Multifocality and Progression of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma During Active Surveillance

Risk factors for tumor enlargement in low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

The current management guidelines for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) do not specify how to screen for growing tumors. We sought to explore the possible risk factors for tumor enlargement in patients with low-risk PTMC under active surveillance (AS).

METHODS

We searched the PubMed and Embase databases for high quality studies up to January 10th, 2024. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) was used to assess the quality of the included studies, and Review Manager 5.4 was used to analyze possible risk factors and calculate pooled risk ratios (RRs) via the inverse-variance calculation method.

RESULTS

Eleven studies were included in our meta-analysis. Among the 8880 participants, 464 experienced tumor growth, and the incidence of tumor growth varied from 3.4% to 19.4%. The results of the meta-analysis showed that tumor enlargement was associated with younger age (pooled RR = 2.32, 95% CI = 1.85-2.90, p < 0.00001; 8 studies), and higher serum thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels (pooled RR = 2.28, 95% CI = 1.19-4.37, p = 0.01; 6 studies), and could be related to pregnancy (pooled RR = 2.54, 95% CI = 1.17-5.52, p = 0.02; 2 studies). However, these following factors showed no significant association with tumor growth: sex (pooled RR = 1.07, 95% CI = 0.63-1.84, p = 0.79; 7 studies), tumor size at diagnosis (pooled RR = 1.08, 95% CI = 0.63-1.85, p = 0.77; 5 studies), and Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) (pooled RR = 1.56, 95% CI = 0.93-2.60, p = 0.09; 2 studies).

CONCLUSION

Our analysis identified that younger age and higher serum TSH levels were higher risk factors for tumor enlargement in low-risk PTMC patients. Pregnancy is a suspected risk factor.

Clinical and molecular features of progressive papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

In recent decades, the prevalence of thyroid cancer has risen substantially, with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) constituting over 50% of cases. Although most PTMCs exhibit indolent growth and a favorable prognosis, some present an increased risk of recurrence and an unfavorable prognosis due to high-risk characteristics such as lymph node metastasis, extrathyroidal extension, and distant metastasis. The early identification of clinically progressing PTMC remains elusive. In this review, the authors summarize findings from PTMC progression-related literature, highlighting that factors such as larger tumor size, cervical lymph node metastasis, extrathyroidal extension, younger age, higher preoperative serum thyroid-stimulating hormone levels, family history, and obesity positively correlate with PTMC progression. The role of multifocality in promoting PTMC progression; however, remains contentious. Furthermore, recent studies have shed light on the impact of mutations, such as BRAF and TERT mutations, on PTMC progression. Researchers have identified several mRNAs, noncoding RNAs, and proteins associated with various features of PTMC progression. Some studies propose that peripheral and tumor tissue-infiltrating immune cells could serve as biomarkers for the clinical progression of PTMC. Collectively, these clinical and molecular features offer a rationale for the early detection and the development of precision theranostic strategies of clinically progressive PTMC.

Tumor volume-doubling rate is negatively associated with patient age in papillary thyroid microcarcinomas under active surveillance

BACKGROUND

Active surveillance of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinomas has gained popularity worldwide as a management strategy. We previously reported that young age was associated with tumor enlargement by ≥3 mm. Here, we used the tumor volume-doubling rate to study the age-related tumor volume dynamics of papillary thyroid microcarcinomas under active surveillance.

METHODS

Between 2005 and 2019, 2,896 patients diagnosed with low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinomas underwent active surveillance. We excluded patients who underwent ultrasound examination fewer than 4 times, had coexisting Graves' disease, or were treated with levothyroxine at the time of diagnosis, and we enrolled 2,129 patients for this study. We divided them into 3 subsets based on the age at diagnosis: young (<40 years), middle-aged (40-59 years), and elderly (≥60 years). The tumor volume-doubling rate was calculated based on ultrasound-derived tumor sizes and the respective examination date for each patient.

RESULTS

Overall, 140 patients (6.6%) had moderate or rapid growth (tumor volume-doubling rate ≥0.3/year), and the incidence significantly decreased with advanced age (P < .01): 11.3%, 7.1%, and 5.0% in the young, middle-aged, and elderly groups, respectively. Tumor regression (tumor volume-doubling rate <0/year) was detected in 1,200 patients (56.4%), and the incidence significantly increased with age (P < .01): 44.6%, 55.3%, and 60.0% in the young, middle-aged, and elderly groups, respectively. On multivariate analysis, both the ≥60 years and 40 to 59 years age groups were independent negative predictors of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma enlargement and positive predictors of tumor regression.

CONCLUSION

Tumor volume-doubling rate analysis demonstrated that the incidence of tumor enlargement decreased and that of tumor regression increased with advancing age in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinomas.

Active Surveillance for Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma as an Acceptable Management Option with Additional Benefits: A Comprehensive Systematic Review

BACKGRUOUND

Active surveillance (AS) has been introduced as a management strategy for low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) due to its typically indolent nature. Despite this, the widespread adoption of AS has encountered several challenges. The aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the safety of AS related to disease progression and its benefits compared with immediate surgery (IS).

