Prediction of ICU mortality in critically ill children : Comparison of SOFA, GCS, and FOUR score

Nomogram predictive model for in-hospital mortality risk in elderly ICU patients with urosepsis

BACKGROUND

Urinary tract infection (UTI) is a common cause of sepsis. Elderly patients with urosepsis in intensive care unit (ICU) have more severe conditions and higher mortality rates owing to factors such as advanced age, immunosenescence, and persistent host inflammatory responses. However, comprehensive studies on nomograms to predict the in-hospital mortality risk in elderly patients with urosepsis are lacking. This study aimed to construct a nomogram predictive model to accurately assess the prognosis of elderly patients with urosepsis and provide therapeutic recommendations.

METHODS

Data of elderly patients with urosepsis were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) IV 2.2 database. Patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. A predictive nomogram model was constructed from the training set using logistic regression analysis, followed by internal validation and sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

This study included 1,251 patients. LASSO regression analysis revealed that the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, red cell distribution width (RDW), white blood count (WBC), and invasive ventilation were independent risk factors identified from a total of 43 variables studied. We then created and verified a nomogram. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and decision curve analysis (DCA) of the nomogram were superior to those of the traditional SAPS-II, APACHE-II, and SOFA scoring systems. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test results and calibration curves suggested good nomogram calibration. The IDI and NRI values showed that our nomogram scoring tool performed better than the other scoring systems. The DCA curves showed good clinical applicability of the nomogram.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram constructed in this study is a convenient tool for accurately predicting in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with urosepsis in ICU. Improving the treatment strategies for factors related to the model could improve the in-hospital survival rates of these patients.

RAPID-ED: A predictive model for risk assessment of patient's early in-hospital deterioration from emergency department

Introduction

The objective of this multi-center retrospective cohort study was to devise a predictive tool known as RAPID-ED. This model identifies non-traumatic adult patients at significant risk for cardiac arrest within 48 hours post-admission from the emergency department.

Methods

Data from 224,413 patients admitted through the emergency department (2016-2020) was analyzed, incorporating vital signs, lab tests, and administered therapies. A multivariable regression model was devised to anticipate early cardiac arrest. The efficacy of the RAPID-ED model was evaluated against traditional scoring systems like National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) and its predictive ability was gauged via the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in both hold-out validation set and external validation set.

Results

RAPID-ED outperformed traditional models in predicting cardiac arrest with an AUC of 0.819 in the hold-out validation set and 0.807 in the external validation set. In this critical care update, RAPID-ED offers an innovative approach to assessing patient risk, aiding emergency physicians in post-discharge care decisions from the emergency department. High-risk score patients (≥13) may benefit from early ICU admission for intensive monitoring.

Conclusion

As we progress with advancements in critical care, tools like RAPID-ED will prove instrumental in refining care strategies for critically ill patients, fostering an improved prognosis and potentially mitigating mortality rates.

Glasgow Coma Scale on admission as predictor of neurological sequelae at discharge and acute respiratory failure in patients with heatstroke

BACKGROUND

Transient neuronal dysfunction may occur in most brain regions with heatstroke (HS). This study aimed to explore the prognostic significance of initial Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores in HS.

METHODS

Retrospective data regarding HS were obtained from six hospitals. The primary outcome was neurological sequelae at discharge. Secondary outcomes included acute respiratory failure (ARF) and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Logistic regression models and random forest imputation were used to assess the independent association between GCS score and outcomes. Interaction and stratified analyses of body temperature (BT) at 0.5 hours were also conducted. Receiver operating characteristic curves and decision curve analysis were used to estimate prognostic values.

RESULTS

Of 206 patients, 44 (21.36%) had neurological sequelae at discharge. The mean ± standard deviation initial GCS score was 8.17 ± 4.05. After adjustment for confounders, GCS, as a continuous variable, was significantly related to neurological sequelae at discharge [odds ratio (OR): 0.65; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.50-0.85; P = 0.002], ARF (OR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.66-0.87; P = 0.001), and ICU admission (OR: 0.68; 95% CI: 0.53-0.87; P = 0.003). These relationships were consistent in the random forest imputation cohort. The OR between GCS and neurological sequelae at discharge was much lower (P = 0.048) in participants with BT at 0.5 hours ≤39°C than in those with BT at 0.5 hours >39°C. The GCS and National Early Warning Score (NEWS) had similar prognostic ability for all outcomes, whereas the net benefits were greater with the GCS compared with the NEWS.

