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Kahn J, Pregartner G, Avian A, Kniepeiss D, Müller H, Schemmer P. The Graz Liver Allocation Strategy-Impact of Extended Criteria Grafts on Outcome Considering Immunological Aspects. Front Immunol 2020; 11:1584. [PMID: 32849538 PMCID: PMC7427688 DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2020.01584] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2019] [Accepted: 06/15/2020] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Transplant centers are forced to use livers of extended criteria donors for transplantation due to a dramatic organ shortage. The outcome effect of extended donor criteria (EDCs) remains unclear. Thus, this study was designed to assess the impact of EDCs on outcome including immunological aspects after liver transplantation (LT). Patients and Methods: Between November 2016 and March 2018, 49 patients (85.7% male) with a mean age of 57 ± 11 years underwent LT. The impact of EDCs on outcome after LT was assessed retrospectively using both MedOcs and ENIS (Eurotransplant Network Information System). Results: About 80% of grafts derived from extended criteria donors. Alanine aminotransferase/aspartate aminotransferase (AST/ALT) levels elevated more than three times above normal values in organ donors was the only significant risk factor for primary dysfunction (PDF) and primary non-function (PNF)/Re-LT and early non-anastomotic biliary strictures (NAS). Balance of risk (BAR) score did not differ between EDC and non-EDC recipients. PDF (14.3% of all patients) and PNF (6.1% of all patients) occurred in 23.1% of EDC-graft recipients and in 10.0% of non-EDC-graft recipients (RR 2.31, p = 0.663). The 90-day mortality was 3.6%. There was no difference of early non-anastomotic biliary tract complications and biopsy proven rejections (BPR). There was no correlation of PDF/PNF with BPR and NAS, respectively; however, 66.7% of the patients with BPR also developed early NAS (p < 0.001). Conclusion: With the Graz liver allocation strategy, excellent survival can be achieved selecting livers with no more than 2 not outcome-relevant EDCs for patients with MELD >20. Further, BPR is associated with biliary complications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Judith Kahn
- General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.,Transplant Center Graz, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Gudrun Pregartner
- Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Documentation, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Alexander Avian
- Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Documentation, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Daniela Kniepeiss
- General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.,Transplant Center Graz, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Helmut Müller
- General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.,Transplant Center Graz, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Peter Schemmer
- General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.,Transplant Center Graz, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
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2
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Lozanovski VJ, Khajeh E, Fonouni H, Pfeiffenberger J, von Haken R, Brenner T, Mieth M, Schirmacher P, Michalski CW, Weiss KH, Büchler MW, Mehrabi A. The impact of major extended donor criteria on graft failure and patient mortality after liver transplantation. Langenbecks Arch Surg 2018; 403:719-731. [PMID: 30112639 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-018-1704-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2018] [Accepted: 08/07/2018] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Numerous extended donor criteria (EDC) have been identified in liver transplantation (LT), but different EDC have different impacts on graft and patient survival. This study aimed to identify major EDC (maEDC) that were best able to predict the outcome after LT and to examine the plausibility of an allocation algorithm based on these criteria. METHODS All consecutive LTs between 12/2006 and 03/2014 were included (n = 611). We analyzed the following EDC: donor age > 65 years, body mass index > 30, malignancy and drug abuse history, intensive care unit stay/ventilation > 7 days, aminotransferases > 3 times normal, serum bilirubin > 3 mg/dL, serum Na+ > 165 mmol/L, positive hepatitis serology, biopsy-proven macrovesicular steatosis (BPS) > 40%, and cold ischemia time (CIT) > 14 h. We analyzed hazard risk ratios of graft failure for each EDC and evaluated primary non-function (PNF). In addition, we analyzed 30-day, 90-day, 1-year, and 3-year graft survival. We established low- and high-risk graft (maEDC 0 vs. ≥ 1) and recipient (labMELD < 20 vs. ≥ 20) groups and compared the post-LT outcomes between these groups. RESULTS BPS > 40%, donor age > 65 years, and CIT > 14 h (all p < 0.05) were independent predictors of graft failure and patient mortality and increased PNF, 30-day, 90-day, 1-year, and 3-year graft failure rates. Three-year graft and patient survival decreased in recipients of ≥ 1 maEDC grafts (all p < 0.05) and LT of high-risk grafts into high-risk recipients yielded worse outcomes compared with other groups. CONCLUSION Donor age > 65 years, BPS > 40%, and CIT > 14 h are major EDC that decrease short and 3-year graft survival, and 3-year patient survival. An allocation algorithm based on maEDC and labMELD is therefore plausible.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vladimir J Lozanovski
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, University Hospital Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 110, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Elias Khajeh
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, University Hospital Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 110, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Hamidreza Fonouni
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, University Hospital Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 110, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Jan Pfeiffenberger
- Department of Internal Medicine IV, University Hospital Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 410, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Rebecca von Haken
- Department of Anesthesiology, University Hospital Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 110, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Thorsten Brenner
- Department of Anesthesiology, University Hospital Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 110, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Markus Mieth
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, University Hospital Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 110, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Peter Schirmacher
- Institute of Pathology, University Hospital Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 220/221, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Christoph W Michalski
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, University Hospital Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 110, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Karl Heinz Weiss
- Department of Internal Medicine IV, University Hospital Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 410, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Markus W Büchler
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, University Hospital Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 110, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Arianeb Mehrabi
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, University Hospital Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 110, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany.
