[18F]FDG-PET/CT to prevent futile surgery in indeterminate thyroid nodules: a blinded, randomised controlled multicentre trial

Endocrinology application of molecular imaging: current role of PET/CT

BACKGROUND

In recent years, nuclear medicine imaging methods have proven to be of paramount importance in a wide variety of diseases, particularly in oncology, where they are crucial for assessing the extent of disease when conventional methods fall short. Moreover, nuclear imaging modalities are able to better characterize lesions using target agents related to specific pathways (e.g. glucose metabolism, cellular proliferation, amino acid transport, lipid metabolism, specific receptor ligands). The clinical presentation of endocrine diseases encompasses a broad spectrum of sign and symptoms. Moreover, endocrine tumors show varying degrees of aggressiveness from well differentiated and indolent to highly aggressive cancers, respectively.

RATIONALE

With the application of new medicinal radio-compounds and increasingly advanced tomographic imaging technology, the utility of Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography (PET/CT) in the field of endocrine diseases is expanding.

AIM

This review aims to analyze and summarize the primary indications of PET/CT, providing a practical approach for clinicians. A comprehensive literature search on PubMed was conducted to provide an updated overview of the available evidence regarding the use of PET/CT in endocrinology. Within this review, we will discuss the applications of PET/CT, compare different radiopharmaceuticals and highlight the uptake mechanism, excluding neuroendocrine carcinomas from discussion.

CONCLUSIONS

PET/CT is a valuable tool in diagnosing and managing endocrine disorders due to its capacity to furnish both functional and anatomical information, facilitate early lesion detection, guide treatment decisions, and monitor treatment response. Its non-invasive nature and precision make it an integral component of modern endocrine healthcare. This review aims to provide physicians with a clear perspective on the role of PET/CT imaging, discussing its emerging opportunities and appropriateness of use in endocrinological diseases.

Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography in Thyroid Cancer: An Updated Review

PET/computed tomography (CT) is a valuable hybrid imaging modality for the evaluation of thyroid cancer, potentially impacting management decisions. 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT has proven utility for recurrence evaluation in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients having thyroglobulin elevation with negative iodine scintigraphy. Aggressive histologic subtypes such as anaplastic thyroid cancer shower higher FDG uptake. 18F-FDOPA is the preferred PET tracer for medullary thyroid cancer. Fibroblast activation protein inhibitor and arginylglycylaspartic acid -based radiotracers have emerged as promising PET agents for radioiodine refractory DTC patients with the potential for theranostic application.

Assessment of the risk of malignancy in Bethesda III thyroid nodules: a comprehensive review

The increasing prevalence of thyroid cancer emphasizes the need for a thorough assessment of risk of malignancy in Bethesda III nodules. Various methods ranging commercial platforms of molecular genetic testing (including Afirma® GEC, Afirma® GSC, ThyroSeq® V3, RosettaGX®, ThyGeNEXT®/ThyraMIR®, ThyroidPRINT®) to radionuclide scans and ultrasonography have been investigated to provide a more nuanced comprehension of risk estimation. The integration of molecular studies and imaging techniques into clinical practice may provide clinicians with improved and personalized risk assessment. This integrated approach we feel may enable clinicians to carefully tailor interventions, thereby minimizing the likelihood of unnecessary thyroid surgeries and overall crafting the optimal treatment. By aligning with the evolving landscape of personalized healthcare, this comprehensive strategy ensures a patient-centric approach to thyroid nodule and thyroid cancer management.

Integrated Diagnostics of Thyroid Nodules

Thyroid nodules are common findings, particularly in iodine-deficient regions. Our paper aims to revise different diagnostic tools available in clinical thyroidology and propose their rational integration. We will elaborate on the pros and cons of thyroid ultrasound (US) and its scoring systems, thyroid scintigraphy, fine-needle aspiration cytology (FNAC), molecular imaging, and artificial intelligence (AI). Ultrasonographic scoring systems can help differentiate between benign and malignant nodules. Depending on the constellation or number of suspicious ultrasound features, a FNAC is recommended. However, hyperfunctioning thyroid nodules are presumed to exclude malignancy with a very high negative predictive value (NPV). Particularly in regions where iodine supply is low, most hyperfunctioning thyroid nodules are seen in patients with normal thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels. Thyroid scintigraphy is essential for the detection of these nodules. Among non-toxic thyroid nodules, a careful application of US risk stratification systems is pivotal to exclude inappropriate FNAC and guide the procedure on suspicious ones. However, almost one-third of cytology examinations are rendered as indeterminate, requiring "diagnostic surgery" to provide a definitive diagnosis. 99mTc-methoxy-isobutyl-isonitrile ([99mTc]Tc-MIBI) and [18F]fluoro-deoxy-glucose ([18F]FDG) molecular imaging can spare those patients from unnecessary surgeries. The clinical value of AI in the evaluation of thyroid nodules needs to be determined.