METHODS

Studies related to AS in patients with low-risk PTC were searched through the Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library, and KoreaMed databases. Studies on disease progression, surgical complication, quality of life (QoL), and cost-effectiveness were separately analyzed and narratively synthesized.

RESULTS

In the evaluation of disease progression, the proportions of cases with tumor growth ≥3 mm and a volume increase >50% were 2.2%-10.8% and 16.0%-25.5%, respectively. Newly detected lymph node metastasis was identified in 0.0%-1.4% of patients. No significant difference was found between IS and delayed surgery in surgical complications, including vocal cord paralysis and postoperative hypoparathyroidism. AS was associated with better QoL than IS. Studies on the cost-effectiveness of AS reported inconsistent data, but AS was more cost-effective when quality-adjusted life years were considered.

CONCLUSION

AS is an acceptable management option for patients with low-risk PTC based on the low rate of disease progression and the absence of an increased mortality risk. AS has additional benefits, including improved QoL and greater QoL-based cost-effectiveness.

A Preliminary Study on the Microwave Ablation of Multifocal Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the feasibility, efficiency, and safety of microwave ablation (MWA) for multifocal papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC).

METHODS

This was a retrospective study, and the data of patients who underwent MWA for multifocal PTMC from October 2016 to December 2021 were reviewed. After ablation, the changes in tumor size and volume, as well as the rates of technical success, tumor disappearance, disease progression, and complications, were assessed. According to the tumor location, the cases were further divided into a unilateral multifocal disease (UMD) subgroup and a bilateral multifocal disease (BMD) subgroup. Further analyses were carried out.

RESULTS

There was a total of 94 cases enrolled in the present study, which included 24 males and 70 females. The median age was 40 years (22-66 years); the median follow-up time was 14 months (6-48 months). Complete ablation was achieved in all enrolled cases. Therefore, the technical success rate was 100%. Due to expanding ablation, the MD and volume of the ablation zone increased at the 1st and 3rd months after ablation and decreased from the 12th month after ablation (p < 0.05 for all). The total complete tumor disappearance rates were 45/94 (47.87%) overall, 40.625% (13/32) in the UMD subgroup and 51.61% (32/62) in the BMD subgroup (p = 0.312). The total disease progression rates were 4.26% (4/94) overall, 6.25% (2/32) in the UMD subgroup and 3.23% (2/62) in the BMD subgroup (p = 0.881). The overall complication rate was 4.26% (4/94).

CONCLUSION

This preliminary study indicates that MWA is a safe and effective treatment for multifocal PTMC.

Age-stratified comparison of active surveillance versus radiofrequency ablation for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma using decision analysis

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid microcarcinomas may be treated with radiofrequency ablation, active surveillance, or surgery. The objective of this study was to use mathematical modeling to compare treatment alternatives for papillary thyroid microcarcinomas among those who decline surgery. We hypothesized that radiofrequency ablation would outperform active surveillance in avoiding progression and surgery but that the effect size would be small for older patients.

METHODS

We engaged stakeholders to identify meaningful long-term endpoints for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma treatment-(1) cancer progression/surgery, (2) need for thyroid replacement therapy, and (3) permanent treatment complication. A Markov decision analysis model was created to compare the probability of these endpoints after radiofrequency ablation or active surveillance for papillary thyroid microcarcinomas and overall cost. Transition probabilities were extracted from published literature. Model outcomes were estimated to have a 10-year time horizon.

RESULTS

The primary outcome yielded a number needed to treat of 18.1 for the avoidance of progression and 27.4 for the avoidance of lifelong thyroid replacement therapy for radiofrequency ablation compared to active surveillance. However, as patient age increased, the number needed to treat to avoid progression increased from 5.2 (age 20-29) to 39.1 (age 60+). The number needed to treat to avoid lifelong thyroid replacement therapy increased with age from 7.8 (age 20-29) to 59.3 (age 60+). The average 10-year cost/treatment for active surveillance and radiofrequency ablation were $6,400 and $11,700, respectively, translating to a cost per progression-avoided of $106,500.

CONCLUSION

As an alternative to active surveillance, radiofrequency ablation may have a greater therapeutic impact in younger patients. However, routine implementation may be cost-prohibitive for most patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinomas.

Long-term efficacy of microwave ablation for multifocal papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a 5-year follow-up study

OBJECTIVES

Microwave ablation (MWA) has achieved excellent long-term efficacy in treating unifocal papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (UPTMC). The therapeutic effect of this treatment on multifocal papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (MPTMC) is unknown. Therefore, we evaluated the long-term efficacy of MWA for low-risk MPTMC and to provide evidence-based medicine for the revision of clinical guidelines.

METHODS

This study included 66 MPTMC patients with a total of 158 lesions, all of whom received MWA. We collected and retrospectively analyzed the patients' follow-up data before MWA, at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months posttreatment and every 6 months thereafter until 5 years posttreatment. We evaluated the MWA complication rate, technical success rate (TSR), lesion volume reduction rate (VRR), and complete disappearance rate (CDR) during follow-up and in those patients with tumor progression and delayed surgery.