CONCLUSIONS

Initial GCS score was an independent prognostic factor for neurological sequelae at discharge in HS. Rapid cooling played a positive role in this relationship. Key messages What is already known on this topic Brain damage caused by heatstroke (HS) can be transient or result in irreversible injury. Early recognition of those at risk of death or developing neurological complications is very important for improving the outcomes of HS. What this study adds Initial Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score was an independent prognostic factor for neurological sequelae at discharge, acute respiratory failure, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission in HS. Rapid cooling played a positive role in this relationship. How this study might affect research, practice, or policy The GCS upon emergency department admission can be a useful predictor of prognosis in patients with HS.

Effect of an educational program on pediatric nurses' knowledge, practice, and self-confidence about level of consciousness scales

BACKGROUND

Nurses of pediatric acute critical care units routinely assess the Level of Consciousness (LOC). The precise, exact, and restriction-free evaluation tool aids pediatric nurses in LOC assessment and clinical decision-making. This study aimed to examine the effect of an educational program on pediatric nurses' knowledge, practice, and self-confidence about level of consciousness scales.

METHODS

This pretest-post, single-group, quasi-experimental, double-site study included 49 pediatric nurses. The Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS)/Pediatric Glasgow Coma Scale (PGCS) and Pediatric Full Outline of UnResponsiveness Score Scale (PFSS) knowledge questionnaire and pediatric nurse practice checklist were developed and adopted. Self-reflection confidence statements were rated 1-5 (not confident-confident).

RESULTS

The results of the study indicate that there were significant increases in knowledge, practice, and self-confidence after the intervention. The paired samples tests revealed that knowledge scores significantly increased from the pretest to the posttest for both GCS/PGCS (pretest mean:7.91, posttest mean:9.95) and PFSS (pretest mean:2.1, posttest mean:6.79). Practice scores also showed significant improvement for both GCS/PGCS (pretest mean: 4.12, post-test mean: 6.22) and PFSS (pretest mean: 2.46, post-test mean: 5.79). Furthermore, self-confidence significantly improved for GCS/PGCS (pretest mean:16.08, posttest mean:18.79) and PFSS (pretest mean:10.32, posttest mean:17.81). The statistical analyses supported the significance of these improvements (p < 0.001 for all except self-confidence in GCS/PGCS with p < 0.005).

CONCLUSION

The educational program improved pediatric nurses' GCS/PGCS and PFSS knowledge, practice, and self-confidence.

IMPLICATIONS TO PRACTICE

Effective teaching of pediatric nurses is required to address gaps in care practices and improve the use of the Consciousness Level Assessment Scales.

Intensive care unit-acquired pneumonia caused by Klebsiella pneumoniae in China: Risk factors and prediction model of mortality

Intensive care unit (ICU)-acquired pneumonia (ICUAP) is a major concern owing to its associated high mortality rate. Few studies have focused on ICUAP caused by Klebsiella pneumoniae (KP). This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for ICUAP-associated death due to KP and to develop a mortality prediction model. Patients with KP-associated ICUAP at Renji Hospital were enrolled from January 2012 to December 2017. The patients were registered from the ICU units of the Surgery, Gynecology and Obstetrics, Neurosurgery, Emergency and Geriatric Departments, and were followed for 30 days. A multivariate analysis was performed to analyze the differences between 30-day survivors and nonsurvivors, and to determine the independent risk factors. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were also used to determine the predictive power of the model. Among the 285 patients with KP-associated ICUAP, the median age was 70.55 years, and 61.6% were men. Fifty patients died. The nonsurvivors had a lower Glasgow coma score (GCS), platelet count, and albumin concentrations, but higher lactate concentrations, than the survivors. The nonsurvivors were also more likely to be admitted to the ICU for respiratory failure and surgery, and they received less appropriate empirical antimicrobial therapy than the survivors. A lower GCS (odds ratio [OR] = 0.836, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.770-0.907), lower albumin concentrations (OR = 0.836, 95% CI: 0.770-0.907), higher lactate concentrations (OR = 1.167, 95% CI: 1.0013-1.344) and inappropriate empirical treatment (OR = 2.559, 95% CI: 1.080-6.065) were independent risk factors for mortality in patients with KP-associated ICUAP. ROC curve analysis showed that the risk of death was higher in patients with 2 or more independent risk factors. The predictive model was effective, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.823 (95% CI: 0.773-0.865). The number of independent risk factors is positively correlated with the risk of death. Our model shows excellent predictive performance.