Molecular Diagnostics and [18F]FDG-PET/CT in Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules: Complementing Techniques or Waste of Valuable Resources?

Background: An accurate preoperative workup of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITN) may rule out malignancy and avoid diagnostic surgery for benign nodules. This study assessed the performance of molecular diagnostics (MD) and 2-[18F]fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose ([18F]FDG)-positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) in ITN, including their combined use, and explored whether molecular alterations drive the differences in [18F]FDG uptake among benign nodules. Methods: Adult, euthyroid patients with a Bethesda III or IV thyroid nodule were prospectively included in this multicenter study. They all underwent MD and an [18F]FDG-PET/CT scan of the neck. MD was performed using custom next-generation sequencing panels for somatic mutations, gene fusions, and copy number alterations and loss of heterozygosity. Sensitivity, specificity, negative and positive predictive value (NPV, PPV), and benign call rate (BCR) were assessed for MD and [18F]FDG-PET/CT separately and for a combined approach using both techniques. Results: In 115 of the 132 (87%) included patients, MD yielded a diagnostic result on cytology. Sensitivity, specificity, NPV, PPV, and BCR were 80%, 69%, 91%, 48%, and 57% for MD, and 93%, 41%, 95%, 36%, and 32% for [18F]FDG-PET/CT, respectively. When combined, sensitivity and specificity were 95% and 44% for a double-negative test (i.e., negative MD plus negative [18F]FDG-PET/CT) and 68% and 86% for a double-positive test, respectively. Concordance was 63% (82/130) between MD and [18F]FDG-PET/CT. There were more MD-positive nodules among the [18F]FDG-positive benign nodules (25/59, 42%, including 11 (44%) isolated RAS mutations) than among the [18F]FDG-negative benign nodules (7/30, 19%, p = 0.02). In oncocytic ITN, the BCR of [18F]FDG-PET/CT was mere 3% and MD was the superior technique. Conclusions: MD and [18F]FDG-PET/CT are both accurate rule-out tests when unresected nodules that remain unchanged on ultrasound follow-up are considered benign. It may vary worldwide which test is considered most suitable, depending on local availability of diagnostics, expertise, and cost-effectiveness considerations. Although complementary, the benefits of their combined use may be confined when therapeutic consequences are considered, and should therefore not routinely be recommended. In nononcocytic ITN, sequential testing may be considered in case of a first-step MD negative test to confirm that withholding diagnostic surgery is oncologically safe. In oncocytic ITN, after further validation studies, MD might be considered. Clinical Trial Registration: This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02208544 (August 5, 2014), https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02208544.

2023 European Thyroid Association Clinical Practice Guidelines for thyroid nodule management

With the widespread use of sensitive imaging techniques, which include neck visualization, a conspicuous number of thyroid nodules emerge and demand attention. Most lesions are benign, asymptomatic, and do not warrant treatment. In the case of cancer diagnosis, most are small, intrathyroidal and indolent neoplasms that can safely be managed conservatively. There is a pronounced need for more cost-effective, risk-adapted approaches to the management of this highly prevalent condition, taking the wishes of the patient into consideration. Thus, the present guidelines aim at providing a clinical practice guide for the initial workup and the subsequent management of adult individuals harboring thyroid nodules. Importantly, these guidelines are not intended to cover the management of thyroid malignancy. The manuscript and the specific recommendations were developed by reconciling the best available research evidence with the knowledge and clinical experience of the panelists and updating aspects of a number of previous European Thyroid Association guidelines.

European experience with the Afirma Gene Expression Classifier for indeterminate thyroid nodules: A clinical utility study in the Netherlands

BACKGROUND

The Gene Expression Classifier (GEC) and Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) were developed to improve risk stratification of indeterminate nodules. Our aim was to assess the clinical utility in a European population with restrictive diagnostic workup.