RESULTS

After 60 months of follow-up, all 158 lesions disappeared in 66 patients, and the volume was reduced from 43.82 mm3 to 0.00 mm3. The TSR and VRR were both 100%. The CDRs at 1 year, 2 years, and 3 years were 57.59%, 93.67%, and 100%, respectively. The complication rate was 3.03% (2/66), and the incidence of tumor progression was 3.03% (2/66), including one new intrathyroidal lesion and one cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM). These lesions were retreated with MWA, and the lesions disappeared during the follow-up period.

CONCLUSIONS

Ultrasound-guided MWA for low-risk MPTMC is safe and effective and may serve as an alternative option for patients who refuse surgery or active surveillance (AS).

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

This study concludes that ultrasound-guided microwave ablation for low-risk multifocal papillary thyroid microcarcinoma is safe and effective and may serve as an alternative option for patients who refuse surgery or active surveillance.

KEY POINTS

• Ultrasound-guided microwave ablation for low-risk multifocal papillary thyroid microcarcinoma is safe and effective. • During 5 years of follow-up, multifocal papillary thyroid microcarcinoma patients treated with microwave ablation had a favorable prognosis. • To provide evidence-based medicine for the revision of clinical guidelines.

Five-year Outcome Between Radiofrequency Ablation vs Surgery for Unilateral Multifocal Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

CONTEXT

Ultrasound (US)-guided radiofrequency ablation (RFA) has been considered as an alternative to surgery or active surveillance for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). However, little is known about the long-term outcomes of RFA in comparison with surgery for unilateral multifocal PTMC.

OBJECTIVE

This work aims to report the comparison between RFA vs surgery for unilateral multifocal PTMC over a more than 5-year follow-up period.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study at a primary care center with a median follow-up period of 72.9 months. A total of 97 patients with unilateral multifocal PTMC were treated with RFA (RFA group, n = 44) or surgery (surgery group, n = 53). In the RFA group, patients were treated by a bipolar RFA generator and an 18-gauge bipolar RF electrode with a 0.9-cm active tip. In the surgery group, patients underwent thyroid lobectomy with prophylactic central neck dissection.

RESULTS

During the follow-up, no statistically significant differences were found in disease progression (4.5% vs 3.8%; P = ≥.999), lymph node metastasis (2.3% vs 3.8%; P = ≥.999), persistent lesion (2.3% vs 0%; P = .272), and RFS rates (97.7% vs 96.2%; P = .673) in the RFA and surgery groups. Patients undergoing RFA had a shorter hospitalization (0 vs 8.0 [3.0] d; P < .001), shorter procedure time (3.5 [2.4] vs 80.0 [35.0] min; P < .001), lower estimated blood loss (0 vs 20.0 [15.0] mL; P < .001), and lower costs ($1768.3 [0.1] vs $2084.4 [1173.8]; P = .001) than those in the surgery group. The complication rate in the surgery group was 7.5%, whereas none of the RFA-treated patients experienced any complications (P = .111).

CONCLUSION

This study revealed 6-year comparable outcomes between RFA and surgery for unilateral multifocal PTMC. RFA may be a safe and effective alternative to surgery in selected patients with unilateral multifocal PTMC.

Ultrasound-guided thermal ablation for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: the devil is in the details

Thermal ablation (TA) has harvested favorable outcomes in treating low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). Preoperative assessment, intraoperative procedures and postoperative follow-up are all closely linked with the success and safety of TA on PTMC. However, many details in these aspects have not been systematically reviewed. This review firstly described the influence of preoperative assessment, especially for the risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM), as well as the molecular testing on the selection of TA for PTMC. Besides, we also summarized the experiences in treating special PTMC cases by TA, like multifocal lesions, PTMC located in the isthmus or adjacent to the dorsal capsule. At last, we discussed the follow-up strategies, the influence of the thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) level on the prognosis of PTMCs, and the management for recurrent cases. In conclusion, the procedures during the entire perioperative period should be standardized to improve the outcomes of TA in treating PTMC patients.

Recommend with caution: A meta-analysis investigating papillary thyroid carcinoma tumor progression under active surveillance

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is an indolent disease with favorable outcomes. The non-surgical treatment approach known as active surveillance (AS) has been introduced as an alternative treatment instead of the traditional thyroidectomy. However, 10-15 % of PTC tend to progress. We sought to determine factors predicting the progression of PTC under AS.

METHODS

A systematic search was performed in January 2022 using PubMed, Embase, Google Scholar, Web of Science, and ScienceDirect. PRISMA guidelines were used by multiple reviewers to extract study characteristics (author name, publication date, journal name, country, institution, and study design), as well as main outcomes and measures. A combination of utilization of thyroid replacement therapy, baseline tumor size and volume, follow-up tumor size and volume, and the presence of lymph node metastasis and its distribution, as well as surveillance duration, were the main measures of this study.