Development and psychometric properties of teamwork scale in resuscitation: A sequential exploratory mixed-method study

BACKGROUND

Non-technical skills as a complement to technical skills have become increasingly important in cardio-pulmonary resuscitation, and teamwork is one of the most prominent of these skills. Because of the limited number of tools introduced and validated for measuring teamwork in resuscitation, this study was conducted to develop and evaluate the psychometric properties of the Teamwork Scale in Resuscitation (TSR).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study was a sequential exploratory mixed-method study and was conducted between March 2020 and April 2021 and in two phases. In the first phase (qualitative), semi-structured interviews were performed with resuscitation team members who were selected using a purposeful sampling method with maximum variation in terms of experience, level of education, age, and gender. Using directed qualitative content analysis, the data were analyzed and the primary item pool was developed. In the second phase (quantitative), assessing face, content, and construct validity as well as reliability via the internal consistency and stability, the psychometric properties of the instrument are evaluated.

RESULTS

The initial tool consisted of 54 items; after assessing the face validity, ten items were removed during content validity, and the final tool consisted of 44 items and three main categories including the essential prerequisites for resuscitation, leadership, and teamwork, which was scored based on a 5-point Likert scale from strongly disagree to strongly agree. The convergent validity and concurrent validity of the tool were confirmed. The reliability of the instrument was also confirmed using Cronbach's alpha test and re-test and the intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) between raters.

CONCLUSION

The validity and reliability of TSR for measuring teamwork in resuscitation in a simulated environment are approved. Further studies are suggested for different contexts of resuscitation and with trained raters to evaluate its use in real resuscitation situations.

Comparison of the Full Outline of Unresponsiveness Score with the Glasgow Coma Scale as a Coma Assessment Scale in Pediatric Intensive Care

Rapid assessment of cerebral dysfunction is crucial for the management of patients in intensive care units. The Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) evaluates eye, verbal, and motor responses, but is insufficient to effectively evaluate patients on mechanical ventilation, or who are unable to speak. The Full Outline of Unresponsiveness (FOUR) score includes additional information such as brainstem reflexes and respiratory status to provide a more complete clinical assessment. In this study, we aimed to compare the FOUR score with GCS in the assessment of patients with coma. This prospective study included patients between 1 month and under 18 years of age, who were hospitalized in the pediatric intensive care unit due to risk of coma or ongoing impairment of consciousness between May 2018 and June 2019. Information regarding FOUR scores, GCS values, patient demographics, duration of hospitalization, requirement for mechanical ventilation, and patient comorbidities were recorded and analyzed. Among the 80 patients included in the study, a statistically significant correlation was found between (low) GCS and FOUR scores during admission, and mortality and requirement for mechanical ventilation. Monitoring the level of consciousness is important in pediatric intensive care units and may be predictive of the course and disease outcome. Similar to the GCS, the FOUR score is a good indicator for predicting mortality and requirement for mechanical ventilation.

The Significance of The Detection of Serum Lactate Dehydrogenase, Hypersensitive C-Reactive Protein, and N-Terminal Pro-Brain Natriuretic Peptide for the Evaluation of the Severity and Progression of Pediatric Patients with Traumatic Brain Injury

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate changes in the levels of serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), hypersensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in pediatric patients with traumatic brain injury and the clinical significance of detecting these changes for the evaluation of injury severity and patient progress.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on 40 pediatric patients admitted to the Tongren Hospital of China Capital Medical University with traumatic brain injury between January 2018 and December 2019. Immunoturbidimetric assay and electrochemiluminescence were used to detect the serum levels of LDH, hs-CRP, and NT-proBNP. Correlation analysis was used to determine the degree of association between the indicators and the sensitivity and specificity of each indicator.