METHODS

Clinical utility of the GEC was assessed in a prospective multicenter cohort of 68 indeterminate nodules. Diagnostic surgical rates for Bethesda III and IV nodules were compared to a historical cohort of 171 indeterminate nodules. Samples were post hoc tested with the GSC.

RESULTS

The GEC classified 26% as benign. Surgical rates between the prospective and historical cohort did not differ (72.1% vs. 76.6%). The GSC classified 59% as benign, but misclassified six malignant lesions as benign.

CONCLUSION

Implementation of GEC in management of indeterminate nodules in a European country with restrictive diagnostic workup is currently not supported, especially in oncocytic nodules. Prospective studies with the GSC in European countries are needed to determine the clinical utility.

A clinically applicable molecular classification of oncocytic cell thyroid nodules

Whole chromosome instability with near-whole genome haploidization (GH) and subsequent endoreduplication is considered a main genomic driver in the tumorigenesis of oncocytic cell thyroid neoplasms (OCN). These copy number alterations (CNA) occur less frequently in oncocytic thyroid adenoma (OA) than in oncocytic carcinoma (OCA), suggesting a continuous process. The current study described the CNA patterns in a cohort of 30 benign and malignant OCN, observed using a next-generation sequencing (NGS) panel that assesses genome-wide loss of heterozygosity (LOH) and chromosomal imbalances using 1500 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) across all autosomes and the X chromosome in DNA derived from cytological and histological samples. Observed CNA patterns were verified using multiparameter DNA flow cytometry with or without whole-genome SNP array analysis and lesser-allele intensity-ratio (LAIR) analysis. On CNA-LOH analysis using the NGS panel, GH-type CNA were observed in 4 of 11 (36%) OA and in 14 of 16 OCA (88%). Endoreduplication was suspected in 8 of 16 (50%) OCA, all with more extensive GH-type CNA (P < 0.001). Reciprocal chromosomal imbalance type CNA, characterized by (imbalanced) chromosomal copy number gains and associated with benign disease, were observed in 6 of 11 (55%) OA and one equivocal case of OCA. CNA patterns were different between the histopathological subgroups (P < 0.001). By applying the structured interpretation and considerations provided by the current study, CNA-LOH analysis using an NGS panel that is feasible for daily practice may be of great added value to the widespread application of molecular diagnostics in the diagnosis and risk stratification of OCN.

Incidental Detection of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma in Tc-99 m PSMA Imaging in a Case with Negative FNA Result

Prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) is a type II transmembrane glycoprotein and is expressed in multiple solid malignant neoplasms. We presented a case of a prostate cancer patient who went through Tc-99 m PSMA SPECT, and multifocal increased radiotracer uptake in the thyroid gland was demonstrated. Despite negative FNA results for malignancy, post-operative histopathologic examination illustrated papillary thyroid carcinoma.

Molecular testing in indeterminate thyroid nodules: an additional tool for clinical decision-making

Thyroid nodules are commonly encountered in clinical practice, affecting up to 50% of the population. The large majority of thyroid lumps are benign incidental findings detected by imaging, while approximately 5-15% harbor malignancy. For a target patient's care, it is of paramount importance to identify and treat thyroid malignancy, while preventing unnecessary invasive surgery in patients with benign lesions. Although fine needle aspiration (FNA) associated with cytological examination provides malignant risk information, 20-30% of diagnoses fall into the "indeterminate thyroid nodule" (ITN) category. ITN clinical management remains a challenging issue for physicians since the ITN risk of malignancy varies from 5% to 40% and most thyroid nodules undergo overtreatment with surgery procedures. ITN molecular testing may better define malignant risk in the single nodule and is able to discriminate with accuracy benign from malignant nodules. Nowadays there are different technologies and different molecular panels, each with its own specificity, sensitivity and predictive values. In view of widespread introduction of molecular testing , some outstanding questions remain and are addressed in the present review such as the presence of molecular panels acting as "rule in" or "rule out" tools, the effective impact of testing results in the clinical decision-making process, and the prohibitive cost of commercial assays associated with the lack of test reimbursement in national health systems.

