p > .05).

CONCLUSIONS

The maternal serum endocan level may be a useful marker to define high risk group for preterm delivery in patients with threatened preterm labor and similar cervical length measures.

Cerclage for women with twin pregnancies: a systematic review and metaanalysis

OBJECTIVE DATA

This study was conducted to estimate whether cerclage could extend the prolongation of pregnancy, reduce the risk of preterm birth, and improve perinatal outcomes in women with twin pregnancies.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

We included randomized controlled trials and cohort studies comparing the efficacy of cerclage with no cerclage for women with twin pregnancies.

STUDY APPRAISAL AND SYNTHESIS METHODS

The following databases were searched for all published studies that compared cerclage placement with expectant management in twin pregnancies from inception to July 2018: Medline, EMBASE, Scopus, ClinicalTrials.gov, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library. Each report was reviewed for inclusion or exclusion standard, and data extraction was performed by 2 authors independently.

RESULTS

A total of 16 studies with 1211 women that met the inclusion criteria were included in the final analysis. Our outcomes indicated that cerclage placement for twin pregnancies with a cervical length of <15 mm was associated with significant prolongation of pregnancy by a mean difference of 3.89 weeks of gestation (95% confidence interval, 2.19-5.59; P=.000; I²=0%) and a reduction of preterm birth at <37 weeks of gestation (risk ratio, 0.86; 95% confidence interval, 0.74-0.99; P=.040; I²=0%), <34 weeks of gestation (risk ratio, 0.57; 95% confidence interval, 0.43-0.75; P=.000; I²=0%) and <32 weeks of gestation (risk ratio, 0.61; 95% confidence interval, 0.41-0.90; P=.010; I²=0%), compared with those pregnancies in the control group. For women with a dilated cervix of >10 mm, cerclage placement was associated with significant prolongation of pregnancy by a mean difference of 6.78 weeks of gestation (95% confidence interval, 5.32-8.24; P=.000; I²=0%); a reduction of preterm birth at <34 weeks of gestation (risk ratio, 0.56; 95% confidence interval, 0.45-0.69; P=.000; I²=28%), <32 weeks of gestation (risk ratio, 0.50; 95% confidence interval, 0.38-0.65; P=.000; I²=14%), <28 weeks of gestation (risk ratio, 0.41; 95% confidence interval, 0.20-0.85; P=.030; I²=80%), and <24 weeks of gestation (risk ratio, 0.35; 95% confidence interval, 0.18-0.67; P=.001; I²=24%), and improvement of perinatal outcomes compared with those in the control group. However, for twin pregnancies with a normal cervical length (eg, cerclage for an indication for women with a history of preterm birth or twin alone), the efficacy of cerclage placement was less certain because of the limited data.

CONCLUSION

Our metaanalysis indicates that cerclage placement is beneficial for the reduction of preterm birth and the prolongation of pregnancy in twin pregnancies with a cervical length of <15 mm or dilated cervix of >10 mm. However, the benefit of history-indicated or twin alone-indicated cerclage is less certain in twin pregnancies with normal cervical length according to current literature. Further high-quality studies were needed to confirm the findings.

Threatened preterm birth: Validation of a nomogram to predict the individual risk of very preterm delivery in a secondary care center

INTRODUCTION

Very preterm delivery (22-32 weeks of gestation) remains a major cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality. The objective of this study was to validate a statistical model allowing to predict the risk of preterm delivery to use as a clinical decision-making tool for in utero transfer from a secondary to a tertiary care center.

METHODS

Retrospective observational study in a secondary care center (approximately 2500 births) in Paris, France. 137 women were admitted for threatened preterm delivery between 22 and 32 weeks. Women were retrospectively allocated to the following groups based on medical decision: "transfer group" (in utero transfer to a tertiary care unit) and "no transfer group" (no in utero transfer). The risk of preterm delivery within 48 h and before 32 weeks gestation was assessed for each group using a nomogram previously validated in a tertiary care center. The primary objective of the study was to determine the accuracy of the prediction model.

RESULTS

The discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were excellent (preterm delivery risk within 48 h, ROC AUC: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.95-1.00; probability of preterm delivery before 32 weeks gestation, ROC AUC: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89-0.99). A threshold set at 0.16 helped minimize the risk of unnecessary in utero transfers with an excellent negative predictive value of 0.99.