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Molina Raya A, Vílchez Rabelo A, Domínguez Bastante M, Fundora Suarez Y. Influence of Donor Obesity on Long-Term Liver Transplantation Outcomes. Transplant Proc 2018; 51:62-66. [PMID: 30655127 DOI: 10.1016/j.transproceed.2018.03.134] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2018] [Accepted: 03/15/2018] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To analyze liver transplantation outcomes according to the body mass index (BMI) of donors. MATERIAL AND METHODS A retrospective descriptive study was conducted in patients transplanted at our center between January 2006 and December 2014, comparing outcomes between grafts from obese (body mass index [BMI] ≥30) and nonobese (BMI ≤30) donors. We analyzed the reasons for transplantation, the morbidity-mortality related variables, and survival after a minimum follow-up of 24 months. A multivariate logistic model was constructed to predict the mortality. Survival was analyzed with the Kaplan-Meier method, and survival curves were compared using the log-rank test. RESULTS The study included 50 obese and 175 nonobese donors. A significant difference between the groups was found in the pre-extraction intensive care unit (ICU) stay of the donors (P = .006) but not in the post-transplantation complications or survival of the respective recipients (P > .05). In the multivariate analysis, mortality was significantly associated with the presence of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) (P = .001) in the recipient and with the age of the donor (P = .043), finding the risk of death to be 2.87-fold higher in patients with HCV versus without HCV (95% confidence interval [1.641-5.043]) and 1.7% higher with every additional year of donor age (odds ratio 1.017, 95% confidence interval [1-1.034]). CONCLUSIONS A significantly longer pre-extraction ICU stay was observed in obese (BMI ≥30) versus nonobese (BMI <30) donors, but no significant between-group difference was found in the post-transplant complications or survival of the respective recipients. The mortality risk was higher in HCV-positive recipients and in those receiving grafts from older donors.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Molina Raya
- Virgen de las Nieves University Hospital (University Hospital Centre of Granada), General Digestive Surgery and Liver Transplantation Department, Granada, Spain.
| | - A Vílchez Rabelo
- Virgen de las Nieves University Hospital (University Hospital Centre of Granada), General Digestive Surgery and Liver Transplantation Department, Granada, Spain
| | - M Domínguez Bastante
- Virgen de las Nieves University Hospital (University Hospital Centre of Granada), General Digestive Surgery and Liver Transplantation Department, Granada, Spain
| | - Y Fundora Suarez
- Virgen de las Nieves University Hospital (University Hospital Centre of Granada), General Digestive Surgery and Liver Transplantation Department, Granada, Spain
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4
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Andert A, Ulmer TF, Schöning W, Kroy D, Hein M, Alizai PH, Heidenhain C, Neumann U, Schmeding M. Grade of donor liver microvesicular steatosis does not affect the postoperative outcome after liver transplantation. Hepatobiliary Pancreat Dis Int 2017; 16:617-623. [PMID: 29291781 DOI: 10.1016/s1499-3872(17)60064-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/10/2017] [Accepted: 06/23/2017] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The potential effect of graft steatosis on the postoperative liver function is discussed controversially. The present study aimed to evaluate the effect of the donor liver microvesicular steatosis on the postoperative outcome after liver transplantation. METHODS Ninety-four patients undergoing liver transplantation at the University Hospital Aachen were included in this study. The patient cohort was divided into three groups according to the grade of microvesicular steatosis (MiS): MiS <30% (n=27), MiS 30%-60% (n=41) and MiS >60% (n=26). The outcomes after liver transplantation were evaluated, including the 30-day and 1-year patient and graft survival rates and the incidences of early allograft dysfunction (EAD) and primary nonfunction (PNF). RESULTS The incidences of EAD and PNF did not differ significantly between the groups. We observed 5 cases of PNF, one occurred in the MiS <30% group and 4 in the MiS 30%-60% group. The 30-day and 1-year graft survivals did not differ significantly between groups. The 30-day patient survival rates were 100% in all groups. The 1-year patient survival rates were 94.4% in the MiS <30% group, 87.9% in the MiS 30%-60% group and 90.9% in the MiS >60% group. CONCLUSION Microvesicular steatosis of donor livers has no negative effect on the postoperative outcome after liver transplantation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anne Andert
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplant Surgery, Uniklinik RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany.