Multi-Omics and Management of Follicular Carcinoma of the Thyroid

Follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC) is the second most common cancer of the thyroid gland, accounting for up to 20% of all primary malignant tumors in iodine-replete areas. The diagnostic work-up, staging, risk stratification, management, and follow-up strategies in patients who have FTC are modeled after those of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), even though FTC is more aggressive. FTC has a greater propensity for haematogenous metastasis than PTC. Furthermore, FTC is a phenotypically and genotypically heterogeneous disease. The diagnosis and identification of markers of an aggressive FTC depend on the expertise and thoroughness of pathologists during histopathological analysis. An untreated or metastatic FTC is likely to de-differentiate and become poorly differentiated or undifferentiated and resistant to standard treatment. While thyroid lobectomy is adequate for the treatment of selected patients who have low-risk FTC, it is not advisable for patients whose tumor is larger than 4 cm in diameter or has extensive extra-thyroidal extension. Lobectomy is also not adequate for tumors that have aggressive mutations. Although the prognosis for over 80% of PTC and FTC is good, nearly 20% of the tumors behave aggressively. The introduction of radiomics, pathomics, genomics, transcriptomics, metabolomics, and liquid biopsy have led to improvements in the understanding of tumorigenesis, progression, treatment response, and prognostication of thyroid cancer. The article reviews the challenges that are encountered during the diagnostic work-up, staging, risk stratification, management, and follow-up of patients who have FTC. How the application of multi-omics can strengthen decision-making during the management of follicular carcinoma is also discussed.

PET/CT May Assist in Avoiding Pointless Thyroidectomy in Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules: A Narrative Review

Indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITN) are commonly encountered among the general population, with a malignancy rate of 10 to 40%. However, many patients may be overtreated with futile surgery for benign ITN. To avoid unnecessary surgery, PET/CT scan is a possible alternative to help differentiate between benign and malignant ITN. In this narrative review, the major results and limitations of the most recent studies on PET/CT efficacy (from PET/CT visual assessment to quantitative PET parameters and recent radiomic features analysis) and on cost-effectiveness (compared to other alternatives (such as surgery)) are presented. PET/CT can reduce futile surgery with visual assessment (around 40%; if ITN ≥ 10 mm). Moreover, PET/CT conventional parameters and radiomic features extracted from PET/CT imaging can be associated together in a predictive model to rule out malignancy in ITN, with a high NPV (96%) when certain criteria are met. Even though promising results were obtained in these recent PET/CT studies, further studies are needed to enable PET/CT to become the definitive diagnostic tool once a thyroid nodule is identified as indeterminate.

[18F]FDG Uptake and Expression of Immunohistochemical Markers Related to Glycolysis, Hypoxia, and Proliferation in Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules

PURPOSE

The current study explored the association between 2-[¹⁸F]fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose ([¹⁸F]FDG) uptake and the quantitative expression of immunohistochemical markers related to glucose metabolism, hypoxia, and cell proliferation in benign and malignant thyroid nodules of indeterminate cytology.

PROCEDURES

Using a case-control design, 24 patients were selected from participants of a randomized controlled multicenter trial (NCT02208544) in which [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT and thyroid surgery were performed for Bethesda III and IV nodules. Three equally sized groups of [¹⁸F]FDG-positive malignant, [¹⁸F]FDG-positive benign, and [¹⁸F]FDG-negative benign nodules were included. Immunohistochemical staining was performed for glucose transporters (GLUT) 1, 3, and 4; hexokinases (HK) 1 and 2; hypoxia-inducible factor-1 alpha (HIF1α; monocarboxylate transporter 4 (MCT4); carbonic anhydrase IX (CA-IX); vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF); sodium-iodide symporter (NIS); and Ki-67. Marker expression was scored using an immunoreactive score. Unsupervised cluster analysis was performed. The immunoreactive score was correlated to the maximum and peak standardized uptake values (SUV_max, SUV_peak) and SUV_max ratio (SUV_max of nodule/background SUV_max of contralateral, normal thyroid) of the [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT using the Spearman's rank correlation coefficient and compared between the three groups using Kruskal-Wallis tests.