RESULTS

The serum levels of LDH, hs-CRP, and NT-proBNP in the poor-prognosis group were higher than those in the good-prognosis group, and the differences were statistically significant (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The detection of serum LDH, hs-CRP, and NT-proBNP might be of great significance for the evaluation of the severity of a traumatic brain injury, disease progression, and the prognosis of pediatric patients with traumatic brain injury. The combined detection of the relevant indicators could provide more effective sensitivity and specificity and therefore offer better guidance and assistance in clinical practice.

Prospective Cohort Study on Cumulative Fluid Balance and Outcome in Critically Ill Children Using a Restrictive Fluid Protocol

OBJECTIVE

To study the association of cumulative fluid balance and clinical outcomes in a pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) practicing restrictive fluid protocol.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, children aged less than 13 y admitted for more than 48 h were screened. Children with unstable hemodynamics throughout the stay were excluded. Fluid balance was calculated by percentage fluid overload (%FO) for the first 7 d. Patients were divided into positive fluid and negative fluid balance groups. The primary outcome was all-cause 28-d mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 888 patients (positive fluid balance group = 531, negative fluid balance group = 357) were analyzed. Mean (SD) cumulative %FO was 1.52 (0.67) vs. -1.18 (0.71), p = < 0.001, and minimum and maximum cumulative %FO were -3.0% and 3.1%, respectively. There was no significant difference in all-cause 28-d mortality between the two groups (n = 104/531, 19.6% vs. n = 60/357, 16.8%, RR = 1.17, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.55; p = 0.29). There was no difference in organ dysfunction [mean (SD) sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score 3.3 (0.7) vs. 3.3 (0.6)], acute kidney injury (65% vs. 63.6%), need for renal replacement therapy (14% vs. 13%), and duration of ventilation (median, IQR 4, 2-6 vs. 4, 2-6 d). Longer stay in PICU (5, 3-9 vs. 4, 3-7 d; p = 0.014) and in hospital (8, 5-11 vs. 7, 4-10 d; p = 0.007) were noted in the positive fluid balance group.

CONCLUSION

Cumulative fluid balance within 3% using restrictive fluid protocol was not associated with a significant difference in PICU mortality and morbidity.

Accuracy of SIRS, age-adapted pSOFA, and quick SOFA scoring systems for predicting outcomes in paediatric patients with sepsis: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Sepsis is the leading cause of mortality in children. Several scoring systems are used to predict outcome and mortality for pediatric patients with sepsis, but how they compare to each other in terms of sensitivity and specificity is unclear.

METHODS

The systematic literature review was performed following PRISMA guidelines. Publically accessible search engines and study databases such as PubMed, CENTRAL (Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials), and Google Scholar were scanned for articles published from January 1990 to March 2021 using relevant key words. All relevant studies were analyzed separately by two reviewers. A random-effects model was used to calculate the pooled sensitivity and pooled specificity with a 95% confidence interval (CI). Heterogeneity was evaluated using I², which estimates the percentage of variation between study results due to heterogeneity rather than sampling error.

RESULTS

Eleven studies met inclusion criteria and evaluated the SOFA scoring system. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and SROC for prediction of mortality were 83% (95% CI: 76%-88%), 72% (95% CI: 60%-81%), and 85% (95% CI: 82%-88%), respectively. Six studies examined the SIRS system. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, and SROC were 80% (95% CI: 64%-90%), 36% (95% CI: 23%-51%), and 59% (95% CI: 55%-63%), respectively.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis shows that SOFA was superior to SIRS for predicting mortality in PICU patients with sepsis. Additional prospective multi-centric studies are needed to better evaluate and validate this finding.

Prediction of Mortality in the Medical Intensive Care Unit with Serial Full Outline of Unresponsiveness Score in Elderly Patients

Background

Advanced age is one of the key risk factors for mortality and morbidity in intensive care units. The full outline of unresponsiveness (FOUR) score has been developed and introduced to address the limitations of the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS). The current study aimed to evaluate the ability of the FOUR score in predicting the outcomes (survivors, nonsurvivors).

Materials and methods

This observational study of 168 consecutive elderly patients admitted to medical intensive care during the 14 months carried out prospectively. FOUR score in the 24, 48, and 72 hours of admission, and demographic characteristics of all elderly patients were calculated, then recorded. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, logistic regression, and Hosmer-Lemeshow test were used (95% confidence interval) for statistical analysis.