RESULTS

Nine studies with 4166 patients were included, of which 354 showed tumor progression during AS (15 %; 95%CI = 7 % - 23 %). The average follow-up period was 41.58 months. The mean tumor maximum diameter was 8.54 mm (95%CI = 7.04-10.03). Tumor progression was most commonly secondary to an increase in volume by ≥50 % (75 %; 95%CI = 68 % - 80 %), then increase in diameter by ≥3 mm (41 %; 95%CI = 13 % - 76 %), and finally the development of lymph node metastasis (13 %; 95%CI = 9 % - 19 %). Approximately only 2 % of all patients thus developed new lymph node metastasis. Patient age, sex, and tumor size were not associated with higher risks of tumor progression. 12 % of AS patients eventually underwent surgery, though only 40 % (95%CI = 27 % - 53 %) of these patients displayed tumor progression.

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analysis determined a tumor progression rate of 15 % in patients who underwent AS management, 13 % of which (2 % of all patients) developed lymph node metastasis. We found no protective or risk factors for tumor progression, and that almost half of all patients who underwent delayed surgery did so for reasons other than tumor progression. While not biopsying small (<1 cm) or very low suspicious nodules is already recommended, AS may be an appropriate treatment option in patients appropriately counseled, considering the low risk of advanced tumor progression but also the considerable patient population who fail to adhere to treatment. Alternatively, in aim of preventing overtreatment in patients who would rather take proactive measures against their low-risk carcinoma, minimally-invasive ablation techniques may be an attractive option.

Active Surveillance Outcomes of Patients with Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma According to Levothyroxine Treatment Status

Background: During active surveillance (AS), serum thyrotropin (TSH) levels may affect papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) progression. We investigated AS outcomes according to whether levothyroxine (LT4) treatment was administered. Patients and Methods: From 2005 to 2019, 2896 patients with low-risk PTMC underwent AS. Of these, 2509 patients were included: 2187 patients did not receive LT4 at diagnosis (group I), 1935 patients did not receive LT4 during AS (group IA), and 252 patients started LT4 during AS (group IB). The remaining 322 patients were administered LT4 before or at diagnosis (group II). The tumor volume doubling rate (TVDR) and tumor size based on ultrasound examination results and time-weighted detailed TSH scores were calculated. Disease progression was defined as tumor enlargement ≥3 mm and/or the appearance of novel lymph node metastasis. Results: At diagnosis, group II had more high-risk features, such as younger age and larger tumors, than group I. However, group II had a lower disease progression rate (2.9% at 10 years) than group I (6.1%) (p = 0.091). The disease progression rate of group IB (13.8% at 10 years) was significantly higher than that of groups IA (5.0%) and II (2.9%) (p < 0.01). The TVDR of group IB before LT4 administration was significantly higher than that of groups IA and II (0.095 per year, -0.0085 per year, and -0.057 per year, respectively; p < 0.01), suggesting that patients with progression signs during AS were selectively prescribed LT4. The time-weighted detailed TSH score of group IB significantly decreased after LT4 administration compared with those before administration (3.35 and 3.05, respectively; p < 0.01). The TVDR also decreased from 0.13 per year to 0.036 per year (p = 0.08). The proportions of patients with rapid or moderate growth decreased significantly after LT4 (from 26.8% to 12.5%, p < 0.01). A multivariable analysis revealed group IB status was independently associated with disease progression (odds ratio [OR] = 3.42 [CI 2.15-5.44], p < 0.01), whereas age ≥40 years and <60 years and age ≥60 years were independently negatively associated with this outcome (OR = 0.23 [CI 0.14-0.38, p < 0.01 and OR = 0.16 [CI 0.10-0.27], p < 0.01). Conclusion: LT4 treatment may be associated with decreased tumor growth during AS of PTMC, but further confirmatory research is needed.

The Optimal Age Threshold for Stratifying the Risks of Disease Progression in Patients with Highly Suspicious Sub-centimeter Thyroid Nodules

PURPOSE

The study aimed to identify the value and optimal age cutoff to predict the progression of highly suspicious thyroid nodules ≤ 10 mm during active surveillance (AS), and to reveal distinct risk factors in patients of different ages.

METHODS

A total of 779 patients with highly suspicious thyroid nodules were enrolled and followed up by ultrasonography. Locally weighted scatterplot smoothing (LOWESS) and the package 'changepoint' were used to identify the optimal age cutoffs using R. Multivariate Cox regression was performed to identify independent prognostic factors in each patient group divided according to age.

RESULTS

Age was an independent predictor of nodule progression (P = 0.038). The optimal age cutoff to stratify the risk of nodule progression was 30 years. Younger patients were more likely to have progression of nodules during AS (P < 0.001), including enlargement of nodule size (P = 0.011) and new lesion occurrence (P < 0.001). Nodule size was identified as a risk factor for disease progression in patients younger than 30 years old (P = 0.008, OR 7.946, 95% CI 1.715-36.820), while multifocality (P = 0.018, OR 2.315, 95% CI 1.155-4.639) and thyroiditis (P = 0.028, OR 2.265, 95% CI 1.092-4.699) were independent predictors in patients over 30 years old.

CONCLUSIONS

Highly suspicious thyroid nodules ≤ 10 mm in young patients tended to be more progressive. The predictors of disease progression were distinct in patients of different ages.