RESULTS

The expression of GLUT1, GLUT3, HK2, and MCT4 was strongly positively correlated with the SUV_max, SUV_peak, and SUV_max ratio. The expression of GLUT1 (p = 0.009), HK2 (p = 0.02), MCT4 (p = 0.01), and VEGF (p = 0.007) was statistically significantly different between [¹⁸F]FDG-positive benign nodules, [¹⁸F]FDG-positive thyroid carcinomas, and [¹⁸F]FDG-negative benign nodules. In both [¹⁸F]FDG-positive benign nodules and [¹⁸F]FDG-positive thyroid carcinomas, the expression of GLUT1, HK2, and MCT4 was increased as compared to [¹⁸F]FDG-negative benign nodules. VEGF expression was higher in [¹⁸F]FDG-positive thyroid carcinomas as compared to [¹⁸F]FDG-negative and [¹⁸F]FDG-positive benign nodules.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that [¹⁸F]FDG-positive benign thyroid nodules undergo changes in protein expression similar to those in thyroid carcinomas. To expand the understanding of the metabolic changes in benign and malignant thyroid nodules, further research is required, including correlation with underlying genetic alterations.

Advanced imaging and theranostics in thyroid cancer

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Thyroid cancers are endocrine neoplasms with diverse gene expression and behavior, for which constantly evolving anatomic and functional imaging/theranostic agents have an essential role for diagnosis, staging, and treatment.

RECENT FINDINGS

To achieve definitive diagnosis, neck ultrasound and associated risk stratification systems, notably Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (TI-RADS), allow improved thyroid nodule characterization and management guidance. Radioactive iodine-131 (RAI) has long played a role in management of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), with recent literature emphasizing its effectiveness for intermediate-high risk cancers, exploring use of dosimetry for personalized medicine, and potential for retreatment with RAI following tumor redifferentiation. Iodine-124 positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) has promising application for DTC staging and dosimetry. F18-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT is used for staging of high risk DTC and identification of noniodine-avid disease recurrences, with metabolic uptake consistently portending poor prognosis. Poorly differentiated and anaplastic thyroid cancers are best assessed with anatomic imaging and F18-FDG PET/ CT, though recent studies show a potential theranostic role for Ga68/Lu177-prostate-specific membrane antigen. Medullary thyroid cancers are evaluated with ultrasound, CT, magnetic resonance imaging, and various positron-emitting radiotracers for PET imaging (F18-DOPA, F18-FDG, and recently Ga68-1,4,7,10-tetraazacyclododecane-1,4,7,10-tetraacetic acid (DOTA)-octreotate (DOTATATE)); the latter may enable treatment with Lu177-DOTATATE.

SUMMARY

Multidisciplinary collaboration is essential to streamline appropriate management, given the wide array of available imaging and new therapies for metabolic and genetically complex cancers.

Health-related quality of life following FDG-PET/CT for cytological indeterminate thyroid nodules

OBJECTIVE

This study assessed the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in patients undergoing 2-[18F]fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose (FDG)-PET/CT for an indeterminate (Bethesda III/IV) thyroid nodule. FDG-PET/CT accurately rules out malignancy and prevents 40% of futile diagnostic surgeries in these nodules.

DESIGN

Secondary analyses of HRQoL data from a randomised controlled multicentre trial (NCT02208544) in 126 patients from 15 hospitals in the Netherlands were done.

METHODS

Longitudinal HRQoL assessment was performed using the EuroQol 5-dimension 5-level (EQ-5D-5L), the RAND 36-item Health Survey v2.0 (RAND-36), and the Thyroid Patient-Reported Outcome (ThyPRO) questionnaire on baseline, 3, 6, and 12 months, relative to the date of the FDG-PET/CT scan.

RESULTS

Patients who were randomised to active surveillance following an FDG-negative nodule instead of diagnostic surgery reported stable HRQoL scores throughout the year. Univariate analysis indicated better HRQoL for patients undergoing surveillance than surgical patients with benign histopathology on multiple physical and psychosocial domains. Univariate within-group analysis suggested both temporary and continued HRQoL deteriorations in patients with benign histopathology over time. Multivariate within-group analysis demonstrated no significant longitudinal HRQoL changes in patients undergoing active surveillance. In contrast, in patients with benign histopathology, worse HRQoL was observed with regard to ThyPRO cognitive impairment (P = 0.01) and cosmetic complaints (P = 0.02), whereas goitre symptoms (P < 0.001) and anxiety (P = 0.04) improved over time. In patients with malignant histopathology, anxiety also decreased (P = 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The reassurance of a negative FDG-PET/CT resulted in sustained HRQoL throughout the first year of active surveillance. Diagnostic surgery for a nodule with benign histopathology resulted in more cognitive impairment and physical problems including cosmetic complaints, but improved goitre symptoms and anxiety. Anxiety was also reduced in patients with malignant histopathology.

