Predictors of oncological outcomes in T1G3 patients treated with BCG who undergo radical cystectomy

Establishment and validation of nomograms to predict the overall survival and cancer-specific survival for non-metastatic bladder cancer patients: A large population-based cohort study and external validation

This study aimed to develop nomograms to accurately predict the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of non-metastatic bladder cancer (BC) patients. Clinicopathological information of 260,412 non-metastatic BC patients was downloaded from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2000 to 2020. LASSO method and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis were utilized to discover the independent risk factors, which were used to develop nomograms. The accuracy and discrimination of models were tested by the consistency index (C-index), the area under the subject operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the calibration curve. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to test the clinical value of nomograms compared with the TNM staging system. Nomograms predicting OS and CSS were constructed after identifying independent prognostic factors. The C-index of the training, internal validation and external validation cohort for OS was 0.722 (95%CI: 0.720-0.724), 0.723 (95%CI: 0.721-0.725) and 0.744 (95%CI: 0.677-0.811). The C-index of the training, internal validation and external validation cohort for CSS was 0.794 (95%CI: 0.792-0.796), 0.793 (95%CI: 0.789-0.797) and 0.879 (95%CI: 0.814-0.944). The AUC and the calibration curves showed good accuracy and discriminability. The DCA showed favorable clinical potential value of nomograms. Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank test uncovered statistically significance survival difference between high- and low-risk groups. We developed nomograms to predict OS and CSS for non-metastatic BC patients. The models have been internally and externally validated with accuracy and discrimination and can assist clinicians to make better clinical decisions.

Comparing Robotic-Assisted to Open Radical Cystectomy in the Management of Non-Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer: A Propensity Score Matched-Pair Analysis

BACKGROUND

For non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) requiring radical surgery, limited data are available comparing robotic-assisted radical cystectomy with intracorporeal urinary diversion (iRARC) to open radical cystectomy (ORC). The objective of this study was to compare the two surgical techniques.

METHODS

A multicentric cohort of 593 patients with NMIBC undergoing iRARC or ORC between 2015 and 2020 was prospectively gathered. Perioperative and pathologic outcomes were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 143 patients operated on via iRARC were matched to 143 ORC patients. Operative time was longer in the iRARC group (p = 0.034). Blood loss was higher in the ORC group (p < 0.001), with a consequent increased post-operative transfusion rate in the ORC group (p = 0.003). Length of stay was longer in the ORC group (p = 0.007). Post-operative complications did not differ significantly (all p > 0.05). DFS at 60 months was 55.9% in ORC and 75.2% in iRARC with a statistically significant difference (p = 0.033) found in the univariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

We found that iRARC for patients with NMIBC is safe, associated with a lower blood loss, a lower transfusion rate and a shorter hospital stay compared to ORC. Complication rates were similar. No significant differences in survival analyses emerged across the two techniques.

Survival nomogram for high-grade bladder cancer patients after surgery based on the SEER database and external validation cohort

Background

The aim of this study was to develop a comprehensive and effective nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS) rates in postoperative patients with high-grade bladder urothelial carcinoma.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with high-grade urothelial carcinoma of the bladder after radical cystectomy (RC) between 2004 and 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were enrolled. We randomly split (7:3) these patients into the primary cohort and the internal validation cohort. Two hundred eighteen patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University were collected as the external validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were carried out to seek prognostic factors of postoperative patients with high-grade bladder cancer (HGBC). According to these significant prognostic factors, a simple-to-use nomogram was established for predicting OS. Their performances were evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

The study included 4,541 patients. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that T stage, positive lymph nodes (PLNs), age, chemotherapy, regional lymph nodes examined (RLNE), and tumor size were correlated with OS. The C-index of the nomogram in the training cohort, internal validation cohort, and external validation cohort were 0.700, 0.717, and 0.681, respectively. In the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, the ROC curves showed that the 1-, 3-, and 5-year areas under the curve (AUCs) were higher than 0.700, indicating that the nomogram had good reliability and accuracy. The results of calibration and DCA showed good concordance and clinical applicability.

Conclusion

A nomogram was developed for the first time to predict personalized 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS in HGBC patients after RC. The internal and external validation confirmed the excellent discrimination and calibration ability of the nomogram. The nomogram can help clinicians design personalized treatment strategies and assist with clinical decisions.