| | - Tom Florian Ulmer
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplant Surgery, Uniklinik RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany
| | - Wenzel Schöning
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplant Surgery, Uniklinik RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany
| | - Daniela Kroy
- Department of Internal Medicine, Uniklinik RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany
| | - Marc Hein
- Department of Anaesthesiology, Uniklinik RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany
| | - Patrick Hamid Alizai
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplant Surgery, Uniklinik RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany
| | - Christoph Heidenhain
- Department of General and Visceral Surgery, Sana Hospital Düsseldorf-Gerresheim, Germany
| | - Ulf Neumann
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplant Surgery, Uniklinik RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany
| | - Maximilian Schmeding
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplant Surgery, Uniklinik RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany
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5
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Schrem H, Focken M, Gunson B, Reichert B, Mirza D, Kreipe HH, Neil D, Kaltenborn A, Goldis A, Krauth C, Roberts K, Becker T, Klempnauer J, Neuberger J. The new liver allocation score for transplantation is validated and improved transplant survival benefit in Germany but not in the United Kingdom. Liver Transpl 2016; 22:743-56. [PMID: 26947766 DOI: 10.1002/lt.24421] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2015] [Revised: 12/27/2015] [Accepted: 01/11/2016] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
Prognostic models for the prediction of 90-day mortality after transplantation with pretransplant donor and recipient variables are needed to calculate transplant benefit. Transplants in adult recipients in Germany (Hannover, n = 770; Kiel, n = 234) and the United Kingdom (Birmingham, n = 829) were used for prognostic model design and validation in separate training and validation cohorts. The survival benefit of transplantation was estimated by subtracting the observed posttransplant 90-day mortality from the expected 90-day mortality without transplantation determined by the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. A prognostic model called the liver allocation score (LivAS) was derived using a randomized sample from Hannover using pretransplant donor and recipient variables. This model could be validated in the German training and validation cohorts (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] > 0.70) but not in the English cohort (AUROC, 0.58). Although 90-day mortality rates after transplantation were 13.7% in Hannover, 12.1% in Kiel, and 8.3% in Birmingham, the calculated 90-day survival benefits of transplantation were 6.8% in Hannover, 7.8% in Kiel, and 2.8% in Birmingham. Deployment of the LivAS for limiting allocation to donor and recipient combinations with likely 90-day survival as indicated by pretransplant LivAS values below the cutoff value would have increased the survival benefit to 12.9% in the German cohorts, whereas this would have decreased the benefit in England to 1.3%. The English and German cohorts revealed significant differences in 21 of 28 pretransplant variables. In conclusion, the LivAS could be validated in Germany and may improve German allocation policies leading to greater survival benefits, whereas validation failed in England due to profound differences in the selection criteria for liver transplantation. This study suggests the need for national prognostic models. Even though the German centers had higher rates of 90-day mortality, estimated survival benefits were greater. Liver Transplantation 22 743-756 2016 AASLD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Harald Schrem
- Core Facility Quality Management and Health Technology Assessment in Transplantation, Integrated Research and Treatment Center Transplantation.,General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery
| | - Moritz Focken
- Core Facility Quality Management and Health Technology Assessment in Transplantation, Integrated Research and Treatment Center Transplantation
| | - Bridget Gunson
- The Liver Unit and, Birmingham, United Kingdom.,Liver Biomedical Research Unit, National Institute for Health Research, University of Birmingham, United Kingdom
| | - Benedikt Reichert
- General, Visceral, Thoracic, Transplant and Pediatric Surgery, University Hospital Schleswig Holstein, Kiel, Germany
| | | | | | - Desley Neil
- Pathology, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Birmingham, United Kingdom
| | - Alexander Kaltenborn
- Core Facility Quality Management and Health Technology Assessment in Transplantation, Integrated Research and Treatment Center Transplantation.,Trauma and Orthopedic Surgery, Federal Armed Forces Hospital, Westerstede, Germany
| | - Alon Goldis
- Lean Six Sigma Black Belt, Amstelveen, Netherlands
| | - Christian Krauth
- Health Economics and Health Systems Research, Institute of Epidemiology, Social Medicine and Health Systems Research, Institute of Epidemiology, Social Medicine and Health Systems Research, Hannover Medical School, Germany
| | | | - Thomas Becker
- General, Visceral, Thoracic, Transplant and Pediatric Surgery, University Hospital Schleswig Holstein, Kiel, Germany
| | | | - James Neuberger
- The Liver Unit and, Birmingham, United Kingdom.,Blood and Transplant, Organ Donation and Transplant, National Health Service, Bristol, United Kingdom
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6
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Bypass during Liver Transplantation: Anachronism or Revival? Liver Transplantation Using a Combined Venovenous/Portal Venous Bypass-Experiences with 163 Liver Transplants in a Newly Established Liver Transplantation Program. Gastroenterol Res Pract 2015; 2015:967951. [PMID: 25821462 PMCID: PMC4363615 DOI: 10.1155/2015/967951] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2014] [Revised: 01/25/2015] [Accepted: 01/25/2015] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction. The venovenous/portal venous (VVP) bypass technique has generally become obsolete in liver transplantation (LT) today. We evaluated our experience with 163 consecutive LTs that used a VVP bypass. Patients and Methods. The liver transplant program was started in our center in 2010. LTs were performed using an extracorporal bypass device. Results. Mean operative time was 269 minutes and warm ischemic time 43 minutes. The median number of transfusion of packed cells and plasma was 7 and 14. There was no intraoperative death, and the 30-day mortality was 3%. Severe bypass-induced complications did not occur. Discussion. The introduction of a new LT program requires maximum safety measures for all of the parties involved. Both surgical and anaesthesiological management (reperfusion) can be controlled very reliably using a VVP bypass device. Particularly when using marginal grafts, this approach helps to minimise both surgical and anaesthesiological complications in terms of less volume overload, less use of vasopressive drugs, less myocardial injury, and better peripheral blood circulation. Conclusion. Based on our experiences while establishing a new liver transplantation program, we advocate the reappraisal of the extracorporeal VVP bypass.
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7
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Schrem H, Platsakis AL, Kaltenborn A, Koch A, Metz C, Barthold M, Krauth C, Amelung V, Braun F, Becker T, Klempnauer J, Reichert B. Value and limitations of the BAR-score for donor allocation in liver transplantation. Langenbecks Arch Surg 2014; 399:1011-9. [PMID: 25218679 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-014-1247-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2014] [Accepted: 09/08/2014] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE The MELD-score was shown to be able to predict 90-day mortality in most patients with end-stage liver disease prior to liver transplantation and is used as a widely accepted measure for transplantation urgency. Prognostic ability of the BAR-score to predict 90-day post-transplant mortality by detection of unfavourable pretransplant combinations of donor and recipient factors may help to better balance urgency versus utility. METHODS Two German cohorts (Hannover, n=453; Kiel, n=234) were retrospectively analyzed using ROC-curve analysis, goodness-of-model-fit tests, summary measures and risk-adjusted multivariate binary regression. Included were all consecutive liver transplants performed in adult recipients (minimum age 18 years). Excluded were all combined transplants and living-related organ donor transplants. RESULTS Risk-adjusted multivariate regression revealed that the BAR-score is an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality after transplantation in both cohorts from Hannover and Kiel combined (p<0.001, OR=1.017, 95% CI:1.031-1.113). The area under the ROC-curve (AUROC) for the prediction of 90-day mortality using the BAR-score was 0.662 (95% CI 0.624-0.699, power>95%). Measures for association between observed 90-day mortality and the predicted probabilities in the combined cohort were concordant in 63.5% with low summary measures (Somers' D test 0.32, Goodman-Kruskal Gamma test 0.34 and Kendall's Tau a test 0.07). CONCLUSIONS The BAR-score performed below accepted thresholds for potentially useful clinical prognostic models. Prognostic models with better predictive ability with AUROCs>0.700, concordance>70% and larger summary measures are required for the prediction of 90-day post-transplant mortality to enable donor organ allocation with reliable weighing of urgency versus utility.
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Affiliation(s)
- Harald Schrem
- General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, Hanover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Str. 1, 30625, Hannover, Germany,
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8
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Klose J, Klose MA, Metz C, Lehner F, Manns MP, Klempnauer J, Hoppe N, Schrem H, Kaltenborn A. Outcome stagnation of liver transplantation for primary sclerosing cholangitis in the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease era. Langenbecks Arch Surg 2014; 399:1021-9. [PMID: 24888532 PMCID: PMC4232743 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-014-1214-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2014] [Accepted: 05/10/2014] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE Survival after liver transplantation (LTX) has decreased in Germany since the implementation of Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD)-based liver allocation. Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is known for its otherwise excellent outcome after LTX. The influence of MELD-based liver allocation and subsequent allocation policy alterations on the outcome of LTX for PSC is analyzed. METHODS This is a retrospective observational study including 126 consecutive patients treated with LTX for PSC between January 1, 1999 and August 31, 2012. The PSC cohort was further compared to all other indications for LTX in the study period (n=1420) with a mean follow-up of 7.9 years (SD 3.2). Multivariate risk-adjusted analyses were performed. Alterations of allocation policy have been taken into account systematically. RESULTS Transplant recipients suffering from PSC are significantly younger (p<0.001), can be discharged earlier (p=0.018), and have lower 3-month mortality than patients with other indications (p=0.044). The observed time on the waiting list is significantly longer for patients with PSC (p<0.001), and there is a trend toward lower match MELD points in the PSC cohort (p=0.052). No improvement in means of short-term mortality could be shown in relation to alterations of allocation policy within the MELD era (p=0.375). Survival rates of the pre-MELD era did not differ significantly from those of the MELD era (p=0.097) in multivariate risk-adjusted analysis. Patients in the MELD era suffered pre-transplant significantly more frequently from dominant bile duct stenosis (p=0.071, p=0.059, p=0.048, respectively; chi2). CONCLUSIONS Progress is stagnating in LTX for PSC. Current liver allocation for PSC patients should be reconsidered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Johannes Klose
- General, Visceral and Transplant Surgery, University of Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld, 110, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany,
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9
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Reichert B, Kaltenborn A, Goldis A, Schrem H. Prognostic limitations of the Eurotransplant-Donor Risk Index in liver transplantation. J Negat Results Biomed 2013; 12:18. [PMID: 24365258 PMCID: PMC3877980 DOI: 10.1186/1477-5751-12-18] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2013] [Accepted: 12/22/2013] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Liver transplantation is the only life-saving therapeutic option for end-stage liver disease. Progressive donor organ shortage and declining donor organ quality justify the evaluation of the leverage of the Donor-Risk-Index, which was recently adjusted to the Eurotransplant community’s requirements (ET-DRI). We analysed the prognostic value of the ET-DRI for the prediction of outcome after liver transplantation in our center within the Eurotransplant community. Results 291 consecutive adult liver transplants were analysed in a single centre study with ongoing data collection. Determination of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was performed to calculate the sensitivity, specificity, and overall correctness of the Eurotransplant-Donor-Risk-Index (ET-DRI) for the prediction of 3-month and 1-year mortality, as well as 3-month and 1-year graft survival. Cut-off values were determined with the best Youden-index. The ET-DRI is unable to predict 3-month mortality (AUROC: 0.477) and 3-month graft survival (AUROC: 0.524) with acceptable sensitivity, specificity and overall correctness (54% and 56.3%, respectively). Logistic regression confirmed this finding (p = 0.573 and p = 0.163, respectively). Determined cut-off values of the ET-DRI for these predictions had no significant influence on long-term patient and graft survival (p = 0.230 and p = 0.083, respectively; Kaplan-Meier analysis with Log-Rank test). Conclusions The ET-DRI should not be used for donor organ allocation policies without further evaluation, e.g. in combination with relevant recipient variables. Robust and objective prognostic scores for donor organ allocation purposes are desperately needed to balance equity and utility in donor organ allocation.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Alexander Kaltenborn
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplant Surgery, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg Str, 1, 30625, Hannover, Germany.
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10
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Mossdorf A, Kalverkamp S, Langenbrinck L, Ulmer TF, Temizel I, Neumann U, Heidenhain C. Allocation procedure has no impact on patient and graft outcome after liver transplantation. Transpl Int 2013; 26:886-92. [DOI: 10.1111/tri.12144] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2013] [Revised: 04/07/2013] [Accepted: 06/10/2013] [Indexed: 01/15/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Anne Mossdorf
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery; Uniklinik RWTH Aachen; Aachen; Germany
| | - Sebastian Kalverkamp
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery; Uniklinik RWTH Aachen; Aachen; Germany
| | - Luise Langenbrinck
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery; Uniklinik RWTH Aachen; Aachen; Germany
| | - Tom Florian Ulmer
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery; Uniklinik RWTH Aachen; Aachen; Germany
| | - Ilknur Temizel
- Department of Internal Medicine III; Uniklinik RWTH Aachen; Aachen; Germany
| | - Ulf Neumann
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery; Uniklinik RWTH Aachen; Aachen; Germany
| | - Christoph Heidenhain
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery; Uniklinik RWTH Aachen; Aachen; Germany
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