CONCLUSIONS

We validated nomograms to predict the individual probability of preterm birth after admission in a secondary care center. Those nomograms could be helpful when making decisions regarding an in utero transfer to a tertiary care unit.

The efficacy of quantitative fetal fibronectin in predicting spontaneous preterm birth in symptomatic women: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Recent data suggest that quantitative measurements of fetal fibronectin can be used accurately to predict increased risk of preterm birth.

AIM

The purpose of this study was to demonstrate that the quantification of fetal fibronectin improves diagnostic accuracy in women who present with symptoms suggestive of threatened preterm labour (TPL) using a quantitative fetal fibronectin (qfFN) bedside analyser.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective cohort study of pregnant women who presented between 22⁺⁶ and 32⁺⁶  weeks gestation with symptoms of TPL who had qfFN measured using the Rapid fFN Q10 system. The ability to predict spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) within 48 h, 14 days and <34 weeks gestation at qfFN thresholds of 10, 50 and 200 ng/mL was assessed.

RESULTS

The overall rate of sPTB <34 weeks was 4.1% (n = 373). For deliveries within 48 h, within 14 days and <34 weeks, a qfFN threshold of 200 ng/mL had positive predictive values of 26.7%, 42.9% and 46.7%, respectively, when compared to patients with qfFN values of 0-9 ng/mL. The corresponding relative risks were 68.5, 53.8 and 38.0, respectively CONCLUSION: Quantitative fetal fibronectin testing with thresholds of 10, 50 and 200 ng/mL allows for more accurate prediction of preterm birth in symptomatic women. This higher degree of discrimination allows for more directed interventions for high-risk patients and reduces the cost and burden of unnecessary treatment for low-risk patients.

Is cervical length evaluated by transvaginal ultrasonography helpful in detecting true preterm labor?

Objective: To investigate whether sonographic cervical markers can identify women in true preterm labor and predict delivery within 7 d and before 34 or 37 gestational weeks.Methods: This was a prospective observational study of women with singleton pregnancies and intact membranes given a diagnosis of preterm labor between 25 and 34 weeks and 6 d of gestation and who underwent transvaginal evaluation of the following characteristics: cervical length (CL), CL zeta score, absence of endocervical glandular echo, presence of cervical funneling, and presence of amniotic fluid sludge. The outcomes of interest were spontaneous delivery within 7 d of preterm labor and spontaneous delivery before 34 or 37 gestational weeks.Results: The inclusion criteria were met by 126 women, 31 (25%) of whom were excluded and 95 were analyzed. The median gestational age at admission was 31.9 weeks. The median CL at preterm labor was 22.3 mm (range: 0-42.8 mm). The delivery occurred within 7 d of presentation in 13 (13.7%) cases. Delivery before 34 weeks occurred in 16 (16.8%) cases and before 37 weeks in 40 (42.1%) cases. Logistic regression analysis showed CL in millimeters was an independent predictor of delivery within 7 d (OR 0.918, 95% CI 0.862-0.978, p = .008). For birth before 34 weeks, the predictor was gestational age at admission (OR 0.683, 95% CI 0.539-0.866, p = .002) and before 37 weeks, the presence of cervical funneling (OR 3.778, 95% CI 1.460-9.773, p = .006). The CL ≤ 15 mm had sensitivity and specificity values of 77 and 77%, respectively, and good accuracy (88%) for prediction of delivery within 7 d.Conclusion: The evaluation of the cervix by transvaginal ultrasound in women in preterm labor predicted delivery within 7 d and helped distinguish between true and false labor. The analysis of CL zeta score was not an independent factor to predict delivery in 7 d.

Serum relaxin and cervical length for prediction of spontaneous preterm birth in second-trimester symptomatic women

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether serum relaxin level is associated with preterm birth in symptomatic women, either as a standalone test or in the context of a combined model of serum relaxin and cervical length (CL).

METHODS

This was a case-control study of women with a singleton pregnancy who presented between 24 + 0 and 26 + 6 weeks' gestation with threatened preterm labor and intact membranes. CL, full blood count, C-reactive protein level and maternal demographics were recorded at presentation, and blood samples were taken for relaxin measurement. Parameters were compared between women who delivered preterm (before 37 weeks) (n = 46) and those delivering at term (n = 66). Logistic regression with receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess significant predictors for birth before 37 and before 34 weeks.