The impact of smoking on recurrence and progression of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

Although smoking is a well-recognized causative factor of urothelial bladder cancer and accounts for 50% of cases, less is known about the prognostic significance of smoking on non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) prognosis. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the effect of smoking on the risk of NMIBC recurrence and progression.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We systematically searched Medline, Web of Science and Scopus databases for original articles published before October 2021 regarding the effect of smoking on NMIBC recurrence and progression. Information about smoking status and the number of events or odds ratio or hazard ratio for event-free survival must have been reported to include the study in the analysis. Quality In Prognosis Studies tool was utilized for the risk of bias assessment.

RESULTS

We selected 64 eligible studies, including 28 617 patients with NMIBC with available data on smoking status. In a meta-analysis of 28 studies with 7885 patients, we found that smokers (current/former) were at higher risk for recurrence (OR = 1.68; 95% CI 1.34-2.09; P < 0.0001) compared to never smokers. Subgroup analysis of 2967 patients revealed that current smokers were at a 1.24 higher risk of recurrence (OR = 1.24; 95% CI 1.02-1.50; P = 0.03) compared to former smokers. A meta-analysis of the hazard ratio revealed that smokers are at higher risk of recurrence (HR = 1.31; 95%CI 1.15-1.48; P < 0.0001) and progression (HR = 1.18; 95%CI 1.08-1.29; P < 0.001) compared to never smokers. Detrimental prognostic effect of smoking on progression, but not for recurrence risk was also noted in the subgroup analysis of high-risk patients (HR = 1.30; 95%CI 1.09-1.55; P = 0.004) and BCG-treated ones (HR = 1.15; 95%CI 1.06-1.25; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer and a history of smoking have a worse prognosis regarding recurrence-free and progression-free survival compared to non-smokers.

A longitudinal single center analysis of T1HG bladder cancer: An 18 year experience

OBJECTIVES

To re-evaluate the treatment of T1HG bladder cancer by analyzing our experience over 18 years.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

An IRB-approved, single-institution retrospective review was performed of all patients with T1HG bladder cancer between August 1999 and July 2017. We assessed clinicopathologic characteristics, treatment history (including intravesical therapy, cystectomy, systemic chemotherapy, and radiation), and oncologic outcomes.

RESULTS

We identified 191 patients with T1HG. Five patients underwent cystectomy at diagnosis. The five-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) for the 186 patients who initially underwent bladder sparing treatments was 50% (95% CI: 41%-58%). There were 83 patients (45%) with disease recurrence; median time to recurrence was 6.7 months (IQR: 4.9-17.5). Disease characteristics at initial recurrence was T2 or greater in 8 patients (10%), T1HG in 19 (23%), CIS in 30 (36%), TaHG in 10 (12%), T1 low-grade (LG) in 1 (1%), and TaLG in 15 (18%). For patients with no prior recurrences, neither re-resection (P = 0.12), receipt of induction therapy (P = 0.81), prostatic urethra positivity (P = 0.51), or age (P = 0.34) were significantly associated with risk of recurrence. Similarly, patients with a single recurrence also fared well without identifiable risk factors. In fact, baseline hazard function analysis demonstrated no differences in RFS comparing patients stratified by 0, 1, and 2+ prior recurrences (P = 0.46). The five-year overall survival (OS) was 76% (95% CI: 68%-82%), and median OS was 127 months. The five-year cancer-specific survival was 86% (95% CI: 78%-91%) for the overall cohort. Five-year cystectomy-free survival for patients with BCG responsive disease and unresponsive disease was 95% (95% CI: 85%-98%) and 72% (95% CI: 52%-84%), respectively.

CONCLUSION

For patients who recurred after intravesical therapy, including those with recurrent T1 disease, additional induction courses of intravesical therapy did not negatively affect oncologic outcomes. Pathology of initial recurrence was not found to be a statistically significant risk factor for future recurrence. These findings suggest that BCG-unresponsive disease does not necessarily require immediate cystectomy. A multicenter, pragmatically designed evaluation in a contemporary cohort would more validly interrogate this important patient population.