CRISPR/Cas9-mediated high-mobility group A2 knockout inhibits cell proliferation and invasion in papillary thyroid carcinoma cells

PURPOSE

Metastasis and recurrence are the prognostic risk factor in patients with thyroid carcinoma. High-mobility group A2 (HMGA2) protein plays a crucial role in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) metastasis. The aim of this study was to investigate the mechanisms underlying the HMGA2 effect on PTC cell proliferation and invasion.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We used the CRISPR/Cas9 system to perform knockout of the HMGA2 gene in the human PTC cell line TPC-1. The knockout monoclonal cells were screened and verified by PCR analysis and genomic sequencing. Cell proliferation was examined after the knockout of the HMGA2 gene using cell counting kit-8 (CCK-8) assays. Furthermore, cell migration and invasion after the knockout were examined by cell scratch tests. Additionally, the changes in cell cycle and apoptosis after the knockout were detected by flow cytometry.

RESULTS

The results of the PCR analysis and the genomic sequencing confirmed that the human PTC TPC-1 ​cell line with knockout of HMGA2 gene was successfully established. The knockout of the HMGA2 gene significantly reduced the cell proliferation, growth, and invasion. Meanwhile, the knockout of the HMGA2 gene delayed the conversion of the G2/M phase and promoted cell necrosis.

CONCLUSION

The CRISPR/Cas9-mediated HMGA2 knockout in the TPC-1 ​cell line inhibited cell proliferation and invasion, which might be due to the blockage of the cell cycle in the G2/M phase and the promotion of cell necrosis.

Active Surveillance May Be the Best Initial Management for Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

Active surveillance for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC; T1aN0MI) was initiated at Kuma Hospital (Kobe, Japan) in 1993, based on a proposal by Akira Miyauchi. Favorable outcomes of such surveillance have been reported. Our latest study revealed 5- and 10-year tumor enlargement rates (by ≥ 3 mm) of 3.0% and 5.5% and 5- and 10-year node metastasis appearance rates of 0.9% and 1.1%, respectively. The postoperative prognosis did not differ between patients who underwent immediate surgery and those who underwent conversion surgery after progression. These findings suggest that active surveillance may be the best initial management of PTMCs.

Nomogram prediction for cervical lymph node metastasis in multifocal papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

Aim

Accurate preoperative prediction of cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with mPTMC provides a basis for surgical decision making and the extent of tumor resection. This study aimed to develop and validate an ultrasound radiomics nomogram for the preoperative assessment of LN status.

Methods

A total of 450 patients pathologically diagnosed with mPTMC were enrolled, including 348 patients in the modeling group and 102 patients in the validation group. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed on the basic information, ultrasound characteristics, and American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (ACR TI-RADS) scores of the patients in the modeling group to identify independent risk factors for LNM in mPTMC and to construct a logistic regression equation and nomogram to predict the risk of LNM. The validation group data were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the nomogram.

Results

Male sex, age <40 years, a single lesion with a maximum diameter >0.5 cm, capsular invasion, a maximum ACR score >9 points, and a total ACR score >19 points were independent risk factors for the development of cervical LNM in mPTMC. Both the area under the curve (AUC) and concordance index (C-index) of the prediction model constructed from the above six factors were 0.838. The calibration curve of the nomogram was close to the ideal diagonal line. Furthermore, decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated a significantly greater net benefit of the model. The external validation demonstrated the reliability of the prediction nomogram.

Conclusions

The presented radiomics nomogram, which is based on ACR TI-RADS scores, shows favorable predictive value for the preoperative assessment of LNs in patients with mPTMC. These findings may provide a basis for surgical decision making and the extent of tumor resection.

Patient-Reported Outcomes in Patients with Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: Cross-Sectional Study to Compare Active Surveillance and Immediate Surgery

BACKGROUND

This cross-sectional study compared patient-reported outcomes of low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC, T1N0M0) between patients who underwent active surveillance (AS) and those who received immediate surgery, METHODS: Using the State-Trait Anxiety Inventory, Short-Form 36 version 2, and a visual analog scale for neck symptoms, 249 patients under AS and 32 patients underwent immediate surgery were compared. To match the difference in time from the onset of treatment to the survey, we conducted propensity score matching. We also investigated factors affecting anxiety in patients under AS in multiple linear regression analysis.

RESULTS

In the entire group, patients under AS had significantly longer time from the onset to the survey than patients underwent immediate surgery (7.9 vs. 4.0 years). After matching, AS group showed significantly better trait anxiety and mental component summary (MCS) compared to surgery group, while surgery group showed better role-social component summary. AS group also had significantly better MCS than the Japanese norm-based score. Surgery group displayed worse neck symptoms than AS group. Among AS group, trait anxiety and time from the onset were significant predictors of state anxiety. Compared with the group with < 5 years since starting AS, the group with ≥ 5 years of follow-up showed a significantly better state anxiety only in patients with better trait anxiety.