RESULTS

Women delivering before 37 weeks had higher mean serum relaxin levels and lower mean CL than those delivering at term (P < 0.0001). Relaxin alone had 63% (95% CI, 49-75%) sensitivity for birth before 37 weeks and 61% (95% CI, 47-74%) for birth before 34 weeks, at a 10% false-positive rate (FPR). Serum relaxin levels did not correlate with CL; a combined model of the two predictors had an area under the ROC curve of 0.895 (95%CI, 0.835-0.954) for the prediction of birth before 37 weeks and 0.869 (95% CI, 0.802-0.937) for birth before 34 weeks (n =  44). Serum relaxin > 1010 pg/mL had 58% sensitivity for prediction of preterm birth in women with a CL > 15 mm, at a 10% FPR.

CONCLUSIONS

High serum relaxin level is associated with an increased risk of preterm birth in second-trimester symptomatic women with intact membranes. A combination of serum relaxin and CL increases predictive accuracy for preterm birth. Copyright © 2017 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Are Women With Threatened Preterm Labor More Dehydrated Than Women Without It?

OBJECTIVE

To determine if women who present to the labor and delivery unit at 23 0/7 to 36 6/7 weeks gestation with threatened preterm labor (TPTL) are more likely to be dehydrated than women who present at the same gestational age for other reasons.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

An academic medical center in the northeastern United States.

PARTICIPANTS

All women at preterm gestational ages 23 0/7 to 36 6/7 weeks who presented to the labor and delivery unit for care in 2014.

METHODS

We compared hydration status by urine specific gravity of women with TPTL to that of women with other chief complaints. Women for whom data were missing and those with hypertension, diabetes, renal disease, vaginal bleeding, ruptured membranes, advanced dilation (>3 cm), multiple gestation, or fetal demise were excluded. Chi-square statistic and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used for data analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 840 women at 23 0/7 to 36 6/7 weeks gestation presented during the study period; 188 of these had TPTL, 261 had other chief complaints, and 391 were excluded. The proportion of women diagnosed with dehydration was similar between those with TPTL (39%) and those with other complaints (46%, p = .12). An ROC curve showed no association between TPTL and hydration status (area under the curve = 0.57, 95% confidence interval [0.46, 0.67]).

CONCLUSION

At 23 0/7 to 36 6/7 weeks gestation, the hydration status of women with TPTL was not different from those without TPTL. Because there is no relationship, it is unlikely that hydration is a worthwhile therapy for women with TPTL, although additional prospective study is warranted.

Cost-effectiveness of diagnostic tests for threatened preterm labor in singleton pregnancy in France

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have showed that the early diagnosis of threatened preterm labor decreases neonatal morbidity and mortality, avoids maternal morbidity induced by antepartum bed rest and unnecessary treatment, and reduces costs. Although there are many diagnostic tests, none is clearly recommended by international guidelines. The aim of our study was to compare seven diagnostic methods in terms of effectiveness and cost using a decision analysis model in singleton pregnancy presenting threatened preterm labor, between 24 and 34 weeks of gestation.

METHODS

Seven diagnostic strategies based on individual or combined use of the following tests: cervical length, cervical fibronectin test, cervical interleukin test and protein in maternal serum, were compared using a decision analysis model. Effectiveness was expressed in terms of serious adverse neonatal events avoided (neonatal morbidity and mortality) at the hospital discharge. The economic analysis was performed from the health care system perspective. Deterministic and probabilistic analyses were performed to test the robustness of the model.

RESULTS

At 24-34 weeks of gestation, the association of cervical length and qualitative fibronectin was the most efficient strategy dominating all alternatives, reducing the perinatal death or severe neonatal morbidity rate up to 15% and the costs up to 31% according to the gestational age. This result was confirmed by the deterministic sensitivity analyses. The probabilistic analysis showed that the association of cervical length and qualitative fibronectin dominated cervical length < 15 mm in more than 90% of the simulations. The comparison with the other tests revealed more uncertainty.

CONCLUSIONS

A test using cervical length and qualitative fetal fibronectin appears to be the best diagnostic strategy. Decisions regarding its generalization and funding in France in this population of women should take into account the high, lifetime costs induced by prematurity.