FDG-PET/CT in indeterminate thyroid nodules: cost-utility analysis alongside a randomised controlled trial

PURPOSE

To evaluate cost-effectiveness of an [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT-driven diagnostic workup as compared to diagnostic surgery, for thyroid nodules with Bethesda III/IV cytology. [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT avoids 40% of futile diagnostic surgeries for benign Bethesda III/IV nodules.

METHODS

Lifelong societal costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were assessed for 132 patients participating in a randomised controlled multicentre trial comparing [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT to diagnostic surgery. The observed 1-year trial results were extrapolated using a Markov model. The probability of cost-effectiveness was estimated using cost-effectiveness acceptability curves, taking uncertainty about sampling, imputation, and parameters into account.

RESULTS

The observed 1-year cost difference of [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT as compared to diagnostic surgery was - €1000 (95% CI: - €2100 to €0) for thyroid nodule-related care (p = 0.06). From the broader societal perspective, the 1-year difference in total societal costs was - €4500 (- €9200 to €150) (p = 0.06). Over the modelled lifelong period, the cost difference was - €9900 (- €23,100 to €3200) (p = 0.14). The difference in QALYs was 0.019 (- 0.045 to 0.083) at 1 year (p = 0.57) and 0.402 (- 0.581 to 1.385) over the lifelong period (p = 0.42). For a willingness to pay of €50,000 per QALY, an [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT-driven work-up was the cost-effective strategy with 84% certainty.

CONCLUSION

Following the observed reduction in diagnostic surgery, an [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT-driven diagnostic workup reduced the 1-year thyroid nodule-related and societal costs while sustaining quality of life. It is very likely cost-effective as compared to diagnostic surgery for Bethesda III/IV nodules.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02208544 (5 August 2014), https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02208544 .

Quantitative classification and radiomics of [18F]FDG-PET/CT in indeterminate thyroid nodules

PURPOSE

To evaluate whether quantitative [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT assessment, including radiomic analysis of [¹⁸F]FDG-positive thyroid nodules, improved the preoperative differentiation of indeterminate thyroid nodules of non-Hürthle cell and Hürthle cell cytology.

METHODS

Prospectively included patients with a Bethesda III or IV thyroid nodule underwent [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT imaging. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed for standardised uptake values (SUV) and SUV-ratios, including assessment of SUV cut-offs at which a malignant/borderline neoplasm was reliably ruled out (≥ 95% sensitivity). [¹⁸F]FDG-positive scans were included in radiomic analysis. After segmentation at 50% of SUV_peak, 107 radiomic features were extracted from [¹⁸F]FDG-PET and low-dose CT images. Elastic net regression classifiers were trained in a 20-times repeated random split. Dimensionality reduction was incorporated into the splits. Predictive performance of radiomics was presented as mean area under the ROC curve (AUC) across the test sets.

RESULTS

Of 123 included patients, 84 (68%) index nodules were visually [¹⁸F]FDG-positive. The malignant/borderline rate was 27% (33/123). SUV-metrices showed AUCs ranging from 0.705 (95% CI, 0.601-0.810) to 0.729 (0.633-0.824), 0.708 (0.580-0.835) to 0.757 (0.650-0.864), and 0.533 (0.320-0.747) to 0.700 (0.502-0.898) in all (n = 123), non-Hürthle (n = 94), and Hürthle cell (n = 29) nodules, respectively. At SUV_max, SUV_peak, SUV_max-ratio, and SUV_peak-ratio cut-offs of 2.1 g/mL, 1.6 g/mL, 1.2, and 0.9, respectively, sensitivity of [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT was 95.8% (95% CI, 78.9-99.9%) in non-Hürthle cell nodules. In Hürthle cell nodules, cut-offs of 5.2 g/mL, 4.7 g/mL, 3.4, and 2.8, respectively, resulted in 100% sensitivity (95% CI, 66.4-100%). Radiomic analysis of 84 (68%) [¹⁸F]FDG-positive nodules showed a mean test set AUC of 0.445 (95% CI, 0.290-0.600) for the PET model.

CONCLUSION

Quantitative [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT assessment ruled out malignancy in indeterminate thyroid nodules. Distinctive, higher SUV cut-offs should be applied in Hürthle cell nodules to optimize rule-out ability. Radiomic analysis did not contribute to the additional differentiation of [¹⁸F]FDG-positive nodules.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02208544 (5 August 2014), https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02208544 .