CONCLUSIONS

Low-risk PTC patients under AS showed better trait anxiety and mental health than surgery group. After a certain period, the anxiety of patients under AS seems to be improved, especially in patients with better trait anxiety.

Active Surveillance for Low-Risk Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Less aggressive treatment options, including hemithyroidectomy and active surveillance, have been accepted as treatment options for low-risk small, differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC). Multiple studies have shown a low rate of cancer growth and lymph node metastases and no evidence of distant metastases during active surveillance of low-risk small DTC. However, not all patients with low -risk small DTC are ideal or appropriate candidate for active surveillance. Patients with thyroid cancer adjacent to either the trachea or recurrent laryngeal nerve or those with evidence of extrathyroidal extension, a high-risk molecular profile, lymph node, or distant metastases are considered inappropriate candidates for active surveillance. In addition, there are other essential factors that clinicians should consider while recommending active surveillance, including patient financial and insurance status; availability of high-quality neck ultrasounds and experienced radiologists, endocrinologists, and surgeons; and patient preference, level of anxiety, and willingness to undergo prolonged surveillance and follow-up imaging.

Comparison of Postoperative Unfavorable Events in Patients with Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: Immediate Surgery Versus Conversion Surgery Following Active Surveillance

Background: Active surveillance (AS) for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) was initiated at Kuma Hospital in 1993 and has gradually spread worldwide. We previously demonstrated that AS is associated with a much lower incidence of unfavorable events than immediate surgery (IS). However, conversion surgery (CS) raises concerns about increased surgical complications due to advanced disease. In this study, we conducted a comparative analysis of unfavorable events after IS and CS. Methods: Between 2005 and 2019, 4635 patients clinically diagnosed with low-risk PTMC at Kuma Hospital were enrolled. Of these, 2896 underwent AS (AS group), and the remaining 1739 underwent IS (IS group). To date, 242 patients (0.8%) in the AS group have undergone CS for various reasons (CS group). Results: The incidence of unfavorable events, such as levothyroxine administration after surgery, postoperative hematoma, transient/persistent hypoparathyroidism, and transient/persistent vocal cord paralysis, did not differ between the CS and IS groups. None of the patients in the CS group had permanent vocal cord paralysis; however, this occurred in 15 patients (0.9%) in the IS group and was caused by accidental injury in 4 patients and carcinoma invasion in 11 patients. The incidence of surgery, levothyroxine administration, postoperative hematoma, transient/permanent hypoparathyroidism, and vocal cord paralysis was significantly higher (p < 0.001) in the IS group than in the AS group. There were no differences in the incidence of lymph node recurrence and overall mortality between the AS and IS groups. None of the patients in the AS and IS groups showed distant metastasis or died from thyroid carcinoma. Conclusions: There were no differences in the incidence of unfavorable events between the CS group and the IS group. Although none of the CS and AS groups had permanent vocal cord paralysis, accidental injury of the recurrent laryngeal nerve occurred in four patients (0.2%) in the IS group. The IS group had a significantly higher incidence of unfavorable events than the AS group. The prognoses of patients in both the AS and IS groups were excellent. Therefore, we recommend AS as the first-line management for low-risk PTMC.

Nomogram incorporating preoperative clinical and ultrasound indicators to predict aggressiveness of solitary papillary thyroid carcinoma

Objective

To construct a nomogram based on preoperative clinical and ultrasound indicators to predict aggressiveness of solitary papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

Methods

Preoperative clinical and ultrasound data from 709 patients diagnosed with solitary PTC between January 2017 and December 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the factors associated with PTC aggressiveness, and these factors were used to construct a predictive nomogram. The nomogram's performance was evaluated in the primary and validation cohorts.

Results

The 709 patients were separated into a primary cohort (n = 424) and a validation cohort (n = 285). Univariate analysis in the primary cohort showed 13 variables to be associated with aggressive PTC. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, the independent predictors of aggressive behavior were age (OR, 2.08; 95% CI, 1.30-3.35), tumor size (OR, 4.0; 95% CI, 2.17-7.37), capsule abutment (OR, 2.53; 95% CI, 1.50-4.26), and suspected cervical lymph nodes metastasis (OR, 2.50; 95% CI, 1.20-5.21). The nomogram incorporating these four predictors showed good discrimination and calibration in both the primary cohort (area under the curve, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.72-0.81; Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P = 0.967 and the validation cohort (area under the curve, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.66-0.78; Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P = 0.251).

Conclusion

The proposed nomogram shows good ability to predict PTC aggressiveness and could be useful during treatment decision making.

Advances in knowledge

Our nomogram-based on four indicators-provides comprehensive assessment of aggressive behavior of PTC and could be a useful tool in the clinic.

Active surveillance of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

Recently, the incidence of thyroid carcinoma has been increasing rapidly worldwide. This is interpreted as an increase in the incidental detection of small papillary thyroid carcinomas by the widespread use of high-resolution imaging techniques such as ultrasonography. However, the mortality rates of thyroid carcinoma have not changed, suggesting that small papillary thyroid carcinomas may be overdiagnosed and overtreated. Active surveillance management has been introduced from Japan since the 1990s, as one of the measures to prevent overtreatment of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. Based on the favorable outcomes, active surveillance has been gradually adopted worldwide as an alternative to immediate surgery. The management should be carried out with strict eligibility criteria and close monitoring for cancer progression, under a multidisciplinary team. In addition, an adequate shared decision-making is mandatory for individual patients. Papillary thyroid microcarcinomas with clinically apparent lymph node metastasis, distant metastasis, or invasion to adjacent organs should have surgery.