Results

FOUR scores in 24, 48, and 72 hours between survivors and nonsurvivors (p <0.0001, p <0.0001, and p <0.0001, respectively) were statistically different. The discrimination power of FOUR score 24 hours of admission was excellent [area under ROC (AUC): 85.7% [standard error (SE)]: 2.8%]; it was acceptable for 48 and 72 hours of admission [AUC: 76.3% (SE: 3.6%), AUC: 75/0% (SE: 3.8%), respectively]. The FOUR score of 24 and 48 hours (x² = 10.06, p = 0.261, x² = 6.82, p = 0.448, respectively) showed acceptable calibration.

Conclusions

The FOUR score is a suitable scoring system for prognostication of outcomes in critically ill elderly patients. The FOUR score 24 hours of admission was superior in terms of discrimination power than 48 and 72 hours, but better calibration power belonged to FOUR score 48 hours.

How to cite this article

Ramazani J, Hosseini M. Prediction of Mortality in the Medical Intensive Care Unit with Serial Full Outline of Unresponsiveness Score in Elderly Patients. Indian J Crit Care Med 2022;26(1):94–99.

Prospective Inverse Probability of Treatment-Weighting Analysis of the Clinical Outcome of Red Blood Cell Transfusion Practice in Critically Ill Children

OBJECTIVE

To study the clinical outcomes of red blood cell (RBC) transfusion practices in critically ill children.

METHOD

This prospective cohort study was conducted in a tertiary care pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) from March-2015 to January-2018. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) using propensity score analysis was used. Children aged 1 mo to 12 y admitted to the PICU were screened. Patients were classified into 'transfused' and 'nontransfused', based on whether they received a transfusion or not. Patients with hematological malignancies, or immunosuppressant drugs, or those who received repeated transfusions, or received transfusion before admission, or died within 24 h were excluded. The primary outcome was all-cause 28 d mortality. Secondary outcomes were new-onset organ dysfunction, mechanical ventilation duration, and length of PICU and hospital stay.

RESULTS

A total of 1014 patients [transfused = 277; nontransfused = 737) were included. In IPTW analysis, the risk of all-cause 28 d mortality was 53% higher in transfused than nontransfused patients [hazard ratio = 1.53, 95% CI: 1.18-1.98, p = 0.001 by Log-rank test]. Organ dysfunction was higher in transfused than nontransfused patients [3.8% vs. 1.3%, hazard ratio = 3.0, 95% CI: 1.40-6.48, p = 0.005]. The risk of staying in the mechanical ventilation was similar in both groups [hazard ratio = 1.03, 95% CI: 0.86-1.23, p = 0.756]. The risk of extended stay in the PICU and hospital was 16% and 21% higher in transfused than nontransfused patients [hazard ratio = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.03-1.30; p = 0.005; and 1.21, 95% CI: 1.08-1.36; p = 0.001], respectively.

CONCLUSION

Red blood cell transfusion was independently associated with higher all-cause 28 d mortality and morbidities in critically ill children.

Nursing-Sensitive Outcomes among Patients Cared for in Paediatric Intensive Care Units: A Scoping Review

Measuring the effectiveness of nursing interventions in intensive care units has been established as a priority. However, little is reported about the paediatric population. The aims of this study were (a) to map the state of the art of the science in the field of nursing-sensitive outcomes (NSOs) in paediatric intensive care units (PICUs) and (b) to identify all reported NSOs documented to date in PICUs by also describing their metrics. A scoping review was conducted by following the framework proposed by Arksey and O’Malley. Fifty-eight articles were included. Publications were mainly authored in the United States and Canada (n = 28, 48.3%), and the majority (n = 30, 51.7%) had an observational design. A total of 46 NSOs were documented. The most reported were related to the clinical (n = 83), followed by safety (n = 41) and functional (n = 18) domains. Regarding their metrics, the majority of NSOs were measured in their occurrence using quantitative single measures, and a few validated tools were used to a lesser extent. No NSOs were reported in the perceptual domain. Nursing care of critically ill children encompasses three levels: improvement in clinical performance, as measured by clinical outcomes; assurance of patient care safety, as measured by safety outcomes; and promotion of fundamental care needs, as measured by functional outcomes. Perceptual outcomes deserve to be explored.