A Prognostic Nomogram Based on Log Odds of Positive Lymph Nodes to Predict Overall Survival for Non-Metastatic Bladder Cancer Patients after Radical Cystectomy

(1) Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic capacity of the pathological N status (pN), lymph node ratio (LNR), and the log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS), and to build a prognostic nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) for bladder cancer patients treated by radical cystectomy. (2) Methods: The clinical and pathological characteristics of 10,938 patients with bladder cancer were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2004 to 2017. The predictive capacity was assessed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and C-index. Calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and risk-grouping were utilized to evaluate the predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram. (3) Results: LODDS was an independent risk factor for bladder cancer (all p < 0.001) and demonstrated the highest values of C-index and AUC. The values of AUCs in the training cohort were 0.747, 0.743, and 0.735 for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS, respectively. Calibration curves and DCA curves suggested the excellent clinical application value of our nomogram. (4) Conclusions: LODDS is a better predictive indicator for bladder cancer patients compared to pN and LNR. The LODDS-incorporated nomogram has excellent accuracy and promising clinical application value for non-metastatic bladder cancer after radical cystectomy.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram for Predicting Overall Survival for T1 High-Grade Patients After Radical Cystectomy: A Study Based on SEER

Objective

To construct a prognostic model that estimates the probability of overall survival for T1 high-grade bladder cancer patients after radical cystectomy.

Patients and Methods

We enrolled 801 patients diagnosed with T1 high grade and received radical cystectomy from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2004–2015). All patients were randomly divided into the development group (n = 561) and validation group (n = 240) with the ratio of 7:3. Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to filter variables and the Kaplan–Meier method to evaluate survival outcomes. The results of sensitivity analysis determined the variables in the final model. The performance of the model was internally validated by calibration curves, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and the concordance index (C-index).

Results

The mean survival months were 56.086 in the development group and 58.21 in the validation group. Six variables including age, marital status, tumour size, tumour sites, region nodes examined, and N stage were incorporated in the final nomogram. The accuracy of the nomogram for prediction of overall survival was estimated by C-index (0.732; 0.712–0.752) and AUC (0.771 for 3-year; 0.766 for 5-year) in the development group. In the validation group, the C-index of the nomogram was 0.752 (0.723–0.781), and AUC was 0.761 for 3-year as well as 0.793 for 5-year. These results all showed better performance than the AJCC stage. Calibration plots for 3- and 5-year overall survival presented good concordance in both the development and validation group.

Conclusion

We have established a prognostic nomogram that provides a more accurate and relevant individualized probability of overall survival for patients with T1HG bladder transitional cell carcinoma after radical cystectomy. It can contribute to improving patient counselling and treatment selection.

Treatment Outcomes of High-Risk Non-Muscle Invasive Bladder Cancer (HR-NMIBC) in Real-World Evidence (RWE) Studies: Systematic Literature Review (SLR)

Background

To date, there has been limited synthesis of RWE studies in high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (HR-NMIBC). The objective of this research was to conduct a systematic review of published real-world evidence to better understand the real-world burden and treatment patterns in HR-NMIBC.

Methods

An SLR was conducted following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines with the scope defined by the Population, Intervention Comparators, Outcomes, and Study design (PICOS) criteria. EMBASE, MEDLINE, and Cochrane databases (Jan 2015–Jul 2020) were searched, and relevant congress abstracts (Jan 2018–Jul 2020) identified. The final analysis only included studies that enrolled ≥100 patients with HR-NMIBC from the US, Europe, Canada, and Australia.

Results

The SLR identified 634 RWE publications in NMIBC, of which 160 studies reported data in HR-NMIBC. The average age of patients in the studies was 71 years, and 79% were males. The rates of BCG intravesical instillations ranged from 3% to 86% (29–95% for induction and 8–83% for maintenance treatment). Five-year outcomes were 17–89% recurrence-free survival (longest survival in patients completing BCG maintenance), 58–89% progression-free survival, 71–96% cancer-specific survival (lowest survival in BCG-unresponsive patients), and 28–90% overall survival (lowest survival in patients who did not receive BCG or instillation therapy).

Conclusion

BCG treatment rates and survival outcomes in patients with HR-NMIBC vary in the real world, with better survival seen in patients completing maintenance BCG, responding to treatment, and not progressing to muscle-invasive disease. There is a need to better understand the factors associated with BCG use and discontinuation and for an effective treatment that improves outcomes in HR-NMIBC. Generalization of these results is limited by variations in data collection, reporting, and methodologies used across RWE studies.