Thyroid-Stimulating Hormone, Age, and Tumor Size are Risk Factors for Progression During Active Surveillance of Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma in Adults

BACKGROUND

Active surveillance (AS) of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) was initiated at Kuma Hospital in 1993 and is gradually spreading worldwide. We assessed the effect of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels on PTMC enlargement in patients on AS.

METHODS

We enrolled 2705 patients with cytologically diagnosed PTMC who had undergone AS between January 2005 and July 2019. Patients with Graves disease were excluded. The median AS period was 5.5 years (range 1.0-15.7 years). Tumor enlargement was defined as a size increase ≥3 mm. Chi-square test, Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test, Cox proportional hazard, and logistic regression were used to compare variables.

RESULTS

Ninety-two patients (3.4%) experienced tumor enlargement; the 5-, 10-, and 15-year enlargement rates were 3.0%, 5.5%, and 6.2%, respectively. Young age (<40 years, p < 0.001), large tumor size (≥9 mm, p = 0.017), and high detailed TSH score (≥3, higher than the lower normal limit, p = 0.011) were significant factors relating to tumor enlargement in the multivariate analysis. In a subset of patients aged <40 years, a low detailed TSH score (<3) was an independent factor against tumor enlargement (p = 0.039). Only 22 patients (0.8%) experienced novel lymph node metastasis; the 5-, 10-, and 15-year node metastasis rates were very low, at 0.9%, 1.1%, and 1.1%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Young patients with PTMC are more likely to experience tumor growth. Mild TSH suppression to achieve a low normal range may prevent carcinoma enlargement; however, prospective studies are needed to draw more reliable conclusions.

SFE-AFCE-SFMN 2022 Consensus on the management of thyroid nodules : Follow-up: How and how long?

The SFE-AFCE-SFMN 2022 consensus deals with the management of thyroid nodules, a condition that is a frequent reason for consultation in endocrinology. In more than 90% of cases, patients are euthyroid, with benign non-progressive nodules that do not warrant specific treatment. The clinician's objective is to detect malignant thyroid nodules at risk of recurrence and death, toxic nodules responsible for hyperthyroidism or compressive nodules warranting treatment. The diagnosis and treatment of thyroid nodules requires close collaboration between endocrinologists, nuclear medicine physicians, surgeons, and other specialists. Therefore, this consensus statement was established jointly by 3 societies: the French Society of Endocrinology (SFE), French Association of Endocrine Surgery (AFCE) and French Society of Nuclear Medicine (SFMN); the various working groups included experts from other specialties (pathologists, radiologists, pediatricians, biologists, etc.). This section deals with the follow-up of thyroid nodules, low-grade tumors and microcarcinomas.

Progression of Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma During Active Surveillance: Interim Analysis of a Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study of Active Surveillance on Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma in Korea

Background: Active surveillance (AS) is an alternative to thyroidectomy for the management of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). However, prospective AS data collected from diverse populations are needed. Methods: This multicenter prospective cohort study enrolled patients from three referral hospitals in Korea. The participants were self-assigned into two groups, AS or immediate surgery. All patients underwent neck ultrasound every 6-12 months to monitor for disease progression. Progression under AS was evaluated by a criterion of tumor size increment by 3 mm in one dimension (3 mm), 2 mm in two dimensions (2 × 2 mm), new extrathyroidal extension (ETE), or new lymph node metastasis (LNM), and a composite outcome was defined using all four criteria. Results: A total of 1177 eligible patients with PTMC (919 female, 78.1%) with a median age of 48 years (range 19-87) were enrolled; 755 (64.1%) patients chose AS and 422 (35.9%) underwent surgery. Among 755 patients under AS, 706 (female 537, 76.1%) underwent at least two ultrasound examinations and were analyzed. Over a follow-up period of 41.4 months (standard deviation, 16.0), 163 AS patients (23.1%) underwent surgery. Progression defined by the composite outcome was observed in 9.6% (68/706) of patients, and the 2- and 5-year progression estimates were 5.3% and 14.2%, respectively. The observed progression rates were 5.8% (41/706) and 5.4% (38/706) as defined by tumor size enlargement by 3 mm and 2 × 2 mm, respectively, and 1.3% (9/706) and 0.4% (3/706) for new LNM and ETE, respectively. No distant metastases developed during AS. In multivariate logistic regression analysis examining variables associated with progression under AS, age at diagnosis <30 years (odds ratio [OR], 2.86; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10 - 7.45), male sex (OR, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.47 - 4.20), and tumor size ≥6 mm (OR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.09 - 3.27) were independently significant. Conclusions: The progression of low-risk PTMC during AS in the Korean population was low, but slightly higher than previously reported in other populations. Risk factors for disease progression under AS include younger age, male sex, and larger tumor size. Clinical trial registration: Clinicaltrials.gov NCT02938702.