Comparison of the Turkish versions of the Glasgow coma scale and four score used by intensive care nurses for neurological evaluation

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to compare the use of the Turkish versions of the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and Full Outline of UnResponsiveness (FOUR) Score by intensive care nurses in neurological evaluation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This cross-sectional study was conducted between July 2018 and March 2019 with 92 patients in the general intensive care unit (ICU) of the training and research hospital of a private university. Data were collected using nurse and patient information forms, the GCS and the FOUR Score. The patients were evaluated by 27 intensive care nurses. To evaluate interrater reliability of the GCS and FOUR Score, each patient in the study was evaluated using both scales by two nurses who were blinded to each other's responses.

RESULTS

Comparison of the patients' mean GCS and FOUR Score values from the two nurses revealed no significant difference in subscale or total scores (p > 0.05). Evaluation of interrater reliability demonstrated very good agreement (κ = 0.935, p < 0.001). There was also very good agreement between the results of the two nurse groups when the patients' total scores were categorised according to the cut-off points for the two instruments (κ = 0.927, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated excellent agreement in the Turkish GCS and FOUR Score values, indicating that both scales can be used in neurological evaluation. Both instruments are reliable and easily applied by ICU nurses.

RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE

The Turkish versions of the FOUR Score and GCS are both appropriate for use in intensive care units and are reliable tools for use by intensive care unit nurses.

Development a clinical prediction model of the neurological outcome for patients with coma and survived 24 hours after cardiopulmonary resuscitation

Background

Cardiac arrest is still a global public health problem at present. The neurological outcome is the core indicator of the prognosis of cardiac arrest. However, there is no effective means or tools to predict the neurological outcome of patients with coma and survived 24 hours after successful cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR).

Hypothesis

Therefore, we expect to construct a prediction model to predict the neurological outcome for patients with coma and survived 24 hours after successful CPR.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was used to construct a prediction model of the neurological function for patients with coma and survived 24 hours after successful CPR. From January 2007 to December 2015, a total of 262 patients met the inclusion and exclusion criteria.

Results

The predictive model was developed using preselected variables by a systematic review of the literature. Finally, we get five sets of models (three sets of construction models and two sets of internal verification models) which with similar predictive value. The stepwise model, which including seven variables (age, noncardiac etiology, nonshockable rhythm, bystander CPR, total epinephrine dose, APTT, and SOFA score), was the simplest model, so we choose it as our final predictive model. The area under the ROC curve (AUC), specificity, and sensitivity of the stepwise model were respectively 0.82 (0.77, 0.87), 0.72and 0.82. The AUC, specificity, and sensitivity of the bootstrap stepwise (BS stepwise) model were respectively 0.82 (0.77, 0.87), 0.71, and 0.82.

Conclusion

This new and validated predictive model may provide individualized estimates of neurological function for patients with coma and survived 24 hours after successful CPR using readily obtained clinical risk factors. External validation studies are required further to demonstrate the model's accuracy in diverse patient populations.

The current significance of the FOUR score: A systematic review and critical analysis of the literature

BACKGROUND

The Full Outline of Un-Responsiveness Score (FOURs) is a scale for clinical assessment of consciousness that was introduced to overcome disadvantages of the widely accepted Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS).

OBJECTIVE

To carry out a systematic review and critical analysis of the available literature on the clinical application of FOURs and perform a comparison to GCS, in terms of reliability and predictive value.

METHODS

Initial search retrieved a total of 147 papers. After applying strict inclusion criteria and further article selection to overcome data heterogeneity, a statistical comparison of inter-rater reliability, in-hospital mortality and long-term outcome prediction between the two scales in the adult and pediatric population was done.

RESULTS

Even though FOURs is more complicated than GCS, its application remains quite simple. Its reliability, validity and predictive value have been supported by an increasing number of studies, especially in critical care. A statistically significant difference (p = .034) in predicting in-hospital mortality in adults, in favor of FOURs when compared to GCS, was found. However, whether it poses a clinically significant advantage in detecting patients' deterioration and outcome prediction, compared to other scaling systems, remains unclear.

CONCLUSIONS

Further studies are needed to discern the FOURs' clinical usefulness, especially in patients in non-critical condition, with milder disorders of consciousness.