Predictive Nomogram and Risk Factors for Lymph Node Metastasis in Bladder Cancer

Lymph node metastasis (LNM) is an important prognostic factor for bladder cancer (BCA) and determines the treatment strategy. This study aimed to determine related clinicopathological factors of LNM and analyze the prognosis of BCA. A total of 10,653 eligible patients with BCA were randomly divided into training or verification sets using the 2004-2015 data of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. To identify prognostic factors for the overall survival of BCA, we utilized the Cox proportional hazard model. Independent risk factors for LNM were evaluated via logistic regression analysis. T-stage, tumor grade, patient age and tumor size were identified as independent risk factors for LNM and were used to develop the LNM nomogram. The Kaplan-Meier method and competitive risk analyses were applied to establish the influence of lymph node status on BCA prognosis. The accuracy of LNM nomogram was evaluated in the training and verification sets. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) showed an effective predictive accuracy of the nomogram in both the training (AUC: 0.690) and verification (AUC: 0.704) sets. In addition, the calibration curve indicated good consistency between the prediction of deviation correction and the ideal reference line. The decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram had a high clinical application value. In conclusion, our nomogram displayed high accuracy and reliability in predicting LNM. This could assist the selection of the optimal treatment for patients.

Immunotherapy in Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) unresponsive nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

A number of promising therapies for Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) unresponsive nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) are in the pipeline. In this review, we discuss the history of immunotherapy for the treatment of NMIBC and future developments, focusing on novel intravesical treatments.

RECENT FINDINGS

The term BCG unresponsive NMIBC encompasses patients with both BCG refractory and BCG relapsing disease. This definition was adopted to standardize inclusion criteria for patients enrolling in clinical trials in this setting. A host of intravesical immuno-oncologic therapies that include gene therapies, oncolytic viruses, cell surface molecule delivered immunotoxins, and cytokine driven agonism of cellular immunity, are in various phases of the drug development pipeline. In addition, pembrolizumab, an immune-checkpoint inhibitor, has recently been approved as a treatment option for BCG unresponsive NMIBC.

SUMMARY

Patients with BCG unresponsive disease face many difficulties. Although radical cystectomy is the most effective treatment option for these patients, it is associated with significant morbidity, difficult recovery challenges, and refusal by many patients. Cancer immunotherapies may provide bladder sparing options for some patients who develop BCG unresponsive disease.

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for predicting cancer-specific survival after radical cystectomy in patients with bladder cancer:A population-based study

Purpose

To establish a prognostic model to estimate the cancer‐specific survival (CSS) for urothelial carcinoma of bladder (UCB) patients after radical cystectomy (RC).

Methods

A total of 8650 candidates (2004–2011) obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were randomly split into development cohort (n = 4323) and validation cohort (n = 4327). We performed Cox regression analysis to identify prognostic factors and Kaplan‐Meier analysis to assess survival outcome. A nomogram predicting CSS was constructed. Its performance was validated by calibration curves, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, concordance index (C‐index), decision curve analysis (DCA), the net reclassification improvement (NRI), and the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

Results

The nomogram incorporated marital status, T stage, N stage, tumor size, and chemotherapy. In validation cohort, C‐index of the nomogram was 0.707. AUC of the nomogram and AJCC stage were 0.767 versus 0.674. Calibration plots for 3‐ and 5‐year CSS displayed good concordance. DCA curves of the nomogram exhibited larger benefits than the AJCC stage. The NRI and IDI indicated the nomogram outperformed AJCC stage.

Conclusions

We have established a prognostic nomogram with improved discriminative ability and clinical benefits for UCB patients after RC. The nomogram alongside an easy access web tool may assist clinicians in optimizing the postoperative management.

Safety and Short-Term Oncological Outcomes of Thulium Fiber Laser En Bloc Resection of Non-Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer: A Prospective Non-Randomized Phase II Trial

BACKGROUND: Ongoing efforts aim at overcoming the challenges of conventional transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT) such as the high recurrence rate, difficulty of pathologic interpretation and complications including wall injury. OBJECTIVE: To prospectively assess the safety and efficacy of Thulium fiber en bloc resection of bladder tumor (Tm-fiber ERBT) compared to TURBT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The prospective non-randomized study included 129 patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) divided into two groups: 58 patients underwent conventional TURBT and 71 –Tm-fiber ERBT with FiberLase U1 (NTO IRE-Polus, Russia). Relapse-free survival (RFS), detrusor presence and complication rates were assessed. For multivariable analysis we used the Pearson chi-squared Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test; to compare survival –Cox regression analysis; for operative data comparison –chi-square test with Fisher’s correction; for survival analysis –the Kaplan–Meier method and logrank test. RESULTS: RFS rates at 3 and 6 months were 84.5% and 67.2% for conventional TURBT versus 97.2% and 91.5% for Tm-fiber ERBT (p = 0.011 and p < 0.001, respectively). Detrusor muscle was present in 58.6% of cases treated with conventional TURBT vs 91.6% for the Tm-fiber ERBT group (p < 0.001). The obturator nerve reflex and bleeding were noted in 17.2% and 10.3% of TURBT cases, respectively; and in none of cases treated with Tm-fiber ERBT. Limitations included the non–randomized nature and the small sample size. CONCLUSIONS: Tm-fiber ERBT seems to be a safe and efficacious treatment option for NMIBC. Tm-fiber ERBT had fewer adverse events, was more likely to secure detrusor muscle in the specimen and resulted in better RFS rates than conventional TURBT. Based on these promising data, we have started a prospective randomized clinical trial comparing en bloc TURBT with conventional TURBT (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03718754).

Comparison of Preoperative Neutrophil-Lymphocyte and Platelet-Lymphocyte Ratios in Bladder Cancer Patients Undergoing Radical Cystectomy

Introduction

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) have been proven to be significant prognostic factors in many cancers. We aimed to retrospectively investigate the prognostic value of NLR and PLR in patients with bladder cancer undergoing radical cystectomy.

Materials and Methods

The study comprised patients from 2010 to 2018 who were diagnosed with bladder cancer and received radical cystectomy. Clinical and pathological parameters were collected. Receiver operating characteristic curves of NLR and PLR were plotted for overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). The best cutoff value of NLR and PLR were determined using X-tile software. The prognostic value of NLR and PLR for OS and CSS was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression models.

Results

A total of 223 patients were enrolled with a medium follow-up period of 57 months. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed that PLR was superior to NLR as a prognostic factor in patients with bladder cancer undergoing radical cystectomy. Univariate analysis revealed that NLR (p=0.032 and p=0.041) and PLR (p=0.003 and p=0.003) were significantly associated with both OS and CSS, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified only PLR as independent prognostic factors for OS (p=0.046) and CSS (p=0.039), respectively.

Conclusions

The present findings suggested that compared with NLR, PLR was a superior prognostic factor of OS and CSS in bladder cancer patients indicated to radical cystectomy.

Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (EGFR) Cell Expression During Adjuvant Treatment After Transurethral Resection for Non-Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer: A New Potential Tool to Identify Patients at Higher Risk of Disease Progression

BACKGROUND

The aim of the study was to investigate the feasibility of Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (EGFR) measurement in bladder washings of patients affected by non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) and its prognostic role in identifying risk subgroups and predicting disease recurrence and progression.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with NMIBC treated with transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT) from 2012 to 2015 were enrolled. Samples of bladder washings were collected and stored at -80°C until RNA extraction. The cDNA obtained from RNA was used to perform a gene expression analysis by a real time polymerase chain reaction.

RESULTS

An adequate cellular pellet was obtained in 50 (86.2%) of 58 patients and in 18 (85.7%) of 21 controls. Patients had a median 2.5-, a 1.6- and a 2.8-fold EGFR expression compared with controls before, during, and after adjuvant treatment, respectively. Patients at higher risk had a significantly higher EGFR expression compared with patients at low and intermediate risk when EGFR was measured during (P = .04) and after (P = .001) adjuvant therapy. At a median follow-up of 35.5 months (interquartile range, 19.0-54.8 months), in the high-risk group, patients with overexpression had a significantly lower recurrence-free survival (27.9% vs. 58%), progression-free survival (75.9% vs. 90.2%), and cancer-specific survival (77.7% vs. 93.3%). At multivariable analysis, EGFR overexpression was an additional independent prognostic factor to the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer scoring system of disease recurrence (hazard ratio, 1.98; 95% confidence interval, 1.32-2.97) and progression (hazard ratio, 1.84; 95% confidence interval, 1.27-2.65).

CONCLUSIONS

EGFR overexpression might represent an additional parameter to the current clinical tools for an individualized risk stratification.