Predictive Factors for Bilateral Disease in Papillary Microcarcinoma: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background: Based on risk stratification, the therapeutic options in papillary microcarcinoma (PTMC) can be active surveillance or surgery. Multifocal tumor occurrence can be decisive in determining the treatment strategy. The objective of this study was to identify risk factors for bilateral tumor occurrence in PTMC to enable individual therapy planning. Methods: A total of 545 PTMC patients who underwent thyroidectomy from 2008 to 2020 were retrieved. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate risk factors for bilateral PTMC. Results: 25.1% (n = 137) of all patients had multifocal PTMC, and 13.2% (n = 72) bilateral PTMC, respectively. In contrast to the maximum tumor size, the total tumor size significantly influenced a bilateral tumor manifestation (median total tumor size 5 mm versus 8.5 mm for bilateral PTMC, p < 0.001). A cut-off level for the total tumor size of >10 mm resulted in a sensitivity and specificity of 29.2% and 94.7%, respectively, in predicting a bilateral tumor manifestation, AUC 0.680 (95% CI, 0.611−0.748, p < 0.001). A cut-off of >4 tumors showed a sensitivity of 99.4% and a specificity of 97.5%, AUC 0.897 (95% CI, 0.870−0.924, p < 0.001) in predicting bilaterality. Conclusion: We could demonstrate for the first time that a total tumor size of >10 mm and more than four tumors significantly increased the risk of bilateral PTMC tumor involvement. These findings enable a risk-adjusted patient treatment.

The feasibility and efficacy of ultrasound-guided percutaneous laser ablation for multifocal papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the feasibility and efficacy of percutaneous laser ablation (PLA) for patients with multifocal papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A cohort of patients who underwent ultrasound (US)-guided PLA for primary PTMC were enrolled in this study. The patients were divided into a multifocal PTMC (multi-PTMC) group and a unifocal PTMC (uni-PTMC) group. Before PLA, conventional US and contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) were performed to evaluate the PTMC and cervical lymph nodes. The operation time, energy, power, amount of isolation liquid, and complications during PLA were recorded. Patients were followed up at 2 days, 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months, and every 6 months after that. Volume reduction rate (VRR), local tumor recurrence, and lymph node metastasis after PLA were observed.

RESULTS

The study included 12 patients with 26 PTMCs and 60 patients with 60 PTMCs. The operation time, total energy, and amount of isolation liquid in the multi-PTMC group were more than those in the uni-PTMC group (p = 0.000, 0.007, and 0.020, respectively). The mean follow-up durations in multi-PTMC and uni-PTMC groups were 19.75 ± 11.46 months (6-36 months) and 16.33 ± 10.01 months (4-40 months), with a similar VRR of the ablated lesions in the two groups. One and three cases with newly developed PTMCs were observed in the multi-PTMC group and the uni-PTMC group during follow-up, respectively. There was no regrowth of treated lesions, lymph node metastasis, or distant metastasis. At the end of the follow-up, all the ablated lesions in the two groups completely disappeared or only remained scar strips.

CONCLUSION

PLA is a safe and effective technique for treating multifocal PTMC, which might be an alternative technique for patients who are not eligible or are unwilling to undergo surgery.

Comparison of clinicopathological features and prognosis of papillary thyroid carcinoma and microcarcinoma: A population-based propensity score matching analysis

BACKGROUND

Overtreatment of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has become a common concern. This study aimed to compare clinicopathological features between PTMC and papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and to explore whether surgery can confer significant survival benefits in all patients with PTC or PTMC.

METHODS

Data of 145,951 patients with PTC registered in Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and 8,751 patients with PTC in our institution were retrospectively collected. Patients with tumors less than 10 mm in diameter were classified as PTMC cohort and the rest as PTC cohort. Clinicopathological features between PTMC and PTC were compared on the basis of SEER cohort and validated with institutional data. Survival analysis was conducted to explore the effect of surgery on the prognosis of patients. To minimize potential confounders and selection bias, we performed propensity score matching (PSM) analysis to match more comparable cohorts.

RESULTS

Compared with PTC, PTMC exhibited the following characteristics: more common in women and whites, older age at diagnosis, lower proportion of follicular variants, intraglandular dissemination, extraglandular and capsular invasion, higher proportion of multifocality, fewer lymph node and distant metastases, and higher cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) (all p-value < 0.05). Regarding treatment, patients with PTMC received a lower proportion of radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and total thyroidectomy but a higher proportion of lobectomy and/or isthmectomy. There was no significant difference in CSS for patients with PTMC at stage T1N0M0 with or without surgery (P = 0.36).

CONCLUSION

Generally, PTMC showed higher biological indolence than PTC, which meant a higher survival rate for patients in both OS and CSS. For patients with PTMC at staged T1N0M0, active surveillance (AS) may be a potentially feasible management strategy. However, the maintenance of good medical compliance and the management of psychological burden cannot be ignored for patients